Mediterranean Diet and Mild Cognitive Impairment

 
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ORIGINAL CONTRIBUTION

Mediterranean Diet and Mild Cognitive Impairment
Nikolaos Scarmeas, MD; Yaakov Stern, PhD; Richard Mayeux, MD;
Jennifer J. Manly, PhD; Nicole Schupf, PhD; Jose A. Luchsinger, MD

Background: Higher adherence to the Mediterranean                      follow-up of 4.5 (2.7) years (range, 0.9-16.4 years). Com-
diet (MeDi) may protect from Alzheimer disease (AD),                   pared with subjects in the lowest MeDi adherence tertile,
but its association with mild cognitive impairment (MCI)               subjects in the middle tertile had 17% less risk (hazard
has not been explored.                                                 ratio [HR] = 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-
                                                                       1.12; P =.24) of developing MCI and those in the high-
Objective: To investigate the association between the                  est tertile had 28% less risk (HR = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.52-
MeDi and MCI.                                                          1.00; P=.05) of developing MCI (trend HR=0.85; 95%
                                                                       CI, 0.72-1.00; P for trend = .05). There were 482 sub-
Design, Setting, and Patients: In a multiethnic com-
                                                                       jects with MCI, 106 of whom developed AD during a mean
munity study in New York, we used Cox proportional haz-
                                                                       (SD) follow-up of 4.3 (2.7) years (range, 1.0-13.8 years).
ards to investigate the association between adherence to
                                                                       Compared with subjects in the lowest MeDi adherence
the MeDi (0-9 scale; higher scores indicate higher adher-
ence) and (1) the incidence of MCI and (2) the progres-                tertile, subjects in the middle tertile had 45% less risk
sion from MCI to AD. All of the models were adjusted for               (HR=0.55; 95% CI, 0.34-0.90; P=.01) of developing AD
cohort, age, sex, ethnicity, education, APOE genotype, ca-             and those in the highest tertile had 48% less risk
loric intake, body mass index, and duration between base-              (HR=0.52; 95% CI, 0.30-0.91; P=.02) of developing AD
line dietary assessment and baseline diagnosis.                        (trend HR=0.71; 95% CI, 0.53-0.95; P for trend=.02).

Main Outcome Measures: Incidence of MCI and pro-                       Conclusions: Higher adherence to the MeDi is associ-
gression from MCI to AD.                                               ated with a trend for reduced risk of developing MCI and
                                                                       with reduced risk of MCI conversion to AD.
Results: There were 1393 cognitively normal partici-
pants, 275 of whom developed MCI during a mean (SD)                    Arch Neurol. 2009;66(2):216-225

                                   T
                                                   HE CONCEPT OF MILD COG-              take of fish, vegetables, legumes, fruits, ce-
                                                   nitive impairment (MCI)              reals, and unsaturated fatty acids [mostly
                                                   was developed to identify            in the form of olive oil], low intake of dairy
                                                   subjects who are in the              products, meat, and saturated fatty acids,
                                                   transitional stage between           and a regular but moderate intake of al-
                                   normal aging and dementia or Alzheimer               cohol3) is associated with lower AD risk.4,5
                                   disease (AD). Because of the high conver-            Some studies have investigated the effect
                                   sion rates, subjects with MCI constitute a           of individual elements of the MeDi (ie, al-
                                   population suited for study of demen-                cohol, fatty acids, and fish) in MCI and age-
                                   tia-AD risk factor epidemiology and for in-          related cognitive decline6-12 and have found
Author Affiliations:
Departments of Neurology           vestigation of possible behavioral or phar-          conflicting results. Nevertheless, poten-
(Drs Scarmeas, Stern, Mayeux,      macological preventive interventions.                tial associations between the entire MeDi
and Manly) and Medicine            Among behavioral traits, diet may play an            pattern and MCI have not been explored.
(Dr Luchsinger), the               important role in the cause and preven-              We examined the association between the
Gertrude H. Sergievsky Center      tion of AD. However, epidemiological data            MeDi and MCI using data from the Wash-
(Drs Scarmeas, Stern, Mayeux,      on diet and AD have been conflicting.1,2             ington Heights–Inwood Columbia Aging
Manly, and Schupf ), and the       Moreover, there is a paucity of research on          Project (WHICAP). We hypothesized that
Taub Institute for Research in
                                   the effect of dietary factors on both rates          cognitively normal participants with higher
Alzheimer’s Disease and the
Aging Brain (Drs Scarmeas,
                                   of development of MCI and rates of MCI               adherence to the MeDi would have a lower
Stern, Mayeux, Manly, Schupf,      conversion to AD.                                    risk of future development of MCI and that
and Luchsinger), Columbia              We recently demonstrated that higher             participants with MCI and higher MeDi ad-
University Medical Center,         adherence to the Mediterranean diet                  herence would have a lower risk of devel-
New York, New York.                (MeDi) (a diet characterized by high in-             oping future AD.

