8 Financial position of public-sector institutions - National Treasury

Page created by Alice Dean
 
CONTINUE READING
8
Financial position of
public-sector institutions

 In brief
  The net asset position of state-owned companies stood at R305.1 billion in 2014/15.
   Average return on equity declined to -2.9 per cent. These companies project total capital
   spending of R311.7 billion over the medium term, with borrowing reaching R257 billion.
  Development finance institutions expect to lend R177.8 billion by 2017/18.
  While the overall position of social security funds remains strong, their combined net
   asset value will decline to R1.7 billion as a result of the rising deficit in the Road Accident
   Fund.
  Government is enacting a series of reforms to improve operations, financial management
   and governance of public-sector institutions. Greater private-sector participation will be
   considered.

      Overview

T
        he National Development Plan (NDP) recognises the important role       Public-sector institutions
        of public-sector institutions in economic growth and development.      play an important role in
        State-owned companies, development finance institutions, social        realising vision of National
security funds and the Government Employees Pension Fund provide               Development Plan
essential services, finance infrastructure investment, and contribute to job
creation and the social safety net.
State-owned companies build and maintain electricity, water, transport and
telecommunications infrastructure. Development finance institutions fund
infrastructure expansion, industrial development, commercial and
emerging agriculture, and improve access to housing and small business
loans. Social security funds and the Government Employees Pension Fund
compensate people who are out of work or injured, support a savings
culture and promote investments that have a social impact.
During 2014/15, Eskom electrified 159 853 households and supplied              Entities provide electricity,
216 274GWh of electricity. Transnet transported 222.6 million tons of          rail transport, water and
freight by rail. Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA)                    sanitation – and create jobs
involvement in municipal funding resulted in 90 000, 56 000 and
138 000 households benefiting from energy, water and sanitation

                                                                                                              97
2016 BUDGET REVIEW

                                projects respectively. DBSA assistance also contributed to the completion
                                of 15 schools and supported 754 small and medium-sized enterprises.
                                Industrial Development Corporation (IDC) projects created an estimated
                                8 223 jobs. Joint initiatives by the IDC and Unemployment Insurance
                                Fund (UIF) helped to preserve 44 460 at-risk jobs.
Most entities are expected      To deliver on their developmental priorities, public-sector institutions need
to be self-sustaining and       to be in a sound financial position. Generating a reasonable rate of return
operate independently of        allows them to operate independently of the national budget. Deterioration
the budget                      in the financial health of these entities is often an early-warning sign of
                                broader strategic challenges, and can have major consequences for the
                                public finances. Accordingly, government monitors their operations and
                                financial positions, managing risk and taking action when required.
                                Over the past several years, poor global and domestic economic conditions
                                have contributed to declining profitability of some institutions, while
                                others have still performed well. However, internal weaknesses such as
                                inefficient operations, poor governance and weak balance sheets have
                                made some entities more vulnerable to a deteriorating economic outlook.
Further state support will be   Several public institutions continue to pose significant short-term risks to
contingent on reforms that      the fiscus. In some cases, this is due to large government exposures; in
resolve ongoing governance      others, to the entity’s poor financial position. Although no requests for
and operational problems        fiscal support are currently being considered, the assessment of any such
                                requests will be informed by the principles set out in the 2015 Budget
                                Review, namely:
                                 Any intervention to support state-owned companies must be consistent
                                  with sustainable public finances.
                                 Capitalisation cannot have an impact on the budget deficit.
                                 Entities receiving support are required to demonstrate sound business
                                  plans, improve governance and address operational efficiencies.
                                Future commitments of state resources to support public-sector institutions
                                will also depend on reforms that resolve ongoing problems with
                                governance, and may also involve introducing private-sector participation.

                                Reforming public-sector institutions
Private-sector                  A series of reforms under way is intended to strengthen the ability of
co-investment to strengthen     public-sector institutions to support NDP outcomes. These reforms are
financial and managerial        based on the recommendations of the Presidential Review Committee on
capacity at public entities     State-owned Entities. The committee’s recommendations include a single
                                governing law for public entities; rationalising the number of entities; and
                                mobilising co-investment and technical expertise from the private sector to
                                strengthen their financial and managerial capacity.
                                The outcome of these reforms will be a clear policy setting out the criteria
                                for state ownership, and a streamlined portfolio of public entities that
                                builds on synergies between the public and private sectors. An inter-
                                ministerial committee chaired by the deputy president is overseeing
                                implementation of four broad areas of reform:
                                 Stabilisation to improve near-term financial and operational
                                  performance. A framework to quantify the cost of developmental
                                  activities has also been developed.

