RG Continental Central East - TEN-YEAR NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN (TYNDP) WORKSHOP - entso-e
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TEN-YEAR NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN (TYNDP) RG Continental Central East WORKSHOP 5 December 2011 Prague, Czech Republic
Towards TYNDP and RgIP …Regardless of how the CCE region and European energy mixes evolve over the long term, the Transmission Network will have to be expanded….
AGENDA 10:00 Registration and welcome coffee 10:30 Welcome and Introduction Andrew Kasembe Convenor RG CCE 10:40 General presentation on ENTSO-E, TYNDP, RgIP and their role in Dimitrios Chaniotis the EIP Manager, ENTSO-E Secretariat 11:00 Main challenges and specifics for grid development in CCE Harald Koehler region RG CCE 11:15 Panel discussion with stakeholder about general expectations All 11:45 Coffee break 12:15 Preliminary results of the CCE Regional Grid Investment Plan - Zdeněk Hruška Market Studies Convenor subgroup Market Modeling for RG CCE 12:45 Lunch 13:45 Preliminary results of the CCE Regional Grid Investment Plan – Norbert Lechner Grid Studies Member RG CCE 14:15 Towards TYNDP 2014 and further; Role in EC Energy Dimitrios Chaniotis Infrastructure Package implementation Manager, ENTSO-E Secretariat 14:30 Way forward and role of RG CCE in grid development Convenor, Members, All 14:45 Questions & Final Discussion All 15:25 Conclusions and the way forward Andrew Kasembe Convenor RG CCE 15:30 End of Workshop 6 December 2011 | Page 4
General presentation on ENTSO-E, TYNDP and Regional Investment Plan Dimitrios Chaniotis Manager, ENTSO-E Secretariat RG CCE Workshop 5 December 2011 Prague, Czech Republic
ENTSO-E: a trans-European network • Fully operational since July 2009 • Represents 41 TSOs from 34 countries • 525 million citizens served • 828 GW generation • 305,000 Km of transition lines managed by the TSOs • 3,400 TWh/year demand • 400 TWh/year exchanges • Replaces former TSO organisations: ATSOI, BALTSO, ETSO, NORDEL, UCTE, UKTSOA
Regulation 714/2009– an important raison d’être for ENTSO-E Article 4: European network of transmission system operators for electricity • Completion and functioning of the internal market in electricity and cross-border trade • Optimal management, coordinated operation and sound technical evolution of the European electricity transmission network Article 6: Establishment of network codes Article 8: Tasks of the ENTSO for Electricity • Network codes • Common network operation tools • Non-binding Community-wide 10-year network development plan, including a European generation adequacy outlook, every two years • Work programme, annual report, summer/winter outlooks, monitoring ENTSO-E operational because a fully developed IEM and the integration of RES demand urgent TSO action
Approach to system development Goal System Adequacy Retrospect • An ambitious and Integrated network and market Summer/Winter Reviews TYNDP 2010 Assessment comprehensive work program Consistent scenarios (2020 – 2030 – 2050) Winter Outlook 2011-2012 looking at all time horizons Summer Outlook 2012 modeling • TSO expertise and experience Scenario Outlook & Adequacy under a common working Forecast 2011-2025 Regional Investment Plans framework TYNDP 2012 •Transparency and stakeholder Modular Development Plan for Electricity Highways involvement North Seas Offshore grid
The 3rd Package defines the TYNDP Non binding Binding Every 2 years Regulators check consistency Every year EU- EU-TYNDP Nat. TYNDPs • Generation adequacy outlook • Existing and forecast supply 5 yr up to 15yr ( 2025!) Build on nat. gen. adequacy demand • modelling integrated networks outlooks and invest. plans • Efficient measures to guarantee adequacy & SoS • Scenario development • Indicate main transmission • Assessment of resilience Take into account infrastructure to be built • Based on reasonable needs of system users • Based on reasonable assumptions about evolution • Identify investments gaps of generation • Review barriers to increase • Supply consumption and cross border capacities arising from approval procedures Non binding exchanges Every 2 years Regional Investment Plans
The Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2010 42.100 km of new lines (mostly overhead ) 500 individual projects all required!! mostly along EC corridors € 28 billion (5 years) On top of investments for growing demand and aging assets!
