Real Estate Consumer Outlook- 2017

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Real Estate Consumer Outlook- 2017
Real Estate
Consumer Outlook-
2017
The beginning of the year 2017 ushered a whole lot of changes
in the Real Estate Sector. Various initiatives announced in the
Union Budget 2017-18 talked about magnifying infrastructure,
improving connectivity and providing affordable housing.
Home loan interest subsidies, infrastructure status to
affordable housing and change in the holding period of LTCG
tax are expected to spur the market.

We noticed no price appreciation of the property, attractive
offers to lure the customers, all due to the historic decision
taken by the Indian Government in the 4th quarter of 2016 –
Demonetization.
It was these aftereffects of Demonetization that the first
quarter of 2017 saw a sluggish supply in new project launch,
seemingly very low price appreciation in the existing market.

However, the Q1-2017 closed with the positive note
supported by historic plunge in the bank loans which changed
to as low as 8.4% alongwith the introduction of other
attractive schemes such as Credit Linked Subsidy Scheme to
support Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana.

In this backdrop, QuikrHomes conducted a comprehensive
survey which captured consumer sentiments extensively. The
survey received an overwhelming response by as many as
1522 participants. It highlights the key trends that will shape
the realty sector in the coming months. To understand the
behavior of investors, the survey included:
• Socioeconomic and demographic profile of participants
• Preferred investment options
• Consumer inclination for property investment 2017
• Purpose of buying property- Investment Vs End-Use
• Investor preferred budget for property buying
• Preferred property type
• Key reasons, which hold’s consumers back while buying a
    property
• Best stage of buying a property
• Expectation of annual returns on Real Estate
• Demonetization Effects
 Will there be a drop in price due to demonetization?
 Expected price decrease due to demonetization
 Impact on transactions as per Property Market- New
    Property, Resale & Land transaction
• RERA Popularity
• RERA Implications

  REAL ESTATE: CONSUMER OUTLOOK | 2017                    1
Survey Participants Geographic & Demographic Distribution

                                                                            Top 14 Cities From
                                                                                  India

                       Workplace of
              %        the Participants
                                                                          INDIA, 96%

                                                                          NRI, 4%
                                                  NCR
                                                  16%

                                                                                       Kolkata
                                                                                         4%

                                 MMR                                                           2%,
                                                                                       7%,
                                 17% Pune
                                                                                                     9%,
                                      8%

                                                    Hyderabad
                                                        10%                 24%,
                                                                                         Age group of
                                                                                         participants
                                          Bengaluru
                                                27% Chennai
                                                                                                            58%,
                                                        10%

                                                                                    18 to 24   25 to 34    35 to 44
Annual Family Income

                       58%        Under 10 Lac
                                                                                    45 to 54   55 to 64 65 to 74
                                  Over 35 Lac                                                         Gender typology
                                  Between 25 – 35 Lac                   Male                          Female
                                                                        86%                            14%
                       7%
                       8%         Between 16 – 25 Lac
                       10%        Between 11 – 15 Lac
                                                                          Married                            Unmarried
                       17%        Family Income                            72%                                 28%
                                                                                                          Marital Status

                                                                REAL ESTATE: CONSUMER OUTLOOK | 2017          2
Best Asset Class For Investment in 2017

 100%         14%              11%              4%              2%           10%           14%            2%          14%                 7%

                                                63%            70%                                        72%
                               62%                                           73%           66%                        65%             75%
  50%         79%
                                                 4%
                               12%                              8%                                         9%
                                                15%                           9%           13%             2%         14%              8%
                                7%              10%            12%                                        11%                         10%
               7%               5%                              5%            8%            5%                         7%
   0%
         Abroad (NRI)      Bangalore      Chennai          Hyderabad      Kolkata      Mumbai       National        Pune           Tier 3
                                                                                     Metropolitan Capital Region
                                                                                     Region (MMR)     (NCR)
Fig. 1 : Best Asset Class For Investment
                        Fixed Desposit   Gold         Government Bonds    Mutual Funds    Real Estate    Stocks
 With so much action in the market, it was important to know which asset class is dominating the investors’ mind and Real Estate
 again grabbed the top spot with 70 % votes in QuikrHomes Consumer Survey 2017.
 From NRI investors, we received overwhelmingly response for Indian Real Estate Sector and they also marked Real-Estate
 option as a best asset class for investment in 2017.
 While real estate was still the first choice of respondents, the interesting aspect was to see the variation in secondary & third
 preferences. Overall, Mutual Funds & Stocks got neck to neck votes, with mutual fund being the second preferred choice for Pune,
 MMR and Bangalore respondents followed by Stock deposit as a third choice in these cities.
 However, NCR and Tier 3 cities respondents still continues with fixed deposit as their second choice after real-estate because they
 consider it to be the safe investment option and its also offers some liquidity.
 In Chennai & Hyderabad, gold continue to tempt as an second preferred investment options despite efforts by government and
 the RBI to curb demand for the yellow metal. While, low interest rates in the Government Bonds markets made investors stay
 away from this option.

