Electronic Arts Inc. Q4 FY 2020 Results - May 5, 2020 - AWS

 
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Electronic Arts Inc.
Q4 FY 2020 Results
       May 5, 2020
Safe Harbor Statement
    Please review our risk factors on Form 10-Q filed with
    the SEC.
•    Some statements set forth in this document, including the information relating to EA’s fiscal year 2021 guidance and title slate, contain forward-looking statements that are
     subject to change. Statements including words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “plan,” “predict,” “seek,” “goal,” “will,” “may,” “likely,” “should,”
     “could” (and the negative of any of these terms), “future” and similar expressions also identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not
     guarantees of future performance and reflect management’s current expectations. Our actual results could differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking
     statements.

•    Some of the factors which could cause the Company’s results to differ materially from its expectations include the following:

•    The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Continued disruptions, postponements or cancellations of sports seasons and sporting events around which the Company seeks
     to launch games and provide live services; worsening economic conditions that negatively impact discretionary consumer spending and consumer demand; the closure of
     several of the Company’s key locations, including its global headquarters in Redwood City, California and key studios across North America, Europe and Asia which could
     impact (1) the Company’s ability to meet product and live service development schedules, (2) the effectiveness of the Company’s quality controls and game testing
     measures, and (3) the Company’s ability to conduct normal business operations; the inability of third-party developers with whom the Company has partnerships to meet
     product development schedules; sustained closures of the physical stores of key retail partners and deterioration in the financial condition of such retail partners; delays in
     the release date and the decreased unit volume of next-generation consoles from the Company’s platform partners; volatility in foreign currency exchange rates; and other
     risks related to the COVID-19 pandemic that may be unforeseen as of the date of this release.

•    General Business Risks: Sales of the Company’s products and services; the Company’s ability to develop and support digital products and services, including managing
     online security and privacy; outages of our products, services and technological infrastructure; the Company’s ability to manage expenses; the competition in the interactive
     entertainment industry; governmental regulations; the effectiveness of the Company’s sales and marketing programs; the Company’s ability to realize the anticipated
     benefits of acquisitions; the Company’s ability to predict consumer preferences among competing platforms; the Company’s ability to develop and implement new
     technology changes in our tax rates or tax laws timely development and release of the Company’s products and services; and the consumer demand for, and the availability
     of an adequate supply of console hardware units.

•    In addition, other factors which could cause the Company’s results to differ materially from its expectations are described in Part II, Item 1A of Electronic Arts’ latest
     Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q under the heading “Risk Factors”as well as in other documents we have filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our
     Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2019.

•    These forward-looking statements are current as of May 5, 2020. Electronic Arts assumes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statement for any reason,
     except as required by law. In addition, the preliminary financial results set forth in this release are estimates based on information currently available to Electronic Arts.

•    While Electronic Arts believes these estimates are meaningful, they could differ from the actual amounts that Electronic Arts ultimately reports in its Annual Report on Form
     10-K for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2020. Electronic Arts assumes no obligation and does not intend to update these estimates prior to filing its Form 10-K for the
     fiscal year ended March 31, 2020.

                                                                                                                                                                                       2
EA Growth Trends

(in $ millions)                            Net Revenue1                                                                                                  Net Bookings2
                                                                                                5,537
                                                       5,150               4,950                                                                                      5,180                4,944               5,211
                                  4,845                                                                                                          4,942
             4,396                                                                                                           4,566
                                                                                               1,223 Packaged
                                                                                                                                                                                                               1,159        Packaged
                                                       1,700               1,240                                                                                      1,642                1,222
                                  1,971                                                                                                          1,908
             1,987                                                                                                           2,035

                                                                                               4,314 Digital                                                                                                   4,052
                                                       3,450               3,710                                                                                      3,538                3,722                            Digital
                                  2,874                                                                                      2,531               3,034
             2,409

             FY16                FY17                 FY18                 FY19                FY20                         FY16                 FY17                 FY18                FY19                 FY20
                              ASC 605                                                 ASC 606

                                          Gross Profit1                                                                                       Operating Cash Flow1

                                                                                                                                                                     1,692                                     1,797
                                                    75.2%                                    75.3%                           1,465               1,578                                    1,547
                                73.2%                                    73.3%
           69.2%

           FY16                 FY17                 FY18                FY19                 FY20                           FY16                FY17                FY18                 FY19                FY20
                              ASC 605                                                  ASC 606

1. Net revenue, gross profit and operating cash flow are presented on a GAAP basis.
2. Net bookings is an operating metric that EA defines as the net amount of products and services sold digitally or sold-in physically in the period. Net bookings is calculated by adding total net revenue to the change in deferred net
revenue for online-enabled games and mobile platform fees. A calculation of net bookings can be found in the “Net Bookings” tab of the Financial Model provided on our IR website.