Main drivers identified in 2010 Massive integration of renewable energy sources in Northern Europe in Southern Europe Important East-West and North-South energy flows in South-East and Central-South regions Baltic States integration Connection of new conventional power plants Power supply of some large European cities and regions
TYNDP 2012 package improves • Explicit definition of projects of pan-European significance • Public procedure to identify the 3rd party projects • More scenarios : top down + bottom up scenarios + Nuclear phase-out sensitivity analysis • Regional market & network studies – based on the common set of data • Project assessment based on a set of clear indicators • More compact reports easy to understand
ENTSO-E Regional Groups The most appropriate framework for grid development in Europe Every RG gather countries sharing the same common concerns Overlaping, in order to ensure overall consistency
A dense 2-year long study process Annual generation CSW Region (TWh) - • Scenario elaboration EU202020 - Grid 2012 Miscellaneous; & validation Peak 95 Total Hydro; 116 Wind; 157 Hydro ROR; Generation; 60 0 Hydro STOR; CCGT; 70 57 COAL; 0 Solar; 36 LIGNITE; 4 • Market studies NUCLEAR; 501 • Network studies • Project identification & valuation • Reports compilation
Main deliverables TYNDP 2012 Market studies G/L dev. areas Expected bulk NTCs + technical needs 202020 flow patterns in 2020 2010 (+) Transmission Network studies adequacy Proposed Grid transfer projects capability increases
The TYNDP 2012 package 8 documents • Scenario outlook & adequacy forecast report (SOAF) • 6x Regional Investment Plans reports • Detailed grid development issues, regional level • Ten-Year Network Development Plan report • Synthetic compilation, pan-European level
Overall schedule TYNDP 2012 Jun2010 Jan 2011 Jun 2011 Dec2011 March 2012 June 2012 Methodologie Regional TYNDP 2010 New 202020 s& workshops scenario assessment RgIP & TYNDP criteria results NREAPs SAF 2011 Scenarios Final reports 6 RgIPs + TYNDP reports SOAF 2012 report Workshop Consultation 2010 2011 2012
Conclusions • A consistent ENTSO-E approach in all planning horizons • The pilot TYNDP in 2010 first overview of the needs, drivers and the necessary European infrastructure • TYNDP 2012 improvement: more comprehensive, common studies, top down approach, open to the 3rd party projects • The TYNDP as the factual and methodological basis for key policy and investment decisions. • Transparency - stakeholder involvement is the key success factor
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Dimitrios Chaniotis dimitrios.chaniotis@entsoe.eu 5 December 2011
Main challenges and specifics for Grid Development in CCE region Harald Köhler Member RG CCE RG CCE Workshop 5 December 2011 Prague, Czech Republic
Transformation Process Evolving from a reliable transmission network which was designed, optimized and operated together with generation resources … …towards a transmission network facilitating EU energy & climate policies (KYOTO, EU 202020), enabling market development, integration of renewables and maximising welfare. Still uncertainties that prevail over the future power system 6 December 2011 | Page 22
European Energy Policy Goals Main Drivers for Network Development Security of Supply • Security of Supply • Enormous RES-Development • New Pumped Storage Power Plants efficient, demand • New Conventional Power Plants delivering Infrastructur • Change of Generation and Load Patterns e • Market Integration Competitiveness Sustainability Sustainability Develop and complete the KYOTO, EU 20-20-20, National Internal Electricity Market Climate Acts Integration of Renewables to achieve the 2020 climate targets 6 December 2011 | Page 23
RES Development within the CCE Region GW 140 132 • Massive RES growth 120 • Most of all Wind Energy is 100 93 planned to be expanded followed by Photovoltaik 80 65 63 53 • In 2020 about 80% of the 60 48 CCE wind capacity will be 40 installed in Germany 28 23 19 18 21 17 20 • 50 % of the installed capacity – non 0 dispatchable 2009 2015 2020 Total RES Wind PV and other RES Run off river hydro * Based on National Renewable Energy Action Plans 6 December 2011 | Page 24