                Unlike 2016, mutual funds & stocks is now the second preferred asset class for maximum
                respondents across cities. Earlier, majority of the respondents across cities preferred to invest
                in fixed deposit instead of mutual funds & stocks.

 In 2017, would you prefer to invest in Real Estate?

120%
100%
 80%                          42%                                                        53%            50%
                                            67%               62%           55%
                                                                                                                    70%            78%
 60%         100%             17%                                           0%                          15%
 40%                                                          10%                        19%
                                            15%                             45%                                      9%
                              41%                                                                       35%                        11%
 20%                                        19%               28%                        28%                        22%
              0%                                                                                                                   11%
  0%
        Abroad (NRI)      Bangalore      Chennai          Hyderabad      Kolkata      Mumbai       National        Pune          Tier 3
                                                                                    Metropolitan Capital Region
Fig. 2 : Planning to Buy a property in 2017?                                        Region (MMR)     (NCR)           MAYBE   NO       YES
  The interesting question is what will be the trends from the demand prospective in 2017. It is a big relief for the industry as the
  majority (57%) of respondents are planning to buy a property in 2017.
  Having said that, there are still 30 per cent of respondents who are confused and thus are hesitant to make their minds about
  buying or invest in a property in 2017. A small number of respondents, 14 per cent are not willing to invest at all in year 2017 as
  per QuikrHomes Survey 2017.

               In comparison, the survey conducted in 2016 showed only 49% people would invest in 2016. Clearly, the 2017
                                   survey indicates a positive outlook for the real estate sector in 2017.

 In Pune, about 70% respondents are planning to invest in remaining months of 2017, while 22% were not sure. Chennai,
 Hyderabad & MMR also painted a somewhat similar story.
 In NCR, about 50% of respondents displayed confidence, while 35% might invest. In Bangalore, nearly 42% respondents displayed
 optimism while good 41% respondents displayed subdued feeling of uncertainty. A few 17% are not willing to invest at all.

                                                                         REAL ESTATE: CONSUMER OUTLOOK | 2017                3
Preferred Purpose of Buying Property in 2017

100%
 90%                                                                                                 24%
                              38%                                      36%            40%                                             33%
 80%                                         48%          45%                                                       48%
 70%
 60%         93%
 50%
 40%                                                                                                 76%
                              62%                                      64%            60%                                             67%
 30%                                         52%          55%                                                       52%
 20%
 10%          7%
  0%
        Abroad (NRI)      Bangalore       Chennai     Hyderabad    Kolkata         Mumbai       National           Pune             Tier 3
                                                                                 Metropolitan Capital Region
                                                                                 Region (MMR)     (NCR)

Purpose of Buying Property                                   End Use      Investment
                                                                                                                             End Use
 While doing a comparative study of investment vs End use, End-Use was the major
                                                                                                                               59%
 motive behind buying properties among Indian residents with 64% of votes casted
 in favor of End-Use & over 36% votes for investment purpose. On the contrary, we
 found out that about 93% of NRI respondents were willing to buy property for
                                                                                               Investment
 investment purpose over a meager 7 % who were interested for End-Use.                            41%
               As per QuikrHomes survey, overall 59 % participants would be like to buy property for End-Use and 41
                                                % voted for investment purpose .

