"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation

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"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU":
       analysis and EU response

                   A. Carano
          EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
Investment gap in the EU
                            Investment (% GDP) in EU28

         Note: Gross fixed capital formation as a share of GDP. Source: AMECO and
                                      ECFIN calculations
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
The €315bn investment plan can bring investments back in line with
                          historical norms

•Real gross fixed capital formation –
Baseline trend vs. historical norm vs.
investment plan
EU-28, in 2013 prices, € bn                                       •3,03
                                                                    9     •3,02
                                                                            1
     Historical trend / Baseline forecasts                                                                                •2,94
                                                                                                                            0
     Investment plan                                     •2,86
                                                           9
     GFCF historical norm, assuming an                                                                            •2,86
     investment/GDP ratio of 21-22%                                                  •2,71                          4
                                                                                       4                     •2,74
                                                          •2,71
                                               •2,64                                                           8
                                                            7
                                                 0                        •2,65 •2,65    •2,64       •2,67
                                    •2,54                                   7     9        7   •2,60   8
                          •2,52       3       •2,56                                              6
                            7            •2,52 7
                                           8
                    2,416

                                                                                                             •forecasts

                          1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

                                                                                                                           3
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
Total investment as share of GDP

                    10
                         15
                              20
                                   25
                                              30

            0
                5
     1996
     1997
     1998
     1999
     2000

IE
     2001
                                                                                         Investment trends

     2002
     2003

EL
     2004
     2005

ES
     2006
     2007
     2008

IT
     2009
     2010
CY   2011
     2012
     2013
     2014
PT

     2015
                                                   Countries heavily hit by the crisis

     2016
     2017
     2018
                                   forecast
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
20
                                          25
                                               30
                                                    35
                                                                40

                    10
                         15

            0
                5
                                                                                                         10
                                                                                                              15
                                                                                                                   20
                                                                                                                         25
                                                                                                                                   30
                                                                                                                                               35
                                                                                                                                                    40

                                                                                                 0
                                                                                                     5
     1996                                                                                 1996
     1997                                                                                 1997
     1998                                                                                 1998
     1999                                                                                 1999
     2000                                                                                 2000

BG
                                                                                     EE
     2001                                                                                 2001
     2002                                                                                 2002

CZ
     2003                                                                                 2003

                                                                                     LV
     2004                                                                                 2004
     2005                                                                                 2005

                                                                                     LT

HR
     2006                                                                                 2006
     2007                                                                                 2007
                                                                                                                                                         Euro area

     2008                                                                                 2008

                                                                     Non-euro area

HU
                                                                                     MT
     2009                                                                                 2009
     2010                                                                                 2010
     2011                                                                                 2011

                                                                                     SI

PL
     2012                                                                                 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                             Investment trends

     2013                                                                                 2013
     2014                                                                                 2014
                                                                                     SK

RO
     2015                                                                                 2015
                                                                                                                                                                     Catching-up countries

     2016                                                                                 2016
     2017                                                                                 2017
     2018                                                                                 2018

                                                    forecast
                                                                                                                                    forecast

                         10
                                               20
                                                               25

                                         15

            0
                5
                                                                                                              10
                                                                                                                    15
                                                                                                                                   20
                                                                                                                                                25

                                                                                                     5

                                                                                                 0

     1996                                                                                 1996
     1997                                                                                 1997
     1998                                                                                 1998
     1999                                                                                 1999
     2000                                                                                 2000
                                                                                     BE

     2001                                                                                 2001
     2002                                                                                 2002
     2003                                                                                 2003
                                                                                     DE

     2004                                                                                 2004
DK   2005                                                                                 2005
                                                                                     FR

     2006                                                                                 2006
     2007                                                                                 2007
SE
                                                                                                                                                         Euro area

     2008                                                                                 2008
                                                                     Non-euro area
                                                                                     NL

     2009                                                                                 2009
     2010                                                                                 2010
UK

     2011                                                                                 2011
                                                                                     AT

     2012                                                                                 2012
     2013                                                                                 2013
     2014                                                                                 2014
                                                                                     FI

     2015                                                                                 2015
                                                                                                                                                                     Other EU countries

     2016                                                                                 2016
     2017                                                                                 2017
     2018                                                                                 2018
                                                                                                                        forecast

