Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016

Page created by Scott Soto
 
CONTINUE READING
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Investor
  Presentation
4th Quarter 2016
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains "forward-looking" statements based on current expectations regarding future plans, events, outlook, objectives and
financial performance, expectations for future sales growth and earnings per diluted share (GAAP and non-GAAP). Forward-looking
statements can be identified by words including “expect,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “may,” “will,” “would,” “could,” “confident” or other
similar words, phrases or expressions. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause the
Corporation's actual future results and performance to differ materially from expected results. These risks include but are not limited to:
general economic conditions in the United States and internationally; unfavorable changes in the United States housing market; industry and
competitive conditions; a decline in corporate spending on office furniture; changes in raw material, component or commodity pricing; future
acquisitions, divestitures or investments; the cost of energy; changing legal, regulatory, environmental and healthcare conditions; the
Corporation’s ability to successfully complete its business software system implementation; the Corporation’s ability to implement price
increases; changes in the sales mix of products; the Corporation's ability to achieve the anticipated benefits from closures and structural
alignment initiatives; and force majeure events outside the Corporation’s control. A description of these risks and additional risks can be found
in the Corporation's annual and quarterly reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Forms 10-K and 10-Q. The
Corporation undertakes no obligation to update, amend or clarify forward-looking statements.
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Investment Considerations

              Long Term Value Creation
   Leading Market Positions            Breadth and Depth
   Operational Excellence              Financial Strength

                                                              23
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Market Leader

Office Furniture                                                  Hearth
      #2           Market Position                                  #1

      77%              $2.3B                                       23%
                           Sales

      64%             $232M                                        36%
                   Operating Profits*

                      $2.58
                             EPS*
                                                                            4
                     * See non-GAAP reconciliation on page 19
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Sales Channels

                    Office
                   Furniture
                     77%

                               Hearth
                                23%

Office Furniture                                  Hearth

    Supplies
     Driven
                                                              Retail
                                           New              Non-Pellet
                                        Construction

    Contract &
      Other
                                                       Retail
                                                       Pellet

                                                                         5
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Market Drivers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Office Furniture
                                                                    Corporate Profits                                                                                                                                                 CEO Confidence
                                                                                                                                                     80
                                                                                                                                                     70
                                   10 year average
                                                                                                                                                     60
Billions of Dollars (nominal)

                                                                                                                                                     50
                                                                                                                                                     40
                                                                                                                                                     30
                                                                                                                                                     20
                                                                                                                                                     10
                                     3Q07

                                                   3Q08

                                                                 3Q09

                                                                           3Q10

                                                                                    3Q11

                                                                                                  3Q12

                                                                                                                3Q13

                                                                                                                              3Q14

                                                                                                                                            3Q15
                                                                                                                                                                                 0

                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q07

                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q08

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    3Q10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3Q13

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q14

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3Q09

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                3Q12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q15
                                 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
                                                                                                                                                            Source: The Conference Board

                                                                 Small Business Confidence                                                                                                              Private Non-Residential Investment

                                                                                                                                                                                                10.2
                                    110

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   9.1

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               8.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                               8.1

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 7.9
                                                                                                                                                    Percentage change from 1 yr. ago
                                    105

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1.1
                                    100
                                                          15 yr. avg: 96
                                     95

                                     90

                                     85

                                     80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    (15.8)
                                                          3Q08

                                                                    3Q09

                                                                           3Q10

                                                                                           3Q12

                                                                                                         3Q13

                                                                                                                                     3Q15

                                                                                                                                             3Q16
                                            3Q07

                                                                                  3Q11

                                                                                                                       3Q14

                                                                                                                                                                                                 2006

                                                                                                                                                                                                               2007

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2012

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2015
                                                                                                                                                                                       Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
                                Source: National Federation of Independent Business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               6
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Seasonally Adj. Annual Rate (K)

                                                                      Degree

                                           -4
                                                 -2
                                                                                        6
                                                                                                         8

                                                                0
                                                                            2
                                                                                  4

                                                            Average
                                                                                                                                                                             -
                                                                                                                                                                                  200
                                                                                                                                                                                        400
                                                                                                                                                                                              600
                                                                                                                                                                                                       800
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1,200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1,400
                                  Jun-13
                                                                                                                                                                    Sep-07
                                  Aug-13

Source: U.S. NOAA
                                  Oct-13
                                                                                                                                                                    Sep-08
                                  Dec-13
                                  Feb-14
                                                                                                                                                                    Sep-09

                                                                                                                                       Source: U.S. Census Bureau
                                  Apr-14
                                  Jun-14
                                  Aug-14                                                                                                                            Sep-10

                                  Oct-14
                                  Dec-14                                                                                                                            Sep-11
                                  Feb-15
                                  Apr-15                                                                                                                            Sep-12
                                  Jun-15
                                  Aug-15                                                                                                                            Sep-13

