Pet Products & Services: United States Freedonia Focus Reports - The Freedonia Group

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Pet Products & Services: United States Freedonia Focus Reports - The Freedonia Group
Freedonia Focus Reports
US Collection

Pet Products & Services:
United States
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March 2020

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Table of Contents
1. Highlights                                                                          4

2. Market Overview                                                                     5
   Market Trends                                                                       5
       Market Shares by Animal Type                                                    6
       Historical & Projected Channel Share Shifts                                     7
       Retail Channel Pet Food & Treats                                                7
       Veterinary Services                                                             8
       Retail Channel Pet Supplies                                                     9
       Non-Medical Petcare Services                                                    9
   Assessing Coronavirus Pandemic Impacts on the Pet Industry                         11
   Market Opportunities                                                               12
       Opportunities Despite the Coronavirus Pandemic                                 12
       Pets as Family as Pet Population Driver                                        12
       E-Commerce                                                                     12
       Veterinary Telemedicine & Back-Office Systems                                  13
       Private Label                                                                  13
       Lower Cost Pet Healthcare                                                      14
       The Veterinary Sector                                                          14
       Pet Tech                                                                       14
       Pet Medications                                                                15
       CBD                                                                            15
       Pet Food: Rethinking Superpremium                                              15
       DCM Controversy Spurs Interest in Grain-Free Pet Food Alternatives Including
             Grain-Inclusive & Limited Ingredient Recipes                             16
       Science-Based & Veterinary Diets                                               17
       Subscription-Based Products & Services                                         17
       Focus on Felines                                                               17
       Cause Marketing, Sustainability, Animal Welfare                                18
       “Pet Effect” as Pet Population Driver                                          18
       Lower-Income Households                                                        18
   Retail Trends                                                                      19
       Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic                                                 19
       “Omnimarket” Competition                                                       19
       E-Commerce Remixes Retail                                                      19
       Retail Channel Overview                                                        20
       Pet Superstores Are the Most Vulnerable to Online Incursion                    20

Pet Products & Services: United States                                                 1
©2020 The Freedonia Group. All rights reserved.
Table of Contents                                                  (continued)

       Pet Food Subscription & Auto-Replenishment Programs                 21
       Leading E-Tailers Setting Their Sights on Pet Medications           21
   Pet Ownership Trends                                                    22
       Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic                                      22
       56% of Households Keep Pets                                         22
       The Decade of the Dog                                               23
       Pet Cross-Ownership Rates                                           23

3. Industry Structure                                                      24
   Industry Trends                                                         24
       Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic                                      24
       Leading Pet Product Marketers & Brands                              24
       Pet Food                                                            25
       Non-Food Pet Supplies                                               26
       Leading Veterinary & Non-Medical Pet Service Operators              26

4. About This Report                                                       27
   Scope                                                                   27
   Sources                                                                 27
   Industry Codes                                                          29
   Resources                                                               30

Pet Products & Services: United States                                      2
©2020 The Freedonia Group. All rights reserved.
List of Tables & Figures
   Figure 1 | Key Trends in the US Pet Product & Service Market, 2019 – 2024                4
   Figure 2 | US Pet Product & Service Retail Sales by Category, 2014 – 2024 (US$ bil)      5
   Table 1 | US Pet Product & Service Retail Sales by Category, 2014 – 2024 (US$ bil)       5
   Figure 3 | US Pet Product & Service Retail Sales by Category, 2014 – 2024 (%)            6
   Table 2 | US Modeling of Projected Shifts in Retail Channel Shares of US Pet Product
                Sales, 2019 – 2024 (%)                                                      7
   Table 3 | US Retail Channel Sales of Pet Products by Channel Classification, 2018 vs.
                2019 (US$ mil & % share)                                                   20
   Table 4 | US Ownership Rates for Pets by Type, 2009 – 2019 (% of hshlds)                23
   Table 5 | US Hshld Base for Ownership of Pets by Type, 2009 – 2019 (mil)                23
   Table 6 | Selected Suppliers to the US Pet Product & Service Market                     25
   Table 7 | NAICS & SIC Codes Related to Pet Products & Services                          29

Pet Products & Services: United States                                                      3
©2020 The Freedonia Group. All rights reserved.
About This Report
Scope
This report forecasts US pet product and service retail sales in nominal US dollars for 2020-
2024. To illustrate historical trends, total retail sales and the various segments are
provided in annual series from 2014 to 2019. Total demand is segmented by category in
terms of:
    • retail channel pet food and treats
    • veterinary services
    • retail channel pet supplies
    • non-medical pet services

Freedonia quantifies trends in various measures of growth and volatility. Growth (or
decline) expressed as an average annual growth rate (AAGR) is the least squares growth
rate, which takes into account all available datapoints over a period. The volatility of
datapoints around a least squares growth trend over time is expressed via the coefficient of
determination, or r2. The most stable data series relative to the trend carries an r2 value of
1.0; the most volatile – 0.0. Growth calculated as a compound annual growth rate (CAGR)
employs, by definition, only the first and last datapoints over a period. The CAGR is used to
describe forecast growth, defined as the expected trend beginning in the base year and
ending in the forecast year. Readers are encouraged to consider historical volatility when
assessing particular annual values along the forecast trend, including in the forecast year.

A full outline of report items by page is available in the Table of Contents.

