CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: FEBRUARY 2020

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CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: FEBRUARY 2020
CLIMATE CHANGE
IN THE 2020s:
THE DECADE FOR
INSURERS TO LEAD

           FEBRUARY 2020
CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: FEBRUARY 2020
CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s:
                                        THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
                                        Climate change is at the top of the agenda for policy makers,
                                        regulators and globally significant companies. It is an unprecedented
                                        risk and is under increasing scrutiny by shareholders and regulators.
                                        For insurers, climate change also presents opportunities for the
                                        industry to do what it does best – assessing and providing protection
                                        against risk – both in managing their own business and providing
                                        innovative products for policyholders to protect them against some of
                                        the economic implications. The 2020s will be a decisive decade in the
                                        race to deal with climate change and insurers may well play a key role
                                        in deciding the outcome of these efforts.

                                        Climate change risks                                  property and flood insurance policies,
                                        for insurers                                          among others. It is also likely to result in
                                                                                              an increase in demand for protection from
                                        Climate change affects insurers on both
                                                                                              adverse climate events.
                                        sides of their balance sheet, disrupting
                                        insurers’ assets as well as their liabilities
                                                                                              Climate change is also universal, with its
                                        under the policies they write. Given the
                                                                                              effects felt globally, not just in wealthy
                                        wide range of climate change risks,
                                                                                              areas with high insurance penetration.
                                        many regulators and industry bodies
                                                                                              Climate risks lay bare the insurance
                                        have adopted the helpful classification of
                                                                                              protection gap in developing countries
                                        the types of climate risks coined by the
                                                                                              where the effects of natural catastrophe is
                                        Governor of the Bank of England,
                                                                                              likely to be significant, whilst not having
                                        Mark Carney2:
                                                                                              the benefit of comprehensive insurance
                                        • Physical risks, the impact of the climate           protection. Innovative forms of alternative
                                          on physical assets which may lead to                risk transfer, through for example
                                          impairment of insurers’ assets and/or               parametric (re)insurance and insurance-
                                          the property which they underwrite.                 linked securities (ILS) would be ideally
                                                                                              placed to offer the protection so badly
                                        • Transition risks, the risk in moving (and
                                                                                              needed by the most vulnerable.
                                          being required to move by laws,
                                          regulations and policy decisions) from
                                                                                              On the life insurance side, health and life
                                          the “brown” where we are now,
                                                                                              insurers may also be impacted by
                                          towards the “green” world by adapting
                                                                                              changes in life expectancy and mortality,
                                          to the changing climate and seeking to
                                                                                              lifestyles and a shifting geographical
                                          stop further damage.
                                                                                              spread of vector-borne diseases,
                                        • Liability risks, the risk of increased              alongside the effect on the assets
                                          liability resulting from litigation on              backing these liabilities.
                                          climate change issues.
                                                                                              Assets
                                        Liabilities                                           On the asset side, climate change may
                                        On the liability side, climate change will            affect the value of investments,
                                        clearly have an impact on policies                    particularly in ‘brown’ industries, i.e.
                                        underwritten by general insurers. An                  industries which have the most negative
                                        increase in severe weather conditions                 environmental and climate impact such
                                        will lead to an increase in claims under              as fossil fuel extraction and high carbon

                                        1 Source: NDC Global Outlook Report 2019
                                          (https://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/librarypage/environment-energy/climate_change/ndc-global-
                                          outlook-report-2019.html)
                                        2 Source: Carney, M. (2015). Breaking the Tragedy of the Horizon
                                          (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2015/breaking-thetragedy-of-the-horizon-climate-change-and-
                                          financial-stability)

