A joint declaration of intent: Accelerating market development for CNG and biomethane in Germany - Dirk Peters, The German Energy Agency ...
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Dirk Peters, The German Energy Agency
A joint declaration of intent: Accelerating market development
for CNG and biomethane in Germany.
Brussels, 01/03/2012
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 1
.
Agenda.
dena in short.
Challenges in the German transport sector.
Status and targets for CNG and biomethane in Germany.
“Initiative for natural-gas-based mobility – CNG and biomethane as
vehicle fuels”.
Declaration of intent & Policy recommendations.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 2
.
Ownership structure of dena.
dena
Federal Republic 50 % 26 %
KfW Bankengruppe
of Germany
Represented by the Federal Ministry of Economics Allianz SE 8%
and Technology (BMWi)
in concert with:
Deutsche Bank AG 8%
The Federal Ministry of Food, Agriculture and
Consumer Protection (BMELV)
The Federal Ministry for the Environment,
DZ BANK AG 8%
Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU)
The Federal Ministry of Transport, Building and
Urban Development (BMVBS)
Management
Stephan Kohler – Chief Executive
Andreas Jung
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 3
.
dena in short: Expertise and Activities.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 4
.
Agenda.
dena in short.
Challenges in the German transport sector.
Status and targets for CNG and biomethane in Germany.
“Initiative for natural-gas-based mobility – CNG and biomethane as
vehicle fuels”.
Declaration of intent & Policy recommendations.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 5
.
Challenges in German transport sector:
GHG-emissions and energy dependency.
GHG-emissions in transport in mln tonnes
Share of transport in total GHG-emissions
at 20 %
National targets for reduction of GHG-
emissions compared to 1990 (federal energy
concept)
– 40 % until 2020
– 80 % until 2050
EU-targets for GHG-emissions in transport
(EU white paper):
– 20 % until 2020 (to 2008)
– 60 % until 2050 (to 1990)
More than 90 % dependency on crude oil in
transport fuel market.
Alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs) are one of
the relevant measures towards achieving the
targets
Source: Voruntersuchung Mobilitäts- und Kraftstoffstrategie (dena et al. 2011). EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 6
.
German vehicle market:
AFVs at a rise, but on a low level
Market 2010 for new passenger cars Passenger car market in
Germany at about 3 mln.
vehicles per year
CNG 4.982 Electric 541
Share of AFVs in new
LPG 8.154 Hybrids 10.661 passenger car registrations at
0.8 %
AFVs hence only play a
marginal role in CO2-emission
Diesel mitigation
1.221.938
Gasoline
1.669.927
Source: KBA, 2011
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 7
.
German vehicle market:
AFVs at a rise, but on a low level
Total registrations of AFVs in thousand Total vehicle registrations
(start of the year values)
52 mln vehicles
AFV registrations in 2010
approx. 500.000
or 1% of total vehicle population.
Of which
LPG: approx. 430.000
CNG: 90.000
Source: Voruntersuchung zur Mobilitäts- und Kraftstoffstrategie (dena et al. 2011)
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 8
.
Agenda.
dena in short.
Challenges in the German transport sector.
Status and targets for CNG and biomethane in Germany.
“Initiative for natural-gas-based mobility – CNG and biomethane as
vehicle fuels”.
Declaration of intent & Policy recommendations.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 9
.
Status of CNG and biomethane: vehicles.
National fuel strategy of 2004 saw a potential market share of CNG
of 0.5 to 2 % in 2010, i.e. 180.000 to 750.000 NGVs.
NGV-registrations at the end of 2011: approx. 95,000 NGVs or 0.2 %
of German vehicle fleet.
Little results for ten year efforts and the fact that NGVs are a mature
technology
Total registrations of NGVs in tsd.
(start of the year values)
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 10
.Status of CNG and biomethane: filling stations.
Approx. 900 CNG-stations
(approx. 14,500 in total)
Capacity utilization very low
(approx. 100 vehicles per
filling station)
2011 sales of about 2.8 mln
MWh, i.e. about 0.4% of
German fuel market
Only two natural gas stations
directly on motorways
(„Autobahn“)
Proportion of natural gas stations in
fuel station network in percent
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 11
.Is there a „market failure“ in the NGV-market?
Existence of market failure in German NGV-market as suggested by
Dirk Peters ?
Scale from 1..limited existence to 5..broad existence
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 12
.Natural gas and biomethane in transport as part of the
federal energy concept.
Energy concept, 28/09/2010, p. 24. Federal government
recognises CNG and
biomethane as relevant
fuel alternative for the
future
dena: 2020 potential of
4 % market share for
CNG and biomethane in
fuel mix is still possible
It corresponds to
approx. 28 billion kWh/a
or 1.4 million NGVs
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 13
.Agenda.
dena in short.
