Electoral Arrangement & Divisional Boundary Review - 2019 PROPOSED DETERMINATION IPSWICH CITY COUNCIL

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LOCAL GOVERNMENT CHANGE COMMISSION

                     Electoral
                 Arrangement
                  & Divisional
              Boundary Review
                  2019 PROPOSED DETERMINATION
                                 IPSWICH CITY COUNCIL
Contents

INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................. 3
   Endorsement of report ..................................................................................................................... 3
ELECTORAL ARRANGEMENT DECISION .................................................................................... 4
   Reasoning ......................................................................................................................................... 4
DIVISIONAL BOUNDARY REVIEW.................................................................................................. 5
   Determining the quota ..................................................................................................................... 6
THE PROPOSED BOUNDARIES ..................................................................................................... 6
       Table 1 – Current and Projected Quota for Four Multi-Member Divisions .......................... 6
       Table 2 – Current and Projected Enrolment for the Proposed Electoral Divisions ............ 7
   Division 1 ........................................................................................................................................... 7
   Division 2 ........................................................................................................................................... 8
   Division 3 ........................................................................................................................................... 8
   Division 4 ........................................................................................................................................... 8
COMMENTS ON THE PROPOSAL INVITED ................................................................................. 9
FINALISING THE REVIEW ................................................................................................................ 9
IMPLEMENTATION ............................................................................................................................. 9

APPENDIX A                          Minister’s Referral

APPENDIX B                          Ipswich City Council Report

APPENDIX C                          Maps
Ipswich City Council                                                                   Proposed Determination

      INTRODUCTION
      The Local Government Act 2009 (Qld) (the Act) provides for a Local Government Change
      Commission (Change Commission). The Change Commission is an independent body that
      assesses whether proposed changes to Queensland’s local councils are in the public interest.
      On 7 May 2019, the Minister for Local Government, Minister for Racing and Minister for
      Multicultural Affairs, The Honourable Stirling Hinchliffe MP referred an electoral arrangement
      and divisional boundary review of the Ipswich City Council (the Council). The Minister’s referral
      is available to view at Appendix A.
      The Minister referred the City of Ipswich Divisional Boundary Review Report (the Report),
      commissioned by the Council’s Interim Administrator, and requested the Change Commission
      review the recommended option from the Report (see Appendix B).

      The change proposed was for the Council to have four multi-member divisions, instead of the
      current 10 single-member divisional arrangement. A single-member division has one
      councillor representing it, whereas a multi-member division can have more than one councillor
      per division.
      The Change Commission for this review consists of:
              Mr Pat Vidgen, Electoral Commissioner; and
              Mr Wade Lewis, Casual Commissioner.
      The Casual Commissioner was appointed by the Governor in Council on 1 November 2018.

      Endorsement of report
      This report outlines the Change Commission’s electoral arrangement determination and the
      proposed boundaries for the electoral divisions of the Ipswich City Council.

       Pat Vidgen PSM                                  Wade Lewis
       Electoral Commissioner                          Casual Commissioner

Local Government Change Commission                                                                         3
Ipswich City Council                                                                 Proposed Determination

      ELECTORAL ARRANGEMENT DECISION
      The Change Commission has conducted an independent review of whether the Council’s
      electoral arrangements should be changed from single-member to multi-member divisions.
      Following its assessment, the Change Commission considers the proposed change to multi-
      member divisions to be in the public interest.

      The Change Commission recommends the Ipswich City Council be redivided into four (4)
      multi-member divisions with two (2) councillors representing each division. This means
      Ipswich would have nine (9) councillors in total (eight (8) councillors and a mayor).

      Under current legislation, the voting system for this electoral arrangement is first-past-the-
      post. For information about this voting system, please see the Electoral Commission of
      Queensland’s (ECQ) website.

      Reasoning
      In reviewing the proposed change for the Ipswich City Council, the Change Commission was
      cognisant that it would represent a significant alteration to long-standing electoral
      arrangements. It was therefore of the view that there would need to be compelling reasons to
      assess such a change as being in the public interest.