2   CLIFFORD CHANCE
    CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: FEBRUARY 2020
emission transport companies. At the                     to monitor and scan the horizon for future
same time, new investment opportunities                  developments in order to ensure they do
arise from these changes. Alternative                    not set themselves up to inadvertently fall
asset classes, such as green bonds,                      foul of regulations.
green funds and environmental, social
and governance (ESG) focused                             We focus here on some key initiatives
investments will continue to grow and will               relevant to insurers (with a focus on
need to feature more prominently within                  the UK):
insurers’ portfolios in response to climate
                                                         International Association of Insurance
change. Indeed, as we discuss below,
                                                         Supervisors (IAIS)
rules, regulations and to some extent
                                                         The IAIS has been working with the
voluntary initiatives, such as the Task
                                                         Sustainable Insurance Forum and
Force on Climate-related Financial
                                                         insurance regulators globally in responding
Disclosures (TCFD), and consumer
                                                         to climate risks. Initiatives on climate
pressures will drive insurers to make
                                                         change in many jurisdictions are being
green investment decisions and ensure
                                                         developed and the IAIS is keenly aware of
they have ESG compliant investment
                                                         the need for insurance supervisors to give
strategies. These are issues which all
                                                         climate change their full attention and that
industries will be grappling with, but
                                                         supervisory requirements will need to be
insurers with their expertise in risk
                                                         scaled up. As an indication, the focus of
assessment should be ideally placed to
                                                         this year’s IAIS annual conference will be
leverage this liability side expertise to
                                                         climate change.
manage their asset portfolios.
                                                         In addition, the IAIS has noted the impact
Legislative and regulatory                               of climate change and the insurance
initiatives                                              protection gap and the role that
There is an increasing awareness of the                  parametric/ index linked (re)insurance
urgency to address the challenges of                     could play to plug the gap. An example of
climate change. Policymakers at                          this is the $225 million ILS issuance by
international and national levels are                    the government of The Philippines in
working on imposing laws and                             November 2019 seeking to close the
regulations to ensure insurers consider                  country’s gap in protection against
climate change risks in their business. A                earthquakes and tropical cyclones.
complicated web of climate risk
governance, risk management,                             The IAIS has also focused on disclosure
stewardship and disclosure requirements                  requirements and is supportive of insurers
is beginning to emerge globally, but                     complying with the TCFD
particularly in the European Union and                   Recommendations. It has found that
the UK.3                                                 whilst insurers (particularly in the general
                                                         insurance sector) show good awareness
In addition to focusing on climate change                of climate risks, progress in complying
simply because it is the right thing to do,              with TCFD disclosure standards has been
insurers will also need to monitor legal and             slow for insurers especially compared to
regulatory requirements as they begin to                 banks and other financial institutions.4
apply to them. In addition, decisions                    Whilst the TCFD Recommendations are
insurers make now (for example their                     voluntary, in the IAIS’ view, climate risk
investment strategies) are likely to have                disclosure could be assumed to already
long term consequences, whilst climate                   be required under the IAIS’ Insurance
change regulations are only now beginning                Core Principle 20 (Public Disclosure)
to be formed. Therefore, insurers will need              which requires firms to disclose “relevant

3 We refer to our Thought Leadership page on climate, sustainability, green finance and renewables which sets
  out a broader summary of the various initiatives on climate change and our publication Growing the Green
  Economy which is a collection of articles focusing on sustainability issues globally but with a particular EU
  and UK focus

4 See IAIS Issues Paper on the Implementation of the Recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related
  Financial Disclosures, 19 December 2019.

                                                                                                                       CLIFFORD CHANCE     3
                                                                            CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: FEBRUARY 2020
and comprehensive information on a                     Senior Management Function. Whilst one
                                        timely basis in order to give policyholders            individual will have responsibility, insurers
                                        and market participants a clear view on                will need to ensure that taking climate
                                        their business activities”. This view is also          change risks and ESG matters into
                                        taken by the Financial Stability Institute             account must form part of the overall
                                        and a majority of insurance regulators,                culture of the firm.
                                        including the PRA.5 The IAIS now aims to
                                        publish an Application Paper on climate                The PRA also expects firms to manage
                                        risks in collaboration with the Sustainable            climate risks within their existing risk
                                        Insurance Forum later in 2020 to assist                management framework and firms will
                                        insurance regulators in developing their               need to demonstrate that they understand
                                        regulatory frameworks in respect of                    the resulting financial risks and how their
                                        climate risk disclosure.                               business models will be affected.

