Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...

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Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
Thursday 4th February 2021

Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum
COVID-19: Impact on the Borough
Kelly O’Neill – Director of Public Health
Sam Greehy – PH Officer: Information Intelligence
Sacha Rathore – Community Engagement Officer
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
COVID-19 Surveillance in Hounslow

                                           12/1 – 1141 /100k

                              28/12 – 645 /100k

                                                       26/1 – 645 /100k
                           21/12 – 460 /100k

                       12/12 – 171 /100k
                                                   27/1 – 596 /100k
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
Infection Rates in London – 3 February 2021
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
COVID-19 Surveillance in Hounslow:
Total Case Numbers / Ward

                  Total number of cases LBH:
                  •     8374 (20 Dec)
                  •     21,921 (31 Jan)
                  •     162% increase since 20/12/20
                  Gender – Even spread
                  Age profile of cases:
                  •     Under-19 – 15%
                  •     Aged 20-59 – 70%
                  •     Over-60 – 15%
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
Data received on 3 February: 7-day period:
25 January to 31 January 2021

  2 January to 8 January 2021                      25 January to 31 January 2021

  7-day infection rate: 1,141 / 100,000            7-day infection rate: 424 / 100,000

  7-day case total – 3,098                         7-day case total – 1,152

  Age groups: 72% of cases from 20-59 year olds.   Age groups: 72% of cases from 20-59 year olds.

  Over-60s: 14% of all cases (445)                 Over-60s: 16% of all cases (170)

  Case positivity – 23%                            Case positivity – 8.9%

  7-day pillar 2 tests – 7,473                     7-day pillar 2 tests – 13,716

  London infection rank – 6th / 32                 London infection rank – 1st / 32

  England infection rank – 18th / 316              England infection rank – 15th / 316

  Deaths – 53 (December), 49                       Deaths – 53 (December), 188 (January to date)
  321 (total within 28 days of positive test)      466 (total within 28 days of positive test)
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
Data received on 3 February: 7-day period:
25 January to 31 January 2021
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
Data received on 3 February: 7-day period:
25 January to 31 January 2021
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
Data received on 3 February : Infection Rate by Ward
7-day period: 25 January to 31 January 2021
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
COVID-19 surveillance: Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Wards

                     Proportion
                       of total    Rank in                 Proportion of    Rank in   Increase since
         Total cases    cases     Hounslow   Total cases    total cases    Hounslow    20/12/20 to
Ward Name 31/01/21 31/01/21       31/01/21    20/12/20       20/12/20      20/12/20     31/01/21

 Brentford   1203      5.49%        8th         511           6.10%          5th          135%

 Isleworth   929       4.24%        17th        354           4.23%          16th         162%

   OSG       1000      4.56%        13th        421           5.03%          8th          138%

   Syon      1037      4.74%        12th        382           4.56%          12th         171%

   Total     4169       19%                     1668           20%
Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Area Forum COVID-19: Impact on the Borough - Kelly O'Neill - Director of Public Health Sam Greehy - PH Officer: ...
Impact on: Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon
Cumulative Comparison
                                               Cumulative Number of COVID-19 cases 01.09.20 to 31.01.21
                             1600

                             1400

                             1200
  Number of COVID-19 cases

                             1000

                              800

                              600

                              400

                              200

                                0

                                                                              Date

                                    Hounslow Central   Heston West    Hounslow West   Brentford             Syon
                                    OSG                Isleworth      Turnham Green   Chiswick Homefields   Chiswick Riverside
Test-Positive Profile: Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Wards
28 February 2020 to 31 January 2021:
  Gender:
  • Women – 52%
  • Male – 48%

  Age profile:
  • 15% of cases are 19 or under.
  • 70% of cases are within the 20 to 59 age range
  • 15% of cases are over the age of 60 (605 cases)

