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COVID-19 Situation Report 385 - NUS Module Blogs
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                  COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

                                                                          Feb              18

 COVID-19
 Situation Report 385

Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research (CIDER)
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                            COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

i.      Background
In December, China notified the World Health Organization (WHO) of several cases of human respiratory
illness, which appeared to be linked to an open seafood and livestock market in the city of Wuhan. The
infecting agent has since been identified as a novel coronavirus, previously known as 2019-nCoV and now
called SAR-CoV-2; The new name of the disease has also been termed COVID-19, as of 11th February 2020.
Although the virus is presumed zoonotic in origin, person-to-person spread is evident. Screening of
travellers, travel bans and quarantine measures are being implemented in many countries. Despite these
precautions, it is anticipated that more cases will be seen both inside China and internationally. The WHO
declared the outbreak of COVID-19 constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern on 30
January. On 11 March, 2020, WHO declared the coronavirus outbreak a pandemic as the global death toll
rose above 4,600 and the number of confirmed cases topped 125,000. This report aims to update Global
Risk Assessment, Global Epidemiology, Quarantine Orders, Travel Ban/Advisory by countries, WHO’s and
CDC’s Guidance and Protocols and Scientific publication on a daily basis. New updates in the tables are
bolded.

1|Page                 Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                                       COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

       ii.      Global Risk Assessment
       Table 1. Risk assessment of COVID-19 by WHO regions (Updated as of 18 Feb 2021, 1200H SGT)
                                                                 Severity of            Availability of Treatment/               Overall
             Environmental Risk               Transmissibility
                                                                  Disease                     Vaccination#                        Risk
Global (n=197 countries)
High                                          Moderate           High            Limited

Globally, 188 (95.4%) countries (excluding    Based on CDC       Case            The number of countries that have
territories*) have reported the outbreak.     data, median R0    fatality rate   commenced mass vaccination in each
                                              is estimated to    is currently    region are as follows: Combined WPRO
Using an incidence >20 cases/100,000          be 5.8 (95% CI     at 2.21%        and SEARO (10 countries), EURO (39
people over the past 14-days as cut-off for   4.4–7.7), but      globally.       countries), EMRO (10 countries),
a surge in cases, the number of countries     the estimated      Most cases      Americas (12 countries), and Africa (3
reporting a surge in cases in each region     effective          present as      countries).&
are as follows: Combined WPRO and             reproduction       flu-like
SEARO (5 countries),                          number in 171      illness.        International clinical trials published on
EURO (47 countries),                          countries                          2 September confirm that cheap, widely
EMRO (12 countries), Americas (29             ranged from                        available steroid drugs can help
countries), and Africa (14 countries).        0.023 to 2.7.$                     seriously ill patients survive Covid-19.
                                                                                 The World Health Organization issued
Only 4 (2%) countries/territories have no                                        new treatment guidance, strongly
reported restrictions on inbound arrivals,                                       recommending steroids to treat
while 144 (78%) countries/territories have                                       severely and critically ill patients, but
partially reopened their borders – require                                       not to those with mild disease. [4]
arrivals to produce a negative COVID-19
test result and/or undergo self-quarantine                                       Researchers have found all regimens of
upon arrival. 53 (29%)                                                           anticoagulants to be far superior to no
countries/territories are totally closed to                                      anticoagulants in COVID-19 patients.
international arrivals. [1]                                                      More specifically, patients on both a             High
                                                                                 “therapeutic” or full dose and those on
On October 7, the Centers for Disease                                            a “prophylactic” or lower dose, showed
Control and Prevention (CDC) confirmed                                           about a 50% higher chance of survival
airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2. [2]                                         and roughly a 30% lower chance of
                                                                                 intubation, than those not on
The U.S. CDC has revised its guidance on                                         anticoagulants. It was observed that
COVID-19 quarantine period from 14 days                                          therapeutic and prophylactic
to 7-10 days, based one's test results and                                       subcutaneous low-molecular weight
symptoms. Individuals without symptoms                                           heparin and therapeutic oral apixaban
only need quarantine for 10 days without                                         may lead to better results. [3]
testing; those tested negative can
quarantine for 7 days. [14]                                                      A new strain known as B.1.525
                                                                                 containing the same E484K mutation
The US Centers for Disease Control and                                           found in the Brazilian and South African
Prevention (CDC) on 10 Feb announced                                             variants has been detected in Britain
that fully vaccinated people did not need                                        [18].
to quarantine if they received their last
dose within three months and 14 days
after their last shot, the time it takes to
develop immunity. [16]

       2|Page                     Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                                    COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

Western Pacific Region and South-East Asia Region (n=41 countries)
Moderate                                    Moderate          Moderate        High

33 (80.5%) countries have reported          As of February    Case            Vaccine coverage information was
outbreaks; but only 5 (12.2%) are           15, the           fatality rate   available for 10 countries as of 16
reporting a surge in cases.                 estimated         is 1.56%.       February 2021. Coverage for: i) at least
                                            effective                         1 dose was at
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                                      COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

Highest incidence over the past 14 days                                         COVID-19 patients using UAECell19.
were reported from Bahrain, Jordan,                                             1,200 have fully recovered. [6]
Kuwait, Lebanon and UAE, and highest
case numbers were reported from Iran,                                           As of April, an Israeli firm is using
Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon and UAE.                                                  placenta pluristem cells to treat COVID-
                                                                                19 patients on a compassionate use
At least 6 countries have closed their                                          basis. [5]
borders, 15 countries have opened their
borders partially conditionally, and only 1
country is allowing free travel.

Region of the Americas (n=35 countries)
High                                          Moderate          High            High

35 (100%) countries have reported with        As of February    Case            Vaccine coverage information was
outbreak; 29 (82.9%) countries are            15, the           fatality rate   available for 12 countries as of 16
reporting a surge in cases.                   estimated         is 2.36%.       February 2021. Coverage for: i) at least
                                              effective                         1 dose was at
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                                      COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

                                                                                As of October 22, remdesivir is the first
                                                                                and only FDA-approved COVID-19
                                                                                treatment in the U.S. [7].

                                                                                FDA has issued EUA to Eli Lilly’s
                                                                                combination antibody therapy of
                                                                                bamlanivimab and etesevimab to treat
                                                                                mild to moderate COVID-19 patients
                                                                                who are at risk of serious illness or
                                                                                hospitalization. [15]

African Region (n=46 countries)
Moderate                                     Moderate           High            High

46 (100%) countries have reported with       As of February     Case            Vaccine coverage information was
outbreak; 14 (30.4%) countries are           15, the            fatality rate   available for 3 countries as of 16
reporting a surge in cases.                  estimated          is 2.53%.       February 2021. Coverage for: i) at least
                                             effective                          1 dose was at
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                                            COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

iii.      Global Epidemiology
Table 2. Summary of COVID-19 cases & fatalities globally (Updated as of 18 Feb 2021, 1200H SGT)
                                                                         Case-
   No. of                     Total Cases                    Case-
                                                                        Fatality
 Countries/ Total Global       Outside           Total      Fatality
                                                                       Rate (%)           R0
 Territories      Cases        Mainland         Deaths     Rate (%)
                                                                       [outside
 with Cases                     China                      [overall]
                                                                        China]
                                                                                   5.8 (95% CI 4.4–
     219      110,431,584 110,341,778 2,440,948              2.21%       2.21%
                                                                                         7.7)^
^Based on early release as of 10th April, 2020: https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article

