Funding Update Alexander von zur Mühlen - Group Treasurer Investor Meeting, 24 February 2011 - Deutsche Bank

Page created by Wendy Bates
 
CONTINUE READING
Deutsche Bank

                  Funding Update
                  Alexander von zur Mühlen
                  Group Treasurer
                  Investor Meeting,
                           Meeting 24 February 2011

  Deutsche Bank                   Financial transparency.
  Treasury
Deutsche Bank’s funding costs are a source of competitive
advantage
Funding cost development                                                Observations
                                  European Sovereign CDS                —   Challenging
                                                                            Ch ll   i market
                                                                                          k t conditions
                                                                                                  diti    d
                                                                                                          due tto
In bps
                                  iTraxx Senior Financials
 240                              DB 5yr Senior CDS                         economic concerns, regulatory
                                  DB issuance spread                        developments and Eurozone difficulties
                                  DB funding activity
200                                                                     —   DB ffunding
                                                                                   di spreads
                                                                                            d remained
                                                                                                    i d relatively
                                                                                                           l ti l
                                                                            stable and market access unaffected
160                                                                         throughout 2010

120
                                                                        —   € 23 b
                                                                                 bn iissued
                                                                                          d iin 2010 att an average
                                                                            spread of L+66; 42% sold via retail
                                                                            networks
  80
                                                                        —   Modest
                                                                            M  d t 2011 F  Funding
                                                                                                di Pl Plan off € 26 bbn
  40                                                                        (€ 22 bn debt issuance, € 4 bn term
                                                                            retail deposits), flexibility to adjust split
          1Q2010: €    2Q2010:     3Q2010:      4Q2010:        YTD          depending on market conditions;
   0       € 8 bn       € 7 bn      € 4 bn       € 4 bn      € 6.8 bn
                                                                            45% completed YTD
   31 Dec         31 Mar    30 Jun       30 Sep      31 Dec
                           2010                              2011
Source:   Bloomberg

 Deutsche Bank                                                                 Financial transparency.                      2
 Treasury
Timely and cost-effective funding through the crisis
  ~ €150 bn raised in capital markets since 2007
  S i benchmark
  Senior b    h    k issuance:
                     i         Deutsche
                               D t h B    Bankk vs. peers
   Bps over Euribor / Libor
      350                                                                                                                                                           350
                       DB 5yr EUR new issue spread
                       DB 5
                          5yr senior
                                 i CDS
                       European Peer
      300              US Peer                                                                                                                                      300
                       European Peer

      250                                                                                                                                                           250

      200                                                                                                                                                           200

      150                                                                                                                                                           150

      100                                                                                                                                                           100

                                            60
       50                                                                                                                                                           50

        0                                                                                                                                                           0
         Jul‐07              Dec‐07               Jun‐08              Dec‐08               Jun‐09              Dec‐09               Jun‐10              Dec‐10 Feb - 11
             DB sourced € 30bn through                     …result: no benchmark                    DB returns          2010 issuance              2011: $2.6 bn plus
             benchmark issuance at attractive              funding needed during crisis             after 14 month      plan completed             €2 bn in
             prices…                                       months                                   hiatus              by September               benchmarks YTD
      1) Triangles represent government-guaranteed issues and diamonds unguaranteed; all of Deutsche Bank’s issues are non-government-guaranteed