These forward-looking statements are valid as of May 5, 2020 only. Electronic Arts assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.                                                                               3
EA Digital Net Bookings by Platform
      PC & Other                          Console                               Mobile1

                                                                                                                                           YOY
    Quarterly                                                          YOY                          Trailing 12 Months                    Growth
                                                                      Growth                                                               9%
    (in $ millions)              1,193                                                              (in $ millions)             4,052
                                                                       (6%)
                                                         1,117                                                        3,722
         1,048                                                                                        3,538
                                    290                                                                                           913      13%
            174                                             272         (6%)                                            806
                                                                                                       697

            698                     768                                                                                          2,623     12%
                                                            707          (8%)                         2,182            2,340

            176                     135                     138           2%                           659              576       516     (10%)

       Q4 FY18                 Q4 FY19                 Q4 FY20                                      Q4 FY18           Q4 FY19   Q4 FY20

1. Mobile digital net bookings only; excludes non-digital mobile items such as licensing revenue.
                                                                                                                                                 4
EA Digital Net Bookings by Composition
      Full Game                   Live                    Mobile1
      Downloads                   Services

                                                                      YOY                       Trailing 12 Months                     YOY
   Quarterly                                                         Growth                                                           Growth
   (in $ millions)                                                    (6%)                          (in $ millions)              4,052 9%
                                 1,193
                                                         1,117                                                         3,722
                                                                                                      3,538                       757      2%
         1,048                      213
                                                            190 (11%)                                                   739
                                                                                                        683
            193

                                    845                                 (7%)                                                     2,779    15%
            679                                             789                                        2,196           2,407

            176                     135                     138                                         659             576       516     (10%)
                                                                         2%
       Q4 FY18                 Q4 FY19                Q4 FY20                                       Q4 FY18           Q4 FY19   Q4 FY20

1. Mobile digital net bookings only; excludes non-digital mobile items such as licensing revenue.
                                                                                                                                                5
FY21 Announced Titles

                 Launch                Title

                                   Burnout Paradise Remastered
                    Q1             Command & Conquer Remastered

                                    FIFA 21
                    Q2
                                    Madden NFL 21

                    Q3             NHL 21

                    Q4

•   Only publicly announced titles are represented above. Titles are reflected in alphabetical order and launch timing is subject to change.
•   We expect to announce additional title releases in FY21 over the coming months, including an unannounced EA SPORTS title, an additional EA HD title, four
    EA Partners titles and two mobile soft-launches.
•   In addition to our unannounced FY21 releases, we will see platform expansions for our current EA titles, plus the release of our previously announced Medal
    of Honor VR title in partnership with Oculus.

These forward-looking statements are valid as of May 5, 2020 only. Electronic Arts assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.              6
Select Live Services and Mobile

                 Console/PC   Mobile
Active Q4 FY20

                                       7
FY21 Guidance

      The following table provides guidance for EA’s FY21 financial performance. These preliminary estimates and expectations are based on current
      information as of May 5, 2020 and are subject to business and economic risks and uncertainties that could cause actual eventsor actual future results
      to differ materially from expectations set forth herein. In addition, while EA does not provide expectations on non-GAAP financial performance
      measures, the following outlook for GAAP-based financial data and a long-term tax rate of 18% are used internally by EA to adjust our GAAP
      expectations to assess EA’s operating results and plan for future periods.

      For more information about the nature of the GAAP-based financial data, please refer to EA’s Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended December 31,
      2019.

