Country Profile Greece - www.lloyds.com/GreeceMI

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Country Profile Greece - www.lloyds.com/GreeceMI
Country Profile
Greece
www.lloyds.com/GreeceMI

April 2014
filip.wuebbeler@lloyds.com
Country Profile Greece - www.lloyds.com/GreeceMI
KEY FACTS

FULL NAME / CAPITAL CITY: Hellenic Republic / Athens                                                         GDP (PPP):                            US$ 266bn (Global Rank #51)

LANGUAGE:                             Greek                                                                  POPULATION:                           10.7m (Global Rank #81)

                                                                                                             IMF CATEGORISATION:                   “Developed”

MAIN EXPORT PARTNERS:                 Turkey 11%, Italy 8%, Germany 7% (2012)

MAIN IMPORT PARTNERS:                 Russia 12%, Germany 9.5%, Italy 8% (2012)

MAIN EXPORTS:                         Food and beverages, manufactured goods,
                                      petroleum products

MAIN IMPORTS:                         Machinery, transport equipment, fuels

                                          2012 Rank        2013 Rank       Change in Rank
EASE OF DOING BUSINESS:                         100              78                 22
COMPETITIVENESS:                                 90              96                 -6
FREEDOM FROM CORRUPTION:                         80              78                 2

   DISASTER               YEAR                   ECONOMIC COST (US$ x 1000)
Earthquake                1999                                                           4,200,000
Wildfire                  2007                                                           1,750,000
Drought                   1990                                                           1,000,000
Earthquake                1981                                                            900,000
Earthquake                1986                                                            745,000

 Source: Disaster Statistics based on: Prevention Web (2013); Export Statistics based on CIA World Factbook; Doing Business Indicators based on World Bank & World Economic Forum

                                                                                                                                                             © Lloyd’s              2
KEY STATISTICS
GOVERNANCE INDICATORS                                                                SIZE OF ECONOMY                                                         WEALTH PER CAPITA
Percentile Rank (1-100) 2012                                                          Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) basis                                    Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) basis
                                      GR              CY                     TR       in International $ bn                                                  in International $
                                                                                     1,800                                                                   40,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                              30,118
                                     Greece          Cyprus                 Turkey

                                                                                                                                                                      26,875
 2012                                                                                1,600

                                                                                                                                                                                       24,260
Government Effectiveness               62              88                     65     1,400                                                                   30,000
                                                                                     1,200
Political Stability and Absence of
                                       38              68                     13     1,000
Violence/Terrorism                                                                                                                                           20,000
                                                                                      800
Control of Corruption                  51              85                     63
                                                                                      600

                                                                                                                                       337
                                                                                                299

                                                                                                               274
                                                                                      400                                                                    10,000
Regulatory Quality                     68              84                     66
                                                                                      200
Rule of Law                            64              84                     57        0                                                                        0
                                                                                                      2006           2012                    2018f                             2006             2012                   2018f
Voice and Accountability               67              79                     41
                                                                                                       GR            CY                      TR                                GR           CY                    TR

TOTAL NON-LIFE DIRECT INSURANCE MARKET*                                               NON-LIFE DIRECT INSURANCE MARKET                                       LLOYD’S 2013 GROSS SIGNED PREMIUMS
Premiums in US$ m                                                                     Premiums in US$ m; by OECD Class                                       Gross Signed Premiums in US$ m; by country of origin
10,000                                                                                                                                                        250

                                                                                                                                                                      216

                                                                                                                                                                                      206
                                                                                        Motor

                                                                                                                                                                                                            200
                                                                                                                                 800
 9,000
                                                                                                                          940
 8,000                                                                                                                                                        200
                                                                                        PA & Health
 7,000                                                                                                                                               4,456
 6,000                                                                                                                                                        150
                                                                                                                                 Greece
                3,755

                                                                                        Property
                                                               3,289

 5,000
                                      3,055

                                                                                                             3,083                2012                        100
 4,000
                                                                                        Liability                               US$ 3.0bn
 3,000
 2,000                                                                                                                                                         50
                                                                                        MAT
 1,000
      0                                                                                                                                                         0
                                                                                        Miscellaneous                                  3,479
                        2011                  2012                     2013                                                                                               2011           2012                 2013

                        GR                    CY                       TR                                                                                                      GR           CY                    TR

          All data, sources & data limitations are available for download at www.lloyds.com/comparecountries; * 2013 total non-life based on CAGR projection

