Card-Linking and O2O Industry Survey 2018 - The CardLinx Association www.cardlinx.org From Online-to-Offline

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Card-Linking
and O2O Industry
                           www.cardlinx.org

Survey 2018
The CardLinx Association
www.cardlinx.org
From Online-to-Offline
Table of Contents
                EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 3

                KEY FINDINGS .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 4
                 Growth Tipping Point: Majority of Companies See CLO Transactions
                 Grow More Than 100%. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 4
                    Restaurants, Grocery and Department Stores Lead Online-to-Offline
                    Marketing Adoption .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 4
                    What’s Next? Mobile Wallets With Embedded Coupons and Loyalty .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 4
                    Consumers Increasingly Prefer “Cash Back” versus Loyalty Points Rewards. .  .  . 5

                SURVEY RESULTS. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 6
                 Card-Linking Transaction Growth Over the Past 12 Months .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 6
                    Card-Linking Advertising Budget Projection .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 6
                    What type of reward do consumers prefer for card-linking? .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 7
                    Which merchant category is the best fit for card-linking?.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 7
                    Poised for Consumer Adoption Worldwide. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 8
                    What feature is most important in the growth of
                    online-to-offline commerce? .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 9

                APPENDIX.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 10
                 About the CardLinx Association .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 10

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org                                                      2                                  For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
Executive Summary
                Card-linking refers to the technology enabling the linking of a consumer’s online digital app to
                a payment card or mobile wallet used for offline/in-store purchases. Card-linking is one of the
                most widely used online-to-offline technologies (“O2O”). Examples include Bank of America’s
                Bank Amerideals and Groupon+. This annual research study analyzes global trends in card-
                linking and O2O commerce by surveying the world’s largest merchants, technology companies,
                card issuers, payment networks and loyalty companies. CardLinx Association members and
                survey participants include Microsoft, Rakuten, Samsung Card, Bank of America, Sumitomo
                Mitsui Card, Mitsubishi UFJ Nicos, Hilton, AEON, MasterCard, JCB among others.
                The 2018 study reveals the accelerating growth of online-to-offline commerce with a majority
                of participants reporting over 100% annual growth in card-linked transactions. In addition,
                companies report an increased use of O2O card-linking in the travel industry and for cross-
                border offers. Mobile wallets are poised as the next large scale technology for O2O digital
                coupons and digital loyalty programs.
                2018 is also the year that artificial intelligence (AI) applications in card-linking and O2O have
                finally achieved some significant scale in certain areas. Key new AI commerce areas include:
                personalized ads and offer targeting, card origination, online-to-offline conversion tracking, fraud
                detection and new customer services like biometric checkouts and cashier-less registers.
                According to a recent McKinsey Global Institute analysis1, four of the top five industries that
                derive the most value from deploying AI are also the ones most active in the O2O ecosystem:
                travel, retail, automotive and high tech. Cross-border commerce and travel are a frequent focus
                in O2O commerce as payment networks, retailers and card-linking technology companies use AI
                to provide hyper-personalized offers to drive in-store purchases.
                The line between traditional brick-and-mortar retailers and e-commerce companies is
                continuing to blur as all retailers use AI, cloud computing and big data analysis for competitive
                market advantage. This past year there has been an explosion in the development of AI for
                cars ranging from real-time, in-car payments, like the recent Mastercard-SAP partnership
                announcement to continued refinement of self-driving cars and corporate drone fleets. For
                high tech titans, the pursuit of complete marketing attribution continues unabated, including
                Google’s release of their card-linking API.
                The card-linking and O2O ecosystem continues to grow and mature into an industry with
                limitless opportunities as technological advances like payment-enabled devices, artificial
                intelligence and deep learning become more common. Increased consumer data through recent
                data portability regulations and consumer preference for opt-in advertising and commerce
                platforms are driving the use of machine learning and AI in all aspects of retail.
                Further developments of card-linking and O2O will deliver increasingly better offers and retail
                experiences.

                1. Notes from the AI frontier: Applications and value of deep learning, by Michael Chui, James Manyika, Mehdi Miremadi, Nicolaus
                Henke, Rita Chung, Pieter Nel, and Sankalp Malhotra; https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/artificial-intelligence/notes-
                from-the-ai-frontier-applications-and-value-of-deep-learning?cid=other-eml-nsl-mgi-mck-oth-1805&hlkid=2d16314dbeb34a7da1
                813e2d3f023dff&hctky=9936479&hdpid=5767ad8b-bf52-4971-8322-d74e8537c106; retrieved May 20, 2018.

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org                        3                      For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
Key Findings
                GROWTH TIPPING POINT: MAJORITY OF COMPANIES SEE CLO
                TRANSACTIONS GROW MORE THAN 100%
                For the first time in the history of the survey, the majority of respondents had their card-linked
                transactions grow more than 100% in the last year. 62% of respondents across North America,
                Asia and Europe experienced at least a doubling in their card-linked offer (CLO) transactions
                over the past year. The growth in 2018 also signals how CLO has gone mainstream with very
                significant scale. For example in the United States, Japan and the United Kingdom, many of
                the top five banks including Bank of America, Sumitomo Mitsui and Barclays have significantly
                expanded their online-to-offline digital marketing platforms.