Energy Transition is Happening…. …and Brings New Challenges for the Network Kyoto Regional drifting apart of generation EU 20-20-20 and demand Climate- & Energy aims o Decentralisation vs. centralisation Integration of o Wide area power flows Renewables Time related drifting apart of generation Nuclear Phase Out and demand Need for Storage o Need for dispatchable generation reserves Technologies o Need for storage capacity Growing Demand o Generation oriented demandmanagement? Smart Grids No coordinated planning of the Electricity Highways electricity system o Generation – Transmission – Consume Roadmap 2050 o Lack of overall picture 6 December 2011 | Page 25
RES-Development – Enormous Increase of Non-Dispatchable Generation (EU2020) Peak of non- dispatchable generation is higher than minimum load in RG CCE (AT) For Germany Peak is higher than maximum load Non-dispatchable generation consists of run of river, wind and dispersed generation including Solar 6 December 2011 | Page 26
EWIS Results High pan-European electricity transport due to planned Wind-Integration 16.11.2010 27 January 28th 2011 27
We are Heading Towards a Structural Congestion in Europe Urgent need for additional transmission lines 6 December 2011 | Page 28
European Energy Strategy is defined Need for new grids are proven and will be affirmed with the TYNDP 2012 Still obstacles in the procedure of grid development ! 6 December 2011 | Page 29
Further Challenges for Transmission Infrastructure Development Public Acceptance Long lasting Authorisation Process Urban Planning Financing and Regulation EU 20/20/20 targets Security of Supply Grid Integrated Eletricity development Market 6 December 2011 | Page 30
Public Acceptance – a Strategic Keyfactor for Success • Lack of understanding / appreciation for… o …the liberalized internal electricity market o …the need of new grids Local vs European Perception/Thinking • Fear of… o …EMF (many different opinions, different limit values within the European countries) o …property devaluation • Discussion on OHL/Cable • Often the lack of commitment from the political stakeholders NIMBY
Urban Planning Urban planning does not take lines into consideration • no legislative possibility to prevent corridor rededication Buildings under an existing Building under a new 380kV Line 220kV Line 32 January 28th 2011
Authorisation Process Lengthy Permitting Procedures as consequence of… • Submission of objections is possible at all times and instances of the permitting procedure • Public interest has to be proven by the TSO even for projects of European interest • Unharmonised legislation between countries and even between regions • Lack of uniform limit values e.g. concerning values for EMF • Lack of reasonable and concrete time limits for issuing approvals • Conflict: nature vs. humans There is no appropriate evaluation of values between environmental issues and the public interest for security of supply or other aims 33 January 28th 2011
Present Steps Taken by TSOs to Reduce the Lengthy Permitting Process • Financial compensation of the population affected - reflected further in the tariffs • Closer collaboration with the local administration in assessing the future urban planning • Environmental compensation - “balance effect” • Active participation in informing the population on EMF • Environmental impact taken into account from incipient study phases January 28th 2011
Recommendations • EU priority legislation and infrastructure corridors • Mandatory support from national and regional political bodies for projects of European importance • Adoption of a legal framework that ensures efficient authorisation procedures o Harmonised EU permitting legislation o One stop permitting procedure – with clear deadline • Building lines of European top priority should be possible in nature protection areas 35 January 28th 2011
Conclusions Adequate and reliable transmission network is a crucial pre-requisite for the EU energy policy goals To achieve them on time, there is a need for: • … an inclusive view (planning) of the whole power system and its functions • …an improvement of social acceptance with support of all stakeholders • … a robust regulatory framework • … efficient authorisation procedures 36 January 28th 2011
