Industry Liaison Forum - Ms Poppy KHOZA Presented by: African Pilot magazine
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Industry Liaison Forum Date: 07 May 2021 Presented by: Ms Poppy KHOZA
Presentation Outline 1. Purpose 2. Announcements 3. Organisational Strategic Performance Update 4. SACAA Financial Performance 5. Accident Statistics 6. GASS Update 7. Covid-19 Update 8. CORSIA 9. SKA Update 10. Implementation of an Aviation Safety Plan 11. SACAA Relocation Project 12. Year of Security Culture 13. Upcoming Industry Events
Purpose
The purpose of this presentation is to update the
industry on matters of importance regarding the
oversight role of the Regulator and to respond to
matters arising from previous meetings.
Announcements
Civil Aviation Bill
• Portfolio Committee on Transport (PCOT) continued with public hearings,
deliberations and consideration of public comments received and
proposed amendment clauses to the Civil Aviation Bill, 2018 on 16,17,23
and 24 February 2021 as well as 2 and 9 March 2021.
• On 17 March 2021, the PCOT approved the Civil Aviation Bill for further
submission to the National Assembly for debate and approval. After this
step the Bill will be submitted to the National Council of Provinces and if
they approve, it will be submitted to the President for ascent.SACAA Organisational
Performance – year ended 31
March 2021Organisational Strategic Performance
Update
• In terms of the Annual Performance Plan, the organisation achieved all
nineteen targets set in the approved 2020/21 APP. This translates to 100%
achievement of the APP. The performance was audited by Internal Audit
and is now being audited by the Auditor General.SACAA Organisational Performance – 2021/22
Annual Performance Plan Targets 2021/22 The following targets with an impact on industry are part of the 2021/22 APP: • Industry Cyber Security Strategy • Civil Aviation Safety Plan • Risk-Based Oversight Model • Civil Aviation Pandemic Preparedness Plan • Administration of Regional Examinations • Security Culture Plan • USAP Preparedness Plan
Annual Performance Plan Targets 2021/22 The following targets are part of the 2021/22 APP: • ICVM Preparedness Plan • Gap Analysis Report on State Letters • Personnel Licensing Approach • GA Safety Strategy • ABC Model • Research Strategy • Stakeholder Management Plan.
Annual Performance Plan Targets 2021/22 The following targets are part of the 2021/22 APP: • Customer Contact Centre • Regional Cooperation Strategy • Ethics Plan
SACAA Financial Position
Passenger Numbers
Scheduled Passenger Numbers
Month to month
2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 increase/decrease
2019/20 to 2020/21
Apr 1 733 914 1 938 442 1 902 690 1 938 540 12 567 -99,35%
May 1 640 888 1 756 866 1 766 837 1 740 168 6 639 -99,62%
Jun 1 580 668 1 653 681 1 744 895 1 858 691 54 481 -97,07%
Jul 1 760 533 1 872 582 1 840 902 1 860 686 123 167 -93,38%
Aug 1 761 593 1 855 586 1 919 666 1 972 690 209 803 -89,36%
Sept 1 787 415 1 866 517 1 898 663 1 924 409 369 050 -80,82%
Oct 1 903 831 1 959 247 1 952 092 1 937 208 539 326 -72,16%
Nov 1 809 705 1 881 582 1 932 500 1 945 855 638 259 -67,20%
Dec 1 996 414 2 038 036 2 093 400 2 173 220 905 558 -58,33%
Jan 1 716 791 1 784 064 1 796 596 1 893 700 561 364 -70,36%
Feb 1 669 391 1 696 464 1 732 918 1 815 147 507 600 -72,04%
Mar 1 932 152 1 976 749 2 088 377 1 216 864 824 379 -32,25%
Total 21 293 295 22 279 816 22 669 536 22 277 178 4 752 193Passenger Numbers
Scheduled Passenger Numbers (PSC)
for period 1 April 2016 to 31 March 2021
2,5
Millions Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
2,0
P
a
x
1,5
N
u
m 1,0
b
e
r
s 0,5
-
2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21AIRCRAFT INCIDENTS 01 April 2020 – 31 March 2021
Incidents Per Operations per Category
600
539
500
457
400
300
200
