Digital Instants Overview - (Updated) November 5, 2019 - NC Policy Watch

 
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Digital Instants Overview - (Updated) November 5, 2019 - NC Policy Watch
Digital Instants Overview
         (Updated)

       November 5, 2019
Digital Instants Overview - (Updated) November 5, 2019 - NC Policy Watch
Current Online Play Platform

GAMES OFFERED                    DRAW OPTIONS

- Powerball (multi-state)        1 draw – 1 year’s worth (104 draws or 364 draws)

- Mega Millions (multi-state)

- Lucky for Life (multi-state)

- Cash 5

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Digital Instants Overview - (Updated) November 5, 2019 - NC Policy Watch
Five Online Gaming States Currently Offer
                                       Digital Instants
                                                  Jurisdiction     Game Category
                                                  Georgia          Draw, Instant
                                                  Michigan         Draw, Instant
                                                  Kentucky         Draw, Instant
                                                  New Hampshire    Draw, Instant
                                                  Pennsylvania     Instant
                                                  North Carolina   Draw
                                                  Illinois         Draw
                                                  New York         Draw Subscriptions
                                                  North Dakota     Draw Subscriptions
                                                  Virginia         Draw Subscriptions, Mobile Play
                                                  Ohio             Contract Award Pending

iLottery Benchmarking Study | Prepared for NCEL                    3
Digital Instants Overview - (Updated) November 5, 2019 - NC Policy Watch
Digital Instants Typically Make Up the Majority of
                         Online Gaming Revenue

iLottery Benchmarking Study | Prepared for NCEL   4
Digital Instants Overview - (Updated) November 5, 2019 - NC Policy Watch
Digital Instants Offer the Most Growth Potential

                                                                             MONTHLY PER CAPITA DATA
                  • New draw games no longer offer the             Product              Sales      GGR
                    potential for up to $0.93 monthly per
                                                                   SCRATCH-OFF TOTAL    $15.22     $4.41
                    cap of GGR.
                                                                   Pick 3               $2.99      $1.50
                  • Based on projections a Digital Instant         Pick 4               $1.44      $0.72
                    program would generate $0.35 monthly           Cash 5               $0.62      $0.31
                    per cap GGR or $34.6 million net in the        Powerball            $0.76      $0.38
                                                                   Mega Millions        $0.54      $0.27
                    first full year.
                                                                   Lucky for Life       $0.16      $0.07
                                                                   Keno                 $0.38      $0.13
                  • By the 5th year the program is projected       DRAW GAME TOTAL      $6.89      $3.38
                    to generate $81.6 million in net
                    proceeds.

iLottery Benchmarking Study | Prepared for NCEL                5
Digital Instants Overview - (Updated) November 5, 2019 - NC Policy Watch
Retail Instant Sales Continue to Grow In Markets
            that have Introduced Digital Instants

                              GEORGIA LOTTERY                                                                                                         MICHIGAN LOTTERY
                                   Retail Instant Sales            Internet Sales                                                                             Retail Instant Sales             Internet Sales

                                                                               $3,189.5

                                                                                                  $3,157.9
                                                $3,068.6

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               $1,546.9
                $3,006.7
$2,801.4

                                                                                                                                                                                                           $1,359.6
                                                                                                                                                                           $1,160.7
                                                                                                                                          $1,047.8
                                                                                                                         $947.4

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          $840.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      $681.4
                                                                                                                                                                                      $478.5
                                                                                                                                                     $191.3
                                                                                                             $66.0
                                                                                          $41.0

                                                                                                                                  $19.0
                                                           $29.2
                           $21.9
           $-

    2014            2015                            2016                           2017               2018                  2014              2015                             2016                            2017                2018

                                                                                                                     6
Retail Instant Sales Continue to Grow In Markets
          that have Introduced Digital Instants

                       KENTUCKY LOTTERY                                                                                          PENNSYLVANIA LOTTERY
                            Retail Instant Sales          Internet Sales                                                                    Retail Instant Sales         Internet Sales

                                                                                       $628.7
                                                                      $614.1

                                                                                                                                                                                                     $2,915.7
              $584.4

                                         $581.2

                                                                                                                                                         $2,790.7

                                                                                                                                                                                     $2,742.2
                                                                                                                            $2,670.1
$536.9