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Harald Koehler Harald.Koehler@apg.at 5 December 2011
Preliminary results of the CCE RG Investment Plan – Market Studies Zdenek Hruska Convenor Subgroup market Modelling for RG CCE RG CCE Workshop 5 December 2011 Prague, Czech Republic
Content • Overall Process of RgIP and TYNDP 2012 • Methodology of Market simulations • Scope of market simulations results • From market studies to grid studies 6 December 2011 | Page 39
Overview of common RG CCE process 10.01 0.8 1.91 5.3 0.1 3.6 2.75 6.87 3.4 3.48 19.85 2.7 TWh p.a. 0.3 19.01 2.3 3000 10.0 2500 2.40 0.14 2000 2.5 1.30 0.5 0.12 7.1 1500 3.24 0.34 1000 500 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 -500 Market -1000 -1500 Studies -2000 PL-CZ PTDF flows PL-CZ Market flows PTDF method Grid study 6 December 2011 | Page 40
Overview and key findings • Based on validated common database and consulted scenarios • ENTSO-E SDC Regional Groups perform jointly regional analyses while TSO experts sharing views and building jointly solutions • The entire Europe was modeled; results communicated and shared by all RGs • Several sensitivity studies were carried out (nuclear power plants phase out, CO2 price change; ...) • Indication of the future market and grid needs with regards to the EU energy goals • A top-down, open, dense and complex study process with consistent results and constantly improving within ENTSO-E 6 December 2011 | Page 41
Methodology of market simulations 6 December 2011 | Page 42
Market Study towards RgIP and TYNDP 2012 MARKET SIMULATION • Pan European Common Market Database to ensure consistency (over 1 million items) – under ENTSO-E SDC • More than 30 countries in the DB • SW PowrSym3 - OSA, Inc. (USA) • Perfect market model, no subsidies, no capacity payment, no market player bahaviour • ENTSO-E common guidelines • Bottom-up & top-down scenario development (consulted, complying with EC initiatives and NREAPS) • Shared by all RGs: methodologies, data and results • The main focus was to model whole ENTSO-E 6 December 2011 | Page 43
Market Study towards RgIP and TYNDP 2012 ASSUMPTIONS and DATA SETS • Common data sets for all RGs: • Transfer capacity for interconnections • Installed capacity of power plants • Consistent time series for RES and load • Same fuel prices, efficiency, etc. for whole Europe to follow behavior of energy sector • TSO experts sharing views and building jointly solutions 6 December 2011 | Page 44
RG CCE Market Simulation – Fundamental Scenarios Scenario EU2020 (European target 202020) • Data according to NREAPs (National renewable energy action plan) • Price of CO2 emissions (high price level – price level influencing merit order of power plants) • Load (energy saving) and generation portfolio specific to this scenario Scenario B • Data according to actual way of energy sector development (TSO Best Estimate) • Price of CO2 emissions (low price level) • Load and generation portfolio specific to this scenario 6 December 2011 | Page 45
RG CCE Market Simulation – Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivities on Scenario EU2020 • Price of CO2 emissions (middle price level for CO2 market) • Price of CO2 emissions (low price level– price level according to Scenario B outlook for CO2 market) • German Nuclear phase out (installed capacity in 2020) Sensitivities on Scenario B • German Nuclear phase out (installed capacity in 2020) • Price of CO2 emissions (middle price level for CO2 market) • Set of scenario frame to asses the possible future market behavior 6 December 2011 | Page 46
Scope of results 6 December 2011 | Page 47
Balances for EU2020 Base case and Nuclear phase out Nuclear phase out – 24TWh additional import of RG CCE CCE is a net importer in Scenario EU 2020 and more for Nuclear phase out Each value of annual balance represents sum of individual hours of year For PL additional import from Belarusia and HU from Ukraine 6 December 2011 | Page 48
Market exchanges for EU2020 and its Nuclear phase out Each value of annual exchanges represents sum of individual hours of year Highest market exchanges in RG CCE: DE-AT, SK-HU, AT-SI, AT-HU,CZ-SK For PL additional import from Belarusia and HU from Ukraine 6 December, 2011 | Page 49
