LTE Roaming: Global Market Status and Drivers for Growth - Deployment plans, vendor choices and monetization strategies

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LTE Roaming: Global Market Status and Drivers for Growth - Deployment plans, vendor choices and monetization strategies
LTE Roaming: Global Market
Status and Drivers for Growth
Deployment plans, vendor choices and monetization strategies

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Contents
Executive summary .................................................................................................................................... 3

The survey respondents ............................................................................................................................. 3

LTE roaming market status ........................................................................................................................ 4
      LTE market overview.................................................................................................................................. 4
      LTE roaming market outlook ..................................................................................................................... 4

Market development: Strategies to increase LTE roaming usage and take-up ......................................... 5
      How are operators planning to approach the pricing of LTE roaming? ................................................... 5

Service strategies: What new services will drive LTE growth? ................................................................. 7
      LTE roaming deployment strategies ......................................................................................................... 8
      LTE roaming deployment timing ............................................................................................................... 8
      Scope and range of LTE roaming agreements.......................................................................................... 9
      LTE roaming challenges ......................................................................................................................... 10
Operator strategies for selecting roaming vendors ..................................................................................... 11

Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................... 13

Recommendations .................................................................................................................................... 15

     This Informa Telecoms & Media/Tata Communications White Paper is the first of two on the LTE roaming
     market that cover the key challenges it faces and the opportunities arising from its development. The second
     White Paper, which will be published later on this year, will focus on the evolution of roaming in the face of
     changing technology, regulatory, and business models and the strategies operators can adopt to benefit from
     this nascent and fast-developing market.

© Informa UK Limited 2013. All rights reserved.
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                                                                                                                   © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com                                      2
Executive summary
  1 The global mobile roaming market is at a crucial moment in its development, with a myriad of
    technological, strategic and regulatory forces re-shaping a market that is made even more dynamic by
    changing end-user behavior. Operators have a unique opportunity to capitalize on these changes and must
    prepare in the right way to be able to remain competitive. With the arrival of LTE comes a new technology
    standard that both creates new capabilities for operators in terms of quality of experience offered to their
    subscribers, and at the same time also significantly increases the complexity of implementing and managing
    a robust roaming services in multi-technology environment . In our Industry Survey, the biggest challenges
    facing operators in successfully implementing LTE roaming include technical, operational and strategic
    issues, including inter-standard roaming, LTE steering of roaming and an expected “signaling storm”. As a
    broad base of end users increasingly look to use a myriad of different data services when they travel, it is
    essential that operators have the means to offer robust connectivity and a quality of experience that replicates
    home-market levels. Without the right underlying technical and operational foundation in place, operators will
    miss the opportunity that LTE provides to offer the enhanced quality experience of mobile broadband services
    when subscribers travel.

  2 This paper finds that the majority of operators have yet to finalize their LTE roaming strategy as they are at
    the early stages of in-market LTE rollouts. There are numerous building blocks that operators need to put
    in place to realize the LTE opportunity, including the increased complexity and challenges that come with
    LTE roaming service deployment. LTE offers operators the opportunity to streamline the number of roaming
    partners they have as much as it creates new service opportunities. According to the survey, 54% of operators
    expect to have fewer than 50 bilateral roaming partners as they evolve toward LTE, suggesting a growing role
    for roaming hubs as operators look to LTE to reduce roaming complexity.

  3 This paper also highlights that the mobile data roaming opportunity remains largely untapped, but is set
    to accelerate at an even greater rate than at present. While over 40% of survey respondents expect to see
    an increase of more than 30% in annual data roaming traffic over the next three years, operators must
    put in place the right technical and operational capabilities as well as pricing structures to be able to tap
    the huge latent demand for LTE roaming services. Legacy issues surrounding “bill shock” means that many
    mobile travelers use mobile data much less than they do at home, representing a significant opportunity for
    operators to increase customer value and roaming revenues. Operators will need to continue to rethink their
    approach to pricing to stimulate roaming data usage if they want to encourage roaming data use and minimize
    the frequency that users connect to free WI-FI networks. Reducing roaming complexity while expanding
    roaming reach at the same time as positioning to maximize the potential of the enhanced capabilities of LTE is
    the considerable challenge that operators face, and is one this paper hopes to help operators meet.

The survey                              Fig. 1: What is your company’s primary area of business?

respondents
In May and June 2013, Informa
                                                                                                   Mobile operator
Telecoms & Media conducted                                                                         32%
an online survey of the global
                                                   Other (please specify)
telecoms industry about emerging                                     7%
LTE roaming trends. More than                                                                       Roaming hub
                                                                                                    1%
400 responses were received, of                                                                  Mobile virtual network operator
which 188 were from operators                                                                    5%
                                                                                           International wholesale carrier
(see fig. 1).                                                                              7%
                                        n= 423
                                        Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
In terms of company types,
operator respondents represented
the largest percentage, illustrating    included regulators, consultants,                segmentation of the respondents,
their interest in the nascent LTE       systems integrators, component                   especially in the number of
roaming market. There were              suppliers and OTT service                        operators that have already
a range of non-categorized              developers. So the LTE ecosystem                 launched LTE or are planning to
respondents (“Others”), which           is well represented in this                      launch.

