Fool's Gold The financial institutions risking our renewable energy future with coal - Europe Beyond Coal

Page created by Salvador Thornton
 
CONTINUE READING
Fool's Gold The financial institutions risking our renewable energy future with coal - Europe Beyond Coal
Fool’s Gold
The financial institutions
risking our renewable energy future
with coal

                                      1 | Fool’s Gold
about this briefing
       This briefing is an initiative of the Europe Beyond Coal campaign.

       The individuals who contributed to the briefing: Kaarina Kolle (lead author), Greg McNevin (producer).

       With help from:
       Joshua Archer, Carlota Ruiz Bautista, Diana Best, Katrin Ganswindt, Kuba Gogolewski,
       Kathrin Gutmann, Alastair Jackson, Jiri Jerabek, Dave Jones, Hanna Hakko, Vera Kauppinen,
       Ernst-Jan Kuiper, Yann Louvel, Jeanne Martin, Lorette Philippot, Lucie Pinson, Felix Reitz,
       Regine Richter and Antonio Tricarico

       Disclaimer
       This publication and related materials are not intended to provide and do not constitute financial or investment advice.
       The Europe Beyond Coal campaign or the organisations that have contributed to the development of this briefing
       make no representation regarding the advisability or suitability of investing in or divesting any particular company,
       investment fund or other vehicle or of using the services of any particular entity, pension provider or other service
       provider for the provision of investment services. A decision to invest in or to divest should not be made in reliance on
       any of the statements set forth in this publication. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the information in this
       publication is correct, we cannot guarantee its accuracy and the Europe Beyond Coal campaign or the organisations
       that have contributed to the development of this briefing shall not be liable for any claims or losses of any nature
       in connection with information contained in this document, including (but not limited to) lost profits or punitive or
       consequential damages or claims in negligence.

       For enquiries, please contact : Kaarina Kolle, kaarina@beyond-coal.eu

       Supported by:

                                                                                                       Published: July 2020

Fool’s Gold | 2
Contents
  Executive summary                                                     04

   Introduction                                                         06

  1. Result                                                             07

   European Investors                                                   07

   Largest investor: BlackRock                                          11

   European creditors                                                   13

   Significant non-European creditors: Japanese megabanks               17

   The insurance sector                                                 19

  2. Focus utilities                                                    20

   Coal-related emissions are steadily decreasing                       20

   Focus utilities                                                      21

   Utilities coal operations outside of Europe                          22

   Selling coal assets instead of closing them                          22

   ‘Scope 4 emissions’ – the harmful impact of the lobbying practices   23

  3. The science behind 1.5 degrees Celsius                             28

  4. Methodology                                                        31

  Annex I - Europe Beyond Coal Principles Criteria for                  32
  Financial Institutions for Developing Thermal Coal Exit Policies
  Annex II - Financial data                                             36

  Annex III - Sources                                                   42
Executive summary
         The coal phase-out across Europe is happening        based CO₂ emissions: RWE, PGE, EPH, ČEZ,
         faster than anyone thought it would. In 2019,        Enel/Endesa and Fortum/Uniper. Most of the
         Europe saw a record number of coal retirements       assessed utilities show signs of a coal exit but
         and several countries announced coal phase-out       not in the timelines required by science or with
         plans and power utilities have taken new steps       problematic design for the transition of their
         towards decommissioning their coal assets.           energy portfolios. Financial ties are defined as
         Coal was already in structural decline 1 but         issued loans and underwriting services, bonds
         COVID-19 and the associated social distancing        and investments. We bundle investments
         measures have led to the further downfall of         and bonds under ‘investors’ while those
         coal. The exact impact of the pandemic is yet        financial institutions associated with loans
         to be determined but with electricity demand         and underwriting are described as ‘creditors’.
         significantly reduced, a low gas price, booming      These financial institutions have been dubbed
         renewables and carbon price still holding up         the ‘Exposed Eight’ as their financial ties to coal
         well, the European coal sector is in trouble.        have left them reputationally and financially
                                                              vulnerable. Bond and shareholdings were
         The recovery from the pandemic offers us a           included according to their most recent filing
         once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to rebuild our        dates at the time of the retrieval: mainly in
         economy and to tackle the most important near-       February 2020. The financial data for loan and
         term measure to climate-proof the post-COVID         underwriting deals by creditors is November
         energy system: a just and rapid transition from      2018 - December 2019.
         coal to renewable energy. This is where the
         financial institutions must join the collective      This research finds that the most coal-exposed
         effort and recalibrate their financial ties with     investor associated with these utilities, the
         the European coal companies.                         Norwegian Government Pension Fund, has
                                                              invested €1.5 billion in shares and bonds.
         Therefore, any financial ties to Europe’s most       Other highly important investors include Crédit
         polluting utilities must either be coupled with      Agricole, Allianz’s through third party assets,
         forceful coal company engagement calling for a       and Deutsche Bank. In total, the investment by
         coal phase out in Europe, OECD countries and         the four largest investors equalled €5.0 billion.
         Russia by 2030, or support to these companies
         must cease altogether. Based on the limited          On the creditor side, UniCredit was the
         1.5 degrees Celsius global carbon budget, coal       largest bank, providing €2.8 billion in loans
         emissions have to fall extremely fast this decade    and underwriting services, followed by BNP
         in all The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate        Paribas, Barclays and Société Générale since
         Change (IPCC) 1.5 degrees Celsius emissions          the IPCC 1.5 °C report was released in October
         pathways leading to reductions by around four-       2018. In total, the crediting has amounted up
         fifths in 2030 relative to 2010*. In short, the      to €7.9 billion.
         success of the Paris Agreement is intimately
         linked to the success of quickly phasing out coal
         in the electricity sector.

         The report takes a close look at eight European
         financial institutions with the most significant
         ties to eight significant coal utilities in Europe
         that are responsible for half of all EU coal-

         * The non-overshoot scenario (P1 scenario)

Fool’s Gold | 04
Norwegian                                                                            1 - 300
                Government
                Pension Fund                                                                        301 - 600

                                                                                                    601 - 900
investor

                                                                                                   901 - 1200

                                                                                                   Over 1201

                                                                                                   (€ million)
creditor

Figure 1 : The ‘Exposed Eight’ and the financial ties to European coal companies. The investors also represent
the asset managers. Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo. Shares
and bonds data extracted February 2020, based on the most recent filing date. Loans and underwriting data
reflects the period from November 2018 until December 2019.

