Hotel Market Snapshot Italy - pwc.com/it

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Hotel Market Snapshot Italy - pwc.com/it
Hotel Market
Snapshot Italy

                 pwc.com/it
Hotel Investments (€m)
In 2020, hotel investments                   3,500

recorded a decrease of 75%
                                             3,000                                                                            -75%
compared to the previous year.
                                                                                                                       Var% 20vs19
The volume invested in 2019,
                                             2,500
which was the best year on record
for hotel investments in Italy               2,000
thanks in part to the Belmond
                                                                                                                            +23%
portfolio transaction, reached               1,500                                                                 Var% H1 21vs20
around €3.3bn, while in 2020
investments were just under €1bn.            1,000
For the first half of 2021, hotel                                                                                             510
investments reached €510 mln,                 500
c. 20% above investments for the
same period in 2020, showing                        0
                                                        2014    2015      2016       2017        2018      2019     2020    H1 2021
positives signs of recovery.

The majority of hotel transactions in the first half of 2021 were executed by international private equity investors,
snapping up properties in Venice and Florence, which are traditional hotel investment markets along with Rome
and Milan.
                                                                                                            Investor        Investor
Date      Property Name       City        Category      Keys   Buyer                 Seller
                                                                                                            type            origin

                              Cortina                          Attestor Capital
Jun-21    Hotel Cristallo                 5-stars       72                           Paolo Gualandi         Private equity International
                              d’Ampezzo                        LLP

Jun-21    Hotel M89           Milan       4-stars       55     Star Gestion Srl      Torre Sgr              Private equity National

          Toscana Resort      Montaione                        Incorp Holdings
May-21                                    5-stars       151                          TUI                    Family office   International
          Castelfalfi         (Tuscany)                        B.V. (Lohia Family)

                                                               ECE European
          Bonvecchiati
May-21                        Venice      5-stars       191    Lodging Recovery      Eligio Paties          JV              International
          Complex
                                                               Fund

          NH Anglo
Apr-21                        Florence    4-stars       115    Oaktree               Immobiliare Uno Srl    Private equity International
          American Hotel

          Hilton Florence
Apr-21                        Florence    4-stars       212    Pygmalion Capital     Millenaria Srl         Private equity International
          Metropole

          Hilton Garden Inn
Apr-21                        Florence    4-stars       121    Pygmalion Capital     Millenaria Srl         Private equity International
          Florence Novoli

          Baglioni Hotel
Feb-21                        Venice      5-stars       93     Reuben Brothers       Baglioni Hotels        Private equity International
          Luna

                                                                                     Star Hotel, Feidos,
          The Pantheon                                         InvestiRE SGR
Nov-20                        Rome        5-stars       79                           York Capital, DeA      Institutional   National
          Iconic Rome                                          SpA
                                                                                     Capital Real Estate

          Dedica Anthology
Sep-20                        Various     Various       488    Covivio Hotels        Varde Partners         Institutional   International
          Portfolio 2020

                                                                                     Blue Skye
May-20    Bauer Palazzo       Venice      5-stars       210    Signa Group           Investment, Elliott    Private equity International
                                                                                     Management

          Ancora di Cortina   Cortina                          Red Circle
May-20                                    4-stars       49                           Cusinato family        Family office   National
          Hotel               d’Ampezzo                        Investments

Jan-20    Hotel La Palma      Capri       5-stars       72     Reuben Brothers       RBD Armatori           Private equity International
Tourism Demand
Italy before the pandemic recorded more than 400 million bednights evenly distributed between domestic and
international, which was cut in half during 2020 and mainly supported by national demand. The first 5 months of
2021 show that the market is still being supported by national demand.

                         500,000                                                                                                                4.0
                                                                                                 3.7
                                      3.5                                                 3.3
                                                     3.4           3.4         3.3                                                              3.5
                                                                                                                             3.2
                         400,000                                                                                                          3.0
                                                                                                                                                3.0
                                                                                                                       2.7
                                                                                                                                                2.5
                         300,000
                                      49%           49%            50%         50%        51%

                                                                                                                                                      Avg Length of stay (days)
 Bednights (Thousands)

                                                                                                                                                2.0

                         200,000
                                                                                                                                                1.5
                                                                                                 31%
                                                                                                                                                1.0
                         100,000
                                      51%           51%            50%         50%        49%    69%                   53%
                                                                                                                             43%                0.5
                                                                                                                                      22%
                                                                                                                       47%
                              0                                                                                                                 0.0
                                      2015          2016           2017        2018       2019   2020              YTD May YTD May YTD May
                                                                                                                     2019    2020    2021
                                            Domestic                International
                                            AVG length of stay

Source: PwC analysis

Arrivals Forecasts (base = 2019)

Domestic tourism demand is expected to return to pre-pandemic levels by 2022, while the international demand
recovery is delayed until 2024.