                                                                     © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   3
The survey respondents were             Fig. 2: In which region are you based?
distributed around the world (see                                                                                               Africa
                                                                                     Western Europe                             14%
fig. 2). Europe and Asia Pacific were                                                          22%
especially strong regions, because
of the early LTE rollouts there and
                                                                                                                                                 Asia Pacific
because of the large amount of                                                   Middle East                                                     22%
intra- and inter-regional roaming                                                       13%

within them. LTE rollouts are taking
                                                                                     North America
place in the other regions, but more                                                         11%                                     Central and Eastern Europe
                                                                                                                                     9%
sporadically there.                                                                                    Latin America
                                        n= 423                                                                  9%
                                        Source: Informa Telecoms & Media

LTE roaming market                      The revenues from global mobile                                                              voice roaming, according to Informa
                                        data roaming will increase                                                                   Telecoms & Media research.
status                                  dramatically between 2011 and
LTE market overview                     2016, delivering a total CAGR of                                                             The majority of service growth (in
LTE network launches are                13.4%, or approximately US$13                                                                service-specific units) is expected to
accelerating in all regions as          billion, over the period compared                                                            come from data services; the annual
operators look to increase network      with approximately US$5 billion for                                                          volume (in MB) of data services is
capacity and offer higher-speed                                                                                                      forecast to grow by 328% over the
mobile broadband access than 3G
provides. Building on TeliaSonera’s     Fig. 3: Global LTE deployments by region, 1Q13
world first LTE launch in Sweden                                                34
                                                                    35
and Norway end-‘09, there were
                                                                    30
108 networks deployed by end-                                                                    23
March ‘13. Of these launches, the                                   25
                                         Deployments

majority were in Western Europe                                     20
                                                                                                                  16
(see fig. 3).                                                       15
                                                                                                                                      11              10               8
                                                                    10
                                                                                                                                                                                        6
Subscription growth is accelerating                                  5

as operators build out and expand                                    0
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attractive to a broad base of users.
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There were 90.5 million LTE
subscriptions at end-March, with        Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
the top 10 markets led by the US
and Japan (see fig. 4).                 Fig. 4: Global, top 10 LTE operators, 1Q13
                                                                    30
                                                                           26.3
LTE roaming market outlook
                                                                    25
                                         LTE subscriptions (mil.)

If we map the status of LTE roaming
                                                                    20
deployments onto forecast data-
roaming growth, we see how                                          15
                                                                                       11.6       10.5            9.3
important LTE technology is, with                                   10
                                                                                                                               6.6
its greater capacity and spectral                                                                                                          5.2        5.1        3.5
                                                                     5
                                                                                                                                                                              2.0       1.3
efficiency, to both enable this
                                                                     0
growth and to harness effectively
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roaming.
                                        Source: Informa Telecoms & Media

                                                                                                 © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com                             4
Fig. 5: Global, voice, SMS and data roaming traffic in service-specific units*, 2011-2016
 Roaming traffic                              2013                   2014                    2015                    2016   Increase 2011-2016 (%)   CAGR 2011-2016 (%)
 Voice traffic (mins 000s)

 Global total                          54,409,531             62,533,731              69,159,700             74,551,861                      111.8                 16.2

 SMS traffic (SMS 000s)

 Global total                          12,772,717             15,201,615              17,364,576             19,236,429                      149.7                 20.1
 Data traffic (MB 000s)

 Global total                            4,424,146              5,841,650              7,290,409              8,694,187                      327.9                 33.7

 *Includes local & international voice calls, originating & terminating SMS messages, and business & consumer data
 Source: Informa Telecoms & Media

forecast period, compared with                                  global roaming market, primarily by                           roaming. There is still significant
112% for voice services’ minutes                                reducing the overall number of trips                          latent demand among users for
and 150% for SMS messages (see                                  and also by reducing the frequency                            roaming data services from which
fig. 5). The developing regions                                 of roaming usage, the data roaming                            operators could profit, and they
show particularly high CAGR rates                               market remains largely untapped,                              could capture much of the roaming
in relation to data traffic growth,                             with considerable latent demand                               data use that currently goes over
although these regions have                                     waiting to be kindled by changes                              free Wi-Fi networks if they had the
relatively lower starting points.                               in usage behavior and operators’                              right service mix in place.
                                                                roaming tariffing strategies.
Roaming service revenues will                                                                                                 How are operators planning
remain dominated by voice between                                                                                             to approach the pricing of LTE
2011 and 2016, but the increasing                               Market development:                                           roaming?
penetration of smartphones, growth                                                                                            Under pressure from competition,
in application development and
                                                                Strategies to increase                                        regulation or a mixture of both,
dissemination of data services to                               LTE roaming usage                                             operators continue to reduce the
customers through app stores
                                                                and take-up                                                   amount they charge subscribers
will help to increase the share                                                                                               to use roaming services. During
of revenues generated by data                                   The high propensity to use data                               the second quarter of each year,
services, the only service that                                 services in-market and the                                    there are a slew of operator
is expected to see growth in the                                relatively low propensity to use                              announcements on reduced
coming years, according to Informa                              them while roaming indicates that                             roaming rates ahead of the
forecasts (see fig. 6).                                         there is much for mobile operators                            traditionally busy summer travelling
                                                                to do if they are to realize the                              period. A recent example of this was
While the economic downturn has                                 revenue potential of the roaming                              Swiss incumbent Swisscom sharply
had a considerable effect on the                                market, particularly in data                                  reducing, by as much as 70%, the
                                                                                                                              prices of its mobile data roaming
Fig. 6: Global, market shares of roaming service revenues, 2011 vs. 2016                                                      packages for the EU and to other
                                                                                                                              destinations.
                               2011                                                   2016
                                                                                                                              Related to the issue of the amount
                                                                                                                              operators charge for roaming
         Data                                                   Data                                                          is how they price the services.
         36%                                                    47%                                                           Bundling of roaming services is
                                                      Voice                                                 Voice             becoming more widespread among
                                                      59%                                                   49%
                                                                                                                              some of the large multinational
                SMS                                                                                                           operating groups, with Vodafone,
                59%
                                                                                    SMS                                       for example, charging a flat rate to
                                                                                     4%                                       enable subscribers to carry over
Source: Informa Telecoms & Media