                                                                                                            $2,525.2

                                                                                                                                                                                                                $133.0
                                                                                                $20.0
                                                                               $10.1
                                                   $2.3
         $-

                       $-

                                                                                                                       $-

                                                                                                                                       $-

                                                                                                                                                                    $-

                                                                                                                                                                                                $-
   2014          2015                       2016                         2017             2018                  2014            2015                         2016                        2017            2018

                                                                                                        7
Retail Instant Sales Continue to Grow In Markets
       that have Introduced Digital Instants

                            NEW HAMPSHIRE LOTTERY
                                        Retail Instant Sales           Internet Sales

                                                                                                  $242.4
                                                                                    $230.7
                                                     $220.6
                          $210.9
            $205.6

                                                                                                           $9.1
                     $-

                                   $-

                                                                  $-

                                                                                             $-
               2014          2015                       2016                            2017         2018

                                                              8
Retail Same Store Instant Sales Continue to Grow
  In Markets that have Introduced Digital Instants
Average Sales Per Retailer       • All of the states that have
                                   introduced Digital Instants have
                                   not seen any growth of retail
                                   networks - only exception is New
                                   Hampshire

                                 • Same store growth in all other
                                   jurisdictions mirrors or is slightly
                                   higher than the Retail Instant sales
                                   growth

                                 • NH introduced Keno at nearly the
                                   same time as introducing Digital
                                   Instants – led to a 6% growth of
                                   retail network, negatively impacting
                                   the same store growth metric

                             9
Digital Instants Can Integrate with Retail With Online
Game Cards, Cross Promotions and Referral Programs
                          •    Sold at retail, a $20 Online Game Card purchase provides players
                               with $25 in online credit.
                                   •   This cash-based method provides players with another funding mechanism
                                       to add to their eWallets.
                                   •   Retailers receive standard commission for selling the Online Game Card.
                                   •   The product has evolved to a terminal-based printed ticket version with
                                       variable funding amounts.
                                   •   This payment method is responsible for over 700,000 retail transactions and
                                       represents 7% of online play deposits today.

                          •    A new option now exists for players to also cash their Online Play
                               winnings at retail locations, driving additional in-store sales for
                               retailers.

                          •    There is also the ability to drive Online Play players to purchase at
                               retail through cross promotions, such as coupons for discounts on
                               retail ticket purchases.

                          •    Referral programs have also been developed to provide incentives
                               for retailers who refer retail players to online play.

                              10
There Are A Variety Of Digital Instant Game Types
       Digital Instant Game Types
       • Single Ticket
       • Multi Play Area / Multi Ticket
       • Extended Play
       • Draw Simulation
       • Bonus Round / Mini Games
       • Interactive Play

       Game Demos
       https://www.nhlottery.com/iLottery-Games

       https://www.pailottery.com/games/all-games

iLottery Benchmarking Study | Prepared for NCEL
                                                      11
Digital Instants Require Enhanced Prize Structures
Digital Instant Games Play Faster than Retail
Clicking is faster than scratching, cashing prizes happens instantaneously instead of in a waiting line, plus the computer
system eliminates all of the time spent interpreting the ticket for winnings (e.g., animations jump out at players when they
win).

Digital Instants Is Destination Gaming
Unlike retail, where lottery is often an ancillary activity, players are deliberately visiting a digital instants site to escape and
play. The entertainment time that they demand is far different than a store environment.

Higher Payouts Deliver More Value to Players
Because digital instants players are there to play for longer periods of time, a higher payout will allow players more play time
for the same dollar. An insufficient payout rate will make time more expensive for a player to purchase and can lead to
retention loss.

Payout Rate Doesn’t Determine Profit Rate
The prize structures, if designed correctly, will churn smaller prizes into profit while also delivering excitement and meaningful
prizes back to players. This will result in more satisfied players while also maintaining gaming margins.