140
105
100
0
Airline Operations Other Commercial Operations Private Operations Training Operations
For the financial year 2020/21 we have recorded a total of 1241 incidents. The breakdown of the incidents
are as follows:
• Airline Operations (43%) Other Commercial Operations (11%)
• Private Operations (37%) Training Operations (9%)Incident Events Airspace includes the following events types: • Aircraft separation • Loss of separation • Near collision Consequential events includes the following events types: • Rejected take-off • Diversions • Medical emergencies passenger related • Ground operations Environmental includes the following events types: • Bird strikes/Animal strikes • Weather such as (wind shear/tail wind/thunderstorms) • Laser activities (Interference with the aircraft from the ground) • Drone activities (Interference with the aircraft from the ground)
Incident Events Operations includes the following events types: • Information or procedural error • Unstable approaches • Airspace infringements • Runway events (such as excursions and incursions) Technical includes the following events types: • Landing gear indications/malfunction • Engine indications/malfunction • Radio communications failure • Electrical and mechanical system defects/failure
Incident Events
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Consequential
Airspace Environment Infrastructure Operational Technical
events
Private Operations 139 47 53 1 91 126
Training Operations 18 5 6 1 22 53
Other Commercial Operations 28 10 23 0 24 55
Airline Operations 35 127 233 5 91 48
Airline Operations Other Commercial Operations Training Operations Private Operations
• A breakdown of the events per operational category indicates that a majority of these
incidents are attributed Environmental (bird strike, weather and interference with the
aircraft for the ground); Operational and Technical.Common Causes of Incidents
180
164
158
160
140 133
120 110
100
80 70
60 50
38 38
40 32 28
20
0
Disregard
for
Unlawful Landing
Standard/ Error in Engine Electrical
Interferen Communi Gear
Safe/ judgement Flight Instrumen and
Birdstrike Weather ce with cations Indication/
Regulator wrt crew/Pilot ts/Indicati Mechanic
Civil Systems Malfunctio
y landing ons al Defects
Aviation n
Operating
Procedure
Number of Occurrences 164 110 133 38 32 50 158 28 38 70
• The top 10 causes of reported incidents are Disregard for safe operations, followed by
Flight Crew/Pilot, weather including interference with the aircraft from the ground and
technical defects.Airspace Events/Infringement
Airspace Events includes the following events types:
i. Disregard for Standard/Safe/Regulatory Operating Procedure
• This includes aircraft flying through controlled airspace without
clearance
• Aircraft getting airborne without ATC clearance including changes to
flights levels without clearance by ATC
ii. Airborne Collision Avoidance System (TCAS)
• Aircraft fitted with this equipment get a warning notifying them of
other aircrafts in their close proximity resulting in TA (Traffic
Advisory) and RA (Resolution Advisory) from the TCAS system
iii. Improper Control/Separation of aircraft
• This is as a result of ATC having less than 5 nautical miles (NM)
separation between aircraftAirspace Events/Infringement
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Airborne Collision Disregard for Improper
Communications
Avoidance System Standard/Safe/Regulato Control/Seperation of Missed Approach
Systems
(TCAS) ry Operating Procedure aircraft
Quarter 1 0 0 4 2 0
Quarter 2 3 3 46 2 0
Quarter 3 8 0 64 6 0
Quarter 4 6 3 69 3 1
Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
• Most of the Disregard for Standard/Safe/Regulatory Operating Procedure events are private pilots
flying through controlled airspace without clearance or communications.
