On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR

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On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
On The Right Track:
Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery

BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference

January 29, 2009
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
DISCLAIMER/DISCLOSURE

This presentation has been prepared by 407 ETR.
The financial information presented is taken from quarterly and year-end
statistics that have been disclosed publicly over 2006, 2007 and 2008.
All financial amounts are shown in Canadian dollars unless otherwise
indicated.
 Additional information relating to 407 ETR and or 407 International,
including the 2007 Annual Information Form dated January 31, 2008, can
be accessed on SEDAR.
The statements about expected future events and financial and operating
results are forward-looking. Forward-looking statements may include words
such as anticipate, believe, could, expect, goal, intend, may, outlook, plan,
strive, target and will. These statements reflect internal projections,
expectations, future growth, performance and business prospects and
opportunities, and, as they are subject to a number of risks and
uncertainties, you are cautioned not to put undue reliance upon such
statements as they may differ from actual results and developments.

                                                                         2
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
AGENDA

Current Global Economic Challenges
Implications for 407 ETR
2009 Toll Rate Changes
Recent and Planned Infrastructure Improvements
Key Financial Measures
Key Operational Measures
Continued Customer Service Improvements
Continued Efficiency Improvements

                                                 3
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
GLOBAL ECONOMIC CHALLENGES

                      4
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
GAS PRICES

    Regular Gas
   Price (CAD c/L)

             5
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
Miles Travelled
           Ja
             n-0

                     2,500
                             2,600
                                     2,700
                                             2,800
                                                     2,900
                                                             3,000
                                                                     3,100
                 0
            Ju
              l-0
                 0
           Ja
             n-
                01
            Ju
              l-0
                 1
           Ja
             n-
                02
            Ju
              l-0
                 2
           Ja
             n-
                03
            Ju
              l-0
                 3
           Ja
             n-
                04
            Ju
              l-0
                 4

    Date
           Ja
             n-
                05
            Ju
              l-0
                 5
           Ja
             n-0
                 6
                                                                             Monthly US Traffic 2000 to 2008

            Ju
              l-0
                 6
           Ja
             n-
                07
            Ju
              l-0
                 7
           Ja
             n-
                08
            Ju
              l-0
                 8
6
                                                                                                               DECLINE IN DRIVING
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
INTERNATIONAL TOLL ROADS

Impact of economy and gas prices being felt on toll roads
around the world
   Foothill/Eastern Tollroads (Cal.) down 7% in Q4
   Chicago Skyway down 9.2% in Q4
   M6 Toll (UK) down 11.5% in Q4
   Indiana Toll Road down 16.4% in Q4
   Public Border Operators Association (11 border crossings in the Great
   Lakes/St. Lawrence area) down 12.4% in Q4
        Including Ambassador Bridge down 22.9% in November and 19.3 %
        in December 08
While 407 ETR has been affected by the economy and poor
weather, the economic impact has not been as dramatic as
other concessions
   407 ETR Q4 traffic down 1.5%

                                                                   7
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
407 ETR TRAFFIC
                                                   Average Workday Trips
                                                           Weekday Trips by Month

                         425,000

                         400,000
Number of Transactions

                         375,000

                         350,000

                         325,000

                         300,000

                         275,000

                         250,000

                         225,000
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                                                                                                    De
                                                                    Month              Se

                                                 2003      2004          2005       2006           2007    2008

                                                                                                                     8
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
IMPLICATIONS FOR 407 ETR
Demand for 407 ETR is still relatively strong, especially:
   In peak hours
   Among customers with transponders
   In specific sections (“zones”) of the highway

However, in mid- to late-2008, we started to experience:
   Less off-peak travel
   Less travel by video users
   Shorter trips – particularly by video users
   Differing demand in different sections
   Truck traffic down on all routes
   As a result of Plate Denial, some customers are no longer using
   our highway

Contract provides flexibility to manage traffic volumes
2009 toll rates use different tools to address these issues

                                                                9
On The Right Track: Continuous Improvement In P3 Delivery - BMO Capital Markets Infrastructure & Utilities Conference - 407 ETR
ZONE TOLLING CHANGES

                                 2008 – Three zones with
                                    two price levels

2009 – Two zones with
   two price levels

                                                  10
PEAK VERSUS OFF-PEAK PRICING

                            Highest Peak Rate to increase by 3.1%
                            from 19.25 to 19.85

Off-Peak Rate will be held at 2008
levels (i.e. 18.00 cents/km)

                                                           11
TRIP TOLL CHARGE

Introduction of a new Trip Toll Charge
    Charged for every trip on the highway
    Based on vehicle size:
       25 cents for light vehicles
       50 cents for heavy vehicles
       75 cents for heavy multiple vehicles

Trip Toll Charge will:
   Offset decreases in average trip length
   Reduce congestion caused by short trips
   Increase revenue opportunities

                                                12
TARGETED FEE REDUCTIONS

Video Toll Charge
reduced from $3.60      Monthly
     to $3.25.        Transponder
                       Lease Fee
                      reduced from     Video Account Fee
                     $2.55 to $2.50.   reduced from $2.55
                                            to $2.50.

                                                    13
SUMMARY OF TOLL RATE CHANGES

ü Continues the use of Zone Tolling
ü Increases difference between Peak & Off-Peak pricing
ü Uses new levers available under the contract, including
  the new Trip Toll Charge
ü Targeted reductions to fees to influence usage

  We are fine-tuning our tolling structure,
   using the flexibility available in the
       contract to maximize value.

