Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes

Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
The Belmont Stakes (G1) is the final jewel of the elusive Triple Crown, and
while we don’t have a Justify looking to be the 14th Triple Crown winner of all-
time this year, the race is full of great contenders, making for an excellent betting

Called “The Test of the Champion,” the Belmont Stakes is the oldest of the Triple Crown races and was first run in
1867 at Belmont Park in Elmont, NY. It is also the longest, with a grueling distance of 1 1/2 miles for 3-year-olds
on the main dirt track. Led by the 151st running of the headlining event, an unprecedented eight Grade 1 races will
make up the card on Belmont Stakes Day, June 8, all of which are included in this guide!

This Inside Track to the Belmont Stakes is a combination of some of the best handicapping forces in the country.
The Racing Dudes have been offering handicapping picks and analysis daily for over seven years, but this year, all
hands are on deck. Racing Dudes Aaron and Jared have studied these Belmont Stakes contenders for months. Expert
handicapper Mike Somich is known for his massive multi-race scores and is ready to cash in big. He is fairly new
to the team, but he is already making many fans with his Pick 4 and Pick 5 analyses and picks.

As a special bonus this year, Jonathon Kinchen is contributing to this Inside Track to the Belmont Stakes! Jonathon
was the 2015 NHC Tour champion and remains the only player in NHC history to have both of his entries qualify
for The Final Table. Jonathon’s work has been seen on DRF and Fox Sports. You can also check him out on the In
The Money Players’ Podcast, which he does with tournament expert Peter T. Fornatale.

4Multi-Race Wager plays and strategies from handicapping expert Mike Somich
4Exclusive analysis and picks from Jonathon Kinchen
4Top 4 choices for all stakes races from the handicappers at
4Race by Race analysis of all 10 stakes races on the Belmont card including:
  4Overview of the Race
  4Race Shape and Pace Analysis
  4Top Selections
  4Major threats
  4Longshots to Use
4Exclusive picks and plays, which include: win, place, and show bets; longshot across the board plays; exacta,
  trifecta, and superfecta plays; horses to use in multi-race wagers; and what to play on both a small and a
  large budget.
Each win, place, show, and across the board selection comes with a confidence rating so that you can see how
strongly we feel about each pick.
Finally, always remember to wager responsibly and never wager more than you can afford.

Good luck today!
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
One trend that I’ve noticed on these big days is that I’ve              should improve with the added distance and will be able to sit a
continually had success with the Early Pick 4s and Pick 5s on           great trip off of #3 Sea Foam’s flank. I’ll also use #1 Mo Gotcha,
big cards. They also tend to pay out significantly more than I          who broke his maiden on debut before falling in his second
except, mainly due to the pool sizes and the tendency of                career start to a horse named Majid that wired the field; I will be
people to overplay favorites early on these days. Why?                  using him two races later, albeit in a much tougher spot. Like
Because the bulk of their time is spent dissecting the latter half      Principled, Mo Gotcha is a lightly-raced 3-year-old and will be
of the loaded card where the bigger, sexier races sit. That leave       close to the pace. These two horses have the highest probability
us with an opportunity to make some money early that will help          of improvement here, and if either one steps up, then they will
fund those late bets.                                                   knock off a horse who will be significantly over-bet.

 RACE 1 – ALLOWANCE $92K N1X – 1 1/16 MILES ON                           RACE 2 – MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT $90K – 1 1/4
 THE DIRT                                                                MILES ON THE TURF

This is a classic “fade the favorite” race to me, so I will be
                                                                        Since we started out with ALL in the first leg, we are going to
going ALL in my deeper ticket. Instead of talking about the
                                                                        have to make some stands in order to keep these tickets
horses that I like, let’s start with the morning line 7/5 favorite #6
                                                                        affordable, and this is going to be one of those for me. I’m not-
Potomac. If you read Handicapping 301 or listen to The Magic
                                                                        so-shockingly in love with #2 Better Tapit, who makes his career
Mike Show, then you’d probably think that I would be all over
                                                                        debut here. He could easily need a start under his belt, but let’s
this horse as an improving second-out 4-year-old, but I see
                                                                        be honest, this isn’t a field of world-beaters and he’s a son of
some serious red flags. First, let’s look at his last cycle. His
                                                                        Tapit out of a Galileo mare. There’s so much turf in his pedigree
previous trainer Rudy Rodriguez claimed him for $25,000 and
                                                                        that grass literally grows wherever he walks. Trainer Steve
he had a huge speed figure jump next out. That effort wasn’t
                                                                        Asmussen can get them home first time out, and his top jock
repeated until the More To Tell, a $66,000 stakes race which
                                                                        Ricardo Santana, Jr., is aboard. The race also seems pace-
was by far his most impressive win. Potomac then took a few
                                                                        heavy, and based off of his workouts, I expect him to be rolling
months off and showed up in a $50,000 claimer last out, which
                                                                        late. I’m also going to use the #4 No Mans Land. He sports the
is how he arrived to the Carlos Martin barn. He’s still got all of
                                                                        far-best numbers of anyone in this race and was within a nose of
his conditions left, so it’s mind-boggling why solid connections
                                                                        winning at this distance before, something that no one else can
were willing to lose him going into a New York summer season
                                                                        boast. I don’t really love this 2/1 morning line favorite, but I also
that has massive purses at Belmont Park and Saratoga. People
                                                                        can’t figure out how to fade him here. I’ll finish it up with #9
will point to his 3-for-5 record over this course, but even that is
                                                                        Uncle Artie. His last race was more than disappointing and he
a smoke screen. He beat $20k maiden claimers, $35k claimers
                                                                        had no excuse that I can tell, but if you can look past it, then he
NW3 lifetime, and then a $50k claimer field where he was lone
                                                                        fits. I’m giving jockey Joel Rosario a nod here and will hope that
speed in a field of five. Combine all of that with the fact that we
                                                                        the combination of the added distance and Rosario’s ride gives
are going from a 20% barn to a 6% barn that is also 7% first off
                                                                        us back-to-back $10+ winners to start this off.
the claim, and he’s going to get smashed at the windows. I see
a real chance to start this out with a price. Now, on to the
horses that I like in my shorter ticket. Let’s start with #5
Principled. He is hitting the track for just his third career start
and his second as a 3-year-old for a Todd Pletcher barn that
generally does well in these spots. This son of Medaglia d’Oro
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
Superfectas here: 4/3,5,6/3,5,6/3,5,6 and 4/1,5,6/1,5,6/1,5,6.
RACE 3 – EASY GOER STAKES – 1 1/16 MILES ON                              I’ve pulled nice profits using this strategy (heavy favorite on top
THE DIRT                                                                 with three boxed underneath) in the past.

