HEALTHCARE INVESTING IN INDONESIAN - Opportunities for Australian businesses - Asia Society

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HEALTHCARE INVESTING IN INDONESIAN - Opportunities for Australian businesses - Asia Society
ASIAASIA
                                          TASKFORCE      INTERIMPAPER
                                              TASKFORCE DISCUSSION REPORT
                                                                      No. 05
                                                                    NOVEMBER 2020

INVESTING IN INDONESIAN
HEALTHCARE
Opportunities for Australian businesses

Asia Taskforce is an initiative of                   Knowledge partners
BACKGROUND

This Discussion Paper has
been prepared as part of a          Key points:
series of short reports on
specific topics identified by the   In this Discussion Paper we aim to:
Business Council of Australia       • Draw attention to the opportunities that the Indonesian
and Asia Society Asia Taskforce       Healthcare sector presents
(Taskforce) together with
Knowledge Partners PwC              • Outline the role that foreign investment has played and will play
Australia and the University          in funding Indonesia’s healthcare needs
of Sydney Business School, to       • Identify several specific areas in healthcare where Australian
supplement the findings and           companies have comparative advantages
recommendations contained
                                    • Highlight the role that technology can play in the delivery of the
in the Interim Report. One of
                                      Indonesian Government’s healthcare objectives
the objectives of the Taskforce
was to identify specific industry   • Highlight case studies of the real-life experience of Australian
sectors and countries where           companies which have successfully entered the Indonesian
Australia has a comparative           healthcare market.
advantage and where there is
local demand.
The paper is intended to
contribute to a discussion
about how Australian capability
and talent can be involved in
helping Indonesia reach its
economic potential. It provides
a starting point for Australian
healthcare businesses to define
the opportunities and, perhaps
most importantly, illustrate
how organisations can navigate
the inevitable risks by bringing
the ‘Team Australia’ approach
outlined in the Interim Report
to life.

                                                                                Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 2
INTRODUCTION
The Indonesian economy                 Unsurprisingly, this translates       Development Plan (Rencana
has achieved consistent                to lower capacity in healthcare       Pembangunan Jangka Panjang
                                       infrastructure compared to its        Nasional/RPJMN) 2020-2024.
economic growth over the               ASEAN peers and neighbours,           It aims to do so by improving
last two decades,                      and that of advanced economies.       promotive and preventive efforts,
delivering better social               This is reflected in a number of      particularly in the areas of mother
and economic outcomes                  key indicators, such as hospital      and child health, productive
for its large and ever-                beds and doctor-to-population         health, nutrition, disease control,
                                       ratios (see Table 1). The COVID-19    community-level initiatives, health
expanding population of                pandemic has put a further            systems, drug and food control.5
around 270 million people.             spotlight on these issues.
                                                                             Either way, further increases in
Growth in GDP has hovered around       Although both government              private financing of both soft and
5 percent per year over the last       and private sector investment         hard infrastructure will be critical,
two decades making Indonesia just      in healthcare has been rising,        particularly as the government
the fifth Asian economy to join the    Indonesia still faces a steep hike    faces greater fiscal pressures
US$ 1 trillion club. PwC projects      in investment to improve health       managing the stabilisation and
that Indonesia will become the         outcomes across the board,            recovery of the economy through
world’s fourth largest economy by      particularly as its population        the current COVID-19 pandemic.
2050, up from 16th place in 2017,      continues to grow, which will place   Indonesia has lifted its previous
overtaking a number of advanced        additional demands on already         budget deficit-to-GDP ratio of 3%
economies including Japan,             under-resourced healthcare            to around 5% to accommodate an
Germany and the United Kingdom.1       systems. Growing affluence brings     US$ 47 billion stimulus program
Ongoing urbanisation will support      further challenges in the form        for 2020, with further increases
Indonesia’s growth and economic        of a growing elderly population,      expected in 2021.
advancements.2 However,                chronic diseases, cancer and
                                       obesity, and higher expectations      As we explore in this paper, the
improving overall health outcomes                                            needs of Indonesia’s general
is also a prerequisite for achieving   of standards of care.
                                                                             population and the increasing
higher and more equal growth.          Researchers at Universities           demand for quality care from
Indonesia continues to grapple         Indonesia (UI) estimate that the      its growing upper-middle class,
with a high national prevalence        additional investment in health       combine to offer an attractive
of child undernutrition and            infrastructure (e.g. hospitals        market for both domestic and
pronounced inequalities at a           and medical facilities) amounts       foreign investors. This is the case
subnational level. This is linked to   to between US$10.2 and                now even more so for Australian
poorer educational outcomes and        US$16.4 billion per year, in order    firms who will enjoy greater access
in the longer term, it is correlated   for Indonesia to achieve adequate     and investment conditions under
with lower income levels as an         capacity levels by 2030.4 This        the recently ratified economic
adult. The burden of disease also      represents a 20 to 30% uplift on      agreement between Australia and
remains high in Indonesia, which       current expenditure levels.           Indonesia - the Indonesia-Australia
can impact the labour force                                                  Comprehensive Economic
                                       As a strategy to alleviate            Partnership (IA-CEPA).
through lower productivity.3           pressures on existing facilities
Indeed, healthcare is one area         going forward, the Government
where Indonesia lags, with             of Indonesia’s (GoI) is aiming to
relatively low levels of spending      strengthen primary healthcare
on healthcare per capita.              as part of its Long-Term National