                                                                                                    © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com      5
their home-market bundled voice        Fig. 7: Operators are using a lot of new types of data plan in their home
and data allowances.                   market
                                             Application-specific
                                           plan (e.g., FaceBook,                                                                        49.8
In terms of data, it is difficult         WhatsApp, Spotify, etc.)
for operators to assess whether                  QoS-based plans
                                                                                                                                  46.7
charging per MB or using a daily
                                              Dynamic data plans
rate leads to more profitable usage.                                                                                   39.6

After much experimentation on                   Shared data plans
                                                                                                                      38.2
approaches to data roaming, an
                                               Unlimited data plan
emerging trend is for operators                                                                                    36.9
to offer a range of roaming tariffs       Toll free data plan within
                                                  a tiered allowance                                           33.8
to meet the demands of customer
                                            Additional data “Turbo
segments, and, within that range,                      boost” plan                                     29.3
the distinct roaming demands of         Specific plans for different
                                            devices (i.e., iPhone,                             23.1
enterprise and consumer users. In
                                                      Galaxy, etc.)
this way, operators can offer daily
                                            Other (please specify) 2.7
data rates with a set data limit and
                                                                       0    5    10     15     20     25      30      35     40    45      50
per-GB rates for each different                                                                Response (%)
customer type.
                                       n= 225
                                       Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
Despite the regulation that caps the
amount European operators can
charge per MB when users travel        them. Other operators, especially                     There is considerable interest
in Europe, there is still a large      the large multinationals, can                         in zero-rated data in the US,
disparity between operators’ data      be expected to launch their                           with AT&T the most vocal about
rates; for instance, Vodafone UK       own roaming apps as the year                          wanting to offer toll-free data,
currently offers daily data roaming    progresses.                                           while Verizon and T-Mobile have
in the EU at £0.69 (US$1.08) per                                                             also expressed interest in it. AT&T
MB, while Telenor Norway offers        To try and increase the use of                        has gone as far as to survey its
data access in the EU or EEA at a      data roaming with LTE, operators                      customers’ interests in this type
maximum cost of NOK29 (US$4.96)        plan to launch a variety of new                       of data.
per day for 20MB.                      types of service plans, according
                                       to the survey: 50% of the survey                      Outside the US, there are already
After years of bill shock, a key       respondents plan to launch                            some examples of zero-rated data.
emerging principle in roaming          application-specific plans, while                     Facebook announced in March 2013
pricing is transparency. To            almost as many plan to launch                         that it is partnering with 18 mobile
increase roaming use, operators        QoS-based plans to boost data                         operators in 14 countries to provide
have to make sure that end             roaming use and monetize traffic                      free or discounted data access
users feel secure in knowing           (see fig. 7).                                         to Facebook messaging for their
how much using mobile services                                                               subscribers. UK operator EE offers
when roaming will cost them.           There has been considerable                           free access to film downloads as
Some operating groups, such as         interest in zero-rating certain                       part of its tariffs without taking the
Telekom in Germany and Orange,         applications among operators in                       data consumed out of the monthly
have introduced a travel app to        numerous markets. The idea of                         allowance.
help roamers to stay aware of          zero-rated data, where content
how much they have used their          providers, rather than the mobile                     Approaches such as these are
mobile while travelling. Through       subscribers, pay the operator for                     already shaping innovation in
awareness of mobile use, roamers       consumers’ use of their content,                      roaming tariffs and will do so more
are likely to use mobile services      can be a “win-win-win” for mobile                     as operators learn what works
more rather than less – as long as     operators, content providers and                      best and what doesn’t in profitably
they know how much it is costing       subscribers.                                          driving usage.

                                                                       © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com         6
Service strategies:                         memory games using                                services that operators launch
                                            smartphones through LTE                           in their home markets and also
What new services                           connectivity.                                     roaming-specific services, such as
will drive LTE growth?                    • Similarly, SK Telecom launched                    data-roaming usage applications,
                                            two new price plans to promote                    travel roaming-related applications
One of the promises of LTE is that          games using LTE network and                       and roaming-related location
it enables operators to launch new          more plans to expand gaming                       services (see fig. 8).
services, including enhanced voice          content for LTE users.
and messaging services, that exploit                                                          To offer each of these services,
its capabilities.                       Operators will build on these initial                 operators will need to be able
                                        foundations to launch more services                   to use the enhanced capabilities
Broadly speaking, LTE-only content      as LTE networks are deployed more                     of LTE networks in the roaming
and services haven’t been a top         widely and as subscription uptake                     context. They will need to closely
priority for operators at this stage    gathers pace. This will become                        align their LTE roaming technical
of the market’s development,            increasingly important for operators                  capability with the services they see
notwithstanding early Rich              as they look to increase the value                    as the main usage drivers for LTE
Communications Suite (RCS)              of the range of services available                    roaming.
launches over LTE and some other        to LTE users to stem ARPU dilution
early moves into the market.            and churn to OTT players.                             While offering and monetizing
                                                                                              services such as video streaming
Operators aren’t seeing LTE-only        Similarly, as operators launch LTE                    will be the most challenging from a
content as the main driver to           roaming and extend their footprints                   technical perspective, each service
differentiate 4G from 3G services       and capabilities, they will be in                     that operators offer over LTE
yet. Instead, they are focusing on      a position – and will also face a                     roaming will need to be provisioned
branding and different bundled          commercial imperative – to launch                     to users to offer the best quality
voice/ data/ SMS allowances to          new types of services that use the                    of experience possible. If the
make 4G distinct from 3G. That          capabilities of LTE. These services                   experience isn’t comparable to the
said, there are some early moves in     will be a mixture of the types of                     in-market experience, users will be
this area, with operators launching
LTE-only content/ services, and also    Fig. 8: What specific applications/services do you plan to launch in order
testing of how LTE can be used to       to drive LTE roaming usage? (please select and rank your top three)
deliver VAS/ content better than
                                            Top 1        Top 2      Top 3
over 3G. Some examples of this
include:                                         Location-based services

