PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi

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PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead

PART 2 ̶ THE CHANGING
SHAPE OF THE CPG
DEMAND CURVE
May 15, 2020

                         Read Other CPG Demand Curve-Focused Reports:
                         Part 1 - The Changing Shape of the CPG Demand Curve (4-24-2020)
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
Executive Summary                        MEAT
Meat and Millennials’ Impact             • While retail inflation has increased, wholesale prices
                                           have soared.
on CPG Demand Curve                      • Larger pack sizes and unused promotion allowances
                                           have tempered higher meat prices for consumers.
COVID-19 continues its reach             • Instability at the plant-level has consumers worried
beyond personal health to CPG              and short-term capacity uncertain.
Demand, Inflation, Supply Chain and
more. IRI is tracking these shifts and
their impact on changing the CPG
                                         SUPPLY CHAIN
Demand Curve. In this week’s report,
                                         • Supply chain challenges for meat provide a cautionary
we take a closer look at the Meat          note to other categories.
industry, which has been shaken by       • Supply of products continues to be lower than pre-
increased demand and supply chain          COVID-19 levels. To help manufacturers meet increased
                                           at-home demand, IRI has launched the IRI CPG Supply
challenges. We also observe the role       Index™ that provides a granular view of in-stock levels
Millennials play in changing the CPG       across departments, aisles, regions and states.
demand curve.

 HOW CAN IRI HELP?                       MILLENNIALS
 • The IRI COVID-19 Dashboard            • Largest portion of U.S. population is vulnerable to
                                           economic fall-out.
 • IRI COVID-19 Impacts
                                         • From extremely concerned to relatively relaxed,
 • The IRI CPG Demand Index™               Millennials demonstrate different levels of COVID-19
                                           concerns and behaviors.
 • IRI Inflation Tracker™
                                         • Retailers and manufacturers can help Millennials see
 • NEW: IRI Supply Index                   value beyond price and ease their concerns for safety.

                                                                                                     © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   2
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
COVID-19
Navigating the
 Path Ahead

Meat Impact on
 the Changing
  Shape of the
 CPG Demand
     Curve

                 © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   3
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
Meat is the Star Performer in
     Market Context            Year of Pandemic-Driven Growth
     and Conditions                                  39.8%
• Roughly two months into                                            36.6%
  the COVID-19 pandemic,
  grocery shopping
  purchase patterns remain
  strong
• Total Meat (Fresh +                        23.6%                                    23.8%
  Processed) emerged as                                      22.7%
  the sales leader vs. all
  major store departments                                                     18.1%
                                   15.3%
• Most recent 4 weeks          13.3%
                                                                                                       14.7%        14.0%
  dollar (w/e 5/3/20) growth                                                                                    12.0%
  is +40% and building                                                                          8.9%                                8.7%
  momentum as shoppers
  stock up in response to
  extensive media coverage                                                                                                                 3.2%
  of processing plant
  closings and to meet
                                Total Store Total Fresh & Total Frozen            F&B (ex.         Produce        Refrigerated        Total
  demands of more in-home      with Perimeter Processed (ex. Poultry)              Fresh                          Departments       Nonedibles
  meal occasions                                Meat                             Perimeter)

                                                               YTD 2020              Latest 4 WE 5-3-20
                                                                Meat Dollar Sales Growth

                                 Source: IRI MULO POS data for periods indicated – Fixed and Random Weight items integrated
                                                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.          4
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
Meat Dollar Sales Continue to Outpace Volume Sales, With Gap Growing
Fresh Meat Sales by Week During COVID-19 Crisis
• Increasing price inflation accounts for growing gap between dollar sales and volume sales
• Over the last four weeks, price per volume is up ~13% vs. year ago
• Consumer fears of potential product shortages fueled stock-up on meat products, even
  in light of implied price increases
                                         91.8%
                            80.3%        78.0%