98
CHAPTER 8: FINANCIAL POSITION OF PUBLIC-SECTOR INSTITUTIONS

 Coordination and collaboration to maximise contributions to the
  economy and eliminate duplication. Joint infrastructure projects are
  already taking place in the energy, transport, mining and water sectors.
 Rationalisation and consolidation to reduce state participation in
  sectors where several entities operate with overlapping mandates. This
  is already under way in the information and communication technology
  sector with the rationalisation of Broadband Infraco. The state intends
  to dispose of holdings in non-strategic assets, as needed, to direct
  resources to areas critical for development
 Governance framework will see the enactment of overarching
  legislation, informed by a review of the current shareholder
  management model. Board appointment processes will be standardised,
  and remuneration frameworks reviewed to ensure that compensation
  growth is contained and linked to efficient performance.
Government is developing a framework to encourage greater co-                               New framework will support
investment and participation by the private sector in partnership with                      increased levels of
public entities, building on the success of the independent power producer                  competition within well-
initiative. The framework will support increased levels of competition                      regulated sectors
within well-regulated sectors. Historically, the South African economy has
been characterised by high levels of economic concentration, with many
state-owned companies enjoying a monopoly or dominance of the sectors
in which they operate. Allowing competition would improve efficiency
and increase investment levels, entrepreneurship and employment.

       Financial overview
Table 8.1 shows the combined financial position of public institutions.
Table 8.1 Combined financial position of selected categories
          of public institutions, 2012/13 – 2014/15
 R billion                                     2012/13        2013/14           2014/15
 State-owned companies
   Total assets                                     800.3          910.7          1 042.2
   Total liabilities                                543.7          633.6           737.1
   Net asset value                                  256.6          277.1           305.1
 Development finance institutions1
   Total assets                                     222.0          251.8           245.5
   Total liabilities                                 93.6          108.6           114.5
   Net asset value                                  128.4          143.3           131.0
 Social security funds
   Total assets                                     134.8          147.5           177.2
   Total liabilities                                 96.6          112.8           134.9
   Net asset value                                   38.2           34.7            42.3
 Other public entities2
   Total assets                                     669.4          813.5           870.4
   Total liabilities                                171.3          179.9           199.7
    Net asset value                                    498.1      633.6            670.7
1. Institutions listed in schedule 2, 3A and 3B of the PFMA
2. State-owned institutions without a commercial mandate and listed in either
   schedule 1 or 3 of the PFMA such as the National Library of South Africa
Source: National Treasury

                                                                                                                     99
2016 BUDGET REVIEW

                              At a consolidated level, the financial position of public entities
                              strengthened in 2014/15 – the most recent period for which audited results
                              are available. Most categories of institutions continue to improve their net
                              asset position – largely as a result of capital investments by state-owned
                              companies since 2010/11. The decline in the net asset position of
                              development finance institutions resulted from losses on the Industrial
                              Development Corporation’s equity portfolio, which was exposed to the
                              commodities sector.

                              State-owned companies
State-owned companies         State-owned companies have spent an aggregate R496.8 billion on
have spent R496.8 billion     infrastructure since 2010/11. Most of these investments have been in the
on infrastructure over past   energy, transport and logistics sectors. Over the next three years,
five years                    investment in these sectors will continue to dominate capital formation by
                              the public sector.
                              Over the medium-term expenditure framework (MTEF) period, state-
                              owned companies project capital expenditure of R311.7 billion, with
                              Eskom, Transnet and the South African National Roads Agency Limited
                              (SANRAL) accounting for 94 per cent of this amount. Details on
                              infrastructure spending appear in Annexure B.
                              Table 8.2 Combined balance sheets of state-owned
                                              companies,1 2010/11 – 2014/15
                               R billion/per cent growth     2010/11    2011/12    2012/13    2013/14      2014/15
                               Total assets                     639.7     710.1      800.3      910.7      1 042.2
                                                                23.5%     11.0%      12.7%      13.8%       14.4%
                               Total liabilities                423.0     470.7      543.7      633.6        737.1
                                                                23.8%     11.3%      15.5%      16.5%        16.3%
                               Net asset value                  216.7     239.4       256.6      277.1       305.1
                                                                23.0%     10.5%        7.2%       8.0%       10.1%
                               Return on equity (average)         6.7%      7.5%         4.8%     3.3%       -2.9%
                              1. Major state-owned companies listed in Schedule 2 of the PFMA, excluding
                                 development finance institutions
                              Source: National Treasury

