Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020   Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans
on the railway across Wales & Borders – Interim Findings

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020     Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Contents
  Foreword                                                                            4
  Introduction                                                                        5
  The Case for Change                                                                 7
  Today’s immediate challenges:

  Habitat in Wales                                                                    9

  Shoreline Management Plans                                                          12

  Fairbourne                                                                          14

  Conwy Valley Line                                                                   16

  Old Colwyn Sea Wall                                                                 17
  A Way Forward:

  AssetCoast                                                                          18

  Rail industry funding                                                               19
  Pilot research study area: Cardigan Bay and the Cambrian Coast Line                 20
  Summary and roadmap to final publication                                            23
  Appendix A: Shoreline Management Plan process flowchart                             24
  Appendix B: Detailed SMP policies for Cardigan Bay                                  25
  Appendix C: SMP policy maps for Wales for each epoch from Natural Resources
                                                                                      32
  Wales
  Appendix D: Glossary                                                                33

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Foreword
           The impact of climate change and more regular occurrence of         In addition, many parts of these routes are located in areas
           severe weather events, such as storms Ciara and Dennis in early     which are classed as Natura 2000 sites, meaning any ‘plans or
           2020, provides demonstrable evidence that much greater              projects’ in these areas are subject to Habitat Regulations
           planning activity will need to be undertaken to consider the        which may suggest habitat compensation is required,
           impact on our communities and on the other national                 particularly in areas affected by coastal squeeze.
           infrastructure that serves these communities such as the
           national road and rail networks. From a railway perspective,        Coastal Groups and Local Authorities are starting to interpret
           storms in recent years have had a devastating impact on the         the Shoreline Management Plans, their wider policy and
           railway network with a number of railway lines having had to        regulatory context in Wales.
           be closed, sometimes for many months. Key examples include          Given the extent of coastal rail assets in Wales, it has been
           at Dawlish, the Conwy Valley Line and along the Cambrian            determined that further guidance is required to raise
           Coast Line, all having had to be substantially rebuilt at           awareness of these impacts on the railway and how it is 1)
           locations which have seen extensive storm and/or flood              funded for operations, maintenance and renewals, and 2) the
           damage. This has had significant negative economic impacts          longer-term strategic considerations that will require to be
           to those parts of the country. These events also had a              assessed to ensure alignment with regional adaptation of the
           significant impact on the communities they serve, with              Shoreline Management Plans and policy.
           significant impacts on passengers and the movement of
           freight. Increased levels of rain fall, and tidal surges has also   This interim document sets out the initial research undertaken,
           caused flooding which impacts the rail network significantly        which has involved significant engagement with Welsh
           and we can expect these phenomena to become more of the             Government, Natural Resources Wales, Gwynedd County
           norm as the world continues to get warmer and see levels            Council (who are leading in their Shoreline Management
           continue to rise.                                                   adaptation planning), climate change experts, and rail industry
                                                                               asset management teams in Wales & Borders route. This seeks
           Shoreline management planning is becoming ever more                 to highlight the challenges the rail network and industry will
           important. Looking to the future, there will undoubtably be         have to face to meet the wider societal challenges of climate
           difficult and in some cases particularly stark choices to be made   change and rising sea levels. This interim assessment identifies
           as to how our communities and supporting infrastructure will        some of the emerging gaps and their impacts arising out of the
           need to adapt to these environmental challenges. The                Shoreline Management Plans and the HRAs and options for
           Shoreline Management Plans nationally seeks to address these        working more collaboratively with wider stakeholders to meet
           considerations by setting out a framework and timescale by          these challenges. It also seeks to set out a road map for further
           when the policy will be enacted to meet the challenges of           work to be undertaken during 2020/21.This will look to assess
           climate change and rising sea levels.                               in greater detail the impact of the Shoreline Management
           The Network Rail Wales and Borders route has the most               Plans on the Wales & Borders network to provide a longer-term
           extensive amount of coastal railway in GB, with a significant       line of sight to inform rail funders and policy makers of when
           part of the rail network located in coastal and river valley        future further significant strategic planning and decisions will
           locations. Often the railway in itself provides either a primary    be required.
           or lesser line of defence against coastal erosion simply due to     This document has been produced by the Wales Strategic
           where it was constructed.                                           Planning team who are part of the System Operator function
                                                                               of Network Rail and if you would like any further information,
                                                                               please contact: Sarah.Reardon@networkrail.co.uk.

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020          Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Introduction
               Current situation                                                   Study Purpose, Scope and Methodology
               The aim of this study is to outline the key risks facing the        This interim study has been produced, following discussions
               railway and highlighting potential options for the railway over     between Network Rail and Stakeholders, initially as a piece of
               the next three epochs, up to 2105. This document will be used       research, to seek to provide an initial assessment of what these
               to influence strategic planning within the railway and wider        complex issues mean for sustaining the national rail network in
               transport network, which is laid out in the roadmap later in the    coastal areas, in line with prescribed policy relating to rising sea
               document. This study is influenced by climate change and            levels and climate change.
               extreme weather which is an ever-prominent issue making
               headlines nationally and globally. At the time of writing, the      The document is structured as follows:
               UK, including parts of Wales, is recovering from the damage         The Case for Change – outlining why this document has been
               caused by storms Ciara and Dennis. Not only have these storms       produced and explains the global impact of climate change
               caused widespread flooding to homes and businesses, the             and how this explicitly impacts on transport systems and
               railway has also suffered with some lines closed for several        networks.
               days, and longer across the whole of Wales. There is a need to
               start considering the longer-term impact of climate change          The next three areas highlight the current challenges that
               and more frequent extreme weather events in our strategic           today’s railway faces:
               planning activity.                                                  Habitat in Wales – reviewing the habitat in Wales, why this is
               Across GB, Wales has the largest amount of coastal railway and      a unique challenge, and impacts arising from the need for
               the continued evidence of sea level rises means a longer-term       compliance with Habitat Regulation Assessments;
               view is required on what the predicted future changes to the        Shoreline Management Plans (SMPs) – addressing the
               Welsh coastline will mean for our railway assets, passengers        outcomes of the individual SMPs which have been produced
               and freight users. These coastal lines generally serve more rural   across GB to address future changes in coastal processes such
               communities, providing key social connectivity for the              as sea level rise. This includes three specific geographical case
               passengers who use them. Due to their coastal nature these          studies which illustrate examples of where extreme weather,
               lines also have vital roles for the local and regional tourism      habitat regulations and SMPs are, and will in the future, having
               industry.                                                           an impact on the railway. These are at: Fairbourne, Conwy
               Additionally, Network Rail needs to be able to continue             Valley Line and Old Colwyn Sea Wall;
               maintaining, renewing and operating these coastal assets            AssetCoast – detailing one of the ways Network Rail is looking
               despite the specific environmental challenges which assets          to address these issues, including one of the tools currently
               face based on their localised shoreline planning and many
                                                                                   used to monitor coastal railway assets;
               locations being in conservation areas. In the future Network
               Rail needs to understand what funding will be required for          How the railway is currently funded – explaining how
               future asset requirements. This can only be done if shoreline       Network Rail is funded and governed in terms of operating,
               planning is done collaboratively, working with local authorities    maintain, renewal and enhancing the rail network;
               and other infrastructure and land owners.
                                                                                   Pilot Research area: Cardigan Bay – detailing the immediate
                                                                                   issues facing the railway and communities on the Cambrian
                                                                                   Coast Line;
                                                                                   Summary and roadmap to final publication – setting out how
                                                                                   this document will continue to evolve and develop to a final
                                                                                   publication in Spring 2021.

