WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

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WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING
 ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

         Current and planned activities of the

Regional Center SDSWAS for North Africa, Europe
                and Middle East

                     AEMet - BSC

ESA/WMO Expert Consultation Meeting For Development of
   Satellite Products Relevant to the WMO SDS-WAS
          Barcelona, Spain, September 8-9 2009
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
WMO Sand and Dust Storm Warning and
                 Assessment System (SDS WAS)
•    To enhance the ability of participating countries to
     establish and improve systems for forecasting and warning
     to suppress the impact of Sand and Dust Storm
by
• Establishing a coordinated global network of Sand and
   Dust Storm forecasting centers delivering products useful
   to a wide range of users in understanding and reducing
   the impacts of SDS
    North Africa, Middle East and Europe                                    Asia

    BSC-CNS
    AEMET, Spain                                                 China Meteorological
                                                                 Administration (CMA)
                                                                 Xiao Ye Zhang
                                                                 xiaoye@cams.cma.gov.cn
                              WMO REGIONAL CENTRES
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
SDS-WAS Regional Centre

Supports a node in a global network of SDS-WAS research and operational partners
implementing SDS-WAS objectives in a region. The members of this node are the host institution
of the SDS-WAS RC and regional partners engaged in research and operations of SDS-WAS. The
node itself is organized as a federated system.

Objectives

      To provide a web-based portal for user access to regional research and forecast
     activities and services

      To provide neutral ground for operations, research and capacity building in the region
     and to build partnerships

      To support the identification and organization of activities through a regional steering
     group (RSG) consisting of representatives of members of the regional node covering
     research, operations and selected users. SDS-RC supports the activities of the node agreed
     upon by the Regional Steering Group. The appointment and organization of the RSG
     activities are assisted by the WMO Secretariat

      To cooperate with existing operational service delivery mechanisms, recognizing that
     warnings related to SDS-WAS are generally the responsibility of the National
     Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and that SDS-WAS products provide
     input to NMHSs.

      To report to the SDS-WAS Steering Committee annually
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
REGIONAL NODE
                             REGIONAL CENTER
  Partner 1                                                Value-
                                                           Value-added
                                                       products and services

  Partner 2
              Observations             long-term
                                       data archives        Analysis
  Partner 3

                                                                               U S E R S
                                                        Capacity
  Partner 4                        CAL/VAL              Building
                Validation
                                    QC/QA

  Partner 5

                                                          Monitoring
  Partner 6
                                      near real-time
                Modeling              data
  …                                                      Forecasting

  Partner n
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
PROPOSED ACTIVITIES DEVELOPMENTS (2009-2013)                                Web page
SDS WAS for North Africa, Middle East and Europe

 PHASE-1 (2009-2010)

 1) Implementation of a “Distributed Federated Information and Delivery System”,
 through an Internet portal, of comprehensible and standardized products related to
 the dust phenomena in the region, including observations and forecasts from
 associated institutions.
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
Near real-time monitoring
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)
                        PHOTONS/AERONET/RIMA
                        - AOD
                        - Size distribution

                                                   SYNOP and METAR:
                                                   -Visibility
                                                   -Meteorology??
                                                    Surface Winds!!!

                 EARLINET
                 European lidar network

                            PM10 Network
                            In Southern Europe
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
Near real-time monitoring
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)

        Seawifs                           MSG SEVIRI; 15’-frame movies

                       OMAERO AOD

                              OMI AI

                                Calipso
                      Modis
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
Modeling
Standardisation of the forecast visualization

    Starting from simple url links keeping the current visualization standards of
    each Partner…..
                                                Forecasts

        BSC-DREAM                   CHIMERE-dust                    MOCAGE-dust

                                                                       ....N Model

          SKIRON                           NAAPS
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
Modeling
…. Standardization of forecast visualization

                                                Forecasts

      BSC-DREAM                      CHIMERE-dust
                                                                 ……N Model

                                                            Needs:
                                                            - Colours
             SKIRON                            NAAPS
                                                            - Products
                                                            - Units to be displayed
                                                            - Domains?
                                                            - ….
   Just an example with BSC-DREAM and CHIMERE-dust
WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
We recognize that for success in the long term, it is important to establish a mix of
research and operational activities with a strong dialog and link to capacity building
     Current capacities permit useful information to be provided to users

     However, strong uncertainties in forecasts and quantitative observations
    in and near sources

                                            Experimental campaigns

         SAMUM I                                              BODEX
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)                                                            Modeling

2) Implementation of a near real-time quantitative and qualitative common
verification system for all participating forecast models included in the web-site

                                               Seawifs Qualitative

       All other models
                                      MSG SEVIRI RGB Dust product
       .
                                      qualitative verification with high temporal
       .
                                      resolution (15 min.) and spatial (5 km)
       .
       .
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)                                                           Modeling

  2) Implementation of a near real-time quantitative and qualitative common
  verification system for all participating forecast models included in the web-site

                                         OMAERO AOD Quantitative

                                         OMI AI Semi-Quantitative
Other models: …

Other near real time satellite products:…            - Pixel comparisons
                                                     - Skill scores
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)                                                   Model verification

 2) Implementation of a near real-time quantitative and qualitative common
 verification system for all participating forecast models included in the web-site
 Other near real time data:                                  AOD Photons
                                                             AOD Model 1
PHOTONS/AERONET/RIMA                                         .
                                                             .
- AOD                                                        AOD Model N
- Size distribution

  SYNOP and METAR:
  -Visibility
  -Meteorology??
   Surface Winds!!!

