OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS - NH Employment Security
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VITAL SIGNS 2020 | Economic & Social Indicators for New Hampshire, 2015-2019
OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS
Growing Occupations in the 2018 to
2028 Projections
Overall, employment in New Hampshire was Some newly classified occupations have strong
projected to grow by 5.3 percent from 2018 to 2028, potential for employment increases between 2018
adding more than 37,250 jobs. By itself, that number and 2028.1 Some of these emerging occupations
may be impressive, but is not very useful for many were classified as part of another occupational code
users of projections reports and related products. in prior SOC classifications, but are now broken out
into a separate SOC code. This action recognizes
Career counselors and students, job seekers and job
the changing scope of occupational duties caused
5
changers, education and training specialists, and
by technology, business practices, or changes in
policy specialists are more interested in the details of
demand and consumer behavior.
which occupations are growing and are expected to
have the best career prospects in the next ten years. Trends in Healthcare Occupations
It is also useful to examine the “why” of growth and Employment of nursing assistants is projected to
what causes an increase in demand for particular grow by nearly eight percent in New Hampshire
occupations. Examples of factors causing occupational between 2018 and 2028, matching the national
growth include an aging population, which is a driver trend, adding 650 jobs. More nursing assistants
in the growth of healthcare and related occupations; will be needed to care for an aging baby-boom
change in the relative employment of an occupation, population in long-term care facilities, hospitals,
such as the employment of more physician assistants and in the homes of care recipients, which is
as a lower-cost alternative to physicians; and changes driven by the shift to home and community-based
in technology, such as cloud-based applications, long-term care. Additionally, there will be a need
which require new expertise. to replace workers that leave the occupation by
In looking ahead, it is also useful to look back at retiring, returning to school, caring for family, or
the labor force of ten years ago. Some occupations changing careers. In fact, most of the openings will
that had few workers in 2008 have experienced be for that reason due to the relatively low pay – an
significant growth, increasing more than two or average of $16.67 per hour in 2020 – and burnout
threefold. “Trending occupations” are identified found in this occupation.2 Entering this occupation
as those with an increase of more than 100 percent requires completion of a state-approved education
from 2008 to 2018 and having better-than-average program and licensure by the New Hampshire
growth for 2018 to 2028. Board of Nursing.
Another type of occupation to consider is Classified in the same SOC code as registered nurses
occupations that did not exist in the 2008 prior to 2010, three occupations were broken out
occupational classification system. The federal into separate codes as of the 2010 SOC revision: nurse
government maintains a Standard Occupational anesthetists, nurse practitioners, and nurse midwives. These
Coding (SOC) system to classify workers for occupations are all Advanced Practice Registered
statistical purposes and disseminating data. Detailed Nurses (ARPN), who must attain a registered nurse
occupations are grouped by job duties, skills, license, complete a Master’s degree, and meet advanced
and education requirements. The 2018 version of educational and clinical practice requirements.
the SOC includes several new occupations, with Licensure from the New Hampshire Board of Nursing is
significant revisions to information technology and also required, including maintaining a New Hampshire
healthcare occupations. registered nurse license.
1 New Hampshire long-term projections designate four categories of potential job outlook based on projected growth and openings, with “Very Favorable” assigned to occupations with the
best prospects.
2 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Nursing Assistants and Orderlies,” https://www.bls.gov/ooh/healthcare/nursing-assistants.htm#tab-6
New Hampshire Employment Security
24 | OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS Economic & Labor Market Information BureauEconomic & Social Indicators for New Hampshire, 2015-2019 | VITAL SIGNS 2020
Projected Openings for Healthcare Occupations, 2018 to 2028
PROJECTED OPENINGS FOR HEALTHCARE OCCUPATIONS, 2018 TO 2028
900
800
769
700
681
600
5
500
498
459
400
408
377
300
280
200
175
150
100
65 70
45 35 51 36 39
26 23
0
Nursing Assistants Registered Nurses Nurse Practitioners Substance abuse, behavioral personal care aides Home health aides
disorder, and mental health
counselors
Exits Transfers Growth
Source: New Hampshire Employment Security, Long-Term Occupational Projections
Nurse practitioners work independently or as part as strong, and although the occupation is expected
of the healthcare team in hospitals, clinics, to grow by 19 percent, only four job openings are
and doctor’s offices and may provide primary projected annually.
and specialty healthcare.3 Nurse anesthetists
assist anesthesiologists, other physicians or Opioid abuse remains a problem in
dentists, and may administer anesthesia and New Hampshire, creating demand for substance
oversee patient recovery from anesthesia.4 Nurse abuse, behavioral disorder, and mental health counselors
midwives specialize in childbirth, diagnosing and that is much higher than average, with growth of
coordinating all aspects of the birthing process, more than 27 percent from 2018 to 2018 projected.
either independently or as part of a healthcare Total employment in this occupation is projected
team.5 Nurse practitioners are projected to grow by to increase by more than 510 jobs through 2028.