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020        Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Introduction cont.

                     Work to date has involved invaluable collaboration with a         This interim document therefore seeks to outline a roadmap to
                     range of industry and wider stakeholders including Natural        the further work needed in this regard. This work builds on early
                     Resources Wales and Local Authorities.                            engagement and activity undertaken with a number of
                                                                                       organisations, particularly Gwynedd County Council who is
                     This interim study focuses on the more immediate forecast         actively engaging with Network Rail with regard to the impact
                     changes in coastal processes in the Cardigan Bay area and the     of Climate Change on the Cambrian Coast Line.
                     Cambrian Coast railway line. Gwynedd County Council have
                     been a key stakeholder as they have carried out more detailed     Working with Welsh Government and Natural Resources Wales
                     action planning due to the immediacy of these changes.            and other Coastal Groups we will look to share our initial work
                                                                                       and develop further policy and strategy collaboratively going
                     Further work will continue following this interim study,          forward.
                     extending scope to the other coastal railway lines in Wales and
                     Borders, providing an indication of when further strategic        Wellbeing of Future Generations Act
                     planning has to be done in what areas. The summary chapter
                                                                                       The Wellbeing of Future Generations Act 2015 is a legislation
                     details the roadmap this work intends to follow to final
                                                                                       which applies to all public bodies in Wales and Welsh
                     publication.
                                                                                       Government to ensure long term sustainability is key to all their
                     Network Rail has a Network Licence obligation to lead the         thinking. The legislation is not applicable to Network Rail
                     planning of the future of the rail network. This study has been   because the Act only applies to the 44 public bodies in Wales
                     produced under this framework as a continuous programme of        and Welsh Government. However, we felt due to the nature of
                     strategic planning activity in Wales and Borders.                 this Strategic Planning guidance, it is entirely relevant we
                                                                                       include how this study complies with the Act, particularly as the
                     Collaboration                                                     local authorities in Wales who lead on their own Shoreline
                     This document highlights some of the significant challenges       Management Plans, must adhere to the Act.
                     faced by regional and local communities and the national rail     The purpose of the Act is to improve the social, economic,
                     network plays a prominent role in providing access to such        environmental and cultural well-being of Wales. It incorporates
                     locations.                                                        seven well-being goals:
                     With climate change and other environmental factors and
                     regulations having an impact on Network Rail’s and other               •   A globally responsible Wales
                     stakeholders’ infrastructure, Network Rail recognises the              •   A prosperous Wales
                     importance of developing policy and strategies for dealing with        •   A resilient Wales
                     the impacts of climate change, in close collaboration with the         •   A healthier Wales
                     communities that the railway serves.                                   •   A more equal Wales
                     This recognises the need for a greater focus on how we consider        •   A Wales of cohesive communities
                     railway and coastal assets holistically from a strategic,              •   A Wales of vibrant culture and thriving Welsh
                     maintenance and renewal perspective, aligned with policies                 language
                     outlined in the SMPs.                                             Network Rail believes that this document supports the
                                                                                       Wellbeing of Future Generations Act 2015 to help ensure long-
                                                                                       term sustainability goals.

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

   The Case for Change
                                                      Climate Change – An issue for Network Rail                         The Necessary Steps
“Over 60% of the Welsh population live and
    work on the coast. Our coastlines and             Climate change is already having a large effect on the National    It was previously suggested that nations already have the
                                                      Rail Network and infrastructure. This is evident from incidents    knowledge and resources to confront climate change. This will
riverbanks add great value to our well-being          such as extreme weather events that have affected the Conwy        remain a challenge and further political impetus will be
 with their natural beauty, biodiversity and          Valley Line particularly in 2019 and 2020, the railway line at     required to develop the strategy to limit the use of carbon,
                                                      Dawlish in 2014 and where there have been increased                created from fossil fuels, such as coal. However, there has been
recreation opportunities. Flooding of homes,                                                                             an increase in awareness of the impacts of climate change and
                                                      occurrences of temporary speed restrictions due to the impact
     businesses and infrastructure is an              of heat on railway infrastructure. Concerningly, trends predict    the devastation that it is causing. Heightened awareness is
   unwelcome risk to many people living in            that devastating weather events like heavy rain fall, flooding     therefore encouraging governments to take action, which is
                                                      and heatwaves are set to become more extreme and frequent          evident through the Paris Agreement and the Welsh and UK
   Wales and can have severe detrimental              in the future. These extreme weather events are coinciding         Governments declaring a climate emergency. The UK
 impacts on quality of life including mental          with a rise in sea levels. Extreme weather events and rising sea   Government has also announced the removal of diesel vehicles,
                                                      levels are having a negative effect on the railway network,        including trains by 2040. Governmental action is key to
                   health”                                                                                               encourage businesses and the population to make changes
                                                      destroying infrastructure and delaying passengers. Therefore,
National Infrastructure Commission for Wales Annual   this is proving costly to the railway industry, with weather       that can help curb climate change.
Report                                                related delay minutes costing between £200-300m each year,         Therefore, in response to the climate emergency and the diesel
                                                      this is without the cost of repairing infrastructure. However,     ban, the rail industry is taking action to become a zero-carbon
                                                      disruption to the rail network also has wider socio-economic       industry. Nationally, Network Rail is demonstrating leadership
                                                      impacts, which justifies continued investment to increase          within the rail industry to take action and are undertaking
                                                      weather resilience and to ensure that timely decisions are         initiatives such as the traction decarbonisation network
                                                      made about the future of the railway’s infrastructure,             strategy to help towards the goal of zero-carbon. Network Rail
                                                      especially when considering renewals and enhancements of           is also currently working on a national vision and strategy for
                                                      infrastructure.                                                    the next 30 years. It is important that the railway industry is
                                                      All environmental threats are a challenge to the railway, but      strategically thinking about the future because the solutions
                                                      one of the key threats is rising sea levels, which are predicted   needed may take many years to implement to ensure the most
                                                      to continue rising to unprecedented levels. Rising sea levels      appropriate and sustainable transport modes are in place to
                                                      subsequently increases the risk of flooding which has increased    support communities and economies. However, another way in
                                                      by approximately 230% in the past 20 years [1]. Rising sea         which the rail industry is reducing carbon emissions is through
                                                      levels and subsequent flooding is costing the UK Government        its role of providing a lower-carbon transport mode compared
                                                      £540m every year; making flooding a top priority for UK            to other more transport modes which emit increased emissions.
                                                      Government [2]. Rising sea levels and other extreme weather        Specifically, within the Wales and Borders Route, there are
                                                      events are worsening due to climate change, which is               initiatives being undertaken to improve their resilience against
                                                      subsequently caused by an increase in greenhouse gases             weather and climate change events, and in most ways this
                                                      (GHGs). According to the World Meteorological Organisation,        route is ahead of the rest of the country. The Wales and Borders
                                                      GHGs hit a record high in 2019 with no sign of slowing down,       Route is improving resilience through route-specific objectives
                                                      let alone a decline which is needed to reverse the effects of      and understanding risks by assessing their weather-related
                                                      climate change [3]. However, it is estimated that approximately    vulnerabilities.
                                                      70% of sea level rises today are attributed to human activity
                                                      [1]. Therefore Governments, industries and individuals all need

