Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova - February 9, 2021 - March 16, 2021 - International ...
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Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova February 9, 2021 – March 16, 2021
Detailed Methodology
• The survey was coordinated by Ipsos on behalf of the International Republican Institute's Center for Insights in Survey
Research (CISR). The survey fieldwork was carried out by Magenta Consulting.
• Data was collected throughout Moldova (except for Transnistria) between February 9, 2021, and March 16, 2021, through
computer-assisted phone interviews (CATI) using a dual-frame survey mode consisting of both mobile phones and landline
phones.
• Mobile interviews: random selection of respondents using randomly generated mobile numbers of all Moldovan cellphone
providers
• Landline interviews:
• Stage one: All districts (raions) of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of
Transnistria) were surveyed. For all districts (raions) of Moldova numbers were randomly generated for each
raion using raion prefixes
• Stage two: Respondents were selected in households using the "last birthday" selection principle
• The sample, including an oversample of Chisinau, consisted of n=2,001 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older
and eligible to vote and is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size.
• Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data was weighted for phone ownership, age groups, gender and
settlement type using the last available population figures by the National Bureau of Statistics. For national-level analysis,
the Chisinau oversample was weighted back down to its national proportion.
• The margin of error for the mid-range of the full, national sample does not exceed ±2.4 points at the 95% confidence level.
• The margin of error for the mid-range of the full Chisinau sample does not exceed ±4.2 points at the 95% confidence
level.
• The response rate was 9 percent. This response rate is lower than CISR's generally accepted response rates, even for
telephone polls, which generally have lower response rates than face-to-face polls. However, additional vetting of the
sample did not reveal any evident bias, and the sample is a close approximation of the Moldovan adult population in terms
of demographic parameters. Due to the COVID-19 necessitated change in mode from face-to-face to telephone polling,
CISR advises treating any trend comparisons against past polls with caution.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development. 2Mood of the Country
In general, would you say that Moldova is heading in the right
direction or the wrong direction?
Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer
90%
83% 82%
79% 78%
80%
73% 74% 73% 72%
71%
69% 68%68% 67%
70% 66%
61%
58% 57% 58% 62%
60% 54% 55% 54% 53%
51%
47% 45% 51%
50% 54%
47%
42%
40% 38% 38% 41%
40% 42% 41% 32%
30% 34% 37% 26% 28%
33% 32% 33%
30% 31%
27% 19% 27% 15%
20% 24% 24%
22% 21% 13% 23% 23%
11%
17% 9% 10% 16% 17%
10% 14% 15% 14% 15% 5% 5% 5% 5%
12% 11% 13% 14% 13%
11% 12% 1%
8% 9%
10%
8% 5% 8% 6% 9% 10%
0% 6% 7%
Mar-04
Apr-06
Mar-07
Apr-08
Sep-10
Sep-14
Mar-16
Sep-16
Jun-09
Jan-12
Jun-14
Jun-18
Jun-19
Aug-11
Nov-04
Nov-08
Nov-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-18
Dec-11
Dec-18
Dec-19
Oct-15*
May-10
Oct-17
Oct-18
Mar-17**
Aug-20***
Mar-21***
*In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is
often referred to as “the stolen billion.”
**In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular presidential election since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second-round contest on
November 13, 2016.
