MICRO WORLI - October, 2017 - www.anarock.com - cloudfront.net
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CONTENTS Micro o Evolution of the Micro Market 1 Market o Location Mapping o Connectivity & Major Growth Drivers Overview o Social Infrastructure o Physical Infrastructure – Existing/Ongoing/Proposed Commercial o Overview 2 Market o Rental Values Comparison – Mumbai Metropolitan Region o Capital Value Trends – Worli Overview o Key Completed Commercial Developments in the Precinct Residential o Inventory Summary 3 Market o New Launch Supply-Unsold Inventory Dynamics – Under Construction Projects Overview o Unsold Inventory Breakup with Absorption o Price Trends o Unit Size-Ticket Price Breakup with Absorption o Graphical Representation – Key projects Livability 4 Assessment Why 5 Worli? Worli I Micro Market Overview
Micro Market Overview Evolution Story www.anarock.com Worli, once known as a popular Propinquity and easy Due to its distinct “downtown” textile mills destination of the then accessibility to the seashore image and seamless S o u t h B o m b a y, t o d a y h a s have significantly transformed connectivity to Mumbai’s CBD completely transformed into a the Realty landscape of Worli. (Bandra-Kurla Complex), Worli posh neighborhood of South When the premium residential has become the most sought- Mumbai. micro markets in South after residential destination in Mumbai were struggling for the city. Home buyers are also Located in the southern part of large-scale residential willing to pay surcharges due to Mumbai, Worli has emerged as one developments, due to lifestyle amenities provided by of the prime residential areas in unavailability of large land the developments in this micro the last decade. This micro-market parcels, Worli emerged as a market and as the distinct is considered to be the new luxury prime residential market for “address” due to the celebrities housing destination for luxury developments as a residing in the neighborhood. industrialists, business honchos, seaside promenade. Bandra-Worli Sea Link Worli I Micro Market Overview
Micro Market Evolution Story Overview Mumbai Central Bus Terminus www.anarock.com Mumbai Central Railway Junction Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport Mumbai Metropolitan Region Arabian Sea Proposed Metro Line 3 Metro Rail Network (Proposed) Eastern Express Highway Eastern Freeway Bandra-Worli Sea Link Western Express Highway Arterial Road Network Rail Network Waterbodies Localities Mahalakshmi race Course Worli I Micro Market Overview
Micro Market Overview Connectivity www.anarock.com Worli is Road Ÿ Well-connected to Western Suburbs – Bandra-Worli Sea Well-Connected Link, which originates from Khan Abdul Gaffar Khan Road in Worli, provides excellent connectivity to Bandra. Further, it merges into Western Express Highway and to various parts connects Worli to Chhatrapati Shivaji International airport and key micro markets of Western Suburbs such of Mumbai as Andheri, Goregaon, Malad, and Borivali. through a grid Ÿ Proximity to Eastern Express Highway – Worli lies in propinquity to the Eastern Express Highway, which provides excellent connectivity to the eastern suburbs as of roads and well as the metropolitan area of Thane. an established Rail Rail Network. Ÿ Worli is well-connected to major railway stations such as Dadar and Chinchpokli on the Central line and Mahalakshmi and Elphinstone Road on the Western line. MAJOR GROWTH DRIVERS Ÿ The micro market enjoys easy accessibility to the commercial establishments of South Mumbai and the Western Suburbs. Moreover, improved connectivity via Bandra-Worli sea link to BKC, which is now Mumbai’s ipso facto CBD, is also an added advantage. Ÿ Apart from the improved physical and social infrastructure, Worli also benefits significantly from the presence of several Grade-A office spaces and retail developments. Availability of land parcels near the seashore and its distinct ‘downtown’ image has attracted several developers to this micro market. Ÿ Considering the location advantages, Worli already has a vibrant real estate market, and the micro market may continue to command a premium over the long term. In addition, post operationalization of metro line 3 in the next 5 years or so, the micro market is likely to witnesses a further surge in capital values and rentals. Worli I Micro Market Overview