                                                      to work together to curb the devastating impacts of climate
                                                      change.

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

The Case for Change
cont.
                      A National Picture                                                   A greener railway
                      There are several activities ongoing from a national                 Following the recent introduction of greener bi-mode Intercity
                      perspective relating to how the industry is reacting to              Express Trains (capable of operating under electric or diesel
                      environmental issues and the challenge of climate change,            traction) by Great Western Railway which operate between
                      some of which will be outlined in this section.                      London Paddington and south Wales.
                      Network Rail published a national Weather Resilience and             Transport for Wales has also committed to delivering a greener
                      Climate Change Adaptation (WRCCA) Strategy in 2017 which             fleet of new trains as part of their rail services contract, with
                      sets out the aim to provide a future rail network that is safe and   plans including the introduction of bi-mode and tri-mode
                      more resilient to the effects of weather, now and in the future.     (capable of operating under electric, diesel or battery traction)
                      Planning is based on UK climate projections to 2080.                 trains on the busy core valley lines into Cardiff. Additionally, as
                                                                                           part of the West Coast franchise, Avanti has committed to
                      The strategy incorporates the following strategic outcomes:          introducing bi-mode trains operating between London Euston
                       •    Infrastructure able to withstand the impact of future          and north Wales.
                            weather conditions                                             Network Rail is also responding to the UK legal target of
                       •    Rapid recovery from the impacts of adverse and                 achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050, by commencing
                            extreme weather events                                         a Traction Decarbonisation Network Study for the Department
                                                                                           for Transport (DfT). This will consider scenarios based on the
                       •    Improved performance and safety during adverse and             technologies which could be deployed on the unelectrified
                            extreme weather conditions                                     network.
                       •    Financial savings through reduced compensation                 The Rail Delivery Group (RDG) is similarly supporting the
                            payments and repair costs                                      industry in promoting modal shift to rail and the vision of
                                                                                           achieving a carbon free railway.
                       •    Enhanced reputation and trust in the railway’s ability to
                            manage weather events.                                         For further information:

                      Following on from the publication of the national WRCCA              [1] = SeaLevelRise.org https://sealevelrise.org/
                      Strategy, Wales and Borders has also published a local plan for      [2] = Government Office for Science – Future of the Sea:
                      CP6 up to 2024. There are also plans to build upon these with        Current and Future Impacts of Sea Level Rise on the UK
                      an update to the WRCCA strategy and a national Rail Industry         https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/s
                      Resilience Review to follow in 2020-21.                              ystem/uploads/attachment_data/file/663885/Future_of_the
                      Nationally Network Rail is also building a high-level                _sea_-_sea_level_rise.pdf
                      sustainability strategy which will look ahead 30 years               [3] = World Meteorological Organisation
                      considering the response to challenges in all areas of               https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/greenhouse-
                      sustainable development, and supporting routes and regions to        gas-levels-atmosphere-reach-new-record
                      develop their own aligned sustainability plans and
                      incorporating potential political, technological, social,
                      economic and legal drivers of change.

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

   Habitat in Wales
                                               An introduction to biodiversity in Wales                           Habitat Regulations Assessment Process
                                               The varied geology and temperate climate in Wales supports a       Although habitat regulations have been in place since 1994,
                                               rich variety of flora and fauna including some species unique      2017 saw the introduction of the Conservation of Habitats and
                                               to Britain and Wales. Because of this rich variety, across Wales   Species Regulations. These regulations ensure any plan or
                                               there are 20 Special Protection Areas for birds and 92 Special     project which is likely to have a significant effect on a Natura
                                               Areas of Conservation for other rare species and threatened        2000 site must be subject to an appropriate assessment, which
                                               natural habitats. Collectively these, along with similar sites     led to the introduction of Habitat Regulations Assessments
                                               across Europe, are known as Natura 2000 sites, and they form       (HRA).
                                               a conservation network of international importance for wildlife
                                                                                                                  HRAs consider several potential impacts of the plan or project
                                               and follow legislation designed to protect the most seriously
                                                                                                                  such as:
                                               threatened habitats and species across Europe.
                                               The sites in Wales are shown in Figure 2 and cover more than            •    Loss of habitat
                                               700,000 hectares, covering 7% of Welsh land area, and 36%               •    Site disturbance
                                               of terrestrial waters.
                                                                                                                       •    Water change and quality
                                               There is a commitment for Network Rail Wales Route included
                                               in the Strategic Business Plan (SBP) for the period up to 2024,    There are several steps to a HRA which any proposer needs to
                                               to ‘minimise our impact on the environment’ and there are          work through before progressing. A simplified overview of this
                                               several activities and principles in place to help support this    process is shown in Figure 1.
                                               objective through vegetation management, innovation and
                                                                                                                  The final step in the HRA process, if a project progresses that
                                               habitat protection. Some of these activities are included in the
                                                                                                                  far, is to identify whether any compensatory measures
                                               summary biodiversity report produced by Network Rail (NR)
                                                                                                                  required. This is relevant where it is deemed the plan or project
                                               which can be found here:
                                                                                                                  will have an adverse effect on the site, no alternatives solutions
                                               https://www.networkrailmediacentre.co.uk/resources/wales-          exist, and the project or plan needs to proceed due to
                                               route-section-6-summary-report-p2                                  ‘Imperative Reasons of Overriding Public Interest’ (IROPI).
                                                                                                                  Natural Resources Wales (NRW), who are accountable to Welsh
                                                                                                                  Ministers, are one of the consultees for HRAs in Wales. NRW is
                                                                                                                  the largest Welsh Government sponsored body whose purpose
                                                                                                                  is to ensure that the environment and natural resources of
Figure 1: Simplified view of the HRA process                                                                      Wales are sustainably maintained, enhanced and used. They
                                                                                                                  act as regulator for designated sites, land manager for 7% of
                                                                                                                  the land area in Wales and an environmental operator
                                                                                                                  managing over 500km of flood defences.
                                                                                                                  Network Rail hold a Memorandum of Understanding with NRW
                                                                                                                  which sets out an understanding of common objectives
                                                                                                                  between the two parties, responsibilities and general principles.