                                                                                    Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 3
Rising private healthcare
Figure 1 Healthcare spending per capita and healthcare spending
to %GDP (2017)                                                                                                              Private healthcare already
                                                                                                                            accounts for roughly two-thirds
6,000
                                                                                                                            of healthcare expenditure in
                                                                                                                5,109       Indonesia, and growth continues to
5,000                                                                                                4,816
                                                                                                                            outstrip that of public spending.6
                                                                                                                            For example, between 2014 and
4,000                                                                                    3,844
                                                                                                                            2018, the number of private
                                                                                                                            hospitals in Indonesia increased
3,000                                                                                                                       from 1,476 to 1,830 (a 24%
                                                                                                                            increase), with investments
2,000                                                                                                                       from a number of foreign firms
                                                                                                                            including those from Singapore,
                                                                              841
1,000                                                                                                                       the Netherlands, South Korea, and
                                           247          253       368                                                       the US. For the same period, the
                 130          133
       0
             Vietnam Philippines Thailand               India   Indonesia     China     Malaysia Australia      OECD
                                                                                                                            number of public hospitals only
                                                                                                                            increased by 13% from 930 to
                 5.5%         4.4%         3.7%     3.5%          3.0%        5.2%        3.9%       9.2%       12.5%
                                                                                                                            1,047 hospitals.
             Healthcare spending per capita, PPP (in USD, 2017)                   Healthcare spending (% GDP, 2017)
                                                                                                                            Considering Indonesia’s growing
Source: World Bank                                                                                                          middle class, private healthcare
                                                                                                                            providers in Indonesia (both
                                                                                                                            domestic and foreign) are likely
Figure 2 Ratio of physicians and hospital beds to 1,000 population*                                                         to continue to expand their
                                                                                                                            presence in the market.
4.5
                                                                                              4.2
                                                                                                                            One indicator of the potential
  4                                                                                                                   3.8
                                                                                                          3.7   3.7         opportunity posed by the
3.5                                                                                                                         Indonesia healthcare market is
                                                                                                                            the significant resources spent
  3                                                                                                 2.9
                                                        2.6
                                                                                                                            annually on outbound medical
2.5                                                                                                                         tourism. As noted in a 2018
                                           2.1
                                                                                        2.0                                 report by Oliver Wyman, lack
  2                                                                               1.9
                                                                                                                            of trust in the local system and
 1.5
                                                                            1.5                                             infrastructure results in more than
                 1.2
                              1.0                                                                                           600,000 people a year traveling
  1                                                             0.9
                        0.6
                                     0.8          0.8                 0.7                                                   to neighbouring countries such as
0.5        0.4                                                                                                              Singapore for medical treatment.
                                                                                                                            The report authors estimate that
  0
       Indonesia Philippines Thailand             Vietnam        India      Malaysia    China       OECD        Australia   the direct cost of such medical
                 Ratio of physicians to 1000 population               Ratio of hospital beds to 1,000 population            tourism has grown at an annual
                                                                                                                            rate of over 10% since 2006 and is
Source: World Health Organization (WHO).                                                                                    now nearly US$ 1.9 billion a year.
*Latest year of data available in each country for physicians and hospital beds,                                            This suggests a key opportunity
respectively, are as follows: Indonesia (2018,2015), Philippines (2017,2011),                                               for private investment to capture
Thailand (2018,2010), Vietnam (2016,2014), India (2018,2011), Malaysia (2018,2015),                                         the higher end of the healthcare
China (2017,2012), OECD (2017,2013), Australia (2017,2014).                                                                 market locally, particularly in light
                                                                                                                            of likely ongoing travel restrictions
                                                                                                                            imposed in response to COVID-19.