Deutsche Bank                                                                                                Financial transparency.                                      3
Treasury
Funding update
45% of plan completed YTD
                                                                                                          2011: YTD Funding vs. Plan
 Funding Plan 2011
                                                                                                      in € bn                    Plan               2011 YTD
 – Issuance plan comprises both benchmark transactions together with
   arbitrage-driven structured note and plain vanilla private placements                              Capital                       0                     0
 – Deposit
   D      it campaigns
                  i     with
                         ith contractual
                                t t l maturity
                                           t it emphasis
                                                      h i off >1yr
                                                                 1                             Plain Vanilla Senior                11                    4.6
 – Fungibility between deposits and debt issuance allows flexibility
                                                                                                Structured Senior                   9                    2.2
   depending on market development
                                                                                                     Pfandbrief                     2                     0
 Issuance activities YTD                                                                        T t l Issuance
                                                                                                 Total I                           22                    68
                                                                                                                                                         6.8
 – YTD issuance at € 6.8bn (vs, € 3.1bn pro-rata plan), avg. tenor: 4.2yrs,
   avg. spread: 61bps                                                                           Stable Deposits                     4                    4.9
 – Raised $ 2.6bn in US market at favourable levels relative to Euromarket                             Total                       26                   11.7
 – Issued €2 bn 2yr
                  y FRN at 3m€+45bps; p ; jjoint largest
                                                    g    and tightest
                                                               g      2yy FRN
   from non-AAA bank in 2011                                                                               DB YTD Issuance Activities
                                                                                               240                                      DB 5y CDS
 Deposit campaign update                                                                      220                                      iTraxx Senior Financials
 – € 4.9bn generated YTD from 12-month deposit campaign vs. € 4bn full                         200                                      European Sovereign CDS

   year plan
         l                                                                                     180

                                                                                Basis points
                                                                                                           $1bn
                                                                                               160
 – Above-plan deposit generation allows more flexible approach to issuance                               3.25% 5y
                                                                                                                     $0.5bn    $0.75bn
                                                                                               140         fixed                            €2bn
                                                                                                                     2y FRN                           $0.3bn
   plan                                                                                                                           5y
                                                                                                                                           2y FRN   5y fixed tap
                                                                                               120                            extendible

 Pfandbrief program                                                                           100
                                                                                                80
 – Up to € 2bn mortgage Pfandbrief planned for 2011
                                                                                                60
 – Significant cost saving vs unsecured funding, particularly for longer
                                                                                                40
   tenors                                                                                        31-Dec 06-Jan 12-Jan 18-Jan 24-Jan 30-Jan 05-Feb 11-Feb 17-Feb

                                                                                                                                             Source:     Bloomberg

  Deutsche Bank                                                                  Financial transparency.                                                           4
  Treasury
Balanced maturity profile
Capital markets maturities as per 31 Dec 2010
              25

              20

              15
        €bn

              10

                5

                0
                    2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017     2018        2019        2020   2021+
                                                                                                      2021

          Concious decision, also during crisis, not to compromise duration of portfolio for
           short term gains
           short-term
          Capital markets maturities of €18bn in 2011; balanced outflows for the next
           10yrs not exceeding € 20bn p.a.
          Provides flexibility to increase stock of term debt as response to regulatory
           changes (NSFR: Net Stable Funding Ratio)

Deutsche Bank                                                        Financial transparency.                  5
Treasury
Cautionary statements

This presentation contains forward
                           forward-looking
                                     looking statements. Forward
                                                         Forward-looking
                                                                   looking statements are statements that are not historical
facts; they include statements about our beliefs and expectations and the assumptions underlying them. These
statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as they are currently available to the management of Deutsche
Bank. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to
update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events.
                                                                  events

By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could
therefore cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors
include the conditions in the financial markets in Germany,   y, in Europe,
                                                                        p , in the United States and elsewhere from which we
derive a substantial portion of our revenues and in which we hold a substantial portion of our assets, the development of
asset prices and market volatility, potential defaults of borrowers or trading counterparties, the implementation of our
strategic initiatives, the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods, and other risks referenced in
our filings with the U.S.
                     U S Securities and Exchange Commission.
                                                       Commission Such factors are described in detail in our SEC Form 20-F
of 16 March 2010 under the heading “Risk Factors.” Copies of this document are readily available upon request or can be
downloaded from www.deutsche-bank.com/ir.

Deutsche Bank                                                              Financial transparency.                          6
Treasury
You can also read