Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header

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Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
Investment Update
Presentation Header
          A year is a long time!

                    March 2021
Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
First, a note!...
Concepts discussed herein are of a general nature.
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You           Header
     should not act on the material provided without
obtaining advice specific to your own needs, objectives
and circumstances as you risk undertaking an investment
not appropriate to your needs.
Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
We will cover…
 - Review of the last 12 months
 A pandemic…a market crash…an economic crash…huge government support…and a rally

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 - Concerns and risks
 - Long Term return expectations
 - Opportunities
Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
Firstly …a review of returns
   Feb 06, 2021

   Index Name                                          1 Year   3 Years
   S&P/ASX 200 (TR)                                     0.90%    8.31%
   S&P/ASX 300 (TR)                                     1.34%    8.46%
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   S&P/ASX 20 (TR)                                      1.74%    8.85%
   S&P/ASX 100 (TR)                                     0.41%    8.44%
   S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT (Sector) (TR)                   -12.60%    6.60%
   ALL ORDINARIES (TR)                                  3.38%    9.03%
   S&P/ASX SMALL ORDINARIES (TR)                        8.91%    8.47%
   S&P/ASX MIDCAP 50 (TR)                              14.88%   10.80%
   S&P/ASX 100 Utilities (Sector) (TR)                -17.08%   -1.59%
   S&P/ASX 100 Communication Serv. (Sector) (TR)        4.26%    6.89%
   S&P/ASX 100 Information Tech. (Sector) (TR)         59.20%   29.71%
   S&P/ASX 100 Materials (Sector) (TR)                 18.32%   16.96%
   S&P/ASX 100 Industrials (Sector) (TR)              -14.43%    5.15%
   S&P/ASX 100 Health Care (Sector) (TR)               -8.13%   20.85%
   S&P/ASX 100 Energy (Sector) (TR)                   -22.03%   -6.07%
   S&P/ASX 100 Consumer Staples (Sector) (TR)          -1.22%   13.49%
   S&P/ASX 100 Consumer Discretionary (Sector) (TR)    15.27%   14.21%
Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
Globally…
Index Name                                    1 Year   3 Years
S&P Europe LargeCap (EUR) TR                  -3.26%    4.85%
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S&P United Kingdom LargeCap (GBP) TR         -14.62%   -1.74%
S&P Germany LargeMidCap (EUR) TR               4.06%    2.80%
S&P Europe 350 Equal Weight Index (EUR) TR     2.61%    6.24%
S&P Southern Europe BMI (EUR) TR              -7.23%    0.09%
S&P Japan 500 (TR)                            15.15%    4.38%
S&P 500 (TR)                                  18.70%   15.85%
Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
2021…begins with
New USA president and likely stimulus package of up to $1.9Trillion
Covid vaccines rolled out globally
Australian housing clearance rates picking up
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USA and China relations continue to be strained
USA to develop their own supply lines in critical supplies (like rare earths)
Global push for “climate change” as a focus of government policies
The RBA is committed to buying $100B of Australian government bonds
RBA also committed to keeping rates low for three years
Continued economic support is likely – at least the first half of 2021
Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
Sharp return of employment compared to a normal recession

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Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
Concerns and risks…

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               do the worrying for you…here’s what we
                         are looking at !
Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
The USA market is expensive

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Investment Update A year is a long time! - Presentation Header
Take out the big tech stocks and the USA returns are more modest

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Non-profitable technology companies are up multiples in the last 12 months

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Gamestop - $20 to $480 and back to $63…in 4 weeks

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Could inflation return quicker than markets expect?
                                                      Big bounce already

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For US Investors, overseas assets now represent the best opportunities
                                                                         The last ten
                                                                         years have
                                                                         been very
                                                                         favourable to
                                                                         USA
  Presentation Header                                                    investments, we
                                                                         don’t think this
                                                                         will persist;

                                                                         US institutions
                                                                         feel the same
                                                                         way!
Some areas are very
Australian equities…   expensive but the
                       Australian market
                       has lagged the SP500
                       over 10 years

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                       The Australian All
                       Ordinaries is barely
                       above the high it
                       made in 2007
Emerging markets have also lagged but beginning to make new highs

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And, we retain Gold exposure as insurance…
                                             Gold is off its
                                             highs but the
                                             miners are
                                             cheap by
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                                             standards
                                             and much
                                             cheaper than
                                             the market
Focus …

                                 Consider your short-      Diversify adequately,
    Review your risk profile
                                 term spending needs (12   relevant to your
    and asset allocation
                                 to 18 months)             situation/needs
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    Think of your portfolio
                                                           Ignore headlines/social
    assets each having
                                 Patience                  media – they won’t help
    different risk profile and
                                                           you
    time horizons

    Raise any changes or
    concerns with us
If you have any concerns or questions, please contact the
                  Headerteam to ensure your strategy is still
          Preda Wealth
    Presentation
                            appropriate.
                      We look forward to being of service.

Please contact Robert Negri at
robert@predawealth.com.au        “If you know of anyone who could benefit from our
or by phone on 8663 5185              services, please do not hesitate to contact us”.
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