Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021

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Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
Card
Factory
FY21 Full-Year
Results
10 June 2021

                 Celebrate life’s moments
Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
Agenda

    01   Introduction              Darcy Willson-Rymer

    02
         Financial Performance &
                                   Kris Lee
         Business Update

    03   Outlook                   Darcy Willson-Rymer

    04   Q&A                       Darcy Willson-Rymer & Kris Lee

1
Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
Section 1

Introduction

Darcy Willson-Rymer

2
Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
Views after my first three months…
      An exciting time to join Card Factory
      Positive first impressions
      Opportunity to do and mean more for our customers

    …and my aspirations for Card Factory
             Strengthening the brand and customer experience
             Deliver great products at excellent value, conveniently
             Be recognised as a rewarding and responsible business

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Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
Solid platform in place from which to take Card
                    Factory forward

          Powerful brand           Large and stable market         Business model, with
          proposition that         with clear opportunities      vertical integration, offers
           resonates with          for growth – majority of        distinct and valuable
           customers and          sales still made in physical    competitive advantage
             colleagues                       stores

                                                 Opportunity to become an
                    Strong culture across
                                                 omnichannel business that
                     the business, and an
                                                 puts quality and value cards
                    excellent operational
                                                  in the hands of customers
                     management team
                                                  wherever they want them

4
Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
Demonstrated resilience through Covid-19

• Priority throughout to look after colleagues and customers’
  welfare
• Trading recovered consistently well after lockdowns 1 and 2
• Agile response to meet changing trends in demand in store
  and online
• Good online progress with developing the online platform
• Successful refinance post-year end provides sufficient
  resources for future growth

5
Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
Section 02

FY21
Financial
performance and
business update
Kris Lee

6
Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
Financial summary
                                                                  FY21             FY20             YoY

Revenue                                                        £285.1m          £451.5m           (36.9%)
                                                                                                                c.5 month store closures spanned key seasonal events
Card Factory LFL            1
                                                                  0.1%            (0.5%)          0.6 ppts      including Mother’s Day and Christmas
Card Factory Store LFL1                                          (2.4%)           (0.7%)         (1.7 ppts)
                                                                                                                High growth in Card Factory online and Getting Personal
Stores                                                            1,016           1,022              (6)        websites, particularly during non-essential store closures
Card Factory Online growth                                      135.3%            14.8%         120.5 ppts
                                                                                                                Partnerships with The Reject Shop (TRS) and Aldi
Retail Partnership Revenue                                       £5.6m            £3.1m            83.3%        progressing well
Underlying EBITDA                                               £47.0m          £125.9m           (62.7%)
                                                                                                                LFL sales reflect customers shopping less but buying more
Underlying Profit before Tax                                   (£15.2m)          £67.2m          (122.6%)
Underlying basic EPS                                         (3.7) pence 15.7 pence              (123.6%)       £4.7m increase in stock provision additional to PBT
                                                                                                                guidance (Jan 2021)
Total ordinary dividend (per share)                                  -          2.9 pence        (100.0%)
Capex                                                            £7.4m           £14.5m            48.9%        Financial targets to FY25 will be adjusted to reflect Covid
                                                                                                                impact
Net Debt (ex lease liabilities)                                £107.7m          £143.1m            24.7%
Leverage (ex lease liabilities)                                   2.3 x            1.1 x

    1 LFLs for store sales include only the equivalent 55% of the year that Card Factory stores were open for
    trading in FY21 v 20; online LFL is full year vs full year
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Card Factory FY21 Full-Year Results - 10 June 2021
LFL sales
Post Lockdown 1 stores-only LFL steadily                    Total Card Factory LFL Performance
recovered from -25% to +2% by the start of October
   Average basket spend was +25% over the
   period to October                                 2.8%              2.9%
   Transactions were -43% LFL and increased to
   -20% over the same period

Post Lockdown 2 saw similar recovery patterns;
stores-only LFL steadily recovered from +2% to
+18% with seasonal sales condensed into a shorter
Christmas trading period
                                                               0.6%
   Average basket spend was +29% LFL and                                                         0.1%
                                                                               (0.1)%
   remained consistent through to closure                                               (0.5)%
   Transactions were -27% LFL and increased to
   -17% over the same period

                                                     FY16      FY17    FY18    FY19     FY20     FY21

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Divisional Analysis
Stores                                    FY21           FY20            YoY          Online                                 FY21           FY20             YoY
Revenue                                 £251.9m         £429.0m         (41.3)%       www.cardfactory.co.uk                 £11.1m          £4.7m        135.3%