• The TCAS events are generally with the airline operations
• The missed approach under the airspace events is as a results of ATC instructionsAirspace Missed Approach/Go-Around
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
Aviodable Unavoidable
• A total of 134 missed approach/go-around events were recorded for the 2020/21 financial year of
which 35% were avoidable, whereas 65% were unavoidable
• Majority of the missed approach/go-around events were recorded in the airline operations category
• The avoidable events relates to unstable approach where either the aircraft was not correctly
configured or on the glide path and in some events the cabin was not secured in time
• The unavoidable events relates to low cloud base, thunderstorms, wind shear and other weather-
related activities.Drone Statistics - FY
30
25
20
15
10
6
5
1
0 0
0
Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
2019/20 2020/21
• For the financial year of 2020/21 we have recorded 7 events involving drones, whereas in 2019/20,
60 events were recorded. This is a decrease of 88% in the number of drone incidents reported
between the two financial years.Laser Activities Statistics - FY
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
2019/20 2020/21
• For the financial year of 2020/21 we have recorded 32 events involving laser activities, whereas in
2019/20, 201 events were recorded. This is a decrease of 84% in the number of laser activities
reported between the two financial years.AIRCRAFT ACCIDENTS & SERIOUS INCIDENTS – GENERAL AVIATION 01 April 2018 to 31 March 2021
Aircraft Accidents
Accumulative Accidents
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Apr 18-Mar 19 8 18 28 32 34 40 48 63 66 71 82 86
Apr 19-Mar 20 3 11 16 26 34 40 50 58 64 77 88 98
Apr 20-Mar 21 0 1 9 13 26 37 46 53 56 70 79 97Aircraft Fatal Accidents
Accumulative Fatal Accidents
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Apr 18-Mar 19 1 1 3 4 5 6 10 14 14 14 15 15
Apr 19-Mar 20 0 1 3 5 6 6 7 7 9 11 11 13
Apr 20-Mar 21 0 0 4 4 5 5 7 8 8 12 13 16Aircraft Fatalities
Accumulative Fatalities
25
20
15
10
5
0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Apr 18-Mar 19 2 2 5 7 8 10 15 19 19 19 20 20
Apr 19-Mar 20 0 2 4 6 8 8 9 9 12 17 17 19
Apr 20-Mar 21 0 0 5 5 6 6 9 10 10 18 19 23Aircraft Serious Incidents
Accumulative Serious Incidents
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Apr 18-Mar 19 6 10 13 14 16 20 24 34 39 45 50 56
Apr 19-Mar 20 6 8 14 16 23 27 34 38 45 49 52 55
Apr 20-Mar 21 0 1 2 4 7 9 13 14 23 25 27 30
• For the 2020/21 FY we have recorded 45% fewer serious incidents versus the same period in
the 2019/20 FYAircraft Operations Category
Accidents Per Operations Part Serious Incidents Per Operations Part
01 April 2020 to 31 March 2021 01 April 2020 to 31 March 2021
35 12
30
10
25
8
20
6
15
4
10
2
5
0 0
Part 101 Part 127 Part 137 Part 138 Part 141 Part 91 Part 94 Part 96 Part 121 Part 135 Part 137 Part 141 Part 91 Part 94Aircraft Causal Factors
Accidents Causal Factors Serious Incidents Causal Factor
01 April 2020 to 31 March 2021 01 April 2020 to 31 March 2021
Collision
Collision
Weather
Weather
Maintenace & Servicing
Flight Crew/Pilot Flight Crew/Pilot
Aircraft Operations
Mechanical / Eengine /Powerplant
Helicopter Components
Structural/Airframe
Mechanical / Eengine /Powerplant
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%Aircraft Safety Recommendations
Safety Recommendations Issued per Addressee
01 April 2017 to date
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Operator
NTSB
DOT
RAASA
SAHPA
UK CAA
AMO
SACAA
Manufacturer
Administration (FAA)
Federal AviationAccident Rate
Definitions of Operations Aircraft Operations:
Airline and Other Commercial
• Part 121: Air transport operations: Carriage on airplanes of more
than 19 passengers or cargo
• Part 135: Air transport operations: Small aeroplanes
Type Certified General Aviation
• Part 91: General operating and flight rules
• Part 127: Commercial air transport and general aviation
operations: Helicopters
• Part 137: Aerial Work Operations
