RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS

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RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
RESEARCH

Guide to rents, rent free
periods & market trends
Q2 2017
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
HOW IS THE LONDON OFFICE MARKET FARING                                                                others having made post-EU referendum                     GRADES OF OFFICE ACCOMMODATION
ADVISOR’S   SINCE THE REFERENDUM ON EU MEMBERSHIP?
            MUCH AS THE CARTER JONAS RESEARCH TEAM
                                                                                                                  decisions to expand their operations in
                                                                                                                  London. The technology sector continues
                                                                                                                  to plug the gap in the demand for office
                                                                                                                                                                            For marketing purposes office accommodation is generally
                                                                                                                                                                            categorised into Grades which are defined as follows:

            HAD PREDICTED WHEN THE REFERENDUM RESULT                                                              space left by the banking and financial                   Grade A
                                                                                                                  services sector, post 2008/09 credit crisis,
            WAS ANNOUNCED, THE MARKET HAS NOT GONE                                                                particularly in the City of London, where the
                                                                                                                                                                            New or newly refurbished office space where the building
                                                                                                                                                                            specification includes suspended ceilings and fully accessible raised
            INTO FREE FALL BUT HAS, INSTEAD, ENTERED
   TENANT
                                                                                                                  occupier profile is gradually shifting away               floors for data/telecoms cable management, passenger lift and air
            A PERIOD OF READJUSTMENT, REFLECTING                                                                  from financial services.                                  conditioning facilities.

            A LOWER LEVEL OF DEMAND, WITH RENTS                                                                      As recently highlighted by The Coalition
                                                                                                                  For A Digital Economy, if the UK is to continue           Grade B
            DECLINING AND RENT FREE PERIODS INCREASING.                                                           to dominate the European technology scene                 Office space that may only incorporate under floor or perimeter
                                                                                                                  it is essential that post-Brexit immigration and          trunking for data/telecoms cable management, rather than fully
                                                                                                                  visa regulations are ‘gig-economy friendly’               accessible raised floors, and/or air cooling facilities, instead of an
            Vacancy levels are, in parallel, gradually        RENT FREE PERIODS                                   to ensure that UK based firms can recruit the             air conditioning system that dehumidifies, filters and draws fresh air
            increasing as new office developments             Rent free periods across all the London office      brightest and the best tech entrepreneurs and             into the building. Grade B space also tends to be of a generally lower
            reach completion. Supply has been further         sub-markets have continued to increase by,          developers from a global talent pool.                     quality building specification.
            boosted by increased vacancy in second            typically, 1 - 2 months for a 10 year lease since
            hand stock as some tenants implement agile        January this year. In many parts of London it       EMERGING MARKETS & THE                                    “Refitted”
            working and hot desking policies to reduce        is now possible to secure rent free periods of      ELIZABETH LINE/CROSSRAIL                                  Office space that is ‘as new’, having been completely refitted
            their property footprint and trade up into new,   10-12 months on a five year lease and 20-24         Regeneration initiatives, including transport             throughout, to include new fixtures and fittings to the common parts
            more efficient, buildings.                        months on a ten year lease.                         infrastructure improvements, in areas including           and reception area, new building services – including air conditioning
                                                                                                                  White City, Battersea, Greenwich Peninsula,               and passenger lift facilities, electrical, plumbing and lighting systems,
            RENTS                                             A MORE ‘TENANT-FRIENDLY’                            Wood Wharf in Docklands, Royal Albert Docks               and new raised floors, suspended ceilings and sanitary ware. The
            Landlords of buildings that have been on the      MARKET                                              at Silvertown, Old Oak Common and Wembley                 specification of works will comply with the latest health and safety
            market for much over six months, and where        While the economic uncertainty that Brexit          are creating new business districts, with lower           legislation and may also include re-cladding the exterior of the building.
            there is little tenant interest, are beginning    has brought is unwelcome it has, nevertheless,      rent and business rates profiles, to rival the
            to lower their advertised rents, typically by     created opportunities for tenants to take           City, Midtown and West End .                              “Refurbished”
            £2.00-£5.00 per sq ft per annum, and in           advantage of a weaker office market.                   The Elizabeth Line/Crossrail is scheduled to           Space is defined as office accommodation where the landlord
            some cases by as much as £8.00 per sq ft per         Those tenants with lease expiries or break       become operational by December 2018 and                   has redecorated and recarpeted the available office space (but
            annum – a trend that is beginning to gather       options should be able to secure far better         will put further pressure on the landlords of             not necessarily the common parts) and overhauled, but not
            pace, in particular, in the City office market.   rent and rent free period letting packages          properties located in the established central             renewed, the building services, such as the air conditioning and
            Contrast with the West End sub-market             than could have been negotiated a year ago          business districts to offer competitive letting           passenger lift facilities.
            where rents on some super prime buildings         as landlords become increasingly anxious not        packages as the number of options available
            in Mayfair and St James’s have been marked        to lose their existing tenants to rivals and as     to footloose tenants increases. Some will
            down by up to £15.00 per sq ft per annum as       landlords with space to let compete more            inevitably consider a relocation of all or part
            occupiers become increasingly reluctant to        aggressively against one another to secure          of their operations to lower cost, Crossrail-
                                                                                                                                                                      Table 1
            pay rents over the psychologically significant    new tenants.                                        linked, Thames Valley locations where rents
                                                                                                                                                                      Typical Current and Forecast Rents For New and Refitted Grade A Space
            £100 per sq ft per annum.                            Weaker market conditions are also                and business rates costs for new and refitted
                                                                                                                                                                      Source: Carter Jonas Research
               The discounts that can be negotiated on        encouraging landlords to offer tenants greater      Grade A space, in areas such as Maidenhead
            advertised rents have continued to widen          lease flexibility – shorter leases and more         and Reading, are typically £32.50-£37.50 per
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     £ per sq ft per annum
            and are now typically 3 - 7.5% in contrast to     frequent break options. It is also proving          sq ft per annum and £7.00-£9.00 per sq ft per
            discounts of 2.5 - 5% at the beginning of         easier to secure more ‘tenant friendly’ lease       annum respectively.                                 Location                             Q2 2017          Q2 2018           Q2 2019
            the year.                                         features such as service charge caps, reduced                                                           Mayfair/St James's - Prime           £115.00          £107.50           £102.50
               There are, however, some isolated              or no rent deposits and less restrictive lease      WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO RENTS
                                                                                                                                                                      Marylebone                           £88.50            £85.00            £82.50
            cases where the upper floors of newly             assignment/transfer, sub-letting and break          OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS?
            constructed buildings continue to set new         option pre-conditions.                              We anticipate that rents in the London office       Soho                                 £90.00            £87.50            £85.00
            rent benchmarks, including a reported £110.00                                                         market will decline by 4-6% during 2017 and         Fitzrovia                            £80.00            £77.50            £75.00
            per sq ft per annum in Soho at 30 Broadwick       THE TECHNOLOGY SECTOR                               by 10-12% for the period up to Q2 2019 – see        Victoria                             £77.50            £73.50            £70.00
            Street, over £90.00 per sq ft at The Post         The digital economy continues to be an              Table 1. We forecast that the greatest falls will
                                                                                                                                                                      Paddington                           £65.00            £62.50            £60.00
            Building, Museum Street in Bloomsbury, and        important driver of demand for London office        be in the City, Docklands and Victoria – areas
                                                                                                                                                                      Holborn                              £67.50            £65.00            £62.50
            circa £190.00 per sq ft is understood to have     space with the likes of Expedia, Amazon,            where large scale new developments have, or
            been agreed at 5 St James’s Square.               Apple, Google, Facebook, Snap Group and             are shortly to reach completion, and which are      King's Cross                         £82.50            £80.00            £78.50
                                                                                                                  reliant on large scale, capital intensive, office   Covent Garden                        £80.00            £77.50            £75.00
                                                                                                                  relocations, typically in excess of 20,000 sq ft.   City - Prime                         £67.50            £65.00            £60.00
                                                                                                                                                                      Clerkenwell & Shoreditch             £65.00            £62.50            £58.50
                                                                                                                  REASONS TO BE CHEERFUL!
                                                                                                                  There is, therefore, good reason for tenants to     Southwark                            £67.50            £65.00            £62.50
                                                                                                                  be cheerful – increased choice, falling rents,      Spitalfields                         £67.50            £65.00            £62.50
                         Michael Pain                                                                             longer rent free periods and more tenant            Aldgate East                         £55.00            £52.50            £50.00
                         Head of Tenant Advisory Team                                                             friendly lease terms – trends that are likely to
                                                                                                                                                                      Hammersmith                          £57.50            £53.50            £50.00
                         020 7016 0722                                                                            gather pace this year and continue for at least
                         michael.pain@carterjonas.co.uk                                                           the next 18-24 months until the terms of the        Canary Wharf                         £47.50            £45.00            £42.50
                                                                                                                  UK’s exit from the EU are known.                    Stratford                            £47.50            £42.50            £42.50
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
THE VARIOUS SUB-MARKETS THAT

           SUB-MARKET
                           FORM THE LONDON OFFICE MARKET
                           EACH HAVE VERY DIFFERENT SUPPLY,
                           DEMAND, RENT AND RENT FREE
                           PERIOD DYNAMICS..