                                        European Insurance and Occupational                    In addition it has started working with
                                        Pensions Authority (EIOPA)                             firms on in-depth scenario and stress
                                        On the back of the EU’s Sustainable                    testing on climate change to identify the
                                        Finance Action Plan (SFAP)6, EIOPA has                 risks so as to inform firms’ decisions.
                                        published its proposals on how                         Similar to the EIOPA proposals, the PRA
                                        sustainability risks should be included                expects firms to consider financial
                                        within the Solvency II framework. In                   climate change risks in their ICAAP or
                                        particular, it has proposed that                       ORSA assessments under the Prudent
                                        sustainability risks will expressly need to            Person Principle. The Bank of England
                                        be taken into account in the Prudent                   has also announced that it will focus on
                                        Person Principle, risk management and                  financial risks resulting from climate
                                        solvency capital requirements. EIOPA is                change in its 2021 biennial exploratory
                                        also encouraging insurers to use                       scenario to test the resilience of financial
                                        qualitative scenario analysis and testing to           institutions, including insurers, to
                                        examine the impact of climate change,                  climate risks.
                                        with scenarios tailored to the insurer’s risk
                                        profile. These proposals echo the UK                   Insurers are also expected to consider
                                        PRA’s proposals as described below.                    further disclosure on climate risks,
                                                                                               governance and risk management as part
                                        Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA)                  of their financial reporting. This enhances
                                        The PRA has been at the forefront of                   and builds on disclosure requirements
                                        addressing climate change within the                   which affect other companies such as the
                                        financial institutions sector. It was among            FRC’s UK Stewardship Code for investors
                                        the first regulators to have published its             and the requirement for large companies
                                        assessment of the impact of climate                    to report on how directors have
                                        change on the insurance sector with its                considered their various duties under
                                        Supervisory Statement SS3/19 and                       section 172 of the Companies Act 2006.
                                        Policy Statement PS11/19 being issued                  This includes the duty to consider the
                                        in April 20197. The PRA has made it                    impact of the company’s operations on
                                        clear that boards must understand,                     the community and the environment,
                                        assess and address financial risks arising             which requires boards to take into
                                        from climate change. In addition, they                 account the environmental, social and
                                        must allocate responsibility for managing              governance impact of decisions made
                                        climate risks to the most suitable existing            by the company.

                                        5 See FSI Papers No 20 of 6 November 2019 – Turning up the heat – climate risk assessment in the
                                          insurance sector.
                                        6 See our October 2019 briefing EU Sustainable Finance Action Plan: Status Table.
                                        7 See our November 2019 Briefing Sustainable Finance: the impact for Banks and Investments

4   CLIFFORD CHANCE
    CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)8                                  sustainability, and the demand for “green”
The UK FCA has also set out its climate                             financial products, the FCA has also
change priorities in its feedback statement                         emphasised that it will take appropriate
FS19/6 published in October 2019. The                               action to prevent consumers being misled
FCA intends to publish a consultation                               by greenwashing, i.e. companies making
paper in early 2020 proposing new                                   unfounded or exaggerated claims
disclosure rules aligned with the TCFD                              regarding the environmental credentials or
Recommendations on a ‘comply or                                     benefits of their products.
explain’ basis. Such rules if implemented,
would potentially accelerate the UK                                 The below timeline provides an overview
government’s current plan to require                                of the expected timing of various key
certain listed issuers to start disclosing on                       initiatives coming into effect over the
climate risks from 2022. Given the focus                            next two years.
consumers themselves have on

     Task Force on Climate      TCFD Recommendations on disclosure                                                                                                   UK Green Finance Strategy: all UK
Related Disclosures (TCFD)                                                                                                                                           listed companies and asset owners
                                                                                                                                                                     expected to disclose in line with
                                                                                                                                                                     TCFD recommendations by 2022

                        IAIS
                                Ongoing monitoring of                     IAIS Annual Conference
                                supervisory practice                      (focus on climate change)
                                                                          (November 2020)

                                                                                                                    Sustainability-related disclosures on insurance-based
                                                                                                                                                                    b     investment products (March 2021)

           European Union                                                                                                                                            Integration of climate risk
                                                                                                                                                                     considerations into Solvency II
                                                                                                                                                                     (including Prudent Person Principle)
                                                                                                                                                                     (under consideration - potentially 2022)

                                                                                                                                                                     EU Sustainable Finance Taxonomy
                                                                                                                                                                     (staggered implementation from
                                                                                                                                                                     31 December 2021)

                  FCA/PRA
                               Allocating climate risk to a Senior Management Function and inclusion in ORSA and ICAAP (in force)

                                                                   Bank of England Biennial Exploratory Scenario stress testing
                                                                   (scenarios published in H2 2020, results in 2021)
             UK Corporate
              Governance S.172 statement requirement (including reporting on environmental consideration) (in force)

         FRC Stewardship
                  Code UK Stewardship Code 2020

                               JAN 2020                                                     JAN 2021                                                      JAN 2022

                                          Recommendations
         KEY
                                          Regulations and policy guidance

Pressure groups                                                     co-operating under the slogan
In addition to the legal and regulatory                             BlackRock’s Big Problem. BlackRock
requirements on climate change and                                  itself has subsequently joined the
policyholders’ expectations, various                                pressure group Climate Action 100+.
grassroots movements and pressure                                   Siemens was similarly forced by the
groups may also influence insurers’                                 group Fridays for Future, among other
approach to climate change. These                                   groups, to put in place oversight
groups exert significant influence on                               arrangements in respect of sustainability
public opinion and have the media’s                                 issues in relation to the planned
attention. Recent examples include                                  construction of a major coal mine
BlackRock’s decision to shift its business                          in Australia.
model towards green and ESG compliant
investments following pressure from                                 The table below provides a high level
various activist groups including Extinction                        overview of some key pressure groups
Rebellion and a coalition of groups                                 relevant to (re)insurance firms.

