IPOs and Capital Markets Developments in the Oil and Gas Industry - February 26, 2019 - Gibson Dunn

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IPOs and Capital Markets Developments in the Oil and Gas Industry - February 26, 2019 - Gibson Dunn
IPOs and Capital
Markets Developments
in the Oil and Gas
Industry
February 26, 2019
IPOs and Capital Markets Developments in the Oil and Gas Industry - February 26, 2019 - Gibson Dunn
MCLE Information
(1.0 Hour Credit)

• The Handout. Participants must download the PowerPoint as the handout for this
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  your computer.
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• Questions. Direct MCLE questions and forms to Jeanine McKeown at 213‐229‐7140
  or jmckeown@gibsondunn.com.

  Gibson Dunn                                                                        2
Today’s Panelists

              James Chenoweth will share insights and trends regarding tax       Hillary H. Holmes will share insights and trends regarding IPOs in
              matters. He is a partner in Gibson Dunn’s Houston office and       the Oil and Gas Industry. She is a partner in Gibson Dunn’s
              a member of the Tax, Private Equity and Energy and                 Houston office, Co‐Chair of the firm’s Capital Markets practice
              Infrastructure practice groups. He counsels clients regarding      group, and a member of the firm’s Oil and Gas, Securities
              tax‐efficient structuring of partnership and corporate             Regulation and Corporate Governance, and Private Equity
              transactions, including transactions involving publicly traded     Practice Groups. Ms. Holmes’ practice focuses on securities law
              partnerships, special purpose acquisition companies                and governance counseling in the oil & gas energy industry. She
              (“SPACs”), IPOs and follow‐on offerings, as well as acquisitions   represents private equity, public companies, private companies,
              and dispositions, taxable sales and the formation of joint         MLPs, investment banks and management teams in all forms of
              ventures.                                                          capital markets transactions. She also advises boards of
                                                                                 directors, conflicts committees, and financial advisors in
                                                                                 complex transactions.

              Doug Rayburn will share insights and trends regarding high         Gerry Spedale will share insights and trends regarding special
              yield offerings. He is a partner in Gibson Dunn’s Dallas office    purpose acquisition companies (SPACs). He is a partner in
              and a member of the Capital Markets, Energy &                      Gibson Dunn’s Houston office and is a member of the firm’s
              Infrastructure, Merger & Acquisitions, Global Finance, Private     capital markets, securities regulation and corporate
              Equity and Securities Regulation & Corporate Governance            governance, mergers and acquisitions, private equity, energy
              practice groups. His principal areas of concentration are          and infrastructure and oil and gas practice groups. Gerry’s
              securities offerings, mergers and acquisitions and general         practice focuses on capital markets, mergers and acquisitions,
              corporate matters. He has represented issuers and                  joint ventures and corporate governance matters for
              underwriters in over 200 public offerings and private              companies and private equity clients in the energy industry,
              placements, including initial public offerings, high yield         including    MLPs.     He     has     extensive    experience
              offerings, investment grade and convertible note offerings,        representing issuers and investment banks in both public and
              offerings by master limited partnerships (MLPs), and offerings     private debt and equity offerings, including initial public
              of preferred and hybrid securities..                               offerings, convertible note offerings and offerings of
                                                                                 preferred securities.

              Special appreciation to Eric Pacifici, associate in Gibson
              Dunn’s Dallas office, for his invaluable assistance with this
              presentation.

Gibson Dunn                                                                                                                         3
Webcast Agenda

• Part One: IPOs in the Oil and Gas Industry
• Part Two: High Yield Offerings
• Part Three: Acquisition by a SPAC as an Alternative to an IPO

  Gibson Dunn                                                     4
Part One:
IPOs in the Oil and Gas
Industry
IPOs: Market Situation

• Challenging environment for IPOs

• Windows are briefly open

• Preparations begin well in advance of IPO

   Gibson Dunn                                6
Morgan Stanley

2019 Energy Capital Markets Outlook

• The energy equity markets have considerably improved to start the year in 2019, after a volatile and painful finish to 2018:

        • WTI crude is off its $42 December lows (+22% YTD to $55 area) and the XLE, XOP (upstream), OIH (services) and
          AMZ (midstream) indices stand at (+15.2% / +15.8% / +25.2% / +13.1% YTD), outperforming the broader S&P 500
          index (+11.8%)

• However, partly due to a rapid collapse in energy investor sentiment during the 4th quarter and partly due to a record‐long
  government shutdown affecting SEC registered offerings, there has been a dearth of energy ECM activity in 2019 with the
  exception of one IPO by New Fortress Energy and a handful of secondary blocks (Enable, Dominion Energy)

• We expect the following IPO‐focused capital markets themes in 2019 for the energy sector:

       The rapid decline in oil and ongoing volatility in equity performance has led to a higher “entry bar” for new public energy
       companies
   1
        • IPO investors are demonstrating a preference for operationally and financially superior companies who are A)
          producing best‐in‐class margins, B) have strong balance sheets, C) have a plan towards generating free cash flow
          while D) making capital allocation decisions that will create shareholder value / strong ROIC
Morgan Stanley

2019 Energy Capital Markets Outlook (cont’d)

   2   Public E&P investors are unequivocally more focused on FCF generation than absolute production growth – which has
       cooled receptivity to many new E&P companies (especially gas companies) that are typically in a high‐growth, investment
       phase. We expect upstream IPO activity to continue to be highly selective and public preferences for oilier asset base /
       low leverage / FCF generation / exposure to the best basins to apply

   3   Certain sub‐sectors in Oilfield Services that were previously in favor (i.e. pressure pumping and frac sand) have rotated
       out of favor as a result of weakened sector fundamentals and deteriorating financial performance. Technologically
       differentiated OFS product companies (characterized by low capex, lower correlation to changing upstream capital
       budgets), continue to appeal to investors.