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Habitat in Wales cont.
                                                             National Habitat Creation Programme                                  What this means to Network Rail
                                                             The Shoreline Management Plans (SMPs), which are described           The Network Rail Wales and Borders route has the most
                                                             in greater detail later in this document, were also subject to the   extensive amount of coastal railway in GB, and most of the
                                                             HRA process. This concluded that adverse effects could not be        coastal railway also features in areas which are classed as
                                                             ruled out due to the anticipated effects of coastal squeeze          Natura 2000 sites, meaning any ‘plans or projects’ in these
                                                             (coastal habitat such as salt marsh being squeezed between an        areas are subject to HRAs.
                                                             artificial or natural sea defence and rising sea levels),
                                                                                                                                  This has resulted in a number of considerations both within NR
                                                             depending on the policy defined in that area.
                                                                                                                                  and with NRW about firstly which projects fall into this process,
                                                             This resulted in the Welsh Government establishing the               if it is deemed that compensation is required, whether NR has
                                                             National Habitat Creation Programme (NHCP) to help provide           any compensatory land available, whether this land is
                                                             a strategic response to those coastal squeeze issues related to      sufficient or suitable, and other issues such as ownership and
                                                             Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management (FCERM) schemes            maintenance of this land. The alternative option if the
                                                             and is managed by NRW. The purpose of the NHCP is to protect         available compensatory land is neither sufficient nor
                                                             the coast of Wales while managing the effects of our changing        appropriate for use, then monetary compensation can be
                                                             shoreline on designated coastal habitats. It aims to provide         offered in order to purchase suitable land.
                                                             like-for-like habitat compensation through managing existing
                                                                                                                                  This is not possible at present as NR’s funding settlement for
                                                             land in such a way that new habitats, such as salt marsh, can
                                                                                                                                  CP6 (the period up until 2024) from the Department for
                                                             be created, which would then deliver habitat offset
                                                                                                                                  Transport (DfT) has been set and funding is only included for
                                                             requirements detailed in the SMPs.
                                                                                                                                  operation, maintenance and renewal of the railway. Any other
                                                             As part of this programme NRW have been identifying land             funding requirements are subject to separate governance
                                                             which appears most suitable for this purpose and contacting          processes.
                                                             landowners including NR for discussions.
                                                                                                                                  It is also worth recognising that the funding issue is somewhat
                                                                                                                                  unique in Wales, due to the process by which NRW treats and
                                                                                                                                  interprets compensation requirements, compared to the
                                                                                                                                  interpretation and treatment by the English bodies such as the
                                                                                                                                  Environment Agency (EA), Natural England and the Marine
                                                                                                                                  Management Organisation.
                                                                                                                                  This applies to projects in the English parts of the Wales and
Figure 2: Location of Natura 2000 sites in Wales, from NRW                                                                        Borders route, which are also in Natura 2000 sites, such as
                                                                                                                                  areas of the Severn Estuary.
                                                                                                                                  The differences between interpretation in England and Wales
                                                                                                                                  will be explored in more detail in the final publication of this
                                                                                                                                  document.

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Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders - Interim Findings - Network Rail
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Habitat in Wales:
Ferryside
                    Ferryside
                                                                                       As mentioned above, works at Ferryside were planned for 2017,
                    A key example of where Network Rail renewal plans are being        however due to these issues, the works have still not taken
                    impacted is at Ferryside. This case study shows where the          place and is not currently scheduled until further examinations
                    interrelated issues of coastal squeeze, requirements driven by     of the asset are undertaken in 2021. The risk of pushing back
                    habitat regulations, other permissions required (such as marine    schemes in this way means there is higher likelihood that assets
                    licences) and coordination of multiple organisations, has been     could fail, therefore increasing risks to the operational railway
                    a challenge.                                                       and its users, and becoming more costly to repair. Additionally,
                                                                                       the longer assets are left, the more they deteriorate, which
                    Ferryside is located on the South Wales Mainline between           could increase the scope of the original works planned.
                    Llanelli and Carmarthen and is within an area where the SMP
                    stipulates to hold the line for all three epochs; 2025, 2055,      Due to the experience at Ferryside, Network Rail asset
                    2105.                                                              managers have decided to push these works into Control Period
                                                                                       6 (CP6 – 2019-2024), but this has meant that there must be a
                    Within this area there is a sea wall which needs to be repointed   substitution of other works that were already planned in CP6.
                    and new rock armour is required to protect railway assets.         Asset managers have also made the decision to rescheduled
                    These minor renewal works as of March 2020 still have not          coastal works that require HRA’s in CP6 towards the end of the
                    taken place, even though they were scheduled for 2017, in a        control period, as at present there is no clear solution for
                    previous control period. This is due to the location being in a    addressing habitat compensation. However, this adds further
                    Special Area of Conservation and Protection, and the scheme        risk that CP6 works may need to be pushed into Control Period
                    requiring an HRA, as detailed above. In this case the HRA which    7 (CP7 – 2024-2029).
                    was completed by Natural Resources Wales (NRW) deemed
                    that this project would require habitat compensation of 1.8        For further information
                    hectares of suitable land such as salt marsh, or a monetary
                                                                                       UK Government guidance on HRAs:
                    equivalent. Monetary values differ depending on location, but
                                                                                       https://www.gov.uk/guidance/appropriate-assessment
                    in this example, the monetary compensation requested for the
                    works planned at Ferryside is approximately £100,000, which
                                                                                       Welsh Assembly research on HRAs:
                    would effectively mean the cost of the maintenance work
                                                                                       https://www.assembly.wales/Research%20Documents/17-
                    would be approximately twice that contained in our business
                                                                                       038/17-038-Web-English.pdf
                    plan.
                                                                                       Briefing note from NRW on National Habitat Creation
                    Network Rail has very limited suitable or surplus land which
                                                                                       Programme (NHCP):
                    would meet the requirements of NRW to offer as
                    compensation. Additionally, any land transfers or disposal are     http://severnestuarycoastalgroup.org.uk/files/2016/03/NRW-
                    subject to regulatory control and ORR approval. There is also      NHCP-Background-Brief.pdf
                    no suitable funding allocation to provide monetary
                    compensation. This has therefore resulted in the determination
                    of the Marine Licence, required for the works to progress, being
                    effectively paused until the compensation question has been
                    addressed.