                                              CITY                              CITY FRINGE NORTH                                  CITY FRINGE EAST                                                          WEST END

                          • It has been widely reported that the banking      • R
                                                                                  egeneration initiatives, the construction   • R
                                                                                                                                  ents for new and refitted Grade A space in   • O
                                                                                                                                                                                   ver the last few years the West       • T
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             he loss of office stock to higher
                             sector is making contingency plans to relocate      of new buildings and the promotion of           the east City fringe vary between £50.00-        End has developed a reputation            value residential redevelopment
                             Euro-dependant banking functions to EU              the area as a global centre of excellence       £55.00 per sq ft per annum for space in          for being one of the sub-markets          has catalysed the migration east of
                             financial centres such as Frankfurt, Paris and      for the technology sector are factors           the Aldgate East district to £62.50-£70.00       with the shortest rent free periods.      established West End businesses to
                             Dublin in anticipation of the UK government         that have conspired to erode the cost           per sq ft per annum at Spitalfields, located     Following the EU referendum               Midtown, the City and City fringe,
                             agreeing a “hard” Brexit. However, the chief        advantages of the north City fringe.            closer to the City core.                         last June, and the subsequent             in search of better value for money
                             executives of banks including JP Morgan and                                                                                                          weakening in office demand, rent          premises. New Scotland Yard, the
                                                                               • R
                                                                                  ents for new Grade A office space are       • T
                                                                                                                                  he supply of vacant floor space in the
                             Goldman Sachs have recently stated publicly                                                                                                          free periods in some areas of the         former Metropolitan Police HQ in
                                                                                 now typically £62.50 - £67.50 per sq ft         east City fringe is lower than in the north
                             that while some City jobs are likely to drift                                                                                                        West End have extended to a point         Westminster, is one such example –
                                                                                 per annum in Clerkenwell/Shoreditch –           City fringe, although under-supply issues
                             to the EU, Brexit is unlikely to lead to a mass                                                                                                      where they are now almost on a par        the property is being redeveloped
                                                                                 on a par with locations such as Holborn         are slowly being addressed with the
                             exodus of banking jobs.                                                                                                                              with the City office market where         for luxury apartments.
                                                                                 and the City - contrast with rents of           refurbishment of the five buildings forming
                                                                                                                                                                                  rent free periods are typically 10-12
                          • T
                             he dominance of the banking and insurance          £45.00-£55.00 per sq ft per annum               at Royal Mint Court at Tower Hill, totalling
                                                                                                                                                                                  months for a five year lease and 22-
                            sectors in the City office market continues to       three years ago. It is quite possible,          600,000 sq ft, which are scheduled for                                                     KEY WEST END LETTINGS:
                                                                                                                                                                                  25 months for a ten year lease (see
                            weaken as new entrants migrate from higher           therefore, that the north City fringe           completion during H1, 2020.
                                                                                                                                                                                  office cost map).
                            cost West End and Midtown locations.                 will lose ground to more central, better                                                                                                   80 Charlotte Street, W1
                                                                                                                               • T
                                                                                                                                  he Butterfly Building, which will comprise                                               133,600 sq ft to Arup
                            Recent examples of this trend include                connected, City and Midtown locations.                                                         • T
                                                                                                                                                                                   he current pattern of vacancy
                                                                                                                                 circa 335,000 sq ft when complete in Q1,
                            Deliveroo’s relocation from Bloomsbury to                                                                                                             in the Victoria and Paddington            2 St James’s Market, SW1
                                                                               • T
                                                                                  he north City fringe sub-market has           2021, is to be developed on the site of the
                            50,000 sq ft at Cannon Bridge House, EC4                                                                                                              districts is characterised by new or      21,000 sq ft to Formula 1
                                                                                 been one of the most adversely affected         Lloyds Chambers Building at Portsoken
                            and wealth management firm, Rathbone’s,                                                                                                               refitted buildings with floor plates
                                                                                 by the 2017 business rates revaluation          Street and will further boost tenant choice                                                7 Clarges Street, W1
                            move from Mayfair to 75,000 sq ft at 8                                                                                                                typically in excess of 10,000 sq
                                                                                 with rates having typically increased           in the east City fringe market – a pre-                                                    23,700 sq ft to Capula
                            Finsbury Circus, EC2.                                                                                                                                 ft – in contrast to other areas of
                                                                                 from £14.50 per sq ft per annum to over         let on part is being sought to kick-start
                                                                                                                                                                                  the West End such as Marylebone,          77 Shaftesbury Avenue, W1
                          • N
                             otwithstanding the scale of new City office        £20.00 per sq ft per annum where the            construction of the development.
                                                                                                                                                                                  Fitzrovia, Mayfair, St James’s and        20,000 sq ft to Snap Inc.
                            developments currently under construction,           property is not subject to transitional
                                                                                                                                                                                  Soho where office buildings tend to
                            and which are scheduled for completion within        relief (see Business Rates box), which                                                                                                     Nova North, Bressenden Place,
                                                                                                                                 KEY CITY FRINGE EAST LETTINGS:                   be of a smaller scale and the floor       SW1
                            the next 12-18 months, a significant number          further undermines the location as a
                                                                                                                                                                                  plates are more usually sub-5,000         22,000 sq ft to Child & Child
KEY CITY LETTINGS:          have already been part pre-let including             lower cost alternative to more centrally
                                                                                                                                 Principal Place, Norton Folgate, EC2             sq ft.
                            Brookfield’s 100 Bishopsgate, comprising             located business districts.                     89,300 sq ft to Amazon                                                                     LSQ, 30 Panton Street, SW1
100 Bishopsgate, EC3
                            944,000 sq ft, due for completion in 2018, of                                                        (take-up of option space)                      • V
                                                                                                                                                                                   ictoria and Paddington are both         70,000 sq ft to Hearst
256,500 sq ft to                                                               • H
                                                                                  elical Bar’s recently completed 25
Freshfields Bruckhaus       which over 70% has been pre-let.                                                                                                                      reliant on national and international
                                                                                 Charterhouse Square, comprising 38,500
Deringer                                                                                                                                                                          companies with sizeable relocation
                          • C
                             ity office rents have typically declined by        sq ft, is a rare example of much needed
                                                                                                                                                                                  budgets, with office requirements
20 Old Bailey, EC4          circa £2.50-£5.00 per sq ft per annum since          new development in Smithfield – an area
                                                                                                                                                                                  typically in excess of 10,000 sq
60,000 sq ft to Withers     Q2, 2016, reflecting weaker demand, post-EU          where development is constrained by
                                                                                                                                                                                  ft for 100 or more staff. Brexit
                            referendum. Similar falls are forecast over          conservation area planning policies.
Angel Court, EC2                                                                                                                                                                  uncertainty has weakened demand
                            the next 12 months - see Table 1.
56,000 sq ft to Bupa &                                                                                                                                                            in this sector of the office market,
25,000 sq ft to British   • R
                             ecognising the importance of the technology                                                                                                         more so than the sub-5,000 sq ft
Bankers Association
                            sector as an increasingly important engine           KEY CITY FRINGE NORTH LETTINGS:                                                                  market, and it is likely that rents
Monument Building,          for economic growth, the City of London                                                                                                               will decline and rent free periods
11 Monument St, EC3         Corporation is working with ‘FinTech’ industry       The Angel Building, 403 St John St, EC1                                                          extend more so in Paddington and
22,200 sq ft to M7 Real     body, Innovate Finance, to develop a fintech         136,650 sq ft to Expedia                                                                         Victoria than other areas of the
Estate
                            start-up hub at Broadgate to attract innovative      25 Charterhouse Square, EC1                                                                      West End.
                            technology firms to the Square Mile.                 12,200 sq ft to Anomaly
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
DOCKLANDS &
                            MIDTOWN                                                    SOUTH BANK
                                                                                                                                                            STRATFORD                                                      THE 2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           BUSINESS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           RATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           REVALUATION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           The 2017 business rates
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           revaluation, which came into
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           effect from 1 April this year, has
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           been an unwelcome additional
• R
   egeneration initiatives, transport      • T