Table 3. Comparison with other viruses
        Virus        Incubation Period (Days)                        Case Fatality Rate (%)                           R0
                           Median = 5.1$
    SARS-CoV-2                                                                  2.21                     5.8 (95% CI 4.4–7.7) ^
                        (2-14) or up to 24*
     SARS-CoV                   2-7                                              9.6                             2.0
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                                            COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

Figure 2. Growth Factor excluding mainland China

Figure 3. Growth Factor of Novel Coronavirus Daily Deaths (Mainland China + Other Countries)

Growth Factor = every day’s cases/cases on previous day. A growth factor above 1 indicates an increase, whereas one between 0 and 1 is a sign
of decline, with the quantity eventually becoming zero. A growth factor below 1 (or above 1 but trending downward) is a positive sign, whereas
a growth factor constantly above 1 is the sign of exponential growth.
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/

7|Page                         Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                         COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

 Case Breakdown by Countries
 Live update of COVID-19 global cases can be found at
 https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/a1746ada9bff48c09ef76e5a788b5910

 Table 4. Breakdown of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths (Updated as of 18 Feb 2021, 1200 SGT)

     Country                 Total Cases   Change       Total DeathsChange         Total Recovered Region

1    USA                     28,453,526    +72306       502,544        +2553       18,596,497             Americas
2    India                   10,950,201    +13095       156,038        +89         10,656,845             SEARO
3    Brazil                  9,979,276     +57295       242,178        +1195       8,950,450              Americas
4    Russia                  4,112,151     +12828       81,446         +467        3,642,582              EURO
5    UK                      4,071,185     +12717       118,933        +738        2,282,703              EURO
6    France                  3,514,147     +25018       83,122         +310        245,737                EURO
7    Spain                   3,107,172     +10829       66,316         +337        2,410,846              EURO
8    Italy                   2,751,657     +12066       94,540         +369        2,268,253              EURO
9    Turkey                  2,609,359     +7325        27,738         +86         2,496,833              EURO
10   Germany                 2,362,364     +9598        67,074         +538        2,154,600              EURO
11   Colombia                2,207,701     +5103        58,134         +185        2,099,628              Americas
12   Argentina               2,039,124     +6064        50,616         +184        1,842,878              Americas
13   Mexico                  2,013,563     +8988        177,061        +1075       1,571,071              Americas
14   Poland                  1,605,372     +8699        41,308         +280        1,354,598              EURO
15   Iran                    1,542,076     +8042        59,184         +67         1,317,612              EMRO
16   South Africa            1,496,439     +2320        48,478         +165        1,399,829              Africa
17   Ukraine                 1,280,904     +4286        24,689         +147        1,128,890              EURO
18   Peru                    1,252,137     +7408        44,308         +252        1,156,408              Americas
19   Indonesia               1,243,646     +9687        33,788         +192        1,047,676              SEARO
20   Czechia                 1,112,322     +12668       18,596         +166        987,515                EURO
21   Netherlands             1,038,156     +3361        15,017         +88         N/A                    EURO
22   Canada                  834,182       +2605        21,435         +38         779,761                Americas
23   Portugal                790,885       +2324        15,649         +127        683,061                EURO
24   Chile                   784,314       +2275        19,659         +15         743,306                Americas
25   Romania                 768,785       +2815        19,588         +62         714,709                EURO
26   Belgium                 741,205       +1717        21,750         +48         50,930                 EURO
27   Israel                  738,629       +4054        5,473          +32         681,249                EURO
28   Iraq                    653,557       +3575        13,204         +12         611,036                EMRO
29   Sweden                  622,102       +4233        12,569         +82         N/A                    EURO
30   Pakistan                565,989       +1165        12,436         +56         528,545                EMRO
31   Philippines             553,424       +1178        11,577         +53         512,033                WPRO
32   Switzerland             545,535       +1253        9,849          +32         490,280                EURO
33   Bangladesh              541,877       +443         8,314          +16         489,254                SEARO
34   Morocco                 479,579       +508         8,517          +13         461,466                EMRO

 8|Page               Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                  COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

35   Austria              437,874   +1735        8,290          +30         415,221                EURO
36   Serbia               426,487   +2467        4,277          +16         31,536                 EURO
37   Japan                419,015   +1250        7,102          +87         391,208                WPRO
38   Hungary              391,170   +1548        13,931         +94         299,989                EURO
39   Saudi Arabia         373,702   +334         6,445          +4          364,646                EMRO
40   UAE                  358,583   +3452        1,055          +14         343,935                EMRO
41   Jordan               355,106   +2887        4,503          +12         330,805                EMRO
42   Lebanon              346,080   +2479        4,152          +60         250,994                EMRO
43   Panama               333,755   +504         5,672          +17         316,048                Americas
44   Slovakia             282,864   +3168        6,168          +105        255,300                EURO
45   Nepal                273,070   +125         2,055          0           269,394                SEARO
46   Belarus              272,273   +1352        1,876          +9          261,568                EURO
47   Malaysia             272,163   +2998        1,005          +22         229,762                WPRO
48   Ecuador              268,219   +146         15,394         +2          230,377                Americas
49   Georgia              266,948   +486         3,390          +13         259,727                EURO
50   Croatia              238,501   +502         5,375          +18         230,907                EURO
51   Bolivia              238,495   +789         11,303         +29         181,338                Americas
52   Bulgaria             233,342   +1246        9,744          +41         198,888                EURO
53   Azerbaijan           232,491   +154         3,187          +2          227,116                EURO
54   Dominican Republic   231,737   +642         2,990          +15         180,170                Americas
55   Tunisia              225,116   +787         7,651          +34         185,421                EMRO
56   Ireland              211,751   +638         4,036          +56         23,364                 EURO
57   Denmark              205,597   +414         2,316          +8          197,746                EURO
58   Kazakhstan           204,924   +869         2,540          0           188,606                EURO
59   Costa Rica           200,888   +434         2,745          +8          166,979                Americas
60   Lithuania            191,821   +557         3,113          +18         176,671                EURO
61   Slovenia             181,606   +1086        3,745          +12         166,220                EURO
62   Kuwait               180,505   +1017        1,019          +5          168,420                EMRO
63   Egypt                175,677   +618         10,150         +49         136,081                EMRO
64   Greece               174,659   +754         6,194          +13         155,913                EURO
65   Moldova              172,815   +1301        3,697          +19         159,339                EURO
66   Palestine            170,527   +1040        1,948          +6          158,709                EMRO
67   Armenia              169,597   +206         3,155          +5          161,476                EURO
68   Guatemala            168,880   +777         6,164          +6          155,920                Americas
69   Honduras             162,584   +857         3,933          +20         63,618                 Americas
70   Qatar                158,591   +453         256            0           148,766                EMRO
71   Nigeria              149,369   +1073        1,787          +10         125,722                Africa
72   Ethiopia             149,308   +818         2,237          +14         130,124                Africa
73   Paraguay             147,253   +1037        2,991          +20         123,293                Americas
74   Myanmar              141,690   +31          3,192          0           130,944                SEARO
75   Oman                 138,206   +277         1,549          +5          129,752                EMRO
76   Venezuela            134,319   +392         1,297          +5          126,342                Americas

 9|Page              Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                      COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

