Sectorwatch: Consumer Retailers - 7 Mile Advisors - February 2021

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Sectorwatch: Consumer Retailers - 7 Mile Advisors - February 2021
7 Mile Advisors

Sectorwatch:
Consumer Retailers
February 2021
Consumer Retailers

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Overview                                                                      DASHBOARD

                                                                              • Summary metrics on the sector
                                                                              • Commentary on market momentum by comparing the
                                                                                most recent 12-month performance against the last 3-
                                                                                year averages.

                                                                              PUBLIC BASKET PERFORMANCE

                                                                              • Summary valuation and operating metrics for a basket of
We advise on M&A and private capital transactions and provide market            comparable public companies.
assessments and benchmarking. As a close-knit team with a long history
together and a laser focus on our target markets, we help our clients sell
their companies, raise capital, grow through acquisitions, and evaluate new
markets.                                                                      VALUATION COMPARISON

We publish our sectorwatch, a review of M&A and operational trends in         • Graphical, detailed comparison of valuation multiples for
the industries we focus.                                                        the public basket.

                                                                              RECENT DEALS

                                                                              • The most recently announced deals in the sector
Dashboard

1 - year revenue growth compared to revenue growth average for last 3 years - Current revenue
growth rate exceeds the average of the last 3 years by this amount, indicating that market
momentum is increasing

                                                                                                4
Public Basket Overview

 Consumer Retailers

                         5
Public Basket

Amazon.com                 1,690,410   45,291   347,945   31.1%   25.2%   13.0%   4.9x   37.3x   798,000     436

Walmart                    454,261     34,419   548,743   5.3%    24.8%   6.3%    0.8x   13.2x   2,200,000   249

The Home Depot              317,150    20,046   125,631   13.2%   34.0%   16.0%   2.5x   15.8x    415,700    302

Costco Wholesale           151,490     8,019    172,929   11.8%   13.2%   4.6%    0.9x   18.9x   273,000     633

Lowe's Companies           135,835     10,937   85,313    18.9%   32.9%   12.8%   1.6x   12.4x   320,000     267

Target                     100,748     9,010    88,621    14.1%   29.2%   10.2%   1.1x   11.2x   368,000     241

Walgreens Boots Alliance    82,584      7,171   141,504   3.0%    19.7%   5.1%    0.6x   11.5x    331,000    428

Kroger                      44,122     7,236    130,654   7.4%    23.1%   5.5%    0.3x   6.1x    435,000     300

Carrefour                   31,548     5,024    81,237    -0.5%   21.6%   6.2%    0.4x   6.3x     321,383    253

Best Buy (Minnesota)        26,933     3,339    45,521    5.3%    22.6%   7.3%    0.6x   8.1x     125,000    364

                           303,508     15,049   176,810   10.9%   24.6%   8.7%    1.4x   14.1x   558,708     347

                            118,291    8,515    128,143   9.6%    24.0%   6.8%    0.9x   12.0x   349,500     301

                                                                                                                   6
Public Basket

                7
Operational Metrics

                      8
Operational Metrics

                      9
Operational Metrics

                      10
Valuation

            11
Valuation

            12
Valuation
EBITDA(x)

                                                                           LTM GP%

                                                                                     EBITDA(x)

                                                                                                                                                            LTM RGR%
            6x   6x   8x   11x     12x   12x     13x     16x   19x   37x
                                                                                                 6x   6x   8x   11x    12x   12x    13x   16x   19x   37x

                           EBITDA(x)           LTM GP%
                                                                                                                 EBITDA(x)         LTM RGR%

                                                                                                                                                                       13
Recent Transactions

                                                                                                    Target Revenue (TTM
Date        Target                    Buyer                              Total Transaction Amount     at time of deal)    TEV / Revenue   TEV / EBITDA

31-Dec-20   Flinders                  Nine United                                   -                       -                  -               -
22-Dec-20   Tradehouse                BaltCap                                       -                     19.03                -               -
15-Jan-21   Cost Plus World Market    Kingswood Capital Management                  -                       -                  -               -