Alright, we are headed right back to the ALL button here. The            RACE 5 – OGDEN PHIPPS STAKES (G1) – 1 1/16
main reason is that I’ve got no interest in the 6/5 morning line         MILES ON THE DIRT
favorite #6 Alwaysmining after his awful Preakness Stakes
effort. Also, everyone that he’s beaten in his seven career wins          With two ALL races, you had to know that a single was coming!
has looked atrocious since. I’m also not in love with #4                 We’ve got two superstars going head-to-head in #1 Come
Outshine, who will be the public’s other go-to horse. I am               Dancing and #2 Midnight Bisou. This is one of those
going to use him on both tickets, but in the shorter one, it’s           matchups that I cannot wait to watch as a fan, but as a bettor,
more of a defensive use than a confident play. I’m going to go           it scares the heck out of me. There is little value in playing both,
to #5 Majid (remember him?) as my top pick here. He’s taken              so it’s a good place to take a stand with the one with a tactical
nice steps forward in his last two starts, and now trainer Rudy          advantage. That’s the case with Come Dancing. In a short field
Rodriguez is moving him up aggressively. Note that he was also           of five horses, with her being on the rail and the logical lone
touted as a 2-year-old in the Todd Pletcher barn after being             speed, it’s going to be tough for anyone to get by Come
Zayat Stables purchased him for $295,000. He’s also got a shot           Dancing down the lane. My biggest fear here is that jockey
at being lone speed, depending on Alwaysmining, who’s never              Mike Smith will also realize that and could easily decide to
made the lead at any track except Laurel Park. If Majid is let go        make an Abel Tasmen-esque move aboard Midnight Bisou on
up front, he’s gone. I also will use #3 Grumps Little Tots               the backstretch. Despite that, I believe that Come Dancing is
because he is a great value at 12/1. He ran well as a 2-year-old         just the better horse right now. If I did use another horse, I’d
and showed nice improvement as a 3-year-old before moving                turn to #4 Escape Clause, who gave Midnight Bisou a real
up for the Wood Memorial Stakes (G2). That’s a toss race for             scare in the Apple Blossom Handicap (G1) last time out. She’ll
me; he was eliminated at the break, thanks to a rogue rival              offer significantly better value in the multi-race bets and should
knocking into half the field, and he was quickly 16 lengths off           get first run at Come Dancing.
the lead after never being more than 4 off in any other start.
Additionally, trainer Jason Servis is firing at a 31% clip, jockey
Irad Ortiz, Jr., is currently winning 20% of his mounts, and they         MIKE’S TICKETS:
are an eye-popping 39% at Belmont Park when teaming up
                                                                          $0.50 Pick 5 - ALL / 2, 4, 9 / All / 3, 4, 6 / 1 - $162
                                                                          $0.50 Pick 5 - 1, 5 / 2, 4, 9 / 3, 4, 5 / 3, 4, 6 / 1 - $24
THE OUTER TURF                                                            $0.50 Pick 5 - 1, 5 / 2, 4, 9 / 3, 4, 5 / 4 / 1 - $6

Let’s not try to get too cute here; #4 Rushing Fall is my top
pick. She’s got the early turn of foot to be on the lead in her
second start as a 4-year-old for trainer Chad Brown and she’s
got the class (she’s a three-time G1 winner) that no one else
can match. I would not try to talk people off of singling her
here. Man, #3 Beau Recall sure looked like a world-beater last
out in the Churchill Distaff Turf Mile Stakes (G2) vs. many of her
rivals here. The track helped her out because it was playing
toward closers, but I am still not sure how you can leave her off
of here due to the improvement that she’s shown as a 5-year-
old. The only one of Beau Recall’s rivals that I’ll be using from
the Distaff Turf Mile is #8 Environs. We all know how good
trainer Chad Brown is in New York, and I like the confidence
that entering her in this spot shows. I was expecting more from
her last out and it seems like I may have just been one race too
early. If she improves again, then look out. If there is rain, I’ll be
adding my girl #5 Capla Temptress because she loves tracks
with some give in the ground. I will also be playing two
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
There is no Triple Crown on the line, but there is plenty to love
about Belmont Stakes Day. What an unbelievable three days of
racing that is the closest thing we have to a Spring version of
the Breeders’ Cup. You name the division for three-year-olds
and up and they will be represented here.                             sometimes be a feature rather than a bug ($1, PTF). That’s
                                                                      because I believe the rail draw forces riders to be slightly more
The 2019 Belmont Festival lives up to its promise. The best           aggressive when breaking from the gate in an attempt to get
middle-distance turf female is running, Rushing Fall. Arguably        their position moving forward. Complexity doesn’t need much
the best dirt sprinter is running, Mitole (Sorry, Roy H but at        introduction as the winner of the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes
least I threw in that “arguably” just for you). The best older dirt   on this racetrack as a two-year old. The layoff is obviously a
horse is running, Mckinzie. The best turf sprinter in the world is    concern, but Chad Brown had this one ready to win a maiden
running, World of Trouble. Midnight Bisou could also make a           race at Saratoga on debut by four lengths. In my view, winning
case for some superlative if she tried hard enough.                   first out is “in the same family” as winning off a long layoff.
                                                                      Landeskog feels like the type that could get loose if the others
There are plenty of ways that you can attack the Belmont              have trouble or lack aggression. A horse who is likely to be on
Festival. I am going to focus on Saturday’s late pick 4, but I        the front end at 12-1 or higher is always one worth serious
would be remiss if I didn’t point out the wonderful new wager         consideration. Hog Creek Hustle ran sneaky good in the Pat
that NYRA created. Starting Friday in the True North, there will      Day Mile. He will be forgotten here and I will be running on late.
be a 2-day, .20 cent, mandatory payout, all stakes, 15%
takeout, pick 6. Horseplayers need to support this innovation. I       A:
know I will be.                                                        1 – Honest Mischief
                                                                       4 – Complexity
ALL GRADE ONE $.50 Late Pick 4                                         9 – Mind Control (Top Pick)

Saturday, Race 8, 4:04pm ET, G1 Woody Stephens                         B:
Saturday, Race 9, 4:46pm ET, G1 Runhappy Met Mile                      5 – Landeskog
Saturday, Race 10, 5:36pm ET, G1 Manhattan                             8 – Hog Creek Hustle
Saturday, Race 11, 6:37pm ET, G1 Belmont Stakes