                                                                                                                                   Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 4
Financing gap and the                      As the GoI grapples with an
role of Public-Private                     increase in spending across
                                           many different priority areas,
Partnerships                               there is considerable scope for
The growing dominance of private           public-private partnerships
healthcare is a trend seen across          (PPPs) to bridge the funding
many emerging countries in                 gap required to raise the level
South-East Asia. Although an               of public care through private
increase in the availability of such       sector involvement. PPPs can be
services, in and of itself, is positive,   used to upgrade facilities, adding

                                                                                  “
the main beneficiaries are upper-          much-needed capacity and
middle class Indonesians. The              raising quality. PPPs need not be
majority of the population rely on         restricted to infrastructure, which
                                           typically accounts for a minority
                                                                                  Indonesia already faces
access to basic services provided
through public hospitals, and some         share of all health spending. In       large disparities in health
private providers, via the universal       the drive for efficiency, many
                                           other clinical services could be
                                                                                  outcomes between
health coverage scheme (known as
the BJPS).                                 financed and managed privately,        different income levels,
                                           contributing to higher standards
Although the BJPS will likely put          and the generation of savings over     as well as between urban
private healthcare within the reach        the long-term.9                        and rural areas.”
of greater numbers of people
over time, Indonesia also needs to         The government highlighted
ensure that sufficient investment          PPPs in the most recent
continues to go into public services       Medium-Term National
given that it already faces large          Development Plan (“RPJMN
disparities in health outcomes             2020-24”) as a key procurement
between different income levels,           modality to improve private
as well as between urban and               participation in public social
rural areas.7                              infrastructure provision, backed
                                           up with sector-level regulations
Unequal geographic distribution            and the funding of a number of
of healthcare services puts                hospital PPP feasibility studies.
East Indonesia at the greatest             However, further effort will be
disadvantage. For example, only            required to realise a hospital
two-thirds of subdistricts in Papua        PPP in Indonesia in the future, to
have a health centre, as compared          overcome key uncertainties such
with all sub districts in regions          as the affordability of availability
such as Bali, DI Yogyakarta, and DKI       payments (from government’s
Jakarta. Only 53% of puskesmas             perspective), project scope
(public community health centres)          and risks with planning and
in Papua meet ‘basic amenities             market alignments.
readiness’, compared to 88% of
health centres in DI Yogyakarta.8
Such disparities are also found in
health personnel resources. The
WHO has found that only 12% of
health centres in West Papua have
sufficient numbers of midwives,
compared with 93.9% in Banten.

                                                                                       Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 5
Increasing market access
                                         Figure 3 Growth of FDI in Indonesian healthcare
to foreign investors
                                         $100m
Given the issues outlined above, the
GoI is acutely aware of the need to
open up the sector to foreign private
investment. A number of steps             $75m
have already been pursued such as
opening up the sector to foreign
investors from ASEAN and more
recently from Australia via the ASEAN     $50m
Economic Community (AEC) and
IA-CEPA agreements, respectively
(discussed further below).
                                          $25m
Foreign direct investment in the
sector is growing quickly, and
opportunities are increasingly
being seized upon by players from          $0m
Singapore, Australia and China                      2013        2014      2015           2016           2017         2018        2019
(see Figures 3 and 4).
Foreign investment in greenfield         Source: BKPM 2019, National Single Window for Investment
development has been limited as
it is perceived as higher risk, with
new hospitals taking up to three         Figure 4 Sources of FDI into Indonesian healthcare, by country,
years for initial planning, regulatory   as at 2019
and licensing procedures prior to
construction commencing.10               $250m