                                    71.6%                                                                                                                51.3%
                                                              36.8%                 43.6%                                        49.7%
                                                                   41.4%

                                                      28.5%          34.5%          36.4%                       17.1%                                        37.2%
                                                                                                                                              34.8%
                8.1%
    -0.9%              5.2%                                                                                 2.7%
   -3.9%
       3.1.20      3.8.20      3.15.20      3.22.20       3.29.20       4.5.20              4.12.20               4.19.20                 4.26.20                 5.3.20

                                                 Meat Dollar Sales           Meat Volume Sales

                                                                             Source: IRI MULO POS data for periods indicated – Fixed and Random Weight items integrated
                                                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   5
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
As Consumers Buy More Meat for At-Home Occasions, Key
Consumer Purchase Metrics Show Considerable Growth vs. 2019
The Meat Department Has Benefitted From Growth
On Sales, Buyers, Trips and Dollars / Trip
                    Latest 4 Weeks Ending 5.3.2020 vs. YA
            58.4

    36.4

                                 18.3                           19.4     17.9
                                                    13.5
                                            11.4

                        2.6

   Dollar Sales %   Buyers % Change vs. Product Trips per     Dollars per Trip %
   Change vs. YA            YA         Buyer % Change vs.      Change vs. YA
                                              YA

                        All Trip Missions   Pantry Stocking

                                                                                   © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   6
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
Pork, Beef, Turkey and Chicken All Contributed to Recent Total Meat Increases

         Fresh Protein Sales – Dollar and Volume                                                Retail Meat & Protein Price per Volume (2019 & 2020)
                                                                                                                            $5.38
                                                  50.6%                                                                $4.83
                 45.5%
 39.3%                                                  40.7%                                         $3.81
                                                                 35.4%                           $3.46
                       34.6%                                                                                                                                                                 $3.22 $3.34
                                  29.5%
      26.4%                            24.1%                                                                                                                         $2.61 $2.83
                                                                       23.1%                                                                $2.35 $2.46

                                                                                                     10%                   11%                     5%                     8%                      4%

 MEAT TOTAL      Beef Total -   Chicken Total -   Pork Total -   Turkey Total                  MEAT TOTAL              Beef Total -        Chicken Total -           Pork Total -           Turkey Total
                   Fresh            Fresh           Fresh                                                                Fresh                 Fresh                   Fresh

           Dollar Sales - 4 WE 5.3.20     Volume Sales - 4 WE 5.3.20                                                      5.3.19      5.3.20       PPV % Chg. vs. YAG

• All proteins experienced substantial dollar sales                                            • Beef, up 11% vs. YAG, accounts for majority of retail
  growth during latest 4 weeks.                                                                  meat price increases due to tight supply; last week’s
                                                                                                 production was 32% below 2019 volumes.
• With the exception of chicken, all meat categories
  showed price increases of 10% or more vs. year ago.                                          • Retail price increases for pork, chicken and turkey
                                                                                                 have been more moderate than beef but still
                                                                                                 substantial vs. YAG.

                                                                          Source: IRI MULO POS data for periods indicated – Fixed and Random Weight items integrated, 4-weeks ending 5/3/2020.
                                                                                                                             © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.        7
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
Continued Short-Term Stress as Meat Wholesale Markets Remain Volatile

                                                         U.S. Wholesale Beef and
                                                         Pork Pricing (USDA)
                                                         • Wholesale beef and pork
                                                           prices doubled in April.
                                                         • Recent pork production is
                                                           down ~24% from 2019
                                                           levels, while beef is 32%
                                                           below 2019 volumes.
                                                         • However, stress is short-
                                                           term and pork should
                                                           rebound to 2019 levels;
                                                           beef will improve, but
                                                           remain down 5% from 2019.

                                                                                CLICK HERE FOR MORE!

