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2021 Sustainable Energy in
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Derek Sutherland                              Steve Anglin                             Timothy Held
   CT Fusion                                  WeSolar CSP                          Echogen Power Systems
  Seattle, WA                                 Princeton, NJ                              Akron, OH

                          Gina Wolf                             Karl Jantze
                      Enel Green Power                            HySonic               https://www.cebn.org/
                   Lenexa, KS | Andover, MA                   West Lafayette, IN        faces-behind-the-facts/
2021 Sustainable Energy in America Factbook - Materials will be available at: www.eesi.org/031221factbook Tweet about the briefing: #eesitalk ...
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The 2021
Sustainable Energy
in America Factbook
EESI event

Melina Bartels

March 12, 2021
2021 Sustainable Energy in America Factbook - Materials will be available at: www.eesi.org/031221factbook Tweet about the briefing: #eesitalk ...
U.S. 2020 energy productivity rose, but
Americans suffered
U.S. GDP and primary energy consumption                                                          U.S. energy productivity

$ trillion of GDP / quadrillion BTU of energy                                                     Indexed to 1990 levels

0.22                                                                                             2.2

0.20                                                                                             2.0
                                                                                                                                                        GDP (indexed)
                                                      Energy productivity

0.18                                                                                             1.8

0.16                                                                                             1.6

0.14                                                                                             1.4
                                                                                                                                        Primary energy consumption
                                                                                                                                        (indexed)
0.12                                                                                             1.2

0.10                                                                                             1.0

0.08                                                                                             0.8
       1990         '95         2000          '05          '10          '15          '20               1990         '95         2000          '05          '10           '15          '20

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, EIA, BloombergNEF Notes: Values for 2019 are projected, accounting for seasonality, based on latest monthly values from EIA (data available through
September 2020). 2020 GDP estimate is a projection from economists compiled at ECFC  on the Bloomberg Terminal.

7       ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Fossil fuel use dropped very sharply,
electricity demand also fell but by less
U.S. primary energy consumption, by fuel type                                                    U.S. electricity demand

    Quadrillion BTU                                                                               TWh of demand                                                     Growth rate 6%

105                                                                                              4,000
                                                                          Renewables                                                                                                   4%
                                                                          (including hydro)
    90

                                                                          Natural gas            3,000                                                                                 2%
    75

    60                                                                                                                                                                                 0%
                                                                          Nuclear
                                                                                                 2,000
    45
                                                                                                                                                                                       -2%
                                                                          Petroleum
    30
                                                                                                 1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                       -4%
    15                                                                    Coal

     0                                                                                                 0                                                                     -6%
      2000           '05            '10             '15            '20                                     2000             '05          '10                  '15        '20
                                                                                                            Demand             Annual growth rate               CAGR since 1990

Source: EIA, BloombergNEF Notes: “CAGR” on the right hand side graph is compound annual growth rate. Values for 2020 are pr ojected, accounting for seasonality, based on the latest
monthly values from EIA (data available through September 2020). BTU stands for British thermal units.

8        ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Lower-carbon sources now
predominate in U.S. power
U.S. electricity generation, by fuel type

         10%           13%           12%          13%           13%           13%          15%           17%           17%           17%          20%
                                                                                                                                                                   Renewables
                                                                                                                                                                   (including hydro)
         24%
                       25%                        28%
                                     31%                        28%
                                                                              33%
                                                                                           34%           32%           35%                                         Natural gas
                                                                                                                                     39%
                                                                                                                                                  41%
         20%
                       19%
                                     19%          19%           19%
                                                                              20%                                                                                  Nuclear
                                                                                           20%           20%
                                                                                                                       19%
                                                                                                                                     20%
                                                                                                                                                  20%
         45%           42%                                                                                                                                         Coal
                                     37%          39%           39%
                                                                              33%          30%           30%           28%
                                                                                                                                     23%
                                                                                                                                                  19%

         2010                       2012                        2014                       2016                        2018                       2020

Source: EIA, BloombergNEF Note: Values for 2020 are projected, accounting for seasonality, based on latest monthly values from EIA (data available through Oc tober 2020)

9       ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Renewables had a blockbuster year,
despite challenges
U.S. new renewable energy capacity build (GW)

                                                                                                                                                   33.8
     GW

                                                                                                                                                                 Hydro
                                                                                                                                                   16.5
                                                                                          22.9
                                                                                                                                     21.0                        Geothermal

                                18.4                                                                    19.0
                                                                                                                      18.2
                                                                           16.4                                                                                  Biomass / Waste
                                 3.5                                                      14.1                                       11.5
                                                             12.7
                                                                                                        10.9          10.2                                       Solar
                                                                            7.4
                   9.6
                                                8.9
                   2.2                                        6.7                                                                                  17.1          Wind
     6.0                        14.0
     0.9                                                                                                                              9.3
                                                5.7                         8.5            8.3           7.5           7.7
                   6.9
     4.8                                                      5.1
                                                1.1
     2010         2011          2012          2013           2014          2015          2016           2017          2018          2019          2020e

Source: BloombergNEF, EIA Notes: All values are shown in AC except solar, which is included as DC capacity. Numbers include utility-scale (>1MW) projects of all types, rooftop solar, and
small- and medium-sized wind. Includes installations or planned installations reported to the EIA through October 2020, as well as BloombergNEF projections .