77    Libya                    128,348   +312        2,056          +5          112,731                EMRO
78    Bosnia and Herzegovina   126,781   +368        4,949          +14         109,274                EURO
79    Bahrain                  115,057   +696        410            0           107,016                EMRO
80    Algeria                  111,247   +178        2,947          +2          76,489                 Africa
81    Kenya                    103,332   +144        1,801          +4          85,391                 Africa
82    North Macedonia          97,803    +347        3,010          +7          88,469                 EURO
83    Albania                  95,726    +1075       1,600          +18         59,684                 EURO
84    China                    89,806    +11         4,636          0           84,650                 WPRO
85    Kyrgyzstan               85,619    +55         1,446          +2          82,452                 EURO
86    S. Korea                 85,567    +621        1,544          +6          75,896                 WPRO
87    Uzbekistan               79,497    +36         622            0           77,993                 EURO
88    Latvia                   78,643    +946        1,508          +22         66,208                 EURO
89    Ghana                    78,271    +1225       565            +10         69,775                 Africa
90    Sri Lanka                77,906    +722        422            +13         71,176                 SEARO
91    Zambia                   71,677    +854        983            +9          64,040                 Africa
92    Montenegro               70,174    +404        916            +6          60,805                 EURO
93    Norway                   67,498    +358        607            +14         63,783                 EURO
94    Singapore                59,821    +11         29             0           59,676                 WPRO
95    El Salvador              58,023    0           1,767          +9          52,688                 Americas
96    Afghanistan              55,557    +17         2,430          +2          48,626                 EMRO
97    Estonia                  54,300    +856        510            +2          43,054                 EURO
98    Luxembourg               53,329    +267        616            +4          49,994                 EURO
99    Mozambique               52,629    +829        561            +10         32,857                 Africa
100   Finland                  51,595    +548        723            +3          40,000                 EURO
101   Uruguay                  50,208    +483        553            +7          44,481                 Americas
102   Cuba                     40,765    +824        277            +3          35,324                 Americas
103   Uganda                   40,102    +39         331            0           14,569                 Africa
104   Namibia                  36,440    +74         394            +2          34,440                 Africa
105   Zimbabwe                 35,423    +108        1,418          +4          31,615                 Africa
106   Cyprus                   32,828    +121        227            +2          2,057                  EURO
107   Cameroon                 32,098    0           479            0           29,609                 Africa
108   Senegal                  31,771    +295        769            +9          26,095                 Africa
109   Ivory Coast              31,497    +132        180            +1          29,741                 Africa
110   Malawi                   29,634    +213        976            +8          15,321                 Africa
111   Australia                28,912    +3          909            0           26,134                 WPRO
112   Sudan                    28,025    +40         1,864          +1          22,606                 EMRO
113   Botswana                 25,802    0           226            0           21,893                 Africa
114   Thailand                 24,961    +175        82             0           23,697                 SEARO
115   DRC                      24,602    +179        695            0           15,560                 Africa
116   Angola                   20,400    +11         496            +2          18,951                 Africa
117   Malta                    20,246    +199        298            +1          17,523                 EURO
118   Jamaica                  20,016    +243        381            +3          12,735                 Americas

 10 | P a g e         Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                   COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

119   Madagascar            19,598   0            292            0           18,915                 Africa
120   French Polynesia      18,321   +22          136            0           4,842                  Non
121   Maldives              18,224   +142         58             0           15,768                 SEARO
122   Rwanda                17,716   +122         243            +3          15,918                 Africa
123   Mauritania            17,041   +25          432            +1          16,315                 Africa
124   Eswatini              16,673   +67          637            +3          12,487                 Non
125   French Guiana         16,456   0            80             0           9,995                  Non
126   Guinea                15,088   +68          85             0           14,577                 Africa
127   Syria                 15,001   +50          987            +3          8,903                  EMRO
128   Cabo Verde            14,848   +63          141            +1          14,338                 Africa
129   Mayotte               14,481   +444         85             0           2,964                  Non
130   Tajikistan            13,308   0            90             0           13,218                 EURO
131   Gabon                 13,107   +242         75             0           11,955                 Africa
132   Haiti                 12,206   0            247            0           9,363                  Americas
133   Belize                12,195   +7           314            +1          11,708                 Americas
134   Burkina Faso          11,672   +42          138            0           11,012                 Africa
135   Réunion               11,562   +655         48             +1          10,576                 Non
136   Hong Kong             10,813   +16          195            0           10,269                 WPRO
137   Andorra               10,583   +28          107            0           10,066                 EURO
138   Lesotho               10,375   +25          279            +25         3,198                  Africa
139   Guadeloupe            9,528    0            158            0           2,242                  Non
140   Suriname              8,832    +12          168            +1          8,285                  Americas
141   Congo                 8,419    0            123            0           7,019                  Africa
142   Bahamas               8,383    0            179            0           7,071                  Americas
143   Guyana                8,313    +51          189            +1          7,519                  Americas
144   Mali                  8,256    +15          342            0           6,247                  Africa
145   Trinidad and Tobago   7,663    +7           138            0           7,366                  Americas
146   Aruba                 7,513    +52          69             0           7,152                  Non
147   Martinique            6,553    0            45             0           98                     Non
148   Nicaragua             6,398    0            172            0           4,225                  Americas
149   Iceland               6,044    +5           29             0           5,986                  EURO
150   Togo                  6,007    +54          81             0           5,146                  Africa
151   Djibouti              6,006    +25          63             0           5,868                  EMRO
152   South Sudan           5,922    +212         79             0           3,876                  Africa
153   Equatorial Guinea     5,694    0            87             0           5,426                  Africa
154   Somalia               5,500    +127         172            +9          3,750                  EMRO
155   Benin                 5,143    +104         65             +3          4,119                  Africa
156   CAR                   4,996    0            63             0           4,885                  Africa
157   Niger                 4,715    +9           170            +1          4,193                  Africa
158   Curaçao               4,658    +3           22             0           4,576                  Non
159   Gambia                4,469    0            138            0           3,912                  Africa
160   Gibraltar             4,226    +2           87             0           4,082                  Non

 11 | P a g e         Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                    COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

161   Channel Islands          4,013   +4          85             0           3,777                  Non
162   Sierra Leone             3,825   0           79             0           2,583                  Africa
163   Chad                     3,724   +35         132            +1          3,223                  Africa
164   Comoros                  3,413   +20         135            +2          3,000                  Africa
165   San Marino               3,394   +42         72             0           3,028                  EURO
166   Guinea-Bissau            2,999   +49         46             0           2,482                  Africa
167   Eritrea                  2,627   +61         7              0           1,973                  Africa
168   Saint Lucia              2,576   +27         24             +1          2,275                  Americas
169   Liechtenstein            2,540   0           54             +1          2,470                  Non
170   Mongolia                 2,493   +49         2              0           1,802                  WPRO
171   Barbados                 2,457   +126        28             +3          1,698                  Americas
172   New Zealand              2,344   +4          26             0           2,272                  WPRO
173   Vietnam                  2,329   +18         35             0           1,574                  WPRO
174   Seychelles               2,211   +153        10             0           1,607                  Africa
175   Yemen                    2,151   +3          618            0           1,431                  EMRO
176   Sint Maarten             2,021   +8          27             0           1,940                  Non
177   Liberia                  1,985   0           85             0           1,794                  Africa
178   Turks and Caicos         1,909   +35         13             0           1,596                  Non
179   Burundi                  1,895   +40         3              0           773                    Africa
180   Monaco                   1,816   +29         22             +1          1,590                  EURO
181   Sao Tome and Principe    1,535   +15         20             +1          1,136                  Africa
182   Saint Martin             1,497   +89         12             0           1,050                  Non
183   St. Vincent Grenadines   1,462   +5          6              0           632                    Americas
184   Papua New Guinea         955     0           10             0           846                    WPRO
185   Taiwan                   938     +1          9              0           879                    WPRO
186   Bhutan                   866     0           1              0           856                    SEARO
187   Diamond Princess         712     0           13             0           699                    NA
188   Bermuda                  697     +2          12             0           679                    Non
189   Faeroe Islands           658     0           1              0           654                    Non
190   Mauritius                603     0           10             0           556                    Africa
191   Antigua and Barbuda      525     +82         10             +1          213                    Americas
192   St. Barth                512     +57         1              0           247                    Non
193   Tanzania                 509     0           21             0           183                    Africa
194   Cambodia                 483     +4          0              0           470                    WPRO
195   Isle of Man              437     0           25             0           408                    Non
196   Cayman Islands           419     0           2              0           388                    Non
197   Caribbean Netherlands    360     0           3              0           244                    Non
198   Brunei                   185     +1          3              0           178                    WPRO
199   Grenada                  148     0           1              0           146                    Americas
200   Dominica                 134     0           0              0           121                    Americas
201   British Virgin Islands   114     0           1              0           95                     Non
202   Timor-Leste              102     0           0              0           62                     SEARO

