Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor - Q3 2021 - Eaton Vance
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Q3 2021 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor FLOATING-RATE LOAN GROUP
2 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Table of Contents A leader in floating-rate loan investment management, Eaton Vance Asset Class Review 3 presents Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor, an in-depth review of Market Update 8 the loan market through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of topics relating to this Portfolio Applications 27 distinctive asset class, Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor serves as a helpful resource in providing connectivity between changing About Eaton Vance 33 market events and implications for investors’ loan allocation. Additional Information 36 Use Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor to educate on the loan market, provide updates on loan market conditions and explain the role of loans within portfolios. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures.
Asset Class Review
4 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Asset class review Floating-Rate Loan primer Corporate debt issued by below-investment-grade borrowers Most issuers are significant in size and scale – and many are familiar household names Companies undertake loans for recapitalizations, acquisitions and refinancings Coupon income from floating-rate loans resets regularly to maintain a fixed spread over a variable base rate, usually LIBOR (and in the future likely to be SOFR) Loans are often referred to as “senior and secured”: They typically have the highest priority of claims in an issuer’s capital structure and are secured by specific collateral Other common monikers: bank loans, leveraged loans, senior loans (all are synonymous) Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures.
5 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Asset class review Fundamental lending proposition Floating-rate loans represent a senior layer Weighted Average Company Capital Structure $4.1B Revenue & $872M EBITDA of issuer capital structure $12.2 Billion Enterprise Value Substantial junior capital cushion provides low loan-to-value Secured by collateral including issuer 4.1x Floating-Rate Loans $3,575 $3,575Million M (29% of cap structure) accounts receivable, inventory, property, plant, equipment and/or stock $1,046 M 5.3x High-Yield Bonds (9% of cap structure) $7,569 M Equity 14.0x $11,741 Million (62% of cap structure) Fixed Charge Coverage: 2.1x Interest Coverage: 3.9x Source: Eaton Vance, December 31, 2020. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. The data is an average of all loans currently tracked across the Eaton Vance loan platform as of December 31, 2020. Does not represent any particular issuer or product. EBITDA is defined as earnings before interest taxes depreciation and amortization. Data is based on the pre-pandemic equity multiple of 14.0x.
6 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Asset class review Taxonomy of floating-rate loans US Investment Grade US Floating-Rate Loans US High Yield Size of Market $6.2 T $1.3 T $1.5 T # of Issues 6,902 1,462 2,127 Avg. Credit Quality A3/Baa1 B+ B1 Base Rate US Treasuries LIBOR US Treasuries Coupon Structure Fixed Floating Fixed Avg. Duration 8.7 yrs. -- 4.2 yrs. Avg. Yield to Maturity 2.2% 4.2% 4.7% Avg. Maturity 12.3 yrs 4.8 yrs 6.7 yrs Sources: Bloomberg, ICE Data Indices LLC, and LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. US Investment Grade measured by the Bloomberg US Corporate Index. US Floating-Rate Loans measured by the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. US High Yield measured by the ICE BofA US High Yield Index. Size of market is based on par outstandings.
7 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Asset class review Sample loan market issuers Issuer Industry Maturity Date Spread Corp. Ratings Akzo Nobel Chemicals Chemicals & Plastics Oct 2025 L+300 B+/B1 Asurion Insurance Dec 2026 L+325 B+/Ba3 Avolon Aerospace Equipment Leasing Jan 2025 L+200 BBB-/Baa2 BMC Software Electronics/Electrical Oct 2025 L+375 B/B2 CenturyLink Telecom Mar 2027 L+225 BBB-/Ba3 Charter Communications Cable & Satellite Television Feb 2027 L+175 BBB-/Ba1 Dell Electronics/Electrical Sep 2025 L+175 BBB-/Baa3 Grifols Drugs Jan 2025 L+200 BB+/Ba2 HUB International Insurance Apr 2025 L+300 B/B2 Pilot Travel Centers Retailers (except food & drug) Aug 2028 L+200 BB+/Ba1 Scientific Games Lodging & Casinos Aug 2024 L+275 B+/Ba3 Univision Radio & Television Mar 2024 L+275 B/B2 Valeant Pharmaceuticals Drugs Jun 2025 L+300 BB-/Ba2 Virgin Media Cable & Satellite Television Jan 2028 L+250 BB-/Ba3 Zayo Group Telecom Mar 2027 L+300 B/B1 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational and illustrative purposes only. This is an example only and is not intended to represent the allocation of any fund/account/strategy. This list represents a sample of some of the larger and more liquid loans in the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. This sample is not necessarily representative of the other issuers in this index, which will vary based on factors including size and liquidity. This information is not to be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security. Investors should consult an investment professional prior to making any investment decisions. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures.
