The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute

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The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
The Transformational Potential of
Smart Cities & Society
     Charlie Catlett
     Senior Computer Scientist
     University of Chicago and Argonne National Laboratory
                                                                      Collaborators:
                                                             Pete Beckman (ANL/NU)
     Global Sustainability Summer School                      Rajesh Sankaran (ANL)
     Santa Fe Institute                                        Mike Papka (ANL/NIU)
     July 2019                                                 Kathleen Cagney (UC)
                                                             Mark Potosnak (DePaul)
                                                               Doug Pancoast (SAIC)
                                                               Dan Work (Vanderbilt)

    Global Sustainability Summer School
    July 2019                                                      catlett @ anl . gov
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
10 km
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
   $700M /yr budget
   3,200 employees
   1,600 scientists/eng
   750 Ph.D.s
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
Argonne computer scientist Jean F. Hall with AVIDAC,
Argonne's first digital computer. Built by the Physics
Division for $250k, AVIDAC began operation in
January 1953.
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
Outline
•   What is a Sustainable City?                      •   Low-Cost Sensors to Increase Spatial
                                                         and Temporal Resolution
•   Using Data to Improve Service Equity
    and Efficacy (and to anticipate needs)           •   Software-Defined Sensors: Digital
                                                         Observations and Adaptive
•   Why a New Measurement Approach?                      Measurements
•   The “Array of Things” Project                    •   Exploring Solution (and Risk) Space with
                                                         Coupled Computational Models

               Global Sustainability Summer School
               July 2019
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
What’s a Sustainable City?

  Global Sustainability Summer School
  July 2019
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
“There’s a lot of different
interpretations of what a
smart city is. My view is using
data to be more interactive,
focused and tailored to the
resident than we are today.”

“I want to make sure that as
we make these changes in
mobile technology on 311 or
our streetlights, that all
communities feel like this is
part of helping them, so
they feel a part of the city.
You have to make sure that
the mission of inclusion is
always being met.”
                                     Many of London’s advances in the
Rahm Emanuel                         application of data and smart technologies
(Chicago Mayor, 2011-2019)
                                     are globally recognised. We have clearly
                                     taken great steps, but I want us to do even
                                     more to meet the needs of Londoners.”
                        Global Sustainability Summer School
                        July 2019    Sadiq Khan (London Mayor)
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
So what makes a city “Sustainable?”
  Leadership &                                                                                Health & Well
      Strategy                                                                                Being
        It plans for the future,                                                               It shares and fosters human
           navigating change.                                                                  aspirations to live healthy and
                                                                                               vibrant lives.
                                                R100/ARUP
                                                                                               It understands that strong
  It provides critical services
                                               City Resilience                                 communities, economic
      reliably, preserving and                  Framework                                      opportunity, and equity are
 enhancing the environment.                                                                    foundational.

Infrastructure &                                                                              Economy &
   Environment                                                                                Society

                                                          The City Resilience Framework was developed by ARUP with support
                    Global Sustainability Summer School
                    July 2019                             from the Rockefeller 100 Resilient Cities Program.
The Transformational Potential of Smart Cities & Society - Santa Fe Institute
Cities: different Neighborhoods, different life experience

                            81-83 yrs             Under 9%
                                                  Over 20%

   66-71 yrs

Life expectancy                                   Asthma                              Access to services   Access to healthy food
https://www.chicagohealthatlas.org/               http://www.mentalmunition.com/201                        “Food Deserts in Chicago, A Report of
                                                  1/09/south-side-children-have-                           the Illinois Advisory Committee to the
                                                  greatest.html                                            United States Commission on Civil
                                                                                                           Rights. 2011

                                      Global Sustainability Summer School
                                      July 2019
Planning for the
Future

Percentage change in average annual
temperature by 2100 from 1960-1990 baseline
climate, averaged over 21 CMIP3 models. The
size of each pixel represents the level of
agreement between models on the magnitude of
the change. [1]
http://edgeeffects.net/judith-helfand-cooked/

                                                                           [1] Gosling, S.N., Dunn, R., Carrol, F., Christidis, N., Fullwood, J., Gusmao, D.D., Golding, N.,
                                     Global Sustainability Summer School       Good, L., Hall, T., Kendon, L. and Kennedy, J., 2011. Climate: Observations, projections and
                                     July 2019                                 impacts. Climate: Observations, projections and impacts.
What’s a Couple of ℃ Matter?