                                                                                           Source: Bloomberg / USDA
                                                   © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   8
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
Processors Simplify Supply Chains by Reducing Items per
Store and Focusing On Higher Velocity Items and Larger Packs
Average Items Per Store Selling Per Week

                        353.2
                                                                             349.4
                                                                 346.8
                                                      342.9                              343.4        344.2
342.5                342.5
                                339.4      339.5
   334.7 334.9
              334
                                   329.8

                                                         317.9       317.8
                                                                                 313.4
                                                                                             309.4           309.2
                                              307.5

 March 1   March 8   March 15 March 22 March 29        April 5    April 12    April 19    April 26       May 3

                                               2019    20202

                                                                                          Source: IRI MULO POS data for periods indicated – Fixed and Random Weight items integrated
                                                                                                                    © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   9
PART 2 THE CHANGING SHAPE OF THE CPG DEMAND CURVE - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRi
IRI Supply Chain Index™ Shows Meat Supply Challenged to Meet Demand
% In-Stock

                                                                   CLICK HERE FOR MORE!

                                                                                   Source: IRI CPG Supply Index
                                              © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   10
IRI Supply Index Illustrates Meat Supply Chain
Stress Impacting U.S. In-Stock Positions

   % In-Stock

       •   Daily meat distribution is down ~18ppts from pre-COVID-19 levels.
       •   Consumers are encountering sparse inventory levels and out-of-stocks on key items.
       •   A growing number of retailers are enforcing purchase limits on total number of meat packages.
       •   A combination of constrained supply and stock-up buying continues to stress the meat system.
       •   President Trump Executive Order on April 29 cites Defense Production Act to keep plants operating.
       •   Starting May 1, processing plants that were closed to address COVID-19 outbreaks are reopening.

                                                                                                                         CLICK HERE FOR MORE!

                                                                                                                      Source: IRI CPG Supply Index
                                                                                 © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   11
Key Considerations Moving Forward
Demand / Pricing Considerations                     Supply Considerations
• Wholesale prices have recently soared             • Speed with which processors create safe work environments directly
  considerably more than retail prices                impacts capacity and throughput
• Retailer long-term purchase contracts have        • Workers’ health and safety concerns will impact attendance even if
  dampened impact of wholesale increases              plants re-open
• Contracted promotional allowances have            • Supply chain flexibility must manage both retail and foodservice demand
  absorbed some price increases for retailers         shifts as markets open / close
• Larger price increases at retail will come soon   • The USDA forecasts only minor impact to annual volume, and it is clear
  if plants cannot re-establish full capacity         that the supply shortage has bottomed and will improve

                                                                                  © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   12
COVID-19
Navigating the
 Path Ahead

   Millennials
 Impact on the
   Changing
  Shape of the
 CPG Demand
     Curve

                 © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   13
All Generations Are Impacted by the Health and Economic Toll of COVID-19
But the Most Lasting Shifts will Occur Among Millennials and Older Gen Z

                                                                     BABY                                               SILENT
         GEN Z           MILLENIALS              GEN X             BOOMERS                                          GENERATION
      1996 – 2010        1977 – 1995          1965 – 1976         1946 – 1964                                       1945 and prior
      (ages 10-24)       (ages 25-43)         (ages 44-55)        (ages 56-74)                                        (ages 75+)

     Widespread           Columbine          Iranian Hostage         Vietnam                                     Great Depression
   Terrorism: ISIS,       Shootings                Crisis
   Boston Marathon                                                 Civil Rights                                            WWII
                             9/11          Challenger Disaster     Movement
      Bombings                                                                                                        Korean War
                       Hurricane Katrina       Collapse of         JFK / MLK
   Mass Shootings:                                                                                                  The Cold War
                                               Berlin Wall       Assassinations
     Sandy Hook,
   Parkland, Orlando                         AIDS Epidemic
                                           The Great Recession

