ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand

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ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
ISSUE 1.
JUNE 2021
ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
Kia ora koutou katoa,
Welcome to our first edition of InfraRead, a monthly
newsletter designed to keep you up to date with key
happenings in the infrastructure space. In this dispatch:
is the government making strides toward a more joined
up approach to solving the dual challenges of climate
change and our infrastructure deficit; and which ball will
master juggler Grant Robertson toss in the air next?

Ngā mihi,
Claire Edmondson

                                                             I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   2
ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
CONTENTS
What’s on the policy horizon?                                              4
The Hon Grant Robertson’s second act                                       6
NEWS                                                                       9
 Water reform will create jobs and boost GDP                              10
 Government struggles to reliably prioritise projects                      11
 Long term thinking needed to lift our standard of living                 13
 Green light given to Bill which will encourage innovation                14

TEAM                                                                     15

                                                             I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   3
ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
What’s on the
policy horizon?
By Claire Edmondson, Chief Advisor

                                     I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   4
ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
The government faces a critical test in infrastructure in the next five years that
will burn as much financial capital and as much political goodwill as it can muster.
   In the last few weeks, with the             The Commission’s recent consultation
   Climate Commission’s final advice to        document on a national infrastructure
   the government sitting in the Prime         strategy has brought together several
   Minister’s in-tray and Te Waihanga’s        issues, such as climate change, that
   draft 30-year strategy about to arrive in   have previously been discussed
   Grant Robertson’s inbox, it has become      either in isolation or in parallel to one
   apparent the government is facing:          another. The consultation document
                                               steers clear of taking a stand on
   • A shortfall in capital to address         some of the more gnarly matters.
     the 30-year demands of                    Nonetheless, to see issues like value
     New Zealand under climate                 capture and a population strategy
     change and Three Waters                   being discussed in the same document
   • Pressure in the cities and                is encouraging. It demonstrates an
     regional centres where Three              attempt at a holistic approach to
     Waters makes sense in policy,             addressing our infrastructure woes.
     but not necessarily politically           More immediately, 2021-2022 has
   • Medium-term demands in public             shaped up to be a busy year, fast. We
     and private transport, with New           expect to see an exposure draft of
     Zealand Upgrade jumping nearly 30%        the Natural and Built Environment Bill
     in total capital in just 18 months        to be released in the third quarter for
                                               public submission potentially, work
   The issue of climate change has
                                               on the Strategic Planning and Climate
   very quickly taken centre stage. The
                                               Change Adaptation Bills will be initiated
   extensive work of the Climate Change
                                               in some form, the Three Waters Review
   Commission has generated much
                                               is gaining significant momentum, and
   debate and discussion. Infrastructure
                                               there will be an opportunity to get
   decisions will have a significant impact
                                               involved in and influence the review
   on climate change adaptation, mitigation
                                               into the future of local government.
   and resilience. While the government
   has used the COVID-19 pandemic to
   justify canning some critical projects
   from the New Zealand Upgrade
   Programme, we are encouraged to see
   the Infrastructure Commission giving
   climate change serious consideration.

                                                                        I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   5
ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
The Hon Grant
Robertson’s second act
By Owen Gill, Chief Executive