 Preferred Budget for Property Investment in 2017

             20%                4%             2%          2%
                                                           3%              0%
                                                                           9%             7%             1%
                                                                                                         5%                1%
                                                                                                                           7%                 0%
100%                                           8%                                                                                            11%
                               15%                         19%                           17%            19%
                                              18%                         18%                                             20%
80%
             27%               26%
                                                                                         30%
60%
                                                                                                                                             89%
40%                                           72%          75%            73%                           75%               72%
             43%               55%                                                       46%
20%
             10%
 0%
       Abroad (NRI)        Bangalore       Chennai     Hyderabad       Kolkata       Mumbai     National Capital      Pune               Tier 3
                                                                                   Metropolitan  Region (NCR)
                                                                                   Region (MMR)
Preferred Budget                     Within 40 Lacs     Between 41 Lac to 70 Lac          Between 71 Lac to 1.2 Cr              Over 1.2 Cr
 Announcement in favor of Affordable Homes by Indian Government sent a frenzy amongst the public and consumer sentiment is
 clearly dominated by the preferred budget range “Within 40 Lacs”. Preferred Budget, overall 64% of respondents chosen the
 affordable budget range.
 While affordable is the first choice, it is interesting to note the variations in secondary preferences. At present, “41 lakh to 70
 lakh” seem to be the flavor of the season with it being the second choice among the 24 per cent respondents in overall survey.
 Interestingly , only 10 per cent respondents voted for more than Rs. 71 lac budget range.

                       According to QuikrHomes survey, about 64 per cent participants have a budget less than Rs 40 lakh.

  On the other side, nearly 40% of NRI respondents preferred their investment budget range from Rs. “41 Lac to 70 Lac” followed
  by 27% NRI respondents who are interested in keeping Rs. “ 71 Lac to 1.2 cr” as their preferred budget range. A good (20%) of
  NRI respondent voted for the luxury segment, who wanted to invest in projects with a hefty price tag of “Over 1.2 Cr”.
  It’s also important to know the luxury segment Indian investor base city, overall only 4% respondents showed their interest to
  invest “Over 1.2 Cr”. Majorly MMR, Bangalore & Chennai comes as top three cities who’s respondents wants to invest projects
  with a price tag of “Over 1.2 Cr”.

                                                                   REAL ESTATE: CONSUMER OUTLOOK | 2017                         4
Most Preferred Property - Type for Investment in 2017

                                                                               0%          11%
  100%              20%             23%                                                                     13%         22%         22%
                                                    26%          31%                       11%
                     0%                                                                     4%
   80%              13%                                                       55%           0%              30%
                     0%             31%                                                                                 30%
   60%                                              44%                                                      2%
                                                                                                             4%                     44%
                                     0%
                                     3%                          45%           0%                                       4%
                                                                                                                        0%
   40%              67%                                                                    74%                                      0%
                                                     4%
                                                     4%          0%           45%                           50%                     11%
                                    43%                          10%                                                    43%
   20%                                              22%                                                                             22%
                                                                 14%
       0%
               Abroad (NRI)     Bangalore        Chennai     Hyderabad     Kolkata      Mumbai         National       Pune        Tier 3
                                                                                      Metropolitan   Capital Region
Preferred Property Type                                                               Region (MMR)       (NCR)

            Apartment         Independent Floor         Office Space / Retail        Plot/ Residential Land        Villa / Row Houses
Preferred property type depends upon the city density and availability of lands near city center or work place.
But, due to the sky rocketing price of land & non availability of barren land near city centers to build a individual house, individual’s
preference is shifting towards investing in an apartment to meet their needs. Going by the past year’s trend, respondents from
MMR, NCR & Pune are still highly inclined towards buying an apartment. Unlike H12016, “Apartments” are now the most
preferred property type for maximum respondents in Bangalore, even though earlier, majority of Bangalore buyers preferred to
buy “Plot/Residential Land” followed by “Villa/ Row Houses”.
Respondents from Hyderabad, Chennai, Kolkata & Rest of India still have “Plot/Residential Land” as their preferred choice,
followed by “Villa/ Row Houses”.
However, NRI respondents clearly want to invest in Apartment followed by “Villa/ Row Houses”.
                  A per survey, 45 percent respondents voted for Apartment as a their preferred property type to buy. Besides other
                    reasons, the result also indicates that most people don’t want to go through the hassle of building a house.
                      Apartment communities offer security and additional lifestyle facilities such as club house, swimming pool,
                      open spaces, gym, community halls etc.