                              Capital investment grew the asset base of state-owned companies from
                              R639.7 billion in 2010/11 to R1.04 trillion at the end of 2014/15. Over the
                              same period, combined net asset value rose from R216.7 billion to
                              R305.1 billion, of which Eskom and Transnet account for 78 per cent.
Combined return on equity     State-owned companies need to generate sufficient returns to contribute
of state-owned companies      strategically to development without draining national resources.
declined over past five       However, the combined return on equity has been declining over the past
years                         five years, reaching -2.9 per cent in 2014/15. Most of the decline is the
                              result of large losses in the Central Energy Fund (CEF) and South African
                              Airways (SAA) during 2014/15.
Six largest state-owned       As shown in Table 8.3, the six largest state-owned companies budgeted to
companies project total       borrow R84 billion in 2014/15. Actual borrowing amounted to R91 billion
borrowing of R257 billion     as companies implemented their programmes more quickly than planned.
over medium term              Eskom was the largest borrower, accounting for 71 per cent of the total.
                              The six companies project total borrowing of R257 billion between
                              2016/17 and 2018/19, with Eskom accounting for 54 per cent of the total
                              The depreciation of the rand against major currencies is expected to limit

100
CHAPTER 8: FINANCIAL POSITION OF PUBLIC-SECTOR INSTITUTIONS

borrowing in foreign capital markets and increase reliance on the domestic
market, leading to a reduction in foreign debt as a percentage of total debt
from 39 per cent in 2015/16 to 24 per cent in 2018/19.

Table 8.3 Borrowing requirement of selected state-owned companies,1 2014/15 – 2018/19
                                     2014/15                2015/16        2016/17     2017/18       2018/19
 R billion                     Budget      Outcome          Revised              Medium-term estimates
 Domestic loans (gross)           45.1         64.3             65.5           51.4         64.3         62.5
   Short-term                       24.3          24.4           13.8          12.1           16.0         18.2
    Long-term                       20.8          39.9           51.7          39.3           48.3         44.3
 Foreign loans (gross)              38.9          27.2           42.6          27.8           32.1         19.3
    Long-term                       38.9          27.2           42.6          27.8           32.1         19.3
 Total                              84.0          91.5         108.1           79.2           96.4         81.8
 Percentage of total:
    Domestic loans                53.7%          70.3%         60.6%          64.9%         66.7%         76.4%
    Foreign loans                 46.3%          29.7%         39.4%          35.1%         33.3%         23.6%
1. Airports Company of South Africa, Eskom, SANRAL, SAA, Transnet and Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority
Source: National Treasury

Eskom
Eskom is the state electricity utility. Over the past 12 months, it has been          Eskom has been working to
working to stabilise and augment electricity supply. Eskom is using open-             stabilise and augment
cycle gas turbines to boost supply and avoid the likelihood of load-                  electricity supply
shedding, but these facilities are expensive to operate. In August 2015, the
first unit of the Medupi power station was fully commissioned. Eskom
expects that the remaining units at Medupi, as well as the Kusile and
Ingula power stations, will be brought into operation over the next six
years, adding 10.1GW to the national power grid.
Eskom reported a profit of R3.6 billion in 2014/15, down 48 per cent on
the prior year, largely due to lower sales, higher open-cycle gas turbine
expenditure and increased finance costs. In the half-year results of
30 September 2015, it reported a profit of R10.3 billion, with operational
cash of R23.1 billion. The utility has spent R24.4 billion of a budgeted
R32.1 billion on infrastructure, while securing R46 billion in funding.
As of February 2016, R15 billion of government’s R23 billion                          Minister of Finance has
appropriation to Eskom had been transferred to the company. The Minister              delayed payment of Eskom
of Finance has delayed the transfer of R5 billion until Eskom complies                support until conditions of
with several conditions attached to the equity allocation. These conditions           equity allocation are met
relate to implementing cost reductions, improving maintenance and
executing the capital expenditure programme. Government has also
converted its R60 billion subordinated loan to equity to strengthen the
utility’s balance sheet.
Eskom has submitted an application for tariff increases to the National               Efficiency improvements
Energy Regulator of South Africa through the regulatory clearing account              needed at Eskom to ensure
process. Further efficiency improvements are necessary at Eskom to                    moderation in future tariff
ensure moderation in future tariff increases.                                         increases

Central Energy Fund
The CEF is a group of companies responsible for developing energy
solutions for South Africa. Its largest subsidiary, PetroSA, manages
government’s strategic fuel supply and is involved in the manufacture of

                                                                                                                  101
2016 BUDGET REVIEW

                               liquid fuel, oil and other products from coal. In 2014/15, the CEF recorded
                               a loss of R14.3 billion, following a loss of R1.5 billion a year earlier. The
                               losses stem largely from impairments on PetroSA’s gas-to-liquids plant in
                               Mossel Bay, which is short of feedstock, and on its oil-drilling investment
                               through PetroSA Ghana, which has not met projections.
                               Although the losses have negatively affected its financial position, the
                               CEF had significant reserves, and remains solvent and liquid. Government
                               will reposition the CEF to ensure that the company continues to contribute
                               to energy security while remaining financially sustainable.

