The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero

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The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
The eCommerce
Toy Story
How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market

                                    T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y   1
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
Contents

•   Part 1: The state of play for eCommerce                                            What you’ll learn
                                                                                       •   What’s driving toy category growth online
•   Part 2: What makes Amazon such a disruptor?
                                                                                       •   How doing business on Amazon is different than brick and mortar
•   Part 3: How to accelerate your toy sales online
                                                                                       •   The importance of promotional events like Black Friday and
•   5 key takeaways                                                                        Cyber Monday

                                                                                       •   Where you should focus efforts to fast track your eCommerce
                                                                                           performance

                     About the author
                     Andrew supports Profitero’s customers, working closely with
                     them to drive their eCommerce performance across all areas
                     of the digital shelf. Prior to Profitero, Andrew spent 13 years
                     in Category Management and Shopper Marketing roles
Andrew Pearl
  VP Strategy &      at Mars, McCormick and Tata Global Beverages. Andrew
Insight, Profitero   is a frequent speaker at industry events, including Kantar
                     Consulting and IGD, and his insights are regularly featured in
                     retail industry press.

                                                                                                                                                             2
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
Introduction                                                             Top retail destination for U.S. shoppers who purchased
                                                                         toys from Toys “R” Us in last 12 months

                                                                         Source: Profitero consumer survey, May 2019; n = 1,000 per market

The toy retail landscape changed dramatically in
                                                                                         Walmart                                               43%
2018 with industry giant Toys “R” Us announcing it
was closing all of its stores. While a long languishing                                  Amazon                                          33%
company, its sudden exit from the market left a
vacuum in the toys & games market — one that looks                                         Target                     17%
set to be increasingly filled online.
                                                                           Specialty toy store           6%
eMarketer predicts that eCommerce toy sales will
grow from 31.4% of U.S. retail sales in 2019 to nearly                            Other retailer    1%
half (47.9%) by 2023 — an increase influenced largely
by the closure of Toys “R” Us.

Amazon is now well-positioned to take advantage
of the $12 billion in annual sales that Toys “R” Us                      Top retail destination for U.K. shoppers who purchased

once generated. A Profitero survey conducted in May                      toys from Toys “R” Us in last 12 months

2019, surveying 1,000 respondents in the U.S. and
                                                                         Source: Profitero consumer survey, May 2019; n = 1,000 per market
U.K., reveals that Amazon is second only to Walmart
as the top destination for U.S. shoppers who had
bought from Toys “R” Us in the previous 12 months;
                                                                                         Amazon                                                40%
for Toys “R” Us shoppers in the U.K., Amazon is now                                         Argos                                   27%
viewed as the #1 choice for toys.

This playbook outlines strategies and tactics                                      Smyths Toys                                 23%
designed to help toys & games manufacturers win
in this new Amazon-dominated toy market, and
                                                                                   Supermarket           5%
guidance to help you prioritize the levers you need to                            Other retailer      3%
pull to succeed on the digital shelf.
                                                                           Specialty toy store      1%

                                                          T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                     3
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
PART 1.
The state of play for eCommerce
“The biggest thing we felt with Toys “R” Us being removed from the
 market was shelf space. It really was the only national retailer that
 we could showcase the range of products that Playmobil has to offer.
What does this do? It actually pushes customers online where the
 range is more comprehensive.”

           Alf Blohm
           Sales Manager,
           Playmobil

                            T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y       4
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
eCommerce growth is outpacing brick-and-mortar by 3:1

According to Euromonitor, the only channels with           U.S. toy sales by channel share (2007 - 2022)
positive share growth in the last 10 years for U.S. toy
                                                           Source: Euromonitor International
sales have been eCommerce and hypermarkets (aka
supercenters in the U.S.), highlighting the importance
                                                                  eCommerce                  Mass merchandisers          Department stores          Toy & hobby          Hypermarkets
of price and product variety when deciding where to
shop for toys.

Analyst firm UBS suggests that online sales of                    40%

toys are growing 2-3x faster than brick and mortar,
while eMarketer forecasts that the toys & hobby
                                                                  30%
category will see a 23% growth on Amazon in
2019. Euromonitor’s analysis further predicts
that eCommerce will be the only channel to see
continued toys sales growth through 2022.                 Share   20%

                                                                  10%

                                                                  0%

                                                                        2007                        2010                2013                 2016                 2019                  2022

                                                                               T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                                          5
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
3 in 4 U.S. online shoppers start their search for toys on Amazon

The results of Profitero’s consumer survey reveals that   When shopping for toys online, where do you first start your product search?
toy shoppers have largely switched to a digital-first
                                                          Source: Profitero consumer survey, May 2019; n = 1,000 per market
mindset when shopping the category:
                                                              U.S.        U.K.
•   Amazon is the go-to destination for consumers
    at the start of their purchase journey — whether
                                                                              Amazon
                                                                                                                                                   77%
    that’s online or in-store. When shopping for toys
                                                                                                                                            70%
    online, 77% of U.S. consumers and 70% of U.K.
    consumers start their search for toys on Amazon.
                                                                               Google
                                                                                                                    18%
                                                                                                                          24%
•   Online is the primary way shoppers are buying
    toys today: more than two-thirds of U.K.                                                     2%
                                                                 Other online retailer
    consumers (70%) and more than half of U.S.                                                   2%
    consumers (56%) say online is their preferred
                                                                                                  3%
    channel to shop.                                             Other search engine
                                                                                                   4%
•   We expected a large number of shoppers to
    research products online but then purchase in-
    store, particularly for a category like toys, where   Which of the following best describes your shopping behavior for toys?
    kids and parents alike may want to try it before
                                                          Source: Profitero consumer survey, May 2019; n = 1,000 per market;
    they buy it. But, this doesn’t seem to be the case.   Note: Respondents could only select 1 shopping preference
    Our survey shows just 16% of U.S. consumers
                                                              U.S.        U.K.
    and 14% of U.K. consumers prefer to research a
    toy online before buying in a physical store.
                                                               Prefer to shop for toys                                                51%
The ability to see, touch and play with a toy before                most often online                                                             62%
buying is clearly less important versus the online
benefits of convenience, price and assortment —                Prefer to shop for toys                                          28%
                                                                  most often in-store                                17%
and therefore less of a differentiator and protective
moat for brick-and-mortar retailers. It could be one        Prefer to research online                                16%
of the reasons why Toys “R” Us lost influence, and a           but purchase in-store                                14%
warning sign to other brick-and-mortar-only retailers.
                                                           Prefer to research in-store               5%
                                                                 but purchase online                   8%

