INVESTMENT OVERVIEW - FEBRUARY 2021 - SALAMA Islamic Arab Insurance ...

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INVESTMENT OVERVIEW - FEBRUARY 2021 - SALAMA Islamic Arab Insurance ...
FEBRUARY 2021

INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW - FEBRUARY 2021 - SALAMA Islamic Arab Insurance ...
February 2021

Strong foundation for a better future
SALAMA - Islamic Arab Insurance Company is the world’s largest and oldest Sharia’h compliant Takaful
solutions provider listed in Dubai Financial Market with a paid up capital of AED 1.2 billion. SALAMA has
been a pioneer in the Takaful Industry right from its incorporation in 1979 to its present day distinction as
preferred Takaful provider.

SALAMA serves both individual and institutional customers through its extensive global network. At present,
with its subsidiaries and associates companies, SALAMA is providing solutions to customers in the UAE,
Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Senegal, Algeria and Jordan with plans to further expand its geographical reach to all
the GCC states, South East Asia, Far East and eventually Europe.

SALAMA’s stability and success can be attributed to the strategy of keeping customers and partners at the
heart of business and staying true to its values and principles. SALAMA has always designed and developed
solutions that meet the ever changing demand of customers. This has given SALAMA the solid reputation of
providing the most competitive and diverse Takaful solutions.

As the UAE’s specialized Takaful Company, SALAMA offers a comprehensive range of Family, General and
Health Takaful solutions to Individuals and Corporates. Our High credibility, reputation for quality, high
standards of services and access to Takaful’s best practices has won SALAMA - “FAMILY TAKAFUL COMPANY
OF THE YEAR” Award at Middle East Insurance Award 2015, taking us one step further in our endeavor to
remain Takaful Operator of choice.

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INVESTMENT OVERVIEW - FEBRUARY 2021 - SALAMA Islamic Arab Insurance ...
February 2021

Sharia’h Supervisory Committee
SALAMA has a Sharia’h Supervisory Committee, which is an independent board of qualified
scholars of international repute.

The members of this Committee are:

Dr. Mohamad Daud Bakar:
He received his first degree in Shari’ah from University of Kuwait and a Ph.D. from University
of St. Andrews, United Kingdom.

Dr. Amin Fateh:
He has Masters in honorable Hadith from the University of Jordan, and a Ph.D. in Islamic
studies from the University of Birmingham in Britain.

Dr. M. A. Qattan:
He has a Ph.D. in Islamic Banking from Birmingham University, UK and a BA in Islamic
Economics from Al-Imam University in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

                                                                                                 2
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW - FEBRUARY 2021 - SALAMA Islamic Arab Insurance ...
February 2021

Market Commentary
On macro front, consensus is raising their global GDP growth estimates, as YTD activity indicators point
to resilience in global industry, surge in US retail spending and further upside inflation surprises. Also,
the pandemic infection rate is on a decline after reaching a peak of 860,000 on January 7, daily global
new infections now stands just under 400,000. This decline sets the stage for normalization of activity
as targeted restriction can be calibrated alongside a gradual move towards mass vaccination. We do
anticipate healthy balance sheet for consumers, including elevated saving rates- along with flood of
government support in pipeline, and low borrowing cost should provide ample ammunition for consumer
spending/leisure/travel for this year.

In Credit markets- We expect to see higher yields and a steeper curve over the medium term, markets are
now pricing a full hike by 1Q23 and over 50bp of hikes by early 2024. For IG, our preference to stick to the
front end and belly of the curve. Similarly, we continue to see better value in the high step-up perps offer
2.5-3.5% yields but having 3-5yr effective duration to call date. We also continue to like high yield, as we
expect to see bullish curve steepening with 3-5y BB/B paper outperforming. We expect Sukuk curve to
tighten as the demand for Sukuk continues and has become a priced possession to hold. In short, there’s
not enough sukuk to go around!