                                                                                                                                                     10
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

    Shoreline
    Management Plans
                                                                Shoreline Management Plans
                                                                                                                                     A flow chart summarising how the SMPs are broken down is
                                                                Shoreline Management Plans (SMPs) have been produced for             shown in Appendix A.
  “A shoreline management plan is a large-                      the coastlines of England, Scotland and Wales; developed by
                                                                                                                                     In view of the timescales set in various epochs, it is key to
                                                                the relevant Coastal Groups, with members mainly from the
scale assessment of the risks associated with                   local authorities and the Environment Agency and/or Natural
                                                                                                                                     recognise that in the longer-term epochs there is likely to be a
 coastal processes and helps to reduce these                                                                                         requirement for significant decisions affecting choices around
                                                                Resources Wales (NRW) following guidance from the
                                                                                                                                     the most appropriate and sustainable choices at those
  risks to people and the developed historic                    Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra).
                                                                                                                                     locations.
                                                                All of the SMPs across England and Wales are detailed on the
           and natural environment”                             following page in Figure 3.                                          It is important to note that where a SMP policy has
Shoreline management plan guidance Volume 1, Defra, 2006                                                                             determined a policy which requires intervention, such as
                                                                The SMPs identify the most sustainable approach to managing
                                                                                                                                     investment in existing or enhanced defences when ‘hold the
                                                                the flood and coastal erosion risks to the coastline and support
                                                                                                                                     line’ has been determined, or movement of the defences in a
                                                                efforts to prepare for future sea level rises and increased
                                                                                                                                     ‘managed realignment’ situation, this does not mean that
                                                                likelihood of flooding caused by severe weather events over a
 SMP Policy          Definition                                                                                                      funding has been secured for this investment.
                                                                100-year period. They are non-statutory policy documents for
 No active           A decision not to invest in providing or
                                                                coastal defence management planning and are designed to              Future Asset Management
 intervention        maintaining coastal defences
                                                                take account of other existing planning initiatives and
 (NAI)                                                                                                                               It is key that Network Rail are involved in coordinating and
                                                                legislative requirements and are intended to inform wider
 Hold the line       Maintain or upgrade the standard of        strategic planning.                                                  aligning both strategic planning and asset management
 (HTL)               protection offered by existing                                                                                  against future changes in rising sea levels and the impact of
                     defences.                                  SMPs are not designed to set policy for anything other than          coastal changes on the railway. Especially because Network
 Managed             Allowing the shoreline to move             coastal defence management, but they are being utilised as           Rail is not a Coastal Protection Authority but sometimes act
 realignment         backwards or forwards, to realign the      the guidance which local authorities and other stakeholders are      as the first line of defence, even though the rail infrastructure
 (MR)                natural coastline configuration.           using for their future plans for communities, infrastructure and     was not built for this purpose. However, this leaves Network
 Advance the line    Building new defences on the seaward       land on the coast. A Coastal Group has been set up for each          Rail facing some difficult decisions as to the level of
 (A)                 side of the original defences.             SMP which is led by the leading local authority for that SMP,        maintenance that needs to be taken to railway assets where
                                                                and includes all key partners, infrastructure and land owners        additional resilience might be required because the asset is
Table 1: SMP Policy definitions.                                including NRW and Network Rail.                                      effectively a primary or lesser line of defence.
                                                                Initial SMPs (SMP1) were produced in the early 2000’s, then          Other more strategic challenges will also be faced in the
                                                                more recently a refresh was carried out (SMP2) which enabled         future where the shoreline management policy suggests a
                                                                the SMPs to take on lessons learnt and more detailed strategic       relocation of rail assets and/or other transport modes to serve
 SMP epoch             Periods                                  thinking and coastline monitoring.                                   the communities impacted.
 Epoch 1               Up to 2025                               Each SMP is divided into a number of geographical ‘policy
 Epoch 2               2026 – 2055                              units’ and forecast how these stretches of coastline are likely to
 Epoch 3               2056 – 2105                              be affected over three epochs – short term (0-20 years),
                                                                medium term (20-50 years) and long term (50-100 years). Each
Table 2: SMP epochs.                                            policy unit was then assigned one of four policies to be
                                                                implemented during each epoch.
                                                                Tables 1 and 2 on the left illustrate both the SMP policy
                                                                definitions and epochs in more detail.

                                                                                                                                                                                                    11
March 2020        Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

    Shoreline
    Management
    Plans cont.

For further information
The SMPs relevant to the coastal railway
assets of Wales & Borders, including links to
each are:
     •    SMP 19 Anchor Head to Lavernock
          Point (Severn Estuary). Lead:
          Monmouthshire Council.
     •    SMP 20 Lavernock Point to St
          Ann’s Head (South Wales). Lead:
          Carmarthenshire Council.
     •    SMP 21 St Ann’s Head to Great
          Ormes Head (West of Wales).
          Lead: Pembrokeshire Council.
     •    SMP 22 Great Ormes Head to
          Scotland (North West England
          and North Wales). Lead: Blackpool
          Borough Council.

                                                Figure 3: Shoreline Management Plan locations and lead local authorities, from the Environment Agency
                                                (Please note this map pre-dates NRW being established)