The report also explores some of the most                 the financial institutions associated with coal
important international financial institutions            are highly likely to also be supporters of other
backing the chosen European coal utilities                fossil fuels, such as gas, oil and tar sands. In
for this report: BlackRock and the Japanese               fact, nearly every coal company featured in
megabanks. BlackRock is the world’s largest               this report has fossil gas expansion plans.
investor and the Japanese megabanks the biggest           Ultimately, these financial institutions must
lenders to coal plant developers worldwide 2.             have a comprehensive set of policies to ensure
BlackRock’s investments in the eight European             that all high carbon assets are decommissioned
coal power utilities total €7.0 billion. Mizuho           and have an all-encompassing approach to the
Financial Group, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial                fossil fuel industry.
Group (SMBC) and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial
Group (MUFG) have provided loans and                      European capital is deserting coal: restrictive
underwriting for European coal corporations               policies by European banks, investors and
with €1.9 billion between November 2018 and               insurance companies have been adopted at an
December 2019.                                            increasing rate. Unfortunately, the frequency of
                                                          new policies does not necessarily reflect their
It is noteworthy that many financial institutions         quality. Coal policies are now commonplace
provide additional support beyond lending                 but are often ridden with exceptions and tepid
and investment in the form of insurance and               corporate engagement practices. The European
reinsurance lines of business. The insurance              coal utilities are, in effect, too often treated
sector plays a critical role in perpetuating the          with kid gloves. Instead, deeper exclusions and
use of coal, but that role falls outside the remit        appropriately forceful engagement are required
of the data analysis presented herein.                    to change the course in Europe in order to
                                                          achieve a coal phase-out by 2030, as well as in
Furthermore, the other forms of fossil fuels              the rest of the OECD and Russia, and by 2040
are not part of the research. Unfortunately,              globally.

                                                                                                        05 | Fool’s Gold
Introduction                                                                      crisis has erased the remaining profitability of
                                                                                           most coal power plants. However, many utilities
         In Europe, coal power is a dead man walking.                                      may not feel the full force of this as they sold
         Thanks to the tidal force of economics, in                                        their electricity before prices crashed*. In
         unregulated markets where coal does not                                           short, a coal phaseout by 2030 in Europe is not
         benefit from subsidies, coal-power generation                                     guaranteed. More is needed from the decision-
         is largely unprofitable 3. The EU ETS (Emissions                                  makers and, importantly, from those financial
         Trading System) price, which has been fairly                                      institutions that are still bankrolling coal.
         resilient despite the COVID-19 crisis that made
         the European economies contract, coupled                                          Consequently, those private finance institutions
         with a low gas price and highly competitive                                       that support coal companies have the
         renewables have ensured that coal is now falling                                  responsibility to usher in the low-carbon
         behind competing sources of energy 4.                                             transition. Fortunately, the European financial
                                                                                           institutions have demonstrated to the rest of
         The European power utilities mostly responsible                                   the world what is possible. Between January
         for burning European coal are demonstrably                                        and June 2020, European financial institutions
         transitioning. Even in the most notorious                                         released nearly one new policy per week
         coal countries such as Poland and Germany                                         limiting financial ties to coal companies 6. Coal
         companies have started to introduce long-term                                     policies by European banks, investors and
         plans where coal no longer features. However,                                     insurance companies have been adopted at an
         it is also increasingly clear that these coal                                     increasing rate since the Paris Agreement 7 and
         exits are not taking place in a straightforward                                   most coal policies are, in fact, already revisions
         manner. They are often only prompted by                                           and updates rather than completely new ones.
         national government mandated phase-outs, and                                      Therefore, it can be maintained that coal
         they generally take place too sluggishly. In many                                 policies have become the starting point and a
         countries the process is marred by converting                                     staple of financial institutions’ climate policies.
         coal plants to burn fossil gas or unsustainable
         biomass instead. These same plans also often                                      However, it is evident in the ‘Results’ chapter of
         involve highly dubious political maneuvering                                      this document that the European coal policies
         to maximise the handouts given on the basis of                                    do not yet reach far enough. In order to step up
         early closures. Coal in Europe was already in                                     to the plate the financial institutions must strive
         structural decline prior to the COVID-19 crisis,                                  for better quality policies and close existing
         with historic drop in generation in 2019 5, that                                  loopholes.
         only solidified a multi-year trend. The COVID-19

         Financial Institutions behind Europe’s most polluting coal power utilities

            Investors                                         € billion   Creditors                                         € billion

                            Norwegian Government
                            Pension Fund                       1.5                                                           2.8        Figure 2: The
                                                                                                                                        ‘Exposed Eight’
                                                               1.4                                                           2.1        and their capital
                                                                                                                                        flows into RWE,
                                                                                                                                        PGE, EPH, ČEZ,
                                                               1.1                                                           1.7        Enel/Endesa and
                                                                                                                                        Fortum/Uniper.

                                                               1.0                                                           1.3        Source:
                                                                                                                                        Bloomberg
                                                                Total                                                         Total     Terminal and
                                                               5.0        * Loans and underwriting since the IPCC Special    7.9        Thomson EIKON.
           * Shares and bonds (extracted Feb 2020, based on
             the most recent filing date).                     billion      Report on Global Warming of 1.5 C published
                                                                            October 2018 until December 2019.
                                                                                                                             billion    Data compiled by
                                                                                                                                        Profundo.

         * For example, Fortum/Uniper and RWE have all stated that they remain largely unaffected by the crisis due to hedging.

Fool’s Gold | 06
1.                Results
This report explores the financial flows from                    institutions, and provides more detail on each
shareholding, bonds, lending and underwriting                    of the assessment criteria.
benefiting the eight most significant European
coal companies measured in annual coal-based                     It is crucial to highlight that the financial
emissions: RWE, PGE, EPH, ČEZ, Enel/Endesa                       institutions below are not only associated
and Fortum/Uniper. The results are presented                     with coal but are, in fact, usually significant
for European investors, BlackRock, European                      supporters of the fossil fuel sector as a whole** .
creditors and the Japanese megabanks. The                        Fossil fuels like oil, gas, tar sands and shale
detailed methodology can be found in chapter 4.                  oil are far less comprehensively tackled than
                                                                 coal, and feature infrequently in financial
Each section includes details on the financial                   institutions’ exclusion policies. Therefore, the
data and the interpretation of the results                       analysis below does not reflect the financial
in the context of each financial institution.                    institutions’ overall climate change policies
Furthermore, since every financial institution                   – only their approaches concerning coal, the
highlighted in this report has existing coal                     dirtiest of fossil fuels in absolute climate terms.
policies in place, the analysis will shed light on
their respective weaknesses and where they                       Furthermore, financial institutions often play
should be improved. The coal policies have                       multiple roles as investors, creditors and
been analysed taking into account the entire                     insurers. The coal policy analysis below has
coal supply chain going beyond the European                      been conducted to reflect the part of the
coal utilities, and covering the following                       business that is relevant for the data presented,
central elements:                                                e.g. split along the lines of asset owners and
                                                                 asset managers (bonds and shares) or banks
   • Project finance (not relevant to asset                      (loans and underwriting).
     owners and asset managers).
   • Coal developers.
   • Exclusion thresholds for corporate                          European Investors
     finance (based on revenue, production
     or capacity).*                                              The research finds that at the end of the year
   • Absolute thresholds for well-diversified                    2019 the top four European investors held
     coal companies (Mt of coal produced or                      €5.0 billion in shares or bonds in the eight
     GW capacity).                                               focus coal companies. It is as much as the
   • Phase-out policies adopted by the                           European Investment Bank’s contribution to
     financial institutions and phase-out                        the EU response to Covid-19 given to vulnerable
     plans requested from coal companies                         countries outside European Union 8. Bond and
     (considered as a powerful form of                           shareholdings were researched as of their most
     engagement).                                                recent filing dates: for bonds in the timeframe
   • Just transition.                                            November 2018-19 and for shares mainly
                                                                 February 2020. A detailed analysis of the
                                                                 current coal policies are compiled in table 1.
Annex I of the report includes a comprehensive
set of recommendations on coal to financial