As such, a common entry strategy                  $207m
has been investments in maturing         $200m
operating assets, to expand or
enhance them.
                                         $150m
For example, in 2018 Singapore-
based private equity firm Kendall
Court took a majority stake in the
                                         $100m
Indonesian company Mandaya
Medical International, to enable
the expansion of a large hospital                            $53m
                                                                       $46m
                                          $50m
in Jakarta.                                                                       $31m
                                                                                                $19m       $17m
                                                                                                                       $9m
As noted above, PPPs have the                                                                                                     $6m
potential to be another investment         $0m
                                                 Singapore Australia   China      British     Malaysia NetherlandsSeychelles      Japan
modality for foreign investors.                                                Virgin Islands
It would presumably require
participation in the BJPS (which
                                         Source: BKPM 2019, National Single Window for Investment
is currently optional for private
providers), thus requiring flexible
and innovative approaches
particularly with regards to
cost management and market
segmentation.11

                                                                                                       Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 6
Challenges remain                                 1. Development or                       2. Provision of
                                                  expansion of hospitals                  specialized health
There are a number of factors                     and other healthcare                    services/facilities
which cumulatively hinder foreign                 facilities                     to treat non-communicable
investment. One of the main ones                                                 diseases (NCDs)
is the availability of physicians to     While Indonesia is severely lacking
ensure standards can be met.             in hospital capacity, Australia         Through investment in hospitals,
This would be less of an issue if        on the other hand has delivered         Australian providers will have the
Indonesia were more open in              world leading design, construction      opportunity to improve disease
allowing the practice of foreign         and operational management of           prevention and control.
medical professionals.                   healthcare facilities, including
                                         coordination of end-to-end solutions.   Due in large part to the negative
The GoI has so far taken some                                                    impacts of urbanisation and
small steps to relax restrictions,       The IA-CEPA allows for up to 67%        lifestyle changes – and one of
with a certain number of foreign         Australian ownership in hospitals,      the highest smoking rates in the
specialists now allowed to practice      medical and dental clinics as well      world – Indonesia faces a major
on limited two-year passes.              as residential and aged care with       challenge to address the rapid rise
However, the pool of incoming            no geographic limitation. This          of NCDs such as cardiovascular,
doctors is constrained by other          provides a significant advantage        respiratory and digestive diseases
barriers such as language tests.         over other foreign investors, who       as well diabetes and cancer.
Either way, Indonesia will also need     are currently limited to large          Australia is a world-leader in
to address internal constraints to       hospitals in eastern Indonesia          preventive and protective health
local capacity development, such         (excluding Makassar and Manado).        policy and programs, with specific
as the adequacy of its own training      Australian investors will be able       expertise in areas such as diabetes
facilities. As discussed later in        to invest in any location, even the     prevention, smoking-related
this paper, the IA-CEPA provides         main cities of Jakarta and Surabaya,    illness, as well as addressing
a greater window for Australia’s         and importantly will be able to scale   infectious disease threats.
TVET sector to help fill this gap.       up their investment over time to
                                         meet scale requirements. Likewise,               3. Assistance with
Opportunities for                        the 67% restriction should not                   aged-care facilities and
                                         be disadvantageous as there are                  treatment
Australian firms
                                         considerable benefits and synergies     Indonesia has a young population
Australia has long been a leader in      from working with a competent           relative to its more advanced
the global healthcare market, and        local or regional healthcare            neighbours, such as China, but it
is recognised for its world-class        provider, as has been the case for      is entering the early stages of an
healthcare system, its high-quality      Ramsay and other foreign investors.     aging population.13 Disability rates
healthcare education and training
                                         At present, Ramsay Health Care          for elderly people are relatively
capabilities, and for its leading role
                                         is the only Australian healthcare       high, with an increased incidence
in the research and development
                                         company operating hospitals in          of chronic diseases such as heart
of medical devices and technology.
                                         Indonesia, where it operates three      disease, strokes, hypertension
More Australian companies                hospitals through a joint venture       and diabetes. There is limited
though should be well positioned         arrangement with the Malaysian          availability of geriatric clinics
to capitalise on the growing             multinational conglomerate Sime         and nursing homes in Indonesia,
opportunities in the sector, while       Darby Berhad.                           typically concentrated in larger
assisting Indonesia to develop its                                               urban areas, and their capability
healthcare capacity. The following       Ramsay will soon be joined by two       to provide comprehensive nursing
areas have been identified as areas      other Australian companies, Docta       and geriatric medical services is
where there is good alignment            and Aspen Medical, who have             likewise limited.
between Australia’s comparative          recently entered into a US$1 billion
advantages and Indonesia’s needs.        deal with state-owned enterprise
                                         PT Jasa Sanara to build and
                                         operate 650 healthcare clinics and
                                         23 hospitals in West Java.12