                                                                           T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                        6
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
Amazon is the beast driving toy category growth online

As with nearly every other category it has disrupted,       Amazon dominates online sales of 4 major toy brands (based on 2017 online sales)
Amazon holds the lion’s share of online toy sales.
                                                            Source: Jumpshot Inc.
Analysis from Jumpshot across four major toy brands
— Nintendo, LEGO, Hasbro and Mattel — reveals                  Amazon               Toys “R” Us                 Walmart
that Amazon captured more than 83% of online sales
for each of these brands in 2017.                                92%
                                                                                                          89%
Jumpshot’s Retail Winners, Losers and Amazon                                                                                     85%              83%
report shows that Amazon continues to dominate
the toys category online, representing 81% of all U.S.
online transactions in 2018.

In the U.K., Argos is currently the top toy retailer with
a 12% market share, followed by Smyths and Amazon,
both holding a market share of 9.6%. GlobalData
predicts Amazon will soon overtake Argos as the #1
toy retailer in the next five years due to its wide
range, low prices, and fast and affordable delivery
options.                                                                                                                               13%
                                                                                                                                                        11%
                                                                                 6%                                    5%   6%                                6%
                                                                         2%                                                                  2%

                                                                              T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                               7
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
“With more options than physical stores can provide, and
 customer reviews to help narrow those options, people
 are choosing the convenience of digital commerce
for their toy shopping — especially when prices are
 competitive and shipping is low-cost. While retailers of
 all stripes will have opportunities in this channel, it is
 Amazon that is best positioned.”
Source: Euromonitor as quoted in Global Toy News, December 2018

                                       T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y   8
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
PART 2.
What makes Amazon such a disruptor?
Nearly everything about Amazon — from its endless assortment and
ultra-competitive pricing to dynamic merchandising and next-day
Prime delivery — is quite different than any other retailer you’ve ever
encountered.

Doing business on the Amazon platform really does require a new way
of thinking to succeed.

On the following pages, we uncover what really makes Amazon such a
disruptor for the toys category.

                            T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y        9
The eCommerce Toy Story - How to win in the new Amazon-dominated toy market - Profitero
1. Shoppers have (a lot) more choice on Amazon

Traditional retailers, such as Walmart or Argos,
provide a limited assortment of products for the
shopper to choose from. If we take the example of a
popular toy keyword such as “construction toys” on
Amazon, the search results return more than 50,000
listings. This compares to the 13 SKUs available in a
local B&M Walmart store in Rogers, Arkansas.

What this means is your list of competitors multiplies
exponentially on Amazon. It also means that
competitors winning on Amazon may not be the
same ones you’re competing against in traditional
retail. Increasingly, they may also be an Amazon
private label brand, for example, this AmazonBasics
toy storage organizer.

So, cracking the code on competing with the long tail
— e.g., the importance of search placement, winning
page 1, and other execution-oriented tactics covered
in Part 3 of this playbook — becomes increasingly
paramount.                                               “Amazon is a very different retailer. They don’t curate a
                                                         range to present to the consumer — they allow the consumer
                                                         to browse the full product range and make their own
                                                         decisions on what they are going to purchase. On one hand,
                                                         that’s great if you’ve got Playmobil fans who want to easily
                                                         go and find those products. However, the competition is
                                                         much higher for consumers that are simply browsing.”

                                                                        Alf Blohm
                                                                        Sales Manager,
                                                                        Playmobil

                                                                   T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y               10
PR O T I P:

“How can I tell who my serious competitors are?”

Not every competitor in the long tail of Amazon is a
threat. Some ways to prioritize where to focus:

 1                                           2                                      3                         4

Look at the biggest                         Track Fast Movers. These              Always be aware of          Look at who is bidding
brands in terms of sales                    are the ASINs that are                the ASINs that are          for your own keywords.
& share of sales in your                    moving up fastest on                  showing up on page 1        These brands are clearly
category and within                         the list of best selling              on search results for the   gunning for you and
those brands identify                       items in your category                top keywords in your        likely competitors to
their top selling ASINs.                    (Profitero offers free                category.                   watch.
Which products are                          monthly reports to help
growing faster than yours                   you track them).
at the moment?

                                                             T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                      11
2. If you’re not online, smaller challenger brands will eat your lunch

One of the most common comments we hear from
our clients is: “Who are these challenger brands
selling online? I just don’t recognize them from the
brick-and-mortar world.”

That’s because the virtual aisles online are indeed
endless. Low barriers to entry for selling on Amazon
empower small brands to reach more shoppers and
defy the distribution moats large brands enjoy at
brick-and-mortar stores. These challenger brands
could easily steal away market share and gain ground
if you’re not there — or even if you are, and not
paying attention.