                               Transnet
Transnet profitability         Transnet operates freight rail, ports and pipelines. It reported a profit of
remains resilient, despite     R5.3 billion in 2014/15. Revenue growth has remained resilient, increasing
weaker economic conditions     by 8 per cent to R61.2 billion in 2014/15. Capital investment amounted to
                               R33.6 billion in 2014/15, including R6.9 billion for locomotive
                               acquisitions, R3 billion for wagons, R7.6 billion for rail infrastructure
                               maintenance and R2.5 billion for the new multi-product pipeline.
                               Transnet continues to focus on reversing historical underinvestment in
                               infrastructure, and ensuring that South Africa’s rail and port infrastructure
                               are of a globally competitive standard. Given the weaker economic
                               environment, the group has deferred some spending, and the capital
                               investment programme will be undertaken over 10 years instead of seven,
                               as previously planned. Transnet will continue raising finance on domestic
                               and international markets. The Minister of Finance has approved an
                               increase in Transnet’s foreign-currency borrowing limit from R55 billion
                               to R81 billion.

                               South African Airways
SAA is technically insolvent   SAA, the state-owned airline, will report a net loss in 2014/15 as a result
and has been achieving         of high operating costs, increased competition on all routes, asset
going-concern status on        impairments and higher finance costs. The carrier is technically insolvent
basis of state guarantees      and has been achieving a going-concern status on the basis of guarantees
                               issued by government.
                               SAA’s total guarantees amount to R14.4 billion. Of this amount,
                               R13.4 billion has been used to raise debt finance and a further R1 billion is
                               to be raised before the end of the financial year. Government remains
                               committed to stabilising SAA. As part of a broader turnaround strategy,
                               steps have been taken to reduce aircraft leasing costs, cease operations on
                               some unprofitable routes and achieve procurement savings.
It will be some years before   It will be some years, however, before SAA can become a sustainable,
SAA can become a               standalone carrier. In the period ahead, government will seek opportunities
sustainable carrier            to enter into strategic partnerships that allow SAA to draw on private-
                               sector capital and technical expertise to improve its performance and
                               expand its network.

                               South African Post Office
                               The South African Post Office (SAPO), like many of its international
                               counterparts, has been under pressure to restructure and diversify as a
                               result of the global shift to electronic communications.

102
CHAPTER 8: FINANCIAL POSITION OF PUBLIC-SECTOR INSTITUTIONS

SAPO recorded a net loss of R1.5 billion in 2014/15 after a net loss of        SAPO, which has struggled
R422 million a year earlier. This was higher than expected, primarily due      to boost revenue, recorded
to declining revenue as a result of lower mail volumes, a loss of key          a net loss of R1.5 billion in
customers due to strike action and the poor performance of its courier         2014/15
business. Although SAPO has made some inroads in curbing costs as part
of its turnaround plan, it has struggled to boost revenues. The appointment
of a Board and chief executive officer has helped to stabilise SAPO.
State guarantees to SAPO total R4.4 billion, and government has helped
the entity raise R1.3 billion against the issued guarantees to fund its
operations and turnaround. In addition, R650 million has been allocated to
recapitalise SAPO in 2016/17. This allocation was funded by reprioritising
other expenditure and does not affect the budget balance.

Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa
The Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa (PRASA) is South Africa’s            PRASA reported a loss of
commuter rail company. Its total income grew from R6.8 billion in              R1.2 billion in 2014/15
2010/11 to R9.5 billion in 2014/15, mostly as a result of state subsidies      despite growth in state
and grants to fund operations and capital investment. Despite growth in        income and grants
income and grants, PRASA reported a loss of R1.2 billion in 2014/15.
PRASA’s R49.9 billion investment plans focus on renewing rolling stock,
upgrading signalling infrastructure, and modernising stations and depots.
These investments will improve the safety and quality of rail transport for
millions of commuters. PRASA’s total capital expenditure amounted to
R11 billion in 2014/15, 3.3 per cent above the budgeted R10.1 billion and
a 43.7 per cent increase from the previous year (R7.7 billion).
Government provided PRASA with a R3.9 billion operational subsidy in
2014/15. Through its Autopax subsidiary, PRASA also has a government
guarantee of R1.2 billion, of which only R48 million is outstanding. This
loan is expected to be settled in full by 31 May 2016.
In 2014/15 the Auditor-General and the Public Protector identified a           PRASA Board has agreed
number of governance concerns, including conflict of interest in the rail      to implement Public
infrastructure modernisation programme, and irregular expenditure              Protector recommendations
amounting to R500 million. The Board has undertaken to implement the
recommendations of the Public Protector’s report.