Market Update
9 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Floating-rate loan quarterly dashboard Index Statistics Top 10 Industries 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Total Par Outstanding ($B) $1,299.34 Electronics/Electrical 15.7% Number of Issuers 1,177 Health Care 9.8% Business Equipment & Services 9.8% Number of Facilities 1,462 Chemicals & Plastics 4.4% Insurance 3.8% Bid Price $98.62 Telecom 3.8% Nominal Spread L+372 Leisure Goods/Activities/Movies 3.7% Industrial Equipment 3.7% Discounted Spread (3 Years) L+413 Cable & Satellite Television 3.6% Years to Maturity 4.81 yrs. Building & Development 3.4% Yield to Maturity 4.19% Maturity Breakdown 40% 30% 23.9% 20.7% 20.6% Loan Type 20% 16.9% 13.2% First Lien 97.47% 10% 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.9% Second Lien 2.53% 0% 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. All data reflects the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Data provided is for informational and illustrative purposes only. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. Maturity breakdown excludes defaulted facilities and is based on par amount outstanding. Spread, yield and maturity data excludes defaults.
10 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Floating-rate loan quarterly dashboard Breakdown by Bid Price Breakdown by Facility Rating $70-79.99 Less than $70 0.29% 0.43% BBB BB $80-$89.99 7.24% 22.88% 1.95% Par and Above 25.85% Not Rated 1.98% CCC and Lower 6.70% Average Price: Average Rating: $98.62 B+ B $90-$99.99 61.20% 71.49% Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. All data reflects the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Data provided is for informational and illustrative purposes only. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. Breakdown by bid price includes performing loans only.
11 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Floating-rate loan quarterly dashboard Price Distribution Price by Credit Tier Percent of the Index Average Bid Price of Outstanding Loans 70% $100 Below 80 80-90 90-98 98-100 Par and above BB 60% $95 B $90 50% $85 40% $80 CCC 30% $75 20% $70 10% $65 0% $60 Feb 2020 Feb 2021 Mar 2020 May 2020 Apr 2020 Oct 2020 Mar 2021 Apr 2021 May 2021 Jul 2020 Jul 2021 Dec 2019 Jan 2020 Jun 2020 Aug 2020 Sep 2020 Nov 2020 Dec 2020 Jan 2021 Jun 2021 Aug 2021 Sep 2021 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Sep 2021 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational and illustrative purposes only. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. Data includes performing loans only in the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index.
12 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Performance: Calendar year index returns 2008 2015 2018 2011 2014 2002 2007 2020 1999 2017 2001 2000 2005 Median: 5.08% 2004 1998 2013 2006 1997 LTM Last 12 Months: 8.40% 2019 2012 2003 2010 2016 2009 -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% Return Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Performance measures the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Data provided is for informational use only. Indexes are unmanaged, do not reflect the deduction of fees and expenses, and are not available for direct investment.
13 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Performance: Distribution of quarterly returns Negative Quarters Positive Quarters 25% 2 20% 1.8 15% 1.6 10% 1.4 Median Return Q3 2021 1.43% 5% Return 1.2 1.11% Return 0% 1 -5% 0.8 5 Worst Quarterly Performances 5 Best Quarterly Performances -10% Q4 2008 -22.94% Q2 2009 20.38% 0.6 Q1 2020 -13.05% Q3 2009 10.53% -15% 0.4 Q3 2008 -6.99% Q1 2009 9.80% -20% Q1 2008 -5.74% Q2 2020 9.70% 0.2 Q3 2011 -3.85% Q2 2008 4.94% -25% 0 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Performance measures all quarterly returns of the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index back to its inception in January 1997 and sorts them from lowest to highest. Data provided is for informational use only. Indexes are unmanaged, do not reflect the deduction of fees and expenses, and are not available for direct investment.
14 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Performance: Credit tier returns Credit Tier Performance Q3 and Trailing 12 Months Q3 2021 Trailing 12 Months 25% 22.7% 20% 15% Return 10% 8.4% 8.3% 7.3% 5.2% 4.0% 5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0% Index BBB BB B CCC D Credit Tier % of Index Avg. Price Avg. Spread (bps) Index -- $98.6 L+413 BBB 7.2 $99.6 L+210 BB 22.9 $99.4 L+309 B 61.2 $99.3 L+428 CCC 6.2 $92.9 L+827 D 0.4 $56.2 -- Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Performance measures the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Data provided is for informational use only. Indexes are unmanaged, do not reflect the deduction of fees and expenses, and are not available for direct investment. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. Credit tier spreads measure discounted spread to three years over LIBOR.