                                                                                             Variance from Average
                                  Oct-15

                                                                                                                     US Temperatures
                                  Dec-15                                                                                                                            Sep-14
                                  Feb-16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Single Family Housing Starts

                                  Apr-16                                                                                                                            Sep-15
                                  Jun-16
                                  Aug-16                                                                                                                            Sep-16

                                                            Dollars per Gallon

                                            $0
                                                      $1
                                                                      $2
                                                                                                 $5

                                                                                $3
                                                                                      $4
                                                                                                                                                                             60
                                                                                                                                                                                   70
                                                                                                                                                                                         80
                                                                                                                                                                                               90

                                                                                                                                                                        50
                                                                                                                                                                                                       100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         110
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         130

                                     2007

                                                                                                                                                                     2007                                     99.6
                                     2008

                                                                                                                                                                     2008                                     92.8

Source: U.S. EIA
                                     2009
                                                                                                                                            Source: Hanley Wood

                                     2010                                                                                                                            2009                     84.8

                    Heating Oil      2011                                                                                                                            2010                      85.4

                                     2012                                                                                                                            2011                     83.0

                                     2013                                                                                                                            2012                     84.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                             2007 Peak

                                                                                                                     Oil Prices

                                     2014                                                                                                                            2013                            92.1

                                     2015                                                                                                                                                                       96.2
                                                                                                                                                                     2014
                    Crude-Brent

                                   2016F                                                                                                                                                                       101.2
                                                                                                                                                                     2015
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Residential Remodeling Index

                                   2017F
                                                                                                                                                                    2016F                                                104.9
                                            $0
                                                      $30
                                                                      $60
                                                                                $90
                                                                                      $120
                                                                                                 $150

                                                       Dollars per Barrel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Hearth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Market Drivers

7
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Breadth and Depth

  Brands                    Distribution
  Tuned and tailored          Broadest coverage

Products                   Price Points
Solutions for every need         High to low

                                                  8
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Split and Focus
           House
             Of
           Brands

         Leverage
Member Owner Culture with Lean
                                    9
Investor Presentation 4th Quarter 2016
Market Coverage
                                                                                                Office Furniture

                                                 North America
                     Supplies--Driven Channel                                Contract Channel
                    Retail         Commercial                    Contract                  Image

                   Retail less
                    than 1%

 HNI
 Brands

                                 Asian Imports

Key                                               Global

Competitors                                                          Steelcase

                                                                   Haworth

                                                                        Herman Miller

                                                                                  Knoll

Core, sweet spot
                                                                                                              10
Market Coverage
                                                                                                                Hearth Products

                   New Construction Channel                                               Remodel/Retrofit Channel
                    Installing Distributors                                         Specialty Dealer             DIY

HNI
Brands                                                          `                                      `
                                                               `
                                                                                                           `

                                              Innovative Hearth Products (IHP)

                                                                    Napoleon

Key
Competitors                                                                      Travis

                                                                     Niche Competitors

Core, sweet spot

                                                                                                                             11
Operational Excellence / Lean Culture

                                         SELECTED EXAMPLES

                                            Announced ongoing structural
                            Structural
                                            cost take out, $35 – $40M of
                               Cost
                                            annual savings by 2018

Lean culture drives best      Core
                                            Leverage scale, capabilities,
                                            and capital to drive rapid
       total cost          Productivity
                                            continuous improvement

    Never finished           Business
                                            Understand
                                            Simplify
                             Process        Standardize
                           Improvement      Flow

                                                                            12
Long Term Value Creation

                       13
Mid-Term Financial Targets

 TOP-LINE GROWTH                                PROFIT LEVERAGE             OPERATING MARGIN

          4 - 5% *                               25 - 30%                              12%
            Annualized                            EBIT Leverage

                                            REASONS TO BELIEVE

                                   Attractive
                                                                         Operational
     Proven Track                                     Breadth and                          Financial
P       Record               P     Markets /
                                    Leading       P      Depth      P   Excellence /
                                                                        Lean Culture
                                                                                       P   Strength
                                   Positions

* Assumes modest economic growth
                                                                                                       14
Path to 2X Earnings

                                    Other                       Modest Growth
                                  Businesses                    $0.30 - $0.40

                                                     $35-$40M of annual
                     Structural Cost                     cost savings
                        Benefits
                                                      $0.40 - $0.50

                                        1.2M Single Family
              Hearth                        housing starts
          New Construction
                                         $0.75 - $1.00

North America                 GDP plus Inflation
Office Furniture               $0.75 - $1.00

                                                                                 15
Financial Strength

                                                                                Operating Cash Flow
                                                              $350
Significant cash flow generation                              $300