                                                                       LEG B - G1 RUNHAPPY MET MILE

                                                                      As stated above, I believe Mckinzie is the best older horse in
This is one of my favorite races of the entire year and this is the
first time it will be run as a Grade 1. Mind Control has never        the country. His Grade 1 Malibu win at 7 furlongs was brilliant.
been out of the exacta in his one-turn races. He is drawn             He was ultra competitive in his efforts at 9 and 10 furlongs this
outside and his Hall of Fame rider, Johnny V, will have the           year. His Alysheba was jaw dropping at 8.5 furlongs and now
ability to see what everyone inside of him is doing. Although         he gets the one-turn mile that should suit him perfectly. The
Mind Control feels like the most likely winner, Honest Mischief       post-position is not perfect, but I think he is tactical enough
and Complexity are likely to have something to say about the          that Mike Smith should be able to work out a good trip. Mitole
outcome of this race. Honest Mischief was a very impressive           is probably the most interesting runner in the race. Extremely
                                                                      talented and dominant going 6 and 7 furlongs, but has yet to
maiden winner at Keeneland in April. The speed figure he
earned there alone makes him an extremely likely winner, with         try anything farther. Mitole will have to deal with Promises
his connections and pedigree being the icing on the cake. The         Fulfilled who is expected to be on the engine early, but Mitole
                                                                      has shown the ability to relax. I think he could be special, but
rail draw is tricky for a lightly raced horse, but I think that can
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
I also think he needs to be ridden aggressively. He will be in          LEG D - G1 BELMONT STAKES
trouble if they take away his best weapon, his speed in an
attempt to see out the trip. Firenze Fire is 3 for 3 at Belmont         I love Tacitus in this race, BUT I only love him if he is ridden
Park and there is a strong chance this one will get a nice setup        forwardly. If he is ridden like he was in the Kentucky Derby, I
with the potential speed duel between Mitole and Promises               don’t think he can win. He is a single for me because I trust Bill
Fulfilled. I still prefer Mckinzie in that scenario, but would not be   Mott and Jose Ortiz. Bill and Jose have both won this race
surprised if Firenze Fire got the job done. Prince Lucky may            before and know what kind of horse and trip is required. Tacitus
appear to have just been beating up on lesser down at                   is out of the classy mare Close Hatches who won a grade one
Gulfstream Park, but his speed figures suggest that he could            on this racetrack and his sire Tapit needs no introduction. War
get a piece in this race. The outside draw is a positive as well.       Of Will ran extremely well in Preakness, but he spent a lot of
                                                                        time on the inside of a racetrack that favored horses that spent
A:                                                                      time near the rail. He is still the second best horse in the race
2 – Mckinzie (Top Pick)
                                                                        and I have heard Mark Casse comment a number of times that
3 – Mitole
                                                                        the Belmont is more of a speed race. I would imagine the
B:                                                                      instructions would be to keep him near the pace. He is a must
7 – Firenze Fire                                                        use if ridden aggressively. Tax, Spinoff, and Intrepid Heart all
                                                                        have a chance. Tax is bred to run all day and I could definitely
                                                                        see him winning if the top two don’t show up. Spinoff is a
9 – Prince Lucky
                                                                        talented horse that I thought had a chance in the Kentucky
                                                                        Derby. He gets the 5 weeks off for Todd Pletcher who does
                                                                        really well in the Belmont Stakes (3 wins). Speaking of Todd,
                                                                        Intrepid Heart is another that has a shot in my opinion. I don’t
Bricks and Mortar has not lost on the turf this year. Not only          typically like horses adding blinkers in grade one stakes, but it
has he not lost on the turf, two of those wins have come in the         seems like this is something they have always wanted to do.
biggest turf races we offer in America (Old Forester Turf Classic        Would have been a very odd move for an undefeated horse, but
and the Pegasus Turf Cup). This will be his first time going 10         an easy decision after the recent effort.
furlongs, but I don’t foresee the distance being an issue. I
admittedly did not like Qurbaan in his last start versus Bricks         10 – Tacitus (Top Pick)
and Mortar, but he ran really well in his last start while adding
blinkers. This will be his first attempt going 10 furlongs, but         B:
nothing suggests he won’t handle the distance. I have never             9 – War Of Will
been a fan of Raging Bull, but he also ran huge at CD on
Derby Day. He spent the early part of the race on the boggy             4 – Tax
inside and made an honest run when they turned for home.                6 – Spinoff
Olympico could be any kind after the impressive North                   8 – Intrepid Heart
American debut May 4th. This one should have no issue with
the added distance. Over half of Olympico’s lifetime races have         All As:
                                                                        ($4 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 2,3 w 4,8 w 10
taken place at 10 furlongs or further. Channel Maker loves
Belmont. Two of his best lifetime races have taken place on this        All As with (1) B:
turf course. Love the outside draw and the confidence Joel              ($2 Pick 4) 5,8 w 2,3 w 4,8 w 10
Rosario shows by sticking with this one.                                ($2 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 7 w 4,8 w 10
                                                                        ($2 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 2,3 w 1,7,10 w 10
A:                                                                      ($2 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 2,3 w 4,8 w 9
4 – Qurbaan
8 –Bricks and Mortar (Top Pick)
                                                                        All As with (2) Bs:
B:                                                                      ($1 Pick 4) 5,8 w 7 w 4,8 w 10
1 – Raging Bull                                                         ($1 Pick 4) 5,8 w 2,3 w 1,7,10 w 10
7 – Olympico                                                            ($1 Pick 4) 5,8 w 2,3 w 4,8 w 9
10 – Channel Maker                                                      ($1 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 7 w 1,7,10 w 10
                                                                        ($1 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 7 w 4,8 w 9
                                                                        ($1 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 2,3 w 1,7,10 w 9

                                                                        All As with (1) C:
                                                                        ($.50 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 9 w 4,8 w 10
                                                                        ($.50 Pick 4) 1,4,9 w 2,3 w 4,8 w 4,6,8           Total = $214
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
OVERVIEW:                                                   LONGSHOTS TO USE: #5 Majid
This race kicks off the stakes action on a Belmont day        This horse could be interesting from a pace standpoint.
that is loaded with great betting opportunities. In total,   In his last three races, he has gone straight to the lead
there are 10 stakes race on the card, including eight        and never looked back, including an allowance win
Grade 1 events. For this contest, six horses have            over this track last time out. Look for him to go to the
signed on to run, including standouts Outshine and           front and try to take this field wire to wire.