                                                                 © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   14
Millennials are Among the Hardest Hit By the
Health and Financial Fallout of COVID-19
THEIR JOBS ARE AT RISK                THEY’RE NOT TAKING                                    THEY’RE ALSO
                                         THIS LIGHTLY                                         PARENTS
45% of 18-29 year-olds and
31% of 31-38 year-olds have               55% are extremely                       Two-thirds of Millennials in
experienced work reductions                concerned about                       peak child bearing years (30-
   due to the coronavirus                   the coronavirus                       38 year-olds) have children

                                                                                           50%
                45%                                                                                         43%
                                                                          35%
                               31%
       25%

 Working Less / Furloughed / Lost Job                     HH Income at Risk Because of Coronavirus
       Because of Coronavirus
                 Total          Younger Millennials                      Older Millennials
                                 ages 18-29                              ages 30-38

                  Source: IRI Survey fielded 5/1-5/3 among National Consumer Panel representing Total US Primary Grocery Shoppers / 1 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention / 2 SOURCE: www.census.gov
                                                                                                                                          © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   15
Already Financially Vulnerable,
                         Millennials Expect the Economic Crisis
                         to Last Longer Than the Health Crisis
     ~40%
  of Millennials have
     had their work          Expected Duration                                          Expected Duration
   hours reduced or           of Health Crisis                                          of Economic Crisis
  lost their jobs as a
                                      34%              36%
 result of the COVID-    42%
    19 crisis to date                                                             73%                74%              67%
                                      21%              23%
                         20%

  $497.6B                26%
                                      29%              25%
                                                                                  13%                10%
                                                                                                                      13%

  student loan debt                   13%              13%                       10%
                                                                                                     8%        15%
                         10%                                                                         8%         5%
    among 15.1MM                                                                  3%
borrowers aged 25-341    Total      Younger      Older
                                   Millennials Millennials
                                                                                 Total           Younger      Older
                                                                                                Millennials Millennials

                                 7+ Months          4-6 Months                2-3 Months                1 Month or Less

                                             © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   16
COVID-19 Impacts Consumers in Different Ways
With Three Distinct Mindsets for Millennials

                                     Consumers of All Ages Will Move Through the COVID-                               Three COVID-19 Crisis Driven Mindsets are
                                       19 Crisis and Beyond Based on a Convergence of                              Disproportionately Prominent Among Millennials
                                        Influencing Factors; Several ‘Mindsets’ Emerge

                                                                                                                                      Concerned
because of restrictions created to
My household’s income is at risk

                                                                                                                                    and Constrained
                                                                           Concerned &
                                                                           Constrained                                           (Millennial Index = 208)
     curb the coronavirus

                                                                                                     Concerned &
                                                                                                       Passive                   Have an “expect and prepare
                                                                                                                                  for the worst” approach to
                                                                                                                                  COVID-19: practical, self-
                                                                        We Got This                                                      and financially
                                         It Is                                                                                             restricted.
                                       What It Is
                                                                                                                                                                It Is What It Is
                                                                                                                                                          (Millennial Index = 157)
                                                                                                                         We Got This                          Concern both for health
                                                     What’s all
                                                     the Fuss                                                        (Millennial Index = 191)                    and economy but
                                                                                          Afraid &                                                             accepting. Believe that
                                                                                         Insulated                      Optimistic but focused                COVID-19 is overblown
                                                                                                                       more on health- impacts                and return to normal will
                                                                                                                          of COVID-19 than                         happen soon.
                                                                                                                         financial; confident
                                                                                                                            they’ll recover.
                                                Extremely concerned about COVID-19

                                                                                                                                                 Source: IRI COVID-19 Segmentation, April, 2020
                                                                                                                              © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   17
Millennials are Increasing Their Spend in Channels That Support Their Mindset
% Chg. vs. YAG in Dollars / 1,000 HHs (4 WE 4/12/20 vs. 4/14/19)