• Sprint examining how LTE can                            Social networking
  be used to optimize mobile video
  delivery.                                                      Video calling

• The RCS launches by Metro PCS             Travel-roaming-related apps
                                         developed with content partners
  and operators in South Korea.
                                                                    HD voice
• Ericsson’s partnerships with
  operators on using LTE for                                Video streaming
  broadcast (including Telia, Verizon         Rich Communications Suite
  and Telstra).                                       (RCS)/ messaging
                                               Premium data connectivity
• South Korean cellular operators,                              quality
  LG Uplus, SK Telecom and KT, are                  I have no plan to launch
                                                        specific applications
  targeting mobile games to drive
  their LTE markets:                                    Data usage monitor

  • LG Uplus has launched                                                        0   5   10   15   20   25   30   35      40    45   50
     “C-games”, a cloud-based                                                                        Response (%)

     game platform that enables         n=117 (mobile operators and MVNOs)
                                        Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
     subscribers to play high-

                                                                         © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   7
more inclined to stop using it when       roaming: South Korean operator                           The timing of in-market LTE
roaming than they would when in           SK Telecom and Hong Kong’s CSL                           launches is critical because
their home market. Ensuring an            have launched an international LTE                       operators can gain a clear
optimal quality of experience for         roaming service, for example. In an                      competitive advantage if they launch
subscribers is inextricably linked to     aggressive move to encourage LTE                         early in the right way, forcing rivals
the operators’ ability to create and      roaming use, the LTE roaming plans                       to react to blunt any first-mover
monetize roaming data usage.              offered by the two operators are the                     advantage.
                                          same as their 3G roaming charges.
What’s perhaps surprising, given                                                                   The timing of LTE roaming is less
the enhanced capabilities of LTE,         Meanwhile, in June 2013, Tata                            critical than the timing of in-market
is that a large proportion of the         Communications and Telecom Italia                        LTE because, for the majority of
survey respondents have no plans          Sparkle implemented the first LTE                        ordinary mobile users, LTE roaming
to launch roaming services to take        roaming peering between two IPX                          is not a core service that determines
advantage of these capabilities.          providers, laying the foundation                         how they chose their mobile operator.
However, it can be expected that          for growth in LTE roaming traffic.                       The exception to this is the enterprise
if operators successfully deploy          This, along with SK Telecom and                          market; LTE roaming will be more
specific services and applications        CSL’s agreement, shows that the                          of a critical factor in the selection
that drive LTE roaming use –and           early movers are pioneering how to                       of a mobile service provider for this
when the barriers to deploying them       implement LTE roaming and laying                         sector. Given that the enterprise
decrease – then the operators that        the initial parts of the foundation for                  market historically accounts for
currently have no plans to launch         others in the industry to build on.                      around 80% of operators’ roaming
LTE services will face a strong                                                                    revenues, offering LTE roaming is
strategic imperative to do so.            LTE roaming deployment                                   the next logical step that operators
                                          timing                                                   will need to offer after launching
LTE roaming deployment                    With LTE network launches                                in-market LTE, and is a service that
strategies                                gathering pace, operators are                            will likely be a key differentiating
There are significant challenges to       already formulating their LTE                            factor in future enterprise roaming
implementing LTE roaming, primarily       roaming strategies. Despite a                            negotiations.
because a change in roaming               handful of early LTE roaming
architecture is required, including the   deployments, notably between SKT                         Informa’s LTE roaming survey
transition of the GRX service to LTE      and its roaming partners in Asia                         shows that the largest percentage
roaming in the next few years, which      Pacific, as well as between Telstra                      of the operator respondents, 43%,
means maintaining simultaneous SS7        in Australia and CSL in Hong Kong,                       either have launched or plan to
and Diameter signaling networks.          for the majority of operators, even                      launch LTE roaming in the next six
                                          those that launched LTE early such                       months – and a further 29% plan
LTE roaming also offers challenges        as Verizon and TeliaSonera, these                        to launch in 6-18 months time (see
from a strategic perspective if           discussions remain at an early stage.                    fig. 9).
operators replicate the bilateral-
roaming-agreement approach in             Fig. 9: When do you plan to launch LTE roaming?
the LTE domain. This will lead to a
significant increase in complexity                                                                           Already launched
as new roaming partners are added                             More than 18 months                            21.5%
                                                                            28.1%
for LTE, including the operationally-
intensive inter-operator testing
required.
                                                                                                               In the next 6 months
                                                                                                               21.5%
While LTE roaming is still very much
                                                                              6-18 months
in its infancy from a deployment                                                    28.9%
perspective, early moves are
being made. Some operators have           n=121 (mobile operators, international wholesale carriers)
                                          Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
already implemented bilateral LTE