29-Jan-21   Quickchek Corporation     Murphy                                     645.00                     -                  -               -
22-Jan-21   P&H Motorcycles           Staminier                                     -                       -                  -               -
28-Dec-20   ShopRunner                FedEx                                         -                       -                  -               -
23-Dec-20   Ann Taylor (Ohio)         Sycamore Partners Management                  -                       -                  -               -

05-Jan-21   FreshDirect               Centerbridge Partners                      300.00                   600.00              0.50             -
01-Dec-20   BevMo!                    goPuff                                     350.00                     -                  -               -
28-Dec-20   FFO Home                  American Freight                            7.00                      -                  -               -
17-Nov-20   The GrowBiz               GrowGeneration                                -                       -                  -               -
07-Jan-21   Tiffany                   LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton          15780.00                 3668.70              3.99           21.51

18-Dec-20   Partner Coffee Services   Tchibo Coffee Service                         -                       -                  -               -
19-Jan-21   Hims & Hers Health        Oaktree Acquisition                        279.50                     -                  -               -
06-Nov-20   1-800 Contacts            Kohlberg Kravis Roberts                    3000.00                    -                  -               -
30-Oct-20   Mountain Equipment        Kingswood Capital Management                  -                       -                  -               -

07-Dec-20   JC Penney                 Brookfield Property Partners               1750.00                 8240.00              0.14           -2.39

15-Nov-20   Urban Ladder              Reliance Retail                             24.54                     -                  -               -
11-Sep-20   Sleepo                    BHG Group (Malmo)                           6.13                     9.70                -               -
02-Dec-20   Stop-N-Go of Madison      Kwik Trip                                     -                       -                  -               -

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15
Public Basket                                                                                                                        Amazon.com

Online product and digital media sales comprised 50% of net revenue in 2019, followed by commissions, related fulfillment and
shipping fees, and other third-party seller services (19%), Amazon Web Services' cloud computing, storage, database, and other
offerings (13%), Prime membership fees and other subscription-based services (7%), product sales at Whole Foods and other physical
store retail formats (6%), and advertising services and cobranded credit cards (5%). International segments constituted 27% of
Amazon's non-AWS sales in 2019, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.

                                                                                                                                             16
Public Basket                                                                                                                                Amazon.com

     Company Name               Date                                                                 Deal Synopsis

                                           The company received an undisclosed amount of development capital from Amazon.com, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Neuman & Esser Usa,
      Infinium (Energy)        26-Jan-21   Grantham Environmental Trust and AP Ventures on January 26, 2021. The funding will be used to advance the development of commercial
                                           scale applications to decarbonize the transportation sector.

Umbra (Multimedia and Design
                               24-Jan-21   The company was acquired by Amazon.com (NAS: AMZN) for an undisclosed amount on January 24, 2021.
         Software)

                                                                                                                                                                        17
Public Basket                                                                                                                         Walmart

Its home market accounted for 77% of sales in fiscal 2020, with Mexico and Central America (6%), the United Kingdom (6%), and
Canada (4%) its largest external markets. In the United States, around 56% of sales come from grocery, 34% from general
merchandise, and 10% from health and wellness items. The company operates several e-commerce properties apart from its
eponymous site, including Flipkart and shoes.com (it also owns a roughly 10% stake in Chinese online retailer JD.com). Combined, e-
commerce accounted for about 7% of fiscal 2020 sales.

                                                                                                                                           18
Public Basket                                                                                                                                     Walmart

Company Name     Date                                                                    Deal Synopsis

   PhonePe     03-Dec-20   Flipkart sold a 13% stake in the company to Walmart and other undisclosed investors for $700 million on December 3, 2020.

                           The company reached a definitive agreement to be acquired by Walmart (NYS: WMT) for an undisclosed amount on November 20, 2020.
   JoyRun      20-Nov-20   This acquisition allows Walmart to further augment its team and ongoing efforts to explore even more ways to deliver for customers in the
                           future.