                                               he occupier mix in Covent     • T
                                                                                 he South Bank office market is characterised     • D
                                                                                                                                      ocklands (excluding Canary            • W
                                                                                                                                                                                estfield has also recently gained         cost to most commercial property
  infrastructure improvements and             Garden continues to change –      by low vacancy levels – a consequence                Wharf) and Stratford are the              planning consent for two office             occupiers in London. The areas
  the development of new Grade                moving from one dominated         of Southwark and Lambeth Council’s                   two remaining peripheral central          buildings totalling 846,233 sq ft           that have seen some of the
  A buildings in King’s Cross and             by the media and creative         planning policies that have encouraged the           London office sub-markets that            on a site adjacent to its Stratford         largest increases in business rates
  Bloomsbury have resulted in new             industries that have been         redevelopment of commercial properties for           continue to offer refurbished Grade       shopping centre.                            for Grade A office space include
  rent benchmarks of £80.00 -                 priced out by an influx of        higher value residential use.                        A office space at rents below                                                         the City of London, up by an
  £85.00 per sq ft per annum being            financial and professional                                                             £40.00                                                                                average of 25% and Shoreditch,
                                                                              • H
                                                                                 istorically low vacancy levels have
  set in both of these Midtown                services firms. Many of these                                                          per sq ft per annum.                      KEY DOCKLANDS LETTING:                      King’s Cross and Spitalfields all
                                                                                underpinned rents in districts such as London
  districts. Contrast with rents of           firms have migrated from                                                             • T
                                                                                                                                      he Docklands office market is split                                                 up by over 35% for properties
                                                                                Bridge and Southwark. Compared with other                                                      Columbus Building, Westferry
  £60.00 - £65.00 per sq ft per               higher rental and business                                                             between the prime (Canary Wharf)                                                      not benefitting from transitional
                                                                                London office sub-markets there has been                                                       Circus, E14
  annum for Grade A space at both             rates cost locations in the                                                            and secondary (Crossharbour)              13,600 sq ft to Motive Partners             relief. However, in some areas,
                                                                                a limited decline in rents, while the rents for
  locations a couple of years ago.            West End.                                                                              markets. Rents for refitted Canary                                                    such as Canary Wharf and
                                                                                space with river views have remained broadly
• B
   loomsbury is the one area of                                                static since Q2, 2016.                               Wharf office space are typically                                                      Mayfair, business rates costs have
  Central London that has bucked                                                                                                     £42.50-£50.00 per sq ft per annum                                                     remained broadly static.
  the trend in the decline in rents.
                                              KEY MIDTOWN LETTINGS:           • T
                                                                                 he Shard has set new rent benchmarks for
                                                                                the area with rents for upper floors now well
                                                                                                                                     in contrast to £32.50-£38.50            WEST LONDON
  Lettings at two new office                  The Post Building, 21-31                                                               per sq ft per annum for refitted
                                              New Oxford Street, WC1            established above £90.00 per sq ft per annum,        Grade A space located in the
  developments – The Avenue, off                                                                                                                                             • T
                                                                                                                                                                                he redevelopment of the BBC TV
                                              100,000 sq ft to McKinsey         reflecting the building’s iconic status.                                                                                                   SUBSTANTIALLY ABOVE
  Tottenham Court Road and The                                                                                                       Crossharbour district. The variation      Centre campus, and neighbouring             INFLATION RATES
  Post Building at Museum Street,                                             • W
                                                                                 aterloo has, for over a decade, been starved       in rents reflects both the age and        sites, at White City is transforming        INCREASES IN SOME
                                              1 New Oxford Street, WC1
  have both set new rent benchmarks           60,000 sq ft to H&M               of much needed Grade A office space. This            the quality of the office stock and       the area in to a new, vibrant business      AREAS OF LONDON ARE
  for the area since the beginning                                              issue is gradually being addressed with the          accessibility to public transport.        district to rival the West End and,         LIKELY TO FURTHER
                                              The Adelphi, John Adam                                                                                                                                                       DEPRESS RENTS IN
  of the year – rents of £85.00 per                                             development of No. 2 Southbank Place , which       • T
                                                                                                                                      he supply of new and refitted           not least, Hammersmith. The scheme
                                              Street, WC2                                                                                                                                                                  THOSE SUB-MARKETS
  sq ft per annum and £90.00 per              35,000 sq ft to PetroChina &      will comprise 297,500 sq ft at the former Shell      Grade A office accommodation              incorporates residential, leisure and
  sq ft per annum respectively have           26,800 sq ft to Conde Nast        Centre, due for completion in Q3, 2018.              in Stratford that is immediately          restaurant uses and up to 940,000 sq
  reportedly been achieved.                   Publications                                                                           available is limited to Here East,        ft of office space in five buildings with      The office cost map overleaf
                                                                              • T
                                                                                 he long awaited redevelopment of Elizabeth                                                                                               provides a summary of the typical
                                                                                                                                     the former Olympic Press and              phase one now complete offering circa
• B
   ecause business rates are based                                             House at York Road, adjacent to Waterloo                                                                                                   rent, business rates and service
                                                                                                                                     Broadcast centre. However, supply         290,000 sq ft.
  on the rental value of commercial                                             Station, continues. The site has recently been                                                                                             charge costs for each London
                                                                                                                                     is set to increase on completion
  properties, areas that have                                                   purchased by developer HB Reavis and has                                                     • T
                                                                                                                                                                                enant choice of Grade A space in          office sub-market.
                                                                                                                                     of the FCA’s building at the
  witnessed high levels of rental                                               planning consent for a 945,000 sq ft mixed use                                                 Hammersmith has been boosted                   While the Government has
                                                                                                                                     International Quarter in April
  growth in recent years will be more                                           office, residential and retail scheme, of which                                                by the recent completion of Kier            introduced a transitional relief
                                                                                                                                     2018, where circa 75,500 sq ft is
  adversely affected by the 2017                                                c. 750,000 sq ft will comprise offices. The                                                    Group’s 58,100 sq ft Kings House            capping mechanism to phase in
                                                                                                                                     available to let.
  business rates revaluation. King’s                                            timetable for development of the site has yet to                                               redevelopment at Hammersmith Road.          business rates increases, the caps
  Cross, in particular, has witnessed a                                         be announced.                                      • T
                                                                                                                                      he development of Crossrail                                                         have been set at 42% for 2017/18
  significant increase in business rates                                                                                             stations at Canary Wharf and                                                          and 32% for 2018/19 which afford
  costs rising from £22.00 per sq ft                                                                                                 Stratford is likely to boost demand       KEY WEST LONDON LETTING:                    little comfort for occupiers facing
  per annum to, typically, £31.00 per                                                                                                for office space in both sub-                                                         large increases in their rates bills.
                                                                                                                                                                               12 Hammersmith Grove, W6
  sq ft per annum for properties that                                                                                                markets when the Elizabeth Line           29,100 sq ft to Medidata                       There is a right to appeal
  are not subject to transitional relief.                                                                                            becomes operational at the end of                                                     the new 2017 business rates
                                                                                                                                     2018. Journey times from the West                                                     assessment if an occupier
                                                                                                                                     End, Midtown and City business                                                        feels that it is incorrect. More
                                                                                                                                     districts will be reduced to less                                                     information is available from
                                                                                                                                     than 15 minutes.                                                                      the Carter Jonas Business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Rates Team.
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
CITY FRINGE NORTH
   TYPICAL COSTS FOR NEW/REFITTED MID-RISE                                                                                                                         £97.00
   GRADE A OFFICE SPACE OVER 5,000 SQ FT                                                                                                                           Rent
                                                                                                                                                                   Business Rates
                                                                                                                                                                                               £65.00
                                                                                                                                                                                               £21.00
                                                                                                                                                                   Service Charge              £11.00                           CITY FRINGE EAST
   Q2 2017                                                                                                                                                         Total Occupancy Cost        £97.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                SPITALFIELDS                         ALDGATE EAST

