Swiss Asset manager ratings - The winners and their best investments BILANZ Special Issue

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  Swiss Asset
 manager ratings
The winners and their best investments

                 Special Issue
              from BILANZ 3/2021
                   © BILANZ
INVEST ASSET MANAGER RATING 2021

LAKEFIELD PARTNERS
ASSET MANAGER OF THE YEAR (60 M)

VINICIO MARSIAJ
von Lakefield Partners vertraut auf sein System, um Emotionen auszuschalten. Die Risikoindikatoren geben für Aktien trotz der hohen Bewertun-
gen positive Signale.

(From left to right) Paul A. Schütz, Vinicio Marsiaj, Bilal Jusufi, Bruno Verstraete, Andreas Sidler

FOCUS ON
RETURNS
Asset Manager Rating For the tenth time, BILANZ set out to find
the best money managers in Switzerland. How they mastered the
turbulent year 2020 and which stocks they are betting on in 2021.

S
BY ERICH GERBL

              wiss asset managers                  hand, there were the digitalisation                 manager in such a turbulent stock
              will not forget 2020                 winners, who could hardly save                      market year.
              anytime soon. The                    themselves from business, and on                       For the tenth time, BILANZ selects
                                                                                                                                                  Pictures: Joseph Khakshouri for BILANZ

              worst stock market                   the other hand, the big losers from                 the best asset managers in Switzer-
              carnage in decades                   sectors such as the airline industry,               land and shows which money mana-
              was followed by a re-                who are still fighting for survival.                gers did particularly well in this envi-
              covery rally that ex-                The difference in valuation between                 ronment. For this purpose, the
              ceeded even the wil-                 value and growth stocks widened to                  service provider Firstfive compared
              dest expectations.                   a level not seen for two decades.                   110 real client portfolios. All trans-
   The upheavals tore a huge wave                  In short, you could make a lot of                   actions were booked via the asset
through the market. On the one                     mistakes as a professional money                    management software, thereby stan-

                                                                         2
Vinicio Marsiaj’s favourites:                                                           was not a matter of course, as many
                                                                                        asset managers rebalance their port-
▶ Bank of America                                                                       folios on a quarterly basis, and not
«Bank of America Corp. is the largest financial institution in the US. US retail
                                                                                        necessarily at the end of the quarter.
banks have significantly lagged the rising interest rate trend. Higher interest rates      Experienced money managers
are usually accompanied by higher profit margins for commercial banks. As the eco-      took advantage of the attractive offers
nomy recovers, banks will benefit from increased business activity and better credit    when the mood on the markets was
quality.» ISIN: US0605051046                                                            still at rock bottom. «We bought at the
▶ ABB                                                                                   beginning of April after the price col-
«The ABB share is currently one of our most important positions in the Swiss Large      lapse. At that time, it was by no me-
Cap Fund. The company is active in power supply, energy systems, process automa-        ans clear to us whether the prices
tion and robotics segments. We bought the share because it will benefit from            would slide again or not. However,
growth in Asia, especially in China. The European Green Deal will also contribute       we were convinced that many assets
to a positive business development.» ISIN: CH0012221716                                 were clearly undervalued at that
▶ Komax Holding                                                                         time,» says Matthias Hug of Format
«Komax is a Swiss manufacturer of wire processing machines. Komax›s automatic           Vermögen & Anlagen AG, who out-
assembly systems are required in the telecommunications, medical and automotive         performed his competitors in the
industries. The company suffered from the weakening of the automotive sector in         conservative and balanced risk clas-
2020. We expect an economic recovery to benefit this high-quality company.»             ses over a twelve-month period. Nor
ISIN: CH0010702154
                                                                                        was Hug unprepared. During a situa-
                                                                                        tion assessment in 2019, he had come
                                                                                        to the conclusion that the economic
                                                                                        cycle was nearing its end and had
                                                                                        reduced the risks in all portfolios.
dardised, and controlled. This                cal fluctuations were wrong. Growth       Defensive shares such as BKW or
uniform data basis makes the compa-           stocks collapsed less than their histo-   Emmi and US government bonds
rison unique.                                 rical volatility would have suggested,    with long maturities were added to
   The managers who achieved parti-           and then recovered even more stron-       the portfolios instead.
cularly high returns in relation to the       gly. «The difference in the perfor-
risk taken are distinguished. The ta-         mance of asset managers has never         EMOTIONS TRICKED
ble on page 5 shows the best perfor-          been as great as it is in 2020,» says     The asset manager Helvetic Trust, on
mance per risk class over one and             Matthias Hunn, Firstfive›s represen-      the other hand, held a lot of physical
three years. The «Asset Manager of            tative in Switzerland and managing        gold and convertible bonds and was
the Year» award is given to those who         director of FinGuide, a company that      thus able to profit. «The asymmetri-
have performed best in three out of           helps private individuals find suitable   cal risk-return profile of convertible
four different risk classes over a cer-       asset managers.                           bonds gave us security and confi-
tain period. Many asset managers                                                        dence, especially in March 2020, to
had a hard time in 2020.                      LUCK IN MISFORTUNE                        stay invested and not have to sell in
   Models that had been established              Despite all the skill, luck also       the market weakness,» says CIO Kay
for years no longer worked during             played a part. An automatic rebalan-      Fischer.
the politically imposed shutdown              cing of the portfolios on 31 March           Other asset managers were able to
and the accompanying economic                 came shortly after the low point and      block out emotions with the help of
slump. Programmes fed with histori-           thus at exactly the right time. This      technology. «When the fog was at its
                                                                                        thickest in March and nobody knew
                                                                                        where the economy was going, we
                                                                                        trusted our systems and bought
                                                                                        equity in April,» says Vinicio Marsiaj