                                                                                                                                                                 19
Public Basket                                                                                                                   The Home Depot

Its stores offer numerous building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and decor products and
provide various services, including home improvement installation services and tool and equipment rentals. The acquisition of
distributor Interline Brands in 2015 allowed Home Depot to enter the maintenance, repair, and operations business, which is
expected to expand with the pending acquisition of HD Supply. The tie-up with Company Store also brought textile exposure to
Home Depot's lineup.

                                                                                                                                           20
Public Basket                                                                                                               The Home Depot

Company Name     Date                                                                   Deal Synopsis

                           The company was acquired by The Home Depot (NYS: HD) for $8 billion on December 24, 2020. As a result of the transaction, The Home
  HD Supply    24-Dec-20   Depot will now hold a 82.9% stake in the company. The transaction enables The Home Depot to become a premier provider in the MRO
                           marketplace.

                           The company raised $90 million of Series C venture funding in a deal led by Chromo Invest and Blackrock Innovation Capital Group on
                           November 20, 2020. Maersk Growth, TFI International, Bramalea Partners, Alumni Ventures Group, and Perry Capital Partners also
  Loadsmart    20-Nov-20   participated in the round. The funds will be used to better serve shippers through doubling down on the tools to deliver excellent
                           operational performance, as well as an expansion of value-added services like mode optimization, price transparency and data insights on
                           supply chain optimization opportunities.
                                                                                                                                                                21
Public Basket                                                                                                                         Costco Wholesale

It sells memberships that allow customers to shop in its warehouses, which feature low prices on a limited product assortment.
Costco mainly caters to individual shoppers, but roughly 20% of paid members carry business memberships. Food and sundries
accounted for 42% of fiscal 2020 sales, with hardlines 17%, ancillary businesses (such as fuel and pharmacy) nearly 17%, fresh food
14%, and softlines 10%. Costco's warehouses average around 146,000 square feet; over 75% of its locations offer fuel. About 6% of
Costco's global sales come from e-commerce (excluding same-day grocery and various other services).

                                                                                                                                                   22
Public Basket                                                                                                                            Costco Wholesale

  Company Name              Date                                                                      Deal Synopsis

                                       The company, a subsidiary of Transformco, was acquired by Costco Wholesale (NAS: COST) for $998 million on March 17, 2020. The
   Innovel Solutions       17-Mar-20   acquisition will provide the company and its employees with the resources to continue to build out a best in class logistics platform and the
                                       proceeds from the sale will allow TFCO to repay all of its non-real estate debt.

Navitus Health Solutions   03-Mar-20   SSM Health Partners sold a minority stake in the company to Costco for an undisclosed amount on March 03, 2020.

                                                                                                                                                                               23
Public Basket                                                                                                                          Lowe's Companies

The firm's stores offer products and services for home decorating, maintenance, repair, and remodeling. Lowe's targets retail do-it-
yourself and do-it-for-me customers as well as commercial business clients. We estimate that Lowe's captures a low-double-digit
share of the domestic home improvement market, based on U.S. Census estimates for market size.

                                                                                                                                                    24
Public Basket                                                                                                                         Lowe's Companies

    Company Name              Date                                                                     Deal Synopsis

                                         The Retail Analytics Platform of Boomerang Commerce was acquired by Lowe's Companies (NYS: LOW) for an undisclosed amount on May
Boomerang Commerce (Retail
                             20-May-19   20, 2019. This acquisition will allow Boomerang Commerce to significantly accelerate their product roadmap and invest in customer success
    Analytics Platform)
                                         infrastructure for CommerceIQ.

                                         The company was acquired by Lowe's Companies (NYSE: LOW) for $509 million on June 2017. The acquisition will help Lowe's Companies
    Maintenance Supply
                             01-Jun-17   to enhance existing relationship with its customer base, particularly with regard to its Pro Services business and enable it to better serve
       Headquarters
                                         clients in the multifamily housing segment.