Sources
Pet Products & Services: United States (FF95047) is based on U.S. Pet Market Outlook, 2020-
2021, a comprehensive industry study published by Packaged Facts. The information
contained in that report was obtained from primary and secondary research. Primary
research included national online consumer polls of US adult pet owners (age 18+)
conducted on an ongoing basis by Packaged Facts, to measure purchasing patterns and
attitudes regarding pet products and services. With sample sizes of approximately 1,000
pet owners, these surveys are based on national online research panels that are census
representative on the primary demographic measures of age, gender, geographic region,
race/ethnicity, and household income. The surveys used in this report were conducted
between February 2019 and March 2020.

Our primary research also included interviews with pet market experts; participation in
pet industry events including the American Pet Products Association’s Global Pet Expos

Pet Products & Services: United States                                                     27
©2020 The Freedonia Group. All rights reserved.
About This Report

(2004-2020) and Petfood Industry/Watt Publishing’s Petfood Forums (2004-2019); on-site
examination of retail and service provider venues; and internet canvassing, including blogs.

Secondary research included information- and data-gathering from consumer, business,
and trade publications; company profiles in trade and consumer publications; and
information culled from Packaged Facts’ extensive pet market research database and
report collection.

Estimates of market size and company performance were based on reported revenues of
pet product manufacturers, retailers, and pet services providers; background sales data
from sources such as IRI and Nielsen, surveys of independent and chain pet store retailers;
government data including US Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Expenditure Surveys;
and figures from other market research sources.

Our analysis of pet ownership trends primarily relies on cross-tabulations of MRI-Simmons
(Simmons) National Consumer Surveys. On an ongoing basis, Simmons conducts booklet-
based surveys of a large and random sample of consumers (approximately 25,000 for each
12-month survey compilation) who in aggregate represent a statistically accurate cross-
section of the US population. These Simmons surveys allow for detailed consumer profiles
across various markets and product categories. This report draws primarily on the
Simmons Fall 2019 release, which is based on 10,025 dog owners, 5,844 cat owners, and
2,806 other pet owners. To highlight consumer patterns, an index system calibrates
consumer behavior by a given segment of the population, compared with the population as
a whole. For example, if a given type of pet is owned by 10% of the overall adult population,
but by 20% of adults age 18-24, the 18- to 24-year-old segment indexes at 200, or twice the
average rate. Generally speaking, Packaged Facts considers indexes of 120 or higher to be
significantly above average.

Specific sources and additional resources are listed in the Resources section of this
publication for reference and to facilitate further research.

Pet Products & Services: United States                                                    28
©2020 The Freedonia Group. All rights reserved.
About This Report

Industry Codes
Table 7 | NAICS & SIC Codes Related to Pet Products & Services

 NAICS/SCIAN 2017                                      SIC
 North American Industry Classification System         Standard Industrial Classification
 311111        Dog and Cat Food Mfg                    0742          Veterinary Services for Animal Specialties
 311119        Other Animal Food Mfg                   0752          Animal Specialty Services, Except Veterinary
 424990        Other Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods    2047          Dog and Cat Food
               Merchant Wholesalers
 453910        Pet and Pet Supplies Stores             2048          Prepared Feed and Feed Ingredients for
                                                                     Animals and Fowls, except Dogs and Cats
 541940        Veterinary Services                     5149          Groceries and Related Products, NEC
 812910        Pet Care (except Veterinary) Services   5199          Nondurable Goods, NEC
                                                       5999          Miscellaneous Retail Stores, NEC

Source: US Census Bureau

Copyright & Licensing
The full report is protected by copyright laws of the United States of America and
international treaties. The entire contents of the publication are copyrighted by The
Freedonia Group.

Pet Products & Services: United States                                                                              29
©2020 The Freedonia Group. All rights reserved.
About This Report

Resources
Packaged Facts
 Pet Industry Outlook: Veterinary Services and Pet Product Retailing
 Pet Litter, Clean-Up, and Odor Control: U.S. Market Trends and Opportunities
 Pet Medications in the U.S.
 Pet Population and Ownership Trends in the U.S: Dogs, Cats, and Other Pets
 Pet Supplements in the U.S.
 U.S. Pet Market Outlook, 2020-2021
 Veterinary Services in the U.S.: Competing for the Pet Care Customer

The Freedonia Group
Freedonia Industry Studies
 Cannabis Growing Market
 Converted Flexible Packaging
 Global E-Commerce
 Global E-Commerce Packaging
 Global Housing
 Retail-Ready Packaging
Freedonia Focus Reports
 Cannabis Production: United States
 Demographics: United States
 Durable Petcare Products: United States
 E-Commerce: United States
 Pet Clean-Up & Odor-Control Products: United States
 Pet Food: United States
 Pet Insurance: United States
 Pet Medications: United States
 Pet Oral Care: United States
 Pet Supplements: United States
 Pet Treats & Chews: United States
Freedonia Custom Research

Trade Publications
Pet Age
Pet Business
Petfood Industry
Pet Product News International
Veterinary Practice News

Pet Products & Services: United States                                          30
©2020 The Freedonia Group. All rights reserved.
About This Report

Agencies & Associations
American Animal Hospital Association
American Kennel Club
American Pet Products Association
American Veterinary Medical Association
Association of American Feed Control Officials
Bureau of Labor Statistics – Consumer Expenditure Survey
National Animal Supplement Council
North American Pet Health Insurance Association
United States Census Bureau
United States Food and Drug Administration
World Pet Association

Pet Products & Services: United States                     31
©2020 The Freedonia Group. All rights reserved.
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