   4   The Midstream sector can only be characterized as going through a tectonic shift towards “MLP 2.0,” referring to a
       simplified structure without IDRs, an alignment of interest with shareholders, more responsible leverage levels, stronger
       distribution coverage and funding growth with cash flow (no dependency on external equity). We expect future IPOs,
       whether in a C‐Corp or MLP format, to follow this new midstream playbook investors are strongly clamoring for.

       Thematic changes in the global energy trade such as the growing importance of LNG will continue to influence the types
   5   of energy companies that come public. The success of the New Fortress Energy IPO, for example, played on this global
       theme and the concept of bringing smaller‐scale LNG to regions in need of cheaper sources of power. We expect other
       LNG producers and service companies, particularly those with a unique technology offering, to test the market in the
       next 12‐18 months
Morgan Stanley

       Energy IPO Markets Largely Untested Since 1Q’18
                                                                             U.S. Energy Equity Issuance Volume (1)
                                                                             $Bn Energy C‐Corp Volume                                                                                                                                                            $Bn Energy MLP Volume
                                                                                6                                                                                                                                                                                                               1,000
       •          The energy IPO market was                                                           QES
                  active to begin the year last                                                 WHD         FTSI                                0.1
                  year, however that has                                        4

                                                                                     NINE
                  slowed meaningfully with                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      500

                  just two energy IPOs pricing                                       LBRT                 680                                   4.4
                                                                                2                                                                                          BRY
                                                                                    0.4
                  since 1Q’18                                                                       1.0
                                                                                                                                                                                              328
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2.4                        NFE
                                                                                    1.3                                                                             218    0.2                             252
                  • However, the energy                                         0                   0.3            0.5
                                                                                                                                 0.1                          0.3
                                                                                                                                                                           0.7          0.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.1                   46   0.1             0.28           0.0           0
                       IPO backlog remains                                          Jan-18        Feb-18        Mar-18           Apr-18         May-18        Jun-18       Jul-18      Aug-18          Sep-18           Oct-18       Nov-18        Dec-18          Jan-19         Feb-19
                       robust with several                                   Source: Dealogic
                                                                                                                                                                                    Follow-On Energy                  IPO Energy               Follow-On MLP                  IPO MLP
                       companies having
                       publicly filed their S‐1                              Precedent North American Energy IPOs (1)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Price Performance (%)
                                                                             Pricing                                                     Size        Offer     Price vs.                       % TSO            %                                    File /     Offer /    Offer /
                                                                             Date          Issuer                                      ($MM)      Price ($)    Range        Filing Range         Sold      Primary        Sub-Industry               Offer      1-Day    Current

U.S. Equity Issuance                                                         01/30/19      New Fortress Energy LLC                     280.0          14.00    Below        17.00 - 19.00           12.0         100      LNG                        (22.2)               (6.6)          0.0

Since 2015                                                                   07/25/18      Berry Petroleum Corp                        182.6          14.00    Below        15.00 - 17.00           16.5          80      E&P                        (12.5)               (5.4)         (9.5)

Ex‐Energy Vol. ($Bn)                                     Energy Vol. ($Bn)   05/01/18      PermRock Royalty Trust                      106.3          17.00    Below        19.00 - 21.00           51.4          -       Royalty Trust              (15.0)               (8.8)     (46.8)
300                                                                   60
                       ‘16 continued the wave of                             02/08/18      Quintana Energy Services Inc                 96.3          10.00    Below        12.00 - 15.00           29.9         100      OFS                        (25.9)          (10.0)         (49.9)
                         recaps, while ‘17 saw a
                                                                             02/07/18      Cactus Inc                                  502.6          19.00    In Range     16.00 - 19.00           27.0         100      OFS                             8.6              6.6          88.3
                        return of the IPO market
                                                                             02/01/18      FTS International Inc                       403.7          18.00    In Range     15.00 - 18.00           21.1          78      OFS                             9.1             14.5      (39.6)