Hourly commercial exchange and duration curve Hourly results per border and duration curve At this stage – commercial exchange, not physical flows 6 December 2011 | Page 50
Comparison of commercial exchange (duration curve) 2000 1500 Comparison of commercial 1000 exchange in different scenarios for one border 500 Changes in 0 generation 0 876 1752 2628 3504 4380 5256 6132 7008 7884 8760 portfolio or grid structure influence -500 also areas quite far away -1000 -1500 -2000 RO-HU B base case RO-HU B nuclear phase out RO-HU EU base case RO-HU EU nuclear phase out 6 December 2011 | Page 51
Scenario EU2020 Energy production, RES share in CCE region (202020 target) year 2020 300 60.0% Overview of energy % GWh production inside CCE. 250 50.0% Share of RES production 200 40.0% 150 30.0% 100 20.0% 50 10.0% 0 0.0% RG CCE DE PL CZ SK AT HU RO SI HR Nuclear Lignite Hard Coal Gas Oil Hydro Phyd Wind Other REN RES/production RES/consumption 6 December 2011 | Page 52
Hourly output per type and country (scope of results) Hourly results per type of power plants Results available for each modelled country Maintenance and outages taken into account Technology restriction (min up and down time, ramp rates,…) 6 December 2011 | Page 53
Input data - Installed capacity Scenario EU2020 Total installed capacity and share of technologies 1114G 347GW 45GW 24GW 186GW 5GW 8GW 40GW 26GW 6GW 7GW 100% In RG CCE only 90% 50% of Installed capacity is reliable 80% available capacity 70% The rest of the capacity 50% is 60% constituted from 50% non dispatchable 40% generation 30% Non-dispatchable 20% generation consists of run of river, wind 10% and dispersed 0% generation ENTSO-E RG CCE AT CZ DE HR HU PL RO SI SK including Solar NUCLEAR HARDCOAL LIGNITE CCGT GAS OIL OTHER PUMP HYDRO RESRVOIR HYDRO ROR WIND 6 December 2011 | Page 54
Load and non-dispatchable generation Scenario EU2020 Peak of non- dispatchable generation is higher than minimum load in RG CCE (AT) For Germany Peak is higher than maximum load Non-dispatchable generation consists of run of river, wind and dispersed generation including Solar 6 December 2011 | Page 55
Average marginal costs – EU2020, B and sensitivity studies Overall price levels of energy are very dependent on CO2 price level Not taken into account consumer prices (feeding tarifs, …) 6 December 2011 | Page 56
Conclusions I • Common coordinated process by ENTSO-E • All European countries modelled • European visions & Best Estimate assumptions for future implemented in model • Successfully created inputs for grid studies by market studies 6 December 2011 | Page 57
Conclusions II • RG CCE (Scenario EU 2020) o importer of 6TWh o nuclear phase out import of 30TWh • 50% of installed capacity in RG CCE could be dependent on non dispatchable generation (weather conditions dependency – water, sun, wind) • Interconnections within the CCE region reduce around 4.5Mts CO2/a 6 December 2011 | Page 58
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Zdenek Hruska hruskaz@ceps.cz 5 December 2011
Preparation and Results towards RgIP and TYNDP 2012 RG Continental Central East Grid Studies Norbert Lechner 5 December 2011 Prague, Czech Republic
Overview of common RG CCE process Why we need grid studies? 6 December 2011 | Page 61
Overview of common RG CCE process Why we need grid studies? - Market simulations show the generation dispatch and market flows for the chosen scenario - market flows are not identical with physical flows but: knowledge of physical flows is necessary to elaborate planned grid extensions and identify new projects 6 December 2011 | Page 62
Overview of common RG CCE process Market Studies 10.01 0.8 1.91 5.3 0.1 & Evaluation Project identification 3.6 2.75 & Validation Scenario elaboration 6.87 3.4 3.48 19.85 2.7 TWh p.a. 0.3 19.01 2.3 10.0 2.40 0.14 2.5 1.30 0.5 0.12 7.1 3.24 0.34 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 -500 -1000 -1500 -2000 PL-CZ PTDF flows PL-CZ Market flows PTDF method Grid Studies 6 December 2011 | Page 63
Power Transfer Distribution Factors (PTDF) 6 December 2011 | Page 64