• Part 141: Aviation training organisations
Recreational
• Part 94: Operation of non-type certificated aircraft
• Part 96: Commercial operation of non-type certificated aircraftAccident Rate
Accident rate April to March 2019/20 compared to April to March 2020/21 per 10 000hrs flown
120
101,63
100
80 75,87
60
40
20 14,98
0 0 2,47 3,74 2,07
0
Airline and Other Commercial Type Certified General Aviation Recreational Total Combined
April-March 2019/20 April-March 2020/21
The Accident rate for April 2020 to March 2021 is The Accident rate for April 2019 to March 2020 is
based on an estimated flying hours of: based on an estimated flying hours of:
• 44 686 for airline and other commercial • 658 515 for airline and other commercial
operations operations
• 52 336 for type certified general aviation • 207 314 for type certified general aviation
• 17 876 for recreational • 115 174 for recreationalGENERAL AVIATION SAFETY STRATEGY - PROGRESS UPDATE
Continuation of output Focus Groups (from 2020)
• Focus group for outreach (publication & events)
✓ Establish dedicated publications (all media);
✓ Develop SACAA brand and enhance public appeal; and
✓ Organise national aviation accident reduction week.
• Trend monitoring and research Focus Group
✓ Accident/incident trend predictions;
✓ Advocating appropriate remedies for the underlying causes of accidents;
✓ Linking with Publicity/Publications to share data and stats; and
✓ Establish research projects.
• Devolution of powers Focus Group
✓ Creating a framework towards community responsibility and development of
regulations to appropriate empowerment at primary levels (including Part 149).Issuing of the first edition of SKYwatch – “regular publication to give bi-monthly progress reporting on the implementation of GASS and dealing with relevant topics…”
Implementing of output Focus Groups for Year 2
(2021/22)
Focus Group for the Continued support of safety presentations.
Focus Group for the development of GA for growth and safety.
Focus Group for GA Accident Reduction seminars, training
initiatives and the development of educational guidance material.
Focus Group for the reduction of RPAS threats to GA Safety.
Further participation in existing and new FGs:
Nomination forms are available on the Website or e-mail durande@caa.co.zaINDUSTRY COVID-19 UPDATE
Industry Covid-19 Update • On 28 February 2021, President Ramaphosa announced that the country is moving back to Level 1. • Domestic and International travel not affected. • Vaccination has commenced and the DOH has not pronounced on the status of immunisation passports.
Industry Covid-19 Update • Passenger numbers have increased to an estimated 820k+ monthly and the recovery is expected to progress well as most countries are rolling out immunisation which is bound to relax the anxiety, and lockdown restrictions. • South Africa’s rate of infection showed signs of declining until the past two weeks where a slight increase is witnessed amid concerns of a third wave as can be seen in Europe and India for example. • The vaccine roll-out is expected to mitigate the risk of death and cause a decline in the infection rate.
Industry Covid-19 Update – Regional
and International Travel
• Ethiopian Airlines has been offering consistent flights since South African
borders opened in October.
• Air Botswana, Air Mozambique, EgyptAir, Zimbabwe’s Fastjet, Kenya Airways,
Proflight Zambia are operating flights to and from South Africa with varying
degrees of consistency.
• Angola’s TAAG recently reinstated its South African service.
• Turkish Airways restarted flights to and from South Africa in October, and while
Turkey still maintains fierce restrictions on South African travelers, Istanbul
Airport serves as a key transit hub connecting to more than 200 international
destinations.Industry Covid-19 Update – Regional
and International Travel
• With Emirates and Etihad largely out of the picture, Qatar Airways has managed
to remain as the strongest – and only – contender for passage between South
Africa and the Middle East.