        32
                            2                                                01/18/18      Nine Energy Service Inc                     185.2          23.00    In Range     20.00 - 23.00           34.5         100      OFS                             7.0             13.5          11.3
200                                                                   40
                                                                             01/11/18      Liberty Oilfield Services LLC               248.9          17.00    Above        14.00 - 16.00           12.4         100      OFS                            13.3             27.9          (0.1)
                                 35
                                              48
                                                                             10/25/17      BP Midstream Partners LP                    860.3          18.00    Below        19.00 - 21.00           45.6         100      Pipeline                   (10.0)               (4.2)         (9.0)
                       19
                                                                             09/20/17      Oasis Midstream Partners LP                 146.6          17.00    Below        19.00 - 21.00           31.4         100      Pipeline                   (15.0)               (1.5)         14.5
             0
                            42                                               08/10/17      Ranger Energy Services LLC                   85.0          14.50    Below        16.00 - 18.00           39.2     100          Diversified                (14.7)               (1.9)     (48.0)
100    193                             4                              20
                                 161                                         05/11/17      Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure Inc         127.2          12.00    Below        15.00 - 18.00           25.1          77      OFS                        (27.3)               (3.7)         33.7
                    137                       144
                                                    2
             23                                                              05/03/17      Antero Midstream GP LP                      875.4          23.50    In Range     22.00 - 25.00           20.0          -       Pipeline                        0.0             (6.4)     (42.3)
                                       18
                                                    12                       04/27/17      NCS Multistage Holdings Inc                 185.7          17.00    In Range     15.00 - 18.00           23.4         100      OFS                             3.0             17.7      (65.4)
                                                             1
   0                                                         9    0   0      04/20/17      Select Energy Services Inc                  140.1          14.00    Below        15.00 - 18.00           19.0         100      OFS                        (15.2)                0.1      (31.4)
         ‘15       ‘16            ‘17          ‘18      ‘19YTD
       FO Ex-Energy ($Bn)                   IPO Ex- Energy ($Bn)                           Mean                                        295.0                                                        27.2         82.3                                    (7.8)             2.1      (13.0)
       FO Energy ($Bn)                      IPO Energy ($Bn)                               Median                                      185.2                                                        25.1     100.0                                   (12.5)               (1.9)         (9.5)

                                                                             Notes:
                                                                             1. As of February 22, 2019
Historical Energy IPO Activity
              The 2017 – 2018 time period saw the highest amount of oilfield service IPOs (by $ and number) in more than a decade, including
                                         comprising the substantial majority of 2018 IPO activity in the energy sector

# of Deals:     9         11         7         1         6         16        18        20         4         1         11        25        19        23        28         8         5         12       7          1

Volume ($bn)

                                                                  E&P        OFS        Midstream           Refining & Marketing
$14.0
                                                                                                                                                               $12.9
                                                                                                                                                    $12.2
$12.0

                                                                                                                                $9.9
$10.0

                                                                                                                                          $8.4
  $8.0
              $7.2

                       $6.2                                                 $6.1
  $6.0                                                                                $5.6

                                                                                                                                                                          $4.5                 $4.4
  $4.0                                                                                                               $3.4
                                                                 $2.5

  $2.0                                                                                                                                                                              $1.8                  $1.7
                                  $1.2                                                          $1.1
                                                       $0.8                                                $1.0
                                            $0.3                                                                                                                                                                     $0.3
  $0.0
            2000       2001      2002       2003      2004       2005      2006       2007      2008       2009      2010       2011      2012      2013       2014      2015       2016      2017        2018 2019YTD

         ____________________
  4      Source: Dealogic and Bloomberg as of 02/22/19. Includes SEC registered IPOs greater than $20mm since 2000. Excludes BCCs/SPACs. Midstream IPOs represent MLPs and C-Corp Midstream IPOs.
While Markets Continue to Rebound Strongly, The
       Government Shutdown Delayed The Opening of The
       2019 IPO Market
                             Despite the Late 2018                                                                      …And Heightened                                                                  …Healthy US and Global GDP
                             Market Sell Off…                                                                           Volatility…                                                                      Growth is Still Expected
                         Indexed                                                                                 US 10 YR
                            120                                                                                  (% Yield)            VIX hit a high of 36.1 on 12/24                                      % GDP
Recent Market Activity

                                                                                                                                      and finished up +109.7% in Q4 ’18                   VIX             Growth
                                          S&P 500 climbs +18.8% since hitting recent low on 12/24/18,                 3.4                                                                     40                                                                 3.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                         4.0%                                                            3.7%
                            115           after heightened optimism in trade negotiations between US
                                          and China and Fed commentary dampens market worries of                                                                                                                                                                                 3.5%
                                          further rate hikes                                                          3.2                                                                     35                                                          3.3%
                            110

                                                                                                                                                                                              30                                         2.9%
                            105                                                                                                                                                                          3.0%
                                                                                                                      3.0
                                                                                                            +3.3%                                                                                                                                2.5%
                            100
                                                                                                                                                                                              25
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2.2%
                                                                                                                      2.8
                             95                                                                            (4.7%)                                                                             20         2.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                              2.7%                    1.6%
                                                                                                           (6.9%)     2.6
                             90                                                                                                                                                               15
                                                                                                                                                                                                  13.6
                                                                                                                      2.4
                             85        Hang Seng hits year low as                                                                                                                             10         1.0%
                                       Yuan becomes its weakest                                                                       2018 was the Fed’s most hawkish year
                             80        since 2008 due to economic                                                     2.2             since 2008 with 4 rate hikes while no                   5
                                       slowdown and potential                                                                         rate hikes are expected in 2019
                                       worsened US tariffs
                             75                                                                                       2.0                                                                  0             0.0%
                              Feb‐18            May‐18         Jul‐18       Sep‐18          Dec‐18     Feb‐19
                                                                                                                         Feb‐18     May‐18         Jul‐18    Sep‐18       Dec‐18      Feb‐19                                       US                                Global
                                                   S&P 500              Hang Seng       Eurostoxx 50                                        US 10 YR        VIX Index                                            2016              2017              2018 Expected            2019 Expected