                              forecast
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
Investment needs are high
    Observed gross investment in tangible goods versus annual investment needs until
    2030 (2020 for telecoms) in the network sectors (EUR bn)

(a) Land transport                                           (b) Energy sector                                             (c) Telecommunication
 120                                                          200                                                           60

                                                              150
  80                                                                                                                        40
                                                              100

  40                                                                                                                        20
                                                                50

   0                                                             0                                                           0
                                                 2011-2030

                                                                                                               2011-2030
       2005
              2007
                     2009
                            2011
                                   2013
                                          2015

                                                                     2005

                                                                            2007

                                                                                   2009

                                                                                          2011

                                                                                                 2013
                                                                                                        2015

                                                                                                                                                                           2016-2020
                                                                                                                                 2005

                                                                                                                                        2007

                                                                                                                                               2009

                                                                                                                                                      2011

                                                                                                                                                             2013

                                                                                                                                                                    2015
                     Gross investment                                              Gross investment                                            Gross investment

                     Investment needs                                              Investment needs                                            Investment needs

Source: Commission sources, based on                         Source Commission sources based on                            Source: Commission sources based on A
White Paper on Transport, 2011 and                           European    Energy   Security Strategy,                       Digital Single Market for Europe –
Eurostat SBS data.                                           COM/2014/330 and SWD(2014) 255 final                          Analysis and Evidence; COM/2015/192
                                                             and Eurostat SBS data.                                        and Eurostat. SBS data.

                                                                                          6
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
Investment data by country 1998-2018 (forecast)
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
Investment in construction by country 1998-2018 (forecast)
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
Investment Plan for Europe: the three pillars

            1. MOBILISING FINANCE                                                          2. MAKING FINANCE
               FOR INVESTMENT                                                           REACH THE REAL ECONOMY

   Mobilise at least €315bn over 3 years for strategic                             European Investment Project Portal (EIPP)
    investments and access to finance via the European                              European Investment Advisory Hub (EIAH)
    Fund for Strategic Investments (EFSI) within EIB/EIF

   Cooperation with National Promotional Banks

                                         3. IMPROVED INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT

                                     Predictability and quality of regulation

                                     Removing non-financial, regulatory barriers in key sectors
                                      within EU Single Market

                                     Structural reforms at national level

                                                                                                                                 9
"The Infrastructure Funding Gap in EU": analysis and EU response - A. Carano EIC, Paris, 13 October 2017 - EIC Federation
1. European Fund for Strategic Investments (EFSI)

                                                    10
11
Funding opportunities for EU transport infrastructure

EU instrument      Type of         How to apply       Available funds
                   financing                          (2014-2020)*      Blending Call
Connecting Europe Grants (plus     Calls for proposal €24.05 billion
                                                                        Grants from CEF combined
Facility (CEF)     CEF Debt        implementation     from EU budget
                                                                        with financing from EIB
                   instrument)     financial
                                                                        (EFSI whenever possible) or
Europ. Investment Loans,           Request financing Approx. €13
                                                                        National Promotional Banks,
Bank incl. EU Fund guarantees,     from EIB           billion/year
                                                                        or private sector investors
for Strategic      equity                             EIB financing**
                                                                        Calls for proposal
Investments (EFSI)
European           Grants (plus    Request financing €70 billion        €1 billion (taken from the
Investment Funds   financial       from managing     from EU budget     CEF budget)
(ESIF)             instruments)    authority
                                                                         •*To be complemented by Member
Horizon 2020       Grants (plus    Calls for proposal, €6.3 billion      States & NPBs, and private sector
                   InnovFin - EU   calls for tenders   from EU budget    funding.
                   Finance for     other actions                         •** Estimate based on recent trend.
                                                                         Actual financing will be based on
                   Innovators)
                                                                         demand and actual EIB approvals.
The European Investment Advisory Hub

                                 Launched in September 2015 as part
                                of the Investment Plan for Europe, the
                                  EIAH is a tool to strengthen Europe's
                                investment environment and improve
A joint initiative
                                    the quality of investment projects

           A single access point to a comprehensive offer of
           advisory and technical assistance services

           An instrument to assess and address unmet needs
           for advisory support

           A cooperation platform to leverage and exchange
           expertise from EIAH partners
           (National institutions, Managing Authorities)
A comprehensive offer of advisory services
                                                                            DEMAND
                                 Project promoters         Public authorities           Member States               Private sector
Access point

