Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg

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Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
Ten key regulatory
challenges of 2021
The future of regulatory:
Altering our view

kpmg.co.za
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
Contents
Introduction                                          2

IBOR Transition                                       4

Third-Party Risk Management                           8

Fundamental Review of the Trading Book                12

Vulnerable Customers                                  14

Financial Crime                                       18

Data Privacy                                          20

Capital & Liquidity                                   24

Central Bank Digital Currencies                       28

Cyber                                                 32

Data: Cloud Computing & Data Sovereignty              36

Contact us                                            38

                                           Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021   1
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
Introduction
The future of regulatory: Altering our view

The disruptions that faced all industries in 2020 will forever reshape the financial
services industry.
Notable among these are the accelerated use of online and digital technologies, the long
term adoption of remote working practices and the demand for adjusted business and
risk strategies as the world became a very different place. Together they have impacted
all aspects of a financial services company’s physical and strategic operations, technology
systems and data security, products and services, customer interactions, and third party
relationships. With such change comes regulatory challenges and concerns which in
2021 will begin to set forth the future of regulatory: altering our view.
Therefore we present our ten key regulatory challenges for 2021 and help answer the
question: What are the steps I can take now to prepare.

Michelle Dubois
Senior Manager
Regulatory Centre of Excellence

With acknowledgement to Amy S. Matsuo. National Leader, Regulatory Insights, KPMG US
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
KPMG highlights the key drivers and actions for firms in the
        following Key Ten Regulatory Challenges for 2021:

                                                                       IBO
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                                              Data                       ition

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                                             9

                                                                             2
           Bank Digital
            Currencies

                            Central
             Central

                                                        Regulatory

                                                                                                           FRTB
                          Bank Digital                                                    FRTB
                                                                                  3
                                         8

                          Currencies                    Challenges
                                             7

                                                                              4

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                                                                                 l
                                               Data                         ncia
                                             Priva                      Fina e
                                                   cy                     Crim

    IBOR Transition: Replacing                                             Data privacy: Protecting your data as the asset
1   the world’s most powerful number                           6           that it is

    Third-Party Risk Management: Addressing                                Capital & Liquidity: Balancing inherent tensions
2   the serious challenge of third-party risk                  7           to weather the storm

    Fundamental Review of the Trading Book                                 Central Bank Digital Currencies: The evolution
3   (“FRTB”): Setting the bar higher                           8           rather than revolution of fiat currencies

    Vulnerable customers: Ensuring that no                                 Cyber: Protecting the lifeblood of the
4   man is indeed left behind                                  9           organisation

    Financial crime: Chasing shadows of illicit                            Data: Cloud computing and data sovereignty:
5   events                                                    10           The infinite value of data in the sky

                                                                                                   Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021   3
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
Drivers
   — Concerns about the core
     nature of IBORs have been