*** Interviews for the August 2020 and March 2021 surveys were done via computer-assisted phone interviews (CATI). All previous polls
were conducted through face-to-face interviews. 4What is the most important problem facing Moldova today?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by
at least 4 percent of respondents are displayed)
Economy: Unemployment 34%
Economy: Low income 24%
Corruption 22%
Country's leadership/Incompetent, unprofessional governance 18%
Coronavirus 17%
Pensions 14%
Poverty 13%
Economy: Cost of living/High prices 12%
Healthcare 11%
Emigration 10%
Political instability/Better politics 10%
Economy: Other/General 10%
Infrastructure 8%
Education 7%
Internal conflicts 6%
The mentality of society/Indifferent, irresponsible citizens 4%
COVID issues (closed kindergartens/schools/borders) 4%
Solve people's problems in general/Listen to people 4%
Don't know/Refused to answer 5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
5What is the most important problem facing Moldova today?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by
at least 4 percent of respondents are displayed)
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
Corruption 30%
Country's leadership/Incompetent, unprofessional governance 21%
Economy: Unemployment 19%
Economy: Low income 19%
Coronavirus 18%
Economy: Other/General 15%
Political instability/Better politics 12%
Poverty 12%
Education 11%
Healthcare 11%
Internal conflicts 10%
Economy: Cost of living/High prices 10%
Pensions 10%
Emigration 9%
The mentality of society/Indifferent, irresponsible citizens 8%
Infrastructure 7%
Solve people's problems in general/Listen to people 6%
Justice reform 4%
Social services/Benefits 4%
Don't know/Refused to answer 3%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
6What is the most important problem facing your household today?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by
at least 3 percent of respondents are displayed)
Economy: Low income 29%
Healthcare 28%
Economy: Unemployment 25%
Economy: Cost of living/High prices 16%
Pensions 15%
Poverty 10%
Emigration 8%
Infrastructure 7%
Coronavirus 6%
Education 5%
COVID issues (closed kindergartens/schools/borders) 4%
Social services/Benefits 4%
Housing 4%
Corruption 3%
Water 3%
Political instability/Better politics 3%
Economy: Other/General 3%
No (other) problem 8%
Don't know/Refused to answer 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
7What is the most important problem facing your household today?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by
at least 3 percent of respondents are displayed)
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
Healthcare 28%
Economy: Low income 28%
Economy: Cost of living/High prices 17%
Economy: Unemployment 15%
Coronavirus 11%
Pensions 10%
Education 9%
Infrastructure 6%
COVID issues (closed kindergartens/schools/borders) 6%
Political instability/Better politics 6%
Emigration 6%
Poverty 6%
Housing 5%
Corruption 4%
Economy: Other/General 4%
Social services/Benefits 3%
Insecurity 3%
No (other) problem 10%
Don't know/Refused to answer 6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
8In the event of a new government, what specific issues should be
the top priority for the new government to address?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by
at least 3 percent of respondents are displayed)
Economy: Unemployment 32%
Economy: Low income 22%
Corruption 19%
Pensions 16%
Healthcare 15%
Economy: Cost of living/High prices 14%
Economy: Other/General 13%
Infrastructure 12%
Solve people's problems in general/listen to people 10%
Political instability/Better politics 9%
Education 8%
Coronavirus 8%
Emigration 7%
Social services/Benefits 7%
COVID issues (closed kindergartens/schools/borders) 5%
Standard of living 5%
Agriculture 5%
Poverty 4%
International relations 4%
Country's leadership/Incompetent, unprofessional governance 3%
Internal conflicts 3%
Justice reform 3%
Economy: Small business opportunities/Access to loans 3%
Don't know/Refused to answer 7%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
9In the event of a new government, what specific issues should be
the top priority for the new government to address?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by
at least 3 percent of respondents are displayed)
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
Corruption 22%
Healthcare 21%
Economy: Low income 21%
Economy: Unemployment 20%
Economy: Other/General 19%
Education 14%
Pensions 14%
Economy: Cost of living/High prices 12%
Infrastructure 11%
Coronavirus 10%
Solve people's problems in general/Listen to people 7%
Social services/Benefits 7%
Political instability/Better politics 7%
Justice reform 5%
Agriculture 5%
COVID issues (closed kindergartens/schools/borders) 5%
Internal conflicts 4%
Country's leadership/Incompetent, unprofessional governance 4%
International relations 4%
Economy: Small business opportunities/Access to loans 4%
Emigration 4%
Poverty 3%
Standard of living 3%
Public safety 3%
Don't know/Refused to answer 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
10How would you describe the current economic situation of your
household?
Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused to answer
March 2021 3% 56% 26% 14% 2%
August 2020 3% 54% 27% 15% 2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Nationwide August 2020 (Base n=2,017), Nationwide March 2021 (Base n=2,001) 11How would you describe the current economic situation of your
household?
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused to answer
March 2021 4% 64% 21% 10% 1%
August 2020 2% 58% 26% 12% 2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Chisinau August 2020 (Base n=549); Chisinau March 2021 (Base n=575) 12In the coming 12 months, how do you expect the economic
situation of your household to change?
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same
Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
March 2021 4% 29% 41% 9% 6% 13%
August 2020 2% 22% 37% 14% 6% 19%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Nationwide August 2020 (Base n=2,017), Nationwide March 2021 (Base n=2,001) 13In the coming 12 months, how do you expect the economic
situation of your household to change?
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
Improve a lot Improve somewhat Stay the same
Worsen somewhat Worsen a lot Don't know/Refused to answer
March 2021 3% 22% 50% 9% 5% 10%
August 2020 2% 21% 41% 17% 6% 14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Chisinau August 2020 (Base n=549); Chisinau March 2021 (Base n=575) 14Elections – Past and Future
Do you think that the November 2020 presidential elections were
free and fair?
Definitely free and fair Probably free and fair Probably not free and fair
Definitely not free and fair Don't know/Refused to answer
Nationwide 29% 37% 16% 12% 6%
Chisinau 26% 45% 15% 10% 4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Nationwide (Base n=2,001), Chisinau (Base n=575) 16Do you personally agree that early parliamentary elections should
be held in Moldova in the next six months?
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Totally disagree Don't know/Refused to answer
Nationwide 37% 28% 13% 16% 7%
Chisinau 39% 27% 14% 15% 5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Nationwide (Base n=2,001), Chisinau (Base n=575).
Interviewers clarified that “Early elections are those called earlier than the elections that have been scheduled for 2023.” 17If parliamentary elections were held this coming Sunday, for which party,
if any, would you vote?
If parliamentary elections were held this coming Sunday, and the party
you mentioned is not on the list, for which party, if any, would you vote?
First choice Second choice
Political Party "Action and Solidarity" (Grosu) 33% 6%
Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Dodon) 19% 6%
Political Party "Our Party" (Usatîi) 6% 7%
Political Party “Șor” (Șor) 5% 6%
Political Party "Dignity and Truth" (Năstase) 5% 11%
Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin) 3% 5%
Democratic Party of Moldova (Filip) 2% 3%
Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat) 2%1%
Liberal Party (Chirtoacă) 1% 2%
European People's Party of Moldova (Sturza) 1% 2%
National Unity Party (Țicu)If parliamentary elections were held this coming Sunday, for which party,
if any, would you vote?
If parliamentary elections were held this coming Sunday, and the party
you mentioned is not on the list, for which party, if any, would you vote?
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
First choice Second choice
Political Party "Action and Solidarity" (Grosu) 34% 3%
Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (Dodon) 21% 4%
Political Party "Our Party" (Usatîi) 4% 7%
Political Party “Șor” (Șor) 4% 6%
Political Party “Dignity and Truth“ (Năstase) 4% 13%
Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova (Voronin) 4% 5%
Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova (Filat) 2% 2%
Democratic Party of Moldova (Filip) 1% 3%
Liberal Party (Chirtoacă) 1% 4%
National Unity Party (Țicu)Politics
Which politician or public person do you trust the most?
(Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; persons mentioned by at
least 2 percent of respondents nationwide)
Nationwide Chisinau
Maia Sandu 41%
42%
Igor Dodon 19%
17%
Andrei Năstase 12%
10%
Renato Usatîi 11%
9%
Ilan Șor 7%
4%
Vladimir Voronin 7%
8%
Pavel Filip 4%
3%
Octavian Țicu 3%
4%
Alexandru Slusari 3%
4%
Ion Chicu 3%
5%
Ion Ceban 3%
8%
Dorin Chirtoacă 3%
4%
Zinaida Greceanîi 3%
4%
Igor Grosu 2%
3%
None 17%
19%
Don't know/Refused to answer 16%
13%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
*Nationwide (Base n=2,001), Chisinau (Base n=575) 21International Relations
How would you rate current relations between Moldova and the
following countries?
Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused to answer
EU (Aug-20) 10% 63% 13% 1% 13%
EU (Mar-21) 14% 66% 11% 2% 8%
Romania (Aug-20) 9% 59% 16% 2% 15%
Romania (Mar-21) 19% 62% 9% 2% 8%
Russia (Aug-20) 8% 52% 23% 3% 14%
Russia (Mar-21) 5% 46% 34% 5% 9%
United States (Aug-20) 4% 50% 13% 2% 32%
United States (Mar-21) 7% 57% 11% 3% 23%
China (Aug-20) 3% 45% 9% 1% 42%
China (Mar-21) 2% 46% 10% 2% 38%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*March 2021 (Base n=2,001), August 2020 (Base n=2,017) 23How would you rate current relations between Moldova and the
following countries?
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused to answer
Romania 16% 69% 7% 1% 7%
European Union 9% 70% 12% 2% 6%
United States 5% 63% 12% 3% 18%
China 2% 51% 9% 1% 36%
Russia 2% 41% 41% 6% 10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
24Which of these countries do you consider to be the most important
economic partner(s) and political partner(s) for our country?
(Respondents evaluated each country/organization separately as to whether they were
among the most important or not)
European Union Romania Russia United States China
80%
72%
70% 67%
60% 57%
55% 55%
50%
46%
40%
29% 30%
30% 27%
19%
20%
10%
0%
Economic partner Political partner
*Nationwide (Base n=2,001) 25Which of these countries do you consider to be the most important
economic partner(s) and political partner(s) for our country?
(Chisinau respondents, n=575; Respondents evaluated each country/organization separately
as to whether they were among the most important or not)
European Union Romania Russia United States China
80%
74%
72%
70%
60% 59%
60% 58%
49%
50%
40%
36%
32%
29%
30%
23%
20%
10%
0%
Economic partner Political partner
*Chisinau (Base n=575) 26Corruption
In your opinion, how effective are authorities in addressing
corruption?
Very effective Somewhat effective Somewhat ineffective
Very ineffective Don't know/Refused to answer
Local
16% 31% 19% 23% 12%
authorities
National
11% 23% 26% 28% 12%
authorities
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
28In your opinion, how effective are authorities in addressing
corruption?
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
Very effective Somewhat effective Somewhat ineffective
Very ineffective Don't know/Refused to answer
Local
7% 26% 28% 34% 6%
authorities
National
7% 20% 33% 33% 7%
authorities
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
29Over the past 12 months, has corruption among authorities
increased, decreased, or stayed the same?
Increased Same Decreased Don't know/Refused to answer
Local
20% 52% 13% 15%
authorities
National
24% 49% 12% 15%
authorities
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
30Over the past 12 months, has corruption among authorities
increased, decreased, or stayed the same?
(Chisinau respondents, n=575)
Increased Same Decreased Don't know/Refused to answer
Local
23% 53% 12% 13%
authorities
National
20% 54% 12% 15%
authorities
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
31To what degree is it the responsibility of citizens to address
corruption?
To a very large degree To a large degree To a small degree
To a very small degree Don't know/Refused to answer
Nationwide 28% 32% 21% 12% 6%
Chisinau 35% 36% 16% 9% 4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Nationwide (Base n=2,001), Chisinau (Base n=575) 32Diaspora
Do you have any members of your household currently living or
working/studying abroad?In which country or countries do you have members of your
household currently living or working, or studying abroad ?