 Key Reasons Holding Consumers Back while Buying Property

120%
100%
                 26%
                                  45%                          38%           45%
80%                                               56%                                                                  52%
                                                                                          72%              70%                      78%
60%              40%                                           21%           9%
                                  18%
40%                                               22%          10%                                                     17%
                                  19%                                                     11%               4%
                                                                                                            4%          4%
                 28%                                                         45%                                                     0%
20%                                               15%          31%                        9%               22%         26%          22%
                                  19%                                                     9%
                  7%                               7%                        0%                                                      0%
 0%
            Abroad (NRI)      Bangalore        Chennai     Hyderabad      Kolkata      Mumbai          National       Pune        Tier 3
                                                                                     Metropolitan    Capital Region
Key Reasons Holding Consumers Back                                                   Region (MMR)        (NCR)

              Job Uncertainty               Lack of Relevant Guidence       Lack of Transparency           Waiting for Prices to Come Down

 We all know that making a decision to buy/invest in a property is not an easy task and there are various major factors which holds
 consumers back, while buying a property.
 According to survey, more than half of the consumers throughout the cities are still “Waiting for property prices to come down”,
 whereas, “Job Uncertainty” & “Lack of transparency” were the second & third most important reasons to holding the consumers
 back in megacities like Pune, Hyderabad, NCR and Bangalore.
 On the other hand, NRI investors were highlighting the “Lack of transparency “ as the biggest factor with “Lack of relevant
 guidance” being the next important factor with 28 percent of votes followed by 26 percent expecting the “Price Correction”.

       A per survey, nearly 54 per cent votes cascaded towards “price drop” option. Interestingly, developer’s community have
                already picked the consumer’s nerves and have started attractive them with lucrative offers and deals.

                                                                         REAL ESTATE: CONSUMER OUTLOOK | 2017                 5
Preferred Stage of Buying Property?

100%              7%
                  0%                            11%           10%             9%                                              13%              11%
                                  14%           0%                                           19%             17%
                                                               7%                                                              4%              11%
                                   9%           15%                           18%             6%              4%                                0%
 80%             33%               5%                                                                        11%              13%
                                                              31%             9%             19%
 60%             13%
                                  47%           52%                                                                           48%              56%
                                                              28%             45%                            50%
 40%                                                                                         45%
                 47%
 20%                              24%                         24%
                                                22%                           18%                            17%              22%              22%
                                                                                             11%
  0%
            Abroad (NRI)      Bangalore      Chennai      Hyderabad        Kolkata       Mumbai       National             Pune              Tier 3
                                                                                       Metropolitan Capital Region
Preferred Stage of Buying?                                                             Region (MMR)     (NCR)

       Pre-Launch Property                               Ready to Move In Property                        Under Construction Property in Early Stage
       Under Construction Property in Mid Stage          Under Construction Property near to Completion

  Investment in property is an strategic step which hugely depends on the “Stage of Construction” in which you are buying a
  property which directly effects your budget. But, due to monumental construction delay cases and large number of early-
  launched properties going into litigation has made “Ready to Move In Property” a far more safer bet, among all Indian citizens for
  End-Use purpose.
  However, maximum chunk of NRI investors still prefers to invest in “Pre-Launch Property” & “Under-Construction Property in
  Early Stage” to reap the maximum monetary benefits.
  Moreover, a sizable section of prospective buyers from all over India who have investment on their minds, still prefers “Pre-
  Launch Property” & “Under-Construction Property in Early Stage” to maximize their ROI.

                           Survey results, clearly indicates the majority of consumer sentiments are with “Ready to Move In Property”
                           with 54 per cent votes.