   Costs = £ per sq ft per annum
                                                                                                                                                                   Typical Rent Free Periods
                                                                                                                                                                   5 year lease              8-12                               £100.50                              £84.00
   Rent Free Periods = Months                                                                                                                                      10 year lease             18-24                              Rent                      £67.50    Rent                      £55.00
   Business rates cost estimates include the Crossrail levy but                                                                                                                                                                 Business Rates            £23.00    Business Rates            £19.00
   take no account of any transitional relief that may be available                                                                                                                                                             Service Charge            £10.00    Service Charge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               HACKNEY                        £10.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Total Occupancy Cost      £100.50   Total Occupancy Cost      £84.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 STRATFORD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Typical Rent Free Periods            Typical Rent Free Periods
    MIDTOWN                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5 year lease              10-12      5 year lease              10-12
    KING’S CROSS                          HOLBORN                               BLOOMSBURY                                                                                                                                      10 year lease             22-24      10 year lease             22-24

    £123.50                               £104.50                               £122.50
                                                                                                                                                                                        ISLINGTON
    Rent                      £82.50      Rent                     £67.50       Rent                      £82.50
    Business Rates            £31.00      Business Rates           £27.00       Business Rates            £30.00
    Service Charge            £10.00      Service Charge           £10.00       Service Charge            £10.00                                                                                                                                                                            BOW
    Total Occupancy Cost      £123.50     Total Occupancy Cost     £104.50      Total Occupancy Cost      £122.50                                                                                                                                                                                                   STRATFORD
    Typical Rent Free Periods             Typical Rent Free Periods             Typical Rent Free Periods
                                                                                                                                              KING’S CROSS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    £69.00
    5 year lease              8-11        5 year lease              9-12        5 year lease              9-12                                                                                                                                                                                                      Rent                     £47.50
    10 year lease             18-22       10 year lease             20-24       10 year lease             20-24                                                                                               SHOREDITCH                                                                                            Business Rates           £12.00
                                                                                                                                   EUSTON                                                                                                                                                                           Service Charge           £9.50
    COVENT GARDEN                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Total Occupancy Cost     £69.00
                                                                                                                                                                            CLERKENWELL
    £121.00                                                                                                                                BLOOMSBURY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Typical Rent Free Periods
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    5 year lease              10-13
    Rent                      £80.00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                10 year lease             21-25
    Business Rates            £31.00
                                                                                                                                FITZROVIA
    Service Charge            £10.00                                                                                                                                                                                            SPITALFIELDS
    Total Occupancy Cost      £121.00
                                                                                                       MARYLEBONE
    Typical Rent Free Periods                                                 PADDINGTON                                                                         HOLBORN
    5 year lease              8-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ALDGATE                                                                   POPLAR
    10 year lease             17-22                                                                                                                                                           CITY OF                                   EAST
                                                                                                                                           SOHO                                               LONDON
                                                                                                                                                        COVENT
                                                                                                                                                        GARDEN
                                                                                                                     MAYFAIR

                                                                                                                                                                                      SOUTHWARK
    WEST END                                                                                                                          ST JAMES’S                                                                                                                                                           CANARY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           WHARF
    MAYFAIR & ST JAMES’S                      VICTORIA                          MARYLEBONE                                                                                                                  LONDON

    £177.00                                   £121.50                           £137.50                                                                          WATERLOO
                                                                                                                                                                                                             BRIDGE

    Rent                      £115.00     Rent                     £77.50       Rent                      £88.50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         CROSSHARBOUR
    Business Rates            £50.00      Business Rates           £33.00       Business Rates            £39.00
    Service Charge            £12.00      Service Charge           £11.00       Service Charge            £10.00
                              £177.00                              £121.50                                £137.50
    Total Occupancy Cost                  Total Occupancy Cost                  Total Occupancy Cost
                                                                                                                                                                                              CITY
    Typical Rent Free Periods             Typical Rent Free Periods             Typical Rent Free Periods
                                                                                                                                                                                          CITY PRIME                         CITY SECONDARY
                                                                                                                                                                                          £104.50                            £97.00
    5 year lease              9-12        5 year lease              9-12        5 year lease              9-12
    10 year lease             18-24       10 year lease             20-24       10 year lease             20-24                 VICTORIA

                                                                                                                                                                                          Rent                     £67.50    Rent                      £65.00
    FITZROVIA                                 PADDINGTON                        SOHO                                                                                                      Business Rates           £27.00    Business Rates            £22.00

    £124.50                                   £100.25                           £140.00CHELSEA                                                                                            Service Charge
                                                                                                                                                                                          Total Occupancy Cost
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   £10.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   £104.50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Service Charge
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Total Occupancy Cost
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       £10.00
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       £97.00
    Rent                      £80.00      Rent                     £65.00       Rent                      £90.00
    Business Rates            £33.50      Business Rates           £24.25       Business Rates            £39.00                                                                          Typical Rent Free Periods          Typical Rent Free Periods
    Service Charge            £11.00      Service Charge           £11.00       Service Charge            £11.00                                                                          5 year lease              10-12    5 year lease              10-12
    Total Occupancy Cost      £124.50     Total Occupancy Cost     £100.25      Total Occupancy Cost      £140.00                                                                         10 year lease             22-25    10 year lease             22-25

    Typical Rent Free Periods             Typical Rent Free Periods             Typical Rent Free Periods
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 DOCKLANDS                                        GREENWICH

    5 year lease              9-12        5 year lease              9-12        5 year lease              8-11                                                                                                                                                              CANARY WHARF                         CROSSHARBOUR
    10 year lease             20-24       10 year lease             20-24       10 year lease             17-22
                                                                                                                                                                       SOUTH BANK                                                                                           £78.05                               £60.50
                                                                                                                                                                       £100.25                                                                                               Rent                      £47.50    Rent                       £37.50
                                                                                                                                                                       Rent                      £67.50                                                                      Business Rates            £16.25    Business Rates             £12.00
                                                                                    BATTERSEA
                                                                                                                                                                       Business Rates            £22.75                                                                      Service Charge            £14.30    Service Charge             £11.00
                                                                                                                    WEST LONDON                                        Service Charge            £10.00                                                                      Total Occupancy Cost      £78.05    Total Occupancy Cost       £60.50
                                                                                                                    HAMMERSMITH                                        Total Occupancy Cost      £100.25
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Typical Rent Free Periods           Typical Rent Free Periods
                                                                                                                    £87.00
                             CROSSRAIL LINE
SUBMARKETS                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   5 year lease              11-14     5 year lease              11-14
                                                                                                                                                                       Typical Rent Free Periods
 West End                                     FULHAM                                                                                                                                                                                                                         10 year lease             23-26     10 year lease             23-26
                                                                                                                                                                       5 year lease              8-11
                                                                                                                    Rent                     £57.50
 Midtown                                                                                                                                                               10 year lease             18-22
                                                                                                                    Business Rates           £20.50
 City                                                                                                               Service Charge           £9.00
 City Fringe North                                                                                                  Total Occupancy Cost     £87.00
                             READING
                                                                   HEATHROW                                                                                  CLAPHAM
 City Fringe East                                                                                                   Typical Rent Free Periods
                                                                                                                    5 year lease              9-12
 South Bank
                                                                                                                    10 year lease             20-24
 Docklands & Stratford
       PUTNEY
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
THE TENANT ADVISORY TEAM                                                                                      38 OFFICES ACROSS
                                                                                                              THE COUNTRY,
Our tenant representation services include:                                                                   INCLUDING 12 IN
•     Office search and relocation management
                                                                                                              CENTRAL LONDON
•     Relocation budgeting and planning                                                                       COMMERCIAL OFFICES
•     Lease and rent review negotiation                                                                       • London
                                                                                                              • Bath
•     Repairs/dilapidations cost assessment
                                                                                                              • Cambridge
      and negotiation
                                                                                                              • Leeds
•     Building, air conditioning and passenger                                                                • Oxford
      lift surveys                                                                                            • Winchester
•     Business rates analysis and appeal
•     Service charge audit

For more data on the Central London office market, office
availability, rents and rent free periods and information on
budgeting and planning for a lease renewal, rent review or
office relocation please contact one of the team.