 12 | P a g e          Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                           COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

203   Fiji                    56             0            2              0           54                     WPRO
204   Falkland Islands        54             0            0              0           43                     Non
205   New Caledonia           52             0            0              0           50                     Non
206   Macao                   48             0            0              0           46                     WPRO
207   Laos                    45             0            0              0           41                     WPRO
208   Saint Kitts and Nevis   41             0            0              0           39                     Americas
209   Greenland               30             0            0              0           30                     Non
210   Vatican City            27             0            0              0           15                     Non
211   Saint Pierre Miquelon   24             0            0              0           16                     Non
212   Montserrat              20             0            1              0           13                     Non
213   Anguilla                18             0            0              0           18                     Non
214   Solomon Islands         18             0            0              0           14                     WPRO
215   Western Sahara          10             0            1              0           8                      Non
216   MS Zaandam              9              0            2              0           7                      NA
217   Wallis and Futuna       9              0            0              0           5                      Non
218   Marshall Islands        4              0            0              0           4                      WPRO
219   Samoa                   3              0            0              0           2                      WPRO
220   Micronesia              1              0            0              0           1                      WPRO
221   Vanuatu                 1              0            0              0           1                      WPRO
      Total                   110,431,584    +399222      2,440,948      +11241      85,303,981

 Figure 4. Areas with reported confirmed cases of COVID-19 (8 February – 14 February 2021)

 Source: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports

 13 | P a g e          Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                         COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

Table 5. COVID-19 cases and deaths reported by provinces in China (Updated as of 18 Feb 2021, 1200H
SGT)

       Area         Existing     Change from        Total          Deaths      Change from         Recovered
                     Active       previous day    Diagnosed                    previous day
                     Cases       (Active cases)     Cases                        (Deaths)
 Hebei                149              -4            1,317             7               0              1,161
 Shanghai             86               -2            1,769             7               0              1,676
 Jilin                75              -13             573              3               0               495
 Guangdong            60               +2            2,180             8               0              2,112
 Heilongjiang         42               -7            1,610            13               0              1,555
 Beijing              26               -6            1,046             9               0              1,011
 Jiangsu               15               0             703             0                0               688
 Zhejiang              13               0            1,320            1                0              1,306
 Sichuan               12              +1             882             3                0               867
 Shaanxi               12              -1             547             3                0               532
 Tianjin               12              -1             349             3                0               334
 Fujian                10              -2             548             1                0               537
 Hunan                 6               -1            1,033            4                0              1,023
 Shanxi                3               -2             239             0                0               236
 Hubei                 1               +1            68,151         4,512              0              63,638
 Henan                 1                0            1,304           22                0              1,281
 Liaoning              1                0             404             2                0               401
 Inner Mongolia        1                0             367             1                0               365
 Yunnan                1                0             231             2                0               228
 Anhui                 0                0             994             6                0               988
 Xinjiang              0                0             980             3                0               977
 Jiangxi               0                0             935             1                0               934
 Shandong              0               -1             867             7                0               860
 Chongqing             0                0             591             6                0               585
 Guangxi               0                0             267             2                0               265
 Gansu                 0                0             187             2                0               185
 Hainan                0                0             171             6                0               165
 Guizhou               0                0             147             2                0               145
 Ningxia               0                0              75             0                0                75
 Qinghai               0                0              18             0                0                18
 Tibet                 0                0               1             0                0                1

Source: https://ncov.dxy.cn/ncovh5/view/pneumonia

14 | P a g e          Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                              COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

iv.       Travel Bans/Advisories & Quarantine Orders
      [1] Australia - Australia has extended its pause on quarantine-free flights from New Zealand for
          another 72 hours starting 16 Feb.
      [2] Canada - Canada's mandatory, 14-day quarantine for most arriving visitors which was to expire
          on 21 Feb, has been extended to 21 April, 2021.
      [3] India - Travellers from the UK, Brazil and South Africa taking connecting flights from the
          international airport they land at will have to get tested and exit the airport only after
          confirmation of negative test report which may take 6-8 hours. Those who are found negative
          shall be allowed to take their connecting flights and would be advised quarantine at home for 7
          days. These travellers will be tested again after 7 days and if negative, released from quarantine.
      [4] Lithuania - All countries worldwide have been put on its COVID-19 list of affected countries.
          Quarantine period is shortened from 14 days to 10 days for all persons wishing to enter the
          country.
      [5] Spain - Travellers from South Africa and Brazil will have to quarantine for 10 days upon arrival
          unless they test negative during their quarantine, in which case they would regain mobility after
          seven days.
      [6] Sri Lanka - On 17 Feb, the temporary travel restrictions introduced on visitors traveling from
          Britain due to the spread of a new COVID-19 variant were lifted with immediate effect.
      [7] USA – Alaska no longer requires proof of a negative COVID-19 test upon arrival. The change in
          travel restrictions came on Feb. 14, when the state's emergency declaration expired.
      [8] Vietnam - Ho Chi Minh City and some northern localities will isolate people returning from
          Covid-19 hotspots where the disease has been found or are under lockdown or social distancing
          after Tet holidays for 14 days and tested four times.

v.        Lockdowns
      [1] Canada (Quebec) – Starting 26 Feb, movie theatres will open maintaining two-metre distancing
          along with swimming pools and indoor rink while, the nightly curfews will remain in place.
          Outaouais region will become an orange zone.
      [2] New Zealand - A lockdown in the New Zealand city of Auckland will end at midnight, 17 Feb.
      [3] Ukraine - Coronavirus-related quarantine has been extended until April 30, 2021 and different
          epidemiological risk levels in the regions, namely green, yellow, orange, or red has been
          reintroduced.

15 | P a g e             Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                            COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

vi.       Military Surveillance
Update: COVID-19 cases in US military [1]
As of Feb. 17 there have now been 237,905 total cases of COVID-19, within the DoD: 152,905 military,
24,381 dependents, 45,106 civilians and 15,169 Defense Department contractors. In addition, 108,903
military members, 16,809 dependents, 28,514 civilians and 10,138 contractors have recovered, and 281
DoD-connected personnel have died: 22 troops, 10 dependents, 184 civilians and 65 contractors. Of the
cases, 3,502 have required hospitalization, officials said: 1,385 service members, 1,280 civilians, 361
dependents and 476 contractors.