Expected Return On Investment From Real Estate?
                                            Upto 10%     Between 11% to 20%      Between 21% to 30%        Over 30%
   100%             10%             12%           11%                         13%             9%            10%
                                                               19%                                                         26%
                    14%                                                                      11%                                            34%
                                    15%           21%                                                       18%
    80%                                                                       22%
                                                               17%
                                                                                                                           13%
                    29%                                                                      36%
    60%                             33%                                                                     28%
                                                  42%          36%            34%                                                           33%
                                                                                                                           35%
    40%
                                                                                                                                            11%
                    47%             40%                                                      44%            44%
    20%                                           26%          28%            31%                                          26%              22%

       0%
               Abroad (NRI)     Bangalore      Chennai     Hyderabad       Kolkata      Mumbai        National           Pune             Tier 3
                                                                                       Metropolitan    Capital
Expected ROI                                                                             Region     Region (NCR)
                                                                                         (MMR)
  As the real estate industry heading towards transparency and being more organized, today’s well-informed buyers’ expectation
  from realty investment has become more realistic. Similar to international investors in western countries, they no longer aspire
  for high returns from their property.

                    Overall, 32 per cent (majority) of the participants expect up to 10 per cent annual return from their real estate
                    investment. Considering the current market situation, annual returns in the
                    range of 9-14% are relatively healthy.

It is interesting to see that respondents in all Tier 3 cities, Pune & Hyderabad markets continue to remain too optimistic about
the high return on investment. This may also be due to the fact that the prevailing prices in these cities are relatively lesser than
their other metro counterparts.

                                                                         REAL ESTATE: CONSUMER OUTLOOK | 2017                         6
Effect of Demonetization on Property Prices - Will there be a drop in price due to demonetization?
In November 2016, the Indian government took a major step by Demonetizing the Rs. 500 & 1000 notes in order to remove black
money from the market. Real-Estate sector also got affected by this decision.
Property market in this duration was very dynamic with almost all the developers advertising their projects with lucrative offers to
attract the consumers. In an effort of providing a better deal, during the first quarter of the year 2017, developers joined their
hands with various financial institutions to offer affordable loans as well, and announced other schemes for helping buyers to take
better decisions.
It was a once in a lifetime opportunity for the buyers and the they reaped full benefit of the schemes offered by the builders and
developers.
Having said that, providing these attractive offers will just be a substitute of price decrease and another step to attract the
maximum consumers towards the industry.
Will there be a drop in price due to
demonetization?                                                           According to QuikrHomes Survey, majority of respondents are
                                                                          anticipating a drop in price due to demonetization, while 14 %
                                                                          not sure about the price drop.
  100%                                                                    A good 29% not at all expecting the price decrease due to
                                                                          demonetization.
   80%                                59%                 57%             NRI respondents have very strong feeling of price decrease
                                                                          with 92% votes cascaded in favor of the price decrease due to
   60%            92%                                                     demonetization. However, 59% respondents from top cities &
   40%                                13%                                 57% of tier 3 cities have the same feelings.
                                                          29%             Surprisingly, good 29% Tier 3 cities respondents not at all have
   20%                                28%                                 feeling of price dip . While, only 13% of Top cities respondents
                  8%                                      14%
    0%                                                                    voted in favor of no price change due to demonetization.
                                                                          A good 28% voters from Top cities are not sure about the price
           Abroad (NRI)           Top Cities            Tier 3
                                                                          drop followed by 14% Tier 3 cities respondents.
                                    India

                          MAYBE         NO        YES

                      According to QuikrHomes survey, overall 57% voters still have a hope of further decrease in prices due to
                      demonetization.

Expected price decrease in Real Estate due to Demonetization?

                                         Up to 10%        Between 11% to 20%   Over 20%      No Changes in Prices
100%         7%                                                                                   16%               13%
 90%                        26%                             31%         27%                                                 22%        23%
            27%                             33%                                     32%
 80%                                                                                              24%                       11%
 70%                                                        10%         9%                                          39%                19%
                            22%             7%                                                                              11%
 60%                                                                    18%         21%
                                            15%             17%
 50%                                                                                              36%                                  26%
 40%        59%             26%
                                                                                    26%                             30%
 30%                                                                                                                        56%
                                            45%             42%         46%
 20%                        26%                                                                   24%                                  32%
                                                                                    21%                             18%
 10%         7%
  0%
       Abroad (NRI)     Bangalore       Chennai         Hyderabad    Kolkata    Mumbai        National         Pune       Tier 3   Grand Total
                                                                               Metropolitan Capital Region
Expected price decrease?                                                         Region
                                                                                 (MMR)
                                                                                                (NCR)

Our analysis recoDemonetization makes a major impact here with majority of consumers expecting the price correction alongwith
the much needed transparency in the real estate market.
About 32 per cent of the respondents expected the decrease of “Up to 10 per cent” prices followed by 26 per cent expecting
“Between 11% to 20% price decrease“, whereas 21 per cent respondents expected “Over 20% price decrease”.
Surprisingly, a good 23% voters not at all expecting the price decrease as per demonetization.
mmends that respondents looking for property in Luxury Segment can see a higher price correction in a short term.