• The Air France schedule between Johannesburg and Paris has been increased
from three to five flights per week with effect 29 March 2021.
• Mango Airlines has, as at 28 April stopped operating owing to their financial
challenges. At this point, Management’s assessment is that the domestic market
may not be negatively affected given the recent introduction of a new airline, Lift,
and the return of BA/Comair to service.Industry Covid-19 Update – Regional
and International Travel
• KLM has maintained its schedule to South Africa since the international borders
were reopened in October 2020. South African travelers are banned from entering
the Netherlands, with its Ministry of Foreign Affairs expected to review the border
restrictions on 1 May 2021.
• Lufthansa – which includes Swiss, Austrian Airlines and Brussels Airlines – recently
restarted commercial passenger flights between Frankfurt, Johannesburg and
Cape Town after an extended suspension at the beginning of the year.
• Emirates has from 22 April 2021 commenced operating to SA, but only arrivals
from UAE. Departure flights from SA are expected to be uplifted on 30 May 2021, if
the UAE so decides. Only Cargo from SA is permitted and not passengers.Industry Covid-19 Update – Regional and
International Travel
• British Airways, which operated daily flights between London, OR Tambo, and Cape Town
prior to the pandemic – and returned with limited services in October 2020 – suspended all
flights to and from South Africa on 23 December 2020. The airline proposed the earliest
possible return date of 17 May 2021.
• Virgin Atlantic are aiming to resume flights to South Africa from early June.
• All countries are allowed to fly into South Africa however some airlines have halted flights
into South Africa following the outbreak of the second wave. These airlines are slowly
restarting flights as follows:
– Cathay Pacific – 30 June 2021
– Qantas – end of October 2021
– Delta Airlines – middle of 2021
– Singapore Airlines – no return date set
– Etihad Airways – no return date setCORSIA UPDATE
CORSIA Update • The emissions reports were submitted to DoT for forwarding to ICAO. • The next cycle of reporting will again be due by the end of Q4 2021/22.
SKA UPDATE
SKA Update • As reported previously, the next step is for the DG’s of Transport and DEFF to agree on the wording of the MOA and the Steering Committee needs to be established. This is due and we await further direction from DoT regarding interaction with DEFF. • A letter is due to be sent from DCA to the DG as a follow up.
IMPLEMENTATION OF AN AVIATION
SAFETY PLANASP-Aviation Safety Plan • Over the last 10years, ICAO has been encouraging and urging Regions and States to develop Regional and National Aviation Safety Plans. • This has demonstrated to be a challenge, since it requires a tangible data which influence what becomes the cornerstone of one’s plan. • Several States and Regions did get this right, but for us RSA (Pty) Ltd this is the first time we have gotten it right. • The National Aviation Safety Plan ( NASP) is an ICAO Framework which seeks to assist and enable State to address and manage High Risk Category Occurrences.
Global Aviation Safety Plan (GASP) • On every Triennial, ICAO hosts an Assembly, and it is at this event that the aviation world is briefed on the previous three years and what the new challenges to be addressed will be. This includes what initiatives and mitigations are deemed to be appropriate. • The Development of the National Aviation Safety Plan is deemed as one of the key measures intended to address occurrences learnt from the previous triennial. • Over years Aircraft Accident Causal Factors has remained the same, only people or affected parties have changed. • Loss of Control in Flight (LOC-I) • Controlled Flight Into Terrain ( CFIT) • Runway Occurrence (Runway Incursion and Excursion) • Mid-Air Collision (Flying Into Each Other)
Global Aviation Safety Plan (GASP)
As a response to this global disaster ICAO established a workgroup
referred to as GASP-SG to review what is happening and proposed what
can be done:
• RSA is an active member of this SGA SERIES OF GOALS SUPPORT THE ASPIRATIONAL SAFETY
GOAL.