                                      IBOR Transition
     swirling for years
   — IBORs are dependent on rate
     submission by a select group
     of banks, which are quote-
     based and can be subject to
     manipulation. The aim is to
     move toward transactional-
     based quotes, which
                                      Replacing the world’s most powerful number
     provide more transparency
   — Banks no longer fund             The discontinuation and replacement       such as remuneration plans and
     themselves on the interbank      of the Interbank Offer Rates (IBOR)       budgeting tools.
     market as before, hence the      by Alternative Reference Rates (ARR)
     rate was not as representative                                             Despite its popularity, concerns about
                                      represents one of the most ambitious
     as before of the true state                                                the core nature of IBORs have been
                                      transformations in financial markets
     on inter-banking borrowing                                                 swirling for years, driven primarily by
                                      in recent times. Its impact will be far   some of those key following factors:
   — The risk that many IBORs         reaching, affecting sell-side and buy
     could be found to no longer      side professionals, corporates, and in   • IBORs are dependent on rate
     represent the underlying         general any market participants with       submission by a select group of
     market it is meant to            interest rate benchmark exposure.          banks, which are quote-based
     measure, due particularly to a                                              and can be subject to manipulation
     lack of underlying primary and   Although the official cessation date for   (as seen in the 2012 Libor scandal
     secondary market activity        IBORs publication is set to December       in the UK). The aim is to move
   — IBORs rates are not risk-free,   2021, many jurisdictions such as South     toward transactional-based
     as they include a credit risk    Africa are leveraging this regulatory      quotes, which provide more
     premium that reflects the        reform to significantly change their       transparency.
     perceived credit risk of the     internal interest rate benchmark, and
     panel of banks that contribute   are thus planning a separate cessation • Banks no longer fund themselves
     to IBOR, and thus render         date for their own benchmark rate.         on the interbank market as
     the benchmark not perfectly
     suitable for discounting         In South Africa, Jibar is the key             before, hence the rate was not as
     derivatives transactions         benchmark used as the reference               representative as before of the
                                      interest rate for financial instruments       true state on inter-banking
                                      and derivatives; with the three-month         borrowing
                                      Jibar rate being the most widely used
                                      and accepted reference for South          • The risk that many IBORs could
                                      African Rand-denominated financial            be found to no longer represent
                                      contracts. It is estimated that the total     the underlying market they are
                                      value of outstanding derivative and non-      meant to measure, due particularly
                                      derivative contracts that reset against       to a lack of underlying primary and
                                      the three-month Jibar rate exceed             secondary market activity
                                      R40 trillion as-of 2018.
                                                                                • IBORs rates are not risk-free, as
Auguste Claude-Nguetsop                                                             they include a credit risk premium
Partner & Head of Market Risk –                                                     that reflects the perceived credit
IBOR National Lead                    Transitioning from
                                                                                    risk of the panel of banks that
                                      IBOR to ARR                                   contribute to IBOR, and thus
                                      IBORs currently underpin a huge range         render the benchmark not
                                      of financial products and valuations,         perfectly suitable for discounting
                                      from loans and mortgages through              derivatives transactions.
                                      securitisations and to derivatives
                                      across multiple jurisdictions. They
                                      are used in determining all sorts of      Although the discontinuation date
                                      tax, pension, insurance and leasing       of IBORs is scheduled for the end
                                      agreements and are embedded in            of 2021, the timeline of the Jibar
                                      a wide range of finance processes         replacement is still to fully finalised
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
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and communicated. The SARB has however already                a period of higher market volatility and liquidity issues
recommended in Q4 2020 that South Africa transitions          following the introduction of newly established ARRs.
to a near-risk free rate as a key overnight reference rate.   That could lead to larger than anticipated valuation
This means that jibar will, in future, not be used as a key   differences, tax estimations discrepancies and hedge
reference rate for financial contracts in South Africa.       effectiveness breaks.
To avoid a multi-step transition, the SARB has
recommended, as an initial step, that the current jibar
framework, including its governance, be strengthened in       Transition Steps
order to secure the transition period, while the MPG and      Based on the conclusion of the MPG established by
its work streams continue their work on operationalising      the SARB to assist with recommendations for the
an alternative reference rate.                                replacement of the Jibar and the definition of ARRs ,
Transition to the alternative reference rate will only        the critical transition first step will be the establishment
take place when the rate is fully functional, which could     of the standard overnight reference rate for the ZAR
take up to four or five years. Any measures taken to          overnight index swap (“OIS”) market, using the rate for
strengthen the jibar framework during the interim             swap discounting and remunerating collateral. Unlike in
phase would need to ensure that the rate is credible          the United Kingdom, where this was a straightforward
and resilient, until full transition takes place.             process as the successor rate, SONIA, was already the
                                                              established reference rate for sterling OIS, significant
                                                              work will need to be done in the South African market,
                                                              given that there is currently no liquid market for OIS.
Challenges of
IBOR transition                                               Following the establishment of a liquid market for OIS,
                                                              the following pillars will be developed as part of the
The IBOR transition complexity is driven by the
                                                              transition journey:
difference in nature between IBORs and ARRs, as well
as the significant impact of the transition on market
                                                              • Derivatives market adoption;
participants infrastructures, legal, operational and
systemic risks.
                                                              • Adoption in the cash/other markets; and
IBORs are forward-looking rates, meaning that a
borrower knows the interest rate on a loan at the             • the transition of legacy contracts and position.
beginning of the interest period. In contrast, ARRs are
overnight indices, implying they are backward-looking
and, therefore, require significant efforts to define a       In Summary
term rate structure and a yield curve. ARRs are also
designed to be risk-free (i.e. free of any credit risk        Although the Covid-19 pandemic has diverted some
premium).                                                     attention from the drive to meet IBOR transition
                                                              deadlines, there have not been any plans in any of the
In consequence, the ARRs are, in general, expected to         leading IBORs markets to delay the transition planned
be lower than the current IBORs. Further, the ARR will        for December 2021. The recommendation made by the
not only be based on the interbank market but will also       SARB to transition to a near risk-free rate through a
involve payments made by banks to non-banks. This will        staged and incremental approach, with a reformed Jibar
increase the number of underlying transactions used to        step in the interim have been co-defined with market
determine the interest rate.                                  participants, thus a guarantee of solid buy-in.
Market participants and professionals should anticipate