                                                                          © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   8
Given that each region differs         and experimentation tied to price                      From a global perspective,
significantly in terms of in-market    cutting.                                               domestic and intra-regional
LTE deployment readiness, it’s no                                                             destinations remain the top
surprise that there is also a marked   Where operators strike LTE                             strategies for LTE roaming,
disparity between the LTE roaming      roaming agreements will largely                        according to Informa’s survey (see
plans of the operators from the        be determined by the insights they                     fig. 10).
different regions.                     have from their existing roaming
                                       traffic and expected future growth                     Looking at this from a regional
Because LTE launches are just          to new countries and regions. They                     perspective, current market
starting to be rolled out in Africa    will use new LTE agreements to                         dynamics will be mapped onto the
and Latin America, the majority of     position for this expected growth;                     LTE roaming scenario, with for
operators in these regions, 52.9%      for example, to tap the increasing                     instance, inter-regional roaming
and 41.2% respectively, plan to        traffic in the China-Africa roaming                    the most important roaming
launch LTE roaming from 2015 on.       corridor.                                              destination for operators in the EU.
Conversely, because of the more
advanced status of in-market LTE       For many operators, especially                         The number of roaming partners
rollouts in Europe, Asia Pacific       in emerging markets, domestic                          an operator can connect to is the
and North America, the majority        roaming remains the most                               sum of its bilateral and hubbing
of operators in these regions have     important roaming consideration.                       relationships. Roaming hubs have
either launched LTE already, or plan   However, even in markets where                         seen growth in the amount of traffic
to by the end of 2014.                 domestic roaming is still in place,                    they carry since 2009 as operators
                                       this framework is gradually                            look to consolidate existing bilateral
Scope and range of LTE                 being eroded in favor of lowering                      agreements onto hubs, and also
roaming agreements                     barriers to moving between the                         to extend their roaming reach.
The economic downturn has had a        regions within countries: India is                     Moreover, the entrance of two major
considerable effect on the global      perhaps the most notable example                       operating groups, Vodafone and
roaming market, primarily by           of this, with domestic roaming                         France Telecom, has helped growth
reducing overall business and          expected to be removed later in                        in the market, as these companies
leisure travel but also by reducing    the year. As domestic roaming                          operate hubs as discrete commercial
the frequency of roaming: Actual       regimes are removed, roaming                           units while also migrating operating
and forecast growth in the number      considerations for these operators                     companies’ roaming agreements
of trips made by mobile users          will give way to international                         onto their hubs. For smaller
fell over the 2007-2011 period         roaming, whether it be intra-                          operators and new entrants, hubbing
at a CAGR of 8.5%, according to        regional or inter-regional.                            makes particularly strong financial
Informa research. However, this
trend is now reversing and the         Fig. 10: Rank the following LTE roaming strategies in order of importance
number of trips mobile users make      (1 being the most important and 3 being the least important)
is forecast to grow by a CAGR of
15.4% between 2011 and 2016. Not                                     Domestic     Intra-regional     Inter-regional

surprisingly, the enterprise sector
is forecast to remain slightly more                          3
resilient to the economic downturn
than consumers with a CAGR of
                                                             2
7.53% in the number of trips that
enterprise mobile users make
over the forecast period. The gap                            1
is narrowing though; the number
                                                                 0        10       20         30          40      50   60      70
of trips made by consumers is
expected see a CAGR of 7.24%                                                                   Response (%)

over the same period, primarily        n= 146 (mobile operators, MVNOs, global carriers & roaming hubs)
                                       Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
as a result of increased usage

                                                                       © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   9
and operational sense as it allows       Fig. 11: How many LTE bilateral roaming partners do you expect to have in
them to efficiently and quickly fill     three years time? (please select one option)
the destination gaps in the markets                                          More than 300
                                                                                       8%
where their customers roam.                                              201 to 300
                                                                                4%                          1 to 25
                                                                   101 to 200                               26%
As operators roll out LTE, roaming                                       10%

hubs will play an even more
central role in operators’ roaming
portfolio because they will seize                                     51 to 100
the opportunity to streamline the                                          24%
                                                                                                        26 to 50
number of partners they have.                                                                           28%

According to Informa’s survey, the
majority of the operators expect         n= 142
                                         Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
to have up to 50 bilateral roaming
partners as they evolve their
roaming strategies in step with LTE      Fig. 12: Which one of the following roaming regions/ routes is considered
rollouts (see fig. 11).                  the highest priority for the next 12 months as you roll out your LTE
                                         roaming service? (please select one alternative)
                                                                                             Eastern Europe
From a regional perspective,                                                                 4%    Africa
operators in Africa, Asia Pacific                                                                  6%
                                                                                                        Latin America
and North America expect to                                                                             6%
have as few as 1-25 bilateral                                                                                Middle East
                                                             Western Europe                                  18%
roaming partners in the next                                           38%
three years, showing the extent of
consolidation of roaming partners                                                                           North America
                                                                                                            17%
as LTE networks are launched.
Operators in the Middle East                                                  Asia Pacific
                                                                                    21%
expect to have the highest number
of LTE roaming partners in three         n= 146 (mobile operators, MVNOs, global carriers & roaming hubs)
                                         Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
years, at 51-100, a reflection of the
number of bilateral agreements
they currently have in conjunction       relationships with partners to tap                     need to evaluate how LTE sits in
with an apparent disinclination to       the region’s rising significance from                  relation to their in-market portfolio
move toward hubbing solutions            a roaming perspective.                                 of services.
to consolidate the number of
interconnections.                        LTE roaming challenges                                 Following on from this, there
                                         On the one hand, the LTE                               are even more implementation
From a global perspective, Western       roaming opportunity is clear and                       and technical challenges for the
Europe will still be the main priority   straightforward: LTE roaming                           operator to overcome with LTE
roaming destination for operators        offers operators considerable                          roaming than there are with
for the next 12 months as they roll      opportunities to offer new roaming                     in-market LTE services: How do my
out LTE (see fig. 12). Asia Pacific      services and replicate the home                        existing roaming agreements sit
and North America will also be           LTE-user experience for users when                     within my LTE roaming strategy?
important roaming destinations           they travel. But on the other hand,                    Do I strike new LTE roaming
for operators, reflecting the            LTE roaming presents considerable                      agreements or do I extend my
ongoing importance of traditional        challenges, and on every level:                        existing agreements into LTE?
roaming routes and the continuing        From a broad strategic perspective,                    Which of the enhanced technical
emergence of Asia as a travel            operators first need to assess                         capabilities of LTE can I use
destination. The growing importance      how they are going to position LTE                     most effectively in the roaming
of Asia represents an opportunity        roaming in the context of their                        context? How do I monetize these
for operators to strike roaming          other roaming services, just as they                   capabilities?