Temperature vs. Energy
    (Shanghai 2003-2007) [1]

               Global Sustainability Summer School   [1] H. Yi-Ling et al, Influences of Urban Temperature on the Electricity Consumption of
               July 2019                                 Shanghai, Advances in Climate Change Research, Vol. 5, Issue 2, 2014.
Climate Change and Water
                                                                                    Projected change in precipitation: 1950–2000 to 2021–2040: Projected change in
                                                                                    precipitation for the 2021–2040 period minus the average over 1950–2000 as a percent- age
                                                                                    of the 1950–2000 precipitation. Results are averaged over simulations with nineteen
                                           Water Security                           different climate models. Source: Figure by Gabriel Vecchi, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
                                                                                    Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. [4]

Present Adjusted Human Water Security Threat (HWS) for Mexico,
calculated following the method described by Vörösmarty et al.
(2010). [3]
                                                                                                                    Change in Rainfall

[3]   Gosling, S.N., Dunn, R., Carrol, F., Christidis, N., Fullwood, J., Gusmao, D.D., Golding, N.,
      Good, L., Hall, T., Kendon, L. and Kennedy, J., 2011. Climate: Observations, projections and
      impacts. Climate: Observations, projections and impacts.
[4]   Wilder, M., Scott, C.A., Pablos, N.P., Varady, R.G., Garfin, G.M. and McEvoy, J., 2010.
      Adapting across boundaries: climate change, social learning, and resilience in the US–Mexico
      border region. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 100(4), pp.917-928.
Interdependence of Water and Energy

                                                                                                                             >1km
                                                                                                                             elevation

                                                                                                    60-154 km distance

                                                                                The amount of electricity used to pump the total
                                                                                volume of water from the Cutzamala system to
                                                                                the treatment plant located to the west of the city
                                                                                of Toluca is equivalent to the amount of energy
  Figure 2: The mega-basin of Mexico City. [5] Source: Adapted                  consumed by the city of Puebla, which is
  from AEGR (2004), GIS services.                                               inhabited by about 1.5 million people [5,6].
[5] Romero Lankao, P., 2010. Water in Mexico City: what will climate change
    bring to its history of water-related hazards and vulnerabilities?.
    Environment and Urbanization, 22(1), pp.157-178.
[5] UNDP, 2006, “Who has access to water? Case study of Mexico City
    Metropolitan Area”, thematicGlobal
                                    paper for Human Development
                                            Sustainability Summer   Report.
                                                                       School
                                July 2019
Using Data to
Improve Service Equity and
          Efficacy
  and to Anticipate Needs

  Global Sustainability Summer School
  July 2019
How Does Heat Impact Health?

Temperature vs. Mortality
   (East China 2003-2007) [1]

              Global Sustainability Summer School   [1] H. Yi-Ling et al, Influences of Urban Temperature on the Electricity Consumption of
              July 2019                                 Shanghai, Advances in Climate Change Research, Vol. 5, Issue 2, 2014.
Heat                                           Spatial analysis of the effect of the 2010 heat
                                               wave on stroke mortality in Nanjing, China

                                                                                                    Contour lines show the areas with
                                                                                                  significantly increased or decreased
                                                                                                  adjusted odds ratio (p-value < 0.05).

                                             Spatial analysis of the effect of the 2010 heat wave on stroke mortality in Nanjing, China
       Global Sustainability Summer School   Kai Chen, Lei Huang, Lian Zhou, Zongwei Ma, Jun Bi & Tiantian Li, Nature,
       July 2019                             Scientific Reports volume 5, Article number: 10816 (2015)
API to integrate with electronic medical
Health and Housing                                                     record clinical decision tools

                      2012 Lead poisoning cases.

                         Which of the thousands of homes
                         should the city inspect (and
                         remediate) within any given high-
                         danger area?

          Global Sustainability Summer School    E. Potash, R. Ghani, R. Mansour, et. al., ”Predictive Modeling for Public Health: Preventing
          July 2019                              Childhood Lead Poisoning," ACM KDD’15, August 2015, Sydney, Australia.
Predictive Analytics for Public Good: Inspection Optimization
               (perfect)
                                        (ordered by
                                        risk)

                                                    (random order)

                                        (avg improvement: 7.4d)

                                Chicago Food Safety
                                Inspection
                                                                                        A predictive modelling tool, Firecast, analyses up to 7,500 risk
                                Optimization                                            factors to calculate a risk score for each of the 330,000
                                                                                        buildings the New York Fire Department inspects. Factors
                                                                                        include previous fire, injuries, the number of buildings close by,
                                                                                        where in the city it is, as well as any tax or health violations.
Chicago’s food safety analytics tools are now in use in a half dozen other cities as well.