Update: COVID-19 in the U.S. Forces Japan [2]
The U.S. military in Japan reported two new coronavirus patients as of 6 p.m. on 17 Feb. Both were
already quarantined after recently arriving in Japan, one at Marine Corps Air Station Iwakuni near
Hiroshima and the other at Kadena Air Base on Okinawa.

vii.      WHO Guidance & Other Protocols
The following update was published by the WHO on 17 February 2021:

         Operational considerations to expedite genomic sequencing component of GISRS surveillance
          of SARS-CoV-2
          Available at: https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV-genomic-sequencing-
          GISRS-2021.1

viii. CDC Guidance & Protocols
US CDC

The following update was published by the US CDC on 17 February 2021:

         Interim Guidance on Management of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Correctional and
          Detention Facilities
          Available        at:     https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/community/correction-
          detention/guidance-correctional-detention.html

EU CDC

The following updates were published by the EU CDC on 16 February 2021:

         Behavioural Insights research to support the response to COVID-19: a survey of implementation
          in the EU/EEA
          Available at: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/behavioural-insights-research-
          support-response-covid-19

16 | P a g e            Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                            COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

ix.      Vaccines/Therapeutics Development
Noteworthy reports are included to inform main developments of COVID-19 pharmaceutics. Past updates
are available from situation report 211 onwards. A global map and registry of trials is also visualised &
accessible at: https://www.covid-nma.com/dataviz/ and trial results are available at: https://covid-
nma.com/living_data/index.php. A living systematic review of vaccine trials is also accessable at
https://covid-nma.com/vaccines/ or https://covid-nma.com/ .

Vaccines

      [1] South Africa - Coronavirus vaccine campaign was launched on 17 Feb, becoming the first country
          worldwide to administer inoculations by US pharma giant Johnson & Johnson.

Therapeutics
No new updates were reported on 18 February 2021.

Vaccine Approval Status

Table 6: Number of approving countries per vaccine as of 12th February, 2021
 Vaccine                                            Number of countries approving
 FBRI EpiVacCorona                                  1

 BioNTech/Pfizer BNT162b2                              57

 Moderna mRNA-1273                                     37

 CanSino Ad5-nCoV                                      2

 Gamaleya Sputnik V                                    20

 Oxford/AstraZeneca AZD1222                            46

 Serum Institute of India Covishield                   9

 Bharat Biotech Covaxin                                1

 Sinopharm BBIBP-CorV                                  13

 Sinopharm Inactivated                                 2

 Sinovac CoronaVac                                     7

Source: https://covid19.trackvaccines.org/vaccines/

17 | P a g e            Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                            COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

Adverse Reactions & Effects

The following table documents adverse reactions reported from approved vaccines and therapeutics.
New updates are bolded.

Table 7: Compilation of reports & guidance on adverse reactions
 Vaccine              Report/Guidance                                                                       Reference
                      [Canada; Report] One person in Manitoba reportedly had an adverse
                      reaction after receiving the first dose on December 23. There were 490                    [1]
                      more individuals vaccinated.
                      [United Kingdom; Report] Two British healthcare workers suffered
                                                                                                                [2]
                      anaphylactic shock after receiving the vaccine.
                      [United States; Report] A healthcare worker in New York City suffered
                      anaphylaxis after receiving Pfizer BioNTech’s vaccine. The worker is
                                                                                                                [3]
                      currently in a stable condition. 30,000 people have been vaccinated so
                      far.
                      [United States; Report] Two healthcare workers in northern Idaho and
                      the Treasure Valley, experienced severe allergic reactions after receiving
                                                                                                                [4]
                      the vaccine. As of the time of reporting, one has fully recovered while
                      the other is expected to be discharged soon.
                      [United States; Report] There have been two cases of severe allergic
                      reaction in Alaska after receiving the COVID-19 vaccine. Symptoms of
                                                                                                                [5]
                      the latest case include tongue swelling, hoarse voice and difficulty
                      breathing, which kicked in about 10 mins after receving the vaccine.
                      [United States; Report] An individual at Decatur Morgan hospital,
                      Alabama, experienced severe allergic reaction several minutes after                       [6]
                      getting the vaccine. The patient is currently in a stable condition.
                      [United States; Report] Two healthcare workers from Essentia Health,
 Pfizer BioNTech
                      Minnesota had non-severe allergic reactions to the vaccine. About 2,500
                                                                                                                [7]
                      doses of the vaccines have been administered to frontline workers at
                      Essentia Health.
                      [United States; Report] According to Pfizer’s data submitted to the FDA,
                      the most common side effects were swelling and redness at the vaccine
                      injection site. Other noted common side effects in the trial included                     [8]
                      fatigue, headache and muscle pain, which had a greater chance of
                      occurring after the second dose than the first dose.
                      [United States; Guidance] The Centers for Disease Control and
                      Prevention (CDC) has issued new guidance on 21 December regarding
                      allergies and coronavirus vaccines after reports of severe allergic
                                                                                                                [9]
                      reactions to the jab. In the new guidance, the CDC recommends that
                      those who have a severe reaction to the first shot of the vaccine should
                      not receive the second jab.
                      [United States; Guidance] Health experts have said that the side effects
                      of COVID-19 vaccines by Pfizer BioNTech (and Moderna) are short-term
                      and manageable. The American College of Allergy, Asthma &
                      Immunology recently released a guideline on the risk of allergic                          [10]
                      reactions to Pfizer BioNTech’s vaccine. The guideline is available at
                      https://acaai.org/news/american-college-allergy-asthma-and-
                      immunology-updates-guidance-risk-allergic-reactions-mrna.

18 | P a g e           Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                     COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

               [Canada; Report] Of 11,930 doses of Pfizer BioNTech’s vaccine
               administered in British Columbia so far there have been 2 cases of                        [11]
               allergic reaction.
               [Israel; Report] On December 28, a 46-year-old man in Jerusalem
               suffered severe anaphylactic shock one hour after receiving a COVID-19
               vaccination. He is the first in Israel to have such a reaction, and is
               reportedly allergic to penicillin. His condition has since stabilized.
                                                                                                         [12]
               Separately, a 75-year old man died of heart failure at home some hours
               after receiving Pfizer BioNTech’s vaccine. The man was reported to have
               heart disease and cancer, and had suffered a number of previous heart
               attacks. While investigations are still ongoing, preliminary findings
               indicated that the death did not appear to be connected to the shot.
               [Finland; Report] On January 2, the first adverse reaction against the
                                                                                                         [13]
               vaccine was reported. No further details were released.
               [Mexico; Report] A 32-year-old doctor in Mexico has been admitted to
               intensive care unit with seizures, breathing difficulties and possible
               encephalomyelitis. While the cause of the adverse reaction is still under
               investigation, preliminary diagnosis indicates encephalomyelitis. The
               patient condition has been stablized and is receiving treatment to
               reduce inflammation.
                                                                                                         [14]
                                                                                                         [15]
               [Update] The doctor was allergic to sulfa drugs and has a family history
               of allergies. After developing allergic reaction, medication was
               administered to recover from the symptoms. However, she had
               subsequently suffered from convulsion. Diagnosis at that time was
               allergic reaction to the vaccine but the cause for convulsion and
               reduction of muscle strength is still being studied.
               [Bulgaria; Report] As of January 4, Bulgaria’s Medicines Agency had
               received four reports of adverse reactions. One case of dizziness after
               administration, two cases of local pain at the vaccinated site, and one                   [16]
               case of a slight temperature increase. These side effects had passed off
               in less than a day.
               [Portugal; Report] A portugese health worker had suffered a sudden
               death 2 days after being vaccinated on 30 Dec. She did not suffer from
               any adverse side-effect after vaccinated and did not has any health
               problem. An autopsy is expected to be conducted soon.
                                                                                                         [17]
                                                                                                         [18]
               [Update] In a 5 January 2020 press release, the Portuguese Ministry of
               Justice informed that preliminary data from the autopsy showed “no
               evidence of a causal relationship between the death and the vaccine
               that was received.”
               [Mexico; Report] By January 5, more than 44,000 people have received
               the first shot. As of January 4, about 110 people had reported allergic
               reaction to the vaccine but 80% were mild and only 5 people require
               hospitalization. Only one person was severely affected and remain in                      [19]
               hospital.                                                                                 [20]
                                                                                                         [21]
               [Update] As of 16 January 2021, 753 adverse events (729 mild and 24
               serious) allegedly caused by vaccination and immunization were
               reported since 24 December 2020. The 24 serious events were reported