 RACE SHAPE: EXPECT A SLOW PACE                              OTHERS: #3 Grumps Little Tots, #1 Still
Pure Speed: Majid, Alwaysmining
Pressing Speed: Outshine                                     We’ll need to see some improvement from either of
Stalkers: Still Dreaming                                     these two horse if they want to rise to the occasion and
Closers: Dream Maker, Grumps Little Tots                     win this race. Both will also need a decent pace to
                                                             develop up front if they hope to run down the early
Look for a slow pace from this short field, and only two     leaders.
will have much interest in the lead. Those horses, Majid
and Alwaysmining, are fast but don’t have to have the
lead to win. The rest will draft in behind them, so the
pace should set up fairly for all runners.

                                                             Bet to Win: #4 Outshine - Confidence Level 3 out of 5
This is a big race for a horse who could be ready for a
decent latter half of the season. He was a solid second
to Tacitus in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2), a real positive      Bet to Place or Show: #6 Alwaysmining- Confidence
considering Tacitus is the Belmont Stakes (G1) favorite.     Level: 3 out of 5
He lost all shot at winning the Wood Memorial Stakes
(G2) last out after getting knocked around out of the        Across the Board Longshot Play: #2 Dream Maker -
gate. He should bounce back in this spot.                    Confidence Level: 3 out of 5
                                                             Exacta: 2,4,6 BOX
 MAJOR THREATS: #2 Dream Maker, #6                           Trifecta: 4,6/2,4,5,6/2,4,5,6
 Alwaysmining                                                Superfecta: 2,4,5,6 BOX

                                                             Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 2,4,6
Outshine's major threat is Alwaysmining, who looks to
rebound after an extremely disappointing non-effort in
the Preakness Stakes (G1). Before that, he had won six       Small Budget Wager: $.1 Exacta BOX 2,4,6
straight in impressive fashion. Trainer Mark Casse has
been high on Dream Maker all year long. He has been          Large Budget Wager: $4 Exacta BOX 2,4,6
inconsistent, but he did have a little bit better showing
last time out when finishing third in the Pat Day Mile
Stakes (G3) at Churchill Downs.
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
OVERVIEW:                                                 LONGSHOTS
                                                           Because         TO USE:
                                                                   of the pace, this is#2 Bellavais,
                                                                                        another ho #3 Beau
This is always one of the best races of the year and is
good enough to be the feature race on most cards.          Bellavais disappointed in her last start, finishing fifth in
That is crazy, considering it is just the fourth race on   the Jenny Wiley Stakes. However, she has shown that
this loaded card. Trainer Chad Brown has dominated         she can run much better than that effort. Beau Recall
this division for years. We can probably expect more of    pulled off a big upset in the Churchill Downs Distaff
the same from his two solid entries in 2019.               Mile last time out. If she can reproduce that effort, then
                                                           she could be tough to beat once again in this race.

Pure Speed: Rushing Fall                                   OTHERS: #5 Capla Temptress
Pressing Speed: Got Stormy
Stalkers: Capla Temptress, Bellavias                       There is nothing wrong with Capla Temptress, who has
Closers: Daddy Is a Legend, Beau Recall, Environs          several strong races on her resume. However, she is
                                                           likely to be outclassed in a race of this magnitude. She
Most New York turf races going two turns end up with       needs to show major improvement here.
a slow pace, and this race is shaping up to be more of
the same. The heavily-favored Rushing Fall should get
out to an early easy lead with Got Stormy tracking the
pace. If the race goes how it looks on paper, then the
closers will have a tough time making up ground.

                                                           Bet to Win: #4 Rushing Fall - Confidence Level: 4 out of 5

It’s hard to say anything bad about this filly, who is
                                                           Bet to Place or Show: #1 Daddy Is a Legend -
nearly perfect on her career. She is 7 for 8, with her
                                                           Confidence Level: 3 out of 5
only loss coming by a neck at Churchill Downs last year
in the Edgewood Stakes (G3). Since that loss, she has      Across the Board Longshot Play: #6 Environs -
rattled off three straight wins, including two Grade 1      Confidence Level: 2 out of 5
events at Keeneland in the Queen Elizabeth II
Challenge Cup and the Jenny Wiley.                         Exacta: 1,4,6 BOX
                                                           Trifecta: 1,4,6,7 BOX
 MAJOR THREATS: #1 Daddy Is a Legend, #6
 Environs, #7 Got Stormy.                                  Superfecta: 1,4,6,7 BOX

                                                           Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 1,4,6,7
Daddy Is a Legend knocked the five-month rust off last
time out to run third in the Churchill Downs Distaff Mile   Small Budget Wager: $.50 cent Trifecta BOX 1,4,6,7
Stakes (G2). She should be ready for an improved
effort. Environs is Brown’s “other entry” and has Jose
Ortiz aboard. Got Stormy was a strong second last          Large Budget Wager: $2 Trifecta BOX 1,4,6,7
time out in the Churchill Downs Distaff Mile, getting
passed late by Beau Recall.
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
OVERVIEW:                                                    LONGSHOTS TO USE: #4 Escape Clause

This field came up short with just five fillies and mares
                                                              She nearly upset Midnight Bisou last time out in the
entered to run, but the current top female horse in the
                                                              Apple Blossom Handicap, which would have been the
country has entered. That horse is Midnight Bisou, who
                                                              biggest win of her career. This hard-knocker always
is a perfect 3-for-3 to start 2019. She will take on Come
                                                              shows up with a solid effort. She fits into this race well
Dancing, another hot runner this year who has won two
                                                              and should have a chance at making some noise,
races graded stakes in a row by multiple lengths.
                                                              especially if the pace is as slow as it looks on paper.

RACE SHAPE: EXPECT A SLOW PACE                                OTHERS: #3 Pacific Wind, #5 Mopotism
Pure Speed: Come Dancing, Escape Clause
Pressing Speed: Pacific Wind                                  Throwing out Chad Brown in the state of New York is
Stalkers: Mopotism                                            always a dangerous thing to do, but that is what we are
Closers: Midnight Bisou                                       doing with Pacific Wind. She has struggled to find the
                                                              winner's circle in races like this one. Mopotism has
A small field looks like a slow pace on paper. Come           competed at the highest level several times but has
Dancing almost certainly will go to the lead, with            rarely won. Her best days may be behind her.
Escape Clause not far behind. Those two can move
swiftly up front but are unlikely to get into a speed duel.