There’s no way around it, you will find a proliferation
of small challenger brands and low-priced imports
making a play for your category on Amazon — this is
very different than brick and mortar.

This example shows two challengers appearing on
page 1 of Amazon’s search results for “toys.”

It also underscores the importance that (1) not only
do you need to make your products available on
Amazon, but (2) you must clearly define your value
proposition in light of the increased competition, and
(3) figure out how to optimize your digital shelf so
shoppers can find and choose your brand and not
the competitor’s.

                                                          T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y   12
3. The Amazon Marketplace reacts quickly to market demand

Amazon’s third-party (3P) marketplace is a dynamic
beast and opens up a whole new set of challenges.
Take the example on the right in the U.K. — the
classic game of Monopoly. Besides the product being
sold directly (1P) on Amazon.co.uk, there are more
than 40 different 3P sellers offering the same item.
Consequently, on any given day, one of them can
drop the price to gain the Buy Box and steal away
some of your sales.

Inventory issues like out-of-stocks are also a huge
deal on Amazon, playing right into the hands of 3P
sellers. If you run into stock issues (which frequently
happens on Amazon), there’s likely a 3P marketplace
seller waiting to pick up the slack. This underscores
the importance of having the ability to regularly
and routinely monitor your assortment and the
marketplace situation for your products. If you don’t,
you’re in danger of losing control of your distribution
and sales on Amazon.

It’s equally important to pay heed to the risk of
counterfeit toy products. Inc. magazine reported
a story of a fake popular child’s pacifier, the
Mustachifier, which was being manufactured in China
and sold to U.S. consumers via Amazon’s third-
party marketplace, is a case in point. The genuine
manufacturer was only alerted to the counterfeit
product by consumer reviews where the product
was noted to be defective. They alerted the issue
to Amazon to remove the products but would have
been blind if not for careful monitoring of consumer
feedback.

                                                          T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y   13
4. Marketing & merchandising dynamics change daily on Amazon

As an online business, Amazon’s competitive and           Example of a product designated as an Add-on Item by Amazon
marketing dynamics change more quickly compared
to a brick-and-mortar retailer.

For example:

In a brick-and-mortar store, promotions have to be
planned months in advance. But Amazon has its
own advertising program built into its platform that
virtually allows brands to sponsor keywords and
bump up their search position, and sales, at will. You
can run a promotion or drop a coupon and affect a
change on Amazon anytime you want… but guess
what? So can your competitors!

Unlike brick-and-mortar retailers, Amazon has the
ability to de-list products overnight if they become
unprofitable to ship, which is known as CRaP (Can’t
Realize any Profit), even if they sell at high volumes.
Amazon also can designate items as “Add-ons”
or “Prime Exclusive,” reducing their visibility and,
ultimately, sales. In fact, we saw one Profitero
customer lose 20% of sales in one week due to some
top-selling products becoming Prime Exclusive.

These kinds of ongoing dynamic activities can
massively swing sales and market share away from —
or toward — your favor.

You need to be on your game 24/7. And most
importantly, you need analytics to help you
understand which factors are moving your sales &
share up and down most. Otherwise, how can you
prioritize where to focus?

                                                                      T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y            14
5. Holiday is make-or-break for toys online

Many toy purchases are event-driven, with the all-        So, just as in the brick-and-mortar world, be sure          Of the categories we studied across Black Friday
important holiday season delivering the lion’s share      to stay on top of your category’s online seasonal           and Cyber Monday 2018 on Amazon.com, the toys
of sales for the category. Amazon announced that          promotions, and the magnitude of online traffic             & games category recorded the highest sales spike
customers worldwide ordered more than 18 million          events like Cyber Monday.                                   on Cyber Monday: +3.4x the category average (index
toys on Black Friday and Cyber Monday combined in                                                                     of 343). But toys had a strong showing on Black
                                                          This chart illustrates the level of sales spikes the toys
2018. Profitero analysis reveals that more than half of                                                               Friday too, with unit sales up +2.3x. On Amazon U.K.,
                                                          & games category can expect on Amazon.com during
all toy sales on Amazon — both in the U.S. and U.K.                                                                   Black Friday was actually the biggest selling day of
                                                          the Q4 holiday season.
— happen in Q4.                                                                                                       2018 for the toys category.

Amazon.com in U.S. — Toys & games sales index 2018

Source: Profitero; Time period: Jan 2018 - Dec 2018

        Index of 100 = average sales

                                                                         T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                              15
5. Holiday is make-or-break for toys online (continued)

Toy brands with highest Q4 2018 sales index — Amazon.com

Source: Profitero; Index of 100 = toys & games December 2018 Q4 sales
Tier 1: Brands that make the top 25% of the sales
Tier 2: Brands that make the second top 25% of the sales                                                                     Tier 2 brands

                                         Tier 1 brands

                                                                                                            475
                                                                                                                       408       404
                                                                                                                                             305   288
                      176              168              159             142   140
      100

Toys & games
  category

Toy brands with highest Q4 2018 sales index — Amazon U.K.

Source: Profitero; Index of 100 = toys & games December 2018 Q4 sales
Tier 1: Brands that make the top 25% of the sales
Tier 2: Brands that make the second top 25% of the sales

                                                                                                                             Tier 2 brands
                                         Tier 1 brands

                                                                                                            324
                                                                                                                       249       243         225
                      152                                                                                                                          210
                                       147              134             132   128
      100

Toys & games
  category

                                                                              T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                     16
“For the toys category, it is imperative to have a
 promotional calendar in place. There are so many
 holidays beyond the obvious ones per marketplace that
you could benefit from greatly by being more aggressive
with pay-per-click and promotions.”