One Chapel Place, London W1G 0BG
carterjonas.co.uk/officesearch

OUR EXPERIENCE                                                                             KEY CONTACTS
Lease negotiations and relocations 10,000 sq ft+
                                                                                           Michael Pain Partner, Head of Tenant Advisory
                                                                                           020 7016 0722
43,000sq ft                            UK Payments Administration
                                       2 Thomas More Square, E1
                                                                                           michael.pain@carterjonas.co.uk

                                                                                           Jeremy Gidman Partner, Head of Investment

37,000sq ft                            Frank Hirth
                                       236 Gray’s Inn Road, WC1
                                                                                           020 7016 0727
                                                                                           jeremy.gidman@carterjonas.co.uk

28,000sq ft                            Warner Bros/Shed Media
                                       85 Grays Inn Road, WC1
                                                                                           Greg Carter Partner
                                                                                           020 7518 3303
                                                                                           greg.carter@carterjonas.co.uk

23,000sq ft                            Nursing & Midwifery Council
                                       Two Stratford Place, E20                            Ed Caines Associate Partner
                                                                                           020 7016 0724

17,500sq ft                            Hackett Limited                                     ed.caines@carterjonas.co.uk
                                       The Clove Building, SE1
                                                                                           Luke Wild Associate Partner

16,000sq ft                            Circle Housing                                      020 7016 0725
                                       Two Pancras Square, N1                              luke.wild@carterjonas.co.uk

                                                                                           Tom Forman Associate
15,000sq ft
                                       Hitachi Rail Europe
                                       40 Holborn Viaduct, EC1                             020 7016 0736
                                                                                           tom.forman@carterjonas.co.uk

11,000sq ft                            Salamanca Group
                                       50 Berkeley Street, W1

Follow us on Twitter,
LinkedIn and Instagram
© Carter Jonas 2017. The information given in this publication is believed to be correct
at the time of going to press. We do not however accept any liability for any decisions
taken following this report. We recommend that professional advice is taken.
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
RESEARCH

THE LONDON OFFICE MARKET

RENT & RENT FREE PERIOD GUIDE Q2 2017
LANDLORD’S ADVERTISED
                                                Table 1                                                                               Source: Carter Jonas Research
RENTS & RENT DISCOUNTS
                                                London Office Market – Typical Advertised Rents – Q2 2017 (space over 5,000 sq ft)
Table 1 illustrates landlord’s typical
advertised rents as at Q2, 2017. The            Location                                                     Grade A                               Grade B
bargaining power in lease negotiations          UF: Upper Floors                            New/Refitted                Refurbished             Refurbished
is moving towards tenants post Brexit
                                                City
vote as demand for London office space
weakens. In many cases it is possible to        Prime – Insurance District                 £62.50 - £72.50          £52.50 - £62.50            £42.50 - £50.00
negotiate deeper discounts on landlord’s                                                (UF = £85.00 - £92.50)   (UF = £75.00 - £85.00)

advertised rents, typically of 3 – 7%,          Secondary - Blackfriars, Moorgate          £59.50 - £70.00             £47.50 - £57.50         £40.00 - £47.50
compared with a year ago.                                                               (UF = £77.50 - £87.50)   (UF = £65.00 - £72.50)
  The variation in rents is a consequence of    City Fringe
the different supply and demand dynamics
of each sub-market. The advertised rents        North/North West –                         £62.50 – £70.00          £55.00 – £62.50            £42.50 - £57.50
                                                Clerkenwell, Shoreditch
on some Grade B warehouse-style office
space in locations such as Farringdon           East – Spitalfields                        £62.50 - £70.00          £55.00 - £60.00            £40.00 - £47.50

and Clerkenwell will typically be higher        East - Aldgate East                        £50.00 - £55.00          £42.50 - £47.50            £37.50 - £40.00
than rents for refurbished ‘corporate’-
                                                South Bank
style Grade A space in the same location,
reflecting the rental premium that creative     Waterloo, Southwark, London Bridge         £65.00 - £70.00          £55.00 - £62.50            £42.50 - £52.50
and media firms place on such space.                                                    (UF= £75.00 - £92.50)

  Floors with terraces will usually             East London
command a rental premium of 5-10%
                                                Docklands Prime – Canary Wharf             £45.00 - £50.00          £42.50 - £45.00            £32.50 - £37.50
above those set out in the table and the
upper floors of buildings that provide          Docklands Secondary - Crossharbour         £32.50 - £38.50          £25.00 - £31.50            £20.00 - £25.00
panoramic views of London will typically
                                                Stratford                                  £37.50 - £47.50          £27.50 - £35.00            £19.50 - £25.00
attract a rental premium of 20-30% above
those illustrated in the table.                 West End

RENT FREE PERIODS                               Central – Mayfair, St James’s (Prime)     £110.00 - £125.00        £85.00 - £105.00            £65.00 - £75.00

Landlords are offering longer rent free         Central – Mayfair, St James’s             £90.00 - £105.00          £75.00 - £87.50            £60.00 - £70.00
                                                (Secondary)
periods than could have been negotiated
before the EU Referendum – typically            North – Euston                             £67.50 - £75.00          £52.50 - £65.00            £40.00 - £47.50
an additional 1-3 months on leases of up
                                                North East – Fitzrovia                     £75.00 - £85.00          £62.50 - £72.50            £50.00 - £60.00
to 5 years and 2-4 months on leases of
up to 10 years. Table 2 illustrates the         North West - Marylebone                    £80.00 - £90.00             £67.50 - £77.50         £45.00 - £57.50

typical rent free periods that can              South – Victoria, Westminster              £72.50 - £80.00          £57.50 - £70.00            £47.50 - £57.50
currently be negotiated.                                                                (UF = £82.50 - £85.00)

NEGOTIATING A LEASE                             South West - Knightsbridge                 £80.00 - £95.00          £70.00 - £77.50            £52.50 - £65.00

– THE KEY ISSUES                                East – Soho, Regent Street                 £77.50 - £92.50          £65.00 - £75.00            £52.50 - £65.00
While rent discounts and rent free periods      West – Paddington                          £60.00 - £68.50          £49.50 - £59.50            £40.00 - £47.50
will form the key components of all lease                                               (UF = £70.00 - £72.50)
negotiations it is also important to ‘future-
                                                Midtown
proof’ the lease by building in flexibility
and mechanisms to limit future property         North - King’s Cross                       £75.00 - £85.00          £52.50 - £75.00            £45.00 - £55.00
costs, by negotiating the following:
                                                South - Covent Garden                      £72.50 - £85.00          £55.00 - £70.00            £45.00 - £55.00
• a service charge cap                                                                  (UF = £87.50 - £92.50)
• ‘tenant-friendly’ rent review
                                                East - Holborn                             £62.50 - £70.00          £52.50 - £62.50            £42.50 - £49.50
   valuation provisions
• a limitation on the scope of the tenant’s    West - Bloomsbury                          £67.50 - £85.00          £55.00 - £65.00            £45.00 - £50.00

   repairing and removal of fixtures and        South West London
   fittings obligations – to minimise future
   exit costs                                   Chelsea                                    £70.00 - £90.00             £57.50 - £67.50         £40.00 - £50.00