Challenges in the German transport sector.
Status and targets for CNG and biomethane in Germany.
“Initiative for natural-gas-based mobility – CNG and biomethane as
vehicle fuels”.
Declaration of intent & Policy recommendations.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 14
.Participants from the value chains of both
vehicle and fuel markets.
Patronage
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 15Creating a joint declaration of intent for accelerated
market development.
Mediation between different industries with partly
conflicting interests.
Finding common-understanding of the problems
Ending “chicken-egg-dilemma”:
Moving from waiting to trusting and acting!
Agreeing on high-priority actions achieving planning
security among the involved actors
Agreeing on policy instruments, which are bearable for all
industries. common address to government.
Process 2010/2011
Several meetings of steering comittee and three parallel
working groups
High-level presentation of results in Sept. 2011
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 16Signing and handover of declaration of intent.
International Motor Show (IAA), 14.9.2011 in Frankfurt: Press conference with leading
representatives of the vehicle
manufacturers and energy industry,
as well as automobile customers
Handover of the declaration of
intent to the German government
Around 50 media representatives
High level of press coverage
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 17Agenda.
dena in short.
Challenges in the German transport sector.
Status and targets for CNG and biomethane in Germany.
“Initiative for natural-gas-based mobility – CNG and biomethane as
vehicle fuels”.
Declaration of intent & Policy recommendations.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 18
.Three parts:
1. Vehicles:
Increasing availability, public
awareness and sales of
NGVs
2. Infrastructure:
Increasing density and
comfort of infrastructure for
natural gas and biomethane
3. Recommendations:
Creating an attractive policy
framework for NGVs
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 19Declaration of intent (I/II).
Vehicle manufacturers.
Expansion of the range of vehicles offered in current and new vehicle segments.
Intensification of marketing and especially sales.
Gas suppliers and biogas producers.
Improvement of the filling station network to up to 1.300 stations.
Increased marketing and sales efforts.
Self-commitment on admixture of 20 percent biomethane by 2015 in case of
favourable political framework.
Further increase in the share of NGVs in the internal fleets.
Sustainable generation of biomethane from waste materials.
Fleet experiment with biomethane in heavy vehicle fleets.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 20Declaration of intent (II/II).
Petroleum industry.
Provision of access to installation of CNG-pumps esp. on highly frequented
filling stations
Increase in fuelling card acceptance for CNG.
Closing the gaps in advertising CNG filling stations on the federal motorways.
Car user associations.
Communication of the advantages of CNG and biomethane
Reduction of CNG-related customer prejudices.
All.
Unification of branding and terms used (e.g. “CNG / Erdgas”).
Communication towards multipliers and opinion leaders.
Winning the customers!
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 21Recommendations to policymakers (I/II).
Fiscal framework.
Extension of the existing energy tax break for CNG from 2018 to 2025.
Regulatory framework.
Transparent price indication for CNG at filling stations
(e.g. from “kg” to “litre gasoline-equivalent”).
Optimisation of public procurement: Financial consideration of the
energy consumption and environmental impact of vehicles as
suggested by EU-directive.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 22Recommendations to policymakers (II/II).
Funding policy framework.
Optimization of “grid use fees” for CNG filling stations.
Public co-financing of filling station construction.
Technology-neutral direct vehicle purchasing bonuses.
European framework.
Consideration of the extra weight in the EU driving licence classes
and EU weight regulations for commercial vehicles.
EU-wide harmonisation of standards on the interface between filling
station and vehicle.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 23Outlook.
Outlook 2012 - 2020
Use the positive drive in the market.
Keep AFVs on the political agenda as a signal to private
stakeholders
Implement intended measures.
Monitor and report results and difficulties.
Vision: A European declaration of intent
German declaration of intent could be a “blue print” for a
European declaration of intent for NGV-development
Cooperation with stakeholders of other EU member states.
Partners welcome contact Dirk Peters at dena.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 24
.Lessons learned?
Comparison of past development of NGVs and targeted future European countries define
development of Evs in Germany ambitious goals for
introduction of electric
vehicles.
What can we learn from
the NGV-introduction for
introducing other
alternative fuel vehicles?
Year
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 25
.Thank you!
Dirk Peters Note:
Project Director Alternative Fuels
English translation of
“declaration of intent”
Deutsche Energie-Agentur GmbH (dena)
available soon.
Chausseestraße 128a
10115 Berlin, Germany get in contact for
copies.