                                                                                        Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 7
There is a considerable opportunity    diagnostics, microbiology, and               6. Building Indonesia’s
to leverage Australian expertise in    immunochemistry testing and                  healthcare workforce
aged care and geriatric services       genetics testing.15                          through training and
and to provide training for nurses                                           exchange programs
and caregivers, in order to improve    In a separate Asia Taskforce
the delivery of services across        Discussion Paper “Insights,           As noted, Indonesia needs to
the archipelago.                       Outreach and Brokering: Taking        train more doctors and nurses to
                                       Australia’s Healthcare Innovation     improve ratios and quality of care.
Indonesia is also seeing the           Advantage to Indonesia”, the
emergence of senior living homes,      Australia-Indonesia Centre            Australia is home to many of
with high-quality facilities and       uses the Monash Technology            the world’s leading universities
management services, proving           Precinct as a case study in how       in health education. It also has
that there is a relatively untapped    Australia’s healthcare innovation     leading vocational training
appetite for such services as          precinct capabilities in healthcare   programs to develop world-class
pre-existing cultural norms with       technology, medical services,         multi-disciplinary teams. Through
respect to aged care start to shift.   healthcare and pharmaceutical         the IA-CEPA there is also scope to
                                       infrastructure can be leveraged       tap into the considerable training
This presents opportunities            to support Indonesia’s                capacity of Australia’s vocational
for Australian companies with          health‑related challenges.            education and training facilities
experience in aged care to                                                   (“TAFEs”) and other registered
partner with major developers in                5. Digital health            training organisations (“RTOs”)
Indonesia who are better placed                                              to deliver accredited training for
to handle the land and property                                              nurses, administrators and other
aspects of such ventures. One                                                healthcare skilled and semi-skilled
Australian company which has           Indonesia is considered to have       personnel such as orderlies and
stepped into this space is Living      the largest digital economy in        nursing assistants. Accreditation
Well, which operates a number of       SouthEast Asia, built on its large    recognised across both countries
premium ‘club houses’ for seniors,     and young population and high         opens up the opportunity for
in partnership with the Indonesia      penetration of smartphones and        training and exchange programs
conglomerate Ciputra Property.         the internet. Such a customer base    in either country, and potentially
                                       has provided fertile ground for       for the supply of much needed
         4. Medical technology         the growth of digital healthcare      aged-care and child-care workers
                                       providers over the last 5 to          in Australia.
                                       10 years, which are helping to
                                       overcome many of the issues in        Cooperation has already begun
Australia is also a world leader       traditional healthcare models         in this area. The University of
in the development of health           related to cost, efficiency and       Tasmania have partnered with
technology and medical devices,        geographic inequalities.              the University Gadjah Mada to
but to date has little penetration                                           create an 18 month joint Masters
into Indonesia’s large and rapidly     There are opportunities for the       of Nursing program. Eligible
expanding market for medical           export and delivery of Australian     students are funded by the
devices and laboratory equipment,      healthcare IT solutions where         Indonesian government through
which is forecast to pass US$          Australian experience aligns with     the Indonesia Endowment for
1.9 billion by 2024, despite 90%       Indonesia’s needs. For example,       Education (Lembaga Pengelola
of devices being imported.14           the extent of Australia’s own rural   Dana Pendidikan).
According to Austrade, business        and remote communities has
opportunities primarily exist          necessitated the development
in surgical equipment, high-           of solutions like telehealth and
intensity focused ultrasound,          telemedicine. Australia has also
radio immunotherapy and                been developing digital systems
clinical laboratory equipment          for broader applications, like
used for diagnostic tests,             medical databases.
particularly for molecular