                         Majority of respondents are expecting “Up to 10 Per cent” price correction due to demonetization.

                                                                        REAL ESTATE: CONSUMER OUTLOOK | 2017                   7
Welcome To RERA
In the year 2017-2018, RERA will be the biggest game changer for the real-estate industry, a revolutionary step that challenged to
change the whole system. RERA promises to help the Indian Real Estate sector appear much more stronger, transparent and
capable of prolonged and sustained growth. RERA effect also created a hype amongst the property seeker to know it’s effect on
real-estate sector. To palpate the consumer’s nerves, we posed a few questions in front of them & the answers were a mix-bag of
opinions.
Do You Know about Real Estate Regulatory Act (RERA)

       100%
        90%
        80%
        70%
        60%
        50%
        40%
        30%
        20%
        10%
         0%
              Abroad (NRI)   Bangalore       Chennai         Hyderabad          Kolkata     Mumbai        National       Pune          Tier 3
                                                                                           Metropolitan   Capital
                                                        NO        YES                        Region     Region (NCR)
                                                                                             (MMR)

  RERA’s popularity amongst the respondents was low wherein a whopping 51% of the respondents were unaware of RERA
  with only 49% of the respondents being well aware about it.
                         Surprisingly, 100% respondents from tier three cities were unaware about RERA.`

Will RERA Make Real-Estate Sector More Transparent and Organize?
The government presented the RERA(Real Estate Regulatory Authority) Bill in the Parliament with the intention that real estate
transactions can be regulated with proper rules and regulations. The bill hopes to bring in the much-needed transparency in
property dealings through provisions for registration of real estate projects and agents with the Real Estate Regulatory Authority;
functions and duties of promoters and agents; rights and duties of allottees etc. It will lead to establishment of Real Estate
Regulatory Authority and Real Estate Appellate Tribunal in every State for registration of all real estate projects and for speedier
dispute resolution respectively. Stringent penalties have been sought to be imposed on habitual offenders. This, it is believed, will
act as a deterrent for those few erring builders who bring bad name to the developer community at large. However, some experts
expressed certain apprehensions about it saying that it will add another layer of bureaucracy in already heavy-burdened realty
sector. Some stressed on the single-window regulatory mechanism for developers and builders while few state that it should
ensure that real estate transactions are carried out in a just and equitable manner.

Will RERA Make Real-Estate Sector More Transparent and Organize?

          120%
          100%
           80%                                         50%                                60%                                    60%
                                     76%                                  75%                         78%          80%
           60%        100%
           40%                                         20%                                 0%                                     0%
                                     5%                30%                13%             40%          6%           0%           40%
           20%                       19%                                  13%                         17%          20%
            0%         0%
                 Abroad (NRI)    Bangalore       Chennai           Hyderabad         Kolkata     Mumbai        National         Pune
                                                                                                Metropolitan   Capital
                                               Maybe         No     Yes                           Region     Region (NCR)
                                                                                                  (MMR)

 A majority, 74% of respondents showed positive response towards the implementation of RERA which is expected to make real
 estate sector transparent & organized.
 But, a sizable chunk of 21% respondents think that this act “Might Help” and a small 5% showed low hopes towards it’s impact on
 making the Real Estate Sector sector organized.

     Interestingly, NRI respondents showed maximum faith towards RERA and it’s subsequent effects on Real Estate Sector.

                                                                                REAL ESTATE: CONSUMER OUTLOOK | 2017                            8
ABOUT QUIKRHOMES
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 Authors:
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  Manager | Research & Data                 Senior Associate | Research                                     Senior Manager | Research &
  Services                                  meruga.pallavi@quikr.com                                        Content
  sumeet.negi@quikr.com                                                                                     abhai.m@quikr.com
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  prashant.thakur@quikr.com

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