                                                                                                                                       12
Importance of Payout on Play Duration and
                                       Engagement

                                                                                 Impact of Payout on Play Duration
                                                  $100
•      Payout is directly correlated to
                                                   $90
       amount of time played                       $80
                                                                                                             + 40 minutes
                                                   $70

•      Higher payouts lead to longer play          $60
                                                   $50
       times, more engaged players and
                                                   $40
       eventually more frequent visits             $30
                                                   $20
•      Engaging game play alone will not           $10

       lead to long term success of a               $0
                                                         Original   10 Minutes   20 Minutes    30 Minutes    40 Minutes   50 Minutes   60 Minutes   70 Minutes
       digital instant game                              Deposit

                                                                                              68% Payout    87% Payout

iLottery Benchmarking Study | Prepared for NCEL
States with Digital Instants at Optimal Payouts have
                   Experienced Strong Growth

*All figures include Instant Keno revenues but exclude draw-based Keno. Georgia Lottery per capita gaming revenues are projected based on publicly available statements after month 29. Pennsylvania Lottery per
capita gaming revenues are projected based on publicly available statements. All net gaming is based on theoretical payout rates versus actual payouts in order to eliminate spikes due to large prize wins in any given
month.
                                                                                                                                 14
Prize Structures and Payout Rates Impact Revenue
                • The recommended payout for Digital Instants is [To Be Approved by the Commission].
                          •      This recommendation is based on practices in place at the top performing Digital Instant programs in the US
                                 (i.e. Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire).
                          •      This payout is approximately 16 percentage points higher than our current NCEL aggregate payout for scratch-
                                 off games (71%).

                • The recommended payouts would be fixed across all price points for Digital Instant games,
                  which differs from the current strategy of gradual payout increases for Scratch-off games.
                          •      This is based on the expectations of a Digital Instant player versus a scratch-off player.
                          •      Entertainment value in the form of win frequency is higher priority amongst Digital Instant players, which
                                 requires richer payouts.
                                                                                                                                                     Monthly GGR
                                                                                                               State               Payout %
                                                                                                                                                      Per Capita*

                                                                                                       Michigan                      87.5%                $0.93

                                                                                                       Pennsylvania                   87%                 $0.45

                                                                                                       New Hampshire                  85%                 $0.53

                                                                                                                                       68%
                                                                                                       Kentucky                                           $0.10
                                                                                                                                   (at launch)

                                                                                                       Georgia                        68%                 $0.05

*All figures include Instant Keno revenues but exclude draw-based Keno. Georgia Lottery per capita gaming revenues are projected based on publicly available statements after month 29. All net gaming is based on
theoretical payout rates versus actual payouts in order to eliminate spikes due to large prize wins in any given month.

                                                                                                                              15
Digital Instants Projected Proceeds of $244 Million
                 Over the First 5 Years of Operation

                                                        Year 1
                                                                       Year 2        Year 3   Year 4   Year 5
                                                  (Partial 4 months)

iLottery Benchmarking Study | Prepared for NCEL                                 16
Digital Instants Payout Scenarios and Impact on
                             Estimated Return
                                                                            Digital Instants Payout Scenarios - Thru Year 5
  PAYOUT SCENARIO                                      87%                                 85%*                             83%             80%
  Sales                                           $2,415,038,827                      $1,674,426,920                   $1,292,756,076   $941,865,140
  Prizes                                          $2,101,083,779                      $1,423,262,882                   $1,072,987,543   $753,492,112
  GGR                                              $313,955,047                        $251,164,038                     $219,768,533    $188,373,028
  Vendor Fees                                      $48,300,315                         $38,735,456                      $33,940,162     $29,128,380
  Operating Expenses                               $21,120,241                         $21,120,241                      $21,120,241     $21,120,241
  TOTAL                                            $244,534,492                        $191,308,341                     $164,708,130    $138,124,407

                                                                                                         70% (KY)
                                                               Sales                                   $195,070,639
                                                               Prizes                                  $136,549,447
                                                               GGR                                     $58,521,192
                                                               Vendor Fees                              $8,983,654
                                                               Operating Expenses                       $9,193,682
                                                               TOTAL                                  $40,343,856.29

* Projections based on the “Low” scenario presented as part of the performance audit by Delehanty Consulting

iLottery Benchmarking Study | Prepared for NCEL                                                     17
Deposit Limits regulate player spending

                                                  Player Selects and   Player Wins
           Player Funds Wallet                    Purchases Game
                        DEPOSIT
                                                    WAGER / PLAY