30 percent over ten years, much faster than the Demand is expected to continue as states and
statewide average, driven by their expanded role communities provide treatment and counseling
in primary healthcare. Overall, more than 100 as alternatives to jail time for drug offenders.
annual openings are projected for 2018 to 2028 Treatment programs have been found to be cost-
for nurse practitioners. Nurse anesthetists, projected effective and can reduce repeat offenses.6 Workers
to grow by 17 percent, are expected to have 16 job in this occupation are employed in ambulatory health
openings annually. Demand for nurse midwives is not care services, such as clinics and community health
3 O*Net Online Summary Report, https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/29-1171.00
4 O*Net Online Summary Report, https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/29-1151.00
5 O*Net Online Summary Report, https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/29-1161.00
New Hampshire Employment Security
Economic & Labor Market Information Bureau OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS | 25VITAL SIGNS 2020 | Economic & Social Indicators for New Hampshire, 2015-2019
centers, nursing and residential care facilities, and social services increases and the need for solutions to
assistance industries.7 Workers in this occupation cyberattacks grows, workers in this occupation
must be licensed by the New Hampshire Board create innovative solutions to prevent hackers from
of Licensing for Alcohol and Other Drug Use gaining access to computer systems, and to protect
Professionals, and educational requirements resources related to computer networks. Demand
vary from Associate’s degree to Master’s degree, for workers in this occupation is projected to
depending on the employer and type of counseling. increase by 34 percent over the ten-year projection
period. Generally, a Bachelor’s degree is required,
Trends in IT Occupations along with related work experience. Other
The SOC coding structure of information computer-related occupations with very favorable
technology occupations is constantly changing to
5
employment prospects include network architects,
accommodate new duties and processes performed network support specialists, and web developers.
by those employed in this field. One of the
occupations expected to grow faster than any other Upward Trending Occupations
occupation between 2018 and 2028 is information Another occupational trend illustrated in the latest
security analysts. As the demand for cloud-based employment projections are those occupations
Projected Openings for IT Occupations, 2018 to 2028
PROJECTED OPENINGS FOR IT OCCUPATIONS, 2018 TO 2028
250
219
200
150
131
100
63
50
42
34
25
7 19 6
4 13 4
0
Database Administrators Network and Computer Systems Computer Network Architects Computer User Support Specialists
Administrators
Exits Transfers Growth
Source: New Hampshire Employment Security, Long-Term Occupational Projections
6 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Community and Social Service Occupations,” https://www.bls.gov/ooh/community-and-social-service/.
7 Job Outlook and Locator by Industry and Occupation, https://www.nhes.nh.gov/elmi/products/documents/job-locator-oct2020.pdf.
New Hampshire Employment Security
26 | OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS Economic & Labor Market Information BureauEconomic & Social Indicators for New Hampshire, 2015-2019 | VITAL SIGNS 2020
that had a relatively low level of employment in the Factors Influencing Occupational
2008 projections, but have had substantial growth Change
in the last ten years and are projected to have high Occupational change occurs for many reasons—
growth through 2028. the need of an aging population for healthcare
In 2008, there were approximately 3,500 personal that is close to home and affordable is but one
and home care aides. With the 2010 revision of the reason. These are some of the other factors driving
Standard Occupational Classification (SOC), this occupational trends in the 2018 to 2028 projections:
occupation was redefined as personal care aides. Changes in business practices, emergence of
These workers provide personal care and activities new types of business, and changing consumer
of daily living support to people impaired by tastes will have a positive impact on several
5
illness or disabilities. occupations through 2028. Market research
Home health aides may provide similar daily living analysts and marketing specialists (22.5 percent
assistance, but also are qualified to monitor an growth from 2018 to 2028) benefit from the
individual’s health status under the direction of increased use of large data sets and analytical
licensed nursing staff, including taking blood processes to assist in business decision making.
pressure, temperature, and respiration rates and Increased participation in sports and physical
may help clients with prescribed exercise and activities into middle age and beyond, along
medications. Currently, no occupational license is with demand for sports programs in schools,
required in New Hampshire, but most workers are has created need for more athletic trainers, with
employed by a home care or hospice provider. This employment projected to increase from 2018 to
was a relatively small occupation with fewer than 2028.