This looks like a two-horse race on paper with Come           Bet to Win: #1 Come Dancing - Confidence Level: 3 out of 5
Dancing and Midnight Bisou leading the way. This up-
and-comer enters after two straight graded stakes             Bet to Place or Show: #2 Midnight Bisou - Confidence
victories in the state of New York. The first came in the     Level: 5 out of 5
Distaff Handicap (G3) at Aqueduct, followed by the
Ruffian Stakes (G2) at Belmont Park last time out. She          Across the Board Longshot Play: #4 Escape Clause -
also holds a pace advantage over her main rival here at       Confidence Level: 1 out of 5
what will likely be a better price.
                                                              Exacta: 1,2 BOX
MAJOR THREATS: #2 Midnight Bisou                              Trifecta: 1,2/1,2,4/1,2,4
                                                              Superfecta: 1,2/1,2,4/1,2,4/1,2,3,4
It was hard to not put Midnight Bisou on top after her        Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 1,2
perfect start to 2019. It began with winning the
Houston Ladies Classic Stakes (G3) before she shipped         Small Budget Wager: $10 Win/Place on #1 Come
to Oaklawn Park to take home the Azeri Stakes (G2)            Dancing
and the Apple Blossom Handicap (G1). This race is             Large Budget Wager: $20 Win/Place on #1 Come
certainly a two-horse battle between she and Come             Dancing
Dancing, but Midnight Bisou is likely to be over-bet in
this spot, making her tough to play on top.
Belmont Stakes (2019) - Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
OVERVIEW:                                                   LONGSHOTS TO USE: #2 Om

Turf sprints are not always the most popular type of         He looks dangerous, especially underneath, in his
race in the United States, but this race is must-see TV.     second start off of a lengthy layoff. There is no doubt
A field of nine will contest this year’s Jaipur, including   that he was not yet his normal self in that last effort,
two-time defending champion Disco Partner. Also in           which was likely just a prep for this race. He will be
the race are World of Trouble, who could be the best         ready to run much better.
sprinter in the world, along with other classy horses
such as Belvoir Bay and Om.
                                                             OTHERS: #1 Undrafted, #3 Dirty, #4 Gidu, #5
 RACE SHAPE: EXPECT A FAST PACE                              Diamond Oops, #9 Wild Shot

Pure Speed: Gidu, World of Trouble                           These five seem to be a bit outclassed and will really
Pressing Speed: Belvoir Bay                                  have to step up their games in order to make an impact
Stalkers: Om, Dirty, Wild Shot                               here. The field is extremely tough and the top-heavy
Closers: Undrafted, Diamond Oops, Disco Partner              horses will all need to run poorly in order for these
                                                             horses to have much of a chance.
Anytime World of Trouble is entered, you know that the
pace will be honest. The question becomes what
horses are going to be able to run with him on the front
end. There doesn't look to be anyone in this race who
can, with the exception of Gidu, who is also quick on
the front end. Regardless, don't expect World of
Trouble to get tired in this race.

                                                             Bet to Win: #8 World of Trouble - Confidence Level: 5 out of 5

It’s hard to go against a horse like World of Trouble, no
matter where his connections decide to enter. He can         Bet to Place or Show: #6 Disco Partner - Confidence
ran just as well on both turf and dirt, making him a truly   Level 5 out of 5
unique horse. He nearly won the Breeders’ Cup Turf
Sprint (G1) last season, and he’s likely to get ahead of     Across the Board Longshot Play: #7 Belvoir Bay. -
this group and not look back here.                           Confidene Level 3 out of 5

                                                             Exacta: 6,7,8 BOX
 MAJOR THREATS: #6 Disco Partner, #7 Belvoir                 Trifecta: 2,6,7,8 BOX
                                                             Superfecta: 2,6,7,8 BOX
How can you not play two-time defending champion             Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 6,7,8
Disco Partner in this race? Two years ago, he set a
world record in victory, and last year, he looked just as    Small Budget Wager: $20 to Win on #8 World of Trouble
dominant. You also can’t forget about Belvoir Bay, who
was a very close second two races back in the Al Quoz        Large Budget Wager: $50 to Win on #8 World of Trouble
Sprint (G2) in Dubai. Most recently, she was second in
an off-turf edition of the Monrovia Stakes (G3) at Santa
Anita Park.
OVERVIEW:                                                   LONGSHOTS TO USE: #8 Queen of Beas
The 3-year-old filly division has been wide-open all
season long, and this race is no different. We could be       If the pace starts to melt down up front due to a fast
set up for a wild one here in what should be an              pace, then this is the horse that could make some
amazing betting race. Kentucky Oaks winner Serengeti         noise at a big price. Sometimes, the pace does not
Empress is wildly inconsistent and the hyped                 materialize like it looks on paper. That has already
newcomer Guarana will face winners for the first time.       happened in this division in both the Kentucky Oaks
This is the first stakes on the card that could produce a    and the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes this season.
big upset.

RACE SHAPE: EXPECT A VERY FAST PACE                          OTHERS: #2 Jeltrin, #4 Bell’s the One, #5 Fancy
                                                             Dress Party, #6 Proud Emma
Pure Speed: Serengeti Empress, Cookie Dough, Fancy
Dress Party, Guarana, Ce Ce
Pressing Speed: Queen of Beas                                These four seem to be a bit outclassed and will really
Stalkers: Bell’s the One                                     have to step up their games in order to make an impact
Closers: Jeltrin, Proud Emma                                 here. A few of them could really benefit from a hot
                                                             pace, which would set up for a closer to come in and
On paper, this one looks like it is going to be blazing up   pull off a big upset.
front. That could be bad news for the two favorites,
who both have blazing early speed. Serengeti Empress
has proven that she needs the lead to be successful,
and Guarana didn't face horses like this in her lone
start. This has the makings of an upset.