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METHODS                                       clusive MCI subtypes: (1) MCI with objective memory impair-
                                                                         ment (with or without objective impairment in other cognitive
                                                                         domains), and (2) MCI without objective memory impairment
                SAMPLE AND DIAGNOSES                                     (objective impairment in ⱖ1 of the 3 nonmemory domains but
                                                                         a memory domain composite score within norms). Dietary data
The sample for the current study has been described in detail in         were not available to the consensus panel and were not consid-
recent studies exploring the frequency and course of MCI in our          ered in the MCI diagnostic process. Subjects were followed up
cohorts.13,14 The study included participants of 2 related co-           at intervals of approximately 1.5 years, repeating the baseline ex-
horts recruited in 1992 (WHICAP 1992) and 1999 (WHICAP                   amination and consensus diagnosis at each follow-up.
1999) who were identified (via ethnicity and age stratification
processes) from a probability sample of Medicare beneficiaries
residing in an area of 3 contiguous census tracts within a geo-                                   PREDICTORS
graphically defined area of northern Manhattan, New York.15 The
same assessments and study procedures were used in both co-                                             Diet
horts. At entry, a physician elicited each subject’s medical and
neurological history and conducted a standardized physical and           Dietary data regarding average food consumption during the past
neurological examination. All available ancillary information            year were obtained using a 61-item version of the semiquantita-
(medical records, computed tomographic scans, or magnetic reso-          tive food frequency questionnaire by Willett et al25 (Channing
nance images) was considered in the evaluation.                          Laboratory, Cambridge, Massachusetts). Trained interviewers ad-
    Each subject also underwent a structured in-person inter-            ministered the semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire in
view including an assessment of health and function and a neu-           English or Spanish. We have previously reported validity (using
ropsychological battery. Functional assessment of instrumental           two 7-day food records) and reliability (using two 3-month fre-
activities of daily living included a disability and functional limi-    quency assessments) of various components of the semiquanti-
tations scale.16,17 The neuropsychological battery18 contained tests     tative food frequency questionnaire in the WHICAP.26-28
of memory (short- and long-term verbal and nonverbal), orien-                Similar to our previous work,4,5,29 we followed a method pre-
tation, abstract reasoning (verbal and nonverbal), language (nam-        viously described3 for the construction of the MeDi score. More
ing, verbal fluency, comprehension, and repetition), and con-            specifically, we first regressed caloric intake (in kilocalories) and
struction (copying and matching). A global summary score on              calculated the derived residuals of daily gram intake30 for each of
the Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR)19 was also assigned.                  the following 7 categories3: dairy, meat, fruits, vegetables, le-
    A consensus diagnosis for the presence or absence of demen-          gumes, cereals, and fish. A value of 0 or 1 was assigned to each of
tia was made at a diagnostic conference of neurologists and neu-         the 7 groups using sex-specific medians as cutoffs. For benefi-
ropsychologists where information of all the above evaluations           cial components (fruits, vegetables, legumes, cereals, and fish),
was presented. Evidence of cognitive deficit (based on the neu-          persons whose consumption was below the median were as-
ropsychological scores as described earlier), evidence of impair-        signed a value of 0 and persons whose consumption was at or
ment in social or occupational function (as assessed by the Blessed      above the median were assigned a value of 1. For components
Dementia Rating Scale, the Schwab and England Activities of Daily        presumed to be detrimental (meat and dairy products), persons
Living Scale, and the physician’s assessment), and evidence of           whose consumption was below the median were assigned a value
cognitive and social-occupational function decline were the cri-         of 1 and persons whose consumption was at or above the me-
teria used for the diagnosis of dementia as required by the Di-          dian were assigned a value of 0. For fat intake (eighth food cat-
agnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Revised Third       egory), we used the ratio of daily consumption (in grams) of mono-
Edition.20 The type of dementia was subsequently determined.             unsaturated lipids to saturated lipids3 (again using sex-specific
For the diagnosis of probable or possible AD, the criteria of the        median cutoffs for assignment values of 0 for low and 1 for high).
National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disor-              For alcohol intake (ninth food category), subjects were assigned
ders and Stroke–Alzheimer Disease and Related Disorders As-              a score of 0 for either no consumption (0 g/d) or more than mod-
sociation21 were used.                                                   erate consumption (ⱖ30 g/d) and a value of 1 for mild to mod-
    Because the current study had started before the concept of          erate alcohol consumption (⬎0 to ⬍30 g/d). This is in agree-
MCI was developed, diagnosis of MCI was not part of the stan-            ment with previous reports3 that consider a moderate amount of
dard consensus conference procedure but was retrospectively ap-          alcohol consumption as another characteristic component of the
plied after the consensus conference for each visit among non-           MeDi. We also classified alcohol consumption dichotomously be-
demented individuals. Details on the MCI definition have been            cause of the skewed distribution of alcohol consumption in our
previously provided.13,14 Briefly, consistent with standard crite-       population (68% reporting no alcohol intake, 31% reporting ⬍30
ria,22 subjects considered for MCI were required to have the fol-        g/d [mild to moderate intake], and 1% reporting ⱖ30 g/d [heavy
lowing. First, they had a subjective memory complaint (using             intake]). The MeDi score was generated for each participant by
items from the Disability and Functional Limitations Scale16,17          adding the scores in the food categories (theoretically ranging from
and the Blessed Functional Activities Scale23). Second, they had         0-9) with a higher score indicating higher adherence to the MeDi.
objective impairment in at least 1 cognitive domain. Using se-               We used the MeDi score from the first time the dietary as-
lected items from the neuropsychological battery, 4 cognitive do-        sessment was performed as the main predictor in the survival
mains (memory, executive, language, and visuospatial) were de-           analyses. Because the cognitively normal and MCI definitions were
fined.13,14 Impairment was defined based on the average of the           partly based on availability of neuropsychological assessments,
scores on the neuropsychological measures within that domain             their ascertainment was not always synchronous with the di-
and a 1.5-SD cutoff using corrections for age, years of educa-           etary assessments. For the incident MCI analyses, the time of the
tion, ethnicity, and sex and based on the previously established         first dietary assessment coincided (±1.5 years) with the time of
norms. Third, they had essentially preserved activities of daily         the first assessment of cognitively normal status for 82% of the
living (defined earlier). Fourth, they had no diagnosis of demen-        subjects, was more than 1.5 years earlier for 14% of the sub-
tia at the consensus conference. To further explore the associa-         jects, and was more than 1.5 years later for only 4%. For the in-
tion of the MeDi to MCI, in the view of the original criteria by         cident AD analyses, the time of the first dietary assessment co-
Petersen et al22,24 (which focus on objective memory impair-             incided (±1.5 years) with the time of the first assessment of MCI
ment), the overall MCI group was divided into 2 mutually ex-             status for 84% of the subjects, was more than 1.5 years earlier