10      ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Substantial additional gas-fired power
plants are due online…
Combined cycle build
                                                                                      Open cycle build
 GW                                                                     SPP             GW

     20                                                                 Southwest        20

     18                                                                 Southeast        18

     16                                                                 PJM              16

     14                                                                 Northwest        14

     12                                                                 New York         12

     10                                                                                  10
                                                                        New England

     8                                                                                    8
                                                                        MISO

     6                                                                                    6
                                                                        Florida
     4                                                                                    4
                                                                        ERCOT
     2                                                                                    2
                                                                        California
     0                                                                                    0
                                                                        Alaska
          2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024                                             2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024

Source: EIA, BNEF

11        ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
… and some will be paired with
hydrogen
Announced capacity of H2-ready projects, by                                                    U.S. projects’ H2 blending targets
country

  Capacity (GW)
     U.K. (1.2GW)                                                                                      NextEra, FL                           Some H2 expected
     Netherlands (1.3GW)
                                                                              8.9
     U.S. (6.4GW)
                                                         8.0       8.0
                                                                                                  Long Ridge, OH                    20%          100%

                                               6.8

                                    6.0                                                                LADWP, CA                          30%                          100%

                                                                                                Danskammer, NY                                   30%            100%

                          2.7
                                                                                                         Balico, VA

       0.5      0.5                                                                              EmberClear, OH

      2021     2022      2023      2024       2025      2026      2027       2028                                2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055
                                                                                                      No state mandate    State mandate    Expected H2 blend

Source: BloombergNEF. Note: Left chart reflects announced and financed commercial projects. On right chart, Dashed = No annou nced hydrogen blend timeline. LADWP = Los Angeles
Department of Water and Power. Bars begin at expected commercial operation date. 30-year asset lifetime assumed. State mandate means there is a state-level clean energy target.

12      ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Power emissions are down, at least for
now
U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by sector                                                        Power emissions goals

 MMtCO2e                                                                                       MMtCO2e

2,500                                                                                          2,500

                                                                        Power
2,000                                                                                          2,000

                                                   Transportation
1,500                                                                                          1,500
                                                                     Industrial

1,000                                                                                          1,000
                                                                     Buildings

                                                                   Agriculture
  500                                                                                             500

     0                                                                                               0
         1990        '95        2000         '05         '10         '15        2020                     2000      2005        2010         2015        2020        2025        2030

Source: BloombergNEF, EIA, EPA Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2016 Notes: “Sinks” refer to forests and green areas which absorb carbon dioxide. Values for
2020 are projected, accounting for seasonality, based on monthly values from EIA available through September 2020 and BNEF pr ojections.

13       ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Power emissions are down, at least for
now
U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by sector                                                        Power emissions goals

 MMtCO2e                                                                                       MMtCO2e

2,500                                                                                          2,500
                                                                                                                                                     Pathway for Clean
                                                                                                                                                         Power Plan
                                                                        Power
2,000                                                                                          2,000

                                                   Transportation
1,500                                                                                          1,500
                                                                     Industrial

1,000                                                                                          1,000
                                                                     Buildings                                                                  Pathway for
                                                                                                                                              Biden proposed
                                                                                                                                                   target
                                                                   Agriculture
  500                                                                                             500

     0                                                                                               0
         1990        '95        2000         '05         '10         '15        2020                     2000      2005        2010         2015        2020        2025        2030

Source: BloombergNEF, EIA, EPA Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2016 Notes: “Sinks” refer to forests and green areas which absorb carbon dioxide. Values for
2020 are projected, accounting for seasonality, based on monthly values from EIA available through September 2020 and BNEF pr ojections.