• the removal of any onerous sub-letting       Vauxhall, Battersea                        £52.50 - £60.00          £42.50 - £50.00            £30.00 - £40.00
   or lease assignment/transfer
                                                West London
   pre-conditions
• the inclusion of a tenant-only               Kensington                                 £55.00 - £65.00          £45.00 - £52.50            £37.50 - £45.00
   break option(s)                              Hammersmith, White City                    £52.50 - £58.50          £45.00 - £52.50            £35.00 - £45.00
• no requirement to provide a guarantor
                                                Chiswick                                   £48.50 - £55.00          £42.50 - £47.50            £35.00 - £45.00
   and/or rent deposit.
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
GRADES OF OFFICE                                            Table 2                                                                 Source: Carter Jonas Research
ACCOMMODATION                                               Rent Free Periods By Sub-Market – Q2 2017
For marketing purposes office
accommodation is generally categorised                      Location                                                   Typical Rent Free Period Agreed
into Grades which are defined as follows:                                                                                 (lettings over 5,000 sq ft)

GRADE A                                                                                                                5-year lease           10-year lease
New or newly refurbished office space                       City – Prime – Insurance District                             10 – 12                 22 - 25
where the building specification includes
suspended ceilings and fully accessible                     City - Secondary - Blackfriars, Moorgate                      10 - 12                 22 - 25
raised floors for data/telecoms cable
                                                            City Fringe - North/North West – Clerkenwell, Shoreditch      8 – 12                  18 – 24
management, passenger lift and air
conditioning facilities.                                    City Fringe – East – Spitalfields, Aldgate East               10 – 12                22 – 24
GRADE B
                                                            South Bank – Waterloo, Southwark, London Bridge               8 – 11                  18 – 22
Office space that may only incorporate
under floor or perimeter trunking for                       Docklands Prime & Secondary                                   11 - 14                23 - 26
data/telecoms cable management, rather
than fully accessible raised floors, and/                   Stratford                                                     10 – 13                 22 - 25
or air cooling facilities, instead of an air
                                                            West End - Central – Mayfair, St James’s                      9 – 12                  18 - 24
conditioning system that dehumidifies,
filters and draws fresh air into the                        West End - West - Paddington                                  9 - 12                 20 - 24
building. Grade B space also tends to
be of a generally lower quality                             West End - East - Soho                                        8 - 11                  17 - 22
building specification.
                                                            West End - North East - Fitzrovia                             9 - 12                 20 - 24
“REFITTED”
Office space that is ‘as new’, having been                  West End - North West - Marylebone                            9 - 12                 20 - 24
completely refitted throughout, to include
                                                            West End – South - Victoria, Westminster                      9 - 12                 20 - 24
new fixtures and fittings to the common
parts and reception area, new building                      Midtown – West - Bloomsbury                                   9 - 12                 20 - 24
services – including air conditioning
and passenger lift facilities, electrical,                  Midtown – East - Holborn                                      9 - 12                 20 - 24
plumbing and lighting systems, and new
                                                            Midtown – South - Covent Garden                               8 - 11                  17 - 22
raised floors, suspended ceilings and
sanitary ware. The specification of works                   Midtown – North - King’s Cross                                8 - 11                  18 - 22
will comply with the latest health and
                                                            West London – Hammersmith                                     9 - 12                 20 - 24
safety legislation and may also include
re-cladding the exterior of the building.
“REFURBISHED”
Space is defined as office accommodation                            TOTAL OFFICE OCCUPANCY COSTS: The Carter Jonas office costs map
where the landlord has redecorated and                              provides a geographical summary of rent, business rates and building
recarpeted the available office space (but                          service charge costs. A copy of the map is available free of charge.
not necessarily the common parts) and
overhauled, but not renewed, the building
services, such as the air conditioning and                      For more data on the Central London office market, office availability, rents and
passenger lift facilities.                                      rent free periods and information on budgeting and planning for a lease renewal,
                                                                rent review or office relocation please contact one of the team.

THE TENANT ADVISORY TEAM
 ur tenant representation
O
services include:
• Office search and relocation
   management
• Relocation budgeting and planning
• Lease and rent review negotiation
• Repairs/dilapidations cost assessment
   and negotiation
                                                                 Greg Carter                                    Michael Pain
• Building, air conditioning and                                Partner                                        Partner, Head of Tenant Advisory
   passenger lift surveys                                        020 7518 3303                                  020 7016 0722
• Business rates analysis and appeal                             greg.carter@carterjonas.co.uk                  michael.pain@carterjonas.co.uk
• Service charge audit
• Office fit out procurement and                               One Chapel Place, London W1G 0BG
   project management                                           carterjonas.co.uk/officesearch

Follow us on Twitter,
LinkedIn and Instagram
© Carter Jonas 2017. The information given in this publication is believed to be correct
at the time of going to press. We do not however accept any liability for any decisions
taken following this report. We recommend that professional advice is taken.
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
RESEARCH

THE LONDON OFFICE MARKET

RENT & RENT FREE PERIOD GUIDE Q3 2018
LANDLORD’S ADVERTISED
                                                Table 1                                                                               Source: Carter Jonas Research
RENTS & RENT DISCOUNTS
                                                London Office Market – Typical Advertised Rents – Q3 2018 (space over 5,000 sq ft)
The bargaining power in lease
negotiations has moved towards tenants,
post Brexit vote, reflecting weaker demand      Location                                                      Grade A                              Grade B
for London office space. In many cases
                                                UF: Upper Floors                            New/Refitted                Refurbished             Refurbished
it is possible to negotiate discounts on
landlord’s advertised rents of, typically,      City
2.5 - 5%.                                       Prime – Insurance District                 £62.50 - £70.00          £50.00 - £60.00            £40.00 - £47.50
   The advertised rents on some Grade B                                                 (UF = £75.00 - £88.50) (UF = £62.50 - £80.00)
warehouse-style office space in locations       Secondary - Blackfriars, Aldgate           £55.00 - £67.50          £45.00 - £55.00            £37.50 - £42.50
such as Farringdon, Clerkenwell and                                                     (UF = £70.00 - £80.00) (UF = £62.50 - £75.00)
Shoreditch will typically be higher than        City Fringe
rents for refurbished ‘corporate’ style Grade
                                                North/North West –                         £62.50 - £75.00          £52.50 - £62.50            £39.50 - £55.00
A space in the same location, reflecting the    Farringdon, Shoreditch                  (UF = £77.50 - £87.50)
rental premium that creative and media
                                                East – Spitalfields                        £60.00 - £65.00          £50.00 - £60.00            £37.50 - £47.50
firms place on such space.
                                                East - Aldgate East                        £50.00 - £57.50          £42.50 - £47.50            £37.50 - £40.00
  Floors with terraces will usually
                                                                                        (UF = £62.50 - £65.00)
command a rental premium of 5-10%
                                                South Bank
and the upper floors of tower buildings that
provide panoramic views of London will          Waterloo, Southwark, London Bridge          £67.50 - £72.50         £52.50 - £66.50            £42.50 - £50.00
                                                & Wood Wharf                            (UF= £75.00 - £93.00)
attract a rental premium of up to 35%.
                                                East London
THE ELIZABETH LINE EFFECT
                                                Docklands Prime                             £47.50 - £52.50         £37.50 - £42.50            £30.00 - £35.00
New/refitted and refurbished Grade A            – Canary Wharf & Wood Wharf             (UF = £54.00 - £57.50) (UF = £45.00 - £50.00)
office space located near an Elizabeth Line
                                                Docklands Secondary - Crossharbour         £35.00 - £38.50          £27.50 - £33.50            £22.50 - £27.50
station in areas such as Paddington and
                                                Stratford                                  £40.00 - £49.50          £32.50 - £42.50            £20.00 - £28.00
Bloomsbury have seen advertised rents
increase, typically by up to £7.50 per sq       West End
ft per annum since Q3 2017, reflecting the      Central - Mayfair, St James's (Prime)      £102.50 - £125.00        £85.00 - £97.50            £67.50 - £77.50
vastly improved accessibility to markets                                                (UF= £130.00 - £135.00)
and labour supply that Crossrail will bring.    Central - Mayfair, St James's               £87.50 - £97.50         £75.00 - £85.00            £62.50 - £72.50
                                                (Secondary)
RENT FREE PERIODS                               North - Euston                              £67.50 - £75.00         £57.50 - £65.00            £42.50 - £55.00
Table 2 overleaf illustrates the typical
                                                North East - Fitzrovia                     £80.00 - £87.50          £65.00 - £79.50            £50.00 - £60.00
rent free periods that can currently
be negotiated on office space                   North West - Marylebone                     £77.50 - £87.50         £65.00 - £77.50            £50.00 - £60.00