South African National Roads Agency Limited
SANRAL is responsible for the national road network, which consists of
21 403km of roads connecting major cities, towns and rural areas. Toll
roads, financed through public-private partnerships or capital market
borrowings, make up 15 per cent of the network; the remaining 85 per cent
is financed through allocations from government.
During 2014/15, SANRAL recorded total revenues of R11.7 billion –              SANRAL’s performance
R5.4 billion from government transfers and R6.3 billion from toll              expected to stabilise
operations. This was an 82 per cent increase from the prior year. The          following resolution of policy
Gauteng Freeway Improvement Project contributed R3.8 billion to                uncertainty on e-tolls
revenues.
SANRAL’s performance is expected to stabilise over the period ahead
following resolution of policy uncertainty concerning e-tolls. The agency
has resumed its successful bond programme. Under the programme of

                                                                                                           103
2016 BUDGET REVIEW

                              adjusted tariffs announced by the Deputy President, the fiscus will
                              supplement e-toll revenue in Gauteng to ensure that SANRAL can service
                              its debt commitments as they fall due. Over the medium term, R1.4 billion
                              is allocated to SANRAL for this purpose.

                              Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority
Authority responsible for     The Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority (TCTA) raises debt to finance water
financing Lesotho Highlands   infrastructure projects, including the Lesotho Highlands Water Project,
Water Project remains         which provides water mainly to Gauteng province. TCTA’s operations
financially sound and         remain financially sound. The company receives no allocations from
operationally capable         government but has a R25 billion guarantee facility in place.
                              TCTA’s outstanding debt increased by 10 per cent to R28 billion in
                              2014/15 due to drawdowns for two projects under construction: the
                              Mokolo Crocodile Water Augmentation Project Phase 1 and the Mooi-
                              Mgeni Transfer Scheme. The value of work under construction in 2014/15
                              amounted to R1.7 billion compared with R2 billion in 2013/14.
                              Construction of Phase 2 of the Lesotho Highlands Water Project is
                              expected to start over the next three years, with design and procurement
                              already under way. TCTA will be responsible for raising and managing the
                              financing for the project, which will be guaranteed by government.

                              Development finance institutions
Over next two years, asset    South Africa’s development finance institutions have rapidly expanded
base of largest development   lending to support the NDP. The financial position of the three largest
finance institutions set to   agencies – the IDC, the Land Bank and the DBSA is summarised in Table
reach R324.7 billion          8.4. These entities reported a combined asset value of R233.8 billion and a
                              combined loan book value of R117.2 billion for 2014/15. Over the next
                              two years, they project 31 per cent growth in their loan portfolios. The
                              total asset base is projected to increase to R324.7 billion by 2017/18.

                              Table 8.4 Balance sheet position of selected development
                                             finance institutions,1 2014/15 – 2017/18
                                                               2014/15   2015/16    2016/17      2017/18
                               R billion                       Outcome   Estimate          Forecast
                               Total assets                      233.8     255.6        287.2         324.6
                                 of which:
                                 Loan book                       117.2     136.4        156.3         177.8
                                 Equity investments               62.4     102.9        113.0         126.1
                                 Other                            54.2      16.3         17.9          20.7
                               Total liabilities                 112.6     127.6        151.2         178.7
                               Net asset value                   121.2     128.0        135.9         145.9
                              1. The Land Bank, DBSA and IDC
                              Source: National Treasury

                              In 2014/15, the combined borrowing of the three major development
                              finance institutions reached R52 billion against a budgeted estimate of
                              R70 billion, as weak economic conditions and falling commodity prices
                              reduced appetite for loans. Borrowing is expected to increase to
                              R76.2 billion in 2015/16. Medium-term borrowing is estimated at
                              R275 billion, mostly from domestic sources. The IDC, however, plans to
                              raise 81 per cent of its borrowing from foreign sources in 2016/17 – a
                              proportion that decreases to 44 per cent in 2018/19.

104
CHAPTER 8: FINANCIAL POSITION OF PUBLIC-SECTOR INSTITUTIONS

Borrowing in the development finance portfolio is dominated by the Land
Bank, which raises mainly short-term debt. It plans to borrow R45 billion
in 2015/16, the DBSA R18.2 billion and the IDC R12 billion.
As development finance institutions expand their lending, they need to           Expanded lending requires
ensure that risks associated with new exposures are managed in a prudent,        prudent management of risk
financially sustainable manner. They also need to find innovative ways to        and innovative approaches
finance development, including crowding more private investment into
projects. The weak economic outlook may place pressure on non-
performing loan ratios, which will need to be carefully managed.

