The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS

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The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
The Strategy
           Structure and Approach

                  Lotta Andersson,
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI)

            Baltadapt 3rd Policy Forum, Tallinn

                    www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
What is the role of the Strategy
     and Action Plan?

WHAT?       Strategy
HOW?        Action Plan

  Strategy: Provide goals and visions. Clarifies links to
     other strategies and added value in a multilevel
 governance perspective “what in it for me”. Identifies
 coordinators and implementers. Provides the “rules of
       the game” regarding exposure , impact and
            vulnerabilities to climate change.

                 www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
Why a BSR Strategy and
                     Action Plan?
”Connected region with informed actors on all levels responding
to climate change in a way that ensures prosperity,
competiveness, as well as clean water, and rich and healthy
wildlife”
• Sharing of the Sea and its River Basin - adaptation or lack of adaptation
  might have consequences crossing national boundaries
• Solidarity - ensure that most exposed and vulnerable regions/sectors
  /environments/individuals increase their adaptive capacity
• Coordinate actions witan sectors integrated through EU policies and the
  single market
• Need for a “Common BSR voice” in international contexts to ensure that
  the specific vulnerability of the Baltic Sea and its river basin to climate
  change is acknowledged in EU and international policies

                             www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
The Process
• Policy forum
    – Berlin (April 2012), Stockholm (December 2012), Tallinn (May 2013)
    – Involve decision-makers and other macro-regional, national and local
      actors to prepare for political endorsement
   – Stakeholder workshops
• EU (DG Clima, DG Reggio) – The European Commission adopted
  an EU strategy on adaptation on 16 April 2013.
• Final consultation phase (7th June action plan, 14th June strategy)

                  Farming                       Tourism
                  (Norrköping)                  Warnemuende)
                             www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
Sub-criteria         Vision (2020)                                     Baseline         Relation to
                                                                       (2013)           goals in the
                                                                                        EU Strategy
                                                                                        for Climate
                                                                                        Adaptation

Raising awareness    Awareness of climate change and its potential     Scattered
                     impact on society and the environment, as well    fulfilment
                     as the possibilities of adaptation permeates
                     macro-regional agreements, regional education
                     and training collaborations, as well as regional
                     cooperation between authorities at all geographic
                     levels, researchers, and private parties.

Sharing a macro-     A "Baltic Window" linked to "the European         Work initiated
regional knowledge   Climate Adaptation Platform" includes relevant
base                 information or links to information on climate
                     change adaptation, including access to open
                     source data for research purposes and
                     communication of “good examples

                                     www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
Sub-criteria               Vision (2020)                                            Baseline    Relation EU
                                                                                    (2013)      strategy
Research cooperation       An interdisciplinary approach to climate adaptation is   Scattered 2020: Priority
in order to identify and   included as a horizontal aspect of all scientific        fulfilment knowledge gaps
address gaps of            cooperation in the region, where it is relevant.                    identified in 2013
knowledge                                                                                      have been closed

Facilitating science-    Decision makers among authorities as well as among Scattered 2020:
policy dialogues on all  private actors have access to interactive visualization- fulfilment Communication
levels                   based tools for dialogues about climate adaptation.                 tools allow for
                         These are part of a well-developed and frequently                   available
                         used access to a combination of web-based on real-                  information on
                         life meeting places for researchers, authorities and                climate change
                         private actors representing specific sectors, such as               adaptation to be
                         the horizontal (between stakeholders in the same                    accessible for
                         geographical level) and vertical (e.g. between                      decision-makers,
                         stakeholders on local, national and macro-regional                  including Member
                         levels ) dialogues                                                  States, local
                                                                                             authorities and
                                                                                             firms
Cooperation to prepare Access to operational warning system in the region         Scattered
for increased risk of    relevant to climate-change induced increased             fulfilment
disasters due to climate exposure in different sectors (such as infrastructure,
change                   agriculture, health) either by common BSR systems or
                         through other types of cooperation between different
                         warning system services in the region.

                                           www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
Sub-criteria              Vision (2020)                                           Baseline   Relation EU
                                                                                  (2013)     strategy
Cooperation related to    National climate change adaptation strategies           Scattered 2017: All Member
national strategies       available in all BSR states, with the exchange of                 States have
                          information through collaboration on the "Baltic                  adopted (an)
                          Window," as well as through other established forms               Adaptation
                          of cooperation in the preparation and updating of                 Strateg(y)ies,
                          climate adaptation strategies and action plans.                   complemented by
                                                                                            regional or local
                                                                                            adaptation
                                                                                            strategies when
                                                                                            appropriate.