                                I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   6
ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
I often wonder what it must be like to work in Minister Grant Robertson’s
office. In the last few weeks, I suspect it has been like being a circus juggler.
The Finance and Infrastructure Minister has more balls in the air than perhaps
any minister since Bill Birch pushed through Think Big in the early 1980s.
   As Minister Robertson notches up            New Zealand Infrastructure Commission:
   his fourth Budget (2018 was his             Te Waihanga will present Minister
   first – it seems a long time ago            Robertson with its proposed 30-
   now), he has shepherded into life:          year strategy for New Zealand this
                                               September and is currently engaging
   • Three Waters, alongside                   on a consultation document. The
     Minister Nanaia Mahuta                    government will table the final
   • Te Waihanga, with assistance              strategy to Parliament before the end
     from then-ministers Shane                 of March 2022. Our pick is that the
     Jones and Phil Twyford                    September version of the strategy will
   • New Zealand Upgrade Programme             be 99% of the story – Te Waihanga
                                               and Minister Robertson will not
   • A proposed resurgence of rail
                                               want any surprises next March.
     and rolling stock-making in
     New Zealand, with assistance from         Expect to see Te Waihanga make
     Transport Minister Michael Wood           a strong play for the idea of lead
                                               infrastructure, which is identifying
   • A housing acceleration fund,
                                               and prioritising the big builds that
     with assistance from Housing
                                               produce significant results.
     Minister Megan Woods
                                               New Zealand fast fibre – which has
   • A renewed assessment of light             been a success in anyone’s
     rail for Auckland proposed to             books and an enormous credit
     report before Christmas.                  to Crown Infrastructure Partners
                                               and its contractors – is the
   On top of all that, he threw a few
                                               class-act in this regard.
   curveballs in Budget 2021 – $306
   million to rebuild Scott Base, and a
   $300 million fund to encourage the
   uptake of low-emissions vehicles.
   Some saw Scott Base coming, but
   the low-emissions vehicles piece was
   a surprise. Three Waters received an
   additional $296 million, to take the
   total available to just $1.1 billion.

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ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
Finessing delivery
 The big question for Minister Robertson     In the 1990s, then UK Prime Minister
 – who is proving to be remarkably           Tony Blair had a group of senior officials
 adept at juggling – is what next?           who worked on what was known as
 With the assistance of a handful of         Deliverology – the art of taking an
 others, he has catalysed a lot of action    approved piece of policy and getting
 in a short time. He must now be thinking    action on the ground. Indeed, Sir
 about his second act and what he can        Michael Barber, Blair’s deliverology
 do in the remainder of this term. As Te     leader, went on to make an entire school
 Waihanga opens consultation on its          of thought out of the subject. Delivery
 strategy, here’s our summary of Minister    is one of Minister Robertson’s most
 Robertson’s medium-term choices:            problematic areas. The government
                                             will raise its capital investment to near-
Private capital or not?                      record levels in the following year, but
 PPPs have proved to be a vexed              – as the national budget shows – the
 thing for this government. One of the       government is increasingly caught
 Minister’s tasks is to figure out how       between rising project costs, skills
 the government can accept more              shortages, and a lack of prioritisation.
 private capital. Budget 2021 shows
 the government’s balance sheet will
 be stretched right through to 2028
 or so, which means the minister
 has little room to raise capital via
 the government’s own means.

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ISSUE 1. JUNE 2021 - Infrastructure New Zealand
NEWS

       I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   9
Water reform will create
jobs and boost GDP
Three Waters Reform Programme
   On 2 June, the Department of
   Internal Affairs (DIA) released a            and metropolitan councils, bills could
   second tranche of evidence-based             reach between $1,700 and $3,500
   reports, commissioned to inform              per annum in today’s dollars.
   the case for change for the Three
   Waters Reform Programme.                     Auckland would be among the centres
                                                gaining the least from efficiency,
   Infrastructure New Zealand welcomes          partly because Watercare has already
   these reforms as they anticipate having      picked-up much of the potential gain
   significant positive impacts on the          since the merger of local authorities in
   economy, including increasing gross          Auckland in 2010. WICS has advised
   domestic product (GDP) by $14.4 billion      the government that the biggest
   to $23 billion in present value terms        efficiency gains in water are made with a
   over the next 30 years compared to           population base up to 800,000 people.
   the likely outcomes without reform.
   Without service delivery reform and the      But the risks in Three Waters are big,
   associated efficiency gains, the real cost   and the capital cost is high. WICS
   increases to communities (households         states New Zealand needs to invest
   and businesses) of meeting the required      $120–$185b in water services over 30
   investment would be significant and          years if it is to reach the same service
   likely unaffordable for many smaller         standards as the United Kingdom
   communities and low-income customers.        which is between four and six billion of
                                                capital, year-on-year, over 30 years.
   The reforms expect to create a
   significant number of jobs spread            Cabinet expects to make decisions,
   across all sectors. The WICS Phase           including the number and
   2 analysis shows the affordability           boundaries of new water services
   challenges that local authorities            entities, in the coming months.
   would likely face without reform.            Infrastructure New Zealand will partner
   For some small, rural local authorities,     with DIA to provide several workshops
   average household costs in 2050              on the reform programme in the coming
   could reach as high as $9,000                months. The complete reports are
   per annum in today’s dollars and             published here. For the key findings
   would be unaffordable for many               of each report click here.
   households. In the larger provincial