                                                                                           Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021   5
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
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   Although the discontinuation date of IBORs is
   scheduled for the end of 2021, the timeline of
   the Jibar replacement is still to fully finalised and
   communicated. The SARB has however already
   recommended in Q4 2020 that South Africa
   transitions to a near-risk free rate as a key
   overnight reference rate. This means that JIBAR
   will, in future, not be used as a key reference
   rate for financial contracts in South Africa
   Auguste Claude-Nguetsop,
   Partner & Head of Market Risk – IBOR National Lead

Key actions
— Sell Side: Banks will have to manage conduct, basis, legal, operational and systemic
  risk. Tax and accounting impacts will also have to be managed. Finally, the key transition
  challenges on contract remediation, internal and external communication and liquidity for
  term structures rate will also have to be addressed.
— Buy Side: Corporates, insurers and asset managers will face similar risks and challenges
  to those highlighted for the sell side. They will also have to deal particularly with
  cash-flow management and valuation reconciliation issues, as well as financial reporting.
  Insurers will have to handle risk-free yield curves for solvency reporting purposes as well
  term structures rates for long dated derivatives transactions.
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021 - The future of regulatory: Altering our view - assets.kpmg
Third-Party
  Drivers
  — Ever increasing regulatory
    expectations for
    establishing controls
                                 Risk Management
    over third parties
                                 Addressing the serious challenge
  — In certain instances,
    the pandemic impacted        of third-party risk
    ongoing monitoring
    and performance
    management processes         In today’s complex and volatile global        organisation’s data;
    over third parties           markets, third-party relationships
                                                                            — Whether third parties maintain a
                                 are a critical source of competition
                                                                              control environment that meets the
                                 and growth for financial services
                                                                              organisation’s needs; and
                                 organisations. Financial organisations
                                 are increasingly reliant on third-party    — Which specific requirements need
                                 suppliers to deliver business-critical       to be negotiated into third-party
                                 products and innovative services             contracts.
                                 in the fast-paced and ever-evolving
                                                                            No ‘one-size-fits-all’ TPRM program
                                 digital age.
                                                                            exists. Each requires an informed
                                 Third-party risk management                and precisely defined strategy that is
                                 (“TPRM”) needs to be approached            supported by a clearly articulated risk
Thomas Gouws                     in a more-consistent manner that           appetite.
Partner                          ideally relies on a centralised and
Risk Consulting                  refined service model across the           Holistic risk identification and
                                 entire organisation. Failures by third     assessment during onboarding,
                                 parties can rapidly tarnish business       and throughout the lifecycle of the
                                 reputations, unleash significant           contract, is crucial to maintaining a
                                 downstream operational and                 line of sight into the risk profile of the
                                 cost implications, and generate            entire third-party portfolio. Financial
                                 significant penalties for regulatory       services organisations need to take a
                                 non-compliance or misconduct.              risk-based approach to assessing and
                                                                            monitoring third-party products and
                                                                            services that present the highest risk
                                 Consider today’s volatile                  to the organisation. This is particularly
                                                                            true amid today’s disruptive COVID-19
                                 environment a catalyst
                                                                            environment and on that front
                                 for improvement                            KPMG has defined four phases for
                                                                            organisations to consider in response
                                 Financial service organisations should
                                                                            to the pandemic: Reaction, Resilience,
                                 view today’s risk-laden environment
                                                                            Recovery, and the New Reality:
                                 as a tipping point toward heightened
                                 TPRM awareness, strategy and               — Reaction and Resilience:
                                 execution that ensures sustained and         Implementing emergency moves
                                 consistent third-party assessment,           to remote working models and
                                 onboarding, oversight and monitoring.        rapid reconfiguration of third-party
                                 A properly functioning TPRM program          service delivery models; and
                                 provides critical insights that include:
                                                                            — Recovery and the New Reality:
                                 — Selection and evaluation of third-         Preparing for subsequent virus
                                   party service providers;                   breakouts, new government
                                                                              regulations and supplier
                                 — How the third party will access,
                                                                              uncertainty.
                                   store and/or transmit the
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Yet many organisations within the financial sector and          use distributed or centralised models.
beyond, still lack the critical technology and skills that
                                                             — Optimise the process: Financial organisations can
underpin effective TPRM programs.
                                                               optimise the risk-stratification process in two ways:
There is no time to lose on the journey to TPRM maturity.      risk segmentation — establishing a disciplined
Successful TPRM transformation demands strategies              risk-scoring methodology across third-party services
that overcome the roadblocks that have plagued systems         — and enhancement of the service-delivery
throughout their initial build and subsequent iterations.      model to reduce costs and increase accountability.
These include:                                                 Organisations should segment third-parties into three
                                                               categories: those presenting nominal risk to the
— Inadequate executive support and tone at the top;
                                                               organisation and that do not need to be risk assessed;
— Resistance to organisational realignment;                    those that are appropriate for the standard TPRM
— Large resource needs to operate the program;                 process; and those that present a homogenous risk
                                                               profile and are more efficiently managed centrally, via
— Insufficient accountability from third-party                 a specialty program.
  organisations;
                                                             — Evolve and innovate: Financial services TPRM
— Lack of investment in technology enablement; and             programs typically revolve around the gathering
— Resistance from third parties to                             and assessment of third-party data. Organisations
  co-operate with the TPRM process.                            are focusing their limited budgets on new tools.
                                                               We see leading TPRM teams using automation,
                                                               data analytics and natural language processing, as
Many financial services organisations still have a long        well as incorporating scoring services for affordable
way to go before they reach maturity. True transformation      and scalable monitoring across select risk areas,
is driven by a constant cycle of program uplifts, process      performance management, and contract compliance.
optimisation and innovation. Firms grappling with              TPRM programs are exploring how they can use
uncertainty and disruption can no longer ignore these key      machine learning to evaluate internal data around
steps to TPRM maturity:                                        risk events and identify risk events that may be
— Agree on the vision: A key consideration for an              caused by a third-party. They are automating the
  enterprise wide TPRM program is designating                  monitoring of third-party compliance with SLA terms,
  program ownership and determining where TPRM sits            identifying opportunities to recoup fees for missed
  within the organisation.                                     commitments, and taking a more-proactive approach
                                                               to reputational risks.
— Build the model: TPRM programs are complex,
  meaning development is not a one-time exercise but         Whilst we see more organisations wisely taking a
  a work in progress requiring organisations to ‘strike      proactive approach to TPRM, it remains a work in
  the right balance.’ Key to efficiency is a centralised     progress for many. Financial organisations have no time
  and sustainable service-delivery model that facilitates    to lose in addressing the serious challenge of third-
  risk assessment on behalf of, and with input from, the     party risk and the pressing need for a more-consistent
  business. Financial services organisations may opt to      approach that ensures operational resilience.

                                                                                        Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021   9
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Key actions
— A single TPRM program leader with a reporting structure to senior management and
  the Board;
— An enterprise-wide outsourcing and third-party strategy and a defined risk appetite;
— Clear responsibilities and accountabilities across the