IMPACT ON EUROPEAN AVIATION - COVID 19 EUROCONTROL Comprehensive Assessment
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27 May 2021
COVID 19
IMPACT ON EUROCONTROL
Comprehensive Assessment
EUROPEAN AVIATION
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1
Headlines Traffic Situation
Daily flights (including overflights)
13,259 flights (39% of 2019 levels) on Wed 26 May 2021, slight increase (+5%) over 2 weeks.
Traffic over the last 7 days is
60%
Traffic relatively stable in the recent days after the large increase over the last two weeks.
Positive impact of lockdown measures relaxation in Turkey at State level (+64% over 2 Compared to
weeks), airport level (eg. Sabiha (+135%), IGA (+34%)) and for turkish operators (PGS, THY). equivalent days
in 2019
Solid increases for Portugal (+37%) (flows with UK), UK (+30%)(domestic + flows with
Portugal and Greece), Greece (+25%) and Italy (+12%) over the last two weeks. Other major
States (France, Germany, Spain and the Netherlands) record slight declines.
Apart from Turkish operators, good increases for Ryanair (+36%, Portugal - UK).
Domestic traffic vs 2019: Europe (-62%), US (-23%), China (+2%), Middle-East (-40%).
2
2
Top 10 Busiest Airports
7-day average Dep/Arr flights on 20-26 May, compared to 2019
Average flights per day (week Average flights per day (week
Top 10 Airports
20-26/5) 20-26/5) vs 2019
IGA Istanbul Airport 578 -51%
Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle 507 -65%
Frankfurt 504 -68%
Amsterdam 494 -68%
Madrid/Barajas 451 -63%
Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 376 -42%
London/Heathrow 364 -73%
Athens 317 -52%
Barcelona 282 -73%
Vienna 253 -72%
Traffic Flow Economics Fuel price
On 26 May, the intra-European traffic flow was
10,337 + 6% -62%
(21 May 2021)
170
Cents/gallon
flights over past Compared
compared to
2 weeks to 2019 Source: IATA/Platts 174 cents/gallon on 14 May 21
3
Overall traffic situation at network level
13,259 flights on Wednesday
26 May.
Increase (+5%) with +672 flights
over 2 weeks (from Wed 12
May).
Increase (+5%) with +631 flights
over 1 week (from Wed 19
May).
39% of 2019 traffic levels on
Wednesday 26 May.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 4
Current situation
When excluding the
Easter period, where
traffic reached a
maximum at network
level, the traffic has
been relatively stable at
-64% since January but is
now starting to increase
over the last 2 weeks.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 5
Market Segments
The evolution of the segments is
now almost getting back to pre-
Easter trends. On 26 May 2021,
compared to 2019:
All-cargo is the only segment
above 2019 levels with +9%..
Biz Aviation decreased to -9%.
Charter decreased to -29%.
Traditional, although a very
small rise over the last week,
remained stable, staying at -65%.
Low-Cost remains the most
affected segment decreasing by
-79% vs 2019 but is showing an
increase over the last 2 weeks.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 6
Aircraft operators (Daily flights)
Top 10 Turkish Airlines is the busiest
airlines with 729 flights.
Positive change in the ranking
over 2 weeks for Ryanair,
Pegasus and Qatar.
Highest increase over 2 weeks
for:
Pegasus (+203%) and Turkish
Airlines (+51%) driven by
domestic flows, after
relaxation of the Turkish
lockdown.
Ryanair (+26%) mainly driven
by the flow Portugal-UK.
Lufthansa (+7%) mainly driven
by domestic flows.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 7
Aircraft operators (Daily flights)
Top 40 – Latest operations
Highest increase for SunExpress (+300%), Pegasus (+203%), Turkish Airlines (+51%), but also easyJet (+54%;
many flows), British Airways (+34%) and Ryanair (+26%).
Ryanair 4th , easyJet 12th, British Airways 20th.
Traffic levels ranging from -99% (Brussels Airlines operates almost no flights on Wednesdays) to -12% (Wideroe)
compared to 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 8
Aircraft operators
Latest news
European airlines Ryanair issues a five year €1.2 billion Eurobond with a
coupon of 0.875%; Ryanair is rated BBB.
Air France launches a new staff solidarity movement to TAP state aid from Portugal annulled by General Court of the
encourage volunteer assignments for social/environmental EU following an action brought by Ryanair; plans to operate
causes. 49% of pre-crisis capacity in June.
easyJet reports a pre-tax loss of £645 million of the six Wizz Air to open a base at Cardiff in June with eight routes.
months to March 2021.
El Al reports $140 million net loss in 2020.
Iberia expects the acquisition of Air Europa to be completed
during the second half of the year.