throughout London.                              South - Victoria, Westminster              £70.00 - £80.00          £55.00 - £69.50            £45.00 - £52.50
                                                                                        (UF = £82.50 - £90.00)
NEGOTIATING A LEASE                             South West - Knightsbridge                 £85.00 - £95.00          £65.00 - £79.50            £60.50 - £70.00
– THE KEY ISSUES
                                                East - Soho, Regent Street                 £85.00 - £97.50          £69.50 - £82.50            £55.00 - £67.50
While rent discounts and rent free periods
                                                West - Paddington                           £67.50 - £77.50         £55.00 - £65.00            £42.50 - £52.50
will form the key components of any lease
                                                                                        (UF = £80.00 - £90.00)
negotiations it is also important to ‘future-
proof’ the tenancy by building in flexibility   Midtown

and mechanisms to limit future property         North - King’s Cross                       £75.00 - £85.00          £60.00 - £70.00            £47.50 - £57.50
costs, by negotiating the following:            South - Covent Garden                      £72.50 - £80.00          £55.00 - £70.00            £47.50 - £55.00
• a service charge cap                                                                  (UF = £82.50 - £85.00)
• ‘tenant-friendly’ rent review                East - Holborn                             £62.50 - £70.00          £52.50 - £62.50            £39.50 - £52.50
   valuation provisions                                                                 (UF = £72.50 - £77.50)
• a limitation on the tenant’s repairing       West - Bloomsbury                          £75.00 - £90.00          £60.00 - £72.50            £45.00 - £55.00
   and removal of fixtures and fittings
                                                South West London
   obligations – to minimise future exit
   costs                                        Chelsea                                    £77.50 - £90.00          £65.00 - £75.00            £47.50 - £60.00

• the removal of any onerous sub-letting       Vauxhall, Battersea                        £52.50 - £60.00          £42.50 - £50.00            £30.00 - £40.00
   or lease assignment/transfer                 West London
   pre-conditions
                                                Kensington                                 £55.00 - £65.00          £45.00 - £52.50            £37.50 - £45.00
• the inclusion of a tenant-only
   break option(s)                              Hammersmith                                 £52.50 - £57.50         £42.50 - £52.50            £35.00 - £42.50

• no requirement to provide a guarantor        White City                                 £45.00 - £55.00          £40.00 - £45.00            £32.50 - £40.00
   and/or rent deposit.
                                                Chiswick                                   £48.50 - £55.00          £39.50 - £47.50            £35.00 - £40.00
RESEARCH Guide to rents, rent free periods & market trends - Q2 2017 - Amazon AWS
GRADES OF OFFICE                                            Table 2                                                                Source: Carter Jonas Research
ACCOMMODATION                                               Rent Free Periods By Sub-Market – Q3 2018
For marketing purposes office
accommodation is generally categorised                      Location                                                  Typical Rent Free Period Agreed
into Grades which are defined as follows:                                                                                (lettings over 5,000 sq ft)

GRADE A                                                                                                               5-year lease           10-year lease
New or newly refurbished office space                       City - Prime - Insurance District                            11 - 13                23 - 26
where the building specification includes
fully accessible raised floors for data/                    City - Secondary - Blackfriars, Aldgate                      11 - 13                23 - 26
telecoms cable management, passenger
                                                            City Fringe - North/North West - Farringdon, Shoreditch      9 - 12                 20 - 24
lift and air conditioning facilities.
GRADE B                                                     City Fringe - East - Spitalfields, Aldgate East              10 - 12                23 - 24
Office space that may only incorporate
                                                            South Bank - Waterloo, Southwark, London Bridge              9 - 12                  21 - 24
under floor or perimeter trunking for
data/telecoms cable management, rather                      Docklands - Canary Wharf & Crossharbour                      12 - 14                 24 - 27
than fully accessible raised floors, and/
or air cooling facilities, instead of an air                Stratford                                                    10 - 13                 24 - 27
conditioning system that dehumidifies,
                                                            West End - Central - Mayfair, St James's                     9 - 12                 20 - 24
filters and draws fresh air into the
building. Grade B space also tends to                       West End - West - Paddington                                 9 - 12                 20 - 24
be of a generally lower quality
building specification.                                     West End - East - Soho                                       8 - 12                 20 - 24

“REFITTED”                                                  West End - North East - Fitzrovia                            9 - 12                 20 - 24
Office space that is ‘as new’, having been
completely refitted throughout, to include                  West End - North West - Marylebone                           9 - 12                 20 - 24
new fixtures and fittings to the common
                                                            West End - South - Victoria, Westminster                     10 - 12                22 - 24
parts and reception area, new building
services – including air conditioning                       Midtown - West - Bloomsbury                                  9 - 12                 20 - 24
and passenger lift facilities, electrical,
plumbing and lighting systems, and new                      Midtown - East - Holborn                                     10 - 12                 21 - 24
raised floors, ceilings and sanitary ware.
                                                            Midtown - South - Covent Garden                              10 - 12                 21 - 24
The specification of works will comply
with the latest health and safety and                       Midtown - North - King's Cross                               8 - 11                  19 - 23
building regulations and may also include
                                                            West London - Hammersmith & White City                       10 - 13                 22 - 25
re-cladding the exterior of the building.
“REFURBISHED”
Space is defined as office accommodation
                                                                    TOTAL OFFICE OCCUPANCY COSTS: The Carter Jonas London office
where the landlord has redecorated and                              occupancy costs map provides a geographical summary of rent,
recarpeted the available office space (but                          business rates and building service charge costs. If you would like a free
not necessarily the common parts) and                               copy of the map, please contact a member of our Team.
overhauled, but not renewed, the building
services, such as the air conditioning and
passenger lift facilities.                                      For more data on the Central London office market, office availability, rents and
                                                                rent free periods and information on budgeting and planning for a lease renewal,
                                                                rent review or office relocation please contact one of the Team.
THE TENANT ADVISORY TEAM
 ur tenant representation
O
services include:
• Stay-put/relocate cost appraisals
• Lease and rent review negotiation
• Office search and relocation
   management
• Relocation budgeting and planning
• Repairs/dilapidations cost assessment
                                                                 Greg Carter                                    Michael Pain
   and negotiation
                                                                 Partner                                        Partner, Head of Tenant Advisory
• Building, air conditioning and
                                                                 020 7518 3303                                  020 7016 0722
   passenger lift surveys
• Business rates analysis and appeal                             greg.carter@carterjonas.co.uk                  michael.pain@carterjonas.co.uk
• Service charge audit
• Office fit out procurement and                               One Chapel Place, London W1G 0BG
   project management

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© Carter Jonas 2018. The information given in this publication is believed to be correct
at the time of going to press. We do not however accept any liability for any decisions
taken following this report. We recommend that professional advice is taken.
RESEARCH

Guide to Rents & Rent Free Periods
Office Occupancy Cost Map
Q3 2018
DESPITE BREXIT UNCERTAINTY, LOW VACANCY
            ADVISOR’S            CONTINUES TO UNDERPIN THE MARKET