Promoting sector-         BSR relevant cooperation within all business sectors    Sporadic
relevant macro-regional   in society where this is relevant (e.g., agriculture,
cooperation on            tourism, fisheries, energy, construction of
adaptation to             infrastructure).
challenges and
business opportunities
Macro-regional            Access to the estimates of the cost related to climate Limited
cooperation in order to   change adaptation in different sectors. Access to
ensure funding of         finance in the BSR that enables prioritization of action
adaptation measures       on adaptation to the most exposed and vulnerable
                          parts of the region, as well as to the most vulnerable
                          sectors and individuals.

                                          www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
Suggested Coordination
EUBSR Horizontal Action ”Sustainable Development and Bioeconomy”
(CBSS, Nordic Council of Ministers). Indicator: BSR Climate Adaptation
Strategy and Action plan agreed on by all nations.

1. Agree on the most important issues to focus on and initiate policy-
   science and multilevel governance dialogues
   related to climate adaptation and disaster risk
                                                            CBSS
   reduction issues of common concerns in the
   BSR, with specific consideration to issues
   with cross-border implications.                 Steering
                                                    group
2. Promote actions based on recommendations                    Polliticians,
                                                                authoriges,
   emanating from these dialogues or other                    private actors,
                                                                  NGO:s,
   relevant initiatives.                                       reesarchers

                             www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
Implementers and Facilitators – Building on
                     Existing Cooperation and “Match Making”

Intergovernmental organisations, e.g. CBSS, Nordic Council of Ministries,
HELCOM, VASAB, Baltic Sea Parliamentary Conference,
Cooperation on local and sub-regional level, e.g.:
Union of the Baltic Cities, Baltic Sea States
Sub-regional Co-operation (BSSSC)             .
Cooperation including the business community, e.g.
Baltic Development Forum (BDF), Baltic Sea Chambers
of Commerce Association (BCCA), Baltic Sea Tourism
Commission (BTC), Baltic Sea Action Group (BSAG
 Non-governmental organizations, e.g.
Baltic Sea NGO network
Scientific and educational networks, and knowledge brokering, e.g.
BALTEX, Baltic Sea University Program (BUP)
Funding of research, cooperation and investments, e.g.; Baltic Sea Region
Programme , BONUS

                              www.baltadapt.eu
The Strategy Structure and Approach - Lotta Andersson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) - CBSS
Exposure to Climate Change
                                 High certainty

Sea level rise (first in south, eventually in the whole region)
Annual air
temperature

Warmer summers

                            More heat waves
                                                                    Long time
      More events with extreme precipitation                        horizon
      More severe dry spells, especially in the southern areas

      Good                                More storms, high waves
      observation data
      and ensembles
      of regionally
      downscaled
      models needed            www.baltadapt.eu
Reducing Vulnerability
•   Focus on assessments of adaptive capacity - iterative process with stakeholders on all
    levels
•   Solidarity by actions that reduce vulnerability where it is most needed.
•   Win-wins between various environmental and socio-economic goals and avoidance of
    unexpected negative impacts
•   Create forums that enable integration of polices and knowledge across sectors and
    administrative levels.
•   Merge top-down and bottom-up approaches - BSR wide indexes but also stressing
    local drivers and barriers

                                  www.baltadapt.eu
Prioritization of Issues
•   High PROBABILITY that a change will occur
•   Short TIME HORIZION until change is significant
•   High MACRO-REGIONAL interest in issue
•   High RISK without or PROBABLITY with adaptation

                       www.baltadapt.eu
Marine Biodiversity and Habitats
                WARMER, LESS SALINE, MORE NUTRIENT
                TRANSPORT FROM LAND

                • Loss of original flora and fauna
                • Anoxic sediments lead to loss of
                  communities of organism that live at the
                  sea bottom
                • Change of composition of algae belts
                • Higher survival rates of invasive species
                • Changed population of birds and
                  decrease of the ringed seal, with
                  secondary ecosystem impacts

                THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR:
                ACTIONS MAINLY IN THE BASIN

     www.baltadapt.eu
Agriculture
Possibilites:
Higher crop yields New crops - larger crop variety. Longer vegetation
periods. Longer periods for pasture grazing.
Challenges:
Introduction of new animal and plant pests and spread
of weeds. High soil mineralization and heavy rains cause
increased leaching of nutrients. Ventilation problems in
big pig farms. More problems with flooding.
THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR:
(1) Cross-border system including learning about new
diseases and pests as well as methods to mitigate
the impact of these on crop yield (2) Macro- regional
insurance system for economic losses during extreme
events, based on a solidarity and risk reduction concept