                                                            Web content + Web portal + Support team

                                                     European Investment Advisory Hub

                    Existing advisory                       Additional advisory and                     EIAH’s partner
                    programmes and activities               technical assistance                        institutions’ expertise
Delivery channels

                         Project support throughout the          New investment support also               Network of institutions incl.
                          project cycle                            in areas relevant to the scope             EIB Group, European
                         Support to Financial                     of EFSI (could be delivered by             Commission , National
                          instruments                              EIB advisory or operational                Promotional Banks, etc.
                         Enhance access to finance                teams)                                    Integrated collaboration model
                                                                  Identification of needs as they
                                                                   arise

                                                                          SUPPLY

                                                                                                                                     14
EIPP                                                                                    European
    Objectivesofofthe
    Objectives     thePortal
                       Portal                                                             Investment
                                                                                        Project Portal
                                                                                       The meeting place
                    European Investment Project Portal (EIPP)                              for promoters
                                                                                           and investors

                                ec.europa.eu/eipp

         EU Project                                                          International
         Promoters                                                             Investors
        Public/Private                                                        Community

• Meeting point enabling EU-based project promoters to publish their projects and to
  reach potential investors worldwide

•    EIPP went live in June 2016 and promoters can submit projects in 24 languages

•    Continuous Web development/improvement: for investors and promoters

                                                                                                           15
Key figures about the EIPP                                                                            European
                                                                  as of mid-June 2017
State of play and map view                                                                          Investment
                                                                                                  Project Portal
  as of end of May 2017                                                                          The meeting place
                                                                                                     for promoters
                                                                                                     and investors

   • 280+ projects submitted and 160+ projects published
   • From 25 Member States
   • more than 200 project dots on the map (cross-border projects count as one in each project
    country)

                                                                                                                     16
Third pillar of the Investment Plan for Europe

Unlock the full potential of investment in Europe, by
  removing bottlenecks to investment, providing greater
  regulatory predictability, and reinforcing the Single
  Market

Examples of actions at EU level: Capital Markets Union,
  Digital Single Market, Single Market Strategy and Energy
  Union

Implementation of structural reforms at national level –
  systematic assessment of the framework conditions for
  investment under the European Semester
#InvestEU
Investment Plan for
                       www.ec.europa.eu/invest-eu
Europe
                       www.eib.org/invest-eu

                      www.eib.org/efsi
                      www.eif.org/what_we_do/efsi
EFSI
                      Contact for promoters: info@eib.org or relevant EIB
                      Operations department

                      www.eib.org/eiah
EIAH                  eiah@eib.org

EIPP                   www.ec.europa.eu/eipp
Back-up slides
EIAH requests: overview
                                      Situation as at 31.05.2017

   Country
                    No. of                                         Advisory requests by sector
                  requests

       Italy         39
    Bulgaria         36
     France          27
United Kingdom       25
    Belgium          25
      Spain          24
    Greece           22
The Netherlands      21
   Romania           20
   Germany           18
   Hungary           17
    Poland           16
   Portugal          15
Czech Republic       15
   Croatia           14
    Latvia           13
    Austria          10
   Finland           9
  Lithuania          9
 Luxembourg          9                                              488 requests received since
    Ireland          8
   Slovakia          8                                               launch.
   Slovenia          7                                              Promotors received either targeted
    Cyprus           7
   Denmark           6                                               advisory support or were
     Malta           6                                               “signposted” to suitable information
   Sweden            6
    Iceland          2
                                                                     sources
    Estonia          1
   Norway            1
     Total          436

    •13/10/2017                •European Investment Advisory Hub                                     •20
Examples
               of projects
                                                 The Hub is providing the Romanian Ministry of
                                                 Health with an exceptional package of assistance
                                                 which includes both expertise and funding to
                                                 support the preparation of three health
                                                 infrastructure projects in underserved areas

The Hub is providing advice to a
consortium of social enterprises
seeking assistance in the
                                                    Technical studies in support of the economic
development of their business
                                                  justifications for a railway project which aims to
model. EIAH provided advice on
                                                  increase capacity of connection between a core
creating a lending platform for the
                                                   network port and the Mediterranean corridor
consortium for which the EIB has
approved an EFSI contribution.

•13/10/2017                       •European Investment Advisory Hub                              •21
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