Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg

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Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Suite
success
Dubai hospitality survey 2021

June 2021

KPMG Lower Gulf
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Foreword
Throughout the past year,
individuals, businesses and
                                         business hotels. Dubai’s popularity
                                         as a staycation destination has been
nations alike have been forced           key in supporting the emirate’s
to manage social, medical and            hospitality sector.
economic upheaval. Sectors such
as tourism and hospitality were hit      The industry has also pivoted to
particularly hard by the pandemic,       meet customer demands regarding
as international travel ground to a      safety and hygiene, while striving to
near halt. The United Arab Emirates’     manage operating costs. This has
(UAE) hospitality sector—particularly    been accomplished using a variety
in Dubai and Abu Dhabi— was              of technological solutions, including
significantly impacted, when             online check-in, robotic process
compared with pre-pandemic levels.       automation and chatbots.

Despite a turbulent year, the country    Our 2021 Dubai hospitality report
has, however, managed to record          explores how Covid-19 has impacted
the second highest occupancy rate        in-country travel and visitors’
globally in 2020 (54.7%), behind         experiences in Dubai. Findings
China. This, despite strong outbound     include insight from both UAE-
travel restrictions among many of        based consumers and industry
the UAE’s main source markets.           owners/operators.

The nation’s tourism landscape           We hope you find this report
has undergone a significant shift,       informative. If you would like to
with domestic travel far exceeding       discuss the findings in greater detail,
international visits and luxury, beach   please feel free to contact us.
and desert resorts outperforming

Sidharth Mehta
Partner
Head of Real Estate
KPMG Lower Gulf
e: sidharthmehta@kpmg.com

2   Suite success                                                                  Dubai hospitality survey 2021   3
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Contents

06                   10                     12                16
Page                 Page                   Page              Page

Recovering rates     Here to stay(cation)   Safety first      Service remains
                                                              world class

                                                               References        26
                                                               About KPMG        27
                                                               Contact us        28

18                   20                     24
Page                 Page                   Page

Tempting travelers   Unlocking              Methodology and
to return            the future             demographics

4   Suite success                                                     Dubai hospitality survey 2021   5
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Recovering
rates
Accounting for 10.3%1 of global        restrictions are expected to impact   rates have steadily improved as      2020-21 Dubai hotel occupancy levels (%)
gross domestic product (GDP), the      an estimated 100-200 million direct   a result of various hygiene and
travel and tourism (T&T) industry is   jobs in the industry. In the UAE,     safety measures. December
vital for many economies, including    the number of visitors traveling to   2020 marked a twelve-month
                                                                                                                                                                            69.1   65.9
the UAE. With the global outbreak      Dubai decreased by almost 67%:        high of 69%, followed by a slight                                                       55.8                   58.2       60.5       59.4
of Covid-19, the T&T industry          from 16.7 million in 2019 to 5.5      decrease to 59.4% in April 2021                                           45.1   49.9
suffered its worst year on record      million visitors in 2020.2            due to Ramadan.3 The emirate’s                                     41.0
in 2020, experiencing a 74% drop                                             occupancy levels are significantly
in international arrivals. Around      After nosediving to less than 25%     higher than the Middle East and               27.7          30.2
the world, pandemic-related travel     in April 2020, Dubai’s occupancy      Africa region’s 2020 rate of 49%.4
                                                                                                                   23.6           25.7

                                                                                                                  Apr'20   May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec    Jan     Feb        Mar       Apr'21
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Source:STR

6   Suite success                                                                                                                                                                     Dubai hospitality survey 2021      7
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Revenue per available room               2020, coinciding with the holiday            of 2020, hitting USD 165.9 in       2020-21 Dubai hotels ADR (USD)
(RevPAR) in Dubai grew by more           period.5 As of April 2021, RevPAR            December. The new year witnessed
than 550% during 2020. After             for the emirate stood at USD 92.9.           a decline however, with April ADR
hitting a low of USD 17.2 at the start   Average daily rate (ADR) for                 at USD 156.4.6
of the pandemic, RevPAR reached          hotels in the emirate also gained                                                                                                                           165.9       160.2                         156.4
a peak of USD 114.7 in December          momentum toward the end                                                                                                                                                                      148.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           128.8
                                                                                                                                                                 98.1              99.9     107.5
                                                                                                                                                         89.6
                                                                                                                            72.6      65.6     75.2                      76.7

2020-21 Dubai hotels RevPAR (USD)