                            www.baltadapt.eu
Fish and Fish Stock
• Limited possibilities for re-colonization from other marine areas and
  limited possibilities to “escape” climate change by shifting distribution
  ranges northwards
• Lower salinity and warmer water - fewer species, more freshwater species
  at expense of the marine
• THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR: identification of “adaptation tipping point
  approach” (warning signs) the EU Common Fisheries Policy (CFP)
  regulation when existing management strategies
  not will meet agreed objectives to help fisheries
  management to take into account possible
  climate change impacts.

                            www.baltadapt.eu
Coastal Infrastructure

• Coastal protection, maritime traffic, ports and touristic infrastructure.
• Medical infrastructure – reduce and acting on impacts of heat and extreme
  weather events, UV radiation, allergen- and air-pollutants and hygiene
  problems of food and water supply. Aging population
• THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR: Ensuring that the whole region have: (a)
  funded coastal protection measures (b) implementation of spatial planning
  instruments (c) willingness to establish multifunctional use of coastal
  zones, (d) environmental awareness (e) risk communication and other
  relevant information (f) availability to flexible and innovative approaches
  through the creation of new knowledge and transfer of best policy options

                             www.baltadapt.eu
Coastal Tourism
Comparatively more suitable temperatures, prolonged
season but challenges from beach erosion, increase of eutrophication and
biodiversity loss, impact on freshwater resources, health.
“Microenterprises”, with a short planning horizon
THE STRATEGY CALLS FOR: (1) Integration with the tourism sector and
the transport and the energy sectors, which are the two sectors which the
tourism draws the most resources from.
(2) Forecast, Risk assessment and information sharing systems: Financial
risk assessments, monitoring systems for coastal algae, bacteria, or jellyfish
proliferation .
(3) Training and preparing rescue services for increased occurrence of forest
fires and floods,
(4) Marketing of sustainable tourism to ensure that the potentially increasing
visitor load in the BSR, not will increase the environmental impacts
proportionally.

                             www.baltadapt.eu
The Action Plan
            approach and structure

Katrin Kiefer/ German Federal Ministry for the Environment
            Susanne Altvater /Ecologic Institute

             Baltadapt 3rd Policy Forum, Tallinn

                     www.baltadapt.eu
What is the Action Plan there for?

WHAT?             Adaptation Strategy
HOW?              Action Plan

     Provides the operational basis for implementing the strategy
by specifying priority activities for the macro-region in the field of
                               cc adaptation

                      www.baltadapt.eu
Implementing the strategy aims

                   Informed actors on all levels
                                                        Informing the
Raised awareness of the need for action at all levels   BSR about cc
                                                          adaptation
 policy relevant research-based knowledge on
 impacts and vulnerabilities to CC

                                   www.baltadapt.eu
Implementing the strategy aims

Review and mainstream policies in the light of cc   Strenghtening
adaptation concerns across all relevant areas
                                                    adaptation to
                                                        cc by
Integrate climate adaptation in relevant EUSBSR     mainstreaming
    Action Plan priority areas

                                www.baltadapt.eu
Implementing the strategy aims

                                                  Connecting the
Ensure platforms for a policy-research dialogue    BSR for cc
                                                    adaptation
       Cooperation between EU and Russia

 Making the BSR a model region for
 a macro-regional approach to CC adaptation

                          www.baltadapt.eu
Structure Action Plan

Informing               Strenghtening                Connecting
 the BSR                adaptation to                the BSR for
 about cc                   cc by                         cc
adaptation              mainstreaming                 adaptation

Adaptation actions:
Infrastructure, Tourism, Food supply, Biodiversity

Financing climate change adaptation in the BSR

                        www.baltadapt.eu
Structure Action Plan
                                       Box 12 - Info: Existing NAS

                                       Denmark, Finland, Germany and Lithuania have
•   Recommended actions                developed and adopted NAS, all with a focus on specific
                                       sectors. At the same time, integration and
                                       mainstreaming adaptation within existing national
•   Background information             programmes is central to these NAS. Action Plans are
                                       supporting the implementation of the NAS in Denmark,
                                       Finland and Germany. Two of them are mentioning
•   Info Boxes                         cross-border initiatives (DE, DK).

