Activity Increases in Downtown Montreal's Office Market - MONTREAL DOWNTOWN SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET - Devencore

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Activity Increases in Downtown Montreal's Office Market - MONTREAL DOWNTOWN SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET - Devencore
Research
MONTREAL DOWNTOWN
SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET

     Activity Increases in Downtown
       Montreal’s Office Market
Activity Increases in Downtown Montreal's Office Market - MONTREAL DOWNTOWN SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET - Devencore
Research
MONTREAL DOWNTOWN
SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET

Market is Tenant-Favoured for Most Space Categories
All signs point to an acceleration of activity in the downtown Montreal office
market. While office space is still plentiful, the gap between availability and          Current Conditions – Montreal Downtown Core
vacancy rates is starting to shrink as existing inventory (including sublets) is
absorbed. Over one million square feet of new Class A office space has
                                                                                         • Availability rate in downtown core at 15.4% at end of
come online in downtown Montreal over the past three years, another
million square feet of new space is currently under construction, and there
                                                                                           1Q17; rate could begin to decline later this year
are more new developments in the planning and pre-leasing stages than                    • Over one million square feet of new office space currently
there have been for decades. Downtown condominium and hotel                                under construction with more new projects in the planning
development activity continues to increase, and many of the key                            and pre-leasing stages
infrastructure developments that will change the face of the city and
influence real estate decision makers ̶ including the new Champlain                      • Tenant-favoured market will prevail for remainder of 2017
Bridge, the renovated Bonaventure Expressway, the Turcot Interchange
and the Réseau électrique métropolitain (REM) ̶ will be completed over the
next few years. Economically, Montreal is continuing to strengthen with
unemployment rates falling and new industries ̶ especially those in the                  Availability Rates (Class A & B) – Downtown Montreal
tech sectors ̶ setting up shop. Finally, all levels of government seem to be
working in concert to promote the economic development of Montreal.

Availability rates for all space classes in downtown Montreal remain high,              14%
standing at 12.1% at the end of the first quarter of 2017, down from 12.3% a
year earlier. Space absorption was negative in the first quarter, but this is           12%
partially explained by the approximately 80,000 square feet of Class A office           10%
space that was brought to market with the completion of L’Avenue, a 50-
                                                                                         8%
storey, 590,000-square-foot mixed-use development at 1275 Avenue des
Canadiens-de-Montréal. Average gross rents for all space classes have                    6%
increased slightly over the past 12 months, from $32.27/sf to $32.79/sf.                 4%
                                                                                           1Q10      1Q11    1Q12        1Q13     1Q14        1Q15       1Q16       1Q17
In the Downtown Core, combined Class A and Class B availability rates are
                                                                                                               Class A                         Class B
at 15.4%, relatively unchanged over the past year.

Demand for New Space Remains Strong                                                      Average Gross Rents (Class A & B) – Downtown Montreal
Tenant demand for space in the new buildings remains strong. L’Avenue is
                                                                                           $/SF
approximately 75% leased; the Deloitte Tower, a 513,000-square-foot
                                                                                         $45
development completed in 2015, has an occupancy rate over 70%; only
blocks of space in the 20,000-square-foot range remain. At the 240,000-                  $40
square-foot Aimia Tower, which came onto the market in 2014, only three
smaller blocks of space totalling approximately 34,000 square feet remain                $35
vacant.
                                                                                         $30
Of the projects scheduled to be completed in 2017, the 275,000-square-foot
Sommer Building at 416 de Maisonneuve Boulevard West (an extension of                    $25
an existing property) is fully occupied, and the 471,000-square-foot Maison
Manuvie has just under 100,000 square feet still available. A building                   $20
                                                                                           1Q10       1Q11   1Q12        1Q13     1Q14        1Q15        1Q16         1Q17
extension at 444 de Maisonneuve Boulevard West will be occupied by
Desjardins and will address its needs for back office space. Îlot Balmoral, a                                   Class A                              Class B
280,000-square-foot tower that should be completed in 2018, has pre-
leased approximately 124,000 square feet.                                                Market Summary (All office classes) – Downtown Montreal

Activity Varies in Downtown Corporate Sectors                                                                   Current          Prior        Year Ago         12 Month
Availability rates continue to vary in the corporate neighbourhoods of                                          Quarter         Quarter        Quarter         Forecast
downtown Montreal. In the largest sector along René-Lévesque Boulevard,
where there is almost 11 million square feet of office inventory, the                  Availability Rate            12.1%          11.9%         12.3%             
combined Class A and Class B availability rate currently stands at 11.6%,              Net Absorption (SF)      -171,943         218,818        120,482            
down from 12% three months ago. The availability rate is highest in the
                                                                                       Average Gross Rent/SF        $32.79        $32.64         $32.27          
smaller Sherbrooke Street corridor (with 2.8 million square feet of office
inventory), at 22.7% and lowest in the Quartier International (5.4 million             Under Construction (SF) 1,026,200        1,102,200       822,200          
square feet of inventory) at 6.2%. Along de Maisonneuve Boulevard                      Deliveries (SF)                                                             
                                                                                                                    76,000                0              0
(4 million square feet of inventory), the vacancy rate is currently 17.6%.
Most of the new construction now underway in downtown Montreal is taking
place in this district.                                                                                                                                   Source: Altus Insite
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Activity Increases in Downtown Montreal's Office Market - MONTREAL DOWNTOWN SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET - Devencore
Research
MONTREAL DOWNTOWN
SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET

The largest transactions to date in 2017 include Rogers Communications’              Lévesque Boulevard was recently announced and the National Film Board
300,000-square-foot renewal at 1200 McGill College/Place Bonaventure,                is relocating to a 280,000-square-foot building in the Quartier des
and two major leases by creative media companies: Studios Framestore’s               Spectacles, which should be delivered this year. Finally, a range of
81,000-square-foot renewal and expansion at 5455 de Gaspé in the heart               substantial redevelopment projects are in the works, including the
of the Mile End district, and Attraction Média’s 60,000-square-foot renewal          Standard Life building at 1245 Sherbrooke St. West, Maison Alcan at
and expansion in the same building. A number of other large                          1188 Sherbrooke St. West, and a 260,000-square-foot conversion at 425
organizations are also currently reviewing their options, so there may be            Viger Street, which should be getting under way in the coming months.
significant transactions in the coming months.
                                                                                     Looking Forward
Potential New Developments                                                           Even though the availability rate in the downtown core remains high,
A number of office projects, totalling almost five million square feet, are in       tenants seeking blocks of contiguous space of 100,000 square feet or
the early planning and pre-leasing stages. These include the development             more will find the market challenging. Tenants requiring less space have a
of I’Îlot Voyageur, where the Quebec government is currently examining               much greater range of options, though the best opportunities may be
its options; a two-tower project of 800,000 square feet at the intersection          building specific, as those landlords who have lost tenants to the new
of Robert-Bourassa and St-Jacques Street by Magil Laurentian; a two-                 towers will be more willing to negotiate advantageous transactions.
phase, 900,000-square-foot development at Westcliff’s Place de la Cité
Internationale in Square Victoria; a 355,000-square-foot development at              As the competition to attract and retain young, talented employees grows
the corner of Ste. Catherine Street West and Bleury Street; a 288,000-               more intense, tenants renewing leases or seeking new premises are
square-foot development at 500 de Maisonneuve Boulevard West; an                     increasingly recognizing the strategic advantages inherent in the location
825,000-square-foot tower at 1250 Jeanne-Mance Street; and two towers                they choose for office space, including the access they have to metro and
at 750 Peel Street comprising over one million square feet.                          REM lines. Work environment, workspace efficiency and available
                                                                                     services are also playing an important role for decision makers, who must
Additionally, construction of a new home for CBC/Radio-Canada on René-               balance these considerations against the cost of space.

    Market Statistics (Class A & B) – Specific Corridors
                                                              SF Under           SF Absorbed             SF Absorbed                       Average Gross
    Market                                Inventory SF                                                                   % Available
                                                             Construction        This Quarter                YTD                              Rent/SF
    Downtown                                                                                                                            Class A      Class B
    (Based on selected buildings)

                 McGill College Avenue      3,314,418                   0               16,093                 16,093        16.35       $44.59       $36.91
                 René-Lévesque Blvd.       10,996,869                   0               -65,984                -65,984       11.63       $44.64       $34.25
                 Sherbrooke Street          2,825,327                   0                 9,638                 9,638        22.73       $38.87       $31.58
                 De Maisonneuve Blvd.       3,918,986           1,026,200               -18,567                -18,567       17.55       $38.27       $31.38
                 Quartier International     5,378,973                   0               -24,889                -24,889        6.16       $42.25       $35.36
                 Westmount Area               996,712                   0               29,069                 29,069        11.76       $36.09       $29.52
                 Old Montreal               1,525,311                   0                -6,629                 -6,629        9.96       $33.44       $27.31
                 Cité du Multimédia           942,550                   0               12,059                 12,059        12.34       $36.37       $30.00

                                                                                                                                       Source: NKF Devencore Research

    Significant Transactions

    Tenant                                    Building                                            Type                     Size (SF)          Transaction Date
    Rogers Communications                     1200 McGill College / Place Bonaventure             Renewal                  300,000            Q1 2017
    Studios Framestore                        5455 De Gaspé                                       Renewal / Expansion        81,493           Q1 2017
    Attraction Média Inc.                     5455 De Gaspé                                       Renewal / Expansion        60,605           Q1 2017
    IBM Canada Limited                        1 Place Ville Marie                                 New Lease                  39,535           Q1 2017
    Canadian National Railway                 1010 de la Gauchetière                              New Lease                  34,490           Q1 2017
    McGill University                         101 Sherbrooke W.                                   Renewal                    27,540           Q1 2017
    Laurentian Bank of Canada                 1360 René-Lévesque W.                               Expansion                  22,154           Q1 2017
    Investment Industry Regulatory
                                              525 Viger W.                                        Relocation                 20,000           Q1 2017
    Organization of Canada (IIROC)
    KSH Solutions Inc.                        3400 de Maisonneuve W.                              Renewal                    15,918           Q1 2017

                                                                                                                                       Source: NKF Devencore Research
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Activity Increases in Downtown Montreal's Office Market - MONTREAL DOWNTOWN SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET - Devencore
Research
MONTREAL DOWNTOWN
SPRING 2017 OFFICE MARKET

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