19 | P a g e    Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                      COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

               from Coahuila (7 reports), Mexico City (4 cases), Chihuahua, State of
               Mexico, Guanajuato, Oaxaca and Yucatan (2 reports each) and Baja
               California, Hidalgo and Jalisco (1 report each). Of the 24 serious events
               reports, 6 remain hospitalized while the remaining have been
               discharged.

               [Update] As of 9 Feb, 6,260 negative reactions have been reported
               nationwide with 36 serious reaction (0.9%). Yucatan has reported 3
               serious case of adverse reaction and most of them have discharged. The
               entities with the most negative reaction cases are Mexico City (6 cases)
               and Coahuila and State of Mexico (4 each).
               [United States; Publication] Centre of Disease Control and Prevention
               (CDC) has reviewed on the allergric reaction to the first dose of vaccine
               during 14 to 23 December. Among the 1,893,360 first doses
               administered, 4,393 (0.2%) adverse events were reported. 21 cases of
               anaphylaxis (11.1 cases per million doses) were detected and 17 of them
               had history of allergies or allergy reaction. Of the 21 cases, 4 of them
               were hospitalized including 3 in intensive care and 20 of them had
               discharged or recovered by 23 December. There were no death
               reported.
                                                                                                          [22]
                                                                                                          [23]
               [Update] The total number of cases of anaphylaxis has been updated to
                                                                                                          [24]
               29 as on 6 January.
                                                                                                          [25]
               [Update] CDC has roughly estimated that one in a hundred thousand
               people who received the Pfizer vaccine had severe allergic reactions. An
               average rate of 11.1 anaphylaxis cases per one million doses
               administered was estimated.

               [Update] FDA and CDC have a total of 1,170 death between Dec. 14,
               2020, and Feb. 7, 2021, among individuals who received Pfizer or
               Moderna Covid vaccine, accounting for 0.003% of vaccinated people.
               [United States; Report] A Florida doctor had died several weeks after
               receiving the vaccine on 18 Dec. He had suffered from hemorrhagic
               stroke due to a lack of platelets. It is unclear if his death was related to
               the vaccine while his death is being investigated. It was reported that he
               had dots on the skin indicating internal bleeding 3 days after the                         [26]
               injection. Pfizer and BioNTech had not received any prior indication of                    [27]
               possible connection to thrombocytopenia.

               [Update] As of 12 Jan, no evidence was obtained to suggest a
               connection between the vaccine and the death.
               [Canada; Report] Nine reports of adverse medical reactions which
               include a total of 65 symptoms, eight of which were considered severe,
               have been reported as of Jan. 1 but none were considered to be
                                                                                                          [28]
               unexpected side effects.
                                                                                                          [29]
                                                                                                          [30]
               [Update] Fifteen new reports of adverse medical reactions, five of which
               were considered severe, have been reported as between January 1 and
               January 8. As of January 8, 24 reports of adverse effects were reported,

20 | P a g e    Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                     COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

               consisting of 10 serious and 14-nonserious reports. All reports were
               considered to be expected side effects.

               [Update] Sixty-six new reports of adverse medical reactions, 17 of which
               were considered severe, have been reported as between January 9 and
               January 15. As of January 15, 90 reports of adverse effects were
               reported, consisting of 27 serious and 63-nonserious reports. Most
               frequently reported adverse events were vaccination site reactions,
               paraesthesia, pruritis, urticaria, headache, hypoaesthesia, nausea and
               anaphylaxis.

               [Update] As of 5 Feb, a total of 371 adverse effects were reported which
               include 74 serious AEFI and 297 non-serious AEFI.
               [France; Report] Six reports of serious adverse effects with a favourable
               outcome were reported in France during the 3rd week of vaccination: 4
                                                                                                         [31]
               cases of allergic reactions and 2 cases of tachycardia. Around 30 cases
               of non-serious adverse effects have been reported since 12 Jan 2021
               [Norway; Report] As of 14 Jan 2021, 29 reports of side effects were
               reported in Norway. The 29 reports consisted of 13 deaths, 9 serious
               side effects and 7 less serious side effects. The deaths were all amongst
               frail and elderly patients in nursing homes, aged at least 80 years.                      [32]
               Serious side effects reported included allergic reactions, strong malaise
               and severe fever. Less serious side effects include severe pain at
               injection site.
               [United States; Report] A healthcare worker in Alaksa experienced an
               allergic reaction to the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine, 10 minutes within
                                                                                                         [33]
               receiving it on January 12. There was no information on allergy history
               of the healthcare worker.
               [Israel, Report] At least 13 cases of mild facial paralysis have been
                                                                                                         [34]
               reported upon receiving the vaccine.
               [United Kingdom, Report] A severe adverse medical reaction was
               reported from a medical councillor aged 42 years within minutes after
               receiving his vaccine on 8 January 2021. The councilor experienced                        [35]
               breathing difficulties, fever and muscle aches, and was hospitalized for 1
               day before his condition stabilized and eventually recovered.
               [Ireland, Report] As of 11 January 2021, 81 adverse events from
                                                                                                         [36]
               vaccination were reported, all involving expected mild side effects.
               [Singapore, Report] As of 27 January 2021, a total of 432 AEFIs were
               reported amongst the 113,000 people who received the vaccine. All
               reports were mild and reported expected side effects arising from
               vaccination, except for 3 cases of anaphylaxis (SAE) reported. The cases
               were in their 20s and 30s, had a history of allergies, but no history of
               anaphylaxis which would have precluded them from receiving the                            [37]
               vaccine. All 3 cases have recovered and were discharged from the                          [38]
               hospital after a day’s observation or treatment.