Table 8.5 Borrowing requirement of selected development finance institutions, 1
          2014/15 – 2018/19
                                   2014/15              2015/16       2016/17     2017/18       2018/19
 R billion                   Budget      Outcome        Revised             Medium-term estimates
 Domestic loans (gross)           63.0         45.2         65.1          64.5           80.7          86.6
   Short-term                     52.3         37.1         50.5          51.8           62.3          63.1
    Long-term                     10.7          8.1         14.6          12.7           18.4          23.5
 Foreign loans (gross)             7.4          6.8         11.1          18.9           11.2          12.9
    Long-term                      7.4          6.8         11.1          18.9           11.2          12.9
 Total                            70.4         52.0         76.2          83.4           91.9          99.5
 Percentage of total:
    Domestic loans               89.5%       86.9%         85.4%        77.3%          87.8%         87.0%
     Foreign loans               10.5%       13.1%         14.6%        22.7%          12.2%         13.0%
1. The Land Bank, DBSA and IDC
Source: National Treasury

Several smaller development finance institutions also play an important
role in giving effect to government policy. These include the National
Empowerment Fund, the National Housing Finance Corporation (NHFC)
and the National Urban Reconstruction and Housing Agency. These
entities had a combined asset value of R11.2 billion and combined loan
book of R3.9 billion in 2014/15.
A review of provincial development finance institutions, approved by             Review of provincial
Cabinet, began in 2015 and should conclude in 2017/18. It is expected to         agencies expected to align
align provincial agencies’ mandates to national development objectives.          mandates and consolidate
Agencies may be consolidated or closed by provincial governments where           operations
there is duplication or non-core activities are identified.

Development Bank of Southern Africa
The DBSA supports infrastructure financing and delivery, and programme
implementation. In 2014/15 it reported a profit of R1.2 billion, 54 per cent
higher than the R787 million recorded in the prior year. Total assets grew
by 11.2 per cent over the same period, reaching R70.9 billion in 2014/15.
Loan disbursements reached R13 billion, of which just over 40 per cent
financed economic infrastructure in South Africa.
To help the bank strengthen its strategic focus, including better leveraging     DBSA to provide planning
private-sector funding of development projects, government approved a            and implementation support
R7.9 billion equity allocation in 2013. The amount was transferred to the        to smaller cities and under-
DBSA over three years. Over the medium term, government expects the              resourced municipalities
bank to provide planning and implementation support to smaller cities and
under-resourced municipalities. New initiatives will involve attracting
more private-sector investment to complement DBSA funding for

                                                                                                              105
2016 BUDGET REVIEW

                              infrastructure development. The bank aims to increase developmental
                              lending by about R48 billion over the next three years.

                              Land Bank
Land Bank has rapidly         The Land Bank provides development finance support to commercial and
expanded its loan book, but   emerging farmers. Its medium-term plans include increasing its support to
needs a better balance of     emerging farmers, expanding its loan portfolio to include agro-processing
assets and liabilities        and exploring private partnerships to fund emerging farmers.
                              During 2014/15, the bank reported a strong performance despite a weak
                              operating environment and limited investor risk appetite. Its asset base
                              increased by 10 per cent (R3.7 billion) from the prior year to R40.5 billion,
                              driven by a R3.4 billion increase in the loan book to R36.7 billion. Over
                              the medium term, the loan book is projected to grow to R43.9 billion and
                              the net asset value to R6.9 billion.
                              An internal review is expected to be completed in 2016. The review will
                              help the bank cut operational costs and execute a more robust funding
                              strategy to better manage the mismatch between its assets and liabilities.

                              Industrial Development Corporation
                              The IDC’s mandate is to promote industrial development and job creation
                              in South Africa, as well as development in the Southern African region.
IDC’s financial position      A significant portion of the IDC’s asset base is held in listed equities in the
weakened as lower             mining sector. As commodity markets weakened, the IDC’s financial
commodity prices affected     position came under pressure. In 2014/15, its asset base decreased by
its equity portfolio          R16.3 billion to R122 billion as the fair value of its listed investments fell
                              to R57.3 billion from R78 billion in the prior year. This ultimately led to a
                              R600 million decline in the IDC’s dividend income and its profitability.
                              Over the next five years, the corporation plans to extend loans to the value
                              of R100 billion to support economic development, targeting renewable
                              energy, manufacturing, industrial infrastructure and beneficiation of
                              locally produced minerals and agricultural products. Of the total,
                              R23 billion will be targeted to support black industrialists.

                              National Housing Finance Corporation
                              The NHFC’s mandate is to broaden access to affordable housing finance
                              for low- to middle-income households. It targets households with monthly
                              incomes between R1 500 and R15 000 that cannot access funding from
                              commercial banks.
NHFC reported a profit of     The NHFC reported a profit of R13.5 million for 2014/15 due to an
R13.5 million for 2014/15     increase in rental income. Total assets increased from R3.1 billion to
                              R3.3 billion in 2014/15. During the same period, total disbursements of
                              R729 million helped to draw in R821 million in private-sector investment
                              for affordable housing.
Department of Human           In 2014/15, government approved a R230 million equity allocation to the
Settlements working to        NHFC to support social housing development. The Department of Human
merge three related           Settlements is currently working to merge the NHFC, the National Urban
agencies in housing space     Reconstruction and Housing Agency and the Rural Housing Loan Fund.

106
CHAPTER 8: FINANCIAL POSITION OF PUBLIC-SECTOR INSTITUTIONS

The consolidation is expected to result in a more efficient housing finance
delivery mechanism.