TOP CHOICE: #3 COOKIE DOUGH                                  Bet to Win: #3 Cookie Dough - Confidence Level: 2 out of 5

Let’s get a little bit crazy here with Cookie Dough. She     Bet to Place or Show: #7 Guarana - Confidence Level:
cuts back in distance, which should suit her very well.      3 out of 5
She has been competitive with several of the top
horses in this crop, so she fits from a class standpoint.    Across the Board Longshot Play: #8 Queen of Beas -
She makes her first start for both new trainer Kiaran        Confidence Level: 1 out of 5
McLaughlin and jockey Javier Castellano.
                                                             Exacta: 3,7,9 BOX
MAJOR THREATS: #1 Serengeti Empress, #7
Guarana, #9 Ce Ce                                            Trifecta: 3,7,8,9 BOX
                                                             Superfecta: 3,7,8,9 BOX
The most inconsistent horse in the country is Serengeti      Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 1,3,7,8,9
Empress. She either runs first or last, so she is always a
short price that looks beatable on paper, but you have
                                                             Small Budget Wager: $.50 cent Trifecta BOX 3,7,8,9
to play her, too, because she can (and will) beat you.
Guarana makes her second career start here after
dominating maiden special weight foes. She also keeps        Large Budget Wager: $2 Trifecta BOX 3,7,8,9
jockey Jose Ortiz, who jumped off of Serengeti
Empress to stay on Guarana. Ce Ce is also a promising
filly who is making her third career start.
OVERVIEW:                                                   LONGSHOTS TO USE: #6 Nitrous, #8 Hog Creek
A large field of 11 sophomores will sprint 7 furlongs in     Hustle, #11 Wendell Fong
an event that truly looks to be a “Box ‘em up and call
‘em home” type of race. This division has been wide          Nitrous is interesting if the pace falls apart; same for
open all season long, no matter if the races were            Hog Creek Hustle. Both horses do their best running
sprints or routes. Several horses appear to have a           late, so a hot pace will benefit them in a big way.
serious chance of winning this contest.                      Wendell Fong enters this one off of a win and seems to
                                                             be improving at the right time to run a big one.

Pure Speed: Much Better, Complexity, Landeskog               OTHERS: #3 Borracho, #7 Strike Silver, #10
Pressing Speed: Lexitonian, Wendell Fong
Stalkers: Mind Control, Honest Mischief
Closers: Borracho, Nitrous, Strike Sliver, Hog Creek
Hustle                                                       There is nothing to knock when it comes to these three
                                                             horses, all of whom have had good moments during
With three pure speed horses signed on, we should see        their career. You just have to take a stand against
a swift pace. Much Better knows only one thing, and          someone in this difficult spot.
that is to go the front. Complexity should be ready to
roll early, coming back from a long layoff. Landeskog
might be the fastest of all, though, which could turn this
into a total meltdown on the front end.

                                                             Bet to Win: #1 Honest Mischief - Confidence Level: 3 out of 5
This horse showed solid progression from his first start
to his second, winning a maiden special weight at
Keeneland by 8 lengths after a second on debut at            Bet to Place or Show: #9 Mind Control - Confidence
Gulfstream Park. He seems to be on the rise and could        Level: 4 out of 5
sit a perfect inside stalking trip in this race. His price   Across the Board Longshot Play: #5 Landeskog -
will be right to play on top.                                Confidence Level: 2 out of 5

                                                             Exacta: 1,4,9 BOX
MAJOR THREATS: #2 Much Better, #4
Complexity, #5 Landeskog, #9 Mind Control                    Trifecta: 1,4,5,9 BOX
                                                             Superfecta: 1,4,5,9 BOX
You have to consider these four to be major                  Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 1,2,4,5,9
challengers in this race. Much Better has the best
connections in the race and ran well at 7 furlongs two       Small Budget Wager: $.50 cent Trifecta BOX 1,4,5,9
races back. Complexity returns for his highly-
anticipated 2019 debut after a solid 2-year-old season.      Large Budget Wager: $2 Trifecta BOX 1,4,5,9
Landeskog has serious early speed up front, which
makes him dangerous at a big price. Mind Control is
the most consistent horse in the race and can be relied
upon to show up with his usual solid effort.
OVERVIEW:                                                   LONGSHOTS TO USE: #5 Tale of Silence
The Runhappy Metropolitan Handicap, aka the Met              Because of the pace, this horse will have a shot to
Mile, drew six millionaires into the field, including two-   coming flying with a late stretch run at the end. He is
time Dubai World Cup (G1) winner Thunder Snow. The           30-1 on the morning line, which makes him extremely
Godolphin homebred colt has amassed $16,391,476 in           interesting, especially in the underneath positions.
career earnings coming into this race, far more than the
rest of his challengers combined. However, he is still
searching for his first win in the United States. Last
year, he was third in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) at      OTHERS: #6 Promises Fulfilled, #8 Pavel #9
Churchill Downs after finishing second in the Jockey         Prince Lucky
Club Gold Cup (G1) at Belmont Park.
                                                             It’s crazy to think that a horse like Promises Fulfilled
RACE SHAPE: EXPECT A VERY FAST PACE                          could be considered a throw out, but it is very hard to
                                                             see him winning at this distance against this type of
Pure Speed: Coal Front, Mitole, Promises Fulfilled,          competition. All three of these horses have had their
Firenze Fire                                                 day in the sun but look overmatched here.
Pressing Speed: McKinzie, Thunder Snow, Prince
Stalkers: Pavel
Closers: Tale of Silence

This one is going to be fast and wild. Several
tremendous speed horses signed on to run, with
several more sitting just behind, pressing the pace. The
stalkers and closers should have the advantage here.

 TOP CHOICE: #3 MITOLE                                       Bet to Win: #3 Mitole - Confidence Level: 4 out of 5

This horse has been nothing short of amazing this            Bet to Place or Show: #2 McKinzie - Confidence Level:
season, winning three straight races including the           3 out of 5
Churchill Downs Stakes (G1) last time out. This will be
his first race at a mile, but he has shown no signs of       Across the Board Longshot Play: #1 Coal Front -
slowing down in any of his races. He’s a handful.            Confidence Level: 2.5 out of 5