* In Europe, power utilities’ coal share of revenue is currently extremely low. Therefore a revenue based metric is inappro
  priate and should be reserved only for mining.
** F
    or example, both Amundi and Axa voted against a climate-related resolution filed at the Total AGM. Access at (in
   French): https://www.connaissancedesenergies.org/afp/sous-les-pressions-la-finance-francaise-sort-lentement-du-
   charbon-200619. Furthermore, BNP Paribas was the biggest European fossil bank in 2019, despite its policy on
   unconventional oil and gas financing. Access at: https://www.ran.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Banking_on_Cli-
   mate_Change__2020_vF.pdf

                                                                                                                    07 | Fool’s Gold
While the report focuses primarily on the                       mining and production assets. Therefore,
         European financial institutions, the largest                    Crédit Agricole has not yet fully implemented
         investors through share and bond holding are                    the divestment phase. However, if the policy is
         largely headquartered in the US. Therefore, in                  followed through as intended the company’s
         order to truly shape the companies’ behaviour                   exposure to European coal should decrease
         or economic outlook through shareholder                         soon, depending on the assessment process. It
         activism – or divestment – it is not enough                     is to be noted that Crédit Agricole plays a dual
         just to focus on the European finance actors.                   role as investors and creditor and the policy
         Inevitably,    many      company     engagement                 covers both businesses**.
         interventions will also require US and other
         globally relevant financial institutions to adopt               Allianz is in third place among European
         strict coal policies to exclude companies, and to               investors with €1.1 billion, mostly in Enel.
         boldly unleash biting engagement practices.                     Structurally, Allianz’s business operations
                                                                         cover both insurance and asset management,
         Similarly to the previous Fool’s Gold report of                 this report only reflects the latter. As of
         2019, The Norwegian Government Pension                          December 31st, 2019, in the same time period
         Fund remains the largest European investor                      as the financial data used in this report, it
         with €1.5 billion in shares and bonds. The                      had approximately €2.3 trillion assets under
         Fund had already excluded the Central and                       management, with €1.7 trillion of third-party
         Eastern European (CEE) power companies in                       assets, making it one of the largest asset
         2017, therefore all financial ties are associated               managers in the world. Allianz’s exposure
         with the Western utilities. Since retrieving                    to European coal comes through in the data
         the financial data (dated February 2020) the                    primarily due to the third-party assets that
         exclusion list of the Fund has been updated 9,10.               are managed through subsidiaries: Allianz
         Norges Bank, tasked with the management                         Global Investors and PIMCO. Allianz introduced
         of the Fund, now excludes RWE from its                          a divestment decision in 2015 and also a coal
         investment universe. Until May 2020, the Fund                   policy in 2018, which has since been tightened.
         has been RWE’s third biggest investor *. Endesa                 However, the data demonstrates that the third-
         has been on Norges Banks’ observation list                      party assets remain a blind spot for the asset
         since 2016, and Enel was added this year. Also,                 owning giant.
         Uniper is now under observation, making its
         parent Fortum the last remaining focus utility                  Finally, Deutsche Bank is the fourth largest
         that the Fund has not extended its policy to.                   investor with €1.0 billion. Deutsche Bank also
                                                                         plays a significant dual role as an investor and
         The second largest investor is Crédit Agricole                  a creditor ***. As an investor, mostly through
         with €1.4 billion. The main sources of capital                  DWS **** and Deutsche Asset Management,
         flows into the focus utilities come from Amundi                 Deutsche Bank is one of the few European
         and Pioneer Investment, both Crédit Agricole                    investors that is associated with every coal
         asset managers. However, in 2019 the group                      company featured in the report. It therefore has
         Crédit Agricole announced a new coal policy 11                  a substantial coal exposure and, consequently,
         that placed rather strict expectations on coal                  a heightened stranded asset risk. At the time
         companies. Crédit Agricole committed to                         of writing, Deutsche Bank has also one of
         phase out coal in its investment and assets                     the weakest coal policies among the major
         under management portfolios by 2030 in the                      European financial institutions, since neither
         EU and OECD countries, this is aligned with                     the bank nor its subsidiaries limit general
         the recommendations of Europe Beyond Coal.                      corporate finance to power utilities 12.
         As part of the policy, companies are asked
         to provide Crédit Agricole by 2021 with a
         detailed phasing out plan of their coal-sector

         * Municipalities not counted (KEB Holding and City of Essen)
         ** Crédit Agricole’s loans and underwriting services to the eight focus utilities November 2018 - December 2019 total €0.5
             billion.
         *** Deutsche Bank’s loans and underwriting services to the eight focus utilities November 2018 - December 2019 total €1.3
              billion.
         **** Listed on Frankfurt Stock Exchange; Deutsche Bank is majority shareholder.

Fool’s Gold | 08
Table 1: Heat map for the quality of the coal policies of the
    investors. The assessment matrix is based on the thermal                            Policy aligned with
                                                                                        EBC thermal coal
    coal recommendations by Europe Beyond Coal and Reclaim                              recommendations
                                                                                                                   No policy
    Finance 13. Please note that the policy analysis excludes the                       (Annex I)
    insurance sector since the financial data of the report does
    not explicitly touch upon insurance activities.

                                                        Relative threshold         Absolute
  Financial                                                (% of capacity,                           Phase-out /               Just
                     Type          Developers                                      threshold
 Institution                                                production or                            engagement             transition
                                                              revenue)              (Mt/GW)

                                                         Exclusion of              20MT/
Norwegian                                                mining and                10GW
Government                                               power companies           However,
                   Asset
Pension                           No                     above 30% of              the Fund          No                    No 15
                   Owner
Fund                                                     revenues or power         allows
(GPFG) 14                                                generation from           exceptions
                                                         coal.                     *, **

                                                                                                                           Social and
                                                                                                                           human rights
                                                         Exclusion of                                Full phase-out        commit-
                                                         mining and power                            strategy by           ments
                                                         companies above                             2030 in the           included
                                                         25% of revenues                             OECD and              in the
                                                         from thermal coal                           2040 in the rest      policies for
                                                         but with large                              of the world.         the Metals
                                  Exclusion              exceptions and                                                    and Mining
Crédit             Asset          of all coal            using the wrong                             By 2021, a            Sectors. For
                                                                                   No                requirement
Agricole           Owner          developers             metric revenues                                                   example,
                                  from 2021.             instead of power                            for coal              Impact
                                                         generation.                                 companies             on local
                                                                                                     to have a             communities
                                                         Companies above                             phase-out plan        (physical
                                                         25% of revenues                             by according          and
                                                         are assessed until                          to these              economic
                                                         2021.                                       deadlines.            population
                                                                                                                           displace-
                                                                                                                           ments).16

                                                                                                     Full phase-out
                                                                                                     strategy by
                                                         Exclusion of                                2030 in the
                                                                                   Exclusion         OECD and
                                                         mining and power          of mining
                                                         companies above                             2040 in the rest
Crédit                                                                             companies         of the world.
                                                         25% of revenues
Agricole                          Exclusion                                        above 100
                                                         from thermal coal                           By 2021, a
                   Asset          of all coal                                      Mt of coal
Amundi                                                   but with large                              requirement           No ***
                   Manager        developers                                       production
& Pioneer                                                exceptions and                              for coal
                                  from 2021.                                       per year
Investment                                               using the wrong                             companies
                                                         metric revenues           with some
                                                                                   large ex-         to have a
                                                         instead of power                            phase-out plan
                                                         generation.               ceptions.
                                                                                                     by according
                                                                                                     to these
                                                                                                     deadlines.