        Stefan Jordev
        Advertising Director,
        Bobsled Marketing

                                T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y   17
6. Should you play on Prime Day?

While not nearly as important as Cyber Monday              Prime Day sales lift vs. average daily sales of previous week
or Black Friday is to the category, it’s still worth
                                                           Source: Profitero; 2018 Prime Day sales indexed vs daily sales of previous week
considering Amazon Prime Day — a manufactured
sales event from Amazon which many consider a
mid-year sales-boosting opportunity during a               Amazon U.S.                                                               Amazon U.K.

typically slow time on the retail sales calendar.

Although the sales lift we saw on Prime Day 2018
                                                                     Electronics                                        215%             Electronics                       298%
may not be as dramatic as some other categories
                                                                     Tools / DIY                                       200%                  Grocery                153%
such as electronics or tools & DIY, the toys category
still saw a sizeable increase. Profitero analysis of the                 Beauty                                       186%                   Beauty          104%
toys category reveals a 52% sales uplift on Amazon
U.S. and 83% sales uplift on Amazon U.K. compared                          Baby                                  167%                    Tools / DIY     90%
to the average daily sales of the previous week, and
was the top-selling day of the year (off-season) in
                                                           Health & household                                  152%                   Toys & games      83%
both markets.
                                                                   Pet supplies                             134%                        Pet supplies   58%
What’s more, a Profitero survey we conducted of
Prime members who plan to shop deals on Prime Day                       Grocery                        108%
2019 reveals that 40% of U.S. consumers and 39%
of U.K. consumers plan to purchase toys & games
                                                                 Toys & games                52%
during this year’s event.

                                                                             T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                         18
6. Should you play on Prime Day? (continued)

Promotions can certainly pay off big for brands that    The halo effect of a Prime Day promotion
participate — it’s not uncommon for brands running
                                                        Source: Profitero; Time period: July 9, 2018 – July 24, 2018
promotions to double or triple (or even more) their
sales versus their average daily sales.

Let’s look at a specific product example where we
saw this happen: The Fisher-Price Rainforest Music &
Lights Deluxe Gym typically sees average daily sales
of $2,237 on Amazon. On Prime Day 2018, sales
increased to $46,881 — a staggering 2,000x of the
product’s average daily sales. The halo effect lasted
several days afterwards, with the product seeing                 Average                                            Average
average daily sales of $9,404 in the week following             daily sales:                                       daily sales:
Prime Day.                                                     $2,237                                              $9,404

                                                        7/9                              7/16 7/17                                7/24

                                                                          T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                         19
PART 3.
How to accelerate your sales online
There are many things you could do to accelerate your sales on
Amazon, but the real question is: What should you do?

This is exactly the question we set out to answer at Profitero.

Using our daily updating, item-level view of Amazon sales & share, we
examined the impact of more than 10,000 unique change events across
the digital shelf, spanning 7,200 products across categories. Change
events were things like updating content with specific types of images
or increasing the number of reviews. We then ranked each change
event from first to last according to what drove the most sales for the
products studied.

Over the following pages, we discuss the key digital shelf drivers
in more detail to help you deliver a sales-prioritized approach to
eCommerce optimization.

                            T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y        20
“Amazon is a very different retailer to work with, and it
 changes the dynamic. What we become is a buyer of
 Amazon services to meet the strategic requirements
 that we have as a brand. How do we defend the brand?
 How do we go after new customers from other brands?
 And how do we best showcase our product within the
 platform? Amazon will sell you all manner of services
 in order to do that. The discipline is actually picking the
 right ones for you at any given time.”

         Alf Blohm
         Sales Manger,
         Playmobil

                         T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y   21
Step 1: Address availability issues

Product availability should be a top priority for all
manufacturers on Amazon and on every other online
                                                           Assortment
retail site. Monitoring out-of-stocks and fixing                                                                                                  Search
                                                          & Availability
inventory issues is a quick and cost-effective path                                                     1.                         2.
to boosting eCommerce sales.                                                                        Availability                 Traffic
                                                            Pricing &                                                SALES &
Remember: It doesn’t matter how good your content                                                                                                 Category
                                                           Profitability                                              SHARE                      Placement
is in driving traffic to a product page if there’s not
enough stock on hand to make the sale.

Using an eCommerce performance analytics solution
                                                           1P/3P Sales
like Profitero makes it easy for brand manufacturers
                                                            Analytics
to routinely monitor out-of-stock (OOS) rates across                                                                    3.
an entire product portfolio — and oftentimes                                                                        Conversion
pinpoint the root cause of out-of-stock issues.
Armed with these kinds of data-driven insights and
metrics, you can (1) take action to remedy problems                                                  Ratings &       Product      Pricing &
under your control, and (2) be better positioned to                                                  Reviews         Content     Profitability
negotiate inventory and supply terms with Amazon.

                                                         Profitero’s sales-prioritized approach to eCommerce optimization:
                                                         To maximize online sales, brands must ensure they are optimizing
                                                         the key levers of availability, traffic and conversion.

                                                                           T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                            22
First things first: Be in stock when shoppers look to buy

A surprisingly large amount of online sales are lost         Toys brand OOS rate & opportunity by retailer
every day due to products being out-of-stock (OOS)
                                                             Source: Profitero. *Assuming other retailers represent 20% of Amazon’s sales.
when shoppers go to buy. As a brand, you may be
doing a terrific job driving interest and traffic to your
product pages, but then you fail to convert at the                                                                                27%
critical final moment because the retailer doesn’t           Brand OOS
have enough inventory in-stock. On Amazon, this              rate (%)                                    5%
                                                                                                                                             $178,256
usually means a third-party (3P) seller is instead
getting credit for the sale.