                                                             Exacta: 1,2,3 BOX
MAJOR THREATS: #1 Coal Front, #2 McKinzie,
#4 Thunder Snow, #7 Firenze Fire                             Trifecta: 1,2,3,7 BOX
                                                             Superfecta: 1,2,3,7 BOX
When playing the Pick 4s and up, you have to go deep
in this spot. Coal Front and Thunder Snow are coming         Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 1,2,3,4,7
off of big wins in Dubai, while Firenze Fire and McKinzie
both picked up tremendous wins in the United States          Small Budget Wager: $10 Win/Place on #3 Mitole
coming into this one. All four of these horses can easily
win this race. Overall, this could be the race of the year   Large Budget Wager: $20 Win/Place on #3 Mitole
so far.
OVERVIEW:                                                   LONGSHOTS TO USE: #1 Raging Bull, #2 Catcho
                                                            En Die
Bricks and Mortar is currently ranked as the number-
one horse in the world, so that automatically makes         The fourth Brown entry is Raging Bull, who must be
this race a lot of fun. He will be used as a single for     respected as he runs third off of the layoff. He was
most multi-race players, especially with the deep fields    fourth to Bricks and Mortar last time out. Catcho En Die
that are in this sequence. He’ll face nine rivals in this   is mildly interesting at a big price, as he has been
spot as he looks to make it a perfect 4-for-4 in 2019.      competitive with this kind of competition in the past.
                                                            This will be his second start off the layoff.
                                                            OTHERS: #5 Channel Cat, #6 Bandua, #9 Epical
Pure Speed: Bandua
Pressing Speed: Qurbaan
Stalkers: Raging Bull, Bricks and Mortar, Epical            These three seem to be a bit outclassed and will really
Closers: Catcho En Die, Robert Bruce, Channel Cat,          have to step up their games in order to make an impact
Olympico, Channel Maker                                     here. The field is extremely tough; several horses
                                                            entered have world-class talent.
The pace could make things interesting, with Bandua
likely alone on lead. That will give Qurbaan a tactical
advantage, which could help him turn the tables on
rival Bricks and Mortar after his narrow defeat last time
out at Churchill Downs. The closers will likely have to
sit a bit closer to the pace than normal in order to have
a chance down the stretch.

                                                            Bet to Win: #8 Bricks and Mortar - Confidence Level: 5 out of 5
This field is ultra-tough; however, it is hard to go
against Bricks and Mortar after his tremendous 2019         Bet to Place or Show: #3 Robert Bruce - Confidence
thus far. He has won every major race that he has           Level: 4 out of 5
entered, including the Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1) to
kick off his season. Trainer Chad Brown holds a strong       Across the Board Longshot Play: #4 Qurbaan -
hand in this race, and this is his best horse.              Confidence Level: 3 of 5

MAJOR THREATS: #3 Robert Bruce, #4 Qurbaan,                 Exacta: 3,4,8 BOX
#7 Olympico, #10 Channel Maker                              Trifecta: 3,4,8,10 BOX

Brown has two other formidable entries in this race,        Superfecta: 3,4,8,10 BOX
including the Arlington Million Stakes (G1) winner          Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 3,8
Robert Bruce and the strong closer Olympico. Qurbaan
looks to have a significant pace advantage over many        Small Budget Wager: $20 win on #8 Bricks and Mortar
of his rivals, which should give him an honest shot at
pulling off the upset. Channel Maker is always difficult       Large Budget Wager: $50 win on #8 Bricks and Mortar
to beat at Belmont Park and comes into this race off of
a big win last time out in the Man o’ War Stakes (G1).
OVERVIEW:                                                    LONGSHOTS TO USE: #5 Bourbon War, #6
The Triple Crown series comes to a close with the
151st running of the Belmont Stakes (G1). The race            Bourbon War was a major disappointment last time out
often referred to as the "Test of Champions" has drawn        in the Preakness after the pace set up well for him.
a field of 10 horses this year, and all must travel the       However, he removes the blinkers and gets the services
grueling 1 1/2-mile distance over a deep and tiring           of jockey Mike Smith. Spinoff being entered here
Belmont Park surface. Preakness Stakes (G1) winner            means that Pletcher believes that he is doing well.
War of Will headlines the field, with Tacitus posing as
his main challenger and the slight morning-line favorite.
                                                              OTHERS: #1 Joevia, #2 Everfast, #3 Master
                                                              Fencer, #4 Tax
Pure Speed: Joevia, Intrepid Heart
Pressing Speed: Spinoff, War of Will                           Master Fencer is getting a lot of hype after his
Stalkers: Tax, Tacitus                                        Kentucky Derby performance, but he still has some
Closers: Everfast, Master Fencer, Bourbon War, Sir            proving to do. So does Everfast, who must show that
Winston                                                       his Preakness runner-up effort was not a fluke. Joevia
                                                              looks to be outclassed, while Tax comes into the race
This pace is a little hard to predict with the addition of    off an average-at-best workout.
Joevia, who is a real wild card. He will likely be cheap
speed, but he can still play a big factor in the race if he
acts crazy like he did when he nearly took out half the
field in the Wood Memorial Stakes (G2). The dangerous
horses are Intrepid Heart, who has proven speed and
staying power, and War of Will.
                                                              Bet to Win: #10 Tacitus - Confidence Level: 3 out of 5

 TOP CHOICE: #10 TACITUS                                      Bet to Place or Show: #9 War of Will - Confidence
                                                              Level: 3 of 5
He is bred to get this marathon distance and is getting
better with each start. He also has five weeks between        Across the Board Longshot Play: #8 Intrepid Heart -
races, which is his major advantage over War of Will. If      Confidence Level: 3 out of 5
he can secure the right trip, he will be hard to hold off
down the lane.                                                Exacta: 8,9,10 BOX
                                                              Trifecta: 7,8,9,10 BOX
 MAJOR THREATS: #7 Sir Winston, #8 Intrepid
 Heart, #9 War of Will                                        Superfecta: 7,8,9,10 BOX

                                                              Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 7,8,9,10
War of Will has the running style and pedigree to win
this race, which would give him victories in two of the       Small Budget Wager: $10 Win/Place on #10 Tacitus
three Triple Crown events. Intrepid Heart also has a
great pedigree and running style, but he must bounce          Large Budget Wager: $20 Win/Place on #10 Tacitus
back from a poor effort last time out. Sir Winston is
improving at the perfect time.
OVERVIEW:                                                 LONGSHOTS TO USE: #3 Sonneteer
If you are still interested in betting by the 13th race,   This distance should suit him quite well, as he seems to
then you have one more shot at glory. A fairly evenly-     be a one-paced plodder. He’ll need some of the front
matched field of nine is set to contest this one, and      runners to come back to him, but at double-digit odds,
trainer Todd Pletcher holds a strong hand in this year's   he is worth a hard look.

RACE SHAPE: EXPECT A SLOW PACE                             OTHERS: #5 Biblical, #8 Realm, #9 Forewarned
Pure Speed: You’re to Blame                                All three of these horses seem to be overmatched in a
Pressing Speed: Realm                                      race that has drawn some very good marathoners.
Stalkers: Marconi, Sonneteer, Forewarned                   We’ll need to see improvement from this group if they
Closers: Campaign, War Story, Biblical, Rocektry           want to make an impact in a race of this caliber.