      Social security funds
Contributory social security funds form part of South Africa’s social                    In 2014/15, social security
security net. These funds compensate beneficiaries for road accidents,                   funds had assets of
workplace injuries and unemployment. In 2014/15, the funds had                           R177.2 billion and liabilities
combined assets of R177.2 billion and liabilities of R134.8 billion.                     of R134.8 billion

While the overall financial position of the social security funds has been
relatively strong, it is expected to weaken over the medium term to a net
accumulated deficit of R1.7 billion. The deterioration is largely the result
of growth in the accumulated deficit of the Road Accident Fund (RAF).

Table 8.6 Combined balance sheet of social security funds, 2014/15 – 2018/19
                                      2014/15          2015/16         2016/17            2017/18          2018/19
 R billion                            Outcome          Estimate                          Forecasts
 Total assets                             177.2           188.0           206.5              226.8            250.0
   Unemployment Insurance Fund            113.6           127.6           143.1              161.0            181.3
   Road Accident Fund                       7.4            10.5            11.3                11.4             11.5
  Compensation Fund1                       56.2            49.9            52.1               54.4             57.2
 Total liabilities                        134.8           160.8           183.9              213.9            251.6
   Unemployment Insurance Fund              4.1              4.5             4.8                5.1              5.4
   Road Accident Fund                     117.6           145.0           167.2              196.2            233.3
   Compensation Fund                       13.1            11.3            11.9                12.6             12.9
 Net asset value                           42.3            27.2            22.6                13.0             -1.7
  Unemployment Insurance Fund             109.4           123.1           138.3              155.9            175.8
   Road Accident Fund                    -110.2           -134.5          -155.9             -184.8           -221.8
   Compensation Fund                       43.1            38.6            40.2                41.9             44.3
1. Includes the Compensation Commissioner for Occupational Diseases in Mines and Works
Source: National Treasury

Unemployment Insurance Fund
The UIF, funded by employee and employer contributions, has                              UIF remains financially
accumulated a significant reserve – the result of an imbalance between                   strong, with accumulated
contributions and benefit payments.                                                      surplus of R90.3 billion

In 2014/15, total revenue was R28 billion, a 34 per cent improvement from
2013/14. Expenses amounted to R8.9 billion in 2014/15, of which
R7.2 billion was paid to 707 000 beneficiaries who make up 8.1 per cent of
the fund’s total contributors. As a result of the better-than-expected
financial performance in 2014/15, the fund’s accumulated surplus grew to
R90.3 billion and its net asset position improved to R109.4 billion.
Over the medium term, the UIF expects to pay R35.6 billion in benefits.                  UIF using some of its
The draft Unemployment Insurance Bill proposes to improve maternity,                     resources to support
illness and death benefits for eligible contributors. The fund will also use             training and maintain jobs
its investment portfolio to support job creation, allocating about
R1.6 billion to support training of 15 000 people in artisan and related
skills. The UIF has allocated R229.1 million over the medium term to
Productivity South Africa to maintain an estimated 35 000 jobs at risk.

                                                                                                                       107
2016 BUDGET REVIEW

                                Road Accident Fund
RAF remains inequitable         The RAF was designed to provide compensation for the economic losses
and unaffordable                of persons injured in road accidents and limit the financial liability of those
                                at fault. Over time, it has become inequitable and unaffordable. The fund
                                has been insolvent for over 30 years and a large amount of money is
                                absorbed by legal costs. The RAF’s long-term liabilities of R117.6 billion
                                are projected to grow to R233.1 billion over the next three years, despite
                                the 50c/litre increase in the RAF fuel levy in the 2015 Budget.
RAF’s financial position will   Growing liabilities reflect increased road accidents, court settlements and
continue to deteriorate over    improved claims payments. The number of finalised claims grew from
medium term                     170 043 in 2012/13 to 183 933 in 2014/15. Over the same period, the
                                average value of settled claims increased from R65 844 to R114 969. The
                                RAF’s financial position is expected to deteriorate over the medium term.
                                Benefit payments are expected to grow at an average annual rate of
                                7.4 per cent, but revenue growth will remain largely flat, at 1.2 per cent per
                                year. While the fund runs a large accrual deficit, this has no effect on the
                                consolidated budget balance. On a cash basis, the accounting method by
                                which transactions in government are recorded, the fund runs a surplus.
Bill for new Road Accident      In 2015, government concluded consultations at the National Economic
Benefit Scheme to be            Development and Labour Council to replace the RAF with the Road
introduced in 2016/17           Accident Benefit Scheme (RABS). The RABS will be more equitable and
                                affordable, providing limited income, medical, rehabilitation and funeral
                                benefits. Funded through the fuel levy, RABS is based on social security
                                principles, moving away from the current liability insurance system. The
                                change introduces benefits to all accident victims, regardless of the nature
                                of the accident or the assumed fault of the driver. As a result, less time and
                                money will be spent on accident investigation and legal services. The
                                Department of Transport is expected to table a RABS bill in 2016/17.