                                                         2018 saw a 26% increase in IPO Issuance and a 41% increase in IPO Volume Relative to 2017 Year over Year

                                  FY ’18 Activity Was Up +26% YOY                                                                                            10 Most Recent IPO Pricings
                                                                                                                                                               Pricing                                    Deal Value         Price vs.          File /    Offer /
US IPO Market Update

                                                                                                204
                                                                                                                                                                Date                 Issuer                ($mm)              Range             Offer     Current             Industry
                                                                                                                                                              02/14/19 Stealth BioTherapeutics                  78           In Range            (7.7%)     (0.7%)         Healthcare
                                                                                     152                                            150                       02/13/19 TCR2 Therapeutics Inc                    75           In Range            0.0%       6.9%           Healthcare
                                                                                                                                                              02/13/19 Avedro Inc                               70           In Range            (6.7%)     (8.4%)         Healthcare
                                                         121                                                                 119
                                                                                                       107                                                    02/07/19 Gossamer Bio Inc                         276          In Range            0.0%      40.6%           Healthcare
                                                                            94
                                                                  83                                                                                          02/07/19 Harpoon Therapeutics Inc                 76           In Range            0.0%      19.4%           Healthcare
                                                                                                                 75
                                                                                                                                                              02/06/19 Alector Inc                              176          In Range            0.0%      18.4%           Healthcare
                                           49
                                                                                                                                                              01/30/19 New Fortress Energy LLC                  280           Below             (22.2%)     0.0%        Natural Resources
                                                                                                                                                              12/13/18 360 Finance Inc                          51           In Range            (5.7%)     (2.3%)         Technology
                                                                                                                                               7
                                                                                                                                                              12/11/18 Tencent Music Entertainment          1,066            In Range            (7.1%)    37.0%        Media & Telecom
                                                                                                                                                              12/06/18 Moderna Inc                              604          In Range            0.0%     (13.6%)          Healthcare
                                         2009        2010       2011       2012      2013       2014   2015     2016        2017    2018      2019
                            Volume                                                                                                                                        Average (10):                     $275                                 (4.9%)     9.7%
                            ($bn): $24.1            $38.8      $32.3      $38.0 $44.8          $56.0   $24.9    $18.4       $33.5   $47.1     $1.0
       2                 ____________________
                         Sources: Dealogic and Factset as of February 22, 2019. Includes SEC registered IPOs with a base deal value greater than or equal to $50mm. Excludes MLPs, SPACs, REITs, BDCs, and YieldCos.
Equity Markets Rebound After a Rocky 2018
                                                                                                                         Powell’s Dovish Commentary on Rate Path
                                                      Macro Themes
                                                                                                                         Boosted Investor Sentiment
               Equities gained for the better part of 2018 amidst risk‐on sentiment on the back of positive             # of Hikes                      YE ’19                YE ’20                YE ’21
                economic data
                                                                                                                         Fed Median                           2                    1                       -
               However, the spike in market volatility in Q4 2018 led to broader market weakness and a
                                                                                                                         Fed High                             3                    2                       ‐
                rotation out of cyclical sectors and into more defensive names
                     Crude rallied initially on back of OPEC announcing higher than expected production cuts            3.50%
                      for 2019, but failed to sustain momentum given implementation concerns and other                                                                         3.1%                            3.1%
                                                                                                                         3.25%
                      offsetting factors such as potential diminished global demand
                                                                                                                         3.00%                         2.9%
               Start of 2019 impacted by government shutdown and political uncertainty (Brexit, U.S.‐China
                trade), though improvements on the same and in the macro backdrop have led to a decrease                 2.75%
                                                                                                                                      2.4%                             Current Fed Fund Rate:
                in volatility and positive momentum of late                                                              2.50%                                         2.25 – 2.50%
                     Fed softened guidance, signaling “patience” on further rate hikes, with inflationary
                                                                                                                         2.25%
                      pressures to remain minimal
                                                                                                                         2.00%
                     Potential second government shutdown averted                                                           Nov-18          Aug-19         Jun-20                     Apr-21
                     Delay in tariff deadline with China                                                                                                FOMC Median

         Equities Sold Off From Record Highs as Volatility Surged in Q4 2018, But Have Since Rebounded in 2019
          VIX                                                   S&P 500          VIX                                                                                                                           S&P 500
         40                                                   Performance       Avg.                                       September                                                                              3,000
              January                          2019 YTD          10.7%          18.1                                       High: 2,931
              High: 2,873                      2018              (6.2%)         16.6
                                               2017              19.4%          11.1
         30                                    2016               9.5%          15.8                                                                                                                              2,800
                                                                                                     2,775                                                                                                2,775

         20                                                                                                                                                                                                       2,600
                                                                                                     14.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                         14.5

         10                                                                                                                                                                                                       2,400

                                                                                                                                                               Dec. Low:
                                                                                                                                                               2,351
             0                                                                                                                                                                                                    2,200
             Jan-18         Feb-18    Mar-18       Apr-18      May-18       Jun-18          Jul-18           Aug-18   Sep-18      Oct-18      Nov-18          Dec-18         Jan-19             Feb-19

                                                                                VIX (LHS)                             S&P 500 (RHS)