LLOYD’S TRADING POSITION                                      Insurance: Yes for all classes on a Freedom of Services basis, and Yes for all classes except for term life on an
            Greece                                            Establishment basis.
                                                              Reinsurance: Yes
      www.lloyds.com/crystal                                  Coverholders: Yes
                                                                                                                                                                                                © Lloyd’s                      3
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
Only gradually recovering European growth and lingering Swiss franc strength will restrain economy and inflation: Coalition government remains on
shaky ground, but short-term stability likely to be assured. The two-party ruling coalition of the centre-right New Democracy (Néa Dimokratía: ND) and left-
leaning Panhellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK) has a slim, three-seat majority in the Greek legislature. Prime Minister Antonis Samaras is keen to prevent
major internal rifts that could lead to a potential government collapse. This is particularly the case during the first half of 2014, when Greece holds the rotating
presidency of the Council of the European Union. However, challenges remain, particularly regaridng the future trajectory of the government's socio-economic
policies and further austerity and restructuring measures, which will test the coalition's stability several times.

Demonstrations and strikes continue to trouble politicians, violent attacks also on the rise. Protests tend to attract large numbers, can affect vital public
services, and often turn violent. In 2012, violent riots broke out in the capital, Athens, with dozens of businesses looted and numerous properties set ablaze. In
2013, there were a number of attacks on political figures, as well as businesses, with nationwide strikes and demonstrations taking place regularly throughout
the year. Ongoing fiscal and economic difficulties, accompanied by austerity measures, will continue to test public patience throughout 2014.

Economy will contract at decelerating pace in 2014. Activity fell for the sixth consecutive year in 2013 and the economy is expected to contract again,
although at a modest pace, in 2014. External demand is seen firming in 2014, which should help to sustain export growth. Domestic demand will remain under
intense pressure, although the stabilisation of the labour market situation, falling prices, and some easing of fiscal tightening should provide some support.

Delays in implementation of some structural reforms and privatisation receipts raise concerns. Although labour market reforms have been advancing at
a good pace, there have been delays in the implementation of reforms aimed at liberalising product and service markets. At the same time, meeting the
privatisation target for 2014 will also be challenging. Reforms will largely determine the performance of the economy over the medium to long term, but they will
also be an important factor for Greece's official creditors when they evaluate the success of the adjustment.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)                                                    TOP-10 SECTORS (BY VALUE ADDED)                           BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT INFORMATION
(nominal GDP levels in billion US$; Real GDP change)                            (value added in billion US$ & 2014 Change in real %)      (provided by IHS Global Insight, April 2014)
400                                                                       4%                                        2013       2014
                                                                                TOP SECTORS                        Value    Percentage
                                                            2.1%   2.3%                                            Added     Change
                                                                          2%
                                              1.7%   1.5%                       1. Real estate                      27.4        1.3
                                                                          0%    2. Public Admin. & Defence          26.3        -3.5
                                      -0.2%
                                                                                3. Retail trade - total             17.1        -0.7
200                                                                       -2%   4. Education                        17.0        -1.4
                                                                                5. Wholesale trade                  16.2        0.4
                              -3.9%                                       -4%   6. Hotels & restaurants             14.6        -1.6
      -4.9%                                                                     7. Health and social services       11.1        -1.9

                                                                          -6%
                                                                                8. Agriculture                      11.0        1.8

                      -7.0%
                                                                                9. Banking & related financial      10.7        1.7
              -7.1%
 0                                                                        -8%
                                                                                10. Water transport                  8.8        1.6
      2010    2011    2012    2013    2014    2015   2016   2017   2018         Top-10 Total                        160.2                For daily updates visit: > www.ihsglobalinsight.com

                                                                                                                                                                        © Lloyd’s        4
INSURANCE ENVIRONMENT
2012 MAJOR DIRECT INSURERS                                                        2012 DIRECT GROSS PREMIUMS                                  QUICK LINKS / USEFUL SOURCES
(GWP in million US$)                                                              (Gross Written Premium in % of total)
                                                                                                                                              Insurance Market Profiles
                          0             500                1000
                                                                                                                                              > www.iii.org/international/profiles
                Ethniki                                                 1,158.8    Motor                                  257
                                                                                                                   56
                                                                                                                                              The Greek Insurance Association
         American Life                  437.4                                                                   102                           > www.eaee.gr
           ING EAAEZ                   415.5                                       PA & Health
                                                                                                                                              The Insurance Regulator
         EFG Eurollife            350.7
                                                                                                                                              > http://www.bankofgreece.gr
                                                                                   Property                                Greece
    Interamerican Life           322.2                                                                                      2012
                                                                                                          675
                                                                                                                                              Lloyd’s Agency Network
                Allianz          320.7                                             Liability                              US$ 3.0bn           > www.lloyds.com/agency
                                                NOTE:
                                                                                                                                      1,885
Interamerican Non-Life           318.3          This ranking includes
                                                life & non-life                                                                               Lloyd’s Claims Team
               Agrotiki         298.2                                              MAT
                                                companies                                                       81                            > www.lloyds.com/claims
                  AXA           276.8
                                                                                   Miscellaneous
   Groupama Phoenix            266.3