(Respondents that have members of family abroad; respondents permitted to
supply spontaneous answers; countries mentioned by at least 3 percent of
35% nationwide or Chisinau respondents)
30% Nationwide Chisinau
30%
26%
25%
22%
20%
20% 19%
16%
15%
15% 14%
13%
11%
10%10%
10%
7%
6%
5%
5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
3% 3% 3% 3%
2%
0% 1%
0%
*Nationwide (Base n=788), Chisinau (Base n=205), people who have household members abroad 35Number of household members that are abroad
(Respondents permitted to supply spontaneous answers)
1 member abroad
31% 2 members abroad
53%
3 members abroad
4 members abroad
5 members abroad
Don't know/Refused to answer
10%
2% 3%
1%
*Nationwide (Base n=788) people who have household members abroad. Interviewers asked “Please indicate who exactly from your
household is abroad. You shouldn’t mention names, but only who they are to you - mother, father, etc.” 36On average, what percentage, if any, of your annual household
income comes from the remittances you receive from your
household members abroad?
(Respondents that have members of household abroad)
60%
53%
50%
40%
30%
20%
11%
10% 8% 7% 7%
5%
2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%
0%
*Nationwide (Base n=788), people who have household members abroad 37Do you have any members of your household who voted abroad in
the November 2020 presidential elections?
Yes
31%
54% No
No members of my household were
abroad during November 2020
Don't know/Refused to answer
5%
10%
*Nationwide (Base n=788), Chisinau (Base n=205), people who have household members abroad 38How would you evaluate the social and political views of you and
the following household member abroad? They are…
Very similar More or less similar More or less different Totally different
Nationwide
39% 33% 15% 14%
(n=688)
Chisinau
39% 33% 20% 9%
(n=185)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
*Base - respondents who assessed the views of all household members abroad. This represents the average score of all household
members abroad for each respondent who assessed the views of all the people he/she mentioned. Labels correspond to the following
values: (a) score 1-1.49 - very similar (b) 1.5-2.49 – more or less similar (c) 2.5-3.49 – more or less different (d) 3.5-4 – totally different 39Sources of Information
How interested or uninterested are you in political news and
information?
1%
31%
11% Very interested
Somewhat interested
Somewhat uninterested
9%
Very uninterested
Don't know/Refused to answer
48%
*Nationwide (Base n=2001), Chisinau (Base n=575) 41Which sources of information do you use most frequently to
access political news and information?
(Respondents permitted to supply three answers)
First choice Second choice Third choice
Television 54% 24% 3%
Internet (other than social media) 24% 18% 5%
Social media 12% 12% 5%
Radio 3% 9% 10%
Relatives, friends 1% 4% 8%
Print media (newspaper and magazines articles) 1% 6% 7%
OtherDo you use any of the following social media sites?
Nationwide Chisinau
Facebook 61%
73%
Viber 57%
72%
Facebook Messenger 50%
57%
YouTube 49%
59%
WhatsApp 36%
46%
Odnoklassniki 35%
27%
Instagram 30%
35%
Telegram 16%
28%
Vkontakte 12%
12%
Twitter 4%
7%
MoiMir 4%
6%
Linkedin 3%
7%
LiveJournal 3%
5%
I don't use social media 21%
11%
Don't know/Refused to answer 1%Demographics
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0%
Men
47%46%
GENDER
Women
53% 54%
20%
18-29
17%
36%
30-49
AGE
48%
44%
50+
35%
No formal education
1% 0%
National Sample
Primary school
1% 0%
15%
Incomplete secondary school
6%
20%
Demographics
Secondary
Chisinau Sample
12% 14%
Secondary professional
8%
22%
EDUCATION Secondary special
17%
24%
Incomplete higher education
45%
3%
Complete higher education
9%10%
20%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
30%
100%
0%
33%
Employed in a paid job full-time
50%
Employed in a paid job part-time
4% 5%
Self-employed full-time
5% 6%
Self-employed part-time
1% 2%
11%
Homemaker
6%
24%
National Sample
Retired
19%
OCCUPATION
10%
Unemployed, looking for a job
5%
Demographics
Unemployed, not looking for a job
3% 1%
Chisinau Sample
Student/Pupil
4% 4%
Maternity leave
2% 1%
Other
3% 2%
45%
Urban
91%
55%
Rural
9%
SETTLEMENT TYPE
46Center for Insights in Survey Research
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