               [Update] As of February 1, 2021 all four cases of anaphylaxis following
               vaccination have recovered, with none requiring intensive care unit
               support.
               [Belgium, Report] As of January 26, 2021 a total of 262 AEFIs were
                                                                                                         [39]
               reported out of 243,412 vaccines administered, of which 37 were

21 | P a g e    Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                     COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

               serious AEFIs. Of the serious AEFIs reported, 14 were deaths amongst
               those aged over 70 years (9 deaths) or 90 years (5 years).
               [Croatia, Report] As of February 1, 2021 a total of 430 AEFIs were
               reported, of which 26 were allergic reactions and the rest were mild side
                                                                                                         [40]
               effects. The allergic reactions included 2 serious reactions, and 24 milder
               reactions.
               [United Kingdom; Report] A study conducted by Zoe, a British health
               science company had found that 37% of about 40,000 vaccinees in UK
               who were mostly healthcare workers had reported local side effects
               (e.g. swelling or pain near injection site) after first dose and 45% after                [41]
               second dose. Systemic side effects (e.g. fatigue) were rare with 14%
               after first dose and 22% after second dose. The side effect reported
               were lower as compared to FDA trials.
               [Romania; Report] A doctor from Valcea county had experienced
               temporary facial paralysis after receiving the second dose and has since
               fully recovered. This is the first rare and major side effect reported in
                                                                                                         [42]
               Romania. Since 27 Dec, there has been more than 2,100 common and
               minor side effects reported with a total of 629,279 people vaccinated by
               4 Feb.
               [United Kingdom; Report] The Medicines and Healthcare products
               Regulatory Agency (MHRA) had reported on the side effects of 7 million
               vaccine doses (5.4 million Pfizer/BioNTech & 1.5 million of the
               AstraZeneca) administered by 24 Jan. Yellow card system was used for
               vaccinated people to report side effect. There was an average of 3
               yellow cards per 1,000 doses administered. There were 16,756 yellow
                                                                                                         [43]
               card for the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine; 6,014 for the Oxford University-
               AstraZeneca vaccine and 50 for unspecified brand of the vaccine. Most
               reports were related to injection site or otherwise generalized
               symptoms (e.g. flu-like illness). These symptoms had occured shortly
               after vaccination and were not associated with more serious or lasting
               illness.
               [Netherland; Report] 15 elderly had died within 9 days after
               administered with vaccine. Most of them with fatal outcome had
               multiple underlying health issues or serious health problem. Half of
               them had symptoms identified as side effects e.g. fever after
               vaccination. These may have contributed to the deterioration of their
               health.
                                                                                                         [44]
               A total of 2,812 side effects have been reported after vaccinated. 95%
               were administered with Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, 113 cases were
               Moderna vaccine and vaccine used for 38 reports were not clear. 14
               people who had epilepsy also had seizure after vaccination. Some 25
               people had severe allergic reaction to Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine with 8
               cases determined as anaplylactic response.

               Both the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines can cause lymph nodes to swell,
                                                                                                         [45]
               particularly those in the armpit on the side where the shot was received.

               [United States; Report] The FDA advisory committee has noted a special
 Moderna       side effect of the vaccine from the clinical trials involving several                     [46]
               patients with cosmetic facial fillers. The patients who experienced side

22 | P a g e    Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                     COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

               effect all had swelling and inflammation in the area that was given the
               filler. All reactions were resolved following treatment with steroids and
               antihistamines.
               [United States; Report] A Boston doctor experienced severe allergic
               reactions after receiving the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine on December                        [47]
               24. The doctor has a history of shellfish allergy.
               [Canada; Report] On December 17, the US FDA reported two cases of
               adverse reactions in individuals who had received the Moderna vaccine.
               Both patients previously had dermal fillers and experienced some
               swelling following the vaccination. The cases were likely to have                         [48]
               occurred in Toronto, Canada.                                                              [49]

               [Canada; Surveillance] As of 5 Feb, a total of 280 adverse effects were
               reported which include 25 serious AEFI and 255 non-serious AEFI.
               [United States; Report] A frontline worker in Robstown had experienced
               immediate numbness on the face after receiving the vaccine a week ago                     [50]
               but continues to have soreness and redness to her arms.
               [United States; Publication] Phase 3 clinical trial involving 30,420
               volunteers had observed higher frequency of moderate, transient
               reactogenicity after vaccination in the vaccine group. Serious adverse
               events were rare and the incidence was similar between the placebo
               and vaccine groups. Hence there were no safety concern, apart from the
                                                                                                         [51]
               transient local and systemic reactions.
                                                                                                         [52]
               [Update] The vaccine showed a 94.1% efficacy rate in its phase 3 trial,
               and serious adverse events occurred in just 0.6% of patients. A total of 2
               deaths were reported in the vaccine group, one was due to
               cardiopulmonary arrest and the other was a suicide.
               [United States; Report] On 31 December, the Oregon Health Authority
               reported a case of anaphylaxis after a healthcare worker had taken the                    [53]
               vaccine this week and is recovering in the hospital.
               [Guidance] A new guidance from the American Society for Dermatologic
               Surgery (ASDS) has been released regarding side effects from the SARS-
               CoV-2 mRNA vaccine on dermal fillers. FDA data reports show three
                                                                                                         [54]
               participants out of 15,184 who received at least one dose of Moderna’s
               mRNA-1273 vaccine have developed lip for facial swelling in areas of
               dermal filler placement.
               [United States; Report] A Missouri healthcare worker experienced
               severe allergic reaction after receiving the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine
                                                                                                         [55]
               on December 29. The healthcare worker has a history of severe allergy
               reaction to MRI contrast dye.
               [United States, Report] Six reports of allergy reactions requiring medical
               attention 24 hours from vaccination, were reported amongst healthcare
               workers on 14 January 2021. The healthcare workers were vaccinated
               with lot 41L20A from the same vaccination site in San Diego. The site is                  [56]
               temporarily closed for now and using other vaccines. California health
               officials recommend suspending the use of lot 41L20A, until
               investigation are complete.
               [United States, Report] A fatality was reported in a resident from a
               retirement home, after receiving the vaccine. Investigation on whether                    [57]
               the fatality was linked to receiving the vaccine is underway.

23 | P a g e    Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                       COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

                 [United States, Report] As of January 29, 2021 a total of 287 AEFIs were
                 reported amongst 250,000 vaccines administered in Texas, of which 11
                 were serious AEFIs. The 11 AEFI reports included the death of an 84
                 years-old woman, permanent disability in another patient, and the
                 remaining spent at most 4 days hospitalized.                                              [58]
                                                                                                           [59]
                 [Update] As of 5 Feb, 2021, the The Centers for Disease Control had
                 reported that 619,452 second doses have been administered in Texas
                 with 15 significant reports of side effect. Only 4 of them required
                 hospital stay that had lasted less than 5 days.
                 [Croatia, Report] As of February 1, 2021 a total of 13 AEFIs were
                                                                                                           [60]
                 reported, all of which were mild side effects.
                 [USA, CDC; Report] A side effect of the Moderna vaccine reported by the
                 CDC as arm pain and redness appears to be showing up a bit delayed in                     [61]
                 some people up to a week.
                 [Argentina; Report] Of the total 32,013 patients who had received the
 Sputnik V       vaccine, 1% (317 patients) had reported mild adverse reaction (fever                      [62]
                 and headache).
                 [India, Report] Ninety-three reports of adverse events following
                 immunization with Astrazeneca & Oxford Uni. ( and Bharat Biotech)
                 vaccines were reported from Delhi (51 mild and 1 serious report),
                 Haryana (13 mild reports), Maharashtra (14 mild reports) and Kolkata
                 (13 mild and 1 serious report). No fatalities have been reported.

                 [Update] Between 16 January and 17 January, 447 reports of adverse
                 events following immunization have been reported across India. Only 3
                 of the reports involved serious adverse events requiring hospitalization,
                 of which only 1 remains hospitalized.
                                                                                                           [63]
                 [Update] 82 AEFIs were reported across India on 20 January 2021. All                      [64]
                 AEFIs reported were mild cases.                                                           [65]
                                                                                                           [66]
                 [Update] On the 22 Jan, Day 4 of the coronavirus vaccination drive in                     [67]
 Astrazeneca &   Delhi, 5,942 people were reportedly administered the shots and adverse                    [68]
 Oxford Uni.     events following immunisation (AEFI) was reported in 24 persons.                          [69]
                                                                                                           [70]
                 [Update] On 24 Jan, the fifth day of India’s Covid-19 vaccination drive,                  [71]
                 the city of Gurugram reported 3 cases of AEFI amongst 3,055 shots                         [72]
                 administed.                                                                               [73]
                                                                                                           [74]
                 [Update] The Union Ministry of Health and Family Welfare in India
                 announced 23 January that over 10 lakh people had already been
                 immunised in the first six days (up to 21 January), but the total number
                 of AEFIs reported by the ministry in its daily press releases so far adds up
                 to 1,239 out of 15,37,190 inoculations, or 0.08 per cent. Just 11 people
                 have had to be hospitalised (0.0007 per cent), while seven deaths have
                 been reported — six of which are “not causally linked” to the vaccine,
                 while in the seventh case, the post mortem report is awaited.