                                   What is the London office market like for         space in areas with no Elizabeth Line station
                                 tenants at the moment? How is it likely to          have remained broadly static during Q3,
                                 develop in the run-up to Brexit and beyond?         although rents for second-hand space in
               TENANT
                                 These are the two most common, and                  secondary locations have declined in many
                                 pertinent, questions that I get asked by clients,   sub-markets across Central London.
                                 as a property professional specialising in
                                 tenant advisory work.                               LESS CHOICE & HIGHER RENTS
                                   In a market as diverse and sophisticated          FORECAST FROM H1 2020
                                 as the London office market, the answers to
                                 these questions are not clear cut but I will           The hiatus in the property development
                                 attempt to simplify them in this commentary.        pipeline, precipitated by the Brexit vote,
                                                                                     has resulted in a below trend level of new
                                 RECORD RENTS ACHIEVED NEAR                          developments reaching the Central London
                                 ELIZABETH LINE STATIONS                             office market. Supply side constraint are
                                                                                     likely to persist for the next couple of years
                                      Despite the recent disappointing               which will result in reduced tenant choice for
                                 announcement that commencement of                   new and refitted space, placing landlords in
                                 Elizabeth Line / Crossrail services is to be        a stronger bargaining position. However, the
                                 delayed at least until the second half of next      stock of vacant second-hand, refurbished,
                                 year, this temporary setback is unlikely to dent    space is likely to increase one the next
                                 rental growth in those areas of the West End,       12-18 months as tenants trade up into
                                 Midtown, City and City fringe that will have        new buildings.
                                 the benefit of an Elizabeth Line station.              Providing that there is no hard Brexit, from
                                    The Elizabeth Line represents a major            H1 2020 it is quite possible that there will be
                                 infrastructure project that will revolutionise      a return of unwelcome rental growth for new
                                 east / west transport connectivity across           and refitted office space above 5,000 sq ft in
                                 London. Crossrail has already led to increased      some sub-markets, including the West End,
                                 inward investment in the public realm and           Midtown and the South Bank where vacancy
                                 new office, retail, leisure and residential         levels are particularly low.
                                 development in the vicinity of the various
                                 Crossrail stations.                                 THE SUB-5,000 SQ FT
                                    Office rents for new Grade A space in            MARKET / CO-WORKING AND
                                 Elizabeth Line connected locations such as          SERVICED OFFICES
                                 Paddington, Bloomsbury and Farringdon have
                                 risen to record levels - from £60.00 - £70.00          There is increasing evidence indicating
                                 per sq ft per annum just before the Brexit vote     that the market for office space of sub-5,000
                                 to, typically, £75.00 - £90.00 per sq ft per        sq ft, for up to 50 desks, that is available
                                 annum now.                                          on conventional / non serviced leases, is
                                    This trend demonstrates that occupiers           suffering - with vacancy increasing and rents
                                 are willing to pay a rental premium for Grade       declining in many area of London as the
                                 A space with good accessibility, including a        co-working and serviced office sectors
                                 direct link to Heathrow airport and the Thames      continue to expand market share.
                                 Valley and Essex labour pools.                         Gone are the days when businesses that
                                                                                     based themselves in serviced offices were
                                 LOW VACANCY IS                                      stigmatised as being ‘transient’. The advent
                                 UNDERPINNING RENTS                                  of agile working, the emergence of a new
                                                                                     source of demand – the tech / creative
                                    The Elizabeth Line has brought about a shift     start-up – and the arrival of a new, smarter,
                                 north in the centre of gravity of the London        ‘younger’, class of serviced / co-working
                                 office market, away from more established           space provider from America are factors that
                                 markets such as Victoria in the West End,           have conspired to underpin the growth in the
                                 Covent Garden in Midtown and London Bridge          co-working / serviced office sector.
                                 on the South Bank. However, historically low           An increasing number of small and mid-
                                 levels of office vacancy in most size ranges        size businesses, typically employing up to
                                 above 5,000 sq ft continue to underpin rents        50 staff – not just from the technology and
                                 in these locations where the influence of           creative sectors – are choosing co-working
                                 Crossrail is less powerfully felt.                  / serviced offices which is a very cash-flow
Michael Pain                        The Carter Jonas Research Team’s Q3 2018         positive accommodation option. There’s no
Head of Tenant Advisory Team
020 7016 0722                    survey of the London office market shows that       need to tie up scarce working capital in an
michael.pain@carterjonas.co.uk   landlord’s advertised rents for new Grade A         expensive fit out and the lease flexibility
that co-working and serviced office        staff – without which the
providers offer is another important       productivity and profitability
consideration for fast growing             of their businesses will suffer.
businesses.                                Organisations that better                     ‘‘ EMPLOYERS
   Landlords of ‘conventional’ office      understand what motivates                     ARE BECOMING
space in the sub-5,000 sq ft office        the millennial workforce are                  INCREASINGLY AWARE
market are reacting to this structural     focussing more on ‘quality of                 OF THE IMPORTANCE OF
market change in several ways,             space and place’ and less on                  CREATING AN OFFICE
including reducing rents, offering         cost – and they will almost
                                                                                         ENVIRONMENT, AND
longer rent-free periods and more          certainly prosper at the
flexible leases or fitting the space       expense of those competitors
                                                                                         CULTURE, THAT WILL
out for the tenant and subsidising or      who fail to grasp these issues.               ATTRACT, AND REINFORCE
rentalising some / all of the cost.           Landlords, too, are more                   THE RETENTION OF, HIGH
   However, not all occupiers will         alive to the demand for better                CALIBRE STAFF – WITHOUT
consider co-working / serviced office      build quality and design and                  WHICH THE PRODUCTIVITY
space. Some businesses in the legal,       are developing buildings with                 AND PROFITABILITY OF
accountancy, IT and financial services     occupiers’ ‘wellness’ in mind –
                                                                                         THEIR BUSINESSES
sectors have shied away – citing           including features that provide
privacy, data security and branding        high levels of natural light,
                                                                                         WILL SUFFER. ”
/ identity issues as reasons to stick      better ventilation and high
with the conventional leasing model.       water quality.

RECRUITMENT – ‘QUALITY
OF SPACE AND PLACE’

   Ten years ago the majority of
office occupiers would have put            Table 1
                                           Typical Current & Forecast Rents - New & Refitted Mid-Rise Grade A Space Over
cost at the top of the list of deciding
                                           5,000 Sq Ft
factors when selecting office space.
While cost is undoubtedly still an
important consideration that will
                                                                                                £ per sq ft per annum
influence a business’ relocation
decision, it is highly significant that    Location                                   Q3 2018         Q3 2019           Q3 2020
today’s generation of office occupiers     Mayfair/St James's - Prime                 £105.00         £102.50           £102.50
are also placing the quality of the                   Source: Carter Jonas Research
                                           Marylebone                                 £85.00          £85.00            £87.50
space and the public realm around
the building as being fundamentally        Soho                                       £92.50          £92.50            £95.00
important relocation variables. What       Fitzrovia                                  £85.00          £85.00            £87.50
has caused this shift in mindset?          Victoria                                   £75.00          £75.00            £77.50
Workforce demographics. As time
                                           Paddington                                 £75.00          £75.00            £77.50
passes, the ‘millennial’ generation is
becoming increasingly dominant in          Holborn                                    £65.00          £65.00            £67.50
the labour market.                         Bloomsbury                                 £85.00          £85.00            £87.50
   Research shows that in the list of      King's Cross                               £82.50          £82.50            £85.00
‘must-haves’ when job hunting the
                                           Covent Garden                              £77.50          £75.00            £75.00
typical ‘millennial’ will consider the
                                           Southwark                                  £67.50          £67.50            £70.00
quality of the office environment,
and the vibrancy of the public             City Prime                                 £65.00          £62.50            £62.50
realm around the building to be key        City Secondary                             £60.00          £57.50            £57.50
priorities when deciding to apply for      Shoreditch                                 £65.00          £62.00            £62.00
/ accept a job.
                                           Farringdon                                 £75.00          £75.00            £77.50

THE LINK BETWEEN REAL                      Spitalfields                               £65.00          £62.00            £62.00
ESTATE & PROFITABILITY                     Aldgate East                               £55.00          £52.50            £52.50
                                           Hammersmith                                £57.50          £55.00            £55.00
  Employers are becoming
                                           White City                                 £52.50          £50.00            £50.00
increasingly aware of the importance
of creating an office environment,         Canary Wharf                               £50.00          £47.50            £47.50
and culture, that will attract, and        Stratford                                  £47.50          £45.50            £46.50
reinforce the retention of, high calibre
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