                                                                                                                                              BUSINESS CULTURE GUIDE
                                                                                                                                              > http://www.kwintessential.co.uk
Source: Association: > www.eaee.gr                                                Source: Regulator: > www.eaee.gr                              (View Resources > Culture Guide)

The Greek non-life insurance market is estimated to be worth around US$ 3bn in 2012: In 2011, there were 69 companies (down from 73 in 2010) active in the market
(SA companies and branches of foreign insurance companies). The expectation is that there will be a further reduction with small and undercapitalised companies either shut
down or absorbed, as a result of the financial crisis and enhanced regulatory requirements. The insurance sector has also suffered losses from the fall in investments' value
and from the participation to the Greek State Bonds exchange program (PSI). Insurance in the country continues to be marked by significantly low levels of penetration.
International foreign insurers: The Greek insurance market has a number of foreign players including Interamerican (owned by Eureko insurance group) as well Groupama
Phoenix (owned by French group) amongst others.
Broker Market: The use of brokers has only relatively recently been introduced to the Greek insurance market. Brokers are increasing and becoming more popular by buying
significant industrial accounts as well as commercial ones.
No local reinsurers: Mapfre is the only major Continental reinsurer with a representative office in Athens.
Outlook: The drastic reduction in household budgets following the cuts decided by the government on salaries and pensions in the public sector, zero salary increases in the
private sector, high unemployment, coupled with the low insurance awareness of Greek consumers, means that growth rates are likely to be subdued for the insurance market
over the medium term.
                                                                                                                                                               © Lloyd’s           5
LLOYD’S BUSINESS
 2009-2013 LLOYD’S TOTAL PREMIUMS                                                                                                  2013 LLOYD’S HIGH LEVEL CLASSES
 Gross Signed Premiums; Direct versus Reinsurance; in million US$                                                                  Gross Signed Premiums; high level classes; in million US$
 250                                                                      2013 GROSS SIGNED PREMIUMS*
                                                                                                                                             UK Motor        0.0

                                                                          Total                      US$ 200m                          Overseas Motor        0.2
 200                       45      36
           54                                  39          37                                                                          Property Treaty        4.9

 150                                                                      Reinsurance                US$ 37m
                                                                                                                                       Property (D&F)                16.7
                                                                          Direct                     US$ 164m
                                                                                                                                               Marine                                                         134.3
 100
                       176         181
                                              167
                                                                          *COUNTRY OF ORIGIN PREMIUMS                                          Energy         4.2
           165                                            164
                                                                             Policyholders are based or
  50                                                                          headquartered in this territory;
                                                                                                                                             Casualty                    26.6

                                                                                                                                       Casualty Treaty       1.3
                                                                             Premiums may be written outside
   0                                                                          this territory;                                                 Aviation       2.5
          2009        2010        2011        2012        2013
                                                                          X   Not necessarily where risks are located                Accident & Health             9.8
                  Direct                  Reinsurance
                                                                          X   May differ to what is reported to
                                                                              local regulator (dependent on local requirements).                         0          20      40   60      80       100   120   140     160

SOURCE: Market Intelligence based on *Gross Signed premiums; Xchanging (2014); unaudited figures based on country of origin and processing by calendar year; see Appendix for details

                       A Type 2 office is defined as a Country Representative,                                                     Ms Marianna Papadakis
                       who is either employed directly or who is a third party                                                     Office in Greece
                       retained by Lloyd’s. A type 2 Representative satisfies the                                Lloyd’s           25A Boukourestiou Street
       Type 2                                                                                                   Country            106 71 Athens, Greece
                       minimum requirements for the licence in the territory and
       Office                                                                                                   Manager
                       may also undertake additional regulatory or legislative                                                     TELEPHONE:            +44 0207 327 6802
                       functions. They are also responsible for the promotion of                                                                         +30 210 363 9156
                       Lloyd’s and the protection of the brand within the country                                                  EMAIL:                marianna.papadakis@lloyds.com

                                                                                                                                                                                      © Lloyd’s               6
LLOYD’S OBJECTIVES

   Maintain and enhance Lloyd’s position as a strong, secure, reliable and stable specialist insurance provider for the local business community.