                                                                                                                                                                               1

Restricted - External
Cross Sector Price Performance and Key Drivers
         Energy equity markets were challenged in Q4 2018, but showing signs of improvement in 2019
                                                                                                                                                                          Q4 2018 Indexed Price Performance
          Broad Market

                             After three strong quarters, equities sold off from record highs during Q4 as volatility surged in wake of a spike in interest
                              rates, geopolitical uncertainty and trade tensions                                                                                  125%
                             Energy shares slumped 24% in Q4 as concerns were compounded by fears of a production supply glut and worries about                           Crude High
                              slowing demand in a weakening global economy pushed oil prices down nearly 40% over the same period                                           on 10/3
                             Despite intermittent cracks in the tech rally, full rotation back into energy failed to materialize with energy representing 5.3%
                              of the S&P 500 at year end, near a 15‐year low
                                                                                                                                                                  100%

                             Crude sell‐off caused broad de‐risking in energy in Q4, particularly in the upstream space, which underperformed the
                                                                                                                                                                                                      S&P 500: -14%
                              broader energy market by 15%
                             Investors continue to focus on companies’ ability to reduce cash flow outspend, attain cash flow neutrality, generate free
                                                                                                                                                                                                      AMNA: -16%
                                                                                                                                                                                                      S&P 500 Energy:
          E&P

                              cash flow and return cash to shareholders                                                                                            75%
                                   2019 capex budgets being used as a proxy for capital discipline during Q4 earnings                                                                                -24%
                             Renewed OPEC intervention seen as underpinning a directional recovery through 2019                                                                                      WTI: -38%
                             Share performance to be increasingly differentiated by how E&Ps strike a balance between growth, leverage and                                                           XOP: -39%
                              shareholder returns                                                                                                                                                     OSX: -46%
                                                                                                                                                                   50%
                             MLP fund flows were positive in 1H 2018, but turned negative on the year in September                                                 09/30/18                      12/31/18
                             Following the sharp sell‐off in Q4, a partial rebound in early 2019 on the back of commodity price recovery has led to some
          Midstream / MLP

                              recent momentum, with the AMNA up 17% YTD                                                                                                  Indexed Price Performance 2019 YTD
                             Key concerns are better understood (index re‐balancing and YE tax‐loss selling have been aired out), which have contributed
                              to stronger performance                                                                                                             130%
                                    Continued de‐risking of payouts, balance sheets, and growth outlooks expected to help attract incremental long‐only                                              WTI: 25%
                                     buying                                                                                                                                                           OSX: 19%
                                   Consolidations / simplifications that better align incentives have helped improve sentiment and have brought added                                                AMNA: 17%
                                    investor attention to the sector                                                                                              120%                                XOP: 14%
                             January fund flows were positive, with generalist and long‐only money beginning to flow back into the space, including via                                              S&P 500 Energy:
                              the formation of new funds from non‐traditional investors (Pimco)                                                                                                       14%
                                                                                                                                                                  110%                                S&P 500: 11%
                             The Oilfield Services space broadly underperformed the energy market in Q4 2018, but has outperformed YTD, +19% vs. S&P
                              Energy 500 +14% and the S&P 500 +11%
                             2019 E&P capital spend is trending up ~8% globally (similar to 2018)
          OFS

                                                                                                                                                                  100%
                                   However, the growth mix is poised to reverse in 2019 as North America slows and International markets accelerate
                                   North America slowing down as spending growth decelerates to ~9% (from ~18% in 2018); budgets currently being re‐
                                    assessed given oil price volatility
                             Upstream investor focus on capital discipline beginning to flow through to Oilfield Services                                        90%

                                                                                                                                                                    12/31/18                     02/21/19
         ___________________________
         Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, and corporate filings as of 2/21/2019.

                                                                                                                                                                                            2

Restricted - External
Issuance Themes and Outlook
         Equity issuance was down significantly in 2018, despite an uptick in OFS issuance, as E&P and Midstream / MLP experienced 73%
         and 78% declines in issuance, respectively. 2019 off to a slow start in large part due to government shutdown, but expect IPO
         issuance to increase and secondary volume to be in‐line with 2018
                                                                                                                 Historical Issuance by Subsector
                                                                         2017 Issuance (mm)                                                 2018 Issuance (mm)                                           2019 Issuance (mm) YTD

                                                   IPO       Follow-on         Convertible     Total     % of Total     IPO      Follow-on     Convertible       Total    % of Total     IPO     Follow-on    Convertible     Total   % of Total

          Coal                                   $398.3         $422.8                -       $821.1       3.2%          -        $384.3            -            $384.3     3.4%          -          -              -             -       -

          E&P                                    $474.0        $6,303.6               -      $6,777.6      26.3%      $182.6     $1,638.7           -        $1,821.3       16.0%         -          -              -             -       -

          Midstream C-Corp                       $875.4        $5,094.1               -      $5,969.5      23.2%         -       $1,656.4           -        $1,656.4       14.6%       $280.0       -              -        $280.0    100.0%

          MLP                                   $1,487.9       $4,362.0               -      $5,849.9      22.7%         -        $967.8            -            $967.8     8.5%          -          -              -             -       -

          Mining                                 $570.4        $1,059.7               -      $1,630.1      6.3%          -           -              -              -          -           -          -              -             -       -