Oil stood at $63.8/bbl as we write, with the OPEC+ grouping is currently holding back around 8.2 mio
bpd from the market. Although aviation fuel demand remains low (we expect this to be in positive delta
versus 2020), US inventories are back to five-year average and short term brent futures contracts remain
in backwardation. Given the YTD rally, we expect to see some volatility in the market , and for oil to
continue higher from here we view that, a) demand has to come back pretty substantially and/or b) OPec
has to stay put with the production cuts in the near term.

                                                                                                               3
February 2021
Funds Performance Sheet
                                                                                                                                                                                 Fund Performance in Percentage %

                                                                                      Fund size in                                                                      Year wise                       Cummulative
                                                                                                                                 Fund      Month
Risk (1)        ISIN Code /                                                             millions      Fund                                          Year to
                                                       Fund Name                                                 Asset Class   Inception    to                                                                          Since     Annualized
Profile      Bloomberg Ticker                                                          (All Share    Currency                                        Date      2020       2019       2018     3 years    5 years                     since
                                                                                                                                 Date      Date                                                                       inception
                                                                                         Class)                                                                                                                                    inception

      A    ALGCCTE:AB           AlAhli GCC Trading Equity Fund                          273.39        SAR         Equities      Oct-05     2.50%    2.50%     2.45%     16.01%      6.25%     29.15%     41.24%        11.14%       0.69%

      A    ALSATRE:AB           AlAhli Saudi Trading Equity Fund                        922.52        SAR         Equities     Jun-98      4.22%    3.97%     6.88%     14.70%      7.35%     36.70%     60.68%       1032.25%     11.25%

      A    AHNRAMI:AB           AlAhli North America Index Fund                         292.80        USD         Equities     Dec-92      0.83%    1.02%     23.25%    28.49%      -4.58%    52.28%    103.45%       566.80%       6.96%
                                (Managed by NCB Capital)

      A    GB00BLD0QD87         OGM Oasis Crescent Global Equity "A" ACC                258.34        USD         Equities     Dec-00      1.82%    2.57%     6.50%     19.82%      -10.92%   17.20%     39.50%       297.40%       7.05%

      A    GB00BLD0R249         OGM Oasis Crescent Global Property Equity "A" ACC       90.43         USD        Real Estate   Sep-06      1.51%    2.19%     -11.10%   14.43%      -16.31%   -4.80%      2.40%        23.70%       1.48%

      B    GB00BLD0QS31         OGM Oasis Crescent Global Income "A" ACC                51.51         USD          Sukuk        Apr-10     -0.11%   0.36%     5.20%      7.76%      -0.55%    13.90%     19.30%        45.20%       3.48%
                                (Managed by OASIS Global Management)(2)

      B    LU1150255971         BNP Paribas Islamic Fund Hilal Income "C" (USD) ACC     17.03         USD          Sukuk       Jan-09      -0.63%   -0.48%    6.12%      9.29%      -0.83%    16.03%     19.18%        65.13%       4.24%
                                (Managed by BNP PARIBAS Asset Management)

      A    GB00B1436X66         Emirates Mena Opportunities "A" ACC(3)                  42.09         USD         Equities      Apr-06     -1.07%   2.08%     3.18%      3.36%      6.28%     10.28%     37.14%        50.22%       2.78%

      B    GB00B1224310         Emirates Global Sukuk "A" ACC                           162.24        USD          Sukuk        Apr-10     0.01%    0.40%     5.10%     10.93%      -0.50%    16.23%     22.94%        56.61%       4.21%

      A    LU1484867434         Emirates Islamic India Equity Fund                      24.80         USD         Equities     Nov-16      0.97%    1.83%     -7.99%    16.21%                                         50.72%      10.00%

      C    JE00B5T1J560         Emirates Islamic Money Market "A" ACC                   320.79        USD       Money Market    Apr-10     0.03%    0.08%     1.49%      2.35%      1.88%     5.16%       7.16%        11.99%       1.05%
                                (Managed by Emirates NBD Asset Management)

      A    IE00B3ZL9H82         Comgest Growth Europe S (USD) ACC                       49.03         USD         Equities     Dec-10      1.31%    -1.98%    21.42%    33.37%      -9.53%    44.22%     77.04%       164.85%       9.99%
                                (Managed by Comgest Asset Management International)