                            Global Sustainability Summer School                Tom Schenk, City of Chicago; Sven Leyffer, Prasanna Balaprakash, et. al.; Argonne MCS
                            July 2019
Why a New Measurement
      Approach?
Using Sensors to Measure Local (vs. Regional) Conditions and Dynamics

      Global Sustainability Summer School
      July 2019
What do scientists and policymakers want to measure/diagnose?
                    SENSORS                                                 OBSERVATIONS
 Environment                              Air Quality                       Activity
  •   Solar load on buildings               •   Asthma rates                 • Flooding
  •   Traffic safety                        •   Traffic impact on AQ         • Traffic flow & safety
  •   Idling trucks                         •   Industrial air pollutants    • Pedestrian flow & safety
  •   Construction effects                  •   Fossil fuel emissions        • Use patterns of public
  •   Noise pollution/sources               •   Hydrogen sulfide               spaces
  •   Urban heat island                     •   Fuel leaks                   • Sources of noise
  •   Mold exposure                         •   Flammable hazards              pollution & noise events

                    Global Sustainability Summer School
2018 Array of Things Student and User Workshop
                    July 2019
Temporal Dynamics of Air Quality... And its impacts

                                                                     Air quality varies rapidly in time and sharply
                                                                     between neighborhoods. Models are used to
                                                                     predict, but these require data for calibration
                                                                     and validation.

                       Students who move from an elementary/middle school that feeds into a “downwind” middle/high school
                       in the same zip code experience decreases in test scores, more behavioral incidents, and more
                       absences, relative to when they transition to an upwind school. Even within zip codes, microclimates
                       can contribute to inequality.”
           Global Sustainability Summer School
           July 2019
EPA Criteria Pollutants
The Clean Air Act requires EPA to set
National Ambient Air Quality
Standards (NAAQS) for six common
air pollutants (known as “criteria air
pollutants”). These pollutants are
found all over the U.S. They can
harm your health and the
environment, and cause property
damage.

https://www.epa.gov/criteria-air-pollutants

                           Global Sustainability Summer School
                           July 2019
Example: Health. What Data do we have for Air Quality?
                                                                                                             Purple Air

                                                                                                             Weather Underground

                                                                                                             EPA

  Under 9%

  Over 20%

             Asthma
                                                    Despite many sensor networks, even weather (much less air
              Global Sustainability Summer School   quality) data is absent from the most vulnerable neighborhoods.
              July 2019
Location-Aware Sensing System (LASS)

            Chen, Ling-Jyh, et al. "An open
            framework for participatory PM2.
            5 monitoring in smart cities."
            IEEE Access 5 (2017): 14441-
            14454.
Global Sustainability Summer School
July 2019
Sounds of New York (SONYC)

                                                                                                   Urbane
Bello, Juan Pablo, Claudio Silva, Oded Nov, R. Luke DuBois, Anish Arora, Justin Salamon, Charles
Mydlarz, and Harish Doraiswamy. "SONYC: A system for the monitoring, analysis and mitigation
of urban noise pollution." arXiv preprint arXiv:1805.00889 (2018).

                                        Global Sustainability Summer School
                                        July 2019
The “Array of Things” Project

   Global Sustainability Summer School
   July 2019
The “Array an
                      Why Measure of Entire
                                     Things”City?
…to calibrate and validate computational models…
…to discover and eventually understand interdependencies…
…to provide open / free data to catalyze innovation…
…to enable everyone from students to politicians to better understand their city
…to provide a platform to explore new technologies and solutions.

          Global Sustainability Summer School
          July 2019
Science
                                               Nicola Ferrier (UChicago/ANL)   Dan Work (Vanderbilt)

 Marc Berman (UChicago)
                                                Kate Cagney (UChicago)         David Liebovitz (UChicago)

  Aaron Packman (Northwestern)                  Vivien Rivera (Northwestern)
                 Global Sustainability Summer School                           Ashish Sharma (U Illinois)
                 July 2019
Array of Things

                                                                             Environment                           Air Quality
                                                                               Ambient, UV, IR light                   PM 1, 2.5, 10, 40
                                                                               Visibility                              Carbon monoxide
                                                                               Magnetic Field                          Ozone
                                                                               Vibration                               Sulfur dioxide
                                                                               Sound pressure                          Nitrogen dioxide
                                                                               Temperature                             Hydrogen sulfide
                                                                               Relative humidity                       Total reducing gases
                                                                               Barometric pressure                     Total oxidizing gases

                                                                            Edge Computing
                                                                               Computer Vision: Flooding, traffic flow, safety (bike helmet use, pedestrian
                                                                               patterns…), use patterns of public spaces, cloud cover
                                                                               Computer Audio: Noise components, sound events

The “Array of Things” (AoT) is an NSF-funded
                                   Global Sustainability   Summer
                                                 Major Research       School project in partnership with the City of
                                                                Instrumentation
Chicago, led by the University of Chicago
                                   July 2019 and Argonne National Laboratory.
Chicago AoT Deployment

          Global Sustainability Summer School
          July 2019    A R G O N N E      N A T I O N A L   L A B O R A T O R Y
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AoT in Chicago                                                                                                                       c                                                                                                                                                                                                            c