                                                                                                       Twelve Months Ending March 31, 2021
                                                                                                                      GAAP-Based Financial Data

                                                                                                                                Change in
                                                                                                                              deferred net
                                                                                                                                 revenue
                                                                                                         Acquisition-            (online-
                                                                                          GAAP             related               enabled               Stock-based
                                                                                        Guidance          expenses               games)            compensation
                           (in $ millions)
                           Total net revenue                                                 5,525                     -                    25                    -
                           Cost of revenue                                                   1,382                     -                     -                    -
                           Operating expense                                                 2,850                   (20)                    -                 (430)
                           Income before provision for income taxes                          1,270                    20                    25                  430
                           Net income                                                          978
                           Number of shares used in computation:
                           Diluted shares                                                      292

                            Operating Cash Flow                                              1,575

These forward-looking statements are valid as of May 5, 2020 only. Electronic Arts assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.                   8
Q1 FY21 Guidance

       The following table provides guidance for EA’s Q1 FY21 financial performance. These preliminary estimates and expectations are based on
       current information as of May 5, 2020 and are subject to business and economic risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or actual
       future results to differ materially from expectations set forth herein. In addition, while EA does not provide expectationson non-GAAP financial
       performance measures, the following outlook for GAAP-based financial data and a long-term tax rate of 18% are used internally by EA to adjust
       our GAAP expectations to assess EA’s operating results and plan for future periods.

       For more information about the nature of the GAAP-based financial data, please refer to EA’s Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended December
       31, 2019.
                                                                                                       Three Months Ending June 30, 2020
                                                                                                                GAAP-Based Financial Data

                                                                                                                                 Change in
                                                                                                        Acquisition-            deferred net
                                                                                         GAAP             related            revenue (online-          Stock-based
                                                                                      Guidance           expenses            enabled games)            compensation
                      (in $ millions)
                       Total net revenue                                                    1,220                       -                    (220)                -
                       Cost of revenue                                                        210                       -                       -                 -
                       Operating expense                                                      635                      (5)                      -               (90)
                       Income before provision for income taxes                               374                       5                    (220)               90
                      Net income                                                               270
                      Number of shares used in computation:
                      Diluted shares                                                           291

These forward-looking statements are valid as of May 5, 2020 only. Electronic Arts assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.                   9
Guidance – Phasing
 FY21 Quarterly Net Revenue and Net Bookings

                                                                                                     Q1E                  Q2E                  Q3E                  Q4E                FY21E

         GAAP Net Revenue %                                                                          22%                  22%                  31%                  25%                 100%

         GAAP Net Revenue $M                                                                       $1,220              $1,225               $1,710               $1,370               $5,525

         Change in deferred net revenue $M                                                         ($220)                $175                 $240                ($170)                 $25

         Net Bookings %                                                                              18%                  25%                  35%                  22%                 100%

Note: Starting in FY21, we will report our mobile bookings gross of platform fees, instead of net, to align with industry practice. This will result in a gross up in net bookings but no change to
underlying profit. Please refer to our IR website for additional details.

These forward-looking statements are valid as of May 5, 2020 only. Electronic Arts assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.                                                  10
Currency Assumptions

    • Current FX assumptions1:
                                                            USD/               FY19              FY20               FY21
                                                                               Q4A               Q4A

                                 Net                        EUR                1.14               1.10               1.08
                               Bookings                     GBP                1.29               1.30               1.29
                              Operating                     CAD                1.34               1.32               1.32
                              Expenses                       SEK               9.15               9.59               9.81

•    Rule of thumb
      • If the U.S. dollar strengthens 10% against the Euro and British pound sterling:
           • With hedging, total net bookings decrease 2.1%
           • Total cost of revenue and operating expenses decrease 1.6%
      • If the U.S. dollar strengthens 10% against the Canadian dollar and Swedish krona:
           • Total net bookings decrease 0.4%
           • With hedging, total cost of revenue and operating expenses decrease 0.7%
Note: Our financial guidance includes the forecasted impact of the FX cash flow hedging program.
1 For FY19 Q4A and FY20 Q4A, FX rates are a simple average of EA’s actual monthly P&L rates. For FY21, the same FX rates are used for all forecast

 periods.
These forward-looking statements are valid as of May 5, 2020 only. Electronic Arts assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.
                                                                                                                                                       11
Cash Flow Selected Data

                                                          Actuals
   (in $ millions)               Q4 2020        Q4 2019        Q4 TTM 2020    Q4 TTM 2019
   Cash Flow Data
    Investing Cash Flow                (11)           500           (1,357)           169

    Financing Cash Flow               (300)          (282)          (1,358)        (1,253)

    Operating Cash Flow     A          498            599            1,797          1,547

    Capital Expenditures    B              40             35           140            119

    Free Cash Flow         A-B         458            564            1,657          1,428

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