                                                                              114.7       105.7
                                                                                                   74.9    89.8 92.9       Apr'20     May      Jun       Jul     Aug     Sep      Oct       Nov      Dec         Jan      Feb        Mar       Apr'21
                                                                  59.9                                                                                                                                                                     Source:STR

                                                         49.9                                                             Exploring occupancy, RevPAR and        Current travel restrictions applicable      In addition, vaccination programs
                                         40.3    34.6                                                                     ADR, it becomes clear that the         to key source markets (i.e. India           continue to expand, demand related
                                                                                                                          emirate’s hospitality industry is in   and the UK) will put pressure               to Expo 2020 will increase, and
                               27.1                                                                                       the process of recovering after a      on occupancy in the summer                  travel restrictions will gradually
     17.2     18.2    19.3                                                                                                significant drop across indicators.    months. However, with school                ease. As a result, occupancy and
                                                                                                                          However, while luxury, beachfront      holidays starting in July, demand for       rates are expected to continue to
                                                                                                                          and desert resorts were able to        staycations will further increase—          improve toward the latter half of
                                                                                                                          reduce cost and attract domestic       even during the weekdays.                   the year.
    Apr'20    May     Jun      Jul       Aug    Sep      Oct      Nov     Dec             Jan     Feb     Mar    Apr'21   guests, budget and business
                                                                                                                          hotels have struggled to maintain
                                                                                                             Source:STR
                                                                                                                          occupancy and ADR.

8     Suite success                                                                                                                                                                                                  Dubai hospitality survey 2021     9
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Here to
stay(cation)
The hospitality industry’s recovery     Domestic room
has been driven by local demand.
The popularity of domestic              nights accounted
travel, or “staycations,” has been
supported by government-issued          for 78% in 2020
health and hygiene mandates. In
fact, while international arrivals
                                        compared with just
plummeted, the number of room           19% in 2019.
nights sold to domestic tourists
throughout the UAE surged from
2.74 million in 2019 to 5.68 million
in 20207—an increase of 107%.
Domestic room nights accounted
for 78% in 2020 compared with
just 19% in 2019. Domestic
tourism spending stands at AED
41 billion.

The domestic market will continue
to be a critical driver in 2021 and
beyond. Events held in Dubai
during the winter—such as the
Dubai Shopping Festival and
Dubai Food Festival—will likely
bolster demand, in line with the
nation’s newly-launched domestic
tourism strategy. Hoteliers will play
an important role in developing
offerings, including activities,
special resident rates and
hospitality services.

10   Suite success                                           Dubai hospitality survey 2021   11
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Safety
first
                                                                                                                        In line with awareness of             Some staycationers suggest hotels     Covid-19. However, only 38%
                                                                                                                        government-led sanitization           provide masks and sanitizers          have vacationed in a local property
                                                                                                                        policies and owner/operator           during the stay to complement the     to date, indicating potential
                                                                                                                        efforts, 80% of consumers are         experience. More than half (55%)      for growth.
                                                                                                                        confident that Dubai’s hotels apply   stated they were likely to stay at
                                                                                                                        the required level of sanitization.   a hotel in Dubai, notwithstanding

                                                                                                                        Would you consider
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    77% Yes
In an effort to assist travelers and   Dubai Assured stamp in June of          received a Dubai Assured stamp,
owner/operators, the World Travel      2020, with the goal of assuring         certifying its sanitization protocols.
& Tourism Council established the      visitors that hotels, restaurants,      Consumers continue to express            whether a property
Safe Travels global protocols and      retail outlets and attractions are in   a high degree of concern around          had received the
stamp in early 2020. In recognition    line with international health and      Covid-19-related safety measures.
of the emirate’s successful            safety standards and protocols.9        Many feel appropriate monitoring,
                                                                                                                        Dubai Assured stamp
citywide management of the                                                     high standards of cleanliness and        before making a hotel

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   23% No
                                       Among UAE residents, we find
pandemic, Dubai was awarded the
                                       more than three-quarters (77%)
                                                                               effective handling of common             reservation?
Safe Travels stamp in July 2020,                                               spaces are critical when it comes
                                       of those planning to stay in Dubai
cementing its position as one of                                               to improving customer experience
                                       would take into consideration
the world’s safest destinations.8                                              and creating a sense of safety.
                                       whether or not the property
Locally, the emirate launched the                                                                                                                                                    Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – consumers