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Lake Michigan
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                                                   Global Sustainability Summer School
                                                                 h
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                                                   July 2019
AoT Supports Many Projects                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 j
(a) Ravenswood Theater. Measuring pedestrian flow and use of public spaces with community events aimed at                            t       t
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    addressing racism.                                                                                                                           t
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(b) Chicago North Branch Framework nodes measure the environment and traffic to understand the impact of

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    redistricting and new development.                                                                                                                                       i
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(c) North-South lakefront and East-West transects support studying the “lake effect” on weather and air quality as well as                                               h                                     i                                                                     c

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    urban land use impact on regional weather.                                                                                                       k       h
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(d) Lower West Side (Pilsen, McKinley Park, Little Village) has many known air pollutant sources. These nodes aim to                                                                     h
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    test node density and placement strategies.                                                                                                                          h

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(e) Chatham is one of Chicago’s most flood-prone neighborhoods. Scientists at Argonne, Northwestern, and UChicago                                                                    p
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    are developing flood detection capabilities using AoT image analysis and wireless moisture sensors.                                                                  h               t                     m m                                             b
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(f) Measuring traffic changes resulting from the creation of the Pullman National Monument.                                                                              h
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(g) Testing new methods to measure pedestrian and vehicle flow and related impacts (noise, congestion, air                                                                                                                                           t         t 2                  2
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    pollutants, etc.) in the Chicago Loop and along the River Walk.                                                                                                                                            h                             d           d                     d                                 c
(h) Measuring air quality and noise in neighborhoods of the hundreds of participants in the UChicago Population                                                                                                 mm                                   d
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    Research Center’s study on poverty, aging, and health.                                                                                                                                               i k
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(i) Several dozen locations were requested by individual residents and community groups.                                                                                                                                                     d d                                       k
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(j) City of Chicago Fleets & Facilities Management seeks to understand pedestrian flow and impacts on the River Walk                                                                                                                     k
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    and near public buildings.                                                                                                                                                                   h
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(k) Many groups seek data to understand urban environmental impacts on health, including studies by the Chicago                                                  k   h                                                                                                                                     i i
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    Department of Public Health, UChicago COMPASS health project, and the UChicago/UIC NIH-funded Chicago Center                                                     h
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    for Health and Environment (CACHET).                                                                                                                                                                                     k                                                             k
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(m) City of Chicago Department of Planning & Development is interested in understanding traffic patterns and related
    impacts.                                                                                                                                                                                                                h                                          t
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(r) The Illinois Department of Transportation and Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning require rail crossing delay                                                                       k
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    data to prioritize investments in transportation infrastructure.                                                                                                                                                                                             h
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(s) The Bronzeville Community Smart Grid (IIT, ComEd) will leverage Exelon’s partnership with Argonne to investigate AI-                                                                                                                                               h               k                                                         i           c
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    based energy optimization and failure prediction.                                                                                                                                                                                                    h
(t) Chicago’s Vision Zero program comprises 10 agencies and departments seeking to eliminate traffic-related fatalities                                                                                            j             k           Rh
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    by 2022. Nodes are installed at 30 of the city’s most dangerous intersections and corridors. Additional nodes along
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    Ashland avenue aim to measure the impact of rapid future bus transit systems.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        c
(u) Chicago Public Schools (Lane Technical H.S.) have worked with the AoT team to train over 400 students to develop                                                                                                                                                                                                                         k

    sensor-based science projects.

                                                                                      Though Chicago plans hundreds of nodes, each individual science or policy project typically only
                                  Global Sustainability Summer School                 requires 6-12 nodes. All locations are selected based on specific science or policy questions,
                                  July 2019                                           including locations requested by community groups and individual residents.
Third Party Devices and Array of Things Data
                                                                   Download:                                                Portals:
                                                      Air Quality
                                                            Scientific Analysis                                             Data
                                                      Sensors
                                                                                                                            Discovery

                                 Cellular Data
                                   Network
                                                     Open /
       .                                            Free Data
       .
       .                                                                   Tools and                    Real-Time Access:
                                                                            Tutorials                    New Applications
                                                       Relay
                                                       Server        Data from student projects or other initiatives using third
                                                                     party devices such as Particle.io web-connected
      Particle
   Photon/Electron                                                   microcontrollers can be imported to AoT Beehive servers
                                                                     and analyzed alongside AoT data using all of the tools,
                                   Particle Cloud
                                                                     tutorials, and applications developed for AoT.

                     Global Sustainability Summer School
                     July 2019
Thinking Further
• What urban services might cities consider optimizing, provided they
  have the data, relative to sustainability?
• We find that university-city partnerships are very powerful, but
  difficult to sustain. What might be strategies for capturing long-term
  value from such projects? Even Chicago’s use of open source and
  participation in city-to-city collaborative networks, though helpful,
  have been dependent on specific individuals rather than being
  systemic.

            Global Sustainability Summer School
            July 2019
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