8 See our October 2019 briefing Sustainability Snapshot: UK FCA signals next steps in its strategy on climate
  change and green finance

                                                                                                                                     CLIFFORD CHANCE                                                            5
                                                                                          CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
Pressure Group         Relevant goals                                      Actions
    ClientEarth            Better disclosure of environmental and              Reported several insurers to the FCA for failing to
                           climate risks by companies                          adequately disclose climate risks
    Climate Action 100+ Ensuring the world’s largest greenhouse                Pressuring greenhouse gas emitters to put in place better
                        gas emitters take action on climate                    governance and disclosure through influencing their
                        change9                                                institutional shareholders
    Asset Owners           Engaging with the largest financial investors Calling out pension funds for lack of disclosure of their
    Disclosure Project     on responsible investing10                    responses to climate change
    Unfriend Coal          Stopping insurers from underwriting risks in Naming and shaming insurers underwriting coal projects
                           relation to the coal industry11
                                                                        Disrupted the 2018 Rendez-Vous de Septembre in
                                                                        Monte Carlo.
    WWF                    Protecting World Heritage Sites12                   Currently producing a guide for insurers on how to prevent
                                                                               or reduce the risk of insuring and investing in companies or
                                                                               projects whose activities could damage World Heritage sites
    Extinction Rebellion   Stopping biodiversity loss and reaching net         Physical disruption and blocking of insurance offices to
                           zero greenhouse gas emissions by 202513             highlight the role of the insurance sector in the fossil
                                                                               fuel industry

                                               What’s next?                                            culture and risk management framework.
                                               With the focus on climate change, insurers              In addition, insurers should be aware of
                                               should and will be expected to take                     the impact pressure groups may have on
                                               climate change risks seriously in all                   their activities.
                                               aspects of their business, on both sides of
                                                                                                       Insurers wield considerable power as
                                               the balance sheet. Insurers will need to
                                                                                                       some of the world’s largest investors and
                                               fully understand the impact of climate
                                                                                                       asset managers. Their capacity to create
                                               change on their business and to respond
                                                                                                       innovative products which respond to
                                               appropriately. Regulatory developments
                                                                                                       climate change issues such as parametric
                                               are likely to also impose the need for
                                                                                                       reinsurance and ILS and their expertise in
                                               further scenario analysis and stress testing,
                                                                                                       risk modelling make insurers ideally
                                               as will additional disclosure and reporting
                                                                                                       placed to have a significant impact in the
                                               requirements on firms’ ESG policies. Whilst
                                                                                                       fight against climate change.
                                               in the UK an individual senior manager will
                                                                                                       Policymakers, regulators and pressure
                                               need to have responsibility for climate
                                                                                                       groups are challenging insurers to
                                               change, the need to focus and take
                                                                                                       embrace this role. The 2020s will be the
                                               climate change into account should not be
                                                                                                       decade for insurers to step up to this
                                               ascribed to just one individual or team, but
                                                                                                       challenge and lead from the front.
                                               will need to form part of the insurer’s

                                               9   Source: http://www.climateaction100.org/
                                               10 Source: https://aodproject.net/
                                               11 Source: https://unfriendcoal.com/
                                               12 Source: https://wwf.panda.org/wwf_news/press_releases/?341718/UN-WWF-and-worlds-insurers-to-
                                                  develop-pioneering-industry-guide-to-protect-World-Heritage-Sites
                                               13 Source: https://rebellion.earth/the-truth/demands/

6     CLIFFORD CHANCE
      CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
CONTACTS

Cheng Li Yow             Patrick Killing
Partner                  Lawyer
London                   London
T: +44 20 7006 8940      T: +44 20 7006 2635
E:	chengli.yow@         E:	patrick.killing@
    cliffordchance.com       cliffordchance.com

                                                                                             CLIFFORD CHANCE     7
                                                  CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
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