                                                                                                                                                                                           12
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

      Fairbourne

                                                                   Fairbourne
                                                                   History
                                                                   Fairbourne is a village located on the coastline of Cardigan Bay   Figure 4 shows the one in 10-year flood level according to
                                                                   in south west Gwynedd. It sits on an area of low-lying salt        predictions, rising as high as 4.7m above sea level in 2100, with
                                                                   marsh to the south of the estuary of the river Mawddach with       regular high tide predicted to be 3.5m above sea level.
                                                                   the Cardigan Bay coastline to the west and Snowdonia
                                                                                                                                      It was therefore deemed when the West of Wales Shoreline
                                                                   mountains to the east.
                                                                                                                                      Management Plan 2 was published in 2014, alongside
                                                                   The village developed following the arrival of the Cambrian        predictions and evidence from local monitoring, that in the
                                                                   Coast railway line in 1855 and a sea wall was built at the time.   future it will not be possible to maintain an acceptable
                                                                   Today the village is protected from the sea by a natural shingle   standard of protection, nor would it be sustainable or safe for
                                                                   bank which was reinforced with a crest wall in 1977 and            residents to remain in Fairbourne from 2054. This means that
                                                                   reinstated in 2019 at a cost of £1.2m following storm damage       flooding caused by climate change would impact the village
                                                                   5 years earlier. The village is protected from the estuary by a    sooner than other coastal communities across GB.
                                                                   tidal embankment that was last strengthened in 2013.
                                                                                                                                      This has resulted in the local authority coming together with
                                                                   The ground levels in Fairbourne are only around 2.5m above         key public bodies and partners, including Network Rail, to
      Figure 4: Future predicted sea level rise, taken             sea level and the average existing spring high tide level          produce a framework on addressing the complex issues the
      from ‘Fairbourne: A Framework for the future’                experienced several times in a year is 2.61m, meaning the          community now faces in the future. This has involved the
                                                                   village is highly dependent on the coastal and river flood         production of a Coastal Adaptation Masterplan which provides
                                                                   defences. However, predictions that sea levels will rise by        a roadmap for the changes needed, highlighting the steps and
                                                                   approx. 1m during spring tides and extreme weather events          decisions that will be required in the period to 2054.
                                                                   means it will become harder and costlier to protect the village,
                                                                   with increased risk to life should the defences fail.

                                                                                    Figure 6: Images of Fairbourne taken during low tide and during Storm Ciara – February 2020
Figure 5: A selection of recent headlines relating to Fairbourne

                                                                                                                                                                                                    13
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

 Fairbourne cont.

                                                                  What does this mean for the railway?                                 This means that due to the nature of railway scheme
                 Epoch    Epoch    Epoch   Comments                                                                                    development, planning for options will need to have ideally
                 1-       2-       3-                             The Cambrian Coast line has a station at Fairbourne which is         commenced by the start of Control Period 10 (CP10: 2039-43).
                 2025     2055     2105                           situated on an embankment behind the village. The station has        Before this it is important to understand these longer-term
                                                                  just over 40,000 passenger journeys per year and is the seventh      intentions in planning asset renewals in the area as renewals
 Ro Wen coast    HTL      MR       NAI     This would involve     busiest on the Cambrian Coast Line between Dovey Junction            can typically have a lifespan of at least 40 years, reiterating the
                                           relocation of          and Pwllheli. There is no question that a large proportion of        importance of aligning plans.
                                           property owners and    these passenger journeys are made by tourists staying in or
 Ro Wen Spit     MR       MR       NAI     businesses from        near the village and day visitors, and the consideration would       The importance of these considerations has been recognised
                                           Fairbourne.            need to be made if the village was relocated whether a station       by Gwynedd County Council in their SMP planning by having a
 Fairbourne      HTL      MR       NAI                            would still be required if the community and market it serves is     specific action to initiate a Cambrian Coast transport review
 Embankment                                                                                                                            with Network Rail and Welsh Government, recognising that
                                                                  no longer there. Other considerations would need to include
                                                                  whether transport provision would be required in the relocated       long term planning of the coastal line will be key in ensuring a
 Friog           HTL      HTL      HTL     This refers to the     settlement, and also what form of defence the railway would          collaborative aligned approach to planning for the future.
                                           railway line behind
                                                                  take once the ‘No Active Intervention’ approach is taken for
                                           Fairbourne.                                                                                 For further information
                                                                  the village.
                                                                                                                                       Fairbourne Moving Forward Site:
 Morfa           HTL      HTL      HTL     This would secure a    The policy in Table 3 which refers to the railway line is that for
 Mawddach                                  cut off defence to     Friog where the policies across the three epochs remain ‘Hold        http://fairbourne.info/
                                           the back of the area   the Line’, this is reflected in the SMP policy development by
                                           to the rear of Fegla   Gwynedd, recognising the important role of the railway but           Fairbourne: A Framework for the Future public consultation:
                                           Islands.
                                                                  also the positioning of the railway as a potential future defence    http://fairbourne.info/wp-
                                                                  if the existing sea defences fail once the Managed                   content/uploads/2019/10/Fairbourne-
 Fegla           HTL      MR       MR      Local consideration    Realignment approach and relocation commences in epoch 2
                                           would be given to                                                                           AFrameworkfortheFuture.pdf
                                                                  (2055). It is worth noting this could result in the railway
                                           defence of
                                           properties on the      becoming potentially a primary or lesser coastal defence, a
                                           Fegla Islands and to   purpose it does not currently fulfil in that location.
                                           Arthog.
                                                                  It is also important to note that where any intervention is
                                                                  required to the railway infrastructure in and around Fairbourne,
 Key: HTL – Hold the line; A – Advance the line; NAI – No         funding above and beyond planned operations, maintenance
 active intervention; MR – Managed realignment                    and renewals has not been secured and will need to be sought
                                                                  depending on what the recommended outcome will be. This
Table 3: SMP2 policy recommendations from Friog Cliffs to         would include the cost of relocating the station or enhancing
Arthog. Taken from the West of Wales SMP.                         defences, if appropriate.