                                                      Concerned &
                                                                                                              We Got This                                            It Is What It Is
                                                      Constrained
                                                MOST CONCERNED                                                                                                 LEAST CONCERNED
                            TOTAL
                                            Online shopping addresses                                In addition to price, these                            Online spending changed
                                            physical safety and enables                               Millennials find more to                            least; greatest shifts to Other
                                              easy price comparisons                                    like at Dollar stores                                Outlets, Grocery, Dollar
ALL OUTLETS                  13%                               33%                                                     16%                                                     17%
Internet                     39%                              142%                                                     43%                                                     9%
Dollar                       24%                               28%                                                     56%                                                     27%
Grocery                      18%                               10%                                                     25%                                                     30%
Walmart Total                11%                               61%                                                     16%                                                     8%
Drug                          5%                               53%                                                    -12%                                                     21%
Club                          2%                               42%                                                     17%                                                    -17%
Mass Merch / Supercenter     -7%                               28%                                                    -21%                                                     13%
Specialty (Other Outlets)   -21%                              -59%                                                     -3%                                                     48%

                               Source: Total U.S. All Outlet Sales Linked to actual purchase behavior by National Consumer Panel representing Total US Primary Grocery Shoppers, April, 2020
                                                                                                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   18
Confidence Mitigates the Impulse to Stock Up; Two-Thirds of
Concerned & Constrained Stock Up for Two Weeks or More

          Being more anxious than other groups, 65% of                                                                     Concerned & Constrained demonstrate
      Concerned & Constrained are stocking up for 2 weeks                                                                  pantry stocking behavior; It Is What It Is
      or more, compared to fewer than half of It Is What It Is.                                                                  look to have meals on hand.
                     % Buying Groceries to Last For…                                                            % Chg. vs. YAG in $/1,000 HHs (4 WE 4/12/20 vs. 4/14/19)
                                                                                                                                                   Concerned &                   We Got                  It Is
                                                                                                                                    TOTAL
                                  22%                             11%                                                                              Constrained                    This                 What It Is
              24%
3 Weeks                                                                                                 TOTAL STORE                    14%                 33%                     16%                      17%
 or More
                                                                                                        Edible                         22%                 40%                     32%                      21%

                                                                                                            Bakery                     12%                  2%                     14%                      15%
                                                                  36%
                                                                                                            Dairy                      17%                 23%                     14%                      19%
                                  49%
              41%
2 Weeks                                                                                                     Deli                       26%                 46%                     16%                      40%

                                                                                                            Frozen                     20%                 40%                     17%                      31%

                                                                                                        Nonedible                      14%                 54%                      9%                      16%

                                                                  23%                                       Health & Beauty            -6%                  4%                     -11%                    -11%
 1 Week       19%                 22%
                                                                                                            General Merch              -17%                -1%                     -18%                      8%

                                                                                                          GREEN = >10% Positive Change                                            Total U.S. (4-Region Total) - All Outlets
           Concerned &         We Got This                 It Is What It Is                               RED = Any Negative Change

           Constrained
                                             Source: Total U.S. All Outlet Sales Linked to actual purchase behavior by National Consumer Panel representing Total US Primary Grocery Shoppers, April, 2020
                                                                                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.         19
Millennials Have a New Appreciation
    Concerned &                                                                           for Cooking, and Especially Baking
 Constrained spending
  more on the basics                                                                                                 % Chg. Vs. YAG in Dollars/1,000 HHs
                                                                                                                     (4 Weeks ending 4/12/20 vs. 4/14/19)
  We Got This spend
  more on convenience                                                                                  Butter/Butter Blends                                          Margarine/Spreads
 and better quality items
   (e.g., baking mixes,                                                                                                 71%                                               83%
                                                                                                28%         11%                      16%                     32%                       6%
  butter vs. margarine)
                                                                                                                                                                                                    -1%
  It Is What It Is show
the most limited changes                                                                                    Baking Mixes                                                 Baking Needs
       vs. year ago                                                                                                     223%
                                                                                                                                    152%
                                                                                                72%
                                                                                                                                                                         111%         98%
                                                                                                            32%                                              50%                                    49%
                     more
 % Cooking     42%   often
    at Home
        from   48% about
                   the same                                                                             Spices/Seasonings                                                     Sugar
    Scratch
                6% less
                   often                                                                                                                                                 137%         173%
  vs. Before                                                                                    23%
                                                                                                                        60%          30%
                                                                                                                                                             70%                                    36%
Coronavirus     4% n/a
                                                                                                            -4%