    *   BHP Group Ltd/BHP Group Plc has not been excluded despite extracting more than 20 Mt thermal coal per annum.
        Access at: https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/news-list/2020/exclusion-and-observation-of-coal-companies/
    ** “ Evaluation based on an overall assessment of relevant considerations including, inter alia, emissions and emission
        intensity, forward-looking plans and frameworks on climate.” Access at: https://www.regjeringen.no/en/aktuelt/styrker-og-
        klargjor-de-etiske- retningslinjene/id2640405/
    *** Has taken part in PRI’s Just Transition work. Source: Amundi - Responsible Investment Policy 2019.

                                                                                                                          09 | Fool’s Gold
Relative threshold    Absolute
     Financial                                     (% of capacity,                 Phase-out /          Just
                    Type      Developers                               threshold
    Institution                                     production or                  engagement        transition
                                                      revenue)         (Mt/GW)

                             Exclusion
                             takes place
                             if companies
                             fail to present
                             a credible
                             transition
                             strategy.
                             Companies
                             that directly
                             or indirectly
                             (through entities
                             they control,       Exclusion of
                             minimum of          companies
                             50% stake)          above 30% of                      Proprietary
                             breach the          revenue, or power                 investment
                             following           generation from                   portfolio to
                             thresholds:         thermal coal                      fully phase out
                                                 with lowering of                  coal by 2040
                             1. Planning
                                                 threshold over                    at the latest
                   Asset     more than 0.3
   Allianz   17                                  time (i.e. 25% as     No          with lowering     No
                   Owner     gigawatts (GW)
                             of thermal
                                                 of December 31,                   of exclusion
                             coal capacity       2022).                            thresholds
                             additions.                                            over time and
                                                 Proprietary                       exclusion of
                             2. Whether a        investment                        coal plant
                             company is          portfolio to fully                developers.
                             planning and/       phase out coal by
                             or building         2040 at the latest.
                             additions of
                             more than 0.3
                             GW in coal
                             power capacity,
                             e.g. allowing
                             retrofitting or
                             refurbishment of
                             existing plants,
                             but to avoid the
                             building of new
                             plants.

   Allianz
   Allianz         Asset
                             No                  No                    No          No                No
   Global          Manager
   Investors

   Allianz         Asset
                             No                  No                    No          No                No
   PIMCO           Manager

   Deutsche
   Bank
                   Asset
   Deutsche                  No                  No                    No          No                No
                   Manager
   Asset
   Management

Fool’s Gold | 10
Relative threshold          Absolute
  Financial                                                  (% of capacity,                        Phase-out /                Just
                    Type             Developers                                        threshold
 Institution                                                  production or                         engagement              transition
                                                                revenue)               (Mt/GW)

Deutsche
Bank              Asset
                                     No                    No                          No           No                     No*
                  Manager
DWS

                                                            The full list of investors can be found at the end of the report (Annex II)

    Largest investor: BlackRock                                         BlackRock’s holdings in the major European
                                                                        coal companies are not only significant in
    At the end of 2019, BlackRock held shares                           absolute terms but it is also a major investor
    or bonds in every European coal company                             in relative terms (see figure 3). Given that
    included in this report. €7.0 billion in total,                     BlackRock has a significant global presence, its
    exceeding the amount held by all the investors                      local offices are involved in Europe its London
    included in the ‘Exposed Eight’. BlackRock is                       and Frankfurt offices are central (see figure 4).
    the world’s largest asset manager with €5.8                         Put differently, BlackRock’s decisions on how it
    trillion** in assets under management as of                         uses – or doesn’t use – its share- and bondholder
    March 31st 2020 (decreasing significantly due                       rights can determine whether climate-related
    to COVID-19). It is therefore unsurprising that                     shareholder initiatives pass or not.
    BlackRock emerges from the data as the most
    significant investor in European coal.

                           Share of BlackRock’s investments relative to other institutional investors
                                                                                                             *only bonds

                                               28 %

                             11%

                           10%

                           10%

                           8%

                           8%

                      4%

                      4% *

                      0         10        20          30        40      50        60        70     80      90        100 (%)
                             BlackRock            Other institutional investors

    Figure 3: Share of BlackRock’s investment to RWE, Uniper, Endesa, Fortum, ČEZ, Enel, EPH and PGE relative
    other institutional investors * * *. The holdings in EPH are bonds as the company is not listed on any stock
    exchange. Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo.

    * Part PRI working group on a Just Transition in 2019
    ** $6.5 trillion
    *** The data excludes, ie. national governments, municipalities, private individuals (see the chapter on Methodology).
         ČEZ, Enel, Fortum and PGE have also governmental shareholders.

                                                                                                                           11 | Fool’s Gold
Recently, BlackRock has taken the first tentative
                             9%
                                                                      steps in addressing coal in its portfolio. It
                                                                      announced in January that by the middle of
                                                                      2020 it would exit certain investments, a
                    BlackRock                                         process which has now been completed19.
                   Investments
                       per             30 %
                     manager                                             • Companies with 25% or higher revenue
          60 %       country                                               from thermal coal production will be
                                                                           excluded from all actively managed
                                                  Germany
                                                                           funds.
                                                  United Kingdom
                                                                         • Thermal coal will be out of all
                                                  United States            Environmental, Social, and Governance
                                                                           (ESG) funds.
          Figure 4: BlackRock’s European coal related                    • No direct thermal coal investments
          investments mostly originate from the US, the                    through alternatives business at same
          UK and Germany.
                                                                           exclusion (25% revenues from thermal
          Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson                           coal production).
          EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo
                                                                      According to analysis, the new policy affects
                                                                      less than 20% of the coal industry 20 and leaves
                                                                      out passive investment. BlackRock’s policy
                                                                      for actively managed investments only covers
         BlackRock has both active and passive invest-                businesses that sell thermal coal and not the
         ment strategies, accounting for ¼ and ¾ of                   companies that actually burn coal. Also out of
         assets under management (AUM) respectively.                  the policy’s scope are diversified coal companies
         This is important to appreciate because the                  and developers of new coal infrastructure. This
         company is often characterised as primarily                  means that, even if they do mine their own coal,
         a passive investor. Eschewing the traditional                the European utilities are not affected by the
         “active” role of the fund manager, passive funds             policy. BlackRock is the biggest shareholder of
         track market indices algorithmically without                 the world’s most significant lignite miner and
         needing individual managers to select the                    Europe’s biggest CO2 emitter, RWE 21 (see also
         contents of a portfolio. This is done primarily              Figure 3).
         for cost-cutting reasons, which explains why
         the passive funds are on the rise and account                In 2020, BlackRock appears to have turned
         for an increasing share of trading activity, and             a new leaf on its engagement practices. On
         have surged in market share.                                 January 9th, the firm joined the Climate Action
                                                                      100+, a major investor effort to pressure the
         Since indices are generally made of a list of                biggest polluting companies. Prior to this, as
         stocks representing a segment of the market,                 has been found in several studies tracking its
         there is a very high likelihood that coal                    voting results 22, 23, BlackRock has been found
         companies are part of the investment portfolio.              to largely ignore its responsibility in engaging
         Influence Map’s research confirms that the                   with corporate giants. The experience of the
         Thermal Coal Intensity (TCI) of BlackRock’s                  AGM season 2020 suggests that the asset
         funds differ: its passive funds had a higher                 manager is still not exercising its shareholder
         TCI than its active funds 18. Therefore, without             powers to the full extent to push companies into
         direct management discretion and with a                      needed transition (see Box 1 below). BlackRock
         very thinly resourced corporate engagement                   voted against the company management when
         team*, “In the past, numerous stakeholders                   it considered progress insufficient, including
         have voiced concern about the silent blessing                Uniper, Fortum, ČEZ and PGE, but it did not
         BlackRock has given to coal companies’ lack of               support climate-related initiatives.
         progress on phase-out plans. This silence has
         provided cover for status quo on coal finance.”