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used as time-constant covariates. In additional analyses, we re-
                                                                                      calculated the models using the 2 different types of MCI as the
                                   2364 Nondemented
                                                                                      outcomes: with and without memory impairment.

                 1800 Cognitively normal          564 With MCI                                             MCI to Incident AD
    184 Missing dietary                                          82 Missing dietary   We calculated Cox proportional hazards models with AD as
        data                                                        data
                                                                                      the dichotomous outcome. The time-to-event variable was the
                                                                                      time from the first MCI status to the first visit with an AD di-
    223 With CDR of
        0.5                                                                           agnosis. Subjects diagnosed with AD and then reverting back
                                                                                      to MCI were considered cases, and their first AD diagnostic visit
                1393 With final finding        482 With final finding                 was considered the event visit. Therefore, censored subjects never
                     of cognitively normal         of MCI                             developed AD at any of their follow-up visits. Persons who did
                                                                                      not develop AD were censored at the time of their last fol-
                                                                                      low-up (ie, all of the subject visits before the last follow-up were
Figure 1. Flowchart describing the sample. MCI indicates mild cognitive               used in the analyses). Predictors and covariates were the same
impairment; CDR, Clinical Dementia Rating.
                                                                                      as in the earlier-described models for cognitively normal to in-
                                                                                      cident MCI. In additional analyses, we recalculated the mod-
for 11% of the subjects, and was more than 1.5 years later for                        els using the 2 different types of MCI (with and without memory
only 5%. To summarize, the timing of the MeDi adherence as-                           impairment) as the starting point.
sessment and the cognitively normal or MCI assessments over-
lapped to a significant degree. Despite this, in all of the survival
models we included a term adjusting for the difference in the                                                     RESULTS
time between the first dietary assessment and the first cognitive
status assessment.                                                                                   MISSING DATA ANALYSES

                                   Covariates                                         Among all of the potential participants in both WHICAP
                                                                                      cohorts, 2364 individuals were considered for this study
Age (in years), education (in years), caloric intake (in kilocalo-                    because of sufficient data for MCI diagnosis and available
ries), and body mass index (BMI) (weight in kilograms divided                         follow-up14 (Figure 1). As previously reported,14 in com-
by height in meters squared)31 were used as continuous vari-                          parison with 1329 subjects who were not considered be-
ables. We also considered cohort (1992 cohort as the reference)                       cause of missing data or lack of follow-up, these 2364 sub-
and sex (men as the reference). Ethnic group was based on self-
report using the format of the 1990 census.32 Participants were
                                                                                      jects were slightly younger, were more likely to be women,
then assigned to 1 of 4 groups: black (non-Hispanic), Hispanic,                       and had higher cognitive performance but did not differ
white (non-Hispanic), or other. Ethnicity was used as a dummy                         in ethnicity. Among the 2364 subjects, 1800 were cogni-
variable with white (non-Hispanic) as the reference. Apolipopro-                      tively normal (nondemented, non-MCI) at the initial evalu-
tein E (APOE) genotype was used dichotomously: absence of the                         ation (serving for calculation of the effect of the MeDi on
ε4 allele vs presence of either 1 or 2 ε4 alleles.                                    the incidence of MCI) and 564 were diagnosed with MCI
                                                                                      at the initial evaluation (serving for calculation of the effect
                      STATISTICAL ANALYSES                                            of the MeDi on the MCI conversion to AD).

Baseline characteristics of subjects by missing dietary data, by                          Cognitively Normal to Incident MCI Analyses
outcome of interest, and by MeDi adherence tertiles were com-
pared using t test or analysis of variance for continuous vari-                       Among the 1800 subjects who were cognitively normal
ables and ␹2 test for categorical variables.                                          at the initial evaluation, dietary information was missing
                                                                                      for 184 subjects (partly because the dietary assessment com-
             Cognitively Normal to Incident MCI                                       ponent was added after initiation of the study) (Figure 1).
                                                                                      To have an even cleaner sample for the incident MCI analy-
We calculated Cox proportional hazards models with MCI as
the dichotomous outcome. The time-to-event variable was the
                                                                                      ses, we additionally excluded 223 subjects who, despite
time from the first cognitively normal status to the first visit                      not meeting our MCI criteria, had a CDR of 0.5 at the first
with an MCI diagnosis. Subjects diagnosed with MCI and then                           evaluation. Compared with the 184 subjects with miss-
reverting back to normal were considered cases, and their first                       ing dietary information, the 1393 cognitively normal sub-
MCI diagnostic visit was considered the event visit. Persons who                      jects (with a CDR of 0.0 and available dietary informa-
did not develop MCI were censored at the time of their last fol-                      tion) used for the incident MCI analyses had lower BMIs
low-up (ie, all subject visits before the last follow-up were used                    (28.5 vs 27.5, respectively; P=.02) and borderline higher
in the analyses). The main predictor was the MeDi score (from                         cognitive performance (composite cognitive z score, 0.37
the first dietary evaluation) as a continuous variable initially                      vs 0.46, respectively; P=.05). The groups did not differ in
and in tertiles subsequently (used for trend test calculation).                       sex, age, ethnicity, education, or APOE status. As ex-
We simultaneously adjusted for the following variables: co-
hort, age at intake in the study, sex, ethnicity, education, APOE
                                                                                      pected, compared with the 223 subjects with a CDR of 0.5,
genotype, BMI, and time between the first dietary assessment                          the 1393 cognitively normal subjects (with a CDR of 0.0
and the first cognitive status assessment. Although caloric intake–                   and available dietary information) used for the incident
adjusted residuals were used in the MeDi score calculation, we                        MCI analyses were younger (79.0 vs 76.7 years, respec-
also included caloric intake as a covariate in the models (as rec-                    tively; P⬍.001), were more educated (6.8 vs 10.8 years
ommended by Willett and Stampfer30). All of the predictors were                       of school, respectively; P⬍.001), had higher cognitive per-