          Oil Service                           $1,518.6       $1,757.7           $625.0     $3,901.3      15.1%      $1,436.6   $3,932.8         $250.0     $5,619.4       49.5%         -          -              -             -       -
          R&M                                        -              -                 -          -           -           -        $290.7            -            $290.7     2.6%          -          -              -             -       -

          Royalty Trust                              -              -                 -          -           -        $106.3         -              -            $106.3     0.9%          -          -              -             -       -

          Shipping                                   -          $541.0            $280.0      $821.0       3.2%          -        $513.3            -            $513.3     4.5%          -          -              -             -       -

          Total                                 $5,324.5      $19,541.0           $905.0     $25,770.5    100.0%      $1,725.4   $9,384.1         $250.0     $11,359.5     100.0%       $280.0       -              -        $280.0    100.0%

                                                   E&P                                                                   Midstream / MLP                                                                     OFS
          E&P issuance declined for the third year in 2018                                       2018 Midstream / MLP issuance limited as                                   OFS issuance has increased as a percent of
          Follow-on issuance expected to remain muted                                             sector capital dislocation and low valuations                               overall natural resources equity each year since
           as consolidation likely to continue to be funded                                        drove companies to pursue simplifications and                               2016, accounting for ~50% in 2018
           through stock and cash, and leverage remains                                            corporate restructuring                                                    Five IPOs came to market in Q1 2018, as they took
           relatively low as operators continue to focus on                                       Stabilization of leverage (improved balance                                 advantage of the constructive supply / demand
           capital discipline                                                                      sheets and coverage profiles) and continued                                 dynamics, raising total gross proceeds of ~$1.4 bn
          Monetizations to serve as potential source of                                           focus on “self-funding” model likely to temper                             Follow-ons were almost exclusively comprised
           added liquidity following respective lock-ups                                           equity issuance in the sub-sector in 2019                                   of monetization trades following IPOs
           from M&A transactions in 2018                                                          IPO activity picking up in 2019 with the pricing                                    Additionally, GE’s $2.3 bn monetization of
          E&P IPO backlog remains robust given the                                                of New Fortress Energy’s $280 mm IPO in                                              BHGE represented the largest equity
           dearth of IPOs in 2018, though most continue to                                         January                                                                              transaction in the energy space last year
           monitor the market closely for commodity price                                                     Largest IPO in the backlog for Rattler                          There are several companies in the IPO
           stability and a more constructive backdrop                                                         Midstream Partners, though Midstream /                           backlog, though few are likely to launch in the
                                                                                                              MLP IPO backlog remains fairly limited                           near-term
         ___________________________
         Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, and corporate filings as of 2/21/2019.
         Note: Includes all SEC registered offerings greater than $25mm (base deal size).

                                                                                                                                                                                                                3

Restricted - External
IPOs: Benefits / Costs of Being Public

• Benefits
    o Immediate cash to grow business or strengthen balance sheet
    o Future access to cash to grow business
    o Liquidity
    o Equity currency for M&A
    o Attract / Retain talent
    o Wider Investor Base
    o Prestige / Public Relations

• Costs
    o Time and expense of IPO and being public
    o Loss of control by current stockholders
    o Liability
    o Ongoing legal compliance obligations
    o Effect on management decisions
    o News cycle risks

  Gibson Dunn                                                       15
IPOs: Overview of the IPO Process

• Process Overview                                                                                    Print “red herring” and Begin
                                                                                                               Road Show

                                                                                           Latest date to make
                                                                                               public filing

                                                                                                          15 days

     General IPO              Due Diligence/
     Preparation             Drafting Sessions

                                   4-8 weeks                    4 weeks              4-8 weeks                   10 days      2 days

          Organizational Meeting          Confidentially Submit to        Receive Initial SEC                    Effective Date/   Closing
                                                 the SEC                     Comments                                Pricing

                             Pre-Filing Period                                   Waiting Period                         Post-Effective Period

• IPO Guidebook available on Gibson Dunn website
• Refer to February 2018 Gibson Dunn webcast

  Gibson Dunn                                                                                                                            16
IPOs: Things You Wish You Had Known

• Proper Tax Structuring from Beginning
• Align short, medium and long‐term goals
• Exit window and strategy
• Financial Statements
    o Issuer
    o Joint Ventures
    o Acquisitions
• SEC Climate and Developments
• Running Your Business While Executing on the IPO
• Post‐IPO Public Company Obligations Start at Pricing

  Gibson Dunn                                            17
IPOs: Preparing for an Initial Public Offering

  Effects of the Government Shutdown                                        Which Companies are Especially
• 2019 was expected to be a big year for IPOs                               Vulnerable During a Shutdown?
     o    Nasdaq received 22% higher number of IPO applications at the
                                                                            Portfolio companies with limited IPO
          end of 2018 than they had at the end of 2017.*                     windows based on external or other
     o    Some E&P IPOs are expected to take place in 2019; no MLP IPOs      factors (e.g. oil and natural gas prices and
                                                                             clinical trial results)
          are expected as of the date of this presentation.
                                                                            Private equity funds that need to exit their
• Expect continued disruption despite SEC reopening                          investments in the short term due to
     o    Only 285 out of 4,400 SEC employees were on the job during         reaching end term of fund
          the shutdown mostly in law enforcement.**                         Companies desperately in need of capital
     o    Unlike prior government shutdowns, the SEC did not have access     in the short term
          to emergency funding. Thus, the SEC did not review any IPO        Less established companies
          filings.**
     o    The January – February IPO window was essentially shut,          *Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman during a panel at the World
                                                                           Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
          creating a backlog of filings going into mid‐March once
                                                                           ** Could the Government Shutdown Affect IPOs?,
          companies finalize audited financial statements.                 Knowledge@Wharton Finance Blog of the Wharton School of
                                                                           the University of Pennsylvania (January 2019).