14       ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
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16    ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Charles Hernick
  Vice President of Policy and Advocacy
Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions
Governments globally included de-
carbonization in stimulus packages
Global Covid-19 stimulus approved as of                                                                                     New U.S. green stimulus
January 2021

                                                                                                     $ billion               $ billion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ARPA-E
                                                                                                                             40

                                                                                                                             35                                                                        15.31
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Nuclear

       Approved
                                                                                             939                             30
     green stimulus
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                CCUS
                                                                                                                             25

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Energy
                                                                                                                             20                                            3.83
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                efficiency
                                                                                                                                              15.03
                                                                                                                             15                                                                                                 Energy
       Approved                                                                                                                                                                                                                 storage
      stimulus for
                                                                                                    1,041                    10
     CO2-intensive                                                                                                                                                                                                              Hydro
       industries
                                                                                                                               5

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Wind
                                                                                                                               0
                               0                 400                            800          1,200                                     Enhanced tax   Considered  Potential RD&D
     Asia                                  Oceania                               EU                                                       credits   approved RD&D     funding
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Solar
     Other Europe                          MENA                                  North America                                                          funding
     Latin America                         Sub-Saharan Africa

Source: Governments, media reports, BloombergNEF Note: ‘Approved green stimulus’ includes support to CO2-intensive sectors and companies with green conditions. Enhanced tax credit funding levels are based on U.S. Congress Joint
Committee on Taxation estimate of new spending for those functions during 2021-30 fiscal years. Excludes extension of excise tax credits relating to alternative fuels because this includes support for fossil fuels and green fuels.

18        ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
In the U.S., this meant RD&D and tax
credits
Energy RD&D spending in U.S. stimulus bill                                     U.S. energy tax credit enhancements, 2021-2030
($millions)                                                                    ($millions)

                                                          Fusion                                                              Solar Investment
                                                                                                                              Tax Credit
                                                          ARPA-E                                                              Residential energy-
            $800                                                                                              $124            efficiency/biomass
                                                          Carbon capture                    $362 $276                         fuel
                      $625
                                                          demonstration                     $395                              Onshore wind
        $910                                                                         $641                                     Production Tax
                                                          Advanced reactor                                                    Credit
     $933                                                 technology               $700                                       17D commercial
                                      $4,700              Solar                                                               buildings efficiency

       $1,000                                                                                                                 45Q carbon
                                                          Energy storage
                       $19.1                                                         $1,695          $15.0           $7,020   capture use and
      $1,000                                                                                                                  storage
                       billion                            Large-scale carbon                         billion                  Homeowners
       $1,500                            $2,930           capture pilots                                                      energy efficiency
                                                          Waterpower
                                                                                            $3,814                            ITC for offshore
             $2,140                                                                                                           wind
                             $2,600                       Carbon capture
                                                          demonstration                                                       Construction of
                                                          Carbon storage                                                      energy efficient
                                                          validation                                                          new homes
                                                                                                                              Waste energy
                                                          Wind                                                                recovery credit

Sources: BloombergNEF, U.S. Congress Joint Committee on Taxation

19      ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Ben Evans
Vice President, Public Affairs
   Alliance to Save Energy
U.S. 2020 energy productivity rose, but
Americans suffered
U.S. energy productivity                                                                        U.S. GDP and primary energy consumption
$ trillion of GDP / quadrillion BTU of energy                                                    Indexed to 1990 levels

0.22
                                                                                               2.2

0.20                                                                                                                                                       GDP (indexed)
                                                  Energy productivity                          2.0

0.18
                                                                                               1.8

0.16
                                                                                               1.6

0.14                                                                                           1.4

0.12                                                                                           1.2
                                                                                                                                           Primary energy consumption
0.10                                                                                           1.0                                         (indexed)

0.08                                                                                           0.8
       1990        '95        2000          '05         '10          '15         '20                 1990          '95        2000           '05          '10          '15          '20

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, EIA, BloombergNEF Notes: Values for 2019 are projected, accounting for seasonality, based on latest monthly values from EIA (data available through
September 2020). 2020 GDP estimate is a projection from economists compiled at ECFC  on the Bloomberg Terminal.

21      February 2021
Bryn Baker
   Director, Policy Innovation
Renewable Energy Buyers Alliance
Finance: Corporate sustainability
targets
     Key players: corporate                                         Key players: corporate                                     Key players: corporate
     clean energy procurement                                       vehicle electrification                                    energy efficiency

     Retail

Financial &
Insurance

     Tech

 Food &
Beverage

● The Climate Group’s RE100 initiative, whose signatories pledge to offset 100% of their electricity consumption with renewables, had another
     record year of growth in 2020. Some 65 new companies joined, bringing the total number of signatories to 285. The U.S. holds onto its title as
     the most dominant market, with 79 (28%) of these companies. Technology (18) and Financials (18) are the most prominent sectors in the U.S.
● Through 2020, 123 companies have joined The Climate Group’s EP100 campaign, which is nearly double the 64 that had joined at the end of
     2019. Signatories pledge to double their energy productivity by 2030, while also cutting energy waste and owning and operating energy-smart
     buildings. Notable companies to join in 2020 include Lloyds Banking Group, Mitie and Derwent.
● The Climate Group’s EV100 campaign, under which companies make a public commitment to integrate electric vehicles (EV) into their fleet or
     support EV charging infrastructure at their operations by 2030, is now up to 92 companies. Members such as DHL and EDF have already
     made significant progress in electrifying their vehicle fleets, purchasing 22,300 and 3,600 EVs, respectively.