      In this regard, the Change Commission generally looked for evidence that:
           there was demonstrated community support for the proposed change;
           the proposed arrangement would be more workable than the existing one, especially
               when considering Council's current and projected enrolment, and the likely need to
               accommodate rapid growth in some areas; and/or
           the proposed change was consistent with the ‘local government principles’ set out in
               section 4 of the Act, such as decision-making in the public interest, and ensuring
               democratic representation, social inclusion and meaningful community engagement.

      The Change Commission determined that while both single-member and multi-member
      divisions will provide the community-specific representation that is important to Ipswich
      residents, multi-member divisions are more likely to meet the criteria outlined above.

      On the strength of the evidence presented in the Report, including the results from extensive
      public consultation, multi-member divisions were found to be the preferred option. While there
      was clearly support shown for both single-member and undivided electoral arrangements,
      there was also strong opposition to both systems. On the other hand, multi-member divisions
      were found to be supported by a greater number of people:

              nearly 90% of respondents ranked multi-member divisions as either their first or
               second preference;
              75% of respondents who preferred undivided arrangements, voted multi-member
               divisions second; and
              nearly 90% of respondents who preferred single-member divisions, voted multi-
               member divisions second.

Local Government Change Commission                                                                       4
Ipswich City Council                                                                        Proposed Determination

      The Change Commission also noted that multi-member divisions provide greater scope to
      have more councillors representing rural areas within the Council area, offering the opportunity
      for more inclusive representation and engagement with the community. The Change
      Commission considers this relevant given its awareness that a key community concern in the
      region is a perceived lack of rural representation under current arrangements. The following
      points about rural representation paraphrase public comments in the Report:

              rural areas need their own representation;
              people living in urban areas, have little understanding of the reality of life in rural or
               semi-rural areas;
              small towns need a voice, if they do not have someone allocated to them that lives in
               the area, they will be forgotten;
              without divisional councillors, it’s less likely that a councillor will be elected from the
               smaller communities and the urban councillors will not understand the needs of the
               rural sector; and
              Ipswich has a mix of country and city and needs divisions to meet everyone's needs.

      Having fewer divisions enables the Change Commission to place larger amounts of rural areas
      within them and means that residents in these areas are being directly represented by more
      councillors. Indeed, under the Change Commission’s proposed boundaries, rural communities
      in Ipswich will have half the divisional councillors directly representing their areas.

      The Change Commission deliberated on whether four or five multi-member divisions would
      be in the public interest for the Ipswich local government area. It was decided that four
      divisions, with two councillors each, would cater for the current council size, while providing
      scope to add additional councillor/s to all or some of the divisions as communities expand and
      elector numbers increase.

      DIVISIONAL BOUNDARY REVIEW
      The Change Commission must ensure each division of the Council has a reasonable
      proportion of enrolled voters, herein referred to as ‘quota’. Where possible, community
      interests, such as uniting entire suburbs within divisions and selecting easy-to-identify
      boundaries, have also been considered.

      Assessments are conducted in any way the Change Commission deems appropriate, unless
      the Minister has provided specific directions.

      The process for this review is as follows:

          1. Publish the Change Commission’s proposal
          2. Invite comments on the proposal
          3. Publish the Change Commission’s final determination report
          4. Final determination report provided to the Minister for Local Government, for
             implementation by the Governor in Council
          5. New boundaries come into effect at the 2020 Local Government Quadrennial Election

Local Government Change Commission                                                                              5
Ipswich City Council                                                                       Proposed Determination

      Determining the quota
      A quota is determined by dividing the total number of enrolled voters by the number of
      councillors (other than the mayor), plus or minus 10%. The Change Commission also
      considers projected enrolment, so the divisions remain in quota for as long as possible.
      Current enrolment data has been sourced from Queensland’s electoral roll and projected
      enrolment data from the Queensland Government Statistician’s Office of Queensland
      Treasury. Projections are based on the timing of future local government quadrennial
      elections.
      Enrolment information is organised around ‘Statistical Areas Level 1 (SA1)’. SA1s are
      geographical units used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) for the release of census
      data. According to the ABS most SA1s have a population of between 200 to 800 persons with
      an average population of approximately 400 people.
      Current and projected enrolment data are available for download on the ECQ website.