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Table 1. Demographic and Clinical Characteristics During the First Evaluation for All Subjects

                                            Cognitively Normal                         MCI                          All Subjects
  Characteristic                                (n=1393)                             (n = 482)                       (n = 1875)                 P Value
  Men, No. (%)                                    447 (32)                           156 (32)                         603 (32)                    .91
  Age, mean (SD), y                              76.7 (6.5)                         77.5 (6.6)                       76.9 (6.5)                   .02
  Ethnicity, No. (%)
    White                                         434 (31)                           124 (26)                         558 (30)
    Black                                         479 (34)                          144 (30)                          623 (33)
                                                                                                                                                ⬍.001
    Hispanic                                      473 (34)                          214 (44)                          687 (36)
    Other                                           7 (1)                              0                                7 (1)
  Education, mean (SD), y                        10.8 (4.6)                          9.1 (4.9)                       10.4 (4.7)                 ⬍.001
  ⱖ1 ε4 allele, No. (%)                          327 (27)                           127 (30)                         454 (28)                    .18
  BMI, mean (SD)                                 27.5 (5.5)                         27.2 (5.3)                       27.4 (5.4)                  .34
  Energy, mean (SD), kcal                      1426.1 (498.0)                     1421.8 (591.9)                   1425.0 (523.6)                .88
  MeDi score, mean (SD)                          4.37 (1.69)                        4.31 (1.62)                      4.36 (1.67)                 .47

 Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); MCI, mild cognitive impairment;
MeDi, Mediterranean diet.

  Table 2. Demographic and Clinical Characteristics During the First Evaluation for All Subjects
  by Mediterranean Diet Adherence Tertiles

                                                                           MeDi Adherence Tertile

                                                  Low                               Middle                             High
  Characteristic                                (n=609)                            (n = 775)                         (n = 491)                  P Value
  Men, No. (%)                                 442 (69)                           532 (69)                          318 (65)                      .23
  Age, mean (SD), y                            76.9 (6.6)                         76.8 (6.5)                        77.2 (6.2)                    .48
  Ethnicity, No. (%)
    White                                      182 (30)                          223 (29)                          153 (31)
    Black                                       234 (38)                          260 (33)                          139 (26)
                                                                                                                                                  .001
    Hispanic                                   190 (31)                          289 (37)                           208 (42)
    Other                                         3 (1)                             3 (1)                             1 (1)
  Education, mean (SD), y                      10.5 (4.5)                        10.3 (4.7)                        10.4 (4.9)                    .77
  ⱖ1 ε4 allele, No. (%)                         146 (27)                         179 (27)                          129 (29)                      .70
  BMI, mean (SD)                               27.7 (5.8)                        27.4 (5.2)                        27.1 (5.3)                    .19
  Energy, mean (SD), kcal                    1494.9 (608.2) a                  1395.4 (472.5) a                  1385.1 (477.4) a               ⬍.001

  Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); MeDi, Mediterranean diet.
  a P ⬍ .05 for all MeDi adherence tertiles according to post hoc Scheffé test.

formance (composite cognitive z score, −0.46 vs 0.46, re-                          be white (Table 1). Cognitively normal subjects and sub-
spectively; P⬍.001), and were more likely to be white (11%                         jects with MCI did not differ in sex, APOE genotype, BMI,
vs 31%, respectively) and less likely to be Hispanic (60%                          total caloric intake, and MeDi adherence.
vs 34%, respectively) (P⬍.001). The groups did not dif-                               Hispanic subjects adhered more to the MeDi, black
fer in sex, BMI, or APOE status.                                                   subjects adhered less, and white subjects’ adherence was
                                                                                   in between (Table 2). The higher the MeDi adherence
                MCI to Incident AD Analyses                                        was, the lower the total caloric intake was. There was no
                                                                                   association between the MeDi score and age, sex, edu-
Compared with the 82 subjects with MCI and missing                                 cation, APOE genotype, or BMI.
dietary information, the 482 subjects with MCI and avail-
able dietary information included in the incident AD
analyses had borderline higher education (8.0 vs 9.1 years                                     MeDi AND RISK FOR INCIDENT MCI
of school, respectively; P=.05) and borderline higher cog-
nitive performance (composite cognitive z score, −0.40                             Despite somewhat lower scores in subjects with MCI (as
vs −0.27, respectively; P = .05). The groups did not dif-                          compared with cognitively normal subjects) at baseline
fer in sex, age, ethnicity, APOE status, or BMI.                                   (Table 1), the groups did not significantly differ cross-
                                                                                   sectionally. Longitudinal analyses (particularly with use
             CLINICAL, DEMOGRAPHIC,                                                of survival models) are a much more powerful method
           AND DIETARY CHARACTERISTICS                                             of detecting predictor differences because they can com-
                                                                                   bine in a single statistic 2 different risk dimensions: (1)
At the first evaluation, compared with subjects who were                           the proportion of subjects who reach an event (convert
cognitively normal, subjects with MCI were older, less                             to MCI or AD), and (2) duration (how soon subjects con-
educated, more likely to be Hispanic, and less likely to                           vert or nonconvert to MCI or AD).