                                                                                                                        Given sanitization
                                                                                                                        requirements related
                                                                                                                        to hotel operations,
                                                                                                                        how would you
                                                                                                                        rate the additional
                                                                                                                        operational complexity
                                                                                                                                                                         Low                 Medium                    High
                                                                                                                        and operational costs
                                                                                                                        caused by Covid-19?
                                                                                                                                                                       8%                   58%                      33%
                                                                                                                                                                                      Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – operators

12   Suite success                                                                                                                                                                                          Dubai hospitality survey 2021   13
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
How likely are you
to stay in a Dubai                  Very likely    22%
hotel room/hotel
apartments/holiday
home, given the
                            Somewhat likely        33%
Covid-19 pandemic?
                     Neither likely nor unlikely    17%
                          Somewhat unlikely         14%
                               Not at all likely    15%
                                             Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – consumers

14   Suite success                                                                                    Dubai hospitality survey 2021   15
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Service remains
world class
Despite Covid-19-related              ten (87%) were satisfied with their       Seventy-five percent of operators
challenges, Dubai’s reputation for    experience and 85% would return.          stated that Covid-19 has had a
customer service remains true         While some expressed concern              significant impact on how visitors
to form. Among those who have         about limited facilities, most            spend their time in Dubai.
stayed at a Dubai-based property      approved of safety measures, such
during the pandemic, nearly nine in   as reduced capacity in restaurants.

 Were you satisfied                               Very
 with the experience
                                              satisfied   49%
 of staying in a hotel                     Somewhat
 during Covid-19                             satisfied    38%
 in Dubai?                            Neither satisfied
                                       nor unsatisfied    10%
                                           Somewhat
                                           unsatisfied     13%
                                                                 Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – consumers

When welcoming
guests, could you                           High    75%
please indicate what
kind of impact Covid-19
has had on the way
hotel guests spend
their vacations?
                                        Medium      25%
                                                                  Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – operators

16   Suite success                                                                                                         Dubai hospitality survey 2021   17
Suite success Dubai hospitality survey 2021 - June 2021 KPMG Lower Gulf - assets.kpmg
Tempting travelers                                                                                                                                                   85%
                                                                                                     During Covid-19,
                                                                                                     many Dubai-based
                                                                                                     hotels developed                                                                   Yes
                                                                                                     campaigns/packages
                                                                                                     to boost staycations.
                                                                                                                                                                      15%
to return
                                                                                                     Do you think hotels
                                                                                                     should further lower
                                                                                                                                                                                        No
                                                                                                     prices to compensate
                                                                                                     for changes in the
                                                                                                     customer experience?

                                                                                                                                          Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – consumers

So, what would prompt travelers       exhibitions (MICE) segment of travel
                                                                               Nine in ten (92%)     Some food and

                                                                                                                                         53%
to visit? Eighty-five percent of      to be at significant risk.10 According
consumers believe there should be     to a recent survey by YouGov, four       travelers to Dubai    beverage outlets and
some type of compensation for the     in ten European business travelers                             facilities are still closed
changed experience—specifically       say they will fly less after travel      saw the emirate       in the Dubai hotels.          Yes
an adjustment to price. While the
culinary experience is a big part
                                      restrictions are removed as a result
                                      of video conferencing.
                                                                               as the safest place   Does this affect your
                                                                               in the world to
                                                                                                                                         47%
of Dubai staycations, opinion was                                                                    decision to stay in a
divided as to whether changes to      While only time will tell how the
                                                                               conduct business      hotel in Dubai?
hotel offerings affect consumers’
decisions to stay at a particular
                                      MICE segment will evolve, as
                                      many as nine in ten (92%) travelers
                                                                               meetings during
                                                                                                                                   No
property. Some suggested an           to Dubai saw the emirate as
option for packages which catered
to family events, such as birthdays
                                      the safest place in the world to
                                      conduct business meetings during
                                                                               the pandemic.                                              Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – consumers

and anniversaries, may prompt a       the pandemic.
stay during the pandemic. Long-stay
options are also becoming popular     Several recent in-person events
among residents, as hotel rates       have welcomed guests from various
compete with rental costs.            destinations,11 and the emirate
                                      continues to look to the future with
While leisure travel in the region    optimism. With the re-opening of
will likely bounce back, the shift    Dubai and the resumption of MICE
to remote working may change          activities building up to Expo 2020,
business travel in the long term.     efforts to reinforce a sense of safety
Sixty-seven percent of owner/         will remain key in rebuilding the
operators believe the meetings,       business travel segment.
incentives, conferences and

