ECONOMIC TRENDS - Cork Chamber

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ECONOMIC TRENDS - Cork Chamber
ECONOMIC
TRENDS
QUARTER 2 2021

Keeping Cork Connected
The past year has highlighted the resilience of Cork’s           While digital connectivity is paramount for the technology
business community, and the ability of organisations             sector, which continues to dominate many of the new IDA
both large and small to pivot and reinvent the way               announcements in Cork, the established manufacturing
they deliver their products and services. Staying                sector, including the indigenous agri-food sector, has been
connected to our international networks has become               facing challenges in physical connectivity when it comes
more important than ever, to ensure that we do not               to supply chain. Due to the perfect storm of the global
fall victim to being ‘out of sight and out of mind’.             pandemic and Brexit fallout, companies have experienced
                                                                 significant transport delays and increased costs when
With travel curtailed, business development, sales and
                                                                 moving products internationally. While it is hoped that some
marketing have become a completely virtual and online
                                                                 of these issues will resolve themselves as businesses become
contest. Being seen and heard in this new virtual world is
                                                                 more familiar with the customs implications of Brexit, and
challenging, in particular for those selling Cork and Ireland
                                                                 as the airline sector begins to open up again, organisations
as a potential investment location. Nonetheless, in the first
                                                                 such as the Port of Cork and their shipping partners are
6 months of 2021, 11 IDA clients have announced new
                                                                 working hard to improve connectivity out of Cork.
projects (including 8 expansions of existing Irish operations)
which include close to 400 direct jobs for Cork, as well as      In the last year alone, we have seen a significant increase in
additional jobs that will be forthcoming from over 700 roles     sea transport options for companies in the region with the
announced as part of multi-region expansions which include       introduction of new direct freight and haulage routes, and
Cork. These companies are growing their footprint in the         the expansion of existing routes, from Cork direct to the USA
Cork region in multiple sectors and disciplines, including       (ICL), Zeebrugge (CLdN), Roscoff (Brittany Ferries), Antwerp
wireless communications technology; life sciences; data          (Grimaldi Group) and Southampton (Unifeeder).
security and analytics; software engineering; thermal
process validation and monitoring; AI; financial services;
supply chain technology.

                                                                                            Sponsored by

                       CorkChamber.ie
ECONOMIC TRENDS - Cork Chamber
QUARTER 2
      2021

                                                                                          Enhancing the
                                                                                     public realm to create
                                                                                   locations for communities
                                                                                    to engage and maximise

SURVEY RESULTS                                                                        facilities on the river.
                                                                                           Niall Kenny
                                                                                            AB Sales
In the latest Cork Chamber Economic Trends Survey, Cork Chamber
reports on the business outlook for the third quarter of 2021 and the
year ahead, and member experiences of the most recent business
quarter, Q2 2021. The survey reports on business experiences, the                                     Insurance for business,
                                                                                                     specifically public liability
overall operating landscape and the business priorities ahead of Budget
                                                                                                    and Tour Agent insurance is
2022. While evolving in the final weeks due to the emerging news and                               very difficult to get in Ireland.
rising case numbers of the Covid Delta variant and the subsequent                                      This is very worrying.
announcement postponing the reopening of indoor hospitality, this                                        Máire Ní Mhurchú,
had been a period of relative stability with considerable progress in                                  Activity Days Ireland Ltd
the delivery and uptake of vaccines. The survey itself was conducted
over the final two weeks of June, with the government announcement
coming in the very final days of the survey period.

  BUDGET 2022

                                                                     The framework integrates planning about policy impacts
           TOP 3 BUDGET PRIORITY AREAS                               on wellbeing, taking a long term perspective on people,
                                                                     places and generations. The LSF complements rather
  1. Infrastructural investment, and housing stimulus               than replaces traditional economic tools such as GDP and
     (JOINTLY NUMBER ONE)                                            aims to enhance, support and underpin comprehensive
  2. Pandemic business recovery supports                            and robust policy development. In the latest trends
                                                                     survey, we asked members whether you would support
  3. Education and skills investment                                 the introduction of a similar framework for Ireland
                                                                     through a commitment to this in Budget 2022.

  Closely followed by health investment, employment
  measures and tax reform. Other priorities from a number
  of respondents included action to address the climate                   YES 91%
  crisis and the importance of measures to tackle Ireland’s
  greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and a call for the
  significant increase of public investment to deliver social                  NO 9%
  and affordable housing. The requirement to address
  CAT, CGT rates for entrepreneurs was also raised, noting
  the differential in Ireland’s high rates compared to other
  EU countries.                                                      A flavour of members comments ahead
                                                                     of Budget 2022:

                                                                ‘‘
   SUPPORT FOR TARGETED AND TIME BOUND                               With the impact of covid19 and debt accrual for
  MEASURES TO STIMULATE THE CONSTRUCTION                             businesses closed by compulsory order of the
      OF MORE URBAN ACCOMMODATION                                    government, the introduction of further fiscal
                                                                     responsibilities is onerous and will have a serious ‘‘
                                                                     impact particularly in the recovery time frame.
       YES 95%                                                       Anne Marie McIlwraith, Just For Men, Manscaping Lounge