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Table 3. Cox Proportional Hazard Ratios for Incidence                                                                             1.00
   of Mild Cognitive Impairment for Subjects Who Were
   Cognitively Normal at the First Evaluation                                                                                        0.95

                                                                                      Cumulative Probability of Remaining MCI-Free
   by Mediterranean Diet Score
                                                                                                                                     0.90

   Predictor                          HR (95% CI)                  P Value
                                                                                                                                     0.85
   Unadjusted a
     MeDi continuous                 0.93 (0.87-1.00)                 .06                                                            0.80
     MeDi tertile
       Low                           1 [Reference]                    NA                                                             0.75
       Middle                        0.87 (0.66-1.14)                 .33
        High                         0.73 (0.53-1.00)                 .05                                                            0.70
        Trend                        0.85 (0.73-1.00)                 .05
                                                                                                                                     0.65       MeDi tertile
   Adjusted b
                                                                                                                                                        Low
     MeDi continuous                 0.92 (0.85-0.99)                 .04                                                                               Middle
                                                                                                                                     0.60
     MeDi tertile                                                                                                                                       High
       Low                           1 [Reference]                    NA
                                                                                                                                     0.55
       Middle                        0.83 (0.62-1.12)                 .24                                                                   0     1      2       3      4      5     6       7   8   9   10
        High                         0.72 (0.52-1.00)                 .05                                                                                            Time From Baseline, y
        Trend                        0.85 (0.72-1.00)                 .05
                                                                                  Figure 2. Survival curves based on Cox analysis comparing cumulative mild
   Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio;                      cognitive impairment (MCI) incidence in subjects who were cognitively
MeDi, Mediterranean diet; NA, not applicable.                                     normal at the first evaluation by each Mediterranean diet (MeDi) adherence
   a A total of 1393 subjects were cognitively normal at the first evaluation;
                                                                                  tertile (P for trend = .05). The figure is derived from a model that is adjusted
275 subjects developed incident mild cognitive impairment.                        for cohort, age, sex, ethnicity, education, APOE genotype, caloric intake,
   b A total of 1199 subjects were cognitively normal at the first evaluation;
                                                                                  body mass index, and time between the first dietary assessment and the first
241 subjects developed incident mild cognitive impairment. Adjusted models        cognitive assessment. Duration of follow-up is truncated at 10 years. Results
include a slightly lower number of subjects because of missing data in some       of log-rank tests for pairwise comparisons are as follows: middle vs low
of the covariates; they simultaneously control for cohort, age, sex, ethnicity,   tertile, ␹2 = 0.91, P = .33; low vs high tertile, ␹2 = 3.72, P = .05; and middle vs
education, APOE genotype, caloric intake, body mass index, and time               high tertile, ␹2 = 1.22, P = .26.
between the first dietary assessment and the first cognitive assessment.

                                                                                  ment and those in the highest tertile had an HR of 0.71
   Subjects who were cognitively normal at the first evalu-                       (95% CI, 0.46-1.12; P =.14). The overall MeDi HR trend
ation were followed up (until MCI incidence or the last                           was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.67-1.05; P for trend=.13).
follow-up for subjects who remained cognitively nor-
mal) for a mean (SD) of 4.5 (2.7) years (range, 0.9-16.4                            MeDi AND RISK FOR MCI CONVERSION TO AD
years). Overall, 275 subjects developed incident MCI.
   Higher adherence to the MeDi was associated with a                             Subjects with MCI at the first evaluation were followed up
borderline trend for lower risk of developing MCI                                 (until AD incidence or last follow-up for subjects who did
(Table 3 and Figure 2). The results were similar in                               not develop AD) for a mean (SD) of 4.3 (2.7) years (range,
adjusted and unadjusted models. Each additional unit of                           1.0-13.8 years). Overall, 106 subjects developed AD.
the MeDi score was associated with 8% less risk (P=.04)                               Higher adherence to the MeDi was associated with lower
of developing MCI. Compared with subjects in the low-                             risk of developing AD (Table 4 and Figure 3). The re-
est MeDi adherence tertile, subjects in the middle tertile                        sults were similar in adjusted and unadjusted models. Each
had 17% less risk (P= .24) of developing MCI and those                            additional unit of the MeDi score was associated with 11%
in the highest tertile had 28% less risk (P = .05) of devel-                      less risk (P=.09) of developing AD. Compared with sub-
oping MCI. Among the other covariates in the model,                               jects in the lowest MeDi adherence tertile, subjects in the
younger age and higher education were the only protec-                            middle tertile had 45% less risk (P=.01) of developing AD
tive factors for development of MCI.                                              and those in the highest tertile had 48% less risk (P=.02)
   The effect of the MeDi on development of different                             of developing AD. Among the other covariates in the model,
MCI subtypes is subject to power limitations but is still                         younger age, higher education, and higher BMI were the
worth exploring. Overall, 108 subjects developed inci-                            only protective factors for development of AD.
dent MCI with memory impairment. In fully adjusted                                    At the first evaluation, 175 subjects had MCI with
models, as compared with subjects in the lowest MeDi                              memory impairment; 49 of them developed AD at follow-
adherence tertile, those in the middle tertile had a haz-                         up. In fully adjusted models, as compared with subjects
ard ratio (HR) of 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.57-                       who had MCI with memory impairment belonging to the
1.40; P=.64) for developing MCI with memory impair-                               lowest MeDi adherence tertile, those who had MCI with
ment, whereas those in the highest tertile had an HR of                           memory impairment in the middle tertile had an HR of
0.71 (95% CI, 0.43-1.17; P = .18). The overall MeDi HR                            0.48 (95% CI, 0.22-1.04; P =.06) for developing AD and
trend was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.66-1.03; P for trend=.18). A                            those who had MCI with memory impairment in the high-
total of 133 subjects developed MCI without memory im-                            est tertile had an HR of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.32-1.59; P=.41).
pairment. In fully adjusted models, as compared with sub-                         The overall MeDi HR trend was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.55-
jects in the lowest MeDi adherence tertile, those in the                          1.29; P for trend=.45). At the first evaluation, 234 sub-
middle tertile had an HR of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.53-1.19;                              jects had MCI without memory impairment; 47 of them
P = .27) for developing MCI without memory impair-                                developed AD at follow-up. In fully adjusted models, as