                                                                        © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   10
Fig. 13: The top three challenges for LTE roaming                                                   Diameter signaling is an important
                                                                                                    element for the operation of LTE
                                                                                                    networks as it interfaces between
                   1       Inter-standard roaming
                                                                                                    the policy engine (PCRF) and
                                                                                                    the customer databases (HLR,
                                                                                                    HSS) for subscriber-mobility
                       2       LTE steering of roaming
                                                                                                    management and QoS policy.
                                                                                                    SIP signaling is also expected
                                                                                                    to become more important as
                           3       International and domestic signaling storm
                                                                                                    operators start deploying VoLTE
                                                                                                    and RCS services. Session Border
n = 305                                                                                             Controllers (SBCs) are considered
Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
                                                                                                    to be pivotal components to
                                                                                                    enable this functionality. Each
While spectrum fragmentation                      countries, fragmentation remains                  of these elements combine to
and handset availability are                      a major problem. The dangers of                   create complexity and challenges
major challenges, the survey                      fragmented spectrum are already                   to monetizing the growing use of
respondents, from a global                        looming, with Informa research                    roaming.
perspective, indicate that the top                identifying 11 spectrum bands being
three challenges for LTE roaming                  used for LTE, making it difficult                 Informa expects Diameter
are: inter-standard roaming:                      for vendors and manufacturers                     deployments to both increase in
LTE steering of roaming: and                      to facilitate global roaming and                  number and evolve (in terms of
an anticipated international and                  achieve economies of scale on                     technology, deployment type, etc.)
domestic signaling storm (see fig.                equipment.                                        as the first wave of LTE network
13).                                                                                                deployments is completed.
                                                  Operator strategies for                           Over and above enabling LTE
The rollout of LTE networks                       selecting roaming vendors                         roaming, advanced functionality
is likely to have an impact on                    Given the considerable technical                  from Diameter components,
operators’ steering-of-roaming                    and strategic challenges to                       Diameter protocol normalization,
agreements because 3G data                        implementing LTE roaming,                         interoperability with legacy 2G/3G
users may roam onto 4G networks,                  operators need to carefully assess                networks, and QoS policy are all
even if they are not part of                      their roaming vendor partners to                  expected to be considered during
the preferred list of networks.                   be in a position to maximize the                  2013. Given the fact that operators
Therefore, ensuring that preferred                full potential of offering enhanced               are also pushing towards online
networks are roamed onto when                     data roaming to their subscribers.                and real-time charging, Informa
subscribers travel within range                   This decision is surrounded by                    expects Diameter signaling to
of LTE networks that aren’t                       an extremely dynamic range of                     become a more important topic
part of an operator’s preferred-                  market realities, both technical                  during this year.
partner network will be crucial                   and strategic, as well as possible
to ensure roaming revenues as                     future scenarios, including how                   Moreover, the rollout of LTE
more operators roll out their LTE                 much data travelers use currently                 services – primarily VoLTE – is
networks.                                         compared with how much they are                   expected to drive signaling
                                                  likely to use as operators’ roaming               volumes even higher, increasing
Spectrum fragmentation is another                 strategies evolve in relation to                  the need for operators to assess
challenge the roaming industry                    travel patterns, regulation and                   the Diameter infrastructure
has to deal with. While regulators                evolving service strategies. What                 capabilities of potential roaming
within regions and between regions                makes an operator’s decision about                vendors. As operators plan their
can help create a healthy LTE                     its roaming vendor even more                      LTE roaming strategies, they
ecosystem by working together                     of a challenge is the uncertainty                 are taking advice from Diameter
to identify spectrum that is as                   surrounding how these factors will                specialists about dedicated
harmonized as possible between                    develop.                                          signaling components rather

                                                                                © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   11
than adding an extra layer of                            help enhance subscribers’ roaming             • Ensure that the vendor can
functionality provided with other                        experience.                                     support CSFB signalling.
network elements (e.g., PCRF,
HSS). Diameter is often considered                       Another key approach to minimizing            These requirements are borne
to be a critical protocol for the                        this complexity will be to reduce             out by Informa’s survey, which
operation of an LTE network and                          the number of roaming agreements              indicates that a roaming vendor’s
recent outages in 3G roaming                             operators have as they strike their           LTE roaming footprint and
have provided adequate proof that                        LTE roaming agreements. Making                expertise are the most important
dedicated elements for Diameter                          new agreements for LTE roaming                factors when operators make the
load balancing are necessary.                            offers operators the chance to                decision to select a service provider
                                                         migrate or consolidate their current          (see fig. 14). A significant minority,
This enhanced technical capability,                      bilateral or hubbing roaming                  25%, said that IPX reach will be the
while adding complexity, provides                        agreements to a new platform with             primary driver.
significant opportunities for                            a new or existing roaming provider.
operators to monetize current and                                                                      As already discussed, roaming
new roaming traffic more efficiently                     As they assess roaming partners               hubs are an option for operators to
and effectively.                                         for LTE in the context of their               potentially reduce the increasingly
                                                         overall roaming strategy evolution,           complicated roaming ecosystem.
There remains a lot of scope for                         operators will need to:                       They are designed to expedite
operators to improve the roaming                         • Offer QoS within the LTE roaming            and simplify the formation of new
customer experience of existing                            context to harness the benefits of          roaming partnerships by acting
services. While operators have                             LTE.                                        as a convergence point for all the
complete visibility of customer                          • Ensure that the scope of the                roaming agreements of those
usage on their own networks, they                          vendor’s roaming footprint meets            operators attached to it. Joining a
cannot build a complete near-real-                         their current and likely future             hub can benefit mobile operators in
time view of customers’ usage while                        requirements.                               two main ways: it lowers the cost
roaming. This is further complicated                     • Assess the robustness of the                to an operator of offering roaming
in scenarios where customers can                           signaling experience the vendor             services; and it produces new
access multiple networks when                              offers.                                     revenues through new traffic with
they roam because of the number                          • Assess the capability to offer              new partners and through offering
of network-sharing agreements                              carrier-grade Diameter signaling.           new services.
between operators. When choosing                         • Ensure that the vendor can offer
their roaming partner, operators                           seamless reporting, monitoring              While bilateral roaming
should consider how far vendors                            and trouble-shooting across                 interconnections will still play
can offer usage-based insights to                          2G-3G-4G.                                   an important role, the added
                                                                                                       complexity that LTE roaming
Fig. 14: What would be the primary driver for you to select a LTE roaming                              brings can be expected to lead
service provider? (please select one option)                                                           operators to look more and more
                                                                                                       to hubs to reduce it. Among the
                                   Other (please specify)
                                                     6%
                                                                Current GRX provider                   survey respondents that were
                                                                13%
                                                                                                       from roaming and wholesale
                                                                                                       departments, 40% are “likely” or
                                                                                                       “very likely” to outsource their
             LTE roaming on-net footprint
                                    31%                                IPX reach                       Diameter signaling function, while
                                                                       25%                             25% are still uncertain (see fig. 15).