                                                      14
CONSTRUCTION AND INFRASTRUCTURE

407 ETR has invested over $1.1
      billion since 1999!

                                  15
2 + 2 Lanes

                                          1 + 1 Lanes
                                                           2 + 2 Lanes

              2 + 2 Lanes

3 + 3 Lanes

                                    New Lanes Added By 407 ETR
                                    Ø 420 new lane kilometres
                                    Ø 74 new ramps
IMPACT OF NEW LANES

               17
PLANNED CONSTRUCTION

   $70 million of planned highway
   construction spending in 2009

1. E1 New Lanes:
     Addition of one new lane in each direction
     between Markham and York Durham Line

2. C7 Structures (404 to Markham):
     Widening bridges in preparation for new
     lanes in 2010

3. 401 Structures:
     Widening of both the EB and WB bridge
     structures at the 401/407 interchange
     A very complicated project in 2009 and 2010
     to allow new lanes in 2011

                                                          18
KEY FINANCIAL MEASURES
            Revenues (in $000's)                            Operating Expenses (in $000's)

600,000                                         120,000
500,000                                         100,000
400,000                                          80,000
300,000                                          60,000
200,000                                          40,000
100,000                                          20,000
     0                                                  0
          2004   2005   2006      2007   2008                 2004     2005        2006     2007          2008

             EBITDA (in $000's)                         Revenue/Trip and Expenses/Trip

500,000                                          7.00
                                                 6.00
400,000                                          5.00
                                                 4.00
300,000                                          3.00
                                                 2.00
200,000                                          1.00
                                                 0.00
100,000                                                      2004    2005      2006       2007       2008
                                                                                                 (Q1-Q3 average)
                                                                              OpEx/Trip
      0
                                                                              Rev/Trip
          2004   2005   2006      2007   2008

                                                                                                            19
DEBT MATURITY PROFILE

900

                                                                                                              Junior Bonds
800
                                                                                                              Senior Bonds
                                                                                                              Subordinated Bonds
700
                                                                                                              Senior Amortizing Payments

600                                                  Real Return Bonds
500

400          *
             -

300                     *
200                            *
100

      -
-
      2008       2010   2012   2014   2016    2018   2020   2022   2024   2026   2028   2030   2032   2034   2036   2038     2040

                                      *   Refinanced with bond offerings in January 2009
                                           (2012 add $300 senior, 2014 add $200 senior)

                                                                                                                               20
KEY OPERATIONAL MEASURES
                      Transponders In Circulation (000s)                                                            Unbillable Percentage
1,000                                                                                  9

 900                                                                                   8

 800
                                                                                       7
 700
                                                                                       6
 600
                                                                                       5
 500
                                                                                       4
 400
                                                                                       3
 300

                                                                                       2
 200

 100                                                                                   1

   0                                                                                   0
        1999   2000   2001    2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008                 2000    2001   2002    2003   2004   2005   2006   2007    2008

                                                Transponder Penetration Percentage
                             85

                             80

                                                                                                                   2008 figures up to Q3
                             75

                             70

                             65

                             60
                                  1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004      2005   2006    2007   2008

                                                                                                                                                       21
KEY OPERATIONAL MEASURES
               Number of Escalated Complaints                                          Number of Personal and Business Calls (000s)
3,500                                                                   1,600

3,000                                                                   1,400

                                                                        1,200
2,500

                                                                        1,000
2,000
                                                                         800
1,500
                                                                         600

1,000
                                                                         400

 500
                                                                         200

   0                                                                       0
        2004    2005      2006         2007          2008                         2003        2004          2005   2006   2007   2008

                                                            Bills Mailed (000s)
                            25,000

                            20,000

                            15,000

                            10,000

                             5,000

                                 0
                                     1999   2000   2001   2002   2003    2004   2005   2006   2007   2008

                                                                                                                                 22
CUSTOMER SERVICE EXCELLENCE

Winner of a 2008 Canadian Council for
Public-Private Partnerships National Award
for Excellence in Service Delivery
  $180 million of new lanes in 2006/2007
  $40 million ETR Rewards loyalty program
  $110 million of customer service improvements

ISO 9001:2000 Certified
  Notified of certification on January 13, 2009
  Committed to continuous improvement and
  achieving the utmost Quality in the products
  and services we offer to meet the needs and
  expectations of our customers

                                                  23
CONTINUED SEARCH FOR EFFICIENCIES

RIN project
   Using MTO Registered Identification Number (RIN) to improve
   customer service, reduce number of bills going to customers
   (i.e. loose accounts), consolidate loose accounts, etc.

eBilling
   Number of registrations continued to grow in 2008
   Over 80,000 customers receive electronic bills, reducing
   postage and paper costs and improving ability to communicate
   through email

Online Services
   PAC/PAD enrolments, online payments, online address
   changes and online transponder leases remain strong

                                                           24
“407 ETR’S MOST WANTED”
“Customer Drops Plate While Cops Wait”
                   Acura uses 407 with plate
                    lowered several times.
                   One day, the exact same
                vehicle is spotted with the plate
                  raised, allowing 407 ETR to
                       identify the driver.

                  OPP set up a “sting” at the
                commuter’s usual entrance and
                  usual morning drive time.
                 Vehicle is spotted by OPP with
               plate lowered and is pulled over by
                    the OPP on the highway.
               Cable between back seat and plate
                         is discovered.
              Driver cut cheque for all outstanding
                    tolls. Crime doesn’t pay!

                                                      25
QUESTIONS?

      26
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