                 In addition, the proliferation of non-bank “app based” card-linking marketing programs, from
                companies including Groupon, Yelp and Uber, drove growth in new online-to-offline channels.
                Card-linking’s ability to reach consumers across multiple digital channels is increasingly
                enticing chief marketing officers (CMOs) of large merchants to shift digital marketing budget to
                this technology.

                RESTAURANTS, GROCERY AND DEPARTMENT STORES LEAD
                ONLINE-TO-OFFLINE MARKETING ADOPTION
                For 2018, the top three merchant categories for card-linking are 1. Restaurants at 30%, 2.
                Grocery Stores at 19%, and 3. Department Stores at 17%. These merchant categories benefit
                the most from online-to-offline promotions like card-linking because they have a high purchase
                frequency and typically require offline fulfillment through a physical store.

                One new merchant category made it to the top 4 with significant growth compared to 2017:
                Travel Merchants. This growth has been driven by airlines and hotels. These companies are
                seeing an increasing proportion of their revenues derived from ancillary services like baggage
                fees, room services and cross promotions for non-competitive merchants. These ancillary
                services are well suited to new online-to-offline marketing channels like CLO that are more data
                driven than traditional marketing channels.

                WHAT’S NEXT? MOBILE WALLETS WITH EMBEDDED COUPONS
                AND LOYALTY
                In 2017, the most promising commerce technology was AI. In 2018, it is “back to the future”
                as more than 40% of respondents in both Asia and Europe selected “Mobile Payments with
                coupons and loyalty” as the most promising new commerce technology. Asian markets
                including China first reached mass consumer scale with mobile wallet offers/coupons on Alipay
                and WeChat Pay. These offerings are now poised for broad scale adoption in Europe, North
                America, and soon, other markets including Latin America, Africa and Australia/ New Zealand.

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org          4                  For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
CONSUMERS INCREASINGLY PREFER “CASH BACK” VERSUS
                LOYALTY POINTS REWARDS
                A cash back discount has always been the highest preference for consumers. However loyalty
                points offers have grown in popularity for the prior two years. 2018 reversed that trend
                with “Loyalty Points” rewards declining in popularity. Loyalty points offers declined from the
                top preference at 16% this year compared to 20% last year. This shift signals an increasing
                “cash price” sensitivity for consumers despite a robust consumer spending environment on a
                global basis.

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org        5                For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
Survey Results
                CARD-LINKING TRANSACTION GROWTH OVER THE PAST 12 MONTHS
                                           How much have CLOs grown in the last 12 months?

                                                          10%                                More than 100%
                                                                                             50% to 100%
                                                   13%
                                                                                             30% to 50%

                                                  5%                                         10% to 30%
                                                                        62%                  0% to 10%
                                                  10%

                72% of survey participants responded that the transaction volume for their card-linking programs
                has increased more than 50% over the past year. A majority, 62%, saw transactions grow by
                more than 100%. This is a first in the history of the CardLinx survey. This result demonstrates the
                “mainstreaming” of CLOs in retail marketing. Card-linking’s ability to reach consumers wherever
                they are makes this advertising channel a “must have” for chief marketing officers.

                CARD-LINKING ADVERTISING BUDGET PROJECTION
                                       2017                                                            2018
                   Potential Advertising Budget for Card-Linking                   Potential Advertising Budget for Card-Linking

                             Over $50 billion      $30 to $50 billion                          Over $50 billion     $30 to $50 billion
                             $10 to $30 billion    $1 to $10 billion                           $10 to $30 billion   $1 to $10 billion

                According to the Interactive Advertising Bureau2 digital advertising hit $85 billion in 2017.
                According to CardLinx survey participants, card-linking has the potential to capture half of
                the total global digital advertising market. Card-linking is one of the most broadly used opt-in
                marketing channels. As opt-in digital platforms become more dominant, card-linking will also
                grow more rapidly.

                2. http://adage.com/article/digital/iab-record-breaking-year-digital-ad-revenue/311712/

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org                          6                    For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
WHAT TYPE OF REWARD DO CONSUMERS PREFER FOR CARD-LINKING?
                                                                What Reward Type Do Consumers Prefer?
                               50%

                               45%

                               40%

                               35%

                               30%

                               25%

                               20%

                               15%

                               10%

                                5%
                                       “% off” cash back     “Fixed doller off”     Loyalty program points     Buy one,             Other
                                           discount        cash back discount        or bonus points        get one free

                                                                                2018       2017    2016

                Consumers continue to prefer cash back discounts when using card-linked offers. This year
                survey participants preferred a fixed “Dollar Off” offer to a greater extent. This signals an
                increased price sensitivity in 2018 despite strong consumer spending globally.