                                                                                                       IP eXchange (IPX) is a GSMA-
                                       Roaming expertise
                                                   26%                                                 defined industry-standard IP-based
                                                                                                       interconnection technology. It
n=110 (mobile operators, international wholesale carriers)                                             provides a number of advantages for
Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
                                                                                                       roaming service providers based on

                                                                                   © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   12
improved interconnect and transit         Fig. 15: Do you plan (“what is your willingness”) to outsource your
as well as improving the richness         diameter signaling network function (e.g., DEA) for international roaming
                                          to your IPX provider? (please select one option)
and experience of data roaming.
IPX provides a consistent and                                                                            Yes – very likely
                                                                                                         15%
robust route to improved roaming                                Don’t know yet
                                                                         25%
interconnect, particularly with data
roaming.

IPX can help operators offer an                                                                                 Yes – likely
                                                                                                                25%
enhanced data-roaming experience                                    No – unlikely
that can be managed from end to                                             35%

end and manipulated in real time,
which is useful for providing specific    n=14 (roaming and wholesale departments)
                                          Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
data-roaming services requiring
particular attributes (e.g., consistent
connectivity, high bandwidth, low          Fig. 16: Which of the following are the most important services that your
latency), and it is future-proofed for    IPX provider needs to offer as part of the basic LTE roaming service?
                                          (please rank your top three)
data-roaming services because it
uses an all-IP core.                          Top 1     Top 2       Top 3

                                                        Roaming data clearing
It will be crucial that IPX providers                          (data, VoLTE)
                                               Roaming Ffinancial settlement
provide a solid platform for                                  (data, VoLTE)
operators to be able to monetize              LTE roaming operational testing
                                                   and management services
IPX-based data roaming. The
                                                              LTE roaming hub
survey respondents chose roaming
                                                      LTE steering of roaming
data clearing, roaming financial
settlement (data, VoLTE), LTE-                           LTE hosted DRA/DEA

hosted DRA/DEA and roaming hub                                                    0          10          20       30           40   50   60

as the most important services an                                                                                  Responses (%)

IPX provider needs to offer (see          n = 110 (mobile operators, international wholesale carriers)
                                          Source: Informa Telecoms & Media
fig. 16).

Conclusions
The global mobile roaming market          approaches, many mobile users                             gradual approaches to reducing
is at a critical juncture in its          either restrain their mobile use                          prices. Although there is a gradual
history. It presents operators with       while traveling or turn off their                         shift in the users’ perceptions
many new opportunities but also           phones when they begin their                              about how much roaming services
many new challenges.                      holiday: The fallout from charging                        cost, their perceptions that the
                                          extremely high roaming prices in                          cost of roaming is prohibitively
Operators are re-assessing how            the past has caused consumers to                          high persist. This is the case
they approach roaming pricing at          continue to be extremely cautious                         even in the EU, where focused
the same time as launching new            and wary about using roaming                              regulation at the wholesale and
services to encourage profitable          services.                                                 retail levels has led to roaming
mobile usage by as many of                                                                          rates priced at a mild premium to
their customers that travel as            Operators are addressing this                             home-market rates, a premium
possible. But, as a result of legacy      “anti-roaming” mindset with                               which is set to all but disappear