    Consolidation and evolution of the store portfolio in line with changing          www.gettingpersonal.co.uk             £16.5m         £14.7m            12.2%
    shopping habits: 15 unprofitable stores closed and 9 new stores opened in         Total online revenue                  £27.6m         £19.4m            42.0%
    out-of-town retail parks resulting in net 6 store reduction to 1,016 stores at
    year end
                                                                                      Traffic was up 27% & Conversion Growth 1% in the year
    We anticipate future store openings to reflect a gradual shift to retail parks,
    with increased focus on the existing estate                                       Improved offering with new digital platform & Mobile app launched in
                                                                                      January 2021
    Commercial initiatives delivered incremental sales through targeted price
    increases and range reviews                                                       Ongoing costs of customer acquisition and promotional-led competitor
                                                                                      pricing
    Mother’s Day, Father’s Day and Christmas Day all heavily impacted by
    lockdown store closures                                                           Fulfilment capacity constraints limited sales in peak seasons

    Data-led insight to ensure ranges tailored to customer demand in each store       Partnerships                            FY21          FY20             YoY
    location beginning to show benefit
                                                                                      Revenue                                £5.6m          £3.1m            83.3%

                                                                                         Increased total locations from 869 to 894
                                                                                         Strong Aldi performance; TRS & Matalan impacted by Covid-19
                                                                                         Ongoing Matalan trial
                                                                                         Franchise arrangements in Jersey, Guernsey and Gibraltar performing well,
                                                                                         and a fourth franchise opened on the Isle of Man in Sept 2020

9
Margins
COGS:                                                                                           FY21 %              FY20 %
- Product COGS (card and non-card) improved by 0.3 ppts                                FY21        of      FY20        of        YoY
  at constant currency;                                                                         Revenue             Revenue
- Stock provision increased by £18.1m
                                                              COGS                    £116.9m    41.0%    £152.7m    33.8%    (7.2 ppts)
Store wages:
- Underlying increase driven by NLW;                          Store Wages             £59.7m     20.9%    £87.7m     19.4%    (1.5 ppts)
- Net of £27.5m CJRS support                                  Store Property Costs     £9.6m     3.4%     £26.5m     5.9%      2.5 ppts
Other direct expenses:                                        Other Direct Expenses   £18.3m     6.4%     £22.9m     5.1%     (1.3 ppts)
- Ratio to sales impacted by non-variable property and
  other store costs                                           Cost of Sales           £204.5m    71.7%    £289.8m    64.2%    (7.5 ppts)
- Largely mitigated by reduced external storage costs
                                                              Operating Expenses      £33.6m     11.8%    £35.8m     7.9%     (3.9 ppts)
- Government support through rates relief £18.1m
                                                              Underlying EBITDA       £47.0m     16.5%    £125.9m    27.9%    (11.4 ppts)
Operating expenses:
- Full year costs for new warehousing facilities, offset by
  savings in storage costs within Other direct expenses;
- Further investment in IT infrastructure and Online
  support, including new platform

Rents fully accrued on deferred payment terms

10
Free cash flow
                                                                  FY21      FY20        YoY

Profit before tax                                               (£16.4m)   £65.2m     (£81.6m)
     Net finance expense                                         £8.9m      £8.4m
     Depreciation, amortisation and IFRS16 asset impairments     £53.3m    £52.8m
     Loss on disposal, share based payments & hedging reserve    £0.7m      £0.4m
Operating cash flow before working capital                      £46.5m     £126.8m    (£80.3m)
     Net working capital movement                                £33.4m    (£2.0m)
     Corporation tax                                             (£6.3m)   (£14.6m)
     Capex                                                       (£7.5m)   (£14.5m)
     Disposal proceeds                                           £0.5m      £0.4m
     Lease liability payments                                   (£22.1m)   (£41.0m)
     Net interest paid                                           (£8.4m)   (£8.0m)
Free cash flow                                                  £36.1m     £47.1m     (£11.0m)
     Dividends                                                      -      (£48.9m)
     Repayment of borrowings                                    (£25.6m)      -
Net cash flow                                                   £10.5m     (£1.8m)    £12.3m

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Underlying cashflow & Net debt
                                           FY21      FY20      YoY
Net Debt (ex lease liabilities)           £107.7m   £143.1m   £35.4m

Timing benefits in FY21:
                        VAT deferral      £19.0m
                  Property deferrals      £21.0m                       These 2 timing benefits, totalling £40m,
                                  Total   £40.0m                       will fully unwind during FY22
Underlying Cash Outflow in FY21           (£4.6m)