                Loyalty points offers had grown in popularity for the prior two years. 2018 reversed that trend
                “Loyalty Points” rewards declining in popularity. As with other questions in the survey, there is a
                flattening and diversification of survey responses over time as more industries and retailers use
                more varied reward options across card-linking programs.

                WHICH MERCHANT CATEGORY IS THE BEST FIT FOR CARD-LINKING?
                                                           Which Merchant Category Is Best for Card-LInking?

                                           Other

                                           Travel

                                         Grocery

                                 Clothing/Apparel

                                     Restaurants

                               Department Stores

                                                    0%    5%       10%          15%         20%       25%     30%          35%   40%      45%

                                                                                 2016       2017     2018

                Legacy card-linking programs are associated with the Restaurant category, thus this category’s
                traditional dominance. For 2018, the top three merchant categories for card-linking are 1.
                restaurants at 30%, 2. grocery stores at 19%, and 3. department stores at 17%. The top
                categories are merchant categories that have high purchase frequency and typically require
                offline fulfillment through a physical store.

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org                                   7                      For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
Over the past two years, the travel category has surged to from 2% in 2016 to 11% in 2018.
                The results of this year’s survey indicates a continued diversification of merchants that use
                card-linking.

                POISED FOR CONSUMER ADOPTION WORLDWIDE
                                       Europe                           Asia

                                                                                                 Cashier-less Stores
                                              13%                 19%           21%
                                 28%                                                             Biometric Payments
                                                       8%

                                                                                      4%
                                                                                                 Card-linking programs
                                                            12%                                  embedded in mobile
                                                                                                 payment options
                               10%                                                               Peer-to-Peer Payments
                                               41%                        44%
                                                                                                 Artificial Intelligence

                Card-linking is uniquely poised to take off in Europe and Asia as the implementation of GDPR
                and Open Banking are leading to greater use of opt-in advertising technologies like card-linking.
                Regulators in North America and Asia may follow Europe’s lead by implementing new rules to
                drive data portability and enhanced consumer control of data.

                In 2018, it is “back to the future” as more than 40% of respondents in both Asia and Europe
                selected “Mobile Payments with coupons and loyalty” as the most promising new commerce
                technology. Asian markets including China first reached mass consumer scale with mobile wallet
                offers/coupons on Alipay and WeChat Pay. These offerings are now poised for broad scale
                adoption in Europe, North America, and soon, other markets including Latin America, Africa and
                Australia/New Zealand.

                41% of European respondents and 44% of survey respondents in Asia said that card-linking
                was the next O2O technology to gain widespread consumer adoption. In Europe, new data
                monetization models are replacing Facebook and Google “freemium” models as the focus shifts to
                opt in models where consumers have greater control of their data and advertising. In Asia, there is
                a focus on developing technologies to bring the online shopping experience in-store. The second
                most popular response for survey respondents in Asia is cashier-less stores. Companies such as
                Alibaba are already beta testing these technologies in China.

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org          8                       For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
WHAT FEATURE IS MOST IMPORTANT IN THE GROWTH OF
                ONLINE-TO-OFFLINE COMMERCE?
                                                               Technologies Poised for O2O Growth
                                       60%

                                       50%

                                       40%

                                       30%

                                       20%

                                       10%

                                        0%
                                                a . Industry   b . Big data/cloud        c . Consumer      d . Retail    e. Artifical
                                                standards         data analysis         usage/adoption   branding and   Intelligence
                                                                                                          marketing

                                                                                             2018

                We asked “What feature is most important in the growth of online-to-offline commerce?” and 50%
                of the survey participants indicated “consumer adoption” was the most important followed by “big
                data” and “cloud analysis”. With GDPR and Open Banking initiatives worldwide, consumers are
                demanding more control of their data leading to new data monetization models that are replacing
                Facebook and Google “freemium” models.

                Card-linking has always been an opt-in model, and this transparent usage of consumer data with
                consent is part of card-linking’s appeal and continued growth in the US and internationally. All
                these components create a virtuous cycle where better targeting, loyalty benefits and personalized
                offers through AI and cloud computing along with the consumer opt-in model, has spurred more
                consumer usage.

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org                                9                          For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
Appendix
                ABOUT THE CARDLINX ASSOCIATION
                CardLinx Association is the premier, multi-industry trade association focused on promoting
                online-to-offline commerce and card-linking worldwide. On behalf of its members, the
                association fosters cross-industry collaboration, develops industry services, organizes executive-
                level innovation forums and institutes common standards to minimize and eliminate friction for
                purchases. Founding members of the CardLinx Association include Microsoft, Mastercard, Bank
                of America, TransUnion and First Data; other current members include: Hilton, FIS, MUFG, UBS,
                Sumitomo Mitsui Card Company and Rakuten. Membership in CardLinx Association is open to
                financial institutions, publishers, advertisers, merchants, merchant acquirers, payment networks
                and fintech companies. Companies interested in joining the association should visit:
                www.cardlinx.org

Copyright 2018 All Rights Reserved info@cardlinx.org         10                 For more information visit www.cardlinx.org
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