         * Its investment-stewardship team, although the largest among fund managers, numbers less than 50, meaning each
           member is responsible for as many as 500 companies.

Fool’s Gold | 12
BlackRock’s engagement litmus test: Fortum’s Annual General Meeting (AGM)

    In the 2020 Annual General Meeting (AGM) season, only one climate-related shareholder initiative
    was tabled for the focus utilities AGMs. The World Wildlife Fund (WWF) Finland submitted a climate
    risk shareholder proposal for voting consideration at Fortum’s 2020 annual meeting, asking the
    company to “Include Paris Agreement 1.5-degree Celsius Target in Articles of Association”. The
    proposal included an implicit request, as part of the supporting statement, to phase out coal in the
    geographies where Fortum and Uniper operate coal plants.

    BlackRock has been transparent in its voting, by publishing its stewardship practices 24. Therein,
    it is shown that BlackRock voted against the approval of the board and president’s discharge
    because the “decision by the board to significantly increase its exposure to coal energy generation
    (by acquiring Uniper) calls into question the board’s integration of climate risks into its corporate
    strategy”. However, it also abstained from voting on the abovementioned shareholder resolution.

    Based on the empirical evidence, a much more pronounced ramp-up in the ambition and forceful
    stewardship will be necessary to achieve the required changes in the coal sectors.

Box 1 : BlackRock’s engagement with European coal utilities during the AGM 2020 season.

European creditors                                                 policy but, as can be seen from the data in table
                                                                   2, the policy has not stopped controversial deals
For this research, the time period for the                         from taking place. The main loophole of the
financial data for loan and underwriting deals by                  policy protects existing clients by only asking
creditors is November 2018 - December 2019.                        them to be in line with Nationally Determined
The 2019 Fool’s Gold report derived its cut-off                    Contributions (NDC) of the countries where
year from the UN Paris Climate Agreement that                      their operations are located. The Czech-owned
was signed in 2016. Since then banks should                        energy group EPH, infamous for buying up
have drastically recalibrated the financial                        old coal assets all over Europe, is UniCredit’s
relationships vis-a-vis their corporate clients. In                existing corporate client. Since EPH operates
order to capture those financial institutions that                 in countries where the NDCs are largely
have most actively avoided their responsibilities                  inadequate* to meet the Paris Agreement, the
as good corporate citizens, this report brings                     exclusions are not enforced. Therefore, the data
the assessment period forward to the second                        confirm that the bank’s new coal policy has
significant milestone in climate governance: the                   limited real life impacts on the European coal
release of the IPCC special report on 1.5 degrees                  companies.
Celsius global warming (see chapter 3 for more
information).                                                      BNP Paribas is the second most significant
                                                                   financier of these companies, with €2.1
Therefore, this document uses the IPCC 1.5                         billion. In July 2020, the bank introduced
degrees Celsius special report as a crucial point in               a new coal-fired power generation policy 25
time that confirmed the necessary plummeting                       for company-level financing with substantial
coal trajectory. Any financial transaction                         exclusions affecting the focus utilities, in line
benefitting the coal industry thereafter has no                    with its thermal coal exit timeframe by 2030
excuse that could be explained with the time                       in the EU/OECD countries and by 2040 in the
needed for the financial institution to prepare                    rest of the world introduced in May 2020 26.
themselves.                                                        In 2020, its power clients planning new coal
                                                                   capacities or without an exit strategy that is
On the creditor side, UniCredit is the most                        consistent with the timeline will be gradually
significant bank providing €2.8 billion in                         excluded - even when a subsidiary is concerned.
loans and underwriting, similarly to last year’s                   Furthermore, it discourages coal acquisitions
findings. The bank has published a new coal                        by stating that no capacity additions to power

* Climate Action Tracker ranks the NDCs of all European countries as ‘insufficient’. Access at: https://climateactiontracker.org/

                                                                                                                         13 | Fool’s Gold
portfolios are allowed, including development                    plans aligned with the Paris climate goals. If
         or commissioning of coal-fired power plants.                     the plans do not align with the 2030/2040
         However, it does not formally require from                       coal phase-out timelines the clients should be
         clients the closure of companies’ coal assets,                   excluded without delay.
         which can lead them to be sold instead. Based
         on the information compiled in table 6, this                     Société Générale comes fourth with €1.3
         policy could lead to the exclusion of ČEZ,                       billion. In July 2019, the French bank committed
         Fortum/Uniper, EPH and PGE already this year.                    to exit the thermal coal sector by 2030 for
         BNP Paribas will conduct a review in 2021 to                     companies with assets in the European Union
         assess whether the clients are in line with the                  and the OECD, and by 2040 in the rest of the
         bank’s set deadlines, followed by an exclusion                   world. Based on the short-term criteria, few if
         if that is not the case. In 2021, we expect RWE                  any of the European coal utilities mentioned
         to be excluded if they have not brought their                    in this report are excluded from its financial
         coal exit date by 2030 and possibly Enel later                   services. This is supported by the results of table 2
         without sharpened plans. An annual review of                     showing that loans and underwriting have taken
         the companies’ strategies to exit coal will be                   place since the introduction of the 2019 policy,
         conducted and companies that fail to comply                      including loans to and underwriting of EPH.
         will be excluded - depending on the outcomes                     Société Générale should have mostly excluded, or
         of the annual coal exit strategy reviews.                        considered excluding against additional criteria,
                                                                          companies whose coal share of revenue exceeds
         Barclays follows in third place with €1.7                        50%. EPH, a regular client, has a very high coal
         billion. The bank has been under relentless                      share of power production, as well as revenues*,
         public and investor scrutiny for being Europe’s                  and is most likely classified as an “in transition
         most significant fossil fuel financier 27,28. Despite            company” ** that should be divested from if it
         Barclays new restrictions, the financial support                 “has plans to expand their (sic)... coal-fuelled
         to coal remains significant. In March 2020,                      power infrastructure” or “do not have an explicit
         Barclays announced a new coal policy laying                      corporate strategy consistent with becoming a
         out that it prohibits financing to clients with                  diversified company by 2025”. Given that 94% of
         more than 50% of their revenue from thermal                      the 4,000 MW of the EPH capacity added in 2019
         coal as of 2020, transitioning to 30% as of 2025,                is fossil fuel-based, including 1,800 MW in new
         and to 10% as of 2030. The policy is designed                    coal 29, it is possible that Société Générale has
         to apply to the entity being financed, whether                   broken its own coal policy through its dealings
         transacting with a group parent, subsidiary                      with EPH.
         or joint venture. Due to the unprofitability of
         coal in Europe any revenues-based metric is                      In July 2020, the bank announced that a new
         unlikely to be effective. Both Fortum/Uniper                     thermal coal policy will be adopted 30 revealing
         and Enel have reported that the coal share of                    its the high level updated exclusion criteria
         revenue is only approximately 2-4% (see table                    (further details are not available at the time
         6). Although Barclays detailed the long-term                     of the writing). It will henceforth exclude
         coal phase-out pathways, it also indicated that                  companies from most financial services that: a)
         no meaningful short-term exclusions would be                     generate over 25% of their revenues from the
         introduced in the next five years as the next                    thermal coal sector and when no credible exit
         ‘tightening up moment’ of the threshold takes                    strategy is provided; b) develop new mining,
         place only in 2025. In short, the new policy                     power plant or infrastructure projects related
         cemented the very low level of ambition and                      to thermal coal. However, they will provide
         therefore remains toothless in the context of                    financial services “dedicated to the energy
         European power utilities. As an immediate step,                  transition” irrespective of the coal exposure
         the thresholds should be significantly lowered                   and there are no requirements for companies
         in the short term and pegged to the coal share of                below the threshold. It is unsure how EPH and
         production instead of revenues for coal power                    other companies will be impacted by this.
         production. Barclays should also ask its coal-
         heavy clients to publish credible transition