          NO 5%                                                 ‘‘   Housing, housing and housing - the rental market is
                                                                     currently impossible in Cork and surrounds. This is           ‘‘
                                                                     making it incredibly difficult to attract foreign talent.
                                                                     JP Kelly, Murphy Geospatial
  To be achieved through measures such as a VAT
  reduction on construction materials.                          ‘‘   Stimuli for commercial city center development to
                                                                     counteract the doughnut effect.” (*development
  In 2019, New Zealand Treasury introduced the Living                where the city centre becomes empty, as businesses    ‘‘
  Standards Framework (LSF) to capture what matters for              and people move to the outer edge of the city).
  New Zealanders’ wellbeing, now and into the future.                Patrick Leader, Leaders Menswear
ECONOMIC TRENDS - Cork Chamber
Of the 47% of responding businesses reporting current
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE                                           vacancies, 41% of these are reporting difficulty filling
                                                              the open roles (i.e. remaining unfilled for greater than 3
                                                              months since the initial advertisement). These vacancies
     CONFIDENT 90%                                            are primarily arising in IT, engineering and finance.

          NOT CONFIDENT 10%                                   CONFIDENCE IN THE
                                                              IRISH ECONOMY
The latest figures report 90% of respondents indicating           Very Confident
business confidence. This is an increase on the previous
                                                                  Confident
                                                                                                          4%
quarter which showed 84% of businesses reporting
confidence in Q1. A very encouraging trend and a                                                                 23%
                                                                  Not Confident
significant improvement on the same quarter last year
which saw confidence at 73%.
                                                                                                      73%
Q2 % TURNOVER AND NET
PROFIT ESTIMATIONS
    Increased                                                 The latest findings show an increase in confidence
                                                              levels in the Irish economy at 73%, up from 52% in the
    Stayed the same
                                                              previous quarter.
    Decreased

                          44                                  TOP 3
                                30
                                             34   36
                                                        30    THREATS TO BUSINESS GROWTH
                                     26

                                                              1. COVID-19
                         % TURNOVER        % NET PROFIT
                                                              2. Skills availability

The latest survey shows that 65% of respondents expect        3. Cost competitiveness & Changing consumer
an increase in turnover in the third quarter, with 52%            behaviour / reduced orders (JOINTLY NUMBER THREE)
anticipating an increase to net profits in the same period.

                                                              As with previous quarters, Covid-19 ranks as the top
EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK                                            threat to business growth. Other areas mentioned by
                                                              respondents include the threat of another lockdown
EXPECTED CHANGES TO EMPLOYEE NUMBERS                          or a slowdown in the economic recovery, changing
       OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS                                travel restrictions and its impact on employees, and
                                                              concerns over accessing seed over accessing seed
                                                              finance for start-ups and scale-ups.
     INCREASE 54%
                                                              RESPONDING BUSINESSES
                           STAY THE SAME 41%
                                                                  Sole Trader

        DECREASE 5%                                               Micro Enterprise (2–10)                    10%
                                                                                                    22%
                                                                  11–50
                                                                                                                   26%
                                                                  51–100                         10%
The previous Q1 2021 quarter reported 43% of
respondents expecting an increase to employee number              101–200                           7%
over the 12 months ahead.                                                                                  25%
                                                                  101–200

  NUMBER OF BUSINESSES WITH VACANCIES
        ADVERTISED CURRENTLY
                                                              The responding businesses represent a broad range
                                                              of sectors: Life Sciences & Manufacturing (12%),
                                                              Agriculture, Food & Drinks (3%); ICT & Digital Economy
     YES 47%
                                                              (8%), Tourism, Hospitality, Retail & Leisure (11%), Culture,
                                                              Arts, Community & Media (6%), Built Environment (5%),
     NO 53%                                                   Education & Training (9%), Services (including Financial)
                                                              (36%), Health (2%), Transport, Energy & Maritime (8%).
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    Banking Team Teamknows knowsthatthattalking
                                             talkingfaceface coming coming outout       of COVID-19
                                                                                   of COVID-19               or Brexit
                                                                                                       or Brexit     or or             Chamber,
                                                                                                                                   Chamber,      permanent
                                                                                                                                              permanent  tsbtsb  is delighted
                                                                                                                                                             is delighted
to face
    to face
          andandhavinghavingthose thosemeaningful
                                            meaningful              indeed
                                                                indeed           businesses
                                                                          businesses              looking
                                                                                             looking           to grow
                                                                                                           to grow                     to become
                                                                                                                                   to become   newnew sponsor
                                                                                                                                                   sponsor      of the
                                                                                                                                                            of the     Cork
                                                                                                                                                                    Cork
conversations,
    conversations,    even even
                              if virtually,
                                    if virtually,
                                               is what
                                                     is what andand  it isitthe
                                                                              is the    personalised
                                                                                   personalised               approach
                                                                                                        approach                       Chamber,
                                                                                                                                   Chamber,      Economic
                                                                                                                                              Economic     Trends
                                                                                                                                                       Trends       Report.
                                                                                                                                                                Report.
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