      THE PROPOSED BOUNDARIES
      The Ipswich City Council has 128,049 voters and will be divided into four multi-member
      divisions, with two councillors per division and a mayor.
      Table 1 shows the Council’s current enrolment quota as at 31 January 2019 and the quota
      projected for 31 March 2024 under a four division multi-member arrangement.

                Table 1 – Current and Projected Quota for Four Multi-Member Divisions

                                             31 January 2019                   31 March 2024

       Number of divisions                            4                                4

       Councillors per division                       2                                2

       Enrolment                                  128,049                          165,213

       Quota per division                          32,012                           41,303
                                        (16,006 voters per councillor)   (20,652 voters per councillor)

       Quota (+10%) per division                   35,213                           45,433

       Quota (-10%) per division                   28,811                           37,173

Local Government Change Commission                                                                             6
Ipswich City Council                                                                  Proposed Determination

      Table 2 shows the current and projected enrolment for the proposed multi-member divisions.
      Maps are available to view in Appendix C and interactive maps are on the ECQ website.

          Table 2 – Current and Projected Enrolment for the Proposed Electoral Divisions
                       Enrolment                                Projected
                                         (%) Deviation                              (%) Deviation
        Division          as at                              Enrolment as at
                                          from Quota                                  from Quota
                       31/01/2019                              31/03/2024
       Division 1        28,854               -9.87                44,796                8.46

       Division 2        33,189               3.68                 43,297                4.83

       Division 3        35,070               9.55                 38,790                -6.08

       Division 4        30,936               -3.36                38,330                -7.2

      The Change Commission modelled several options and liaised with the Council regarding
      these scenarios, helping to develop a better understanding of community concerns and local
      experiences before settling on the proposed model.

      The proposed boundaries bring enrolment in each division into quota for the 2020 Local
      Government Quadrennial Election, while also catering for the significant growth projected in
      certain parts of the region. The Change Commission has made a concerted effort to unite
      suburbs and their communities of interest within individual divisions and has used clearly
      discernible boundaries where practicable.

      One of the key community concerns identified by the Council and in the Report was that rural
      communities did not believe they had the representation they required. The proposal has
      sought to address these concerns, with the proposed Divisions 1 and 4 including a mix of
      urban and significant portions of rural areas. In doing so, rural residents will have four
      councillors, or half of the divisional councillors, with some responsibility for rural suburbs.

      Division 1
      Division 1 is the largest of the four divisions and amalgamates both rural and urban suburbs.
      It contains areas with significant projected growth, such as the Ripley and surrounding
      localities. The Change Commission has deliberately brought the current enrolment as close
      to the lower limit of the quota as possible, thereby creating boundaries that unite suburbs and
      that are more likely to support more than a single election cycle.

      The Division is oriented in a west-east direction and includes the following suburbs:
      Grandchester, Mount Mort, Mount Walker West, Lower Mount Walker, Calvert, Ebenezer,
      Mount Forbes, Jeebropilly, Willowbank, Mutdapilly, Purga, Peak Crossing, Goolman, Deebing
      Heights, Raceview, Flinders View, Ripley, South Ripley, White Rock, Swanbank, Blackstone,
      and Redbank Plains.

Local Government Change Commission                                                                        7
Ipswich City Council                                                                  Proposed Determination

      Division 2
      Division 2 is a mostly urban electorate that includes those suburbs towards the eastern end of
      the Council. The proposed boundary contains several well-established suburbs, so that both
      the current and projected enrolment is close to the quota. The Division has united all the
      suburbs in the area, except for Goodna and Redbank. It was not possible from an enrolment
      perspective to have Goodna or Redbank entirely contained in either Division 2 or Division 3,
      and therefore, prominent roads including the Ipswich Motorway, Stuart Street, Redbank
      Reserve / greenspace area and Kruger Parade have been selected as a boundary.