                                Compensation Fund
Compensation Fund has           The Compensation Fund pays benefits to workers who experience loss of
grown its investments and       income as a result of injury, death or disease in the course of employment.
reduced expenditure, and        Its financial position remains strong. The 2014 actuarial valuation showed
claims backlog is clearing      an accumulated surplus of R23 billion and a technical liability of
                                R18 billion. The value of investments grew by 20 per cent to R49.8 billion
                                in 2014/15, while in-year revenues totalled R14.5 billion. Expenditure fell
                                from R15.9 billion in 2013/14 to R7.9 billion in 2014/15.
                                Claims are projected to grow substantially over the medium term due to
                                enhancements to the fund’s integrated claims management system and
                                associated staff training. New claims registered are expected to increase
                                from 225 511 in 2014/15 to 392 229 in 2018/19, of which 95 per cent will
                                be finalised within one year. Work is in progress to clear the backlog of
                                claims and improve turnaround times.
                                In 2014/15, the Minister of Labour established a task team to resolve audit
                                findings raised by the Auditor General of South Africa.

108
CHAPTER 8: FINANCIAL POSITION OF PUBLIC-SECTOR INSTITUTIONS

      Government Employees Pension Fund
The Government Employees Pension Fund (GEPF) provides retirement                  Actuarial valuation shows
security to about 1.3 million current public employees and 400 000                GEPF continues to remain
pensioners. Total contributions to the fund increased from R50 billion to         financially sustainable
R56 billion in 2014/15, mainly as a result of public-sector salary increases.
The employer’s contribution to the fund was R36 billion. Pensions were
increased at the full rate of consumer price inflation in 2014/15, as has
been the practice over the past decade.
The fund performs an actuarial assessment of its liabilities every two
years. The 2014 valuation showed the fund held R1.425 trillion in assets,
sufficient to cover 121.5 per cent of its liabilities on a best-estimate basis.
On a stricter solvency-based liability measure, assets cover 83.1 per cent
of liabilities, an improvement on the 2012 valuation of 74.1 per cent.

Table 8.7 Government Employees Pension Fund actuarial
          valuation, 2008 – 2014
 R billion                         2008       2010        2012        2014
 Assets at market value            707.0      801.0      1 038.9     1 425.7
 Best estimate liabilities         613.6      736.7      1 011.6     1 173.5
 Solvency liabilities              828.5    1 081.6      1 475.8     1 714.9
 Funding position
   on best estimate liabilities   115.2%     108.7%      102.7%      121.5%
  on solvency liabilities       85.3%         74.1%       70.4%       83.1%
Source: Government Employees Pension Fund

The 2015 public-sector wage agreement is likely to have had a negative            Public-sector wage
impact on the financial position of the GEPF. Each percentage point               agreement likely to increase
increase in public-sector salaries will increase GEPF liabilities by about        GEPF liabilities
R9 billion, without having any effect on the value of its assets. The
increase in long-term interest rates since the 2014 valuation, however, is
likely to have reduced the value of the fund’s liabilities, potentially
improving its position.
The Public Investment Corporation (PIC) invests the funds of the GEPF             PIC’s investments generate
and the social security funds. As at March 31 2015, the PIC had                   returns to pay pensions and
R1.8 trillion in assets under management. Of these funds, 89 per cent             social security obligations
belonged to public employees and 9 per cent was managed on behalf of the
social security funds. These investments must generate sufficient returns to
pay pensions and social security obligations. About 88 per cent of the
funds are invested in local equities and fixed-income securities. Assets
invested on behalf of the GEPF delivered returns between 10 and
14 per cent during 2014/15. During that year, the PIC approved
R11.3 billion worth of developmental investments that funded 349 small
businesses, creating 55 000 jobs and adding 489MW of green energy to
the national electricity grid.

      Summary
Public entities make a broad range of contributions to national                   Reforms aim to stabilise
development. To deliver on their developmental priorities, these                  entities, resolve governance
institutions need to be financially sound and self-sustaining. While many         concerns and restore
of these institutions remain in good financial health, several are not and        financial sustainability
pose risks to the fiscus. Government is conducting a broad programme of

                                                                                                              109
2016 BUDGET REVIEW

                              reforms to stabilise these entities in the short term and strengthen the
                              institutional framework for overseeing state-owned companies.
Any support for public-       Rationalisation and private-sector participation will be considered as part
sector institutions must be   of developing a streamlined portfolio of sustainable, well-governed
consistent with sustainable   entities. Over the period ahead, any support for public-sector institutions
public finances               must be consistent with sustainable public finances.

110
You can also read