                                                      Player $’s +
                      Player $’s
                                                       Winnings

iLottery Benchmarking Study | Prepared for NCEL               18
Play and Deposit Limits in Other Jurisdictions

                                                                                                 NC
                              GA          MI           KY           PA            NH         (Proposed)
                            Deposit     Deposit      Deposit    Deposit/Play    Deposit        Deposit
                                                                                            [To be Approved
Daily Deposit Limits         $250       $10,000          $500   Set by Player     $500      by Commission]
                                                                                            [To be Approved
Weekly Deposit Limits        $750       $35,000          $500   Set by Player    $1,500     by Commission]
                                                                                            [To be Approved
Monthly Deposit Limits      $2,500      $75,000      $2,000     Set by Player    $3,000     by Commission]
Player Can Set Own Limits   Y - Lower   Y - Lower   Y - Lower        Y          Y - Lower     Y - Lower

• All jurisdictions offer some sort of Play or Deposit limits.
• Only PA offers both Play and Deposit Limits. Unlike all other jurisdictions players must
  set their own limits. There is not a Lottery imposed limit on Plays or Deposits.

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Digital Instants Provide Additional Opportunities for
                      Responsible Gaming
•   Membership Requirement: Players must be a member of the NCEL Player’s Club and upgrade their account with additional
    information (last four of SSN) to purchase online.

•   Age and Identity Verification: The NCEL uses the ID verification service IDology to validate the identity of online players and
    understand potential risks.

•   Player-Enabled Limits and Change Waiting Period: Players have the option of setting their own deposit limits. There is a 48-hour
    waiting period before any increase in the deposit limit takes effect.

•   Self-Exclusion: Online Play users can effectively lock their account for a specified period of time, chosen by the player.

                                                     Digital Instants RG Tools

•   Loss Limits (Digital Instants): Players can set a maximum amount of money that they can lose in a certain period of time.

•   Play Time Reminders (Digital Instants): Notification sent to players at a defined period to remind them how long that they have been
    playing.

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NCEL Website is Well Protected
•   SSL connections: SSL is industry standard encryption technology that prevents “man-in the-middle” attacks.

•   Firewalled Load Balancer for Web Server: Our web server sits behind a firewalled load balancer and the only allowed access is
    through the load balancer. This minimizes attack surface and prevents many types of exploits.

•   Sever-side Logging, Health-Monitoring, and Geo-Restrictions: Minimize and rapidly respond to malicious activity.

•   Utilize Usernames for Login Instead of Email: This provides several security benefits because many hacks occur due to
    combination of infiltration of lesser secure sites, password re-use, and acquiring email and password from such sites. We also enforce
    password complexity requirements and lock out accounts after too many failed password attempts to prevent random guessing.

•   Hashed Passwords: Passwords are stored in unrecoverable hashed format. This is considered more secure then encryption.

•   Strong Encryption for API and Data Transfers: We use industry best encryption technologies for API and data transfers between
    our site and NPI. For server to server APIs, we add additional IP restrictions only granting access to trusted servers.

                                                                    21
NPI Platform is also Highly Secure

•   Secure Player Information: Offers a secure gaming platform that is PCI-DSS compliant (Payment Card Industry Data Security
    Standard).
•   Strong Encryption: The player data is encrypted “at rest” and “in transit.”
•   Firewalls: Strong firewalls for intrusion detection and prevention, DDOS (Distributed Denial of Service) protection and more.
•   Compliant and Certified International Data Integrity and Information Security Standards:
      •   International/multi state regulations standards such as MUSL, GDPR (the EU General Data Protection Regulation), as well as others.
      •   Certified in more than 10 International/multi state regulatory frameworks, including the UK, Italy, Denmark and in a few weeks New-Jersey.
      •   Multiple “best in industry” security standards, including ISO 27001, PCI-DSS and others .