                                                                 Only few stations
  PM10 Network
                                                                 near real time.
  In Southern Europe
                                                                 No real time in
                                                                 North Africa
SDSWAS: Regional and Global models with dust module    Modeling
List not exhaustive / complete / needs to be updated
REGIONAL NODE
                             REGIONAL CENTER
  Partner 1                                                 Value-
                                                            Value-added
                                                        products and services

  Partner 2                            long-term
              Observations             data archives,        Analysis
                                       experiments
  Partner 3

                                                                                U S E R S
  Partner 4                        CAL/VAL               + Capacity
                Validation                               Building
                                     QA

  Partner 5

                                                           Monitoring
  Partner 6
                                      near real-time
                Modeling              data
  …                                                       Forecasting

  Partner n
Data processing

 Fast and reliable real time or near real time data and imagery access;
 Historical data access;
 Data integration from multi-sensor, multi-satellite and modeling products;
 Analytical capabilities;
 Product dissemination that allows fast and reliable information delivery to users;
 Products targeting users at different levels;
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)                                                                 Data processing

3) Prepare validation system of historical/archived data, multi-year simulations and
tailored multi-model experiments

Use AEROCOM system (IPSL) with regional          http://nansen.ipsl.jussieu.fr/AEROCOM/aerocomhome.html
dust models

- Already includes an amazing amount of
observations (including MODIS, POLDER,
MISR, AVHHR, SEAWIFS, TOMS, AERONET,
EARLINET and surface concentrations)

- Needs to be adapted to specificities of
regional scale dust models

- Hourly, daily, monthly, yearly validations

- Filter and introduce additional regional
observations, including observations from dust
experimental campaigns (BODEX,
SAMUM,.....), visibility….

- What about meteorology???
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)                                                   Data processing

3) Agree and run first multi-year simulations with current modelling systems

  For those partners lacking of HPC facilities:

  HPC-Europa is a consortium of six leading High Performance Computing
  (HPC) infrastructures including the BSC-CNS and five centres of excellence.
  This consortium aims to provide advanced computational services in an
  integrated manner to the European research community working at the
  frontiers of science.

  Partners can apply for a visit through HPC-Europa and run their long term
  simulations.
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)                                               Data dissemination

4) Data/information dissemination

    SDS WAS RC web page within WMO domain:
       •  Near real time data archives and visual information
       •  Long term data base archive (value-added products)

    www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/What_We_Do/EUMETCast/

    The WMO Information System (WIS)
    It is an overarching approach and a single coordinated global infrastructure
    for the collection, distribution, retrieval of, and access to data and
    information of all WMO and related programmes.
    www.wmo.ch/pages/prog/www/WIS-Web/home.html

      WIS relationship to WMO Programmes

    SDS WAS RC
Data dissemination
 PHASE-1 (2009-2010)

EUMETCAST:
   •  Near real time data archives and visual information
  Mikael Rattenborg (EUMETSAT Operations Director), proposed to
  consider a possible contribution of EUMETSAT to the SDS WAS RC
  data dissemination with the EUMETCAST system.
  Coordination Group of Meteorological Satellites Plenary meeting,
  hosted by EUMETSAT in Maspalomas, Gran Canaria, from 3-7
  November 2008.

                                                              EUMETCast Dissemination
 Atlantic Bird 3 C-band coverage for Europe, Africa, Middle
                                                              EUMETCast provides access to
 East and North Atlantic
                                                              data and services provided by
                                                              several external data providers.
Capacity building
SDS WAS Implementation Plan

5) Capacity building: Effective cooperation between partners in regions will be
established to exploit current routine forecast and observation capabilities, to strengthen
the SDS-WAS monitoring network and to develop a routine verification system.

       Technology transfer with self-sustaining capability and long-term
      partnership in mind.
          i.e. In-situ PM stations and Cimel sunphotometers in Africa
          i.e. Eumetcast stations

       Consultation meetings with national users to develop effective and
      realistic products and tools for their needs;
           i.e. National Meteorological Services, ACMAD, WHO, for aviation
           operations, meningitis epidemics….

       Training courses on use of services that are available;
          i.e. Model and satellite data interpretation and utilisation

       Research workshops and provision of guidance and outreach material
         i.e. 3rd International Workshop on Mineral Dust (Leipzig, September 2008)
Capacity building
PHASE-1 (2009-2010)

     Training courses for National Meterological Services of North Africa and
     Middle East within WMO program
     (i.e. through Spain’s trust funds):

     First Course on SDS WAS in Africa:
          • Remote ground-based and satellite techniques for dust monitoring
          • Dust modeling forceasting: interpretation and use

     Increase the observational capacity in North Africa:
         •   Tamanrasset GAW station (Cimel)
         •   Three new Cimel stations (Tunisia, Egypt and Morocco)
Next challenges
PHASE-2 (2011-2013)

1) Tailored experiments with dust models

2) Data assimilation (GEMS-ECMWF ?? )

3) Ensemble forecasting?

4) Produce validated and tested “state-of-the-art” dust model climatologies for users

5) Observations/models data fusion ??

4) Joint research…

…. To be discussed
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