                                                                                                                                                                               25
Public Basket                                                                                                                       Target

Most of Target's stores are large-format, averaging roughly 130,000 square feet. The company has a significant e-commerce
presence, deriving around 9% of sales from the channel. In addition to its namesake stores, Target owns Shipt, an online same-day
delivery platform. After it exited Canada in 2015, virtually all of Target's revenue is generated from the United States.

                                                                                                                                       26
Public Basket                                                                                                                                           Target

Company Name    Date                                                                     Deal Synopsis

    Deliv      01-May-20   The company was acquired by Target (NYS: TGT) for an undisclosed amount in May 2020.

                           The company raised $100 million through the combination of debt and Series D venture funding from Target, IVP, Norwest Venture Partners,
                           Rosecliff Venture Partners, Alumni Ventures Group, New Enterprise Associates, Plus Capital, Omega Venture Partners and Generation
   Casper      04-Feb-19   Ventures (Palo Alto) on February 04, 2019, putting the company's pre-money valuation at $1.04 billion. Dani Reiss, PROOF Fund,Founders
                           Circle Capital, Future Tech Labs, Chestnut Street Ventures, Gordon Segal, Evolution VC Partners, and Sand Hill Angels also participated in the
                           round. The funds will be used to fuel the company's international expansion and the growth of its physical retail stores.
                                                                                                                                                                  27
Public Basket                                                                                                             Walgreens Boots Alliance

The core defensive positioning is primarily around the pharmacy that are placed in high traffic locations. Currently, the company has
the largest retail pharmacy market share (around 20%, excluding mail) which provides significant cost advantages and scale. Annually,
the company generates over $140 billion in revenue consisting of U.S. retail pharmacy (around 75%), International pharmacy (around
10%) and pharmaceutical wholesale (around 20%). Walgreens has established strategic partnerships to offer incremental services to
increase average revenue per customer and has an equity stakes in AmerisourceBergen (26%) and Sinopharm Holding Guoda
Drugstores (40%).

                                                                                                                                               28
Public Basket                                                                                                      Walgreens Boots Alliance

Company Name            Date                                                                     Deal Synopsis

iA (Pharmaceuticals)   12-Jan-21   The company was acquired by Walgreens Boots Alliance (NAS: WBA) for an undisclosed amount on January 12, 2021.

                                   The company raised $1.02 billion of venture funding in a deal led by Walgreens Boots Alliance on January 6, 2021. Kinnevik also participated
     VillageMD         06-Jan-21
                                   in the round. The funds will be used to increase the pace and scale of the rollout of the clinics and to adjust certain other terms.

                                                                                                                                                                          29
Public Basket                                                                                                                              Kroger

Around 82% of stores have pharmacies, while over half also sell fuel. The company also operated more than 300 fine jewelry stores
at the end of fiscal 2019. Kroger features a leading private-label offering and manufactures around a third of its own-brand units (and
42% of its grocery own-label assortment) itself, in 35 food production plants nationwide. Kroger is a top-two grocer in 90% of its
major markets (as of late 2019, according to Planet Retail and Edge Retail Insight data cited by the company). Virtually all of Kroger's
sales come from the United States.

                                                                                                                                              30
Public Basket                                                                                                                                                Kroger

    Company Name              Date                                                                  Deal Synopsis

                                         The company was formed as a joint venture between Kroger and Lindsay Goldberg on May 14, 2019. The company will be a part of Kroger's
     PearlRock Partners      14-May-19
                                         alternative profit streams portfolio.

Shopko (42 Shopko Pharmacy
                             11-Dec-18   The 42 Shopko pharmacy locations of Shopko were acquired by Kroger for an undisclosed amount on December 11, 2018.
           Stores)

                                                                                                                                                                         31
Public Basket                                                                                                                             Carrefour

Established in 1959, it is slowly diversifying away from the original large hypermarket format, although hypermarkets still account for
the majority of sales in France. Its focus on developing smaller stores has reduced exposure to the nonfood category (17% of group
sales). About 77% of sales are in Europe, with 20% in Latin America and 3% in Asia.