18   Suite success                                                                                                                                                Dubai hospitality survey 2021   19
Unlocking
the future
The nation’s hospitality market          recover. Indeed, our survey finds
                                                                                  The nation’s
has shown tremendous resilience,         75% of owner/operators anticipate
boasting the world’s second              the vaccine to be effective in           hospitality market
highest occupancy rates in 2020.12
And Dubai will likely remain a
                                         boosting occupancy rates. In fact,
                                         half of those surveyed expect            has shown
regional and global tourism hub.         occupancy rates above 60% in FY          tremendous
Leisure and business destinations        2021 and 75% expect occupancy
around the world will only see           to return to pre-Covid-19 levels         resiliency, boasting
travel increase, as vaccine rollouts
continue and economies gradually
                                         by 2023.                                 the world’s second
                                                                                  highest occupancy
                                                                                  rates in 2020.

What average
occupancy rate do you
expect to achieve in
                                            Above 60%:    50%
FY21?
                                                  51-60%: 33%

                                                  41-50%:          17%
                                                                   Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – operators

 Among owner/operators of Dubai-         USD 150 or higher. Consistent with
 based properties in our survey,         the presumed occupancy rates’
 half anticipate an average daily rate   timeframe, 83% expect ADR to
 (ADR) of USD 120-150 in 2021,           return to pre-Covid-19 levels in 2023.
 with an additional 25% expecting

20   Suite success                                                                                                          Dubai hospitality survey 2021   21
What ADR do you
expect to achieve
in FY21?
                                         Above USD 150:             25%
                                             USD 120-150:           50%
                                      Less than USD 120:            25%
                                                               Source: KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2021 – operators

Considering existing travel           bolstering travelers’ confidence        and tourist activities by 134%.
restrictions, short- to medium-       and reinforcing the message that        In addition, the length of public
term challenges will remain. While    Dubai is, indeed, a safe destination.   beaches is expected to increase by
occupancy and room rates have         Furthermore, 16,000 keys are            approximately 400% by 2040. Both
improved, full recovery will be a     expected to be delivered in 2021,       measures are expected to drive
longer-term journey.                  adding to the current inventory         future growth in the industry.13
                                      of 135,000 keys in response to          Given that 67% of owner/operators
The Government of Dubai has           the large number of Expo 2020           in our survey expect beachfront
taken steps to position the emirate   visitors anticipated, starting in       hotels to recover fastest, this
as a sought-after destination.        October 2021                            is likely a welcome move.14
New developments are expected                                                 The approval of multiple tourist
to enhance the city’s appeal,         In the long term, these steps are       entry visas, remote working visas
from Ain Dubai to the Museum          supported by Dubai’s 2040 Urban         and student sponsorship visas will
of the Future. In addition,           Master Plan, which seeks to             also likely help boost the sector.15
increased vaccination rates are       enlarge the land used for hotels

22   Suite success                                                                                                      Dubai hospitality survey 2021   23
Methodology and
demographics
KPMG’s 2021 Dubai hospitality       Gender
survey was conducted in Q4
2020 and Q1 2021. A total of
484 consumers were surveyed
across the UAE. Findings are
                                                                                    ?
complemented by input from 12
hospitality owners/operators,                      55%             39%               6%
responsible for 176 properties in                 Male           Female           No answer
the emirate.
                                    Age group

                                                    15%        52%         22%         10%
                                                   18-24       25-34      35-44        45+

                                    Location      Abu Dhabi: 20%
                                                  Dubai: 50%
                                                  Sharjah: 13%
                                                  Other Emirates: 11%
                                                  No response: 6%

                                    Owner/operator demographics:
                                    How many properties does your organization own and/or manage
                                    in Dubai?
                                                  1-10: 50%
                                                  11-20: 17%
                                                  21-30: 17%
                                                  31 +: 17%