600 employed in 2018, but is projected to grow by
more than 40 percent through 2028. Industries expected to grow in New Hampshire
include chemical manufacturing (16.1 percent
Personal care aides have similar duties but are increase from 2018 to 2028) and scientific research
generally limited in scope to providing non-medical and development services (18.5 percent increase).
services such as cleaning, cooking, or providing These industries are the main employers of
transportation for clients. More than 9,000 workers biological technicians, chemical technicians, and
were employed in this occupation in 2018. There biochemists and biophysicists. While small in
will be job openings for more than 1,700 workers number, demand for these occupations is
annually from 2018 to 2028, due to the need to expected to grow through 2028.
replace workers in an occupation with high turnover
due to low pay - an average of $13.71 per hour in 2020 – Michael Argiropolis
- and high emotional demands.8 Demand for personal
care aides will be driven by an aging population and
the desire for families to rely on home care as an
alternative to a long-term care facility.
8 Holly, Robert, “Home Health Aides Feel Like ‘Replaceable Parts,’ Lack Agency Emotional Support.” Home Health Care News. https://homehealthcarenews.com/2018/08/home-health-
aides-feel-like-replaceable-parts-lack- agency-emotional-support/.
New Hampshire Employment Security
Economic & Labor Market Information Bureau OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS | 27VITAL SIGNS 2020 | Economic & Social Indicators for New Hampshire, 2015-2019
Average Annual
New Hampshire Occupational Employment Projections 2018 - 2028
Openings
2018 Base
Projected
Transfers
Numeric
Percent
Change
Change
Growth
Annual
SOC
2028
Exits
Total
Occupational Group
Code
Total, All Occupations 704,622 741,886 37,264 5.3% 0.5% 31,750 50,876 86,352
11-0000 Management Occupations 46,359 50,052 3,693 8.0% 0.8% 1,253 2,799 4,421
Business and Financial
13-0000 30,830 33,254 2,424 7.9% 0.8% 889 2,144 3,275
Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical
15-0000 22,313 25,590 3,277 14.7% 1.4% 388 1,351 2,067
5
Occupations
Architecture and Engineering
17-0000 14,584 15,948 1,364 9.4% 0.9% 363 833 1,332
Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social
19-0000 4,412 4,929 517 11.7% 1.1% 88 362 502
Science Occupations
Community and Social Services
21-0000 10,453 12,019 1,566 15.0% 1.4% 402 805 1,364
Occupations
23-0000 Legal Occupations 3,993 4,294 301 7.5% 0.7% 107 174 311
Education, Training, and Library
25-0000 43,828 45,243 1,415 3.2% 0.3% 1,878 2,186 4,206
Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment,
27-0000 9,651 10,000 349 3.6% 0.4% 389 705 1,129
Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and
29-0000 40,589 45,642 5,053 12.4% 1.2% 1,103 1,278 2,886
Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support
31-0000 17,514 19,743 2,229 12.7% 1.2% 939 1,179 2,341
Occupations
33-0000 Protective Service Occupations 11,972 12,362 390 3.3% 0.3% 455 674 1,168
Food Preparation and Serving
35-0000 60,151 65,548 5,397 9.0% 0.9% 4,266 6,535 11,341
Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning
37-0000 25,871 27,641 1,770 6.8% 0.7% 1,452 2,018 3,647
and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service
39-0000 29,866 34,696 4,830 16.2% 1.5% 2,222 2,527 5,232
Occupations
41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations 82,601 82,736 135 0.2% 0.0% 4,650 7,114 11,778
Office and Administrative
43-0000 111,142 109,841 -1,301 -1.2% -0.1% 5,461 7,626 12,957
Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry
45-0000 1,850 1,851 1 0.1% 0.0% 73 227 300
Occupations
Construction and Extraction
47-0000 25,621 27,892 2,271 8.9% 0.9% 868 2,064 3,159
Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and
49-0000 26,223 27,689 1,466 5.6% 0.5% 833 1,810 2,790
Repair Occupations
51-0000 Production Occupations 46,975 45,275 -1,700 -3.6% -0.4% 1,838 3,508 5,176
Transportation and Material
53-0000 37,824 39,641 1,817 4.8% 0.5% 1,832 2,959 4,973