Like usual, these longer races usually have a slow
pace, and this one is no different. There are no true
speed horse in the race, so You’re to Blame will likely
inherit the lead. In his only prior career start at this
distance, he won while near the front.


He looks like he could get out to the early lead in this   Bet to Win: #7 You’re to Blame - Confidence Level: 2 out of 5
spot. Last time out, he put up a great effort, narrowly
losing to Tenfold in the Pimlico Special Stakes (G3). He   Bet to Place or Show: #6 Rocketry - Confidence Level:
looks to be the class of this field.                       2 out of 5
                                                           Across the Board Longshot Play: #1 Marconi -
                                                           Confidence Level: 1 out of 5
 MAJOR THREATS: #1 Marconi, #2 Campaign, #4
 War Story, #6 Rocketry                                    Exacta: 1,6,7 BOX

Marconi was bred to run in this race. Last time out, he    Trifecta: 1,4,6,7 BOX
was won the Flat Out Stakes over this track. Campaign      Superfecta: 1,4,6,7 BOX
also won his last start, in the Tokyo City Cup Stakes
(G3) at Santa Anita Park. War Story, who just missed in    Horses to Use in Multi-Race Wagers: 1,4,6,7
the 2018 edition, is always dangerous when running
these marathon distances. The same could be said for       Small Budget Wager: $.50 cent Trifecta BOX 1,4,6,7
the consistent Rocketry, though he will need some
pace help up front in order to be effective.                Large Budget Wager: $2 Trifecta BOX 1,4,6,7
RACE              Aaron                                                                             Jonathon
                                    Jared Welch        Mike Somich             “Magic”                                Consensus
                 Halterman                                                                           Kinchen


               Outshine            Outshine            Majid                Outshine             Alwaysmining        Outshine
               Alwaysmining        Alwaysmining        Grumps Little Tots   Grumps Little Tots   Outshine            Alwaysmining
 Easy Goer     Dream Maker         Dream Maker         Outshine             Alwaysmining         Dream Maker         Grumps Little Tots
               Majid               Majid               Dream Maker          Still Dreaming       Still Dreaming      Dream Maker

               Rushing Fall
                                   Rushing Fall        Rushing Fall         Rushing Fall         Rushing Fall        Rushing Fall
 Longines      Daddy Is a
                                   Environs            Environs             Beau Recall          Daddy Is a Legend   Daddy Is a Legend
Just a Game    Legend
                                   Daddy Is a Legend   Daddy Is a Legend    Daddy Is a Legend    Beau Recall         Environs
    (G1)       Environs
                                   Got Stormy          Beau Recall          Capla Temptress      Bellavais           Beau Recall
               Got Stormy

               Come Dancing        Midnight Bisou      Come Dancing         Midnight Bisou       Midnight Bisou      Midnight Bisou
  Ogden        Midnight Bisou      Come Dancing        Escape Clause        Escape Clause        Come Dancing        Come Dancing
Phipps (G1)    Escape Clause       Mopotism            Midnight Bisou       Come Dancing         Mopotism            Escape Clause
               Pacific Wind        Escape Clause       Mopotism             Pacific Wind         Pacific Wind        Mopotism

               World of Trouble    World of Trouble    World of Trouble     World of Trouble     World of Trouble    World of Trouble
               Disco Partner       Undrafted           Om                   Disco Partner        Undrafted           Disco Partner
               Belvoir Bay         Disco Partner       Belvoir Bay          Belvoir Bay          Disco Partner       Undrafted
               Om                  Gidu                Disco Partner        Om                   Belvoir Bay         Belvoir Bay

               Cookie Dough        Ce Ce               Ce Ce                Cookie Dough         Ce Ce               Ce Ce
   Acorn       Guarana             Guarana             Queen of Beas        Guarana              Guarana             Guarana
Stakes (G1)    Ce Ce               Cookie Dough        Guarana              Proud Emma           Fancy Dress Party   Cookie Dough
               Queen of Beas       Proud Emma          Fancy Dress Party    Serengeti Empress    Serengeti Empress   Queen of Beas

               Honest Mischief     Honest Mischief     Honest Mischief      Mind Control         Mind Control        Mind Control
  Woody        Mind Control        Mind Control        Complexity           Much Better          Honest Mischief     Honest Mischief
 Stephens      Complexity          Complexity          Mind Control         Wendell Fong         Complexity          Complexity
    (G1)       Landeskog           Much Better         Nitrous              Complexity           Hog Creek Hustle    Much Better

 Runhappy      Mitole              Mitole              McKinzie             Mitole               McKinzie            Mitole
Metropolitan   McKinzie            McKinzie            Mitole               Firenze Fire         Mitole              McKinzie
 Handicap      Coal Front          Thunder Snow        Firenze Fire         Prince Lucky         Firenze Fire        Firenze Fire
    (G1)       Firenze Fire        Firenze Fire        Thunder Snow         Thunder Snow         Prince Lucky        Thunder Snow

                                                                                                                     Bricks and Mortar
               Bricks and Mortar   Bricks and Mortar   Epical               Bricks and Mortar    Bricks and Mortar
Manhattan      Robert Bruce        Raging Bull         Bricks and Mortar    Qurbaan              Qurbaan
  (G1)         Qurbaan             Channel Cat         Olympico             Bandua               Channel Maker
                                                                                                                     Robert Bruce/
               Channel Maker       Qurbaan             Channel Maker        Robert Bruce         Raging Bull
                                                                                                                     Raging Bull

               Tacitus             Tacitus             Intrepid Heart       War of Will          Tacitus             Tacitus
 Belmont       Intrepid Heart      War of Will         Tacitus              Tacitus              War of Will         War of Will
Stakes (G1)    War of Will         Intrepid Heart      War of Will          Intrepid Heart       Intrepid Heart      Intrepid Heart
               Sir Winston         Spinoff              Sir Winston          Sir Winston          Tax                 Sir Winston

               You’re to Blame     Sonneteer           Campaign             Marconi              Marconi             Marconi
               Rocketry            Marconi             Rocketry             Rocketry             Rocketry            You’re to Blame
               War Story           You’re to Blame     You’re to Blame      You’re to Blame      You’re to Blame     Rocketry
               Marconi             Rocketry            Marconi              Sonneteer            Sonneteer           Sonneteer
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