      The Division is oriented in a north-south direction and includes the following suburbs: Spring
      Mountain, Springfield Lakes, Springfield Central, Springfield, Brookwater, Augustine Heights,
      Bellbird Park, Camira, Carole Park, Gailes and some of Goodna and Redbank.

      Division 3
      Division 3 contains many of the central Ipswich suburbs. As suburbs are mostly well-
      established, the amount of growth projected is limited when compared to Division 1. The
      Change Commission has therefore deliberately brought the current enrolment as close to the
      upper limit of the quota as possible. In doing so, the boundaries unite suburbs and are more
      likely to support more than a single election cycle.

      The Division is oriented in a west-east direction and includes the following suburbs: One Mile,
      Leichhardt, Coalfalls, Sadliers Crossing, West Ipswich, Woodend, Ipswich, Basin Pocket, East
      Ipswich, Newtown, Eastern Heights, Silkstone, Booval, North Booval, Bundamba, Ebbw Vale,
      New Chum, Dinmore, Riverview and Collingwood Park. It also includes a part of Wulkuraka
      that lies south of the railway line, most of Redbank excluding those houses situated east of
      Krugar Parade and includes part of Goodna that falls west of Stuart Street.

      Division 4
      As with Division 1, this Division amalgamates both rural and urban suburbs. It contains areas
      with significant projected growth, such as the Rosewood and Marburg suburbs.

      The Division is oriented in a west-east direction and includes the following suburbs: Woolshed,
      The Bluff, Ashwell, Lanefield, Rosewood, Tallegalla, Marburg, Mount Marrow, Thagoona,
      Walloon, Haigslea, Ironbark, Pine Mountain, Blacksoil, Karrabin, Amberley, Yamanto,
      Churchill, Brassall, Muirlea, North Ipswich, Tivoli, Moores Pocket, North Tivoli, Chuwar,
      Karalee, Barellan Point and most of Wulkuraka that lies north of the railway line.

Local Government Change Commission                                                                        8
Ipswich City Council                                                              Proposed Determination

      COMMENTS ON THE PROPOSAL INVITED
      Comments on the proposed boundaries for the four multi-member divisions are invited until
      30 July 2019 and can be lodged through:

       Online Form                                  Email
       https://ecq.qld.gov.au/lgr/ipswich           LGCCsubmissions@ecq.qld.gov.au

       Personal Delivery (Mon-Fri 9am – 5pm)        Post
       Electoral Commission of Queensland           Local Government Change Commission
       Level 20, 1 Eagle Street                     GPO Box 1393
       BRISBANE QLD 4000                            BRISBANE QLD 4001

      Please note, the decision to change to four multi-member divisions is final and the Change
      Commission is not seeking comment regarding the Council’s electoral arrangements.
      Comments should focus on the boundaries being proposed for these divisions and it is
      recommended that those submitting comments:
              consider the enrolment requirements outlined in the Act and in this report;
              clearly state which division/s your comment relates to;
              provide supporting information for why you support or oppose the proposed change;
               or
              if you oppose the change, provide alternative boundary suggestions and reasoning.

      FINALISING THE REVIEW
      After reviewing the public comments on the proposal, the Change Commission will make a
      final determination on the Council’s divisional boundaries.

      The results of a Change Commission review must be provided to the Minister for Local
      Government. A notice of results is published in a local newspaper, the Queensland
      Government Gazette and on the ECQ website.

      A decision of the Change Commission is not subject to appeal.

      IMPLEMENTATION
      A local government change can only be implemented by the Governor in Council under a
      regulation.

      The regulation may provide for anything that is necessary or convenient to facilitate the
      change.

Local Government Change Commission                                                                    9
LOCAL GOVERNMENT
CHANGE COMMISSION

W: www.ecq.qld.gov.au
E:   LGCCsubmissions@ecq.qld.gov.au
T:   1300 881 665
P:   Local Government Change Commission
     GPO Box 1393
     BRISBANE QLD 4001
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