„Our method has been established                                                        of Lakefield Partners, best asset ma-
                                                                                        nager over 60 months. The in-house

in the market since 2002 and has                                                        model has been analysing the most
                                                                                        important economic indicators since
already experienced the good, the                                                       2002. The idea behind it, very simpli-
                                                                                        fied: If the analysis shows an upturn
bad and the very ugly. The method                                                       in economic activity, the risk is incre-
                                                                                        ased. «Our method has been establis-
is deep in our DNA.”                                                                    hed in the market since 2002 and has
                                                                                        already experienced a lot - the good,
Bruno Verstraete, Lakefield Partners                                                    the bad and the very ugly. The method

                                                                    3
is deep in our DNA,» says Bruno Ver-      lead to significantly higher corpo-
straete of Lakefield Partners.
   If the approach advises buying,
                                          rate profits and rising share prices,»
                                          says Hug. One of the main drivers           How testing
investments are made even if fear
dominates the markets. «That›s
                                          remains the investment emergency.
                                          «With cash, bonds and real estate,
                                                                                      takes place
where you need discipline, not emo-       less high returns can be achieved              The asset manager rating is
tion,» says Verstraete.                   than in the last 20 years. That is why      based on a continuous evaluation
   After the storm, it was important      equities are by far the most attractive     of real client portfolios by the
to bet on the right stocks. The techno-   asset class in our view, both for 2021      German financial services provi-
logy sector was booming like rarely       and for the decade as a whole,» says        der Firstfive AG. 110 portfolios
before. «In the weakness of the mar-      Hug. He expects a good equity portfo-       were evaluated for BILANZ.
ket, we further expanded our US           lio to generate double-digit returns in     Firstfive is very precise. All tran-
share and thus technology, as a clear     2021. With the economy in recovery          sactions are recorded in parallel
acceleration of structural change         from the crisis and at the beginning of     on its own asset management
and digitalisation became appa-           the next economic cycle, he says cyc-       software. This creates a uniform
rent,» says Bruno Milesi, a Basel-        lical sectors, basic materials, industri-   data basis that does not exist in
based asset manager who won the           als and consumer discretionary are          this form elsewhere in Switzer-
moderately dynamic risk class over        particularly attractive at the moment.      land.
three years.                              Hug likes Sulzer, AMS, Zehnder, Barry          The decisive factor for the
   The asset manager Premium Stra-        Callebaut, Helvetia, Hiag Immo and          placement is the return in rela-
tegy Partners AG came through the         Swissquote in addition to his recom-        tion to the risk taken, the so-
crisis well with a special approach.      mendations.                                 called Sharpe ratio. This ratio
The Zurich-based company speciali-                                                    shows how much the risk has
ses in the so-called barbell strategy.    RETURN OF THE BEATEN                        been earned.