                                                                        I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   10
Government struggles to reliably
prioritise projects
New Zealand Upgrade Programme                 were costed at $12.8 billion, roughly
                                              double the original estimates for that
   The government announced the               tranche. That led the government
   New Zealand Upgrade Programme              to a series of adjustments and
   (NZUP) in January 2020, a $12 billion      cutbacks, to get the top 16 projects
   programme of 32 investments.               under $7 billion total capex.
   The majority of expenditure was            The government has said these
   in public and private transport.           projects will result in the reduction of
   There were lesser amounts for a            vehicle emissions and decarbonising
   handful of hospitals, a modest injection   of our transport system.
   of capital into schools, and the first
   of a series of clean-powered public        The National Party has made its
   sector projects, mostly aimed at           displeasure clear and has accused
   closing coal-fired heating in hosptials.   the government of deliberately
                                              downplaying the programme’s costs
   Eighteen months later, and the top         in an election year and now using the
   16 projects - mostly in road and rail -    higher, more realistic costs to cancel

                                                                       I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   11
projects it ideologically opposed.          has been drastically cut back to focus
The government has added a very             on safety issues and possibly involving
big project in Auckland, a walking and      an upgrade of two lanes instead of the
cycling link between Auckland’s City        four between Flat Bush and Alfriston.
Centre and the North Shore named            The government’s announcements
‘Northern Pathway’, which is 90% bigger     reveal that it continues to struggle with
in cost than its predecessor and a very     one of the most vexingpolicy issues
ambitious piece of engineering. Indeed,     New Zealand faces in infrastructure –
the revised and much-bigger Northern        the reliable prioritisation of projects. The
Pathway in Auckland – effectively a         decisions underline how difficult it is for
second bridge alongside the existing        the government to hold to its original
one – surprised many Aucklanders            priorities and maintain confidence in
when the government announced it,           cities and towns, and with the sector.
partly because of the scale and also        One of the purposes of robust
because of the proposed capital cost,       prioritisation is to provide certainty –
at near-$700 million, excluding the $100    both locally, and to the infrastructure
million for the land section. We support    sector regarding the quality and
a walking and cycling connection over       depth of the pipeline of work.
the Waitematā Harbour, but without
seeing the business case, it’s hard to      People who were hoping to see the
see how a new bridge would be justified.    government’s climate policy tested
                                            in court will have to wait for another
Similarly, the $692 million SH1             day. All Aboard Aotearoa had initiated
Whangārei to Port Marsden Highway           proceedings in the High Court,
– an upgraded 22km four-lane                arguing Mill Road is a breach of the
corridor – has been canned in favour        government’s obligations under the
of safety improvements along the            Paris Accord and under the Zero
existing highway and the construction       Carbon Act 2019. It is hard to see that
of a new rail line from Northport           case proceeding now, given the extent
to the North Auckland rail line.            to which Mill Rd has been reduced.
Projects such as the $1.3 billion Mill      Details of the updated NZUP
Road transport corridor in South            can be accessed here.
Auckland – a 21.5km new four-lane
corridor with separated walking and
cycling facilities that would have served
as a new connection from Manukau
to Drury South and provided better
access for the 120,000-plus people –