Tel: +49 (0)30 72 61 65 – 760
E-Mail: peters@dena.de
www.dena.de
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 26
.Back-up.
www.dena.de
b2b.dena.de
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 27
.Department “Energy-Efficient Transport Systems”.
Objective: reduce energy end-use and GHG-emissions of transport.
Technical improvement Modal shift Influencing behaviour
- Study and roadmap for "Natural Shifting motorised private Achieving potential
Gas and Biomethane“ transport to more energy- efficiencies in the usage
-Metastudy: "GermanHy – where efficient modes of transport: and purchasing behaviour
will Germany's hydrogen come - "mobility management of car drivers:
from up to 2050?“ programme" - "Car Labelling"
-"Refinery Study“ implementation platform
-- "Biomass-to-Liquid (BtL) - "ich & mein auto" ("me &
Implementation Report" my car") information
campaign
Overall approach
Preliminary investigation for the Federal government's mobility and fuel strategy
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 28
.Status of CNG and biomethane.
NGV-numbers, number of filling stations and vehicle-to-refuelling- 900 filling stations for CNG in Germany
station index (VRI)
Quelle: Peters (2011) based on data of NGV Global (2011)
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 29
.Energiesteuern auf Kraftstoffe.
Aktuelle Energiesteuer in € pro Verkaufseinheit: Energiesteuer für Erdgas als Kraftstoff
(CNG) bis Ende 2018 reduziert auf 13,90
EUR/MWh bzw. ca. 18 Cent pro kg
Steuerermäßigung gilt im gleichen Maße
auch für Flüssiggas (LPG)
Ab 2019 Energiesteuer auf Erdgas 31,80
EUR/MWh bzw. ca. 41 Cent pro kg
Resultat:
Preis für CNG an der Zapfsäule erhöht sich ab
2019 um ca. 23 Cent pro kg plus Umsatzsteuer,
Aktuelle Energiesteuer in € pro MWh: das entspricht einem Preisaufschlag von 25 bis
29 % bei aktuellen Tankstellenpreisen von 0,95
bis 1,10 €/kg
Peters: In translation
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 30Energiesteuerermäßigung als Lösungspfad bestehender
Markthemmnisse.
Markt- Ausprägung im Markt (exemplarisch) Positive Wirkung einer
hemmnisse Verlängerung der
Energiesteuerermäßigung
Fehlende Zurückhaltung bei Investitionen in Fahrzeugentwicklung und Politik schafft Vertrauen bzw.
Planungs- Tankstellenausbau auf Grund mangelnder Planungssicherheit durch langfristige
sicherheit bei Planungssicherheit Rahmenbedingungen.
Wirtschafts-
akteuren
Informations- Kunde kennt Angebot oder Vorteile nicht Werbewirksame Kommunikation der
defizit beim („Ich kaufe mir irgendwann lieber ein Elektroauto.“) Steuerverlängerung kann Aufmerksamkeit
Kunden (privat schaffen (Phänomen Abwrackprämie).
und gewerblich)
Kunde ist unsicher bzgl. der Marktentwicklung ab 2019: Politik schafft hinreichend langfristige
„Wie stabil bleibt der Restwert des Fahrzeuges? Ist der Planungssicherheit in Sachen Steuer.
Fortbestand bestehender Tankstellen garantiert? Bleibt der
Preisvorteil von CNG auch künftig erhalten?“
Mangelnde Kunde erkennt zwar die Vorteile in Sachen Kosten (Total Kunde erhält Anreiz, die Gewichtung der
Produkt- Cost of Ownership) und Klimaschutz aber gewichtet diesen Faktoren zu überdenken und sich ggf. zu
akzeptanz in Kaufentscheidung gering ggü. anderen Faktoren (z.B. Gunsten eines Erdgasfahrzeuges zu
Markenloyalität, Reichweite, Tankstellenverfügbarkeit) entscheiden.
Speziell Flottenkunden: Wie oben, aber Fuhrparkleiter bzw. Unternehmen wird durch mögliche Ersparnis
das Unternehmen hat zusätzlich die Schwierigkeit, den Peters:
bei denInKraftstoffkosten
translation motiviert, den
Dienstwagennutzer zu überzeugen. Dienstwagennutzer entsprechend zu
incentivieren.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 31
.Closing the gaps in vehicle offering.
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 32
.Status of CNG and biomethane:
Missleading fuel price declaration.
Fuel prices in Germany per 10kWh Price display of sales units based
€/liter for gasoline, diesel and
LPG
€/kilogram for natural gas (CNG)
Effect of current energy tax rebate
not visible
Need for an energy-based price
declaration
Calculation based on fuel prices of August 2011
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 33
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