Micro Market Overview www.anarock.com DY Patil International School Sacred Heart High School Greenlawns Hilltop Hotel School People Mobile Hospital French International School of ESIS Hospital Banking MA Podar Hospital ITC Grand Pre-Primary Central Four Seasons Podar ORT Hotel International High Street School Phoenix Mall Atria Mall Nirmala Hospital Mumbai Central Bus Terminus Connectivity Mumbai Central Railway Junction Arterial Road Network Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport Rail Network Mumbai Metropolitan Region Waterbodies Arabian Sea Localities Proposed Metro Line 3 Mahalakshmi race Course Metro Rail Network (Proposed) Hospital Eastern Express Highway Hotel Eastern Freeway Retails Bandra-Worli Sea Link SCHOOL School Western Express Highway Worli I Micro Market Overview
Micro Market Overview Physical Infrastructure – Existing www.anarock.com Name Description Bandra-Worli Connects Bandra (Western Suburbs) to Worli in South Mumbai. This Sea Link link significantly reduces the travel time. Western The Western Express Highway, is a 25 km long multiple-lane arterial Express road stretching from Mahim creek to Dahisar. Highway Eastern The Eastern Express Highway, is a 24 km city express highway. It is a Road Express north-south artery of Mumbai connecting the city to the eastern Highway suburbs and the metropolitan area of Thane. Eastern The Eastern Freeway is a 17 km long road connecting the P D'Mello Freeway Road in South Mumbai to the Eastern Express Highway at Ghatkopar. Name Connectivity Description Western Line Dahanu Road to The Western line consists of more than 30 stations (Mumbai Churchgate from Dahanu Road to Churchgate Railway Station. Railway Station Suburban Railway) Rail Central line Chhatrapati Shivaji The Central line consists of more than 20 stations f (Mumbai Maharaj Terminus rom C.S.T. to Kalyan junction. It further extends (C.S.T.) to Kalyan upto Kasara and Khopoli. Suburban junction & beyond Railway) Name Connectivity Description Mumbai Chembur to The first phase of monorail - the 8.8 km stretch Monorail Wadala between Chembur to Wadala is operational. An extension for Line 1 consisting of 11 stations from Line 1 Wadala to Jacob Circle is also expected to be Mono Rail operational by the end of 2017 or early 2018. Worli I Micro Market Overview
Micro Market Physical Infrastructure – Ongoing Overview & Proposed www.anarock.com Ongoing Name Description The metro line will connect Cuffe Parade in south to SEEPZ in the north- central with 26 underground and one Line 3 Phase 1 - at-grade station. The cost of this Mar 2021, (Colaba- corridor is estimated at INR 23,000 Under Bandra- crore. Line 3 is expected to reduce construction Phase 2 - Metro Rail SEEPZ line) road congestion, besides reducing the Dec 2021 load on the Western rail line between Bandra and Churchgate Proposed Name Description The Coastal Road is a proposed 29 km freeway that would run along Mumbai's western coastline connecting Marine Coastal Road Lines in the South to Kandivli in the North. The construction work of Coastal Road may start by the end of 2017. The Mumbai Trans Harbor Link (MTHL), also known as the Metro Rail Sewri-Nhava Sheva Trans Harbor Link, is a proposed 22 km, Mumbai Trans Harbour Link freeway grade road bridge connecting Mumbai with Navi Mumbai. Bidding for development of this link is still in progress. Source : Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority Worli I Micro Market Overview
Commercial Market Overview www.anarock.com Worli is one of the busiest commercial hubs in Mumbai, with the presence of commercial establishments such as Shiv Sagar Estate and occupiers such as GSK Pharma, TATA, Novartis, HDFC Bank, Yes Bank, Siemens, Deloitte, etc. The micro market has emerged as one of the premium residential-cum-commercial precincts of Mumbai. Peninsula Business Park Dr. Annie Besant Road, the major interior road of Worli has become the cynosure of real estate developments. This locality has attracted several developers for large-scale residential and commercial development, due to its strategic location advantage and proximity to sea shore and Bandra-Worli sea link. Commercial activity in the precinct has driven the residential demand in Worli and has significantly boosted the real estate development in and around the micro market. Shiv Sagar Estate Indiabulls Finance Center Worli I Micro Market Overview
Commercial Market Overview www.anarock.com Rental Values – Mumbai Metropolis Rental values Micro markets Y-o-Y Change (in %) (INR/Sqft/month) Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC) 230 - 320 1% CBD 210 - 260 0% Worli 180 - 220 -2% Prabhadevi 170 - 210 -3% Kalina 140 - 180 -4% Lower parel 170 - 210 -2% Powai 110 - 130 -4% Goregaon 230 - 320 -4% Andheri East 90 - 140 0% Malad 80 - 110 1% Navi Mumbai 70 - 110 0% Thane 60 - 80 6% Price Trends - Commercial Property (Capital Value) 26,500 26,000 Price in INR. 25,500 25,000 24,500 24,000 Q1 - 2016 Q2- 2016 Q3 -2016 Q4 - 2016 Q1 - 2017 Q2 -2017 Wtg. Average Price in INR/Sqft Key Completed Commercial Projects in the Precinct Project Name Built up Area Rental Capital Values (In Sqft) (INR/Sqft/month) (INR/Sqft) Lodha Excelus 5,00,000 140 - 160 18,000 – 22,000 Shiv Sagar Estate 4,10,000 115 - 130 28,000 – 32,000 Peninsula Business Park 12,00,000 200 - 220 49,000 – 53,000 Indiabulls Finance Center 10,80,000 (Tower 1 & 3) 165 - 180 25,000 – 29,000 Worli I Micro Market Overview