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Table 4. Cox Proportional Hazard Ratios for Incidence                                                                          1.00
   of Alzheimer Disease for Subjects With Mild Cognitive
                                                                                                                                  0.95
   Impairment at the First Evaluation
   by Mediterranean Diet Score                                                                                                    0.90

                                                                                                                                  0.85
   Predictor                         HR (95% CI)                 P Value

                                                                                    Cumulative Probability of Remaining AD-Free
                                                                                                                                  0.80
   Unadjusted a
     MeDi continuous               0.95 (0.85-1.07)                 .48                                                           0.75
     MeDi tertile
                                                                                                                                  0.70
       Low                         1 [Reference]                    NA
       Middle                      0.62 (0.39-0.98)                 .04                                                           0.65
        High                       0.69 (0.41-1.14)                 .15
                                                                                                                                  0.60
        Trend                      0.82 (0.63-1.07)                 .15
   Adjusted b                                                                                                                     0.55
     MeDi continuous               0.89 (0.78-1.02)                 .09
                                                                                                                                  0.50
     MeDi tertile                                                                                                                            MeDi tertile
       Low                         1 [Reference]                    NA                                                            0.45               Low
       Middle                      0.55 (0.34-0.90)                 .01                                                                              Middle
                                                                                                                                  0.40               High
        High                       0.52 (0.30-0.91)                 .02
        Trend                      0.71 (0.53-0.95)                 .02                                                           0.35
                                                                                                                                         0     1      2       3     4      5     6      7       8   9   10
                                                                                                                                                          Time From Baseline MCI Diagnosis, y
   Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio;
MeDi, Mediterranean diet; NA, not applicable.
   a A total of 482 subjects had mild cognitive impairment at the first
                                                                                Figure 3. Survival curves based on Cox analysis comparing cumulative
evaluation; 106 subjects developed incident Alzheimer disease.                  Alzheimer disease (AD) incidence in subjects with mild cognitive impairment
   b A total of 409 subjects had mild cognitive impairment at the first
                                                                                (MCI) at the first evaluation by Mediterranean diet (MeDi) adherence tertile
evaluation; 96 subjects developed incident Alzheimer disease. Adjusted          (P for trend = .02). The figure is derived from a model that is adjusted for
models include a slightly lower number of subjects because of missing data      cohort, age, sex, ethnicity, education, APOE genotype, caloric intake, body
in some of the covariates; they simultaneously control for cohort, age, sex,    mass index, and time between the first dietary assessment and the first
ethnicity, education, APOE genotype, caloric intake, body mass index, and       cognitive assessment. Duration of follow-up is truncated at 10 years. Results
time between the first dietary assessment and the first cognitive assessment.   of log-rank tests for pairwise comparisons are as follows: middle vs low
                                                                                tertile, ␹2 = 4.26, P = .03; low vs high tertile, ␹2 = 1.39, P = .23; and middle vs
                                                                                high tertile, ␹2 = 0.12, P = .72.
compared with subjects who had MCI without memory
impairment in the lowest MeDi adherence tertile, those
who had MCI without memory impairment in the middle                             of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.53-1.04; P=.08), and the overall MeDi
tertile had an HR of 0.49 (95% CI, 0.24-1.01; P =.05) for                       tertile HR trend was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.72-1.02; P for
developing AD and those who had MCI without memory                              trend=.08). Including the comorbidity index (simulta-
impairment in the highest tertile had an HR of 0.25 (95%                        neously with all of the other covariates) in the incident
CI, 0.10-0.63; P = .003). The overall MeDi HR trend was                         AD analyses produced similar results: the middle tertile
0.50 (95% CI, 0.35-0.79; P for trend = .003).                                   had an HR of 0.59 (95% CI, 0.36-0.97; P=.04), the high-
                                                                                est tertile had an HR of 0.56 (95% CI, 0.32-0.97; P=.04),
               SUPPLEMENTARY ANALYSES                                           and the overall MeDi tertile HR trend was 0.74 (95% CI,
                                                                                0.55-0.98; P for trend=.04).
Considering the possibility of an overall healthier life-                          In additional supplementary analyses, we used age
style behavior accounting for the MeDi effect, we consid-                       (rather than duration from cognitive assessment) as the
ered a measure of overall comorbidity in the analyses: a                        time-to–incident MCI variable. In these analyses, the di-
modified version33,34 of the Charlson Index of Comorbid-                        rectionality of the effect was similar but the strength was
ity.35 This measure includes items for myocardial infarct,                      significantly attenuated: the continuous MeDi HR was
congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, hy-                      0.94 (95% CI, 0.87-1.0; P=.09), the middle MeDi adher-
pertension, chronic renal disease, chronic obstructive pul-                     ence tertile had an HR of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.69-1.19; P=.49),
monary disease, arthritis, gastrointestinal disease, mild liver                 the highest tertile had an HR of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.56-
disease, diabetes, and systemic malignant neoplasms. There                      1.04; P =.09), and the overall MeDi tertile HR trend was
was no difference in comorbidity index between subjects                         0.87 (95% CI, 0.75-1.02; P for trend=.09).
who remained cognitively normal during follow-up and
those who developed MCI during follow-up (1.9 vs 1.9,                                                                                                             COMMENT
respectively; P=.91) or between those who had MCI at base-
line and those who developed AD during follow-up (2.0                           This study suggests that higher adherence to the MeDi is
vs 2.1, respectively; P=.66). Similarly, the comorbidity in-                    associated with a borderline reduction in the risk of de-
dex did not differ between levels of MeDi adherence: 1.9                        veloping MCI and a reduction in the risk of conversion
for the lowest tertile, 1.9 for the middle tertile, and 1.9 for                 from MCI to AD. The gradual reduction in risks for higher
the highest tertile (P=.75). Including the comorbidity in-                      tertiles of MeDi adherence also suggests a possible dose-
dex (simultaneously with all of the other covariates) in the                    response effect. The associations between MeDi and the
incident MCI analyses did not appreciably change the re-                        risk of developing MCI and of MCI conversion to AD did
sults: the middle MeDi adherence tertile had an HR of 0.83                      not attenuate even when simultaneously adjusting for many
(95% CI, 0.61-1.12; P=.23), the highest tertile had an HR                       commonly considered potential confounders such as age,