Source: BloombergNEF, The Climate Group, company announcements Note: Chart is a list of companies that have either joined a respective campaign or made other efforts in these sectors.

23       ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Finance: Corporate procurement of
clean energy in the U.S.
Renewable capacity contracted by corporations,                                        Largest corporate offtakers, 2020
by technology
Annual (GW)                                                      Cumulative (GW)        MW             Amazon               2,932             891
15                                                                  14         60
                                                                          12                           Verizon    721 290
12                                                                             48               General Motors    797
                                                                  8   9                              Facebook     592    170
 9                                                                               36
                                                                                                      Microsoft   650                       Solar
                                                                            10
 6                                                                               24
                                                                  4                                      AT&T     650
                                            3              3
 3                                                2                              12                     Google 312 100
                                       1    1                         6                                                                     Wind
                                                                  4
                                       1    2     2        3                2                            Nucor 325
 0                                                                               0
      2009         11          13          15              17         19                                Lowe's 325

                  Wind         Solar         Other             Cumulative             University of Pennsylvania 286
● Corporate power purchase agreements (PPAs) for clean energy totaled 11.9GW in 2020. This is down from 14.1GW in 2019, and is the first drop
     in annual corporate PPA volumes since 2016. Covid-19 was the biggest factor in the drop – just 4.3GW of deals were announced in the first half
     of the year as companies tightened budgets and shifted priorities internally in response to the pandemic. Some 7.6GW of deals were announced
     in the second half of the year, signaling that companies will be better prepared to carry on sustainability initiative during any future disruptions.
● Solar has become the dominant clean energy technology sought by corporations. This is emblematic of a growing power markets expertise
     among buyers, who are trying to capture peak power pricing, which solar tends to capture better than wind. Additionally, many wind projects in
     popular markets like ERCOT and SPP have seen their revenues erode as more zero marginal cost clean energy is built, which depresses prices.
     This has prompted companies to instead seek solar contracts in these markets.
● Amazon was by far the largest corporate buyer of clean energy in 2020, at 3.8GW. The company announced 21 individual clean energy PPAs in
     the U.S., with most projects cited in Virginia and Ohio. Verizon (1GW) and General Motors (797MW) were the next largest buyers. A slew of first-
     time buyers also entered the market in 2020, including Applied Materials, Henkel and Nucor.
Source: BloombergNEF Note: Charts show offsite PPAs only

24      ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Allison Hull
Director, Federal Government Affairs
           Sempra Energy
Finance: Total new clean energy
transition investment
Global economy-wide investment, by country                                                                            U.S. economy-wide investment, by sector

                                                                                                        Korea
 $ billion                                                                                                             $ billion                                                                          Hydrogen
                                                                                                                       100                                                                      96
  600                                                                                                   Brazil
                                                                                                  501                                                                                                85
                                                                                                        Spain                                                                              79             CCS
     500                                                                                    459
                                                                                  434 441                                80
                                                                                                        Netherlands                                                                   69
                                                                            378                                                                                                  61
     400                                                                                                France                                                                                            Energy
                                                                      330                                                                               53
                                                                297                                                      60                                                 49                            storage
                                              290                                                       United
     300                                            263                                                                                                      44
                                        235               240                                           Kingdom                                                        42
                                                                                                                                                                  38
                              182 173
                                                                                                        Japan            40        34 36 35        34                                                     Electrified
     200                143
                                                                                                                                                                                                          transport
                                                                                                        Germany                               24
                  109
                                                                                                                         20                                                                               Electrified
     100     61                                                                                         United
                                                                                                                               9
                                                                                                        States                                                                                            heat
                                                                                                        Other
       0                                                                                                                  0                                                                           Renewable
           2005                    2010                           2015                        2020 China                      2005             2010                     2015                     2020 energy

● Global energy transition investment hit $500 billion for the first time in 2020 – a 9% increase over 2019 – marking the largest growth since 2016-
     2017.
● The U.S. accounted for $85 billion (or nearly 20% of this global investment), but decreased 11% below 2019. The nation continues to spend
     the lion’s share of its energy transition capital on renewable energy (58% of total spend) while transport remained a strong growth area (a
     42% investment increase in the last 5 years, relative to power’s 31%). Notably, the U.S. now invests roughly $100 million/year in hydrogen,
     the vast majority of which is tied to fuel cell vehicle sales.
● U.S. renewable energy was not immune to the multi-sector investment dip in 2020. Last year, $12 billion less was invested in renewable
     technologies (a 20% decrease) than in 2019. Solar and wind continued to pull the majority of the capital, accounting for 99% of all renewable
     energy investment.

Source: BloombergNEF, “Energy Transition Investment Trends, 2021”

26         ©BloombergNEF L.P. 2021. Developed in partnership with the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
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