24   Suite success                                                                                 Dubai hospitality survey 2021   25
References                                                                                                                            About KPMG
1
     https://wttc.org/Research/Economic-Impact                    10
                                                                       https://www.dubaitourism.gov.ae/en/legislative-news/           For almost 50 years, KPMG Lower Gulf Limited has               For FY21, the firm has earmarked a global budget of USD
                                                                       dubai-launches-dubai-assured-covid-19-health-and-safety-       been providing audit, tax and advisory services to             1.43 million for the initiative.
2
     https://www.dubai-online.com/essential/tourism-statistics/                                                                       a broad range of domestic and international, public
                                                                       compliance-certification                                                                                                      As we continue to grow, we aim to evolve and progress,
                                                                                                                                      and private sector clients across all major aspects of
3
     STR                                                                                                                                                                                             striving for the highest levels of public trust in our work.
                                                                                                                                      business and the economy in the United Arab Emirates
                                                                  11
                                                                       KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2020                                                                                            Our values are:
                                                                                                                                      and in the Sultanate of Oman. We work alongside our
4
     https://str.com/press-release/str-middle-east-and-africa-
                                                                  12
                                                                       https://www.arabianbusiness.com/travel-                        clients by building trust, mitigating risks and identifying
     hotel-performance-2020                                                                                                                                                                                   Integrity: We do what is right.
                                                                                                                                      business opportunities.
                                                                       hospitality/460511-dubai-rated-safest-place-in-world-for-
5
     https://str.com/press-release/str-preliminary-june-data-                                                                         KPMG Lower Gulf is part of KPMG International
                                                                       business-travellers-new-survey-shows                                                                                                   Excellence: We never stop learning
                                                                                                                                      Cooperative’s global network of professional member
     dubai-hotels                                                                                                                                                                                             and improving.
                                                                  13
                                                                       https://www.arabianbusiness.com/real-estate/460272-            firms. The KPMG network includes approximately
6
     STR                                                                                                                              227,000 professionals in over 146 countries. KPMG in
                                                                       urban-master-plan-to-boost-dubais-real-estate market?utm_      the UAE and Oman is well connected with its global                      Courage: We think and act boldly.
7
     https://www.hoteliermiddleeast.com/news/121637-dubai-             source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_                        member network and combines its local knowledge with
                                                                       campaign=arabianbusiness_newsletters&utm_                      international expertise, providing the sector and specialist            Together: We respect each other and
     domestic-tourism-jumps-by-107-percent-in-2020
                                                                                                                                      skills required by our clients.                                         draw strength from our differences.
                                                                       email=jduff@kpmg.com
8
     https://www.arabianbusiness.com/travel-                                                                                          KPMG is widely represented in the Middle East: along
     hospitality/460434-international-leisure-travel-spend-to-
                                                                  14
                                                                       KPMG Dubai hospitality survey 2020                             with offices in the UAE and Oman, the firm is well                      For Better: We do what matters.
                                                                                                                                      established in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Egypt,
     take-three-years-to-exceed-pre-coronavirus-levels            15
                                                                       https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/travel/travel-news/uae-    Jordan and the Lebanon. Established in 1973, KPMG in
                                                                                                                                                                                                     To meet the changing needs of our clients, we have
9
     https://www.thenationalnews.com/uae/health/dubai-                 approves-multiple-entry-tourist-visas-for-all-nationalities/   the UAE and Oman employs 1,485 people across four
                                                                                                                                                                                                     adopted an approach aligned with our global purpose:
                                                                                                                                      offices, including about 100 partners and directors.
     given-safe-tourism-stamp-of-approval-amid-global-                 as81633353.cms                                                                                                                Inspiring Confidence, Empowering Change. Our three
                                                                                                                                      Our latest initiative, KPMG IMPACT, aims to help clients       pillars
     pandemic-1.1054111
                                                                                                                                      future-proof their businesses amid times of increasing
                                                                                                                                                                                                     – exceptional quality of service, an unwavering
                                                                                                                                      focus towards issues such as climate change and social
                                                                                                                                                                                                       commitment to the public interest, and building
                                                                                                                                      inequality. The goal is to help them achieve success
                                                                                                                                                                                                       empowered teams
                                                                                                                                      across 17 major Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
                                                                                                                                      and become more resilient and socially conscious.              – are the foundation of our firm.

26     Suite success                                                                                                                                                                                                              Dubai hospitality survey 2021   27
Contact us
Sidharth Mehta                                                       Fahad Kazim
Partner                                                              Partner
Head of Real Estate                                                  Head of Asset Management
KPMG Lower Gulf                                                      KPMG Lower Gulf
e: sidharthmehta@kpmg.com                                            e: fahadkazim@kpmg.com

Walid Daoud                                                          Richard Stolz
Partner                                                              Associate Director
Audit                                                                Advisory
KPMG Lower Gulf                                                      KPMG Lower Gulf
e: wdaoud@kpmg.com                                                   e: rstolz@kpmg.com

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Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the
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date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional
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Publication name: Suite success
Publication number: 3487
Publication date: June 2021                                                                                                                         @kpmg_lowergulf
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