Moving Occupations
New Hampshire Employment Security
28 | OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS Economic & Labor Market Information BureauEconomic & Social Indicators for New Hampshire, 2015-2019 | VITAL SIGNS 2020
Top Employment Prospects, 2018 to 2028 Average Annual Training
(Very Favorable with most openings) Openings Categories
2018 Base
Projected
Transfers
Education |
Numeric
Percent
Change
Change
Growth
Annual
SOC Occupational
2028
Exits
Total
Experience |
Code Group
On-the-Job Training
General and
11-1021 13,272 14,326 1,054 7.9% 0.8% 289 909 1,303 Bachelor's | 5+ yrs | none
Operations Managers
Accountants and
13-2011 5,892 6,368 476 8.1% 0.8% 173 398 619 Bachelor's | none | none
Auditors
Software Developers,
15-1132 6,663 8,366 1,703 25.6% 2.3% 104 425 699 Bachelor's | none | none
Applications
5
29-1141 Registered Nurses 13,830 15,582 1,752 12.7% 1.2% 408 377 960 Associate's | none | none
31-1014 Nursing Assistants 8,207 8,856 649 7.9% 0.8% 459 498 1,022 Postsecondary | none | none
First-Line Supervisors
35-1012 of Food Preparation 4,028 4,383 355 8.8% 0.9% 183 459 678 High School | < 5 yrs | none
and Serving Workers
35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 6,703 8,064 1,361 20.3% 1.9% 392 653 1,181 none | < 5 yrs | Moderate OJT
Food Preparation
35-2021 2,815 3,046 231 8.2% 0.8% 215 292 530 none | none | Short OJT
Workers
35-3011 Bartenders 4,300 4,601 301 7.0% 0.7% 208 575 813 none | none | Short OJT
Combined Food
Preparation and
35-3021 15,013 17,067 2,054 13.7% 1.3% 1,279 1,577 3,061 none | none | Short OJT
Serving Workers,
Including Fast Food
Hosts and Hostesses,
35-9031 Restaurant, Lounge, 1,815 1,985 170 9.4% 0.9% 212 223 452 none | none | Short OJT
and Coffee Shop
Janitors and Cleaners,
Except Maids and
37-2011 10,129 10,791 662 6.5% 0.6% 640 738 1,444 none | none | Short OJT
Housekeeping
Cleaners
Landscaping and
37-3011 Groundskeeping 6,781 7,436 655 9.7% 0.9% 291 629 986 none | none | Short OJT
Workers
Amusement and
39-3091 1,853 2,019 166 9.0% 0.9% 206 240 463 none | none | Short OJT
Recreation Attendants
Hairdressers,
39-5012 Hairstylists, and 4,702 5,143 441 9.4% 0.9% 299 314 657 Postsecondary | none | none
Cosmetologists
39-9021 Personal Care Aides 9,001 11,805 2,804 31.2% 2.8% 769 681 1,730 High School | none | Short OJT
Fitness Trainers and
39-9031 2,227 2,573 346 15.5% 1.5% 143 256 434 High School | none | Short OJT
Aerobics Instructors
39-9032 Recreation Workers 2,390 2,608 218 9.1% 0.9% 149 266 437 High School | none | Short OJT
Sales Representatives, High School | none | Moderate
41-3099 3,836 4,223 387 10.1% 1.0% 119 391 549
Services, All Other OJT
High School | none | Moderate
43-6013 Medical Secretaries 3,089 3,609 520 16.8% 1.6% 172 203 427
OJT
High School | none |
47-2031 Carpenters 4,732 5,039 307 6.5% 0.6% 153 353 537
Apprenticeship
47-2061 Construction Laborers 4,000 4,399 399 10.0% 1.0% 140 327 507 none | none | Short OJT
Maintenance and
High School | none | Moderate
49-9071 Repair Workers, 4,832 5,191 359 7.4% 0.7% 176 310 522
OJT
General
Helpers--Production
51-9198 2,487 2,831 344 13.8% 1.3% 141 250 425 High School | none | Short OJT
Workers
Heavy and Tractor- Postsecondary | none | Short
53-3032 7,333 7,790 457 6.2% 0.6% 311 548 905
Trailer Truck Drivers OJT
New Hampshire Employment Security
Economic & Labor Market Information Bureau OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS | 29VITAL SIGNS 2020 | Economic & Social Indicators for New Hampshire, 2015-2019
Occupations with the highest number of average annual openings, Average Annual
2018 to 2028, by entry-level education Openings
2018 Base
Projected
Transfers
Numeric
Percent
Change
Change
SOC
2028
Exits
Total
Occupational Group
Code
Entry-level education: no formal educational credential
Combined Food Preparation and Serving
35-3021 15,013 17,067 2,054 13.7% 1,279 1,577 3,061
Workers, Including Fast Food
35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 12,923 13,628 705 5.5% 921 1,627 2,618
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and
37-2011 10,129 10,791 662 6.5% 640 738 1,444