Reason for using the PTDF approach Output of market simulations: 8736 Situations per scenario too many situations to make for all AC grid calculations To choose those situations that will be relevant for dimensioning the future grid a rough choice out of the market data is necessary ?? Advantage PTDF 25.000 DE 20.000 approach: there is the 15.000 possibility to make a first 10.000 5.000 analyses of all cases MW 0 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 -5.000 -10.000 -15.000 -20.000 Hours
PTDF- Basic principle I ∆P ∆Pab A B A→ B = Line ab Node A node B PTDF ∆P ab line ∆Pab line ax xb Node x PTDFabA→ B = PTD-Factor / relation A→B = Transaction from node A to B ab = connection between node A and B ∆Pab = power on the connection ab ∆P = power of the overall transaction from node A to B source: Duthaler C.L 2007: Power Transfer Distribution Factors; Analyse der Anwendung im Ucte-Netz (Analysis of use in the UCTE grid). Master‘s thesis 2007
PTDF- Basic principle II • In the CCE-PTDF-Matrix every country is modeled as a single node • One country is used as a reference node (here: AT) • Grid calculations were done, what is the impact on each border inside continental ENTSO_E for an additional market flow from one country to the reference • Theses calculations were done for every country inside continental ENTSO_E • =>PTD Factors between every country and the reference country were found • A market flow between country A and B is calculated as a flow from A to reference and from reference to B
PTDF- Basic principle III • All PTD Factors were put together in a matrix in excel • PTDF is a fast possibility to analyze a lot of cases • critical cases can be find out with help of PTDF • but: additional AC-load flow calculations are necessary due: - PTDF is a linear solution of a no linear problem - no information's about flows inside a country
Comparison of market flow and PTDF flow duration curve (PL-CZ profile) Scenario EU2020 3000 Comparison of 2500 commercial exchange and 2000 PTDF flow 1500 Identification of cases of interest – 1000 input for network studies 500 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 -500 -1000 -1500 -2000 PL-CZ PTDF flows PL-CZ Market flows 6 December 2011 | Page 69
AC load flow calculations 6 December 2011 | Page 70
The points in time have been chosen to justify the necessity of projects included in RIP and verify if they are enough to satisfy the network security in following situations Significant transits: North-to-South (4 cases) Northwest-to-Southeast (1 case) Highly loaded cross-border profiles, (3 cases) RES integration: High RES generation (2 case) (all cases for Scenario EU2020)
From Market studies To Grid Studies Based on generation dispatch within CCE region – allocation of power output to particular generators in the grid for specific cases (out of PTDF-results) Loading of each individual element of the grid Security assessment (N-1, voltage,…) 6 December 2011 | Page 72
Network model for RC CCE study – example for results: (for the northwest – southeast transit case) Market exchanges can be significantly different from flows in the grid PTDF calculation is considered as useful tool 6 December 2011 | Page 73
Investments in CCE in TYNDP 2012 6 December 2011 | Page 74
Mid term investments in Region CCE (draft) 6 December 2011 | Page 75
Long term investments in Region CCE (draft) 6 December 2011 | Page 76
Project Monitoring • Main reasons for projects delays: • Financial issues – lack of support, financial gap • Permit granting procedure – long process, local opposition, environmental aspects • Generation investment uncertainty – RES and conventional generators • Harmonization with other investments (priority aspects, project rescheduling) • Main reasons for earlier commissioning • Security issues • Power plant evacuation – rapid increase of RES • Other projects were cancelled or changed their structure • New projects also evolved 6 December 2011 | Page 77
Project Monitoring and Indicators Share of each category is for all monitored indicators in conformity with other RGs. No significant discrepancy 6 December 2011 | Page 78
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Norbert Lechner norbert.lechner@tennet.eu 5 December 2011
Towards TYNDP 2014 and further Dimitrios Chaniotis Manager, ENTSO-E Secretariat RG CCE Workshop 5 December 2011 Prague, Czech Republic