                                                                          © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com    13
next year if the new proposed           that the operators risk missing the       consumers while retaining
regulation comes into effect.           opportunity of a potential retail         enterprise roaming revenues
                                        roaming user base that remains,           against the encroachment to both
In regions without regulation           to a large degree, untapped.              from OTT and Wi-Fi players?
to bring down retail roaming
rates, roaming revenues are still       The advent of LTE roaming                 The outlook is extremely
predominantly generated from            offers operators the chance               encouraging for the mobile
enterprise users. Because of this,      to re-evaluate their roaming              roaming industry. Data-roaming
operators in these regions, like        strategies. Can they significantly        usage is expected to grow by more
those in Europe before regulation       increase roaming usage with               than 40% annually, representing
began, face the conundrum of how        new tariffs that encourage usage          a significant opportunity for
to lower retail roaming rates to        across the board? Can they reduce         operators to tap new monetization
encourage very price-sensitive          roaming-related costs as they             opportunities if they can position
consumer usage without reducing         launch LTE and collapse existing          themselves to take advantage
prices for enterprise users, whose      agreements into new ones? Can             of this increase by replicating
usage patterns are less price-          they exploit the capabilities of LTE      successful in-market data
sensitive.                              to tap new usage scenarios and            strategies in the roaming context.
                                        new users? Can they encourage
Operators in Europe answered this       existing roamers not to switch off        Given that bill shock remains one
conundrum by resisting for as long      roaming when they travel and seek         of the most significant barriers
as possible lowering retail rates       out the nearest Wi-Fi hot spot?           to data roaming, operators must
by a sufficient amount to cause a                                                 closely assess how they can
significant increase in consumer        LTE roaming offers operators              effectively deploy tools to ensure
usage because they wanted to            the potential to exert more               transparency on usage to drive
maintain high enterprise roaming        control over the overall roaming          traffic. Some operators, such as
rates. Eventually, regulation           experience and bring it more in           France Telecom and Deutsche
forced their hand.                      line with the data experience in the      Telekom, have already deployed
                                        home market. Diameter signaling           data-usage applications to
It is, however, questionable            for LTE roaming will play a major         overcome end-user fears about
whether operators in other              role in terms of enablement and           roaming bill shock and operators
regions, in today’s mobile market,      monetization, especially with the         should learn from these early
will able to replicate this strategy.   implementation of online charging         deployments how to offer similar
                                        in national and international             usage monitors to their customers
Why? It is mainly because               markets.                                  to offer more transparency.
operators – in all regions – face a
major threat to roaming revenues        As we’ve seen, the technical              Earlier in this paper, the following
from OTT and Wi-Fi substitutes.         challenges to LTE roaming are             questions were posed: How do my
These players are succeeding in         not inconsiderable. From a high-          existing roaming agreements sit
capturing a high volume of voice        level perspective, we have argued         within my LTE roaming strategy?
and data roaming, and driving the       that operators must choose their          Do I strike new LTE roaming
so-called “consumerization” of          roaming partners with a view to           agreements or do I extend my
enterprise mobile use. The threat       maximizing their current roaming          existing agreements into LTE?
from these players is pressing          capabilities while evolving them          Which of the enhanced technical
enough that they pose a very real       most effectively into the next            capabilities of LTE can I use
danger to operators’ enterprise         generation.                               most effectively in the roaming
roaming revenues – not just their                                                 context? How do I monetize these
consumer roaming revenues.              The other major challenge that            capabilities? This paper aims if not
Moreover, it’s not just that OTT        operators face is strategic.              to have definitively answered these
and Wi-Fi players pose a major          This can be boiled down to the            questions then to have provided an
threat to operators’ enterprise         following: How can operators              incisive framework within which to
and consumer revenue – it’s also        encourage roaming use among               address them.

                                                              © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   14
Recommendations
1. Operators should ensure they have the technical capability to offer a good quality-of-service (QoS) to
   roaming end users to maximize the quality of their LTE roaming experience: LTE roamers, especially
   enterprise roamers, will expect their in-market LTE experience to be replicated when they travel. Ensuring
   LTE data speeds and robustness of delivery will be essential for operators to position LTE roaming as a
   premium experience – especially to the enterprise market where critical applications will be accessed over
   LTE. Operators need to ensure their roaming vendor partners can offer a robust network with scalable reach
   to meet their key roaming requirements. According to Informa’s survey, video calling and social networking
   will help driving LTE data roaming use, both of which require good QoS support to maximize the quality of the
   users’ experience.

2. Operators should approach LTE roaming with a view to monetizing as much data-roaming traffic as
   possible: The availability of free Wi-Fi means users, especially consumers, often prefer a lower quality-
   of-experience (QoE) at no cost to a premium experience. It is essential that operators can ensure steering
   of roaming. This will minimize any roaming revenue leakage that results from the increased complexity of
   keeping subscribers on preferred networks as the LTE network rollouts will have an impact on preferential
   roaming agreements. Operators should look to partnerships to be able to capture as much roaming data use
   as possible by meeting end-user expectations on QoE in the context of how much they are paying for it.

3. Operators should invest in improving tools to offer more transparency in roaming usage: Bill shock is
   still the main barrier for data-roaming usage and it will be a major boundary for LTE roaming. Smartphone
   applications need to evolve to provide accurate and real-time information about usage and be integrated
   across other operator channels such as the Internet and the contact center.

4. Inter-working and inter-operability capabilities are essential to offering a robust roaming quality of
   experience: Legacy roaming expertise is paramount to enable operators to handle roaming traffic traveling
   across different technology standards and over equipment from different vendors.

5. Operators need to partner with vendors that have a significant and scalable IPX reach from the physical
   layer to the application layer: With the potential amount of data generated via LTE roaming, in particular at
   peak times (the so-called “signaling storm”), operators need to make sure the IPX infrastructure for roaming
   can handle unexpected spikes in traffic and also have the scale to handle long-term growth in signaling
   traffic.

6. Operators should consider partners with established experience of mission-critical applications and with
   a carrier-grade solution on the Diameter-signaling network function: As the mobile industry prepares for
   the advent of a signaling storm, Diameter entities in the IPX carrier vendor’s network will play an increasingly
   critical role in mitigating the risks posed. Operators should select a roaming vendor with a global carrier-
   class IPX network and Diameter function infrastructure, coupled with a proven track record in global roaming.

                                                             © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   15
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About Tata Communications

Tata Communications is a leading global provider of a new world of communications. The Tata Global Network
includes a leading tier-1 IP network and the largest global submarine, wholesale voice, and Ethernet backbone
networks. Tata Communications provides robust connectivity to more than 200 countries and supports mobile, video,
and IT infrastructure solutions.

As the #1 mobile signaling and international voice provider, Tata Communications helps mobile operators address
mobile broadband challenges with its mobile broadband enablement framework. From IPX+ to LTE roaming,
messaging, hosted policy management, managed operations and more, Tata Communications solutions help MNOs
monetize innovation, drive efficiency, and deliver a quality subscriber experience.

                                                                   © 2013 Informa UK Ltd. All rights reserved. www.informatandm.com   16
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