15 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Performance: Industry size and returns Industry Performance and Market Value Q3 2021 5% Nonferrous Metals/Minerals 3.8% 4% Business Equipment Cosmetics/Toiletries & Services 2.7% 1.1% Lodging & Casinos Aerospace & 3% 1.3% Ecological Services & Defense Industrial Equipment Equipment 1.0% Automotive Equipment Oil & Gas 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% Leasing 1.8% Health Care Radio & 0.7% Conglomerates 1.2% Television Air Transport Cable & Satellite Television 2% 2.7% Financial Intermediaries 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% Food/Drug Retailers Steel 0.8% Q3 Return 0.9% Leisure Goods/Activities/Movies 0.2% 1% Publishing 1.8% Utilities 1.6% Telecom 1.1% Insurance Food Surface Transport 1.0% Service Containers & Glass Food 1.1% 0.8% Drugs 0% Products Products 0.8% Electronics/Electrical Home Furnishings 1.1% Clothing/Textiles 0.9% Beverage & 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% Tobacco Building & Retailers (except 0.6% Development food & drug) Chemicals & Plastics 0.9% -1% 1.1% 1.1% -2% Forest Products -2.2% -3% Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Performance measures the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Data provided is for informational use only. Indexes are unmanaged, do not reflect the deduction of fees and expenses, and are not available for direct investment. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. Bubble size reflects the market value of each industry in the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index.
16 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Technical factors: Market size and trading volume Market Size Trading and Turnover Par Amount of Outstanding Loan Market US Trading Volume and Annual Loan Turnover Ratio $900B 100% $1300 B Volume Turnover Ratio (%) $1,299 $1200 B $800B $824 $1,193 $1,193 $1100 B $1,147 $772 $700B $743 $720 $1000 B 75% 69% $900 B $955 $600B $635 $596 $881 $800 B $500B $700 B 50% $600 B $400B $500 B $300B $400 B 25% $300 B $200B $200 B $100B $100 B $0 B $0B 0% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1H 2021 Ann. 2020 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sep 2021 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, LSTA Trade Data Study. Par amount outstanding as of September 30, 2021. Trading and turnover as of June 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. Amount of outstandings measures the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Trading and turnover data is sourced from 20 of the largest buy-side and sell- side member institutions of the LSTA. The 1H 2021 trading volume and turnover data is annualized. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index.
17 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Technical factors: Loan demand and M&A volume Visible Demand Institutional Loan Volume Backing M&A Quarterly CLO Creation and Mutual Fund Flows Leveraged Buyout (LBO) and Other M&A $70 B $100 B CLOs Loan Funds Total LBO Other M&A $60 B $90 B $50 B $80 B $40 B $70 B $30 B $60 B $20 B $50 B $10 B $40 B $0 B $30 B -$10 B $20 B -$20 B $10 B -$30 B $0 B 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index.
18 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Fundamental conditions: Revenue and earnings growth Year-Over-Year Revenue Growth Year-Over-Year EBITDA Growth 35% 35% 27% 25% 25% 21% 15% 15% 5% 5% -5% -5% -15% -15% -25% -25% 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15 3Q15 1Q16 3Q16 1Q17 3Q17 1Q18 3Q18 1Q19 3Q19 1Q20 3Q20 1Q21 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15 3Q15 1Q16 3Q16 1Q17 3Q17 1Q18 3Q18 1Q19 3Q19 1Q20 3Q20 1Q21 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, Q2 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. EBITDA refers to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The data are based on approximately 150 public issuers included in the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures.
19 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Fundamental conditions: Leverage and interest coverage Weighted Average Leverage Interest Coverage 8x Senior Leverage Total Leverage 5x 7x 4x 6x 3x 5x 2x 4x 1x 3x 2x 0x 2014 2018 2010 2011 2012 2013 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019 2020 2021 Source: Eaton Vance, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. The data is an average of all loans tracked across the Eaton Vance loan platform. Does not represent any particular issuer or product.
20 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Fundamental conditions: Loan upgrades outpacing downgrades Rolling 3-Month Count of Ratings Upgrades & Downgrades 200 Upgrades 100 0 Downgrades -100 -200 -300 -400 -500 2009 2008 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. All data reflects the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Data provided is for informational and illustrative purposes only. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures.
21 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Fundamental conditions: Default rate and distress ratio Default Rate Distress Ratio Last 12 Months By Principal Amount Percent of Performing Loans Trading Below $80 12% 90% Actual Default Rate 80% 10% 70% 8% 60% 50% 6% Credit Loss (Assumes 40% 70% Recoveries) 4% 30% 20% 2% 10% 0.35% 0% 0.11% 0% 0.72% '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 Source: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. All data reflects the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures.
22 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Valuations: Composition of average loan Index coupon 12% Credit Spread 3-Month LIBOR Floor Benefit 10% All-In Coupon Rate 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Credit Spread Corresponding All-In Rate LIBOR Floor % of Par Outstanding Max (Dec 2015) 4.04% 5.01% 0% floor 49.8% Post-Crisis Average 3.60% 4.75% 0.75% and less 34.4% Current 3.72% 4.18% 1.00% 14.9% Long-Term Average 3.25% 5.52% >1.00% 0.1% Min (June 2007) 2.42% 7.78% No floor 0.8% Sources: Eaton Vance, St. Louis Federal Reserve, and LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. All spread and LIBOR floor data reflects the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. Data provided is for informational use only. Credit spread and floor benefit data are shown on a weighted average basis. LIBOR floor benefit is measured as the difference between prevailing LIBOR rates and the average LIBOR floor. Data excludes facilities in default.
23 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Special topic: LIBOR transition What does LIBOR’s end mean for loans? LIBOR vs SOFR In 2017, the Alternative Reference Rate Committee (ARRC), a 2.75% panel convened by the U.S. Federal Reserve, selected the Secured 1-Month LIBOR Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) as a replacement for U.S. 2.50% LIBOR to be effective no later than the end of 2021. 2.25% SOFR reflects a broad universe of overnight U.S. Treasury repo 2.00% activity based on more than $800 billion in daily transactions. 1.75% 30-Day Average SOFR In November 2020, U.S. and U.K. banking regulators announced 1.50% that the December 31, 2021 sunset for LIBOR would remain in place for newly originated loans. 1.25% However, they added that most U.S. dollar (USD) LIBOR maturities 1.00% could be extended to June 2023 for legacy contracts only. 0.75% Newly issued LIBOR-based loans will soon be a thing of the past, 0.50% and sometime later this year we expect to see the birth of SOFR- 0.25% based loans. 0.00% Meantime, the extension to remediate existing LIBOR-based loans May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep Jan May Sep 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 to mid-2023 means that the asset class has a nice long runway to make a smooth transition. Sources: Eaton Vance, St. Louis Federal Reserve, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only.
24 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Special topic: Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) Illustrative capital structure for a US CLO CLO Tranche Support Credit Average Credit Rating Credit Spread 20% Enhancement Price A Credit AAA 36% 80 – 120 $100.0 18% Support AA 25% 135 – 170 $99.8 16% A 17% 175 – 230 $99.7 Default and Loss Rate BBB 13% 265 – 405 $99.0 14% BBB Credit Support BB 8% 575 – 800 $95.6 12% Comparative Yields for BBB and BB tranches of CLOs 10% BB Credit Support 9% 8.3% 8% 6% Yield to Worst (%) 6% 5.0% 4% 4.6% 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 2% 3% 2.4% 2.3% 0% 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 0% CLO BBB US IG Corp US Loans EMD Sov CLO BB US HY US Loans EMD Sov Loss Rate Default Rate BBB BBB BBB Corp BB BB BB Sources: Eaton Vance, Citibank Velocity, Macrobond, LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. All CLO data measures CLO tranches issued after the 2008 financial crisis. Loan data represented by the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. US IG Corps represented by the ICE BofA US Corporate Index 1-10 Year. US HY Corp represented by the ICE BofA US High Yield Index. EMD Sov represented by the J.P. Morgan EM Bond Index (EMBI) Global Diversified. Default and loss rates measure the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index, with loss rates based on 65% recovery assumption.
25 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Market update Special topic: Volatility of CLOs relative to underlying loans Post-Crisis CLO Spreads: A, BBB, BB vs. Loans 2000 A BBB BB Loans 1800 1600 1400 1200 Spread (bps) 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Sources: Citibank Velocity and LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. All CLO data measures CLO tranches issued after the 2008 financial crisis. Loans represented by the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index and show spread-to-maturity.
Portfolio Applications
27 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Portfolio applications Loans among higher yielding asset classes with little duration 6 EM Sovereign (USD) 5 Floating-Rate Loans1 4 High-Yield Corp. Yield to Worst (%) 3 Investment Grade Corp. 2 MBS Aggregate Municipal Treasury 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Duration Sources: Eaton Vance, Bloomberg, JPMorgan, ICE Data Indices, LLC, and LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. Yield to worst is the lowest potential yield that can be received on a bond without an issuer actually defaulting. Duration is a measure of the sensitivity of a bond’s price to a change in interest rates. Treasury represented by Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index. Agency represented by Bloomberg U.S. Agency Index. Aggregate represented by Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index. MBS represented by Bloomberg U.S. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index. Investment-Grade Corp. represented by Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Index. Municipal represented by Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index. EM Sovereign (USD) represented by J.P. Morgan EM Bond Index (EMBI) Global Diversified Index. High-Yield Corp. represented by Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Index. Floating-Rate Loans represented by S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. 1Yield to maturity is shown for loans.
28 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Portfolio applications Floating-rate structure key driver of negative correlation with bonds 1.00 1.0 0.89 0.82 0.8 0.6 0.55 0.49 Correlation to 10-Year US Treasuries 0.4 0.2 0.10 0.0 -0.2 -0.18 -0.4 -0.33 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 Treasury Aggregate MBS Municipal Investment-Grade EM Sovereign (USD) High-Yield Corp Floating-Rate Loans Corp Source: Morningstar, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. Correlation is a statistical measure of how two securities perform in relation to each other. Treasury represented by Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index. Agency represented by Bloomberg U.S. Agency Index. Aggregate represented by Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index. MBS represented by Bloomberg U.S. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index. Investment-Grade Corp. represented by Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Index. Municipal represented by Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index. EM Sovereign (USD) represented by J.P. Morgan EM Bond Index (EMBI) Global Diversified Index. High-Yield Corp. represented by Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield Index. Floating-Rate Loans represented by S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index.
29 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Portfolio applications Loan yields are competitive with high-yield bonds and EM debt 12% 10% 8% Yield to Worst 6% Emerging Markets 5.11% Floating-Rate Loans 4% 4.19%1 High-Yield Bonds 4.09% 2% US Aggregate 1.56% 0% '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 Sources: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, Bloomberg, ICE Data Indices, LLC, J.P. Morgan, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. Loans represents the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. High-Yield Bonds presents the ICE BofA US High Yield Index. Emerging Markets represents the J.P. Morgan EMBI Global Diversified. US Aggregate represents the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index. 1Yield to maturity is shown for loans.
30 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Portfolio applications Loan vs. bond performance in various interest-rate environments Distribution of All Rolling 1-Year Return Periods: 1992-2021 130 Rising Rate Periods Bonds Avg. Return for 130 1-Year Periods Outperformed Loans: 6.30% 130 Rising Bonds: 3.79% Rate Periods 117 Falling 98 Flat Rate Periods Rate Avg. Return for 98 1-Year Periods Periods Loans: 6.40% Loans Bonds: 5.03% Outperformed 98 Flat Rate Periods 117 Falling Rate Periods Avg. Return for 117 1-Year Periods Loans: 2.24% Bonds: 7.80% Sources: Eaton Vance, Credit Suisse, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. See end of report for important additional information. Loans are represented by Credit Suisse Institutional Leveraged Loan Index and bonds are represented by the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index. Analysis includes all rolling one-year periods since inception of Credit Suisse Institutional Leveraged Loan Index in 1992. Interest rate periods measures the year over year change in the fed funds rate.
31 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Portfolio applications Performance tendencies: Historical relationship of loans to bonds Loan Index vs Bond Index (12-Month Relative Rolling Returns) 50% 8% 40% Differential 5Y Treasury Yield Loans Outperform 7% 30% 6% 20% Loans vs Bonds Excess Return 5-Year Treasury Yield 5% 10% 0% 4% -10% 3% -20% 2% -30% Bonds Outperform 1% -40% -50% 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Sources: LCD, an offering of S&P Global Market Intelligence, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Eaton Vance, September 30, 2021. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. See end of report for important additional information. Loans are represented by S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index and bonds are represented by the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index. Analysis includes all rolling 12-month periods since inception of S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index in 1997.
About Eaton Vance
33 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Eaton Vance for floating-rate loans The advantage of Eaton Vance’s experience Measurable track record since 1989 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Significant floating-rate loan investment Eaton Vance resources and specialization (Since 1989) Extensive contiguous experience of investment team Long-term record of delivering incremental outperformance with lower volatility than the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index Median 13 Years Continuity of philosophy, process and team over time Systematic risk-weighted portfolio construction underpinned by bottom-up credit research Eaton Vance (1989) Competitor Floating-Rate Loan Managers Source: eVestment, December 31, 2020. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Data provided is for informational use only. It is not possible to invest directly in an Index. See end of material for important additional information and disclosures. Based on eVestment Floating-Rate Bank Loan Fixed Income universe using oldest investment offering for each firm.
34 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Eaton Vance for floating-rate loans Investment team with extensive contiguous experience TEAM LEADERSHIP Andrew Sveen, CFA Craig Russ Co-Director, Portfolio Manager Co-Director, Portfolio Manager 26 Years of Experience 35 Years of Experience 22 Years at the Firm 24 Years at the Firm CREDIT RESEARCH TRADING John Redding Ralph Hinckley, CFA Catherine McDermott Michael Turgel, CFA Jake Lemle, CFA Portfolio Manager Senior Credit Analyst, Portfolio Manager Senior Credit Analyst, Portfolio Manager Senior Credit Analyst, Portfolio Manager Director of Loan Trading & Capital Markets 36 Years of Experience 24 Years of Experience 33 Years of Experience 18 Years of Experience 14 Years of Experience 23 Years at the Firm 18 Years at the Firm 20 Years at the Firm 15 Years at the Firm 14 Years at the Firm Kathryn Thompson Audrey Grant** Jeff Hesselbein, CFA Heath Christensen, CFA Brian Hickey, CFA Trader Credit Analyst Senior Credit Analyst, Portfolio Manager Senior Credit Analyst, Portfolio Manager Senior Credit Analyst 9 Years of Experience 5 Years of Experience 24 Years of Experience 22 Years of Experience 24 Years of Experience 2 Years at the Firm 5 Years at the Firm 21 Years at the Firm 18 Years at the Firm 1 Year at the Firm Sarah Choi William Holt, CFA Daniel McElaney, CFA Christopher Reese Senior Credit Analyst Senior Credit Analyst, Portfolio Manager Senior Credit Analyst, Portfolio Manager Trader 14 Years of Experience 19 Years of Experience 18 Years of Experience 3 Years of Experience 1 Years at the Firm 16 Years at the Firm 16 Years at the Firm
Additional Information
36 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Important information and disclosure ABOUT RISK: Floating-Rate Loans: An imbalance in supply and demand in the income INDEX DEFINITIONS: market may result in valuation uncertainties and greater volatility, less Bloomberg Global Aggregate Ex-USD Index is a broad-based measure of liquidity, widening credit spreads and a lack of price transparency in the global investment grade fixed-rate debt investments, excluding USD- market. There can be no assurance that the liquidation of collateral denominated debt. securing an investment will satisfy the issuer’s obligation in the event of Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index is an unmanaged index of municipal bonds nonpayment or that collateral can be readily liquidated. The ability to traded in the U.S. realize the benefits of any collateral may be delayed or limited. Investments in income securities may be affected by changes in the Bloomberg U.S. Agency Index measures agency securities issued by U.S creditworthiness of the issuer and are subject to the risk of non–payment government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, and corporate or foreign debt of principal and interest. The value of income securities also may decline guaranteed by the U.S. government. because of real or perceived concerns about the issuer’s ability to make Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index is an unmanaged index of domestic principal and interest payments. Borrowing to increase investments investment-grade bonds, including corporate, government and mortgage-backed (leverage) will exaggerate the effect of any increase or decrease in the securities. value of investments. Investments rated below investment grade (typically referred to as “junk”) are generally subject to greater price volatility and Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Index is an unmanaged index that measures the illiquidity than higher rated investments. As interest rates rise, the value of performance of investment-grade corporate securities within the Bloomberg U.S. certain income investments is likely to decline. Bank loans are subject to Aggregate Index. prepayment risk. Investments in foreign instruments or currencies can involve greater risk and volatility than U.S. investments because of Bloomberg U.S. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index measures agency adverse market, economic, political, regulatory, geopolitical or other mortgage-backed pass-through securities issued by GNMA, FNMA, and FHLMC. conditions. Changes in the value of investments entered for hedging Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index measures public debt instruments issued by purposes may not match those of the position being hedged. the U.S. Treasury. Duration – Securities with longer durations tend to be more sensitive to Credit Suisse Institutional Leveraged Loan Index is an unmanaged index of interest rate changes than securities with shorter durations. Equity – the institutional leveraged loan market. Equity investment values are sensitive to stock market volatility. Gov’t Agency – While certain U.S. Government-sponsored agencies may be JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI+) is a market-cap chartered or sponsored by acts of Congress, their securities are neither weighted index that measures USD-denominated Brady Bonds, Eurobonds, and issued nor guaranteed by the U.S. Treasury. Maturity – Longer-term bonds traded loans issued by sovereigns. typically are more sensitive to interest rate changes than shorter-term Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is an unmanaged index of large-cap stocks bonds. Prepayment – MBS – Mortgage-backed securities are subject to commonly used as a measure of U.S. stock market performance. prepayment risk. Smaller Companies – Smaller companies are generally subject to greater price fluctuations, limited liquidity, higher transaction S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index is an unmanaged index of the institutional costs and higher investment risk than larger, established companies. leveraged loan market.
37 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Important information and disclosure ABOUT ASSET CLASS COMPARISONS: Elements of this report include comparisons of different asset classes, each of which has distinct risk and return characteristics. Every investment carries risk, and principal values and performance will fluctuate with all asset classes shown, sometimes substantially. Asset classes shown are not insured by the FDIC and are not deposits or other obligations of, or guaranteed by, any depository institution. All asset classes shown are subject to risks, including possible loss of principal invested. The principal risks involved with investing in the asset classes shown are interest-rate risk, credit risk and liquidity risk, with each asset class shown offering a distinct combination of these risks. Generally, considered along a spectrum of risks and return potential, U.S. Treasury securities (which are guaranteed as to the payment of principal and interest by the U.S. government) offer lower credit risk, higher levels of liquidity, higher interest-rate risk and lower return potential, whereas asset classes such as high-yield corporate bonds and emerging market bonds offer higher credit risk, lower levels of liquidity, lower interest-rate risk and higher return potential. Other asset classes shown carry different levels of each of these risk and return characteristics, and as a result generally fall varying degrees along the risk/return spectrum. Costs and expenses associated with investing in asset classes shown will vary, sometimes substantially, depending upon specific investment vehicles chosen. No investment in the asset classes shown is insured or guaranteed, unless explicitly stated for a specific investment vehicle. Interest income earned on asset classes shown is subject to ordinary federal, state and local income taxes, excepting U.S. Treasury securities (exempt from state and local income taxes) and municipal securities (exempt from federal income taxes, with certain securities exempt from federal, state and local income taxes). In addition, federal and/or state capital gains taxes may apply to investments that are sold at a profit. Eaton Vance does not provide tax or legal advice. Prospective investors should consult with a tax or legal advisor before making any investment decision. ICE BofA Indexes: Unless otherwise stated, index returns do not reflect the effect of any applicable sales charges, commissions, expenses, taxes or leverage, as applicable. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Historical performance of indexes illustrates market trends and does not represent the past or future performance of any fund. ICE BofA™ indices not for redistribution or other uses; provided "as is", without warranties, and with no liability. Eaton Vance has prepared this report, ICE BofA does not endorse it, or guarantee, review, or endorse Eaton Vance's products. Credit ratings that may be referenced are based on Moody's, S&P or Fitch, as applicable. Credit ratings are based largely on the rating agency's investment analysis at the time of rating and the rating assigned to any particular security is not necessarily a reflection of the issuer's current financial condition. The rating assigned to a security by a rating agency does not necessarily reflect its assessment of the volatility of a security's market value or of the liquidity of an investment in the security. Ratings of BBB or higher by Standard and Poor's or Fitch (Baa or higher by Moody's) are considered to be investment grade quality.
38 Floating-Rate Loan Market Monitor | Q3 2021 Important additional information and disclosure Source of all data: Eaton Vance, as at September 30, 2021, unless otherwise specified. This material is for Professional Clients/Accredited Investors only. This material is presented for informational and illustrative purposes only. This material This material does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell services referred to expressly or impliedly in the material in the People's Republic of specific securities, or to adopt any particular investment strategy; it has been prepared China (excluding Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, the "PRC") to any person to whom it is on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other third- unlawful to make the offer or solicitation in the PRC. party sources believed to be reliable. However, no assurances are provided regarding The material may not be provided, sold, distributed or delivered, or provided or sold or the reliability of such information and Eaton Vance has not sought to independently distributed or delivered to any person for forwarding or resale or redelivery, in any such verify information taken from public and third-party sources. Investment views, opinions, case directly or indirectly, in the People's Republic of China (the PRC, excluding Hong and/or analysis expressed constitute judgments as of the date of this material and are Kong, Macau and Taiwan) in contravention of any applicable laws. subject to change at any time without notice. Different views may be expressed based In Singapore, Eaton Vance Management International (Asia) Pte. Ltd. (“EVMIA”) holds a on different investment styles, objectives, opinions or philosophies. This material may Capital Markets Licence under the Securities and Futures Act of Singapore (“SFA”) to contain statements that are not historical facts, referred to as forward-looking conduct, among others, fund management, is an exempt Financial Adviser pursuant to statements. Future results may differ significantly from those stated in forward-looking the Financial Adviser Act Section 23(1)(d) and is regulated by the Monetary Authority of statements, depending on factors such as changes in securities or financial markets or Singapore (“MAS”). Eaton Vance Management, Eaton Vance Management general economic conditions. (International) Limited and Parametric Portfolio Associates® LLC holds an exemption This material is for the benefit of persons whom Eaton Vance reasonably believes it is under Paragraph 9, 3rd Schedule to the SFA in Singapore to conduct fund management permitted to communicate to and should not be forwarded to any other person without activities under an arrangement with EVMIA and subject to certain conditions. the consent of Eaton Vance. It is not addressed to any other person and may not be In Australia, EVMI is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial used by them for any purpose whatsoever. It expresses no views as to the suitability of services license under the Corporations Act in respect of the provision of financial the investments described herein to the individual circumstances of any recipient or services to wholesale clients as defined in the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and as per otherwise. It is the responsibility of every person reading this document to satisfy himself the ASIC Corporations (Repeal and Transitional) Instrument 2016/396. as to the full observance of the laws of any relevant country, including obtaining any governmental or other consent which may be required or observing any other formality EVMI is registered as a Discretionary Investment Manager in South Korea pursuant to which needs to be observed in that country. Unless otherwise stated, returns and market Article 18 of Financial Investment Services and Capital Markets Act of South Korea. values contained herein are presented in US Dollars. Morgan Stanley Investment Management (“MSIM”) (the asset management division of In the EU this material is issued by MSIM Fund Management (Ireland) Limited (“MSIM Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS)) and its affiliates have arrangements in place to market FMIL”) registered in the Republic of Ireland with Registered Office at 7-11 Sir John each other’s products and services. Each MSIM affiliate is regulated as appropriate in Rogerson's Quay, Dublin 2, D02 VC42, Ireland. MSIM FMIL is regulated by the Central the jurisdiction it operates. Please refer to the MSIM ADVs for details of affiliates. Bank of Ireland with Company Number: 616661. Outside of the US and EU, this material is issued by Eaton Vance Management In the United States: (International) Limited (“EVMI”) 125 Old Broad Street, London, EC2N 1AR, UK, and is Eaton Vance Management is an SEC –registered investment advisor and part of Morgan which is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Stanley Investment Management, the asset management division of Morgan Stanley. Authority. Eaton Vance Distributors, Inc. (“EVD”), Two International Place, Boston, MA 02110, This material is only intended for and will only be distributed to persons resident in (800) 225-6265. Member of FINRA/ SIPC. jurisdictions where such distribution or availability would not be contrary to local laws or Eaton Vance WaterOak Advisors. Two International Place, Boston, MA 02110. Eaton regulations. Vance WaterOak is an SEC-registered investment advisor and part of Morgan Stanley EVMI/MSIM FMIL markets the services of the following strategic affiliates: Eaton Vance Investment Management, the asset management division of Morgan Stanley. Management ("EVM"), Eaton Vance Advisers International Ltd (“EVAIL”), Parametric Portfolio Associates® LLC ("PPA"), Calvert Research and Management (“CRM”), and Investing entails risks and there can be no assurance that Eaton Vance will Atlanta Capital Management Company LLC ("Atlanta "). EVM, EVAIL, PPA, CRM and achieve profits or avoid incurring losses. It is not possible to invest directly in an Atlanta are SEC registered investment advisor and are part of Morgan Stanley index. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Investment Management, the asset management division of Morgan Stanley.
For more information, please contact: Eaton Vance : International Place Two Boston, MA 02110 800 225 6265 617 482 8260 eatonvance.com Eaton Vance Management Eaton Vance Management (International) Limited International (Asia) Pte. Ltd. 125 Old Broad Street, London, 8 Marina View, 13–01 Asia Square Tower EC2N 1AR, United Kingdom 1, Singapore 018960 +44 (0)203 207 1900 +65 6713 9241 internationalenquiries@eatonvance.com eatonvance.co.uk internationalenquiries@eatonvance.com eatonvance.sg For more information or to subscribe Eaton Vance Management for updates visit MSIM Fund Management (Ireland) Limited 7-11 Sir John Rogerson's Quay Dublin 2, D02 VC42, Ireland +353 1 799 8700 (International) Limited Suite 05, Level 25, 259 George Street Sydney NSW 2000 Australia eatonvance.com +61 2 8229 0200 internationalenquiries@eatonvance.com eatonvance.com.au About Eaton Vance Eaton Vance is part of Morgan Stanley Investment Management, the asset management division of Morgan Stanley. It provides advanced investment strategies and wealth management solutions to forward-thinking investors around the world. Through its distinct investment brands Eaton Vance Management, Parametric, Atlanta Capital and Calvert, the Company offers a diversity of investment approaches, encompassing bottom-up fundamental active management, responsible investing, systematic investing and customized implementation of client-specified portfolio exposures. Exemplary service, timely innovation and attractive returns across market cycles have been hallmarks of Eaton Vance since 1924. @2021 Eaton Vance Management 6140 | 10.06.2021 NOT FDIC INSURED | OFFER NO BANK GUARANTEE | MAY LOSE VALUE | NOT INSURED BY ANY FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AGENCY | NOT A DEPOSIT
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