The key is to fix OOS so you’re not leaving money on
the table. We’ve seen customers increase monthly                                                                               $92,556
sales in the neighborhood of 3% - 5%, on average, by                                                $85,700
proactively sharing daily availability data with retailers
                                                             Opportunity
to up their inventory levels.
                                                             by retailer
Consider this example, which demonstrates just how           (3-month period ending
big the lost opportunity can be. The chart shows             March 31, 2019)

the sales that a leading toy brand lost in a recent                                                   Amazon                   Target.com      Total
3-month period due to out-of-stocks at Amazon and
Target.com. This toy vendor lost close to $200,000 in
sales in a single quarter due to availability issues!

But with an eCommerce analytics solution in place
that easily and cost-effectively detects out-of-stock
issues early on, the vendor could have acted quickly
to increase retailer inventory levels or develop a
back-stop fulfillment solution.

                                                                               T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                   23
Stay on top of pricing to protect availability

It’s clear that dropping the price can have a significant   First movers and followers put pressure on price
impact on a product’s conversion rate — when the
                                                            Source: Profitero; Timeline: November 14, 2018 - November 21, 2018
price drops, sales increase. But this can also lead to
availability issues, underscoring the importance of             Amazon 1P               Amazon 3P seller
monitoring price drops on a regular basis.

Take this example. Amazon 1P reduced its price on
                                                            $40
this particular toy product in January 2018. The third-
party (3P) seller subsequently lowered its higher price                                                                              3    Amazon 1P goes OOS and
to match Amazon’s new selling price. After a few days,                                                                                    3P seller increases price
                                                            $30
however, Amazon 1P went out of stock as a result of
                                                                                                                      2   3P seller on Amazon
the lower price. The 3P seller then took advantage
                                                                                                                          matches the price
of the situation by increasing the price back to the        $20
original higher price point.                                                 1     Amazon 1P
                                                                                   lowers the price

                                                            $10

        PR O T I P:
                                                             $0
        One way to fight back against                             11/14              11/15                11/16       11/17         11/18          11/19          11/20   11/21
        downward price pressures is by
        implementing a MAP policy with all
        your retailers and distributors. Using
        analytics like Profitero’s, you can track
        if and when these policies are being
        violated.

                                                                            T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                                24
Step 2: To boost traffic, findability is fundamental

Once your product is available, maximize traffic                        Baby Einstein — Increase in sales driven by an increase in traffic
opportunities next — particularly on products that are                  & conversion during Black Friday and Cyber Monday, 2018
your “unsung heroes” — those products that convert
                                                                        Source: Profitero, AMZ Maximizer; Timeline: November 10, 2018 - November 30, 2018
well with shoppers but are currently receiving low
levels of traffic.
                                                                                   Sales           Conversion rate (%)                 Glance views
The following example shows the impact of increased
traffic (glance views) and conversion on sales for this
Baby Einstein product on Amazon.com during Black                                  80,000                                                                                                              60%

Friday and Cyber Monday 2018.

Understand that findability is fundamental. That is,
                                                                                  60,000                                                                                                              45%
where your products rank in search results on retailers’

                                                           Sales & glance views

                                                                                                                                                                                                            Conversion rate
sites directly impacts your eCommerce success
online. If a shopper can’t find your product, they can’t
                                                                                  40,000                                                                                                              30%
buy your product.

Search is also a driver of the now-famous “flywheel
effect” at Amazon and other online retailers: products                            20,000                                                                                                              15%
that place well in search results tend to sell more, and
products that sell more tend to place better in search
results. Success breeds success, creating a moat for                                   0                                                                                                              0%

competitors and rewarding those that move early and                                        11/10      11/12        11/14        11/16      11/18      11/20   11/22   11/24   11/26   11/28   11/30
decisively to win.

                                                                                              T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                                         25
If you’re not on page 1, you’re basically invisible

Page placement is the most critical performance         Sales lift for products moving organically onto page 1 of search results
metric. 70% of shoppers never click past page 1. So,
                                                        Source: Profitero
your first goal in Search should be to increase your
share of page 1 placement for prioritized general                                                                                     +152%
keywords in your category — and your own brand
keywords relevant to your highest-potential products.
Larger teams or those working with an agency may
                                                                                                                +100%
also want to tackle more advanced opportunities, like
                                                                   +84%
sponsoring competitors’ brand keywords.

Our research shows that winning page 1 placement
for top keywords can double sales. This chart shows a
product moving from page 2 to the bottom of page 1
for a top keyword yields a +84% sales lift.

                                                          Products moving to the                      Products moving to the   Products moving to the
                                                            BOTTOM of page 1                            MIDDLE of page 1           TOP of page 1

                                                                                                     Top search keywords

                                                                            T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                      26
Sponsor your own keywords, or someone else will

We covered the benefits of moving up to page 1,          Toys & games popular keywords
but fair warning: an opposite effect in sales loss can
                                                         Source: Profitero, Amazon;
occur if you drop off page 1. This means owning your     Branded keywords on Amazon.com, December 2018              60% of the 100 most
branded keywords should be an integral part of your
sponsorship strategy — especially given that 60% of                                                                 popular search terms in
                                                         Branded                               General
the top 100 most popular search terms in Amazon’s                                                                   Amazon’s Toys & Games
toys & games category are branded.                       lego                                  toys
                                                                                                                    category are branded
                                                                                                                    keywords
                                                         lol surprise dolls                    squishies

                                                         melissa and doug                      drone

                                                         nerf guns                             remote control car

                                                         barbie                                board games

                                                         hot wheels                            puzzles for adults

                                                         funko pop                             kids toys

                                                         paw patrol toys                       stocking stuffers

                                                         pokemon cards                         baby toys

                                                         transformers toys                     girls toys

                                                                           T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                             27
Sponsor your own keywords, or someone else will (continued)