                                                                                    Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 8
NOTES
1. PwC 2017, How will the global economic order change by 2050? Note
   that in PwC’s analysis, Indonesia is projected to rank fourth place in 2050
   when measured in either Purchasing Power Parity or Market Exchange
   Rate terms
2. World Bank 2018, Indonesia Database for Policy and Economic Research
3. WHO 2017, The State of Health Inequality in Indonesia
4. LPEM FEB UI & JICA 2020, Estimating Social Infrastructure Needs in
   Diverse and Dynamic Asia. The investment gap has been estimated
   based on the cost of Indonesia expanding its stock of hospital and
   medical facilities to achieve a ratio of 3.5 beds per 1,000 population, the
   minimum recommended by the WHO.
5. Ministry of Health Indonesia 2020, Rencana Strategis Kementerian
   Kesehatan Tahun 2020-2024
6. Ministry of Health Indonesia 2019, Indonesia Health Profile 2019
7. WHO 2017, The State of Health Inequality in Indonesia
8. Ibid. Basic amenities readiness is defined as having the basic services
   required to provide medical care, such as electricity, water and
   sanitation, private room, toilet, communication, computer with internet,
   and transportation.
9. PwC 2017, Build and Beyond: Bridging the Gap
10. PwC 2017, Build and Beyond: Bridging the Gap
11. Private hospitals may choose whether they want to cooperate with
    JKN operator (i.e. Badan Penyelenggara Jaminan Sosial Kesehatan,
    BPJS Kesehatan) to be able to serve JKN market. However, in the case
    of emergency, all private hospitals, regardless of the presence of such
    cooperation or not, must treat BPJS patients. Once the patients are in
    a stable condition, then the hospital should refer to other hospital that
    cooperate with BPJS Kesehatan.
12. Australian Financial Review 2020, Aspen Medical, Docta ink $1.3bn
    Indonesia healthcare deal.
13. UNFPA 2014, Indonesia on the Threshold of Population Ageing
14. Austrade 2019, Healthcare to Indonesia - Trends and Opportunities Data
    from the Indonesian Health Ministry
15. ibid.

                                                                                 Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 9
About Asia Taskforce
In October 2019, the Business Council of Australia and Asia Society Australia together with Knowledge
Partners PwC Australia and the University of Sydney Business School formed the Asia Taskforce of senior
leaders from the business, education and government sectors to examine howAustralian companies and
organisations can increase their presence and position in Asia to ensure our continued prosperity and
deliver progress for future generations.

This paper refers to Asia as the countries of South-East Asia, South Asia and North East Asia.

This Discussion Paper and other publications by the Taskforce can be found at
https://asiasociety.org/australia/asia-business-taskforce

Asia Taskforce Advisors on Indonesian Healthcare
• Jasminah Woodhouse
  Advisor, Economics and Policy Advisory, PwC Indonesia
• David Ray
  Advisor, PwC Indonesia
• Robert Herdiyanto
  Manager, Economics and Policy Advisory,
  PwC Indonesia
• Inca Camilla
  Senior Associate, Economics and Policy Advisory,
  PwC Indonesia
• Raihan Pradhana
  Associate, Economics and Policy Advisory, PwC Indonesia
• Andrew Parker
  Partner and Asia Practice Leader, PwC Australia

www.bca.com.au
www.asiasociety.org/australia
www.pwc.com.au/asia-practice
                                                                                                          127079670

www.sydney.edu.au/business
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