         * According to the Global Coal Exit List, EPH’s coal share of revenue is more than 30% and coal share of production (based
            on capacity) 50%.
         ** D
             efined as either a) to have between 30% and 50% of their revenue linked to the thermal coal sector; or b) to have more
            than 50% of their revenue linked to the power sector and between 30% and 50% of their power capacity fueled by coal.

Fool’s Gold | 14
Table 2: How watertight are the coal policies? The financial data have been collected until February 2020 since
        the adoption of the latest coal policy of the bank. Barclays and BNP Paribas have been left out since the banks
        have updated coal policies in March and July 2020, respectively. Société Générale announced a new policy in
        July 2020, at the time of writing. Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo.

                             Date of the latest      Value of loans since the        Value of underwriting deals
               Bank
                                coal policy              last coal policy             since the last coal policy

                                                     €114 million (EPH)
             UniCredit        November 2019                                          N/A
                                                     €36 million (Enel)

                                                     €57 million (EPH)
             Société                                                                 €100 million (EPH)
                              July 2019              €638 million (Fortum)
             Générale                                                                €170 million (Enel)
                                                     €36 million (Enel)

        Table 3: Heat map for the quality of the coal policies of creditors. The assessment matrix is based on the
        thermal coal recommendations by Europe Beyond Coal and Reclaim Finance 31.

                                                       Relative threshold      Absolute
 Financial                                                (% of capacity,                      Phase-out /              Just
                     Projects         Developers                               threshold
Institution                                                production or                       engagement            transition
                                                             revenue)           (Mt/GW)

                                                       Exclusion of mining
                                                       companies above
                                                       25% of revenues
                                     Exclusion of      from coal, and
                                     some coal         power companies
                 Exclusion of
                                     developers        above 30% of coal
                 thermal coal
                                     based on          capacity, and other
UniCredit        mines and coal                                                 No           No                      No
                                     relative          criteria for new
                 plants, includ-
                                     share of coal     clients, but large
                 ing retrofits.
                                     revenues/         exceptions based
                                     capacity.         on NDCs and wrong
                                                       metric used with
                                                       capacity instead of
                                                       power generation.

                                                                                             Phase-out of
                                                                                             the coal power
                                                                                             and mining
                                                       Exclusion of mining                   sector in the EU/
                                                                                             OECD by 2030
                 Exclusion of                          companies above
                                                                                             and worldwide
                 thermal coal                          50% of revenues
BNP                                                                                          by 2040 with
                 mines, and          Exclusion of      from coal. No new
                                                                                             mandatory
Paribas          coal plants         coal plant        clients that derive      No
                                                                                             requirement for
                                                                                                                     No 34
32,33            (including          developers.       more than 25% of
                                                                                             companies in this
                 retrofits) and                        its revenues from
                                                                                             sector to have an
                 infrastructure.                       coal-fired power                      exit plan aligned
                                                       generation.                           by the end of 2021
                                                                                             and exclusion
                                                                                             of all coal plant
                                                                                             developers.

                                                                                                                  15 | Fool’s Gold
Relative threshold         Absolute
    Financial                                                    (% of capacity,                          Phase-out /               Just
                        Projects           Developers                                    threshold
   Institution                                                    production or                           engagement             transition
                                                                    revenue)             (Mt/GW)

                                                                                                                                Yes.
                    Mostly a
                                                                                                                                The policy
                    good policy
                                                                                                                                includes
                    with some
                                                                                                                                intention
                    exceptions                                                                                                  to provide
                    given to                                                                                                    finance to
                    retrofitting of                                                                                             help train
                    plants.                                                                                                     and upskill
                                                                                                                                current and
                    No project                                Financing to clients                                              future work-
                    finance to                                with more than 50%                                                force.
                    enable the                                of their revenue
                    construction                              from thermal coal                                                 It is unclear
                    or material                               as of 2020,                                                       whether just
                    expansion                                 transitioning to 30%                                              transition
                    of coal-fired                             as of 2025, and to                                                is used to
                    power stations.                           10% as of 2030.                                                   legitimise
   Barclays                                                                                                                     extended
   35               No project            No                                             No             No
                                                              Using the wrong                                                   timelines
                    finance for the                                                                                             for the high
                    development                               metric of revenues
                                                              instead of power                                                  carbon
                    of greenfield                                                                                               industry,
                    thermal coal                              generation.
                                                                                                                                mainly in
                    mines.                                                                                                      the context
                                                              The exclusions are
                                                                                                                                of Canadian
                    No general                                effective extremely                                               oil sands.
                    corporate                                 late.                                                             Just
                    financing that                                                                                              transition
                    is specified as                                                                                             should
                    being for new                                                                                               never
                    or expanded                                                                                                 be used
                    coal mining                                                                                                 to justify
                    or coal-fired                                                                                               unduly
                    power plant                                                                                                 prolonged
                    development.                                                                                                phase-out
                                                                                                                                timelines *.

                    Strong policy
                                                              Exclusion of
                    on exclusions
                                                              companies with
                    to thermal coal                                                                     Phase-out of
                                                              more than 25%
                    projects.                                                                           coal mining
                                                              of revenues from
                                                                                                        and coal power
                                                              thermal coal.
                    No finance to                                                                       by 2030 in EU/
                                                              Includes large
   Société          thermal coal                                                                        OECD and 2040
                                          Exclusion of        exceptions for
                    extraction,                                                                         worldwide, and
   Générale                               coal plant          companies without          No                                     No
                    transport or                                                                        exclusion of all
   36,37                                  developers.         a credible exit
                    transformation,                                                                     coal developers.
                                                              strategy from
                    or coal-                                                                            However, phase-
                                                              the coal sector.
                    fueled power                                                                        out commitment
                                                              Furthermore, the
                    production                                                                          only for lending,
                                                              wrong metric since
                    units and                                                                           not underwriting.
                                                              revenues instead of
                    associated
                                                              generation is used.
                    infrastructure.