                                                                                                             Total      Concerned & Constrained             We Got This          It Is What It Is

                              Source: Total U.S. All Outlet Sales Linked to actual purchase behavior by National Consumer Panel representing Total US Primary Grocery Shoppers, April, 2020
                                                                                                                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.       20
The Different Needs Sets for Home Cooking
“We Got This” Demonstrate the Biggest Commitment to Scratch
Cooking and “It Is What It Is” Gravitate to Prepared Options

         TOP LARGEST INCREASES IN % HOUSEHOLDS BUYING FOR FOOD VS. YAG (4 WEEKS ENDING 4/12/20 VS. 4/14/19)

         Concerned & Constrained                                                We Got This                                                                       It Is What It Is
                       Increase in   $/1,000                                              Increase in               $/1,000                                                  Increase in                 $/1,000
                       HHs Buying      HHs                                                HHs Buying                  HHs                                                    HHs Buying                    HHs
        Frankfurters      87%         46%                       Baking Mixes                  103%                   223%                          Baking Mixes                    83%                      152%
                                                          Mustard, Ketchup                     90%                   120%
Margarine / Spreads       64%         83%                                                                                                             Hot Cereal                   64%                      141%
                                                           Jelly/Jam/ Honey                    77%                   123%
        Refrigerated      63%        112%                                                                                                    Tomato Products                       61%                      103%
         Side Dishes
                                                              Baking Needs                     67%                    98%
   Shelf Stable Meat                                                                                                                              Shelf Stable
                          60%        102%                            Sugar                     62%                   173%                                                          60%                      123%
      and Ref. Ham                                                                                                                                     Dinners
                                                           Cream Cheese /                                                                        Dry Packaged
        Mayonnaise        55%        124%                                                      54%                    30%                                                          59%                      53%
                                                                  Spreads                                                                              Dinners
                                                            Butter / Butter
Shelf Stable Seafood      55%        147%                                                      53%                    71%                             Vegetables                   54%                      76%
                                                                    Blends
    Cream Cheese /                                                   Nut Butter                51%                    50%
                          53%        102%                                                                                                          Frankfurters                    49%                      87%
          Spreads
                                                        Processed Cheese                       50%                    39%
                                                                                                                                            Shelf Stable Meat                      49%                      53%
                                                     Shelf Stable Seafood                      49%                   103%                      and Ref. Ham

                                         Source: Total U.S. All Outlet Sales Linked to actual purchase behavior by National Consumer Panel representing Total US Primary Grocery Shoppers, April, 2020
                                                                                                                                   © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.      21
Concerned & Constrained Have Broadened “Healthy” Product
Buying; Their Experiences Will Fuel Future Purchase Decisions
% Change vs. YAG / (4 Weeks ending 4/12/20 vs. 4/14/19)

                       Concerned &
        Total                                We Got This                    It Is What It Is
                       Constrained

  HHs       $/1,000    HHs        $/1,000    HHs          $/1,000           HHs            $/1,000
 Buying      HHs      Buying       HHs      Buying         HHs             Buying           HHs

                                 FRESH PRODUCE

 +13%       +24%      +34%        +39%       -4%            +1%            +19%            +37%

                                     VITAMINS

  -2%       +12%      +21%        +32%      -16%           +74%              -9%            +7%

                               INTERNAL ANALGESICS

 +16%       +27%      +56%        +175%     -18%            +2%              -5%            -13%

                           COLD / ALLERGY / SINUS

 +15%       +21%      +11%         +5%      +2%            -15%            +49%            +80%