This investment concept involves in-      Lucas Patt also believes in a successful       The risk results from the fluc-
vesting simultaneously in invest-         implementation of the testing and           tuations in the value of the port-
ments that are strongly correlated        vaccination strategy as well as a par-      folio. The risk adjustment of the
with the markets and those that are       tial return of the normal life. If Patt     returns makes a fair performance
less correlated. An example of an         has his way, the airline and travel         comparison possible. As a rule,
investment that moves little with the     industry, the hotel industry and the        money managers buy higher
markets is the shares of the vaccine      catering sector will benefit the most.      profit potential with higher
manufacturer Moderna. When selec-         The duty-free provider Dufry is one         risks.
ting investments, one focuses on          of his favourites. He also believes            There is a list of best perfor-
trends. «When a trend comes along,        that banks, insurance companies,            mers in four risk categories for
we jump on it,» explains Lucas Patt,      precious metals, commodities and            different time periods. The risk
one of the three partners of the          the energy sector will do well in           classification of the portfolios is
Zurich-based company. These can           2021. Nor is the time of the Corona         based on the real price fluctua-
be short-term trends like vaccines or     profiteers over yet. Companies that         tions of the investments.
long-term ones like electromobility,      reduce personal contact will conti-            For the «Asset Manager of the
hydrogen or artificial intelligence. In   nue to enjoy brisk demand. «The             Year» award, Firstfive combines
addition, Premium Strategy Partners       possibility of working from home            the results from three out of
«writes» puts and calls on companies      will remain an integral part of the         four submitted risk classes on
such as Lonza or Logitech on a co-        economy,» he says.                          the basis of the Sharpe Ratio via
vered basis. «Normally, big banks            Lakefield Partners› risk indicators      a points ranking. The strategies
offer this for special clients,» says     give positive signals for equities des-     with the best Sharpe Ratio are
Patt.                                     pite the high valuations. However,          rated.
                                          according to Vinicio Marsiaj, regions          The best Sharpe Ratio recei-
DRIVERS OF THE ASSET CRISIS               are recovering unevenly - a develop-        ves 33.33 points and is the
Currently, the markets and the real       ment that is exacerbated by the vary-       benchmark for the subsequent
economy seem to be drifting apart.        ing pace of vaccinations. The faster        places. These receive points ac-
Investors are wondering how long          immunisation takes place, the more          cording to the percentage achie-
the party on the stock markets will       tangible normality becomes. The per-        vement of the top result. The
continue. Matthias Hug believes that      centage weight of the service sector in     winner is the asset management
the economy will continue to reco-        an economic area will determine the         company with the highest total
ver as soon as the measures to com-       recovery potential in the coming            number of points. The winner
bat the pandemic are eased. He fore-      months. For Swiss portfolios, Lake-         must achieve outstanding
casts global economic growth of five      field Partners is focusing on cyclicals,    performance in three different
to six percent for 2021. «This will       «anything that benefits from normali-       investment strategies.

                                                      4
INVEST ASSET MANAGER RATING 2021

Asset Manager of the Year
In the «Asset Manager of the Year» ranking, Firstfive evaluates strategies across three risk classes.
The winners are distinguished by consistent performance with different risk tolerance and risk
taking ability. The maximum score is 100 points.