Let’s take a look at a few examples:                     Sponsored share of page 1 on Amazon (selected keywords)

On the left, we find LEGO 100% defending its             Source: Profitero; Time period: April 2, 2019 - May 23, 2019
position on page 1 by sponsoring its own brand
keyword.                                                                    Keyword: Lego                                Keyword: Barbie

In the example on the right, Mattel is sponsoring just
39% of keywords containing the brand name “Barbie”
— while competitors are sponsoring the rest (61%).
This results in Mattel-owned Barbie products being
pushed further down page 1. Worse yet, what if they                                                                     Competitors: 61%
got pushed off page 1 completely? That could have a
disastrous sales effect.
                                                                            LEGO: 100%

                                                                                                                          Barbie: 39%

                                                                           T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                          28
Sponsor your own keywords, or someone else will (continued)

Another area to consider sponsoring is keywords by       Popular age-oriented keywords                                     Share of page 1 sponsored results on Amazon
age group. This example shows the share of page 1                                                                          keyword: “toys for 7 year old boys”
                                                         Source: Profitero, Amazon;
sponsored results for the keyword “toys for 7 year old   Non-branded keywords on Amazon.com, December 2018
                                                                                                                           Source: Profitero; Time period: March 2019
boys” on Amazon.com.

                                                         Toys & games                                                                LEGO                               36%

                                                         toys for 1 year old                   2 year old boy toys                   Force1               10%
                                                         toys for 3 year old boys              games for kids 8-12
                                                                                                                                 IQ Builder            8%
                                                         puzzles for kids ages 4-8             crafts for kids ages 8-12

                                                         toys for 2 year old boy               toys for 1 year old girl           USA Toyz            7%
                                                         games for kids ages 4-8               toys for 7 year old boys
                                                                                                                           Building Blocks           5%

                                                         “An interesting place to start your keyword
                                                         research, which is unique to the toy category,
                                                         is the age restriction label on your products.
                                                         We’ve seen so much potential around keywords
                                                         such as ‘toys for toddlers,’ ‘toys for 2 year old
                                                         boys,’ ‘girl toys 2-4,’ etc.”

                                                                               Stefan Jordev
                                                                               Advertising Director,
                                                                               Bobsled Marketing

                                                                         T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                               29
Stay a step ahead: Put a scorecard in place

The keyword search examples on the previous page       Example scorecard — Amazon placement
underscore the importance of having an analytics
                                                       Source: Profitero
solution in place to help you monitor which of your
competitors are targeting your products, and when
                                                       Toys — Amazon share of page 1                                Share of top 3 spots
they’re doing it.
                                                       5 high frequency non-branded keywords                        5 high frequency keywords
Here is an example of a scorecard you should be
                                                       Time period: March 2019
regularly receiving and reviewing to help monitor
what’s happening with keyword search. With this
kind of data at your disposal, you can easily see
who’s winning vs. losing keyword search, and                                                                             15%                         16%
then act accordingly — whether that’s focusing on
improving organic search or putting more skin in the
                                                                                                                                                                             15%
sponsorship, e.g., Amazon Advertising, game.
                                                                                                                         10%                         11%
                                                                                                                                                                              7%
                                                                                                                          9%                         10%
                                                                                                                                                                              7%

                                                                                                                        Spot 1                      Spot 2                  Spot 3

                                                                                                                       Fisher-Price               Fisher-Price              Vtech

                                                                                                                       Iplay, Ilearn              Little Tikes              Little Tikes

                                                                                                                       Vtech                      Vtech                     Gund

                                                          Vtech                        Infantino                    Keywords (ranked by search frequency):
                                                          Fisher-Price                 Bright Starts                toys, kids toys, baby toys, toddler toys, infant toys

                                                          Baby Einstein                Munchkin

                                                          Little Tikes                 LeapFrog

                                                          Sassy                        All other

                                                          Lamaze

                                                                           T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                                          30
Step 3: Optimize conversion

Now that you’re getting enough traffic, it’s time to
boost conversion — ensuring your product pages will
                                                            Assortment
convert browsers into buyers.                                                                                                                      Search
                                                           & Availability
                                                                                                         1.                         2.
To boost conversion, start by identifying products in
                                                                                                     Availability                 Traffic
your portfolio with significant conversion upside (i.e.,
those getting high traffic but have sub-par conversion       Pricing &                                                SALES &
                                                                                                                                                   Category
                                                            Profitability                                              SHARE                      Placement
rates). You can do this via analytics like those
provided by Profitero, which help you measure the
conversion rates for your individual product pages.
                                                           1P/3P Sales
At the same time, be sure you’re not wasting time
                                                            Analytics
and money enhancing content for products that                                                                            3.
have other fundamental issues, i.e., low traffic and                                                                 Conversion
low conversion due to out of stocks or pricing issues.
Fix those problems first before investing more on
content.                                                                                              Ratings &       Product      Pricing &
                                                                                                      Reviews         Content     Profitability

                                                                            T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                            31
Step 3: Optimize conversion (continued)

Once you’ve identified products with significant        Importance factors when shopping for toys online (rated extremely important / important)
conversion upside, focus on improving product
                                                        Source: Profitero consumer survey, May 2019; n = 1,000 for each market
content and then Ratings & Reviews for those
products. Assuming your products already get                U.S.        U.K.

enough traffic, visual content (images, video, and
enhanced or A+ content) correlate strongly with            Price / promotion
                                                                                                                                                             87%
improved conversion rates. Profitero’s survey reveals                                                                                                     82%

that after price, detailed product descriptions and
                                                        Detailed description
                                                                                                                                                         85%
product photos are deemed the most important                                                                                                          80%
factors when shopping for toys online.
                                                             Product photos
                                                                                                                                                           84%
                                                                                                                                                     79%