                                                                                                                                                32
Public Basket                                                                                                                                         Carrefour

   Company Name              Date                                                                  Deal Synopsis

                                        The company, a subsidiary of The Dairy Farm Company (SES: D01), was acquired by Carrefour (PAR: CA) for EUR 97 million on December
Wellcome Department Store   31-Dec-20
                                        31, 2020.

                                        The company reached a definitive agreement to be acquired by Carrefour (EPA: CA) for EUR 60 million on November 2, 2020. The
        Bio c' Bon          02-Nov-20
                                        acquisition reinforces Carrefour's ambition to become the leader in organic food and the food transition for all in France.

                                                                                                                                                                       33
Public Basket                                                                                                                        Best Buy (Minnesota)

Bureau of Economic Analysis). The company is focused on accelerating online sales growth, improving its multichannel customer
experience, developing new in-store and in-home service offerings, optimizing its U.S., Canada, and Mexico retail store square
footage, lowering cost of goods sold expenses through supply-chain efficiencies, and reducing selling, general, and administrative
costs.

                                                                                                                                                      34
Public Basket                                                                                                                       Best Buy (Minnesota)

    Company Name                 Date                                                                    Deal Synopsis

BioSensics (predictive health               The predictive health care technology business of BioSensics of BioSensics was acquired by Best Buy (Minnesota) (NYS: BBY) for $20 million
                                07-Aug-19
     care technology)                       on August 07, 2019.

                                            The company was acquired by Best Buy (NYS: BBY) for $125 million on May 09, 2019. The acquisition is aligned with Best Buy's strategy to
Critical Signal Technologies    09-May-19
                                            address health and wellness with a focus on aging seniors and how technology can help them live longer in their homes.

                                                                                                                                                                                 35
Leroy Davis, Partner                           704.899.5962   leroy@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Tripp Davis, Partner                           704.899.5762   tripp@7mileadvisors.com

Contact Info
                                                        Andy Johnston, Partner                         704.899.5961   andy@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        John Cooper, Managing Director                 704.973.3996   john@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Mark Landry, Managing Director                 561.972.0609   mark@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Tim Frye, Senior Director                      704.973.3994   tim@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Kristina Sergueeva, Director                   704.899.5149   kristina@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Ben Garber, Vice President                     412.626.7898   ben.garber@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Garth Martin, Vice President                   704.973.3997   garth.martin@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Nicholas Prendergast, Vice President           704.973.3995   nicholas@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Ariail Barker, Director, Sales & Marketing     704.981.2908   ariail@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Ben Bruggeworth, VP, Business Development      704.365.8859   ben.bruggeworth@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Steve Sypek, VP, Business Development          704.414.8736   Steve.sypek@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Emily Halstenberg, Marketing & Sales Manager   704.409.9912   emily@7mileadvisors.com
As a close-knit team with a long history together
and a laser focus on our target markets, we help        Alexis Papa, Marketing & Sales Coordinator     704.414.8732   lexi.papa@7mileadvisors.com
our clients sell their companies, raise capital, grow
                                                        Marty Johnson, Senior Associate                704.973.3999   marty@7mileadvisors.com
through acquisitions, and evaluate new markets.
Securities offered through 7M Securities LLC.           Sydney Scadden, Senior Associate               704.973.3998   sydney@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Steve Buffington, Associate                    704.960.1828   steve@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Dennis Fox, Associate                          704.706.9168   dennis@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Ilia Ulianchuk, Senior Analyst                 704.414.8743   ilia@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Nic Anderle, Analyst                           704.826.7492   nic.anderle@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Luke Perda, Analyst                            704.851.4013   luke.perda@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Robin Siegel, Analyst                          704.285.8173   robin@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Conor Smith, Analyst                           704.855.2134   conor.smith@7mileadvisors.com

                                                        Sawyer Willingham, Analyst                     704.285.8171   sawyer.willingham@7mileadvisors.com
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