Iberia signs tourism promotion agreements and announces
route plans for Panama, Puerto Rico and the Dominican
Republic.
KLM state aid from the Netherlands annulled by General
Court of the EU following an action brought by Ryanair.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 9
Aircraft operators
Latest news
Worldwide airlines Singapore Airlines plans to issue $4.6 billion of mandatory
convertible bonds; records net loss of $4.3 billion for year
American Airlines plans to operate daily Madrid/Miami to end March, including an impairment loss of $1.7 billion
and Madrid/JFK services from 17 June for vaccinated on 45 surplus aircraft; commits to net zero carbon
passengers. emissions by 2050
Cathay Pacific commits to net zero carbon emissions by South African Airways – Government states that “The
2050 by using SAF, offsets and enhanced efficiency; to acquisition of a Strategic Equity Partner is at an advanced
resume Frankfurt and San Francisco routes in June. stage and could be concluded in the next 4-6 weeks.”
Delta Air Lines to operate thrice weekly JFK-Barcelona and
Atlanta-Barcelona services from June/August respectively
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 10States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10 Highest increases over 2 weeks:
• Turkey (+64%) driven by Pegasus,
Rank
evolution
Top 10 States on Wed 26-05-2021 Turkish Airlines and SunExpress.
over 2 D over 2 % over 2 Domestic flows, after relaxation of
State Flights (Dep/Arr) % vs 2019
weeks weeks weeks lockdown.
• Portugal (+37%) mainly driven by
Germany 2108 -179 -8% -68%
France 2022 -122 -6% -60%
Spain 1658 -121 -7% -67%
low-cost operating flights from/to
United Kingdom 1521 +355 +30% -77% UK.
Turkey 1443 +563 +64% -52% • UK (+30%) mainly driven by easyJet,
Italy 1191 +129 +12% -70%
light aircraft operators, Loganair, BA
Norway 858 -33 -4% -51%
and Ryanair. Domestic flows as well
Netherlands 649 -35 -5% -66%
Greece 558 +112 +25% -64%
as with Portugal and Greece.
Portugal 464 +125 +37% -62% • Greece (+25%) mainly driven by light
aircraft and Olympic. Flows with UK,
Germany and The Netherlands, as
well as domestic flows.
• Italy (+12%) mainly driven by light
aircraft operators. Largest increase
on domestic flows.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 11States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Latest traffic situation
Highest increases for Slovenia (+69%), Turkey (+64%), Slovakia (+59%), Israel (46%).
Traffic levels ranging from -83% (Ireland) to -31% (Armenia) compared to 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 12States, Associations and Authorities
Cambodia to require employees in the tourism sector to be vaccinated and display
vaccination cards.
ACI Europe reconfirms the commitment of the European airport industry to achieve net
zero carbon emissions by 2050.
IATA supports unrestricted access to travel for vaccinated travellers and free-of-charge tests
where vaccination is not possible.
IATA welcomes the decision of Germany to open its borders to most vaccinated travellers;
calls for slot relief for this winter.
Spanish Airline Association (ALA) rejects a proposal by the Prime Minister to introduce an
environmental tax on airfares and eliminate some domestic flights.
FAA reports around 2,500 unruly passenger reports in 2021, including 1,900 reports of
passengers refusing to wear face masks.
Italian Competition Authority fines Ryanair and easyJet for non-reimbursement for
cancelled services.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 13Traffic flows (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
The main traffic flow is the intra-Europe flow with 10,337 flights
on Wednesday 26 May, which is increasing (+6%) over 2 weeks.
Intra-Europe flights are at -62% compared to 2019 while
intercontinental flows are at -61%.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 14Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10
9 of the top 10 flows are
domestic.
Highest increases in flights over
2 weeks for domestic flows in
• Turkey (+208%) mainly due to
Pegasus, Turkish Airlines and
SunExpress.
• UK (+22%) due to light aircraft
operators, easyJet and Ryanair.
• Greece (+9%), mainly due to
Olympic.
• Italy (+8%) , mainly due to light
aircraft operators.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 15Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Latest traffic situation
The busiest non-domestic
flows were:
• Germany-Greece (237 flights,
+9% over 2 weeks),
• Germany-Spain (213 flights,
-13% over 2 weeks).
• France-Spain (134, -26%)
• Germany-Italy (130, +14%)
• France-Germany (116, -6%)
• Turkey-Ukraine (111, +18%)
• UK-US (111, +3%).
• Germany-UK (107,+7%).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 16Outside Europe
USA
On tickets sold in mid-May, average
airfares* were 24% below pre-
pandemic levels. Fares remain
depressed due to discounting on
leisure/VFR and dearth of business
travel.