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sex, ethnicity, education, APOE genotype, caloric intake,             tein in multiple large observational52,90,91 and interven-
and BMI. Adherence to the MeDi did not seem to differ-                tional55,81 studies. As another example, tyrosol and caf-
entially affect the risk of development of MCI with or with-          feic acid, both found in extra-virgin olive oil and wine
out memory impairment. The association between higher                 (which are essential components of the MeDi), have been
adherence to the MeDi and lower risk of conversion to AD              shown to significantly reduce interleukin 6 production
was much more prominent for subjects who had MCI with-                from peripheral blood mononuclear cells of healthy vol-
out memory impairment.                                                unteers.92 Higher adherence to the MeDi has been asso-
    Higher adherence to the MeDi has been related to lower            ciated with lower interleukin 6 levels in both observa-
risk of AD.4,5 Mild cognitive impairment has been de-                 tional52,91 and interventional55 studies. Higher adherence
scribed as a predictor or a transitional stage between nor-           to the MeDi is in general associated with significant re-
mal cognition and AD.36,37 Thus, we expected that higher              ductions in a series of other inflammatory markers in-
adherence to the MeDi would be related to MCI. The as-                cluding white blood cell counts and others.52
sociation between adherence to the MeDi and MCI in-                       The potentially beneficial effect of the MeDi may be
cidence was similar for MCI with and without memory                   the result of some of its individual food components. For
impairment, whereas the protective MeDi effect for AD                 example, potentially beneficial effects for MCI or MCI
conversion was stronger for subjects who had MCI with-                conversion to AD have been reported for alcohol,7,11 fish,10
out memory impairment. Vascular comorbidities, in-                    polyunsaturated fatty acids10,11 (also for age-related cog-
cluding diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and white               nitive decline8), and lower levels of saturated fatty ac-
matter abnormalities, have been related to MCI,38-48 and              ids.10 Interestingly, in other studies, alcohol,7,12 polyun-
it has been proposed that nonamnestic MCI in particu-                 saturated fatty acids,6 or other nutrients such as vitamin
lar may be related to cerebrovascular disease.36,37,49 There          E93,94 have failed to be associated with protection for MCI
is increasing recognition of vascular comorbidity regard-             or MCI conversion to AD. Differences in the definition
ing AD risk,50,51 and there is strong evidence relating the           of the outcome (MCI [objective cognitive cutoffs in dif-
MeDi to a lower risk of vascular risk factors such as dys-            ferent cognitive domains⫹memory complaint⫹absence
lipidemia,52,53 hypertension,52-55 and coronary heart dis-            of functional impairment⫹absence of dementia] vs age-
ease.3,53,56,57 Therefore, the stronger effect of the MeDi for        related cognitive decline [only a particular cognitive cut-
non-memory-impaired MCI conversion rates to AD may                    off on a summary cognitive score such as the Mini-
relate to underlying vascular mechanisms. Neverthe-                   Mental State Examination]) may partly account for the
less, nonvascular biological mediating mechanisms (ie,                discrepancies. Nevertheless, it is also possible that a com-
metabolic, oxidative, and inflammatory) may also me-                  posite dietary pattern such as the MeDi may better cap-
diate the epidemiological MeDi-MCI associations.4                     ture nutritional dimensions that may be missed by single
    Both MCI and the MeDi have been associated with                   nutrients (ie, potential additive and interactive effects
metabolic abnormalities. Mild cognitive impairment has                among nutritional components).
been linked to dysregulation of glucose and insulin ho-                   Although Hispanic subjects reported higher adher-
meostasis58-62 and diabetes.38-42 At the same time, accord-           ence to the MeDi, they also have higher risks for MCI14
ing to the vast majority of the literature (but see the ar-           and AD.95 A particular ethnic group may have a mixture
ticles by Ambring et al63 and Michalsen et al64), higher              of multiple protective and risk factors, the overall inter-
adherence to the MeDi seems to improve carbohydrate                   action of which determines the probability of develop-
metabolism, and in interventional studies it has been as-             ing a complex disease such as AD. For example, the His-
sociated with significant reductions in plasma glucose lev-           panic subjects may be placed at risk by their low education
els,53,55 serum insulin levels, and insulin resistance.55,65          and SORL1 gene status,96 whereas they may be pro-
    Oxidative stress could be another biological mecha-               tected by their dietary habits and lack of a detrimental
nism relating MCI and the MeDi. Higher oxidative stress               effect of the APOE genotype.95 At the same time, there
has been clearly invoked in MCI.66-71 Complex phenols                 may be multiple other genes or behavioral traits unique
and many other substances with important antioxidant                  to the Hispanic subjects that may contribute to AD, re-
properties such as olive oil,72,73 wine, fruits and veg-              sulting in an overall higher risk in this ethnic group.
etables, vitamin C, vitamin E, and carotenoids74-79 are                   Study limitations regarding duration of follow-up and
found in high concentrations in the typical components                demographics of subjects with either missing data for MCI
of the MeDi.80 Typical Mediterranean meals81 or meals                 diagnostic assignment or missing follow-up have been dis-
rich in typical Mediterranean food elements82,83 have been            cussed in detail in a previous article.14 Subjects excluded
shown to increase enzymes with antioxidant properties                 from the present analyses because of missing dietary in-
such as paroxonase and plasma carotenoids.81 Interven-                formation had slightly lower cognitive performance, were
tion studies with Mediterranean-type foods have indi-                 less educated, and had higher BMIs. Worse cognition and
cated significant reductions of markers of oxidative stress           a lower educational level indicate that these subjects were
such as isoprostanes.80,84                                            more likely at higher risk for MCI and AD, but a higher
    Finally, the protective effect of the MeDi for MCI may            BMI indicates the opposite. Most important, these sub-
be mediated via inflammatory pathways. Links between                  jects did not differ in most other characteristics. Potential
MCI and higher inflammatory states have been demon-                   confounding from associations between adherence to the
strated.85-89 Two small studies reported no effect of the             MeDi and total caloric intake or ethnicity was addressed
MeDi on inflammatory markers such as C-reactive pro-                  by adjusting for these factors. Limitations relating to the
tein63,64 or interleukin 6.63 Higher adherence to the MeDi            construction of the MeDi score (eg, use of an a priori di-
has been associated with lower levels of C-reactive pro-              etary pattern score, equal weighing of underlying food cat-