                                       BSR countries in the process of developing NAS:
•   Good practice examples             Estonia, Latvia and Poland

                                       Box 8 - Good Practice: BalticClimate Toolkit
                                       The project BalticClimate developed a Toolkit, as an
                                       empowering knowledge transfer instrument for actors
                                       on the local and regional level related to the
                                       implementation of climate change mitigation and
                                       adaptation measures.
                                       •www.toolkit.balticclimate.org

                    www.baltadapt.eu
Informing and increasing
                knowledge base
Increase knowledge base:
  • Research needs on climate change impacts and
    vulnerabilities
  • Impact assessments for sectors
  • promotion of multi- and interdisciplinary studies
  • economic assessments of costs and benefits of climate
    adaptation
    (vs costs of inaction)
  • social context of adaptation responses

                       www.baltadapt.eu
Informing and increasing
                 knowledge base
Provide and exchange
  information:
• ClimateAdapt platform
• Integration of of the Baltic
  Window
• Other platforms (web and
  “human”) to facilitate
  exchange of knowledge
  policy/science/”best
  practices” (e.g. Geodome)

                        www.baltadapt.eu
Strengthening adaptation by
                  mainstreaming
• Identify key instruments for integrating adaptation
      Use cross-cutting issue of spatial planning (SEA for
      plans/programmes and EIA for projects; pilot plans for trans-
      boundary MSP)

• Include adaptation requirements in relevant legal provisions
  or establish new intruments
• Integration in other policy processes(National Sustainability
  Strategies, National Biodiversity Strategies, MSFD etc)
• Mainstreaming of the private sector
  E.g. ZÜRS Geo online platform of the German Insurance Association
  (GDV)

                           www.baltadapt.eu
Strengthening adaptation by
                     mainstreaming
• Use of already existing instruments/networks at national level

    Country           Temporary              Institutional    Other strategies
                      coordination for       coordination     addressing
                      NAS and action         bodies           adaptation
                      plans
    Denmark           Preliminary inter-     Coordination
                      ministerial            Forum for
                      working group          Climate change
                                             Adaptation
    Finland           Series of              Finish           Forestry strategy
                      seminars during        Coordination     Foresight report
                      the development        Group for
                      of the NAS             Adaptation to
                                             Climate Change

                              www.baltadapt.eu
Cooperation and Participation
• Increase trans-national cooperation
     macro-regional e.g. by a transnational steering group on cc adaptation

     Cluster existing activities in working groups or platforms

     Interlink work of macro-regional and intergovernmental organisation

     On national level: coordinate measures/focal points?

     Involvement on Non-EU countries (e.g. Russia - EU External Action Programme)

• Support and facilitation of cross-sectoral cooperation
• Increase Participation on national/local level
• Improvement of Science-Policy cooperation (e.g. ECRA -
  European Climate Research Alliance )

                                   www.baltadapt.eu
Actions in the four sectors

  Main                                Set of
  CC       Prioritization            potential
impacts                              measures

                                         Criteria
                                         •   Importance/Effectiveness
                                         •   Urgency
              Most                       •   Flexibility
            important                    •   No-regret characteristic
             actions                     •   Side-effects
                                         •   Cost-efficiency
                                         •   Feasibility

                  www.baltadapt.eu
Instrument
                   Regulatory instruments
                   (commands/prohibitions,
                   charges)
                   Planning Instruments
                                                                              instruments
                                                                              Categorie of

                   Economical Instruments
                   (taxes, fees, licences)
                                                                              measures
                                                                                                    Toolbox

www.baltadapt.eu
                                                                              Example of Practice
                                                                              or         example

                   Infrastructure
                                                                              Sect

                   Biodiversity
                   Agriculture and Fisheries
                   Tourism
                                                              Aim of

                   EU
                   national authority
                   Länder (in federal systems)
                                                                         necessary

                   District/Region
                                                                         Implementing

                   Municipality
                                                              adaptation stakeholder(s) , if

                   Businesses
                                                                         administrative level

                   NGOs
Financing
• Actions to the stakeholders with regard to area- / sector-
  specific financing
• Mainstreaming adaptation in programming
     INTERREG V BSR

     Horizon 2020

     BONUS

     Cohesion Fund:

     Rural Development Programmes

     EU LIFE+

  See: Financing adaptation measures 30th May, 10:50 – 12:20

                            www.baltadapt.eu
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