Piracy in the Gulf of Mexico - NOV 2020 - Institute for Strategy and Development ...

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Piracy in the Gulf of Mexico - NOV 2020 - Institute for Strategy and Development ...
NOV 2020

Piracy in the
Gulf of Mexico
Sea blindness and the path to a
counter-piracy strategy
Piracy in the Gulf of Mexico - NOV 2020 - Institute for Strategy and Development ...
The speaker
Consultancy
  Fouding Partner and Director of Intelligence at Riskop.
  Risk Intelligence firm with more than 10 years of
  experience.
  Provides actionable, field-collected intelligence for private
  companies and Government agencies.
                                                                   Ausencia de Estado
Academic                                                          de Derecho y Proceso
  MA Maritime Security candidate (current). Graduated from
                                                                     Electoral 2021
  the William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense
  Studies (National Defense University, DoD). Political
  Scientist.
  Former Non-resident fellow at the Mexican Navy Institute
  for Strategic Research.
  Director of the Institute for Strategic Research and
  Development (ISDR-Mexico).
  Fields of research: Maritime Security + new types of
  conflict.

@CjEhrlichM                                                                              PÁG 01
Piracy in the Gulf of Mexico - NOV 2020 - Institute for Strategy and Development ...
The New York Times

                     PÁG 02
Piracy in the Gulf of Mexico - NOV 2020 - Institute for Strategy and Development ...
Mexico’s
Maritime
Domain

           PÁG 03
Piracy in the Gulf of Mexico - NOV 2020 - Institute for Strategy and Development ...
Critical SLOC
Source: Marine Traffic
                         PÁG 05
Piracy in the Gulf of Mexico - NOV 2020 - Institute for Strategy and Development ...
3 million square kms of
EEZ

11,000 kms of coastlines

“Sea Borders” to US,
Cuba, Guatemala and
Belize

                           PÁG 04
MS challenges on
the Gulf of Mexico
(Atlantic)

1 Piracy and armed robbery at sea
2   Oil and Gas resources (+250 MX
    platforms)

3   Increasing presence of Chinese Oil
    and Gas operations

                                         PÁG 06
Two competing visions on the issue…

“Piracy is on the rise and uncontrolled”                          “Piracy is growing but still under control”

  Information from organizations such as Stable Seas (sources?)     Mexican Navy reports 45 incidents between 2018 and August
  International Federation of Maritime Workers (16 attacks per      2020.
  month)
                                                                    Mexico’s political reform regarding ports and merchant
  Mexico’s Merchant Marine sector                                   marines.

  International media after the Italian-flagged ship incident.      Acceptance of lack of resources (MDA systems, ships and
                                                                    helicopters).
  US GOVERNMENT THREAT ALERT (April 2020)

                                                                                                                       PÁG 07
Not OC-related. At least not related to Mexico’s main criminal syndicates.

        Local families (coastal communities) and active PEMEX personnel involved
        disguised as fishermen.

        Two-boat cells, acting late at night and mostly between 6NM and 12NM.
What
we do   Oil theft is an exception.

know…   Mexican Navy lacks enough resources.

        Mistrust between Navy and the civilian Maritime Security community.

         Not an international crisis but a growing Maritime Security concern

                                                                           PÁG 08
Some thoughts regarding a Counter-Piracy Strategy…

                                                                                    Creación de 1,500 agendas de
                                                                                    riesgo a nivel tienda, que miden
             What must be done:                                                     la probabilidad de ocurrencia e
                                                                                    impacto de 17 riesgos divididos
               Acknowledge the problem (evolving and adapting in nature).           en las esferas social, política,
               Comprehensive dialogue with various MS stakeholders.                 seguridad y regulatorio.
               Define a clear, realistic desired end state (strategic objective).   Análisis y segmentación de la
               ID tasks and specific projects.                                      información a nivel de ciudad,
               Governance structure = information sharing = trust building.         estado y región de operación.
                                                                                    Alineación de programas de
                                                                                    impacto social, relacionamiento
                                                                                    comunitario,     recomendaciones
             Main Challenges:                                                       para su Fundación y vinculación
                                                                                    estratégica de acuerdo al nivel de
               Mexico lacks a maritime culture whatsoever.                          riesgo de cada región.
               Political sea blindness must be addressed.                           Diseño de programas estándar
                                                                                    (community toolbox) a aplicar por
               Sea awareness needs a strategy on its own.
                                                                                    regiones en: educación, salud
                                                                                    y entorno urbano.

                                                                                                           PÁG 09
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