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                                    ©2009 American Medical Association. All rights reserved.
egories, and underestimation of total food and caloric in-             complete and convincing picture of the conceivably im-
take) have been discussed in detail in previous articles.4,5           portant role of a healthy diet in the risk of cognitive im-
All of the models were adjusted for total caloric intake               pairment and AD.
(largely determined by metabolic efficiency, BMI, and physi-
cal activity). Given that metabolic efficiency is unmeasur-
able and that BMI was included as a covariate, when we                 Accepted for Publication: September 3, 2008.
adjust for total caloric intake we essentially adjust for physi-       Correspondence: Nikolaos Scarmeas, MD, Columbia Uni-
cal activity.30 Nevertheless, we cannot completely ex-                 versity Medical Center, 622 W 168th St, PH 19th Floor,
clude the possibility that physical activity may partly ac-            New York, NY 10032 (ns257@columbia.edu).
count for some of the effect of the MeDi. Although                     Author Contributions: Study concept and design: Scarmeas,
adherence to the MeDi was not related to education or to               Manly, and Luchsinger. Acquisition of data: Scarmeas,
the overall level of medical comorbidities in our data, it is          Stern, Mayeux, and Manly. Analysis and interpretation of
possible that a better diet is related to higher socioeco-             data: Scarmeas, Schupf, and Luchsinger. Drafting of the
nomic status or to other habits or characteristics related             manuscript: Scarmeas and Luchsinger. Critical revision of
to better health. Therefore, despite adjusting for multiple            the manuscript for important intellectual content: Stern,
variables, the study is observational and we cannot com-               Mayeux, Manly, and Schupf. Statistical analysis: Scarmeas.
pletely exclude residual confounding or “healthy person                Obtained funding: Mayeux, Manly, Schupf, and Luchsinger.
bias” (that can be addressed only via the randomization                Administrative, technical, and material support: Stern,
of an interventional study). In conservative (for the study            Mayeux, Manly, and Schupf. Study supervision: Scarmeas.
size and follow-up) models using age as the timing vari-               Financial Disclosure: None reported.
able of survival models, the associations were signifi-                Funding/Support: This work was supported by grants
cantly attenuated. Although age was not related to the                 AG028506, P01-AG07232, and RR00645 from the Na-
MeDi, we cannot completely exclude the possibility that                tional Institute on Aging.
the noted associations are confounded by age. Finally, be-
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