                                                           Ratings & reviews
                                                                                                                                                    76%
                                                                                                                                              68%

                                                               Brand name /                                                                   68%
                                                             specific product                                                           56%

                                                               Product video
                                                                                                                                  48%
                                                                                                                  32%

                                                              In-store pickup
                                                                                                                                 46%
                                                                                                                          40%

                                                                         T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                    32
“As the landscape evolves, the lines between in-store and
 digital interaction with a toy will be blurred. Consumers
 will be looking for more content that mirrors the physical
 engagement with a product they can get in store. Brands
 that will succeed in this area will be looking beyond
 product imagery towards creating videos, lifestyle
 content and interactive visuals to capture audiences.”

         Kelly Marcus
         Associate Director, eCommerce SEO,
         Reprise Digital

                                T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y   33
Boost conversion & sales with enhanced content

We’ve carried out research on thousands of products     Average sales lift related to change in product content
on Amazon to determine what types of content best
                                                        Source: Profitero; n = 7,134 products studied on Amazon.com;
converts.                                               Time period: August 5, 2018 - February 23, 2019 (comparing 28-day periods)

As shown in the chart on the right, adding product      Controlled for products with differences of no more than +/- 10% on the
                                                        following factors: OOS rate, lost Buy Box rate, promotion rate & price
images can have a significant impact on traffic
                                                        change. Products with at least 28 glance views, unit sales >10 units and
and conversion. Our analysis shows products that        conversion rate >0.1% on the 28-day period studied.
improved their image count saw an average increase
of 90% on their conversion rate. This underscores the       % average delta in conversion rate
findings of our survey in which product photos was          % average delta in traffic (glance views)
rated the third most important factor when shopping
for toys online.
                                                              +90%
This is especially true for the toy category where
shoppers are not able to physically see how the toy
works.

                                                                                                                   +51%

                                                                                    +17%                                                                 +19%

                                                                                                                                     +6%   +5%

                                                                    Adding images                                      Adding videos        Adding A+ content

                                                                          T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                34
Importance of keeping product content current

Equally important for the toys category is monitoring   “A PIM solution is imperative for organizations
your content in case of product recalls or to respond
                                                         selling on Amazon. Every marketplace has different
to changing regulations. This is where a Product
Information Management (PIM) solution comes into         requirements, however, most organizations would
play, helping you to constantly monitor and control      do best to optimize their products on Amazon first.
your product information at scale.                       Implementing a PIM solution helps streamline
                                                         and accelerate time-to-market. It also enables
                                                         marketing and merchandising teams to control the
                                                         product information from creation to enrichment
                                                         to deployment across the enterprise, ensuring
                                                         consistent and exceptional customer experience.”

                                                                     Johan Boström
                                                                     Co-Founder,
                                                                     InRiver

                                                                 T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y        35
Don’t fly blind: Use benchmarks to guide your content

An important point to keep in mind: Never focus           Here are the product benchmarks you should be
solely on your products in a vacuum. Benchmarking         striving for in the toys category on Amazon.com:
against your competitive set and particularly best-
in-class products for your category is a great way to
                                                          Amazon Best Sellers benchmark—Toys & games
ensure your products not only remain highly visible
to shoppers, but more importantly highly likely to        Source: Profitero Amazon FastMovers, February 2019; Top Brands - Q4, 2018

convert browsers into buyers.

Among the key metrics you should be monitoring            Reviews                                Star rating                    Content            Content
and benchmarking against, include the number of           Avg. # of reviews                      Avg. star rating               Avg. # of images   Avg. character count in title
reviews, average star rating, number of images, and

                                                          1,718                                  4.4                            6                  71
number of characters in your product descriptions
and bullet points.

Of course, Amazon doesn’t make it easy. Its
algorithms are constantly changing and, therefore,
what you need to optimize in your product content         Top-selling brands in Amazon toys & games
changes too. “Set it and forget it” doesn’t cut it with
product content. If not already doing so, it’s a good
practice to set a regular cadence for product content
audits. We recommend quarterly at a minimum and
monthly if possible.

                                                                           T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                             36
Earn your Amazon badges

Scroll through any Amazon search results page and
you’re bound to see products with the “Amazon’s
Choice” and “Best Seller” badges.

Based on an analysis of 37,000 products on Amazon,
both with and without badges, Profitero learned
that Amazon’s Choice and Best Seller badges have a
major impact on a product’s traffic and conversion.
•   Amazon’s Choice increases conversion rate by
    25% on average, especially on products with a
    high number of daily glance views
•   Best Seller has a greater impact on traffic,
                                                          Increase in traffic & conversion when having an Amazon badge
    increasing a product’s glance views by an
    average of 45%                                        Source: Profitero; 37,086 products studied, July 2018, US

We’re conducting more research to find out what
specifically causes a product to get the Amazon’s
                                                                                 ‘Amazon’s Choice’ badge              ‘Best Seller’ badge
Choice badge. But for now, it’s reasonable to
assume it’s a combination of all the steps featured

                                                                                           +17%                           +45%
in this playbook: (1) be in stock and priced right; (2)
optimize search to get found; and (3) offer great
                                                                  Traffic
content.                                                                                 avg increase in                avg increase in
It’s time to get cracking on making your priority                                      daily glance views              daily glance views
products as strong as possible across each of these
dimensions so you can optimize your Amazon
Flywheel.
                                                           Conversion
                                                                                           +25%                            +3%
                                                                    rate                 avg increase in                avg increase in
                                                                                     daily conversion rate            daily conversion rate