Residential Market Overview Inventory Summary of www.anarock.com Under-Construction Projects in Worli Ÿ The residential market of Worli has around Total Units 3,600 3,600 units at different stages of construction, providing buyers a fairly wide Available Units 1,500 range of options. Value of unsold stock 14,000 Ÿ The worth of unsold inventory in Worli is a INR(in crores) whopping INR 14,000 crore, highest among Weightage Average 1,660 all the residential markets of South Central Size (Sqft) Mumbai, delineating the availability of big- Weightage Average ticket units in the micro market. Price (BSP – INR/Sqft) 51,000 Ÿ The micro market offers a wide range of Data Source: Anarock Research Team, as on 31st Aug 2017. Luxury, Ultra-luxury - high rise properties to Note: Above data includes under construction projects in Worli – RERA home buyers, who are willing to invest in this registered projects only. Data has been verified with MAHA RERA Website. Above mentioned wt. avg. sizes and wt. avg. prices are on premium location. carpet area of under construction projects in the precinct. New Launch Supply-Unsold Inventory Dynamics – Under Construction Projects Ÿ The residential market of Worli witnessed a huge supply addition in 2013, which is an a p p rox i m ate 7 1 % o f t h e ove ra l l u n d e r 3,000 construction units. In 2013, Lodha - The Park 2,500 consisting of around 2,200 units was launched, and it made a significant difference in Worli’s 2,000 supply trend. Units 1,500 Ÿ However, the plummeting supply trend 1,000 connotes that developers are now focused on offloading existing inventory instead of infusing 500 new supply. No new project was launched in 0 2017. 2008 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Launch Units Available Units Ÿ Out of the overall under-construction supply, nearly 58% is already absorbed in the primary Note: The above data includes breakup of unit launches and unsold inventory for respective years market. Worli I Micro Market Overview
Residential Market Y-o-Y Unsold Inventory Breakup Overview with Absorption www.anarock.com 3,000 100 90 2,500 80 Absorption in % 70 2,000 60 units 1,500 50 40 1,000 30 20 500 10 0 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2028 Total Units Available Units Absorption in % The Y-o-Y inventory break-up analysis depicts that the projects nearing completion possess a significant number of unsold inventory. As depicted in the above chart, there is a huge inventory available due to the projects reaching completion by 2021, as also with the proposed completion timeline of two large projects this year. Micro Market Price Trend - Price on carpet area 51,200 51,000 Price in INR/sqft 50,800 50,600 50,400 50,200 50,000 49,800 Q1 - 2016 Q2- 2016 Q3 -2016 Q4 - 2016 Q1 - 2017 Q2 -2017 Prices on Carpet Area There has been a marginal price appreciation during the past 2 years. Post demonetization the prices remained stagnant in Q1 2017, and have slightly picked up in Q2 2017, due to an accretion in demand. Worli I Micro Market Overview
Residential Micro Market Market Overview Unit Size-Ticket PriceOverview Breakup www.anarock.com with Absorption - Sizes in terms of www.anarock.com Carpet Area Units Size in sqft Ticket Price Ÿ Out of overall under construction supply in the residential market of Worli, nearly 76% of inventory falls under the size range of 1,000 – 2,000 sqft, followed by properties above 3,000 sqft and less than 1,000 sqft, at 14% and 5%, respectively. Nearly 61% of inventory in the size range of 1,000 – 2,000 sqft is already absorbed in the primary market, which is a second preferred range in Worli in terms of absorption, delineating the high demand-supply of mid-size properties in the residential market of Worli. Ÿ On the contrary, the fastest selling size and budget range which has recorded an approximate 89% absorption have a meager share of supply at an approximate 5%. Worli I Micro Market Overview