                                                               The full list of creditors can be found at the end of the report (Annex II)

           * E
              xcerpts from the 2019 ESG report, “...we take responsibility for asking our clients the right questions about their
             response to the displacement of individuals from the security of employment; particularly those from more vulnerable
             groups.” and “We are committed to supporting this transition by identifying and financing the deployment of affordable,
             sustainable and economically feasible technologies that provide energy security over the long term, which is crucial for
             both developed and developing economies.”

Fool’s Gold | 16
Significant non-European                                       with €0.3 billion are the 9th, 19th and 29th
creditors: Japanese megabanks                                  most significant creditors in European coal. In
                                                               total, the Japanese megabanks have financed
The data reveal another significant country                    European coal corporations with €1.9 billion
bankrolling European coal utilities outside of                 between November 2018 and December 2019*.
domestic and American financial institutions:
Japan. The Japanese megabanks have provided                    The SMBC Group demonstrates a relatively
funding in the form of loans and underwriting                  Central and Eastern European (CEE) client
associated with five out of eight coal-reliant                 base where the power utilities’ coal production
power utilities highlighted in this report. If                 can be extremely high. EPH is particularly
we include all financial institutions within                   problematic since the utility’s business model
and beyond Europe, Mizuho Financial                            revolves heavily around acquiring unwanted
Group with €1.0 billion, Sumitomo Mitsui                       coal plants in Europe and as an unlisted
Financial Group (SMBC) with €0.6 billion                       company it does not have to comply with the
and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG)                      same reporting requirements as its peers.

The financial links between Japan's three megabanks and European coal power utilities

                                                                                             100 - 150

                                                                                             151 - 250
                                                                                                  ・
 Sumitomo Mitsui
                                                                                                  ・
 Financial Group
                                                                                                  ・

                                                                                             551 - 650

                                                                                             (€ million)

 Mitsubishi UFJ Financial
 Group

                                                                                      * In loans and underwriting
                                                                                        since the IPCC’s Special
                                                                                        Report on Global Warming
                                                                                        of 1.5° C published in
 Mizuho Financial Group                                                                 October 2018 until
                                                                                        December 2019.

Figure 5 : Mizuho Financial Group, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
(MUFG): loans and underwriting in European coal from October 2018 until December 2019. Amounts in euros.
Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo

   Japanese                                        Number of
                            Number of loans                                       Total
   megabank                                     underwriting deals

     Mizuho                  8 (€937 million)      1 (€91 million)          9 (€1028 million)

     SMBC                    6 (€274 million)     3 (€291 million)            9 (€565 million)

     MUFG                    2 (€185 million)     2 (€114 million)            4 (€299 million)

Table 4 : Break-down of coal deals associated with the Japanese megabanks. Based on the break-down of
coal deals, the data reveal that most of the deals are loans.
Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo

* The historic exchange rate of EUR to JPY 31.12.2019 was 121.97512. Therefore, the financial deals totaled approximately
  ¥231.75 bn.

                                                                                                                    17 | Fool’s Gold
The Japanese megabanks have published                           below. Since the European utilities are mainly
         and updated their coal policies in the recent                   supported through corporate finance, the
         years, with newest revisions in April and May                   recently introduced coal policies do not have
         in 2020 restricting new project finance to the                  material impact on them as they only focus on
         coal sector. The new policies are assessed                      restricting coal project finance.

         Table 5: The assessment of the coal policies of the Japanese megabanks.

                                                                          Relative
                   Date of the                                           threshold        Absolute
   Financial                                                                (% of                         Phase-out /            Just
                   latest coal       Projects         Developers                          threshold
  Institution                                                            capacity,                        engagement          transition
                      policy                                                               (Mt/GW)
                                                                        production
                                                                        or revenue)

                                                                                                           Commits to
                                                                                                           reduce the
                                                                                                           outstanding
                                                                                                           credit
                                                                                                           balance
                                                                                                           for coal-
                                                                                                           fired power
                                 No new coal
                                                                                                           generation
                                 power projects
                                                                                                           facilities from
                                 with notable                                                              the FY2019
                   15.4.         exceptions *.                                                             amount
   Mizuho                                              No                No               No                                  No
                   2020 38       All loans for                                                             (around
                                                                                                           JPY300
                                 coal power
                                                                                                           billion) by
                                 projects ended
                                                                                                           50% by
                                 by 2050 39.
                                                                                                           FY2030, and
                                                                                                           achieve an
                                                                                                           outstanding
                                                                                                           credit
                                                                                                           balance
                                                                                                           of zero by
                                                                                                           FY2050.

                                 No new coal
                   16.4.         power projects
   SMBC                                                No                No               No               No                 No
                   2020 40       with notable
                                 exceptions**.

                                 No new coal
                   (13.5.        power projects
   MUFG                                                No                No               No               No                 No
                   2020) 41      with notable
                                 exceptions***.

         *   The policy has three main exceptions: 1. It excludes businesses to which Mizuho is already committed as of the start
              of this policy. 2. Where a proposed coal-fired power plant is essential to the relevant country’s stable energy supply
              and will contribute to reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by replacing an existing power plant, Mizuho may provide
              financing or investment for the project. 3. Mizuho will also continue to support development of innovative, clean,
              and efficient next-generation technology that will contribute to the expansion of sustainable energy, as well as other
              initiatives for the transition to a low-carbon society.
         ** Exceptions may be considered for projects which use “environmentally friendly” technologies such as USC pressure
              and forprojects which have provided support before the revision. SMBC also supports the development of technologies
              which contribute to carbon recycling such as CCS.
         *** Exceptions may be considered where MUFG will take into consideration the energy policies and circumstances of the
               host countries, international standards such as the OECD Arrangement on Officially Supported Export Credits, and
               the use of other available technologies when deciding whether to provide financing. MUFG also supports the adoption
               of advanced technologies for high efficiency power generation and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage (CCS)
               technologies which contribute to a reduction in the emission of greenhouse gases.

Fool’s Gold | 18
As the European coal exit accelerates it is         A patchwork of insurance and reinsurance
likely that those utilities that can no longer      agreements protect developers against certain
access capital markets will increasingly seek       physical and transitional risks related to coal,
finance from further afield. This is why, to        allowing them to delay phase-outs of existing
ensure that the entire market disincentivises       projects.
business models that are not rooted in a timely
coal phase-out, coal policies must be tackled       Since 2017, many European insurers have
globally. In Japan, unless the megabanks adopt      announced commitments that limit their
stricter policies to cover corporate finance,       underwriting services to coal utilities or
the European coal sector is likely to enjoy         restrict coal financing on the project level 44.
financial support in the future too. This would     Global insurers have also adopted coal
make Japanese megabanks fall behind their           investment restrictions, which is notable given
peers, risking reputational damage, which is        the size of capital flows in the sector 45. Even
already materialising in shareholder revolts. In    now, many major insurers have limited policies
June 2020, the first-ever climate shareholder       or no policy at all*.
proposal received massive international
investor backing. At Mizuho’s annual general        This report does not present financial results
meeting, 34% of shareholders, worth well over       for coal insurance and reinsurance, nor does it
US$500bn, were voting for the proposal 42,43.       analyse the breadth of the financial institutions’
This included the support of ISS and Glass          policies for insuring coal companies. This is
Lewis, the two prominent proxy advisory             partly due to the lack of transparency and data.
services.                                           The sector is, however, at the epicenter of coal
                                                    finance.