                                                                            T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                            37
Have plenty of authentic ratings & reviews; they matter

Consumers rely heavily on the experience and              Change in traffic, conversion & sales when adding reviews to a product on Amazon
opinions of others during their path-to-purchase. This
                                                          Source: Profitero; n = 7,134 products studied on Amazon.com;
is a key reason why having an adequate number and         Time period: August 5, 2018 - February 23, 2019 (comparing 28-day periods)
sustained flow of high-quality, authentic ratings &       Controlled for products with differences of no more than +/- 10% on the following factors: OOS
reviews on your brand website and syndicated across       rate, lost Buy Box rate, promotion rate & price change. Products with at least 28 glance views, unit
                                                          sales >10 units and conversion rate >0.1% on the 28-day period studied.
online retail sites matters.

Systematically measuring the impact of reviews on
traffic, conversion and sales may matter even more.                                 % average delta in                       % average delta in                  % average delta in
Ratings and reviews can have a profound effect on                                CONVERSION R ATE                        TR AFFIC (glance views)                   UNITS SOLD
online as well as offline performance.

It’s equally as important that brands routinely monitor
                                                            Up to 50%

                                                                                             -1%                                 +25%                               +12%
consumer product feedback, which means having
                                                             increase in
an analytics tool in place to flag any problems or
                                                                 reviews
negative comments.

“If you get good reviews then                             50% - 100%
you should be able to convert                                increase in                    +1%                                  +42%                               +42%
those page visits. It takes a lot of                             reviews

work, it takes a lot of effort, but
 if you get it right, you’ve got a
 marketplace of millions to reach.”                              >100%
                                                             increase in                     -3%                                 +73%                               +65%
                                                                 reviews
                   Alf Blohm
                   Sales Manger,
                   Playmobil

                                                                            T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                                    38
5 key takeaways
It’s imperative you make Amazon your priority today.
Our recommended path to get started and scale:

 1                                                           3                                                        5
“Size the prize” — What’s your upside on Amazon?            “Prioritize actions” — What fixes will yield the         “Prove your business case” — Measure ROI to
Keep track of online penetration of the category            biggest gains? If you are like other companies, your     get more budget. The easiest way to expand your
and prioritize the specific retailers driving that online   eCommerce teams and budgets are woefully under-          eCommerce budget is to select a subset of products
growth.                                                     resourced. With traffic and conversion data for your     and start optimizing them. This could mean adding
                                                            products, you can start to identify the products that    A+ content or adding more images. It could mean
                                                            are most critical to improve and better prioritize       upping your Amazon Advertising spend. Whatever
 2
                                                            where to spend your Amazon Advertising and               it is, you can work with Profitero to measure sales,
“See where you stand” — Are you outpacing? Or               promotions dollars.                                      share, traffic and conversion increases you get as a
are you trailing? There’s an old saying: “A rising tide                                                              result. Use us as an objective 3rd party to craft your
lifts all boats.” Just by the very fact that Amazon is                                                               business case for more budget.
                                                             4
growing, your brands will grow too. But unless you
can benchmark against competitor sales or growth of         “Execute” — Don’t wait to hire… use agencies!
the category in total, you don’t know if you are truly      Profitero has identified more than 100 unique
winning or not. Profitero’s sales and share estimates       eCommerce agencies who have vast expertise and
can help you here. Similarly, you should be using           experience optimizing all facets of digital execution.
digital analytic tools like those offered by Profitero      Start piloting projects with them and you will be
to benchmark your content, search placement and             surprised what you can accomplish on a lean budget
pricing against competitors.                                and in a small time window. (To identify an agency,
                                                            visit Profitero’s eCommerce Agency Directory.)

                                                                          T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y                                                              39
Request a demo of AMZ                                 WA NT YO U R OW N P E R S O N A LI Z E D
                                                      P L AY B O O K?
Maximizer today and                                   Profitero’s eCommerce experts will create a

learn how Profitero can                               personalized eCommerce Acceleration Playbook
                                                      for your brands, for FREE.
help you win on Amazon!                               For more information,
                                                      email sales@profitero.com
                                                      or visit http://www.profitero.com.
  Request a demo
                                                      For additional guidance, contact Profitero today at:
                                                      Tel U.S.: +1 844 342 7464
                                                      Tel U.K.: +44 208 123 3101

                                                      A B O UT P R O F ITE R O

"We selected Profitero as it provides us with         Profitero is the eCommerce Performance analytics

accurate, detailed and, most importantly,             platform of choice for leading brands around the
                                                      world. With Profitero, brands can measure their
actionable insights on the key levers driving         digital shelf performance across 8,000+ retailer sites
eCommerce sales, helping us to take both strategic    and mobile apps in 50 countries, gaining actionable
decisions and prioritize daily actions. Profitero’s   insights to improve product content, search
                                                      placement, ratings & reviews, availability, assortment
user-friendly platform and personalized alerts        and pricing. Profitero also allows brands to measure
were also central to our decision."                   their Amazon sales & share performance, along with
                                                      the ability to correlate their sales performance with
         Pauline Junne
                                                      changes across the digital shelf. Many of the world’s
         EMEA eCategory Manager,
                                                      leading brand manufacturers depend on Profitero’s
         Groupe SEB
                                                      granular and highly accurate data to measure and
                                                      improve their eCommerce performance. These
                                                      include Bayer, Beiersdorf, Dorel Juvenile, Edgewell,
                                                      General Mills, Kids II, L’Oreal, The Master Lock
                                                      Company and Molson Coors.

                                                                                                    40
T H E E C O M M E R C E T OY S T O R Y   41
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