                                                                                                                                                                                                       14
March 2020          Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

 Conwy Valley Line

                                                           The Conwy Valley Line is a relevant example of where the              During the reinstatement in 2019, engineers campaigned to
                                                           Wales and Borders Route has experienced the effects of                make the new infrastructure more resilient. The additional
                                                           extreme whether events and rising sea levels.                         culverts and embankments were built to modern standards to
                                                                                                                                 be resilient throughout their entire design life of approximately
                                                           The Conwy Valley Line runs between Llandudno Junction and             30 years, to cope with current and future weather events.
                                                           Blaenau Ffestiniog, which is not located on the coast line, yet is    Engineers requested funding for further resilience work to other
                                                           still feeling the effects of extreme weather and rising sea levels.   parts of the line, but funding was not available at the time.
                                                           The Conwy Valley Line is prone to flooding and has seen flood
                                                           events in 2004, 2005, 2008, 2015, 2017, 2019 and 2020.                However, the Conwy Valley Line was impacted again by Storms
                                                           Previous information and predictions indicate that frequency          Ciara and Dennis in February 2020. While the impact of these
                                                           and extent of flooding will worsen with the impact of climate         storms was not as significant as Storm Gareth in 2019, they did
                                                           change.                                                               nevertheless cause significant damage to parts of the line
                                                                                                                                 which were not made more resilient in 2019 following Storm
                                                           The Conwy Valley Line has a history of washouts, including in         Gareth. This resulted in the line having to close for remedial
                                                           the 1980s which led to permanent speed restrictions that were         works with subsequent impact on passengers and the
                                                           still in place until recently when some speeds were reinstated        communities the railway serves. Network Rail are working on a
Figure 7: Washout in 2019 after Storm Gareth               during the 2019 repairs following storm Gareth as detailed            design, based on the successful works of 2019 which can be
                                                           below. However, in more recent times, the Conwy Valley Line           implemented on parts of the line which were impacted by
                                                           has experienced more washouts, and in shorter successions. At         Storms Ciara and Dennis; funding is currently being sought for
                                                           the beginning of 2017, the Conwy Valley Line was washed out           this activity.
                                                           following Storm Doris. Extensive works were required to
                                                           reinstate and repair the line which meant that the line was
                                                           closed to passengers for a couple of months. These works cost
                                                           approximately £6m, which reinstated the line to its original
                                                           state, with no investment for resilience.
                                                           Two years later in 2019, the Conwy Valley Line experienced
                                                           extreme weather again following Storm Gareth. This storm
                                                           created high tides and a low-pressure system, which led to a
                                                           record amount of rainfall. The damage was extensive with six
                                                           miles of track, two stations and eight level crossings requiring
                                                           significant repair; this meant that the line was closed again, for
                                                           four months. These significant reactive works cost
                                                           approximately £12m, double the cost of the repairs undertaken
                                                           in 2017.
                                                           An important aspect of the 2019 repairs to the Conwy Valley
                                                           Line was sustainability and the use of local suppliers and
                                                           materials. 9,500 tonnes of rock armour and 3,000 tonnes of
                                                           ballast were used from nearby quarries. Also, all vegetation and
Figure 8: Reinstatement works in 2019 after Storm Gareth
                                                           tree stumps were donated to a local recycling centre to create
                                                           biomass, 91% of washout materials were recycled and
                                                           approximately 5,000 tonnes of topsoil were reused on these
                                                           sites. This is an innovative solution to reduce the railways
                                                           contribution to further climate change, which is a large
                                                           contributor in the increase of extreme weather events.                                                                               15
March 2020          Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Old Colwyn Sea Wall

                                            The Old Colwyn sea wall is a coastal defence, most of which is         CCBC contacted NR again towards the end of 2019, following
                                            owned and maintained by Conwy County Borough Council                   information that the sea wall is deteriorating and becoming
                                            (CCBC) and part by Network Rail. CCBC are concerned with the           more vulnerable due to increased frequency and severity of
                                            condition of this structure and categorised it as high risk, due       coastal storms. CCBC have been carrying out reactive
                                            to the sea wall protecting critical infrastructure for the             maintenance on their part of the sea wall but have noted that
                                            sustainability of North Wales. Increasing severity and                 collaboration is needed to protect the structure. Network Rail
                                            frequency of storm events, combined with the lowering of               will continue to look at ways in which we can work with the local
                                            beach levels, has left the wall susceptible to scour, damage and       authority to undertake renewal work that will also include
                                            leading to washout of materials and voiding. However,                  assessment of how we can improve in the structure.
                                            Network Rail is not concerned about the condition of the
                                            structure, which is monitored regularly, and maintenance and
                                            reactive work is carried out as required; like in March 2019.
                                            CCBC applied for funding from Welsh Government to progress
                                            with a scheme for a rock revetment structure to protect the
                                            frontage during storm events; however, grant funding has not
                                            been able to be secured. The scheme was not granted funding
                                            as it did not meet the required criteria of grant funding, the
                                            main driver being the number of properties it protects from
                                            flooding and coastal erosion. Welsh Government indicated that
                                            if other stakeholders, like Network Rail, are willing to contribute,
                                            Welsh Government will fund up to 75% of grant funding
                                            through their Coastal Risk Management Programme.
                                            However, Network Rail only has responsibility for the
                                            maintenance and inspection for part of the frontage. Work was
                                            undertaken by Network Rail in 2014 to the cost of £800,000 to
                                            replenish rock armour along with other works, including works
                                            to the public steps. Subsequent inspection in 2016 found that
                                            the asset was still in a fair condition with little deterioration
                                            from the inspection and works undertaken in 2014. There was
 Figure 9: Damage to Old Colwyn promenade
                                            only a slight worsening in isolated areas, which is expected to
                                            be addressed within CP6 with £1.2m of investment, and in
                                            total, £21m being investment on all coastal assets. Inspectors
                                            also indicate that it will take between 17 and 25 years before
                                            the structure deteriorates to a poor condition. However,
                                            because Network Rail is only funded to operate, maintain and
                                            renew its own infrastructure works, which are identified at the
                                            start of each control period, it is difficult for NR to allocate
                                            already committed funds to external third-party schemes. NR
                                            informed CCBC of this in 2018.

                                                                                                                                                                                 16
March 2020   Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

AssetCoast

                                                                                                                         A key example of where the Wales and Borders Route is
                                                                                                                         improving their response to extreme weather and impacts on
                                                                                                                         assets is through the use of the AssetCoast, an award-winning
                                                                                                                         asset management tool which has been produced by Network
                                                                                                                         Rail Wales and Borders Route and JBA Consulting to manage
                                                                                                                         coastal assets. It was created due to the route having the
                                                                                                                         largest number of coastal assets in Network Rail, covering a
                                                                                                                         length of 34 miles and following the acknowledgement that NR
                                                                                                                         needed to improve their knowledge and management of
                                                                                                                         coastal assets.
                                                                                                                         AssetCoast assesses the physical condition of the assets,
                                                                                                                         seeking to provide a long-term plan for coastal assets, helping
                                                                                                                         monitor their condition, build risk profiles, plan minor and
                                                                                                                         major intervention works, record works that have been carried
                                                                                                                         out and update inspection regimes. This allows asset managers
                                                                                                                         to flag and prioritise assets rather than using the usual cyclical
                                                                                                                         inspections, which has reduced the number of annual detailed
                                                                                                                         inspections and improves worker safety. Information can be
                                                                                                                         viewed by Network Rail and external structural engineers and
                                                                                                                         contractors including; condition score which aligns with Natural
                                                                                                                         Resources Wales’ scoring, location, access to structures, current
                                                                                                                         and historic defects and which shoreline management policy
                                                                                                                         the asset is under. It also assesses the wider risks posed by
                                                                                                                         coastal processes by providing an alert and warning system for
                                                                                                                         assets five days in advance and identifies the assets most at
                                                                                                                         risk from storm events.
                                                                                                                         AssetCoast represents a step change within Network Rail to
                                                                                                                         manage coastal assets, to ensure a truly holistic approach with
                                                                                                                         asset information that is always up-to-date. It has proven
                                                                                                                         beneficial to provide a collaborative, proactive management of
                                                                                                                         Network Rail’s coastal assets, to help reduce the risk of future
                                                                                                                         devastating damage to our railway. However, this is currently
                                                                                                                         only used for coastal assets, the aim is to create a platform
                                                                                                                         which includes all railway assets. Asset Managers are further
                                                                                                                         understanding how to wider share AssetCoast’s information,
                                                                                                                         collaborating with other public bodies like Natural Resources
                                                                                                                         Wales, Local Authorities and the Welsh Coastal Monitoring
                                                                                                                         Centre to align activities and funding to reduce disruptions to
                                                                                                                         the public.
Figure 10: An extract from AssetCoast identifying key assets