The insurance sector
The insurance sector plays a critical role in
allowing coal power generation and mining
operations to continue beyond 2030 in the
EU. In fact, before a developer can even break
ground on a new coal mine or thermal power
plant, it must secure insurance for its projects.   * Lloyd’s of London market, Talanx and PZU, for example.

                                                                                                     19 | Fool’s Gold
2.                  Focus utilities
         Coal-related emissions are steadily                                 does not reduce emissions since they just
         decreasing                                                          move from one company portfolio to another.
                                                                             However, since some of the transactions have
         Before the COVID-19 crisis hit, the European                        been between the eight focus companies our
         coal utilities were already on their way out of                     numbers reflect real world closures fairly
         coal. In the EU, a fall of one quarter in emissions                 accurately. Out of the focus power utilities,
         took place in 2019 alone 46 and especially                          Endesa’s annual reduction in coal was
         the use of hard coal has dropped. The pan-                          approximately a whopping 70% drop between
         European trend corresponds well with the coal                       2018 and 2019*.
         phase-out pathways of the eight focus utilities
         in the same year. Between 2018 and 2019, the                        It should be noted that the data excludes non-
         power utilities featured in this report lowered                     European coal assets and does not reflect
         their emissions by nearly 25% going from 334                        the emissions that would be generated with
         Mt down to 252 Mt year-on-year (see figure 6                        alternative high-carbon fuels such as gas
         and 7). In Europe, some of the company level                        or biomass**. Regrettably, Fortum/Uniper
         “phaseout” has been achieved by selling rather                      has just installed a new coal power plant in
         than decommissioning plants, which in itself                        Germany, and PGE is still developing more

                                                 Coal-based emissions over time 2010-2019
         (Mt CO2-eq)
             160
             140
             120
             100
             80
             60
             40
             20
              0
                       2010      2011        2012        2013         2014        2015        2016        2017         2018        2019

         Figure 6 : The annual emissions of the eight focus utilities since 2010 ***.
         Source: own analysis. Data retrieved from Europe Beyond Coal coal plant database (accessed May 2020)
         and The European Union Transaction Log (EUTL).

         *   Peninsular Spain coal generation in 2019 was 1.532 GWh (-69.2% with respect to 2018) and imported coal 4.115 GWh
             (-72,5% with respect to 2018).
         ** Biomass is currently zero accounted under the EU ETS, while the immediate emissions are comparable to coal. The
             emissions are, in theory, accounted for under the LULUCF regulation. In practice, a considerable amount of biomass
             energy use goes unaccounted under the LULUCF Regulation as 1) the amount of biomass used for energy prior 2009
             is considered carbon neutral and 2) allowing increased harvesting into forest management reference levels hides also
             increased biomass use, which is then considered carbon neutral. See the analysis from Fern conducted in April 2020
             showing the extent of forest harvesting plans by the EU states (National Forestry Accounting Plans): Fern. (May 2020).
             Press release: EUROPEAN COMMISSION FACES MAJOR HURDLE TO PROTECT AND RESTORE FORESTS. Access
             at: https://www.fern.org/news-resources/european-commission-faces-major-hurdle-to-protect-and-restore-forests-2148/
         *** T
              he 1.1 GW power plant Datteln 4 owned by Fortum/Uniper came online 30.5.2020 with annual emissions that can be
             up to 8.4 Mt depending on the operating hours. At present, the Turów Power Plant owned by PGE is in the final phase
             of construction of a modern power unit with a capacity of approx. 500 MW. Furthermore, PGE is currently expanding
             Turow mine and ČEZ is planning to extend the operation of its Bílina lignite mine, which will indirectly contribute to coal
             emissions. ČEZ is also planning a new CHP lignite unit planned to come online 2022. The graph does not include the
             emissions data of Anllares coal plant, which is 33% owned by Endesa and the remaining 66% is under ownership of
             Gas Natural Fenosa.

Fool’s Gold | 20
coal capacities. This is not yet reflected in the             brought online in 2020, or further in future, will
2019 emissions data (see table 6 for details).                show up as additional coal-based emissions.
Despite UN secretary-general António Guterres’                However, the European coal fleet as a whole is
call for the 2020s to be a “decade of action”                 expected to further shrink.
calling for an end to new coal-fired power
stations after 2020 the utilities are going ahead
with their plans. Therefore, new coal plants

                                 Aggregate change in coal-based emissions 2010-2019
(Mt CO2-eq)                           (RWE, PGE, EPH, CEZ, Enel/Endesa, Fortum/Uniper)
   500
   450
   400
   350
   300
   250
   200
   150
   100
    50
    0
              2010   2011      2012       2013         2014         2015        2016     2017    2018       2019

Figure 7 : The aggregated annual emissions of the eight focus utilities since 2010 showing a downward trend.
The emissions only cover the EU and UK. The graph represents only the companies’ coal emissions - not the
overall emissions.
Source: own analysis. Data retrieved from Europe Beyond Coal coal plant database (accessed May 2020) and
The European Union Transaction Log (EUTL).

Focus utilities                                               where coal phase-out is well underway there
                                                              is a genuine threat of coal-to-gas and coal-to-
While the overall phase-out rate is promising,                biomass 47 conversions, including in Spain and
the decarbonisation plans of the coal utilities               Italy. It is estimated that in Europe gas replaced
indicate that the coal phase-out will not be                  around half of the coal, solar and wind the other
achieved by 2030. This is particularly acute                  half 48. Many utilities also bank on hydrogen as
in three EU countries: Poland, Germany and                    a growth area while the genuinely sustainable
the Czech Republic. Several of those utilities                hydrogen economy is in its infancy and it is
located in these countries have coal expansion                unclear what its role will be. The success of
plans (see table 6 and Box 2) and they all still              the coal phaseout is therefore also dependent
operate a sizable coal fleet. Therefore, drastic              on the next stages of the transition since bad
shifts in company strategy, capital allocation,               investment decisions can lead to stranded
technological deployment and accelerated coal                 assets and infrastructure lock-in. It is unclear
decommissioning plans are still a necessity for               whether the power utilities are able to harness
the utilities in these geographies.                           renewable energy, while drastically limiting the
                                                              use of biomass, for their transition.
However, closing coal plants is only the first
step and does not address the wider issue of                  Please note that some of the focus power
the necessary transition in the power sector.                 utilities mentioned in this report have adopted
While the Western European governments have                   new business strategies that increasingly phase
shown remarkable political will in introducing                out coal. This is most relevant in the context of
coal phase-out timelines - with the exception                 Enel and Endesa. However, because the data
of Germany, whose government has failed to                    only reflects end-2019 and early-2020, many of
adopt a Paris compatible coal exit timeline - the             these developments had not taken place.
job is not yet done. In some of those countries

                                                                                                         21 | Fool’s Gold
You can also read