THE 2020-2022 EDITION OF THE GASP CONTAINS 6 GOALSRSA ASP APPROACH OUR ASP IS ANCHORED ON THREE ISSUES: • GASP 2020 Edition • Abuja Safety Target • GASP 2022 Edition
The ASP addresses the following
national safety issues:
1. Effective implementation of the State Safety Programme.
2. Establishment of an independent accident and incident
investigation authority, consistent with Annex 13.
3. Continued implementation of and compliance with ICAO SARPs
at the national level.
4. Strategic collaboration with key aviation stakeholders.ABUJA SAFETY TARGETS ICAO GASP TARGETS
Progressively reduce the African accident rate from 8.6 to 2.5 per Goal 1: Achieve a continuous reduction of operational safety
1)
million departures by the end of 2022 risks
2)
States abide by the timelines and provide resources for the
Goal 2: Strengthen States' safety oversight capabilities
implementation of ICAO/State Plans of Action.
3)
For the purposes of SSP/SMS Implementation,
all States:
• to have a Foundation SSP established, addressing all pre-
requisites.
• to have an Effective SSP with an appropriate maturity level
established.
Goal 3: Implement effective State safety programmes (SSPs)
• to contribute information on safety risks, including SSP SPIs, to
the RASG-AFI.
• with a positive safety margin and an effective SSP to actively
engage in RASG-AFI safety risk management activities
(analysis of safety risks, design and implementation of risk
mitigation actions).
4)
Require all African airlines to obtain an IATA Operational Safety
Goal 4: Increase collaboration at the regional level
Audit (IOSA) certification.
5)
All States to implement PBN procedures for all instrument runways. Goal 5: Expand the use of industry programmesRELOCATION UPDATE
SACAA Relocation Project • NT has approved the extension of the existing CAA leases to June 2022. The SACAA is currently also re-evaluating its space requirements, in the light of flexible working arrangements used during COVID-19 era, and in order to rationalise expenditure.
YEAR OF SECURITY CULTURE
Year Of Security Culture With the COVID-19 pandemic severely impacting aviation in 2020, the ICAO Council decided to extend the YOSC to 2021. 2021 will commemorate the 20th Anniversary of 9/11, where the importance of understanding the threat to aviation and promoting best practices in security throughout all aviation operations is imperative. The Year of Security Culture campaign objectives • Create and increase awareness. • Educate employees on aviation security threat. • Communicate importance of security. • Encourage co-operation at the different industry levels. • Reinforce the value of security by inculcating a security culture. • Encourage reporting and information sharing. • Promote cyber security.
Year Of Security Culture The YOSC activities are aimed at internal and external stakeholders. • The YOSC will be from 2021 – 2022 • Type of Events: Both Virtual and Physical • YOSC Launch • Round Table • Symposium • Exhibitions • Activities within organizations throughout 2021-2022 financial year • October Transport Month – Security Awareness Campaign
UPCOMING EVENTS
SACAA Upcoming Events
NO. EVENT DATE FORMAT (LIVE/VIRTUAL)
AVSEC Personnel
1
Certification & Training 12 May 2021 Virtual MS Teams Webinar
Alignment Workshop
Risk Based Oversight
2 14 May 2021 Virtual MS Teams Webinar
Webinar
Year of Security Culture
3 27 May 2021 SACAA, Midrand Office
Activation
4 EDRMS Internal Launch 27 May 2021 Virtual MS Teams WebinarSACAA Upcoming Events
NO.
EVENT DATE FORMAT (LIVE/VIRTUAL)
5 PEL - Cabin Safety 3 & 17 June 2021 Virtual MS Teams Webinar
Conferences
6 Cardiovascular Workshop 7 May 2021 Virtual MS Teams WebinarThank You for your attention!
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