 20%

                                                                                                                             16%
                                                                                                   12%
                                                                                                                                          2%
         0%                                                               5%
                                                                                                                (5%)

                                                                                      (18%)
                                   (21%)
(20%)

(40%)
                                                   (48%)

(60%)
                                            2021                               2022                      2023                      2024

                           Domestic                International

Source: PwC analysis
Recovery tracker
Main Italian Provinces

Across the 4 main Italian hotel markets, RevPAR performance in 2020 was severely impacted mainly from a substantial
decrease in occupancy. 2021 RevPAR is showing first signs of recovery from a rising ADR, although still below
pre-pandemic levels, as occupancy continues to remain low.

RevPAR Trend - YTD August Main Provinces Italy

180€
                                                                    -61%
160€                                                                Avg decrease RevPar
                                                                    2021 vs 2019
140€

120€

100€

 80€

 60€

 40€

 20€

  0€
                     Milan                       Rome                  Florence                        Venice
           2019              2020      2021

Occupancy Variation - YTD August Main Provinces Italy (Base=2019)
  40%                                                                                          -65%
                                                                                               Avg decrease Occupancy
  20%                                                                                          2021 vs 2019

   0%

 (20%)

 (40%)

 (60%)

 (80%)

(100%)
                        Milan                      Rome                  Florence                        Venice
              2020              2021

ADR Variation - YTD August Main Provinces Italy (Base=2019)

  40%                                                                               +5%
                                                                                    Avg increase ADR
  20%                                                                               2021 vs 2019

   0%

 (20%)

 (40%)

 (60%)

 (80%)

(100%)
                        Milan                      Rome                  Florence                        Venice
              2020              2021

Source: PwC analysis on AICA
Category trend in Italy

Throughout Italy, RevPAR performance across all categories in 2020 was severely impacted mainly from a substantial
decrease in occupancy. The 5-star category in 2021 is showing signs of recovery from a strong increase in ADR, while
performance in the 4-star and 3-star categories remains relatively flat.

RevPAR Trend - YTD August By Category Italy

350€
                                                                               -54%
300€                                                                           Avg decrease RevPar
                                                                               2021 vs 2019
250€

200€

150€

100€

 50€

  0€
                          5-star                                 4-star                      3-star
          2019            2020          2021

Occupancy Variation - YTD August By Category Italy (Base=2019)

  40%                                                                            -55%
                                                                                 Avg decrease Occupancy
  20%                                                                            2021 vs 2019

   0%

 (20%)

 (40%)

 (60%)

 (80%)

(100%)
                               5-star                                4-star                       3-star
              2020             2021

ADR Variation - YTD August By Category Italy (Base=2019)

  40%                                                                             -1%
                                                                                  Avg increase ADR
  20%                                                                             2021 vs 2019

   0%

 (20%)

 (40%)

 (60%)

 (80%)

(100%)
                               5-star                                4-star                          3-star
              2020             2021

Source: PwC analysis on AICA
Key takeaways

   Hotel investment volumes in 2020 in Italy    What is currently a winning proposition are seaside
were just under 1 bn euro, which is expected    destinations which are already showing positive signs of
 to be surpassed in 2021, returning towards     recovery as 2021 ADR returns to pre-pandemic levels
 levels recorded in 2016-2018, although still   along with an increasing occupancy. In fact, GOP margins
                                below 2019.     of seaside hotels catering to domestic demand remained
                                                mostly positive during 2020 while hotels in the main cities
                                                recorded losses.
    The majority of hotel transactions in
 the first half of 2021 were executed by
                                                        5-star hotels in drive-to seaside destinations, which
   international private equity investors,
                                                        are also easily accessible by international demand,
  snapping up properties in Venice and
                                                        are so far the recovery leaders.
     Florence, which are traditional hotel
  investment markets along with Rome
                               and Milan.
                                                                     There is a vibrant hotel pipeline as
                                                                     around 100 hotels with over 17,000
                                                                     new rooms are expected to enter the
    After the pandemic, there will be                                supply of which more than 65% are
     opportunities for underinvested                                 currently under refurbishment or
         hotels in strong locations to                               under development.
    receive a capital injection and to
 be repositioned and/or rebranded,
        especially the business hotel
       segment. Those situations are
  currently receiving special interest
   from value add/opportunistic real
     estate investors which have the
      capability to either invest in the
debt/equity structure or to purchase
                             the asset.
Contacts
Antonio Martino                      Federico Colacicchi
Partner - Real Estate Deals Leader   Partner - Transaction Services & Hospitality

+39 346 785 5519                     +39 349 821 7906
antonio.martino@pwc.com              federico.colacicchi@pwc.com

Christopher Haug                     Leone Recchi
Senior Manager                       Senior Manager

+39 345 021 4140                     +39 331 674 2081
christopher.haug@pwc.com             leone.recchi@pwc.com
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