                                             Source: Total U.S. All Outlet Sales Linked to actual purchase behavior by National Consumer Panel representing Total US Primary Grocery Shoppers, April, 2020
                                                                                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   22
Post-COVID-19, Millennials are Likely to Put a Much Greater
Emphasis on Enhancing and Maintaining Health and Wellness
Total consumer responses to a weekly survey report their anticipated changes in behavior based on COVID-19. Millennials
frequently over index compared to total generational responses. They are more likely to attend large events, to eat healthier
post-pandemic, limit visits to stores, focus on fitness and personal health, as well as disinfect more at home.

                     Lesser Shift                                       Moderate Shift                                                                      Bigger Shift

                                                                                                                                 31% - focus more on my health
                                                                                                                                  Gen Z or Younger Millennial (18 to 29) (117 index)

                                                                                                                                 39% - use HH disinfecting products more often
                                                       22% - change my eating habits to be healthier                              Gen Z or Younger Millennial (131 index)
                                                       Gen Z or Younger Millennial (18 to 29) (163 index)                        40% - use hand sanitizer more often
                                                       23% - limit shopping in stores                                            58% - wash hands more frequently / thoroughly
 11% - plan fewer trips to other countries             Gen Z or Younger Millennial (18 to 29) (118 index)

 12% - travel less                                     24% - focus on fitness / working out more often
                                                       Gen Z or Younger Millennial (18 to 29) (146 index)
 18% - attend large events less often
  Gen Z or Younger Millennial (18 to 29) (115 index)

 18% - avoid social gatherings

                                                                           Source: IRI Survey fielded 5/1-5/3 among National Consumer Panel representing Total US Primary Grocery Shoppers
                                                                                                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   23
Millennials Won’t Rush Back to Their Old Ways of Doing
Things Once Shelter-In-Place Restrictions are Lifted
Plans to Return to Activities After Stay-at-Home is Lifted
“I’ll go back to my usual way of doing this as soon as possible after restrictions are lifted.”

                                                             Go to the Gym /
                                                            Fitness Classes                                                                                  Go Grocery                                           Go to Work
                         Go to a                        Gen Z or Younger Millennial                                Dine Out at                            Shopping at Stores                                     at a Location
                        Nail Salon                        (18 to 29) (122 index)                                   Restaurants                             More Frequently                                     Outside My Home

 Later / Cautious Approach                                                                                                                                                                           Early / Eager Approach

Go to Bars / Clubs               My young child / children                                  Go to an                              Go Shopping at Non-                                 Go to a Hair Salon
Gen Z or Younger                 will go to daycare or I will                         Entertainment Venue                       Grocery Stores (Clothing                               or Barbershop
Millennial (18 to 29)            have a childcare provider                              (Movie Theater,                          Stores, Furniture, etc.)
     (133 index)                    come to my home**                                    Bowling, etc.)
 Gen X (39 to 54)                Gen Z or Younger Millennial
     (143 index)                    (18 to 29) (252 index)
                                  Older Millennial (30 to 38)
                                         (215 index)

              Source: IRI Survey fielded 5/1-5/3 among NCP representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers / *Base: Working Outside Home / **Base: Have Kids Under 6 / Index is Compared to Total Generational Response
                                                                                                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   24
Programming Content Tells a Story
About the Message That Will Resonate
The amount of time Millennials
spend on media platforms,
including cable, internet at home,
magazines, newspapers, radio
and TV, is relatively consistent,
but what they’re consuming
differs among groups.