                 [Update] A total of 19,50,183 beneficiaries were inoculated in 35,785
                 sessions till 7.10 pm on Monday 25 Jan, including 3,34,679 in 7,171

24 | P a g e      Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                         COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

                    sessions during the day, the ministry said. A total of 348 adverse events
                    following immunisation (AEFIs) were reported till 7.10 pm on 25 Jan, the
                    10th day of the vaccination drive.

                    [Update] A total of 213 ARFIs were reported up till 7 pm on January 29,
                    2021 across India, of the 33,68,734 vaccines administered

                    [Update] The Minstry of Health and Family Welfare had reported more
                    than 40 lakh healthcare and frontline workers have been vaccinated. A
                    total of 8,563 AEFIs (0.18%) and 34 hospitalized cases (0.0007%) have
                    been reported. There were 19 deaths of vaccinated people but there has
                    been no evidence on the link between vaccination and the death.

                    [Sweden, Report] As of 13 Feb, two regions in Sweden have temporarily
                    stopped vaccinating health workers with the Astra Zeneca vaccine, after
                    as many as one in four reported side effects.

                  [Germany, Report] The Herzogin-Elisabeth-Hospital in Braunschweig
                  and Emden clinic postponed planned vaccinations with the
                  Astrazeneca vaccine. On evening of 16 Feb, Astrazeneca vaccine was
                  given to 88 employees of the Braunschweig clinic, 37 of them called in
                  sick temporarily due to "vaccination reactions." However, there has
                  not been a severe course of side effects so far, and no one has had to
                  go to a hospital with complications.
                  [India, Report] A female volunteer from a village in Andhra Pradesh had
                  died 2 days after administered with the vaccine on 5 Feb. She was
                  normal and there was no symptoms of fever or adverse effect after the                      [75]
                  vaccination. Post-mortem will be conducted to identify the cause of
                  death.
                  [United States, Report] A 70 year old man had died minutes after
                  receiving the vaccine at NYC’s Javits Center on 7 Feb. He had collapsed
 Unspecified      about 25 minutes after vaccinated and after the mandatory 15 minutes                       [76]
                  observation. He did not display any adverse reactions or effect to the
                  vaccine.
                  [India, Report] A 50 year old sanitation worker had suffered cardiac
                  arrest and died 24 hours after administered with the vaccine in Anhra
                  Pradesh’s Tirupati. There was no sign of adverse effect during the                         [77]
                  observation period. Autopsy will be conducted to determine the exact
                  cause of death.
 Therapeutic/Drug Report/Guidance                                                                        Reference
 NIL              NIL                                                                                    NIL

25 | P a g e         Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                            COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

x.      Scientific Publications with Epidemiology and Clinical Focus
Clinical characteristics, treatment and outcomes of paediatric COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-
analysis [424]

Objective: Compare paediatric COVID-19 disease characteristics, management and outcomes according
to World Bank country income level and disease severity.

Design: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

Setting: Between 1 December 2019 and 8 January 2021, 3350 articles were identified. Two reviewers
conducted study screening, data abstraction and quality assessment independently and in duplicate.
Observational studies describing laboratory-confirmed paediatric (0-19 years old) COVID-19 were
considered for inclusion.

Main outcomes and measures: The pooled proportions of clinical findings, treatment and outcomes were
compared according to World Bank country income level and reported disease severity.

Results: 129 studies were included from 31 countries comprising 10 251 children of which 57.4% were
hospitalised. Mean age was 7.0 years (SD 3.6), and 27.1% had a comorbidity. Fever (63.3%) and cough
(33.7%) were common. Of 3670 cases, 44.1% had radiographic abnormalities. The majority of cases
recovered (88.9%); however, 96 hospitalised children died. Compared with high-income countries, in low-
income and middle-income countries, a lower proportion of cases were admitted to intensive care units
(ICUs) (9.9% vs 26.0%) yet pooled proportion of deaths among hospitalised children was higher (relative
risk 2.14, 95% CI 1.43 to 3.20). Children with severe disease received antimicrobials, inotropes and anti-
inflammatory agents more frequently than those with non-severe disease. Subgroup analyses showed
that a higher proportion of children with multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C) were admitted to
ICU (47.1% vs 22.9%) and a higher proportion of hospitalised children with MIS-C died (4.8% vs 3.6%)
compared with the overall sample.

Conclusion: Paediatric COVID-19 has a favourable prognosis. Further severe disease characterisation in
children is needed globally.

26 | P a g e           Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
For citation: Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research-NUS.
                                                                         COVID-19 Situation Report 385. 18 February 2021

xi.     Sources
Global Risk Assessment
1. https://www.trip.com/travel-restrictions-covid-19/
2. https://losangeleno.com/coronavirus-los-angeles/october-1/
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    therapy-beneficial-for-covid-19-patients/
4. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/02/health/coronavirus-steroids.html
5. https://news.abs-cbn.com/overseas/04/22/20/israeli-firm-treating-covid-19-patients-with-placenta-
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8. https://www.todayonline.com/world/relief-neurorx-say-emergency-treatment-rlf-100-helps-
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13. https://tribune.com.pk/story/2246746/3-ethiopia-use-dexamethasone-covid-19-patients/
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15. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-lilly-fda/eli-lillys-antibody-combination-
    receives-fda-emergency-use-authorization-for-covid-19-idUSKBN2AA02P
16. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/covid-19-vaccine-no-quarantine-14-days-exposure-
    us-cdc-14173034
17. https://www.explica.co/covid-19-italy-approves-two-new-monoclonal-antibody-drugs-against-
    covid/
18. https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/02/17/uk-new-covid-strain/

Travel Bans/Advisories & Quarantine Orders
1. https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/covid-19-coronavirus-australia-extends-pause-on-quarantine-free-
    flights-from-new-zealand/3XKVL65ZTCUNSMKVAHJ7RCIRKU/
2. https://ca.travelpulse.com/news/impacting-travel/canadas14-day-quarantine-rule-extended-to-
    late-april.html
3. https://newsd.in/covid-variants-centre-issues-new-guidelines-for-int-l-arrivals/
4. https://www.schengenvisainfo.com/news/lithuania-shortens-quarantine-period-for-all-arrivals/
5. https://www.thepeninsulaqatar.com/article/18/02/2021/Spain-to-make-quarantine-obligatory-for-
    travellers-from-South-Africa,-Brazil
6. http://famagusta-gazette.com/2021/02/17/sri-lanka-lifts-travel-ban-on-visitors-from-britain/
7. https://www.travelandleisure.com/travel-news/alaska-covid-travel-restrictions-no-covid-test
8. https://e.vnexpress.net/news/news/hcmc-mandates-14-day-quarantine-for-returnees-from-covid-
    19-hotspots-after-tet-4236113.html

27 | P a g e          Centre for infectious disease epidemiology and research
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