On 25 May, US passenger airline
departures were 25% below 2019
levels with domestic down 23% and
international down 40%.
The domestic US load factor has
improved recently, averaging at 83%
on 25 May vs 90% in same week of
2019.
* Fares (gross sales minus refunds) sold in the United States
for future travel to/from U.S. airports
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 17Outside Europe
Middle East China
On 25 May, Intra-Middle-East traffic recorded 1,679 daily On 24 May, domestic traffic recorded 12,159 flights (+2%
flights (-40% compared to Feb 2020). compared to January 2020 levels).
International traffic from and to Middle-East recorded 1,285 International flights and overflights are still suppressed, they
flights (-58% compared to Feb 2020). were stable on previous weeks with 1,312 and 388 flights
respectively (-68% and -76% vs 1 Jan 2020).
Overflights have remained stable around 268 flights over the
recent weeks (-37% compared to Feb 2020).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 18Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10 and latest news
Rank Positive change for 8 of the
evolution
Top 10 Airports on Wed 26-05-2021 top 10 airports.
over 2 D over 2 % over 2 Highest increases for:
Airport Dep/Arr Flights % vs 2019
weeks weeks weeks
IGA Istanbul Airport 578 +148 +34% -51% • Istanbul/Sabiha (+135%) and
Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle 507 +4 +1% -65% IGA Istanbul Airport (+35%)
Frankfurt 504 +4 +1% -68% mainly due to Pegasus,
Amsterdam 494 -16 -3% -68% Turkish Airlines.
Madrid/Barajas 451 +8 +2% -63%
• London/Heathrow (+14%)
Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 376 +216 +135% -42%
owing to increases from
London/Heathrow 364 +45 +14% -73% British Airways mainly.
Athens 317 +12 +4% -52%
Barcelona 282 -25 -8% -73%
Vienna 253 -6 -2% -72%
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 19Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Latest operations
Largest increases for Ankara (+196%), Istanbul/Sabiha (+135%), Antalya (+72%), IGA
Istanbul Airport (+34%), Lisbon (+32%), Tel Aviv (+25%) and Paris Le Bourget (+22%).
Traffic levels ranging from -94% (Gatwick) to -51% (IGA Istanbul Airport) compared to
2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 20Airports
Latest news
Auckland Airport reports 714k passengers in April, down 60% on 2019; this includes ~68k international pax,
reflecting the impact of the trans-Tasman travel bubble.
Flughafen Wien Group reports a net loss of €30.9 million in Q1 2021.
Frankfurt Airport to reopen 07L/25R, which has been used as a parking area.
German Airports Association reports April passenger numbers down 89% on 2019.
Orlando Airport reports April departures were 76% of April 2019 and this number increased to 82-85% for the
first half of May.
Singapore Airport report April passenger numbers of 173k, down 97% on 2019.
Vienna Airport reports April passenger numbers of 269k, down 90.2% compared to 2019; forecasting 12.5
million passengers for 2021.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATIONVaccination updates
Inoculations against COVID-19 have started at the end of 2020.
By 25 May, Israel, Malta, UK, Hungary, Monaco and Serbia have reported that
more than 25 people (per 100 people) were fully vaccinated (i.e. have
received 2 doses of the main vaccines).
Most of other Member States of EUROCONTROL are around 15 fully
vaccinated people (per 100 people).
Graphs are showing data for the 41 Member and 2 Comprehensive Agreement States of
EUROCONTROL.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 22Economics
Jet fuel prices have started
to rise since last Autumn,
from around 100 cts/gal in
October 2020 to 170 cts/gal
on 21 May 2021.
The jet fuel prices are
around 20 cents per gallon
below pre-COVID levels.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 23To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional
information on a daily basis (daily updates at approximately 7:00 CET for the first item and
12:00 CET for the second) and every Friday for the last item:
1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard:
www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the
top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int)
• This dashboard provides traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the largest airports;
for each Area Control Centre (ACC); and for the largest airline operators.
2. COVID Related-NOTAMS with Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions):
https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
• The Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” is updated daily with a
summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.
3. NOP Recovery Plan.
https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
• This report, updated every Friday, is a special version of the Network operation Plan
supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It is developed in cooperation with
the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook. © EUROCONTROL - May 2021
This document is published by EUROCONTROL for information purposes. It may be copied in whole
or in part, provided that EUROCONTROL is mentioned as the source and it is not used for commercial
purposes (i.e. for financial gain). The information in this document may not be modified without
For more information please contact aviation.intelligence@eurocontrol.int prior written permission from EUROCONTROL.
www.eurocontrol.int
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