Residential Market Overview www.anarock.com Oberoi Three Sixty West Nishika Terraces Omkar 1973 RNA Mirage K Raheja Artesia JP Unity Tower Lodha The Park Palais Royale Raheja Atlantis Indiabulls Blu Marathon NextGen Era Runwal Reserve Localities Mahalakshmi race Course Arterial Road Network Key Projects in Worli Rail Network Waterbodies Mumbai Central Bus Terminus Proposed Metro Line 3 Mumbai Central Railway Junction Metro Rail Network (Proposed) Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport Eastern Express Highway Completed Project Eastern Freeway Under construction project Bandra-Worli Sea Link Arabian Sea Western Express Highway Worli I Micro Market Overview
Livability Assessment www.anarock.com MODERATE/ LOW/ HIGH/GOOD AVERAGE NOT SO GOOD Proximity to Airport Proximity to BKC Social Infrastructure Physical Infrastructure Night Life Proximity to Hotel/Mall Connectivity Metro Connectivity Upcoming Metro Connectivity Proximity to Sea Shore Quality of Life Presence of Commercial Development Worli I Micro Market Overview
Why Worli? www.anarock.com Ritzy skyscrapers, sea-facing properties, excellent connectivity to Mumbai’s CBD Bandra-Kurla Complex (BKC) – Worli literally has it all in a city where transit infrastructure holds all the aces for the success of real estate. With so many merits, Worli draws the instant attention of luxury home buyers not only from the financial capital, but also from other parts of India and the world. Worli’s residential property market has attracted several developers keen to capitalize on its upmarket charm and location advantages amidst the high-profile southern part of the city. With its unique blend of plush office complexes and high-end housing, Worli has emerged as one of the hottest residential areas in recent years and is a premium destination of choice for industrialists, business honchos, sports personalities, and celebrities. Worli’s generous share of prominent luxury skyscraper projects over the last couple of years, have completely transformed the micro-market’s skyline. With constant real estate development and improving infrastructure, especially in terms of Metro connectivity via Line 3 (connecting Colaba- Bandra-Seepz) and the proposed Coastal Road which will provide enhanced connectivity to major micro-markets of Western Suburbs, Worli is all set to ramp up its allure as a highly popular luxury housing destination in South-Central Mumbai. The residential real estate market of Worli offers a wide range of under construction high rise properties, nearly 1,500 in different stages of construction. In the recent years, new launch activity has been slow due to availability of huge unsold inventory. Moreover, under the strict RERA-regime, developers seem focused on offloading existing inventory by offering discounts and lucrative payment plans. Nonetheless, capital values in the micro market recorded a marginal upward trend due to a slight uptick in demand and constantly upgrading infrastructure. Worli I Micro Market Overview
ANAROCK PROPERTY CONSULTANTS PVT LTD (Formerly Jones Lang LaSalle Residential Pvt. Ltd) The ANAROCK Group is one India’s leading real estate services company having diversified interest across real estate value chain. The Group’s key strategic business units comprise of Residential business: broking & advisory services to clients; Investment business: debt, equity and mezzanine funding and Research & Consulting business. ANAROCK’s Investment arm has built a revolutionary business model of bulk- purchasing residential apartment inventory through a proprietary investment fund. With a growing team of over 500 professionals, ANAROCK operates in all key property markets across India - Mumbai, Chennai, Bangalore, Gurgaon, Noida, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Pune and has an international presence in Dubai. With in-depth market information, quality advice and developer tie-ups for optimal deals, we have been serving the industry since 2011. ANAROCK Property Consultants Private Limited (Formerly Jones Lang LaSalle Residential Pvt. Ltd.) 1002, 10th Floor, B Wing, One BKC, Plot No. C-66, G Block, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra East, Mumbai - 400051 This publication is the sole property of ANAROCK Property Consultants. and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, either in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of ANAROCK Property Consultants. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources generally regarded to be reliable. However , no representation is made, or warranty is given, in respect of the accuracy of this information. W e would like to be informed of any inaccuracies so that we may correct them. ANAROCK does not accept any liability in negligence or otherwise for any loss or damage suf fered by any party resulting from reliance on this publication.
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