             Timeframe               Winner                                                                         Points

             12 Months               Format Vermögen & Anlagen AG                                                   93,5

             36 Months               Oddo-BHF Trust GmbH                                                            74,1

             60 Months               Lakefield Partners                                                             94,3

sation». The rotation towards cyclicals       cus for investors as a result of the enor-   believes the priced-in profit and
is one of the most important themes           mous support measures by central             growth forecasts for the full year are
for Marsiaj in 2021. Cyclicals from the       banks and governments. Geographi-            too high. He believes that the sales
SPI Extra, in which Swiss stocks out-         cally, he is looking east. «We expect a      losses from the first half of the year
side the SMI are represented, are over-       more Pacific world, not least because        cannot be compensated for in the se-
weighted.                                     of the merger of Asian countries into a      cond half. «This realisation will incre-
   Erich Pfister of Oddo BHF stands           free trade zone, and we see the enor-        ase the risks on the stock market.
out with his dynamic strategy in the          mous potential that this region offers,»        We expect a consolidation phase
three-year view. He believes in strong        he says.                                     until spring.» There are entry opportu-
economic growth in 2021 and predicts                                                       nities for late deciders. Fischer: «This
a resurrection of value stocks in this        OPPORTUNITIES FOR LAGGARDS                   phase is interesting for acquisitions.
environment after the long outperfor-            Kay Fischer, chief investor of Helve-     Afterwards, we see markets clearly ri-
mance of growth stocks. Oddo BHF is           tic Trust, is more sceptical than his ri-    sing again.» The never-ending central
in the process of adjusting its portfo-       vals: «We have reached a level from          bank stimulus in combination with the
lios. Pfister believes that the issues of     which the stock markets will not conti-      improved economic outlook is having
inflation and debt are coming into fo-        nue to rise uninterruptedly.» The CIO        a positive effect. Fischer focuses on
                                                                                           sustainable companies. Bruno Milesi
                                                                                           sees renewable energies as one of the
                                                                                           megatrends that were accelerated by
                                                                                           Corona and will continue beyond the
In such a turbulent stock market                                                           crisis. The same applies to gaming,
                                                                                           cloud computing, cybersecurity, e-
year as 2020, you could make a                                                             commerce and automation, he said.
                                                                                           Overall, he sees the US markets at an
lot of mistakes as a professional                                                          advantage compared to the European

money manager.
                                                                                           ones. The profit growth of companies
                                                                                           will be decisive in 2021.

                                                                  5
Awards from Lakefield Partners in Bilanz’s asset
manager rating

                     Rank Risk Category              Timeframe

                     1     «Conservative»            over 60 months

                     3     «Balanced»                over 60 months
2021
                     1     «Moderate dynamic»        over 60 months

                     1     «Dynamic»                 over 60 months

                     1     «Moderate dynamic»        over 60 months

2020                 1     «Dynamic»                 over 60 months

                     3     «Balanced»                over 60 months

                     1     «Dynamic»                 over 60 months
2019
                     3     «Balanced»                over 60 months

2018                 1     «Moderate dynamic»        over 36 months

                     1     «Moderate dynamic»        over 36 months
2017
                     2     «Conservative»            over 36 months

2016                 1     «Conservative»            over 36 months

Public funds for investors managed by Lakefield Partners
Investment class     Fund Name                                                 ISIN

Equities             Lakefield Swiss Large Cap Equity                 LU1441982045

                     Lakefield Swiss Mid & Small Cap Equity           LU1441977045

                     Lakefield Dynamic World Equity                   LU1225541801

                     Lakefield Swiss Equity Risk Controlled           CH0435113698

Fixed income         Lakefield Dynamic Global Bond                    LU1225540076

Multi asset          Lakefield Dynamic Global Core                    LU0618382104

Alternatives         Lakefield Swiss Equity long/short                LU1543686478

                                                                                               Lakefield Part
                                                                                                              ners is a
                                                                                        FINMA-regula
                                                                                                       ted asset ma
                                                                                      that supports                     nager
                                                                                                    private and in
Seefeldstrasse 281                                                                         investors in ach         st itu tional
8008 Zürich                                                                                                 ieving their
                                                                                             investment ob
Tel. 043 500 4000                                                                                           jectives.

info@lakefieldpartners.com
www.lakefieldpartners.com
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