5
Housekeeping Cleaners
41-2011 Cashiers 22,543 21,688 -855 -3.8% 1,974 2,198 4,086
41-2031 Retail Salespersons 24,912 24,632 -280 -1.1% 1,424 2,195 3,591
Entry-level education: High School Diploma or Equivalent
39-9021 Personal Care Aides 9,001 11,805 2,804 31.2% 769 681 1,730
43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 11,299 11,044 -255 -2.3% 536 952 1,462
43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 14,031 14,568 537 3.8% 724 1,180 1,958
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants,
43-6014 12,130 11,138 -992 -8.2% 596 706 1,203
Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
43-9061 Office Clerks, General 16,109 15,793 -316 -2.0% 892 1,018 1,878
Entry-level education: Some College, No Degree
15-1151 Computer User Support Specialists 3,266 3,610 344 10.5% 63 219 316
25-9041 Teacher Assistants 9,324 9,453 129 1.4% 498 491 1,002
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing
43-3031 8,636 8,437 -199 -2.3% 519 475 974
Clerks
43-4151 Order Clerks 536 528 -8 -1.5% 22 39 60
Computer, Automated Teller, and Office
49-2011 642 646 4 0.6% 18 50 68
Machine Repairers
Entry-level education: Postsecondary Non-Degree Award
31-1014 Nursing Assistants 8,207 8,856 649 7.9% 459 498 1,022
31-9092 Medical Assistants 2,577 3,128 551 21.4% 111 203 369
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and
39-5012 4,702 5,143 441 9.4% 299 314 657
Cosmetologists
Automotive Service Technicians and
49-3023 4,092 4,178 86 2.1% 112 290 411
Mechanics
53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 7,333 7,790 457 6.2% 311 548 905
Entry-level education: Associate's Degree
23-2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 1,181 1,326 145 12.3% 42 91 147
Preschool Teachers, Except Special
25-2011 3,218 3,453 235 7.3% 132 203 359
Education
29-1141 Registered Nurses 13,830 15,582 1,752 12.7% 408 377 960
29-2021 Dental Hygienists 1,380 1,520 140 10.1% 60 37 111
29-2056 Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 865 1,048 183 21.2% 28 50 96
New Hampshire Employment Security
30 | OCCUPATIONAL TRENDS Economic & Labor Market Information BureauEconomic & Social Indicators for New Hampshire, 2015-2019 | VITAL SIGNS 2020
Occupations with the highest number of average annual openings, Average Annual
2018 to 2028, by entry-level education (continued...) Openings
2018 Base
Projected
Transfers
Numeric
Percent
Change
Change
SOC
2028
Exits
Total
Occupational Group
Code
Entry-level education: Bachelor's Degree
11-1021 General and Operations Managers 13,272 14,326 1,054 7.9% 289 909 1,303
11-3031 Financial Managers 3,698 4,331 633 17.1% 87 223 373
13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 5,892 6,368 476 8.1% 173 398 619
15-1132 Software Developers, Applications 6,663 8,366 1,703 25.6% 104 425 699
5
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special
25-2021 5,577 5,608 31 0.6% 174 238 415
Education
Entry-level education: Master's Degree
Education Administrators, Elementary and
11-9032 1,458 1,479 21 1.4% 38 76 116
Secondary School
Educational, Guidance, School, and
21-1012 1,829 1,966 137 7.5% 62 133 209
Vocational Counselors
25-4021 Librarians 963 1,006 43 4.5% 53 45 102
25-9031 Instructional Coordinators 967 1,029 62 6.4% 42 51 99
29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 1,170 1,520 350 29.9% 26 45 106
Entry-level education: Doctorate or Professional Degree
23-1011 Lawyers 2,304 2,459 155 6.7% 51 63 130
25-1011 Business Teachers, Postsecondary 568 657 89 15.7% 22 28 59
25-1071 Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary 742 896 154 20.8% 30 38 83
29-1069 Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 1,446 1,578 132 9.1% 25 19 57
29-1123 Physical Therapists 1,437 1,727 290 20.2% 29 37 95
Source: New Hampshire Employment Security, Long-Term Occupational Projections; Updated: 4/22/2021
Prepared by: New Hampshire Employment Security, Economic and Labor Market Information Bureau
www.nhes.nh.gov/elmi | (603) 228-4124
New Hampshire Employment Security
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