12
Capex                                                            FY21 capex
                                      FY21    FY20      YoY
                                                                   Capex remains tightly controlled to protect the
 One-off strategic projects
                                                                   business
     HHTs – stock take terminals      £1.1m     -      (£1.1m)
                                                                   Continued key strategic investments to support 5 year
     Vertical integration             £0.6m   £4.1m    £3.5m       plan including:
     Web platforms and mobile app     £1.4m   £2.0m    £0.5m       – ERP implementation
                                                                   – Supply chain technology
     Commercial initiatives / other   £0.4m   £0.9m    £0.6m
                                                                   Ongoing investment in store estate
     Supply chain technology          £0.7m   £0.7m    (£0.0m)
     EPOS & ERP                       £0.8m   £0.0m    (£0.8m)
     Sub-total                        £5.0m   £7.7m    £2.7m     FY22 guidance
 Recurring                                                        Capex anticipated to be £10m - £13m in FY22
     New stores                       £1.2m   £4.1m    £2.9m      A more rationalised capital programme than presented at
                                                                  CMD, but continued careful prioritisation of key initiatives
     Existing stores & Covid-safe     £0.6m   £0.7m    £0.2m      important to the Group’s long-term strategic objectives,
     Relocations                      £0.1m   £0.7m    £0.6m      including:
     IT recurring                     £0.6m   £0.7m    £0.0m      – Ecommerce platforms
                                                                  – Boosting online fulfilment capacity
     Other                              -     £0.6m    £0.7m      – SAP implementation phase 1 progressing well to
     Sub-total                        £2.5m   £6.8m    £4.4m         launch this year
 Total capex                          £7.4m   £14.5m   £7.1m      Postponement of a proportion of the new store roll out
                                                                  and relocation programme

13
New £225m debt facilities agreed May 2021      Capital investment tightly controlled
            Revolving Credit Facility of £100m,            and focused on key projects that
                                                           remain important to the Group’s long-

Liquidity
            maturing in September 2023 (with provision
            for potential extension)                       term strategic objectives
            £75m Term Loan and £50m CLBILS

update      Replacement covenants from May 2021 to
            March 2022:
                                                           The Board intends to prioritise de-
                                                           leveraging the business
            - Total net debt* (to March 22)
                                                           The focus is on maintaining a capital
            - LTM underlying EBITDA* (to March 22)
                                                           structure that is conservative yet
            - Interest Cover (from April 22)
                                                           efficient in providing long-term returns
            - Leverage (from April 22)
                                                           to shareholders

            Other agreed terms:
                                                           The Group’s Capital Policy is under
            - Equity distribution prohibited until Term
                                                           review as trading conditions become
               Loans and CLBILS repaid
                                                           clearer
            - Best efforts to raise £70m net equity by
               July 22, or alternatively to prepay £70m                     * On a pre-IFRS 16 basis
               using funding from other subordinated
               sources

FY22
            FY22 has suffered from store closures for      Given the uncertain economic backdrop,
            the first 2½ months, and is a period for the   further financial guidance will be given
            business to stabilise                          once trading performance has stabilised

guidance
                                                           and can be assessed
            Further periods of mandatory store closure
            may be imposed; we are prepared to
14          protect the business, should that arise
Section 03

Outlook

Darcy Willson-Rymer

15
Five year strategy to grow the business
      launched in 2020
     Helping customers celebrate their life moments –
          Affordable and available for everyone.              Key Priorities

01        Winning card-led retail proposition           Develop and     Strengthen
                                                        optimise the      online
                                                        store estate    proposition

02
          Available in more places, however
          customers shop
                                                         Build scale   Create platform
                                                          through      for sustainable
                                                        partnerships       growth
03
          Advantaged, robust and scalable central
          model

16
Update on current trading
• Store closures in first 2.5 months of FY22 spanning Valentine’s and Mother’s
  Days

• Strong initial pent up demand has settled with materially lower footfall but
  increased average basket values

• Online sales reduced in line with reopening, encouragingly ahead of pre-
  pandemic levels

• Continued focus on everyday and range updates and delivering successful
  2021 Father’s Day and Christmas

• 2 year LFL from April 2021 reopening to 30 May 2021 was –2.9%

• Card Factory transaction volumes in line with BRC national footfall
  performance over the same period
17
Solid platform in place from which to take Card
                     Factory forward

           Powerful brand           Large and stable market         Business model, with
           proposition that         with clear opportunities      vertical integration, offers
            resonates with          for growth – majority of        distinct and valuable
            customers and          sales still made in physical    competitive advantage
              colleagues                       stores

                                                  Opportunity to become an
                     Strong culture across        omnichannel business that
                      the business, and an        puts quality and value cards
                     excellent operational         in the hands of customers
                      management team              wherever they want them
                                                  and growing market share

18
Section 05

Q&A
Darcy Willson-Rymer
& Kris Lee

19
Thank you
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