  • Economic profit focus/alignment                           $250

                                              $ in millions
                                                              $200
                                                              $150
                                                              $100
Solid financial position                                       $50
                                                                $-
  • Conservative leverage: Debt/EBITDA 1.0x

                                                                                                                                                              2016F
                                                                        2007

                                                                                2008

                                                                                       2009

                                                                                               2010

                                                                                                       2011

                                                                                                               2012

                                                                                                                        2013

                                                                                                                                  2014

                                                                                                                                                2015
                                                                                              Dividends
Committed to strong dividend
                                                              $0.28
   • Sustainable and increasing
                                                              $0.26

                                                              $0.24

                                                              $0.22

                                                              $0.20

                                                              $0.18

                                                              $0.16   2007

                                                                               2008

                                                                                       2009

                                                                                                2010

                                                                                                        2011

                                                                                                                 2012

                                                                                                                           2013

                                                                                                                                         2014

                                                                                                                                                       2015

                                                                                                                                                                      2016
                                                                                                                                                                             16
Current Outlook
                      4Q’16             FY16
                     Outlook           Outlook
                      Non-GAAP EPS      Non-GAAP EPS
      HNI             $0.81 to $0.91    $2.60 to $2.70
Earnings Per Share      (PY $0.91)        (PY $2.58)

Office Furniture       Down 1 to 4       Down 4 to 5
    Net Sales            percent           percent

     Hearth          Up 1 percent to     Down 4 to 5
    Net Sales        down 2 percent        percent

                                                         17
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial information as defined by Securities and Exchange Commission Regulation G.
Pursuant to the requirements of this regulation, reconciliations of this non-GAAP financial information to HNI’s financial statements as
prepared in accordance with GAAP are included below and throughout this presentation. HNI’s management believes providing
investors with this information gives additional insights into HNI’s financial performance and operations. While HNI’s management
believes that the non-GAAP financial measures herein are useful in evaluating HNI’s operations, this information should be considered
supplemental and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for, or superior to, financial information prepared and
presented in accordance with GAAP. In addition, these measures may be different from non-GAAP financial measures used by other
companies, limiting their usefulness for comparison purposes.

To supplement our condensed consolidated financial statements, which are prepared and presented in accordance with GAAP, we use
the following non-GAAP financial measures within this presentation: organic sales, gross profit, operating income, operating profit, and
net income per diluted share (i.e., EPS). These measures are adjusted from the comparable GAAP measures to exclude the after-tax
impacts of the selected items as summarized in the table below. Non-GAAP EPS is calculated using HNI’s overall effective tax rate for
the period.

The sales adjustments to arrive at our non-GAAP organic sales information included in this presentation include the impacts of
acquisitions and divestitures. The transactions excluded for purposes of our other non-GAAP financial information included in this
presentation include restructuring and transition costs and the accelerated depreciation in conjunction with the announced donation of
a building. The restructuring and transition costs are costs incurred as part of the previously announced closure of the hearth
manufacturing facility in Paris, Kentucky and structural realignments between office furniture facilities in Muscatine, Iowa. Specific
items incurred include severance, accelerated depreciation and production move costs.

This presentation also contains a forward-looking estimate of non-GAAP earnings per diluted share for the fiscal year. We provide
such non GAAP measures to investors on a prospective basis for the same reasons we provide them to investors on a historical basis.
We are unable to provide a reconciliation of our forward looking estimate of non-GAAP earnings per diluted share to a forward-looking
estimate of GAAP earnings per diluted share without unreasonable efforts because certain information needed to make a reasonable
forward-looking estimate of GAAP earnings per diluted share is highly variable and difficult to predict and estimate, and is dependent
on future events which are uncertain or outside of our control. These may include unanticipated charges related to asset impairments
(fixed assets, intangibles or goodwill), unanticipated acquisition related costs and other unanticipated nonrecurring items not reflective
of ongoing operations. We expect the variability of these charges to have a potentially unpredictable, and potentially significant, impact
on our GAAP earnings per diluted share.

                                                                                                                                             18
Non-GAAP Reconciliation

(Dollars in millions, except per share data)         Segment Operating Profits                       HNI Consolidated Results
                                                Office         Hearth                         Corporate    Income Before
                                               Furniture      Products           Total       Unallocated     Income Tax          EPS
As reported (GAAP)                                   $136.6         $78.2           $214.8         ($57.6)        $157.2        $2.32

Restructuring and Impairment Charges                 $11.6           $0.9            $12.6              -         $12.6         $0.19

Transition Costs                                      $3.3           $1.4             $4.7              -           $4.7        $0.07

Operating profit (non-GAAP)                         $151.6          $80.4          $232.1           $80.4        $174.5         $2.58

                                                                                                                                        19
You can also read