  Occupation…
COVID-19 Deaths in Hounslow Borough:
28th February to 30th November

                                                   Total number of COVID-19
                                                   deaths in Hounslow – up to 30
                                                   November:
                                                   245
                                                   Age profile of deaths:
                                                   Over 60: 87%
                                                   Over 80: 42% - largest no. in
                                                   80-89 group
                                                   Gender
                                                   Men – 66%
                                                   Women – 34%
              Population                 Rate      Ethnicity: (36 patients with an
                             Number of
    Ethnicity estimate ONS
                             deaths
                                         per       unknown ethnicity)
              2019                       100,000
    Asian     93,964         91          96.8
                                                   From the patients with known
    Mixed     13,471         11          81.7      ethnicity the highest rate of
    Black     19,543         15          76.8      covid-19 deaths were seen in
    White                                          Asians with a rate of 96.8 per
              103,145        75          72.7
    British
    Other     9,942          4           40.2      100,000
    White
              134,603        13          9.7
    other
COVID-19 Deaths in Brentford, Isleworth, OSG and Syon Wards
28th February to 30th November

                            Total number of COVID-19 deaths in Brentford,
                            Isleworth, OSG and Syon – up to 30 November:
                            18% of all COVID-19 deaths
                            Age profile of deaths:
                            Under-60: 26%
                            Over-60: 74%
                            Over-80: 40%
                            Gender
                            Men – 70%
                            Women – 30%
Management of infection in the community - LBH

1. Surveillance – data to identify cases, clusters, outbreaks and disease picture – Monitor,
   identify and Respond – aim is to protect the population
2. Outbreak/ Cluster Management:
           - Care homes
           - Schools
           - Hospitals
           - Prisons/ YOI
           - Businesses/ workplaces
           - Houses of Multiple Occupancy
           - Sports Clubs
3. Test, Track, Trace, Support – National Programme and Local Response
4. Communication and Engagement
5. Partnership with Leaders/ Organisations and Communities – Faith Groups, Schools, Health
   and Social Care
6. Flexing to respond to emerging priorities
Data Driven Community Engagement &
Communications: Warning and Informing
                                                                   Everyone does it their way: some will
                                                                   spread to their family; others to every
Launched Community Champions programme                             mosque in Hounslow– we support you
                                                                   in what ever way we can
   Understanding that familiar faces can often be more effective
   in delivering messages and affecting behaviour change than
   government or official bodies, we developed a champions
   model to spread messages to hard to reach communities.

   110 champions from across the borough representing
   various groups and ethnicities who share messages with
   their communities.

   Evidence of effectiveness:
   • surveys sent only to champions result in over 200
       responses.
   • Promotion via pop-up testing site led to high uptake after
       data showed high rates of infection in Heston

Used data to understand where engagement                                         Everyone sharing –
is needed                                                                        we want to hear from
                                                                                 the champions too:
   Used data of hotspots of cases and understanding of                           what info do they
                                                                                 need? what are the
   borough characteristics to inform work                                        issues in the
   • Targeted testing and messaging in areas of high case                        community?
   • Engagement with HMO tenants, Heathrow, etc.
   • Testing messages to understand which might be effective
PRIORITY 1:
Managing demand for Health and Social Care - system management:

Pathway to Hospitalisation: Timeframe 11 – 18 days

INFECTION – SYMPTOMS – TEST POSITIVE – SEVERE ILLNESS – HOSPITALISATION

Rate of infection:
• 18-11 days ago: rates: 915 - 731/100,000
• Today: 424

Hospital Activity
• Sustained pressure and surge in cases – activity is above that of wave 1
• Current in-patient numbers admitted with CV-19 – critical care demand
• Increasing intensive care capacity
• Conversion of wards for CV-19 inpatients – impact on non-CV-19 care
• Major drive to safely discharge medically optimised patients – supported by social care providers
• Protecting Care Homes – Outbreak management/ medical, nursing and PH support
PRIORITY 2: Reduce rate of infection:
•   Lockdown 3: Breaking the chain of infection/ Targeted areas
•   Communications: Social mitigation measures – Hands/ Face/ Space/ Rules
•   Enforcement: LBH Enforcement Teams/ Police – Responsibilities
•   Testing: Two modes of testing:
           1. Symptomatic person testing – PCR
              Population testing: Feltham, Hounslow Central, Heston, Heathrow,
              Twickenham, Stamford Brook
              Care Home testing – Staff weekly, residents monthly