•   Ongoing Audits and Recertification: The NPI system undergoes continuous and on-going audits and periodical recertification by all
    aforementioned entities (regulators, certification labs, etc.). On average NPI is audited at least once per month.
•   Mature System: Operational for over 14 years, selling over a billion e-Instants and DBG tickets yearly, with no past occurrence of any
    security incident involving hacking of data or disclosure of sensitive information.
•   Specific Security Measures for Digital Instants:
      •   Random Generator (RNG) is certified by a 3rd party lab, and undergoes periodic recertification
      •   Players have no control over the game outputs, since the results are determined by the RNG on the server side.
      •   Game series creation as well as ticket consumption is audited close-to-real time, by a 3rd party internal control system (ICS). So, similar to the way NPI employs an
          ICS system to constantly audit the purchase of draw based tickets (such as Powerball and mega millions) as required by MUSL, they also employ the same solution to
          constantly audit the creation and usage of digital instants, ensuring the system is running as expected (including overall game payouts, prize distribution, etc.)

                                                                                    22
Digital Instants Requires Dedicated Staff
The lottery is it’s own store front and must work to drive traffic, conversion, and transactions on a
  daily basis. This also includes increased back-office functions like finance, administration,
                                    security and quality assurance.
         DIVISION                                      POSITION                 PLANNED SALARY   BENEFITS    TOTAL
                                  Director – Digital Marketing                      $125,000      $40,417    $165,417
                                  Digital Analytics & Research Manager              $90,000       $30,809    $120,809
         Brand Management         Digital Project Coordinator                       $68,000       $24,770     $92,770
                                  Digital Graphic Designer                          $65,000       $23,947     $88,947
                                  Digital QA Analyst                                $65,000       $23,947     $88,947
         Product Development      Digital Games Manager                             $97,084       $32,754    $129,838
         Gaming Systems           SQA Analyst                                       $65,000       $23,947     $88,947
         FAS - Finance            Digital Retail Accountant                         $53,895       $20,898     $74,793
         FAS – Prize Validation   Senior Prize Analyst                              $50,000       $19,829     $69,829
                                  Investigator                                      $50,815       $20,053     $70,868
                                  Security Operations Specialist                    $45,173       $18,504     $63,677
         FAS - Security
                                  Security Operations Specialist                    $45,173       $18,504     $63,677
                                  Information Assurance / Security Specialist       $64,302       $23,755     $88,057

         Position Count: 13                                                         $884,442      $322,131   $1,206,573

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Digital Instants Timeline

                                                Digital Instant                         Digital Instants
Commission Approval                           UAT Testing Starts                       Advertising Begins
  December 5, 2019                                 January                                March 2020

                      NPI and NCEL Software                         Digital Instants
                           Development
                                                                        Launch
                       December - January
                                                                    February 2020

                                                               24
Recommendation Summary
1   Payout
    [To Be Approved by Commission]

    Ticket Cost Parameters
2   [To Be Approved by Commission]

    Limits
    Deposit Limits:
    Daily: [To Be Approved by Commission] / Weekly: [To Be Approved
3   by Commission] / Monthly: [To Be Approved by Commission]

                                                      25
Glossary
1.   Cooling Off Period – Period of time that a player must wait to increase their deposit or play limit after having reduced the amount.
     Typically 24 to 48 hours. Players cannot increase their limit beyond the lottery defined threshold.
2.   Deposit Limit – Limit typically set by the lottery for the amount a player can deposit into his/her wallet. This can typically vary by day,
     week or month based on the lottery’s preference. Players have the ability to reduce their deposit limit at any time.
3.   Digital Instants – Interactive internet games with an instant reveal of a game’s outcome
4.   Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) – Calculation of game sales minus prizes. This provides a clearer measure of performance as it
     removes the impact of player churn.
5.   iLottery – All-encompassing term referring to the sale or distribution of any lottery games via the internet. This includes draw and digital
     instant games.
6.   Play/Wager Limit – Limit typically set by the lottery for how much a player can spend on a ticket purchase or instant game wager. This
     can typically vary by day, week or month based on the lottery’s preference.
7.   Play Timer – Reminder to player of the duration of time that a player has been playing online. This is set by the lottery and is typically at
     the one hour mark.
8.   Quick Draw Games – Draw games that draw in a short period of time (typically around four to five minutes) or on demand.
9.   Self-Exclusion – The ability for a player to suspend their iLottery and rewards account for a designated period of time. There is no
     ability for the player to login or reinstate their account until that period is over. Players can choose from one month, six months, one year,
     five years or forever.
10. Subscriptions – The purchase of lottery draw games for an extended period of time that can typically vary from two weeks to one year’s
    worth of drawings.

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