LLOYD’S KEY INITIATIVES 2014

   Demonstrate thought leadership in protecting the brand and ensure continuous business development despite the challenging local environment: To be
    achieved by maintaining good relationships with the Bank of Greece and ICCS, staying close to political events and strengthening the coverholder network.

   Profile Lloyd’s as a partner to local industry: Play a more active role in supporting the local insurance and broking associations and promoting education initiatives for
    local insurance stakeholders, encouraging them to use Lloyd’s more as a specialist market participant.

   Identify and support business opportunities where there is local demand: Explore with underwriters, brokers and local stakeholders appetite to promote specific
    classes and re-focus on local strengths.

EVENTS & MARKET INTELLIGENCE
               2014 INDUSTRY EVENTS                                       2014 LLOYD’S EVENTS                                            MARKET INTELLIGENCE
                                                                                                                          Available Market Intelligence products for this territory include:

   Hydra Insurance and Reinsurance Meeting,                 Local Market Presentation, TBC                                          Country Profile
    September                                                Class of Business Event, TBC
                                                                                                                                      Market Presentation
   Posidonia Shipping Event, June

                                                                                                                                      Class Review – Lite (work in progress)

                                                                                                                                      www.lloyds.com/GreeceMI

                                                                                                                                                          © Lloyd’s              7
APPENDIX
MACRO-ECONOMIC & BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT DATA
    Source: IMF (www.imf.org/external/data.htm), World Bank (http://data.worldbank.org/), IHS Global Insight.
    Notes: GDP data on size and wealth of the economy is reported in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms; this is the most accurate indicator of the true standard of living in
    each country and therefore potential demand. To calculate this, GDP is converted from local currency to an international $ currency using PPP exchange rates rather than the
    market exchange rate. The PPP local currency-to-international $ exchange rates are determined such that a standard basket of goods has the same price in international $
    terms in each country. This adjusts for the differing costs of goods across countries, when converted at market exchange rates.

INSURANCE MARKET DATA
    Source: Reported data derived by Lloyd’s Market Intelligence team; original source is regulatory bodies, associations, third party information providers.
    Notes: Data is reported in US$. For more information, see www.lloyds.com/comparecountries.
    Exchange Rates Note: Where required, data has been converted to US$ using annual average exchange rates as per www.oanda.com.

LLOYD’S PREMIUM DATA
    Source: Reported data derived by Lloyd’s; original source is Xchanging (data therefore contains only premiums processed by Xchanging).
    Notes: Data is reported is US$, on a calendar year basis and is signed gross premiums. This differs from the data published in the Lloyd’s Annual Report, which is also on a
    calendar year basis, but is written gross premiums and sourced directly from Syndicates. Differences are therefore (1) timing inconsistencies between signed and written gross
    premiums; (2) inconsistent use of exchange rates by Syndicates and Xchanging; & (3) incompleteness of Xchanging data set for certain classes of business (a substantial
    amount of premium is not processed by Xchanging and missing from the REG 258 data set; this comprises, for example, UK Motor).
    Exchange Rates Note: Data has been converted to US$ using monthly exchange rates provided by Xchanging.
    Definitions:
      Gross Signed Premiums: Original and additional inward premiums, plus any amount in respect of administration fees or policy expenses remitted with a premium but
      before the deduction of outward reinsurance premiums.
      Calendar Year: Relates to the calendar year in which the premium, additional or return, is processed by Xchanging. This is irrespective of the actual underwriting year of
      account, which is determined by the inception date of each risk.
      Country of Origin: Denotes the domicile of the insured party (i.e. the coverholder or policyholder). This is the country from which demand for the insurance / reinsurance
      emanates, & is irrespective of the country to which the risk is classified for regulatory reporting purposes.
      Example: A policy holder in the UK insuring a holiday home in France would be classified as a UK risk by “Country Of Origin”, but “French” for regulatory reporting
      purposes. Similarly a risk incepting on 1st December 2007 would be classified at 2007 “Underwriting Year of Account” but may not be processed by Xchanging until 2008
      and so be allocated to the 2008 “processing year”.

      ACCESSING THE DATA: to access the raw data in this document, and equivalent data for other countries, see www.lloyds.com/comparecountries.

     DISCLAIMER: This document is intended for general information purposes only. Whilst all care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the information, Lloyd's does not
      accept any responsibility for any errors or omissions. Lloyd's does not accept any responsibility or liability for any loss to any person acting or refraining from action as a
      result of, but not limited to, any statement, fact, figure, expression of opinion or belief contained in this document.
                                                                                                                                                          © Lloyd’s           8
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