   Gibson Dunn                                                                                                      18
IPOs: SEC Focus Areas and Our Recommendations

• PUDs
    o PUD conversion rates
• SMOG Disclosures
    o Reserve quantities as required by AC 932‐235‐50‐5
• Presentations of Reserves
    o Item 1200 of Regulation S‐K
     o   Potential resources
     o   Presentation of NGLs
• Impairment
    o Methods and assumptions used in impairment tests
     o   Commodity price environment
• Non‐GAAP Financial Measures
    o Omitting reconciliation and equal prominence

  Gibson Dunn                                             19
IPOs: Efforts to Revive the IPO Market

    Expansion of Confidential Review Process
•    All companies may file IPO registration statements confidentially regardless of their prior year’s
     revenues.
•    Exchange Act registration statements, such as those used in spin‐off transactions, may be filed
     confidentially as well.
•    Confidential review also is available for the initial submission of draft registration statements for
     most other offerings made during the first twelve months following an IPO.
    Reduction in Financial Statements Burden
•    Consistent with the expansion of the confidential review process, all companies may now may omit
     financial information from confidentially filed draft registration statements to the extent they
     reasonably believe the omitted information will not be required when the registration statement is
     publicly filed.
•    EGCs, however, remain the only type of issuer that can omit annual financial information from
     publicly filed registration statements.

    Gibson Dunn                                                                                       20
IPOs: Efforts to Revive the IPO Market (cont’d)

  Streamlining of Disclosure Requirements
• For certain disclosure requirements the SEC:
     o    deleted those disclosure requirements that convey reasonably similar information to or are
          encompassed by the disclosures that result from compliance with overlapping U.S. GAAP, IFRS
          or SEC disclosure requirements; and
     o    integrated those disclosure requirements that overlapped, but required information that was
          incremental to, other SEC disclosure requirements.
  Expansion of Testing‐the‐Waters Investor Access?
• In 2018, the U.S. House of Representatives passed legislation to allow all companies to assess the
  interest of, or “test the waters” with, certain investors before launching an offering.
• In February 2019, the SEC proposed permitting test the waters for all issuers.

  Gibson Dunn                                                                                   21
Part Two:
High Yield Offerings
High Yield Offerings: Overview

• State of the Market
    o There was a 40 day period which ended with Targa Resources Partners’ HY
       offering on January 10 in which there were no HY offerings.
    o According to the Wall Street Journal, this was the longest period without a HY
       offering of this type since 1995.
    o The HY market is now on much firmer footing than at the end of 2018.
    o Year to date there have been $8.6 billion of inflows into U.S. high‐yield funds.

  Gibson Dunn                                                                       23
High Yield Offerings: Overview (Cont'd)

•   Rated below investment grade (rating is below BBB‐/Baa3)
•   Senior to equity but typically junior to bank debt
•   Significantly less restrictive than bank debt
•   Generally not sold in issues of less than $300 million
•   Typically bears interest at a fixed rate (unlike bank debt which bears interest at a
    floating rate usually based on LIBOR, the rate at which banks lend to other banks in
    the London inter‐bank market)
•   Interest payments typically made semi‐annually (bank debt interest payments are
    made at the end of each LIBOR period and at least quarterly)
•   Interest may be payable in cash or in PIK notes (“payment in kind”)
•   “Discount notes” accrete principal, which is essentially PIK interest
•   Payment of principal on the notes is typically required to be made, in full, at final
    maturity
•   Term is generally longer than bank debt's (e.g., 7‐10 years versus 4‐6 years)

    Gibson Dunn                                                                       24
High Yield Offerings: Overview (Cont'd)

• Optional prepayment: normally subject to a “no‐call” period (5 years for 10‐year
  notes, 3 to 4 years for 7‐year notes)
    o Bank debt is usually optionally prepayable at any time without premium
    o During the no‐call period, either prohibited from prepaying the notes or must
      pay a “make‐whole” premium (i.e. present value of all remaining payments
      during the no call period discounted by the treasury rate plus a small margin)
    o After the no‐call period, the premium may be a set percentage of the principal
      amount (half the coupon in a 10 year deal with a 5 year no‐call), where the
      percentage declines over time

• Prepayment upon a Change of Control: the issuer must offer to repurchase the notes
  at 101% of the principal amount
    o Unlike a bank deal, a Change of Control does not trigger an Event of Default

  Gibson Dunn                                                                    25
High Yield Offerings: Overview (Cont'd)

Covenants: Affirmative and negative covenants are designed to ensure that the issuer
  will stay financially healthy and will use money wisely, and that the noteholders will
  stay informed on the status of the issuer.
• Since the directors of the issuer generally have no fiduciary duty to the debtholders,
  the debtholders use contractual obligations to protect their interests.
• The terms will be quite issuer‐specific, since the risks of the issuer (which the
  noteholders will want to limit) and the needs of the issuer (for which the issuer will
  want to maintain flexibility) will vary.
• Terms of high‐yield deals need to be more permissive than terms of bank deals
  because of the difficulty of obtaining consents from a widely dispersed group of high‐
  yield note holders.