          2. Rapid Asymptomatic person testing - Lateral Flow: Key workers targeted
             A. PH targeted programme working with LHR
             B. EY/ Primary and Secondary Schools – staff and children of key workers (DfE)
             C. Mass population testing – Heston Library, HH, Isleworth, Staines RFC, Mobile units
PRIORITY 3: CV-19 Vaccination Programme
•   NHS Led Programme – 22,000+ people vaccinated
•   Priority Groups: JCVI directed
•   Current Uptake among priorities 1-4 very good in the borough;
    performing well in comparison to other London boroughs
•   Vaccination sites:
•   4 Primary Care Sites operational in the borough:
     – Heart of Hounslow
     – Chiswick Health Centre
     – Thornbury Rd Health Centre
     – Feltham Assembly Hall
•   Mass Vaccination sites: 2 sites to serve the borough due to be
    operational in February/ March
•   Vaccines: Pfizer and Oxford – Changes in programme (dose 2)*
•   Approx split of vaccines used:
      – 44.4% AZ
      – 55.6% Pfizer
•   Side effects: consistent with clinical trials e.g. tiredness, sore
    arm, some incidences of mild fever
•   Local communications and engagement group working
    specifically to address vaccine hesitancy in the borough
    alongside colleagues in NW London
VACCINATION UPTAKE                                                        As of 04/02

North West   London/ National
        Priority Area
                              Commitments
                          Number of people in
                               cohort
                                                      & Modelling
                                              Deadline for Delivery Delivery model                                          Status

Priority 1: Residents in a care home for older 1,250       17/01/2021                     PCN Hubs- roving teams   Initial phase completed-
How
adultsdo
       andthese
            staff translate to Hounslow? How are we doing?                                                         mop up sessions planned

Priority 2: Over 80s                            8,700                  24/01/2021         PCN Hubs & roving        80% completed as of
                                                                                          teams for housebound     02/02/2021

Priority 2: Frontline Health and care workers   691                    15/02/2021         PCN Hubs                 Complete
(primary care)
Priority 2: Frontline health and care workers   Approx. 4,000          15/02/2021         Mass vaccination sites   In progress – variation
(social care)                                                                             Hospital hubs            per provider

Priority 3: Over 75s                            6,573                  15/02/2021         Mass vaccination sites   In progress- 75%
                                                                                          PCN hubs                 complete
                                                                                          Roving teams for
                                                                                          housebound
Priority 4: Over 70s                            9,735                  15/02/2021         Mass vaccination sites   In progress- 70%
                                                                                          PCN Hubs                 complete
                                                                                          Roving teams for
                                                                                          housebound
Priority 4: CEV individuals (aged 17-69)        13,508                 15/02/2021         Mass vaccination sites   In progress-30%
                                                                                          PCN hubs                 complete
                                                                                          Roving teams for
                                                                                          housebound

                                                                Please note this is
                                                                  first dose only
Change in Vaccination schedule
AMBITION: As many people vaccinated in the quickest time, safely – saving lives!

Logistics – administration is based on vaccines available – roll out as soon as they are received.

Updated guidance from the independent JCVI and the UK chief medical officers was published on 30 December: Delayed dose 2 – 12 week
interval.
Current Position:
•     Rapid increase in COVID-19 cases in December and January
•     Large increase in hospitalisations
•     Emergence of a new variant
•     Need: Increase pace of vaccination, including extending vaccinations to frontline health and care workers.
•     Increase spacing of second vaccine doses for both the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine and Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine.

Rationale: public health:
•    The greatest good for the greatest number.
•    Reduce hospitalisation and deaths
•    Prioritise the first dose
•    1 dose: Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine - 90% protection
•    1 dose: Oxford AstraZeneca – 70% with high protection against severe disease
•    100 people 1 dose (nearly fully protected) v 50 people fully protected (2 doses) + 50 people with no protection
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