                                                                             Concerned &
                                                                                                            We Got This                       It Is What It Is
                                                                             Constrained
                                                       PAST 7 DAYS VIEWING
Programming Distinctions Provide Further
                                                               BBC America      130                                 110                                  119
Evidence of the COVID-19 Mindset Differences
                                                            BBC World News      128                                 118                                  103
• Broad-based news programming is disproportionately               MSNBC        122                                 114                                  117
  consumed by those who are most worried and
                                                                      CNN       126                                 119                                  112
  economically fragile due to COVID-19.
                                                                     CNBC       118                                 109                                  104
• Those who are concerned but confident stand out
                                                                  Fox News      108                                 101                                  121
  for their viewing of HBO.
                                                                      HBO       118                                 121                                  94
• Those who are largely disengaged from the crisis
  stand out for their viewing of Fox News, and HGTV                  HGTV       108                                 116                                  120

                                                                                                                         Source: IRI ShopperSights
                                                                                © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.         25
Moving Forward – Address the Varying
Needs of the Millennial Generation
Build Confidence
Use technology and positive reinforcement to create more personalized
connections to help Millennials through what they don’t know or what they
may want to try, be it budget stretching or meal prep.
Boost Safety and Health
Communicate commitments to safety, whether in-store or on-pack.
Showcase strategies that support wellness goals.
Support the You-Only-Live-Once Connection
Demonstrate how your products or shopping experiences move life ‘beyond the
ordinary’ and into something special. Use social media and/or contests to celebrate.
Create Value Through Ease
From intuitive online grocery shopping and apps, to quick meal
planning ideas, the Millennial value equation is more than low prices.
Reframe Price
Help these shoppers understand cost per meal, or ways to extend/expand product uses.
Bring the Out-of-Home Experience In-Home
Millennials are not in a hurry to resume out-of-home activities; help them
DIY varying aspects of their lives, including meal-, cocktail- and hair color kits.
Combat Kid Boredom
Two thirds of 30-38 year-olds have kids under 18. Become a trusted source
for fun and learning and facilitate kid involvement in meal planning and prep.

                                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   26
Insights and Strategic
Guidance for Better Decisions
IRI’s Online Resources Include Real-Time
Updates and Weekly Reports Which Track
the Impact of the Virus on CPG and Retail
The IRI COVID-19 lmpact
Includes COVID-19 impact analyses, dashboards
and the latest thought leadership on supply chain,
consumer behavior, channel shifts for the U.S.
AND international markets

The COVID-19 Dashboard and
The IRI CPG Demand Index™
& IRI Inflation Tracker™
Accessible through the insights portal to
track the daily impact of COVID-19.
This includes the new IRI CPG Demand
Index™, top selling and out of stock
categories across the country and
consumer sentiment on social media

                                                     © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   27
IRI CPG Demand Index™
The IRI CPG Demand Index™ provides a
standard metric for tracking changes in
spending on consumer packaged goods. It
measures weekly changes in consumer
purchases, by dollar sales, against the year-
ago period across departments including fixed
and random weight products, grocery aisles
and retail formats. The IRI CPG Demand
Index™ is available for eight U.S. regions and
all U.S. states.

                                                                                      CLICK HERE FOR MORE!

                                                 © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   28
IRI CPG Inflation Tracker™
The IRI CPG Inflation Tracker™ provides the
well-known price per unit metric for tracking
changes in pricing of consumer packaged
goods. It provides weekly changes in
consumer prices, price per unit against the
year-ago period across departments including
fixed and random weight products, grocery
aisles and retail formats. The IRI CPG
Inflation Tracker™ is available for eight U.S.
regions and all U.S. states.

                                                                                      CLICK HERE FOR MORE!

                                                 © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   29
IRI CPG Supply Index™

The IRI CPG Supply Index™ provides a
standard metric for tracking changes in
product availability (i.e. in-stock rates) in
stores for consumer packaged goods. It
measures weekly changes in product
availability against the baseline across
departments and retail formats. The IRI
CPG Supply Index™ is available for eight
U.S. regions and all U.S. states.

                                                                                     CLICK HERE FOR MORE!

                                                © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   30
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 CONTACT US   150 North Clinton Street
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                            © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential
                                                                     Confidential and
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                                                                                      Proprietary.   31 31
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