The path to 2020 and 2050 Oslo Warsaw Rome Madrid 6 December 2011 | Page 81
European transmission grid – key role in reaching the EU policy goals Energy policy goals • Sustainability/GHG: ̶ More renewables, further from the loads ̶ More heating and mobility with electricity • Competitiveness/market integration: ̶ More long-distance flows • Security of supply ̶ More optimal resources sharing 6 December 2011 | Page 82
Two difficult questions! • What would happen if the projects in the TYNDP cannot be delivered? • Do you think that the TYNDP projects will be delivered? 6 December 2011 | Page 83
From words to actions - field initiatives for public acceptance • Facts: – Less than 1% of overhead lines built during the last decade – TYNDP 2010 14,4% increase needed by 2020 – Slow and cumbersome permitting procedures the main obstacle for delivering investments – Public acceptance cannot be improved by TSOs alone • What needs to be done, now! – Policy makers, Mayors, NGOs, Administrations and Media should deliver the same message: “a sustainable and CO2 free power system tomorrow implies more transmission lines from now on” 6 December 2011 | Page 84
From words to actions - legislative implementation • Some stability in EU legislation - avoid new concepts becoming part of official documents – when relying on unproven or fuzzy concepts, or – technologies without track records in the EU network • Some compatibility among the 27 MS energy policies
From words to actions - attractive financing framework Stock listed and Money flows to companies & Equity projects with the best perceived Privately owned TSOs risk/return profile. State owned TSOs TSO = safe perception Loans Other TSOs Rating Agency requirements! What do EU TSOs need to be well positioned in the globalised capital market ? • “real” return in line with similar risk profiles businesses • incentives for activities “really” managed by TSOs • legislation and regulation in line with 20 to 50 years assets
The Energy Infrastructure Package • A timely legislative initiative addressing the most urgent issues • Huge step forward to streamline permitting procedures • Positive but unfocused effort to facilitate investments on the transmission grid • Cost-allocation is just part of the overall picture – cost-benefit analysis not a panacea • Incentivizing TSOs to deliver on time should be the priority • Regional approach for decision making with TYNDP as the main starting point – Projects of Common Interest
The role of ENTSO-E after 2012 • The TYNDP as the only basis for identifying projects of common interest • With an open, transparent and non-discriminatory procedure for including non-TSO projects • Deliver a cost-benefit analysis adapted to the real needs of the deciding bodies • A common basis for identifying financing gaps • Provide the top-down technical overview at the EC regional Groups • Avoiding duplication of efforts
Conclusions • The Energy Infrastructure Package is a much needed policy initiative • Streamlining permitting processes must happen now • Focus on regulation that incentivizes TSOs • ENTSO-E is ready to undertake the new roles to be assigned to it … • … continuing being a listening organization, operating in transparency and involving all stakeholders
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Dimitrios Chaniotis dimitrios.chaniotis@entsoe.eu 5 December 2011
Way forward and role of RG CCE in Grid Development Members RG CCE RG CCE Workshop 5 December 2011 Prague, Czech Republic
TYNDP 2014 and further – continuously increasing quality • Long visions that have a larger spam than 10 years (e.g. vision 2030) • Creating the methodology for the European CBA • Updating and improving the network model for the pan- European and regional network studies • Updating and improving the existing pan-European market data base (PEMD) – base for the Regional market studies • Looking for continuous coherency with longer term plans – 2050 E-HIGHWAYS, North-Sea grid, Mediterranean ring, System Extension Project (Ukraine/Moldavia, ..) 6 December 2011 | Page 92
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Andrew Kasembe kasembe@ceps.cz 5 December 2011
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