  Gibson Dunn                                                                        26
High Yield Offerings: Overview (Cont'd)

• Negative covenants restrict, among other things:
    o Asset Sales
    o Restricted payments (dividends to equity, payments of more junior debt and
      certain investments)
    o Incurrence of debt
    o “Dividend blockers” (restrictions on dividends, loans and asset transfers from
      subsidiaries of the issuer to the issuer)
    o Transactions with affiliates
    o Engaging in unrelated businesses
    o Mergers and sales of all or substantially all assets

• Affirmative covenants require, among other things:
    o Guarantees from new domestic subsidiaries
    o Delivery of financial statements

  Gibson Dunn                                                                     27
High Yield Offerings: Overview (Cont'd)

• Events of Default:
    o Non‐payment of principal, premium or interest
    o Non‐performance of covenants
    o Acceleration of other debt
    o Assessment of certain judgments
    o Bankruptcy
• If an event of default exists, a set minimum percentage of the holders (typically 25%)
  may elect to accelerate the debt and all outstanding amounts immediately are due
• High‐yield events of default are usually more permissive than covenants in a bank
  deal, including “covenant lite” deals

  Gibson Dunn                                                                      28
High Yield Offerings: Overview (Cont'd)

• Offering memorandum, including a Description of Notes section (the “OM”)
• Indenture
• Notes
• Purchase Agreement
• Registration Rights Agreement (except in “144A for life” deals)

  Gibson Dunn                                                                29
High Yield Offerings: Selected Issues

• Ability to Issue Secured Debt – the “Hookie Duke”
• The liens covenant and the debt covenant worked together to limit the amount of
  secured debt
• Traditionally, liens are limited to the specified credit facility basket
• Many energy companies have a more aggressive provision which allows any “Credit
  Facility” to be secured
    o Allows ratio debt and refinancing debt to be secured
• During the downturns in 2014 / 2015 and 2016 issuers used these provisions to raise
  secured debt and exchange unsecured debt for secured debt (“priming”)
• New issuers should expect some resistance to including this exception

  Gibson Dunn                                                                   30
High Yield Offerings: Selected Issues (Cont'd)

• Redemption Provisions
• The general construct of having an equity clawback, a T+50 make‐whole and a fixed
  redemption based on the coupon hasn’t changed
• Two changes in the redemption mechanics:
    o Shortening the notice period on a redemption
    o Conditional redemption
• Recent tax reform limitations on interest expense deductibility and ability to use NOLs

  Gibson Dunn                                                                      31
High Yield Offerings: Selected Issues (Cont'd)

• Change of Control covenant requires the issuer to make an offer to purchase the
  bonds in the event the issuer undergoes a change of control (so the bondholders
  have a put right)
• Two trends in the Change of Control Covenant
    o “Two‐Trigger” Change of Control – a change of control following by a ratings
      decline within a certain period
         More for seasoned issuers
    o No Change of Control if no person owns more than 50% of the voting stock of a
      resulting holding company
         Viewed as pretty aggressive

  Gibson Dunn                                                                  32
High Yield Offerings: Selected Issues (Cont'd)

• Unrestricted Subsidiaries
     o Not subject to the covenants, but limitations on counting financial results for
        meeting covenants
• Customary requirements:
     o Able to make an investment equal to the FMV of the subsidiary
     o All contracts between the issuer/restricted subsidiaries and the unrestricted
        subsidiary must be arms length
     o Issuer does not have an obligation to subscribe for additional equity interests or
        preserve financial condition
• If creating a Joint Venture, the JV partner typically does not want the subsidiary
  subject to the covenants
     o The last requirement can be problematic

  Gibson Dunn                                                                       33
Part Three:
Acquisition by a SPAC as an
Alternative to an IPO
Acquisition by a SPAC as an Alternative to an IPO

• SPAC Basics
• Recent SPAC Activity
    o Upward trend in SPAC IPOs since 2009
         2019 (through early Feb.): 5 SPAC IPOs; Gross Proceeds $938 million
         2018: 46 SPAC IPOs (~24% of all IPOs); Gross Proceeds of $10.7 billion
         2017: 34 SPAC IPOs (~20% of all IPOs); Gross Proceeds of $10.0 billion
    o 6 successful energy‐focused De‐SPAC transactions in 2018
    o At least 8 existing energy‐focused SPACs still searching for targets

  Gibson Dunn                                                                      35
Acquisition by a SPAC as an Alternative to an IPO (Cont’d)

• Considerations –SPAC Acquisitions vs. IPO
    o Execution Risk
    o Valuation
    o Cost
    o Additional Economics
    o Cash Exit
    o Governance
    o Management
    o Limited Recourse
    o Timing
    o Regulatory Treatment
    o Tax structuring and considerations

  Gibson Dunn                                                36
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      Gibson Dunn                                                                                                            37
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