                                                                     I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   12
Bold strategy needed to
meet our infrastructure
expectations now
and into the future
Infrastructure Commission consultation
on ‘Infrastructure for a Better Future’
   • Consultations closed on 2 July 2021.    that result from the infrastructure) that
   • Infrastructure New Zealand              improves New Zealanders’ wellbeing.
     has made a submission                   The Commission is required to prepare
   • Member workshops held across            a 30-year infrastructure strategy. It
     June where Infrastructure               sought feedback on a consultation
     Commission presented                    document titled He Tūāpapa ki te ora:
                                             Infrastructure for a Better Future to
   New Zealand infrastructure deficit        help develop the draft Infrastructure
   is around $20 billion and results         Strategy. The commission will submit
   from decades of underinvestment           a draft strategy to the Minister for
   by successive governments. This           Infrastructure in September 2021
   deficit is affecting our wellbeing,       (which will eventually be tabled in
   costing New Zealanders in lost            Parliament). It will contain a set of
   income and productivity.                  recommendations for the Minister to
   The matter is not helped by a constant    consider and provide a response.
   focus on the short-to-medium term.        Our submission supported most of
   Our Budget 2021 commentary outlined       the findings and options identified.
   that the Budget’s attempts are
   primarily concentrated in the 2021 and    We also held member workshops
   2022 years, with capital investment       to allow the commission to present
   trailing off by 2025, see here.           and engage directly with members.
                                             These workshops were well attended
   The Aotearoa New Zealand                  and provided a unique opportunity
   Infrastructure Strategy could act         for members to influence the
   as a critical catalyst to changing        commission’s strategy directly.
   this. The Infrastructure Commission:
   Te Waihanga was established in 2019
   to coordinate, develop, and promote
   an infrastructure approach that
   encourages infrastructure (and services

                                                                     I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   13
Green light given
to Bill which will
encourage innovation
Building Act reforms
   The Building (Building Products and
   Methods, Modular Components,
   and Other Matters) Amendment Bill,
   which represents the first of a suite
   of reforms to the Building Act 2004,
   was passed by Parliament on 3 June.
   The Bill seeks to lift the efficiency
   and quality of building work, provide
   fairer outcomes if things go wrong,       (iv) improved offences and
   and support the building sector to             penalties; and
   shift to new and more effective ways      (v) expanding the use of
   of working. The Bill will help support        the Building Levy.
   productivity improvements by lifting
   efficiency and quality of building work   A key change that could significantly
   and to improve trust and confidence       speed up the building consenting
   in the building regulatory system.        process is a new modular component
   The Bill has two parts: the first part    manufacturer scheme allowing
   amends the Building Act 2004, and         offsite building manufacturers who
   the second part makes consequential       meet specific requirements to be
   amendments to other legislation.          certified, allowing them to sign off
                                             their designs and construction.
   The changes to the first part
   are in five categories:                   The Ministry of Business, Innovation
                                             and Employment is consulting with
   (i) strengthening the existing            the sector to develop new regulations
       product certification scheme          to support the modular component
       known as CodeMark;                    manufacturing scheme, CodeMark
   (ii) creating a new scheme for modern     changes and the new building
        methods of construction;             product information requirements.
   (iii) better information for building
         products and methods;

                                                                    I S S U E 1 . J U N E 20 2 1   14
Your Policy Team
                       If you would like us to develop or advocate on a
                              policy issue, please contact Claire:
                           Claire.Edmondson@infrastructure.org.nz
                                               09 377 5570

Claire Edmondson,                                       Azeem Khan, Senior
Chief Advisor                                           Policy Advisor
Claire has over 18 years’ experience as a consultant    Azeem’s extensive experience includes
specialising in central and local government public     infrastructure funding and financing, ministerial
policy advice and has worked on some tough              and policy advice, and strategic insights and
policy issues – most recently the Wage Subsidy          transport advice. He was involved in shaping
Scheme and the Resurgence Support Payment.              several responses to Productivity Commission
She held several roles in Christchurch following        inquiries, including critiquing Bills. Azeem
the earthquakes, including Chief Advisor to the         also has spatial planning experience and
CEO of CERA, Acting Chief of Staff to the Mayor         worked as a drafter of the Homes and Places
of Christchurch, Strategic Advisor to the Crown         outcome of the Auckland Plan 2050.
Manager of Christchurch City Council following
the loss of their accreditation, Establishment Lead
for communications and governance in the crown
company Otakaro, and Senior Advisor on the
Canterbury Royal Commission. She was also Senior
Ministerial Advisor to the Minister of Education.

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