                                                                                                                                                                                        17
March 2020        Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Rail industry funding

                        Network Rail is funded by the Department for Transport (DfT)      The RNEP process follows the Government Green Book Five
                        to operate, maintain and renew the railway in five-year cycles;   Case Model, with the cases and questions they seek to answer
                        control periods. This settlement does not including funding for   detailed below:
                        enhancing infrastructure which is described below.
                                                                                          •    Strategic: does the scheme have the right strategic fit?
                        For renewal of assets, funding provision enables Network Rail
                        to renew assets on a like for like basis to modern equivalent     •    Economic: does the scheme maximise public value to
                        standards. Assets are identified and prioritised prior to the          society?
                        control period and put into a five-year work bank, alongside      •    Commercial: is the scheme commercially viable?
                        any reactive works. However, asset management teams,
                        especially the geotechnical team, have aspirations to build a     •    Financial: is the scheme affordable?
                        work bank which considers resilience of assets, focusing of
                        vulnerable areas such as the Severn Estuary and the Cambrian      •    Management: can the scheme be successfully delivered?
                        Coast Line.                                                       Alternatively, funding can also be secured through other
                        Enhancement of the network to deliver improvements such as        avenues, such as third parties (local and regional authorities),
                        increased network capacity, improved journey times and            Welsh Government and passenger and freight train operating
                        improved resilience would generally require additional specific   companies.
                        funding over and above that included in the five-year spending    However, the challenge at locations such as the Conwy Valley
                        settlement for OMR (Ops, Maintenance and Renewal), as             Line will be to make the case to enhance the network to provide
                        explained above. Therefore, this means that enhancement           greater resilience that will reduce future renewal and
                        funding requires the case for investment to be made, following    reinstatement costs following further extreme weather events
                        governments appraisal criteria such as WelTAG (Welsh              in the longer term.
                        Government) and WebTAG (UK Government) to fund any
                        incremental enhancements. The main mechanism for                  Additional information:
                        enhancement funding is through the DfT’s Rail Network
                                                                                          RNEP Guidance –
                        Enhancement Pipeline (RNEP) process. There are five stages
                                                                                          https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rail-network-
                        within the RNEP process to achieve enhancement funding;
                                                                                          enhancements-pipeline
                        demonstrated in Figure 11 below with decisions to proceed
                        following each step to be undertaken before a scheme is           The Green Book –
                        accepted and delivered.                                           https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/s
                                                                                          ystem/uploads/attachment_data/file/685903/The_Green_Bo
                                                                                          ok.pdf

                          Figure 11: The Rail Network Enhancement Pipeline Process

                                                                                                                                                       18
March 2020         Network Rail: Understanding the impact of the Shoreline Management Plans on the railway across Wales & Borders

Pilot research and study
area:
Cardigan Bay and the                    Shoreline Planning in Cardigan Bay
                                        In commencing this study, initial discussions were held
                                                                                                           The Cambrian Railway line
                                                                                                           The railway provides a key transport link in the Cardigan Bay

Cambrian Coast Line                     between Network Rail (NR) and Gwynedd County Council
                                        regarding their progress in responding to the Shoreline
                                                                                                           alongside the highway and bus network.
                                                                                                           The Cambrian Line runs from Shrewsbury to Dovey Junction,
                                        Management Plans (SMPs) in their area. The local authority is
                                                                                                           via Machynlleth then splits with the south branch running via
                                        keen to progress plans in collaboration with key organisations
                                                                                                           Borth to Aberystwyth; and the north branch – the Cambrian
                                        such as NR and were happy to support in the production of this
                                                                                                           Coast Line, follows the Cardigan Bay coast via Barmouth and
                                        interim report.
                                                                                                           Porthmadog to Pwllheli. It is primarily a single line railway with
                                        Gwynedd County Council have already progressed planning in         passing loops.
                                        their area, not least due to the potential impact the changing
                                                                                                           Services on the Cambrian operate on a two-hourly frequency
                                        shoreline and SMP policies are likely to have on their coastal
                                                                                                           continuing beyond Shrewsbury to Birmingham International,
                                        communities across the three epochs.
                                                                                                           with hourly services between Aberystwyth and Shrewsbury at
                                        The SMP which relates to Gwynedd County Council is a               certain times of the day. Transport for Wales have plans to
                                        particular section of the West of Wales Shoreline Management       operate a consistent hourly service between Aberystwyth and
                                        Plan: Coastal Area D. This is illustrated in Figure 13 on the      Shrewsbury throughout the day from the end of 2022 and
                                        following page.                                                    there are also plans to run additional weekend services on the
                                                                                                           Cambrian Coast Line in the summer to serve the vital tourism
                                        Each SMP is broken down into a number of ‘Coastal Areas’ and       and leisure market in the region.
                                        is then broken down further for ease of planning. This process
                                        is explained in Appendix A.                                        Railway investment planned in the area includes:
                                        Coastal Area D of the West of Wales SMP covers the coastline       • a new station north of Aberystwyth at Bow Street, opening
                                        of Cardigan Bay, stretching from Sarn Gynfelyn, north of             in 2020, funded jointly by the Department for Transport
                                        Aberystwyth, to Trwyn Cilan, south of Abersoch. The area             (DfT) and Welsh Government (WG);
                                        covers the major estuaries of the Dyfi, Dysynni and the            • Machynlleth station to benefit from investment in
                                        Mawddach, as well as the southern shoreline of the Llyn              upgraded facilities and tourism link after being identified
                                        Peninsula. There are settlements across the area, including key      in Transport for Wales’ station flagship programme;
                                        developments such as Machynlleth and Dolgellau at the head         • a new fleet of trains from the end of 2022 which will be
                                        of the Dovey, and others situated at the mouths of the               serviced and maintained at the depot at Machynlleth; and
                                        estuaries including Aberdyfi, Tywyn, Barmouth, Porthmadog          • the upgrade of the Grade II listed Victorian timber viaduct
                                        and Harlech.                                                         at Barmouth over the River Mawddach is taking place in
                                        The area has an economy based on tourism with many visitors          Control Period 6 (CP6).
                                        attracted to both the beaches and mountains, particularly with
                                        the adjacent Snowdonia National Park. Also nearby are the
Figure 12: The Cambrian Coast railway   universities of both Aberystwyth and Bangor resulting in a
                                        number of students either visiting or living in the Cardigan Bay
                                        area.

                                                                                                                                                                          19
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