      B    AEDFXA1W2ZD7         Mashreq Al Islami Income Fund "D" (USD) ACC (3)         204.78        USD          Sukuk       Jun-09      -0.63%   -0.02%    1.93%      9.30%      -0.81%    12.46%     18.39%        28.30%       2.15%
                                (Managed by Mashreq Asset Management)

      A    LU0792757196         Templeton Shariah Global Equity "A" (USD) ACC           85.60         USD         Equities     Sep-12      3.07%    4.01%     0.81%     14.37%      -13.92%   10.13%     50.82%        47.80%       4.72%

      B    LU0792756115         Franklin Global Sukuk Fund "A" (USD)ACC                 303.20        USD          Sukuk       Sep-12      -0.45%   -0.23%    -2.66%    13.71%      -2.53%    16.18%     21.33%        31.40%       3.28%
                                (Managed by Franklin Templeton Investments)

      A    IE00BYMM2054         Old Mutual Global Islamic Equity Fund "D" (USD)(4)      112.40        USD         Equities     Mar-13      4.38%    4.60%     8.80%     23.90%      -7.41%    34.77%                  135.30%      11.29%

                                (Managed by Old Mutual Investment Group)

      B    LU1435409286         Azimut Islamic Global Sukuk Fund                        673.00        USD          Sukuk       Dec-13      0.17%    0.71%     4.30%      8.34%      -0.02%    14.05%                   27.06%       3.36%

                                (Managed by Azimut Group)

(1)
    A = Aggressive, (1) B = Balanced, (1) C = Conservative
(2)
    The Fund house manages Accumulation Share Class which is offered by SALAMA. The 3yrs, 5yrs and SI performance of above funds are of Distribution Share Class
(3)
    The fund has launched “D” share class on Dec 6, 2012 which is offered by SALAMA. The 5 years, and since inception performance is of “B” share class
(4)
    The Fund house manages “D” Share Class, launched on February 2017, which is offered by SALAMA. The 3yrs, 5yrs and SI performance of above funds are of Strategies which commenced in March 2013.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4
February 2021

SALAMA   SECURE
Fixed Income    STRATEGY
             Portfolio
February 2021

Fund Market Commentary

It was nothing short of a blood bath for rates in Feb. Overnight, 10-year US Treasury spiked to 1.6% in the last week of Feb
before re-tracing to ~1.4% by the end of the month, but it was still 51bps wider year to date as markets continued to price
in higher probability of not only growth picking up, but also inflation. Our portfolio erased c.30 bps of unrealised gain                  THEORETICAL RISK & REWARD INDICATOR
driven by a mix of HY and IG names in Feb. We see higher yields and a steeper curve over the medium term. Markets are
now pricing a full hike by 1Q23 and over 50bp of hikes by early 2024. For IG, our preference is to stick to the front end and              Lower Risk                           Higher Risk
belly of the curve, stay put for now. We will probably average down on the long end (Saudi Electricity 2043), as it looks to               Lower Rewards                        Higher Rewards
have consolidated given the intense movement in the yield curve. SECO 2043 are the most resilient in the Sukuk space,
and are well owned. Although GCC IG credits continue to offer spread pick up over like- rated US and Asian credits, we
note that it has tightened a lot since Q4 last year and performance here on is a function of USD trajectory and oil prices.
Similarly, we continue to see better value in the high step-up perps that offer 2.5-3.5% yields but that have a 3-5yr
effective duration to call date. We also expect to see bullish curve steepening with 3-5y BB/B paper outperforming. Our
view on the market is that rate shock, was flagged by the investors as the biggest risk for the market since Q4 of last
year. Once this is behind us, there appears to be no obvious negative catalyst on the horizon to worry about. Instead,
                                                                                                                                               1         2              3           4        5
over the next few months the full roll out of vaccination program and re-opening of economy will see an economic
bounce back, albeit at a slower pace . As for as GCC/MENA investors are concerned, hunt for yield will likely continues,
avoiding the duration. We expect Perps esp from the financial space to flood the market in Q2 , and we expect it to be
well received. We note that Sukuk curve has tightened YTD more than the conventional ones, and we expect this
pattern to follow, as the demand for Sukuk continues due to lack of supply and hence, has become a precious
procession to hold. Overall, a month of tantrums from Bond market, and Fed seems to be unassuming (for now). Let's
brace for more duration risk!

Fund Details                                                                                                                             Portfolio Country Weights

Net Asset Value (Per unit)                   109.04                                YTM                                           5.1%
Investment Denomination                   USD/AED                                  Average yearly Coupon                         5.3%        Qatar       2%
Asset Class                                  Sukuk                                 Duration (Years)                                6.1
Geography                                    Global                                Avg. Rating                                   BBB-       Saudi
                                                                                                                                                                               35%
Leverage (Debt/Equity)                                 0                           Benchmark                       SPBDSMNT Index           Arabia

Relative Performance
                                                                                                                                               UAE                                           63%

                                                                                                                                         Sector Allocation

                                                                                                                                               Retail              7%
                                                                                                                                           Trade and
                                                                                                                                              Port
                                                                                                                                                                        10%
                                                                                                                                            Sovereign
                                                                                                                                              /GRE
                                                                                                                                                                        10%

                                                                                                                                             Utilities                        15%

                                                                                                                                           Financials                                22%

                                                                                                                                          Real Estate                                            36%

Return Statistics                                                                                                                        Credit Rating

                                        Weekly             MTD          QoQ         Since Inception        YTD            1-Year
                                                                                                                                                   NR         5%
Portfolio                                 -0.44%           -0.29%       2.20%             9.04%            0.31%
Benchmark                                -0.46%            -0.35%       0.60%             1.64%            -0.14%                               A+*           5%
Relative Performance                      0.02%            0.06%        1.60%             7.40%            0.45%
                                                                                                                                                   BB               10%
Top Five Holdings                                                   Top Five Yield Wideners/Worst performers (February)
                                                                                                                                               BBB                                  21%
Saudi Electicity (2043/2030)                      15%               Damac (2022)                                       135 bps
NCB Perp (2026)                                   12%               GFH Sukuk (2025)                                   51 bps                      A-                                      28%
Emaar (2029)                                      10%               DAE Sukuk (2026)                                   34 bps
                                                                                                                                               B-/B                                          31%
DP World Perp (2025)                              10%               Emaar (2029)                                      25 bps
Damac (2022)                                       9%               Saudi Electricity (2030)                          16 bps

Holdings' Ownership Structure                                       Risk Metrics                                                         Duration

Sovereign / Supra National                        5%
Quasi Sovereign                                   5%                                                                                     Less than 1
> 50% Government Ownership                        2%                                                                                                         7%
                                                                                                                                             yr
< 50% Government Ownership                       43%                                      50%
Privately Held                                   45%                                                    54%                               Greater
                                                                                                                                                                              31%
                                                                                                                                         than 5 yrs

This document is provided for informational and
illustration purposes only. It does not constitute a                                                                                       One to
solicitation, recommendation or offer to buy or sell                                                                                     Five years                                          62%
any investment product or subscribe to any                                      Investment Grade      Non-Investment Grade
investment management advisory service.Past
performance as illustrated herein is not a
guarantee of future returns. * Underlying entity is

                                                                                                                                                                                                       5
Top Five Funds                                                                                                                                                   February 2021

    YTD Performance - 2021
         Risk (1)          ISIN Code /                                                                        Fund size in million    Fund                                     Year to
                                                                               Fund Name                                                        Asset Class   Fund Inception
         Profile        Bloomberg Ticker                                                                       (All Share Class)     Currency                                   date
             A             IE00BYMM2054                 Old Mutual Global Islamic Equity Fund "D" (USD)(4)          112.40             USD       Equities        Mar-13        4.60%
             A             LU0792757196                 Templeton Shariah Global Equity "A" (USD) ACC                85.60             USD       Equities        Sep-12        4.01%
             A               ALSATRE:AB                 AlAhli Saudi Trading Equity Fund                            922.52             SAR       Equities        Jun-98        3.97%
             A             GB00BLD0QD87                 OGM Oasis Crescent Global Equity "A" ACC                    258.34             USD       Equities        Dec-00        2.57%
             A               ALGCCTE:AB                 AlAhli GCC Trading Equity Fund                              273.39             SAR       Equities        Oct-05        2.50%
   (1)
         A = Aggressive,   (1)
                                 B = Balanced, (1) C = Conservative

    MTD Performance for February 2021
           Risk (1)           ISIN Code /                                                                     Fund size in million    Fund                                     Year to
                                                                               Fund Name                                                        Asset Class   Fund Inception
           Profile         Bloomberg Ticker                                                                    (All Share Class)     Currency                                   date
              A              IE00BYMM2054                Old Mutual Global Islamic Equity Fund "D" (USD)(4)         112.40             USD        Equities        Mar-13       4.38%
              A                  ALSATRE:AB              AlAhli Saudi Trading Equity Fund                           922.52             SAR        Equities        Jun-98       4.22%
              A              LU0792757196                Templeton Shariah Global Equity "A" (USD) ACC               85.60             USD        Equities        Sep-12       3.07%
              A                  ALGCCTE:AB              AlAhli GCC Trading Equity Fund                             273.39             SAR        Equities        Oct-05       2.50%
              A            GB00BLD0QD87                  OGM Oasis Crescent Global Equity "A" ACC                   258.34             USD        Equities        Dec-00       1.82%
     (1)
           A = Aggressive,   (1)
                                   B = Balanced, (1) C = Conservative

                                                                                                                                                                                         6
Top Five Funds                                                                                                                                                  February 2021

    Top 5 “A” Funds
         Risk (1)          ISIN Code /                                                                       Fund size in million    Fund                                     Year to
                                                                              Fund Name                                                        Asset Class   Fund Inception
         Profile        Bloomberg Ticker                                                                      (All Share Class)     Currency                                   date
             A             IE00BYMM2054                 Old Mutual Global Islamic Equity Fund "D" (USD)(4)         112.40             USD       Equities        Mar-13        4.60%
             A             LU0792757196                 Templeton Shariah Global Equity "A" (USD) ACC               85.60             USD       Equities        Sep-12        4.01%
             A               ALSATRE:AB                 AlAhli Saudi Trading Equity Fund                           922.52             SAR       Equities        Jun-98        3.97%
             A             GB00BLD0QD87                 OGM Oasis Crescent Global Equity "A" ACC                   258.34             USD       Equities        Dec-00        2.57%
             A               ALGCCTE:AB                 AlAhli GCC Trading Equity Fund                             273.39             SAR       Equities        Oct-05        2.50%
   (1)
         A = Aggressive,   (1)
                                 B = Balanced, (1) C = Conservative

   Top 5 “B” Funds
           Risk (1)           ISIN Code /                                                                    Fund size in million    Fund                                     Year to
                                                                              Fund Name                                                        Asset Class   Fund Inception
           Profile         Bloomberg Ticker                                                                   (All Share Class)     Currency                                   date
              B              LU1435409286                Azimut Islamic Global Sukuk Fund                          673.00             USD        Sukuk           Dec-13       0.71%
              B              GB00B1224310                Emirates Global Sukuk "A" ACC                             162.24             USD        Sukuk           Apr-10       0.40%
              B            GB00BLD0QS31                  OGM Oasis Crescent Global Income "A" ACC                   51.51             USD        Sukuk           Apr-10       0.36%
              B            AEDFXA1W2ZD7                  Mashreq Al Islami Income Fund "D" (USD) ACC (3)           204.78             USD        Sukuk           Jun-09       -0.02%
              B              LU0792756115                Franklin Global Sukuk Fund "A" (USD)ACC                   303.20             USD        Sukuk           Sep-12       -0.23%
     (1)
           A = Aggressive,   (1)
                                   B = Balanced, (1) C = Conservative

                                                                                                                                                                                        7
www.salama.ae

4th Floor - Spectrum Building, Oud Metha - Dubai, U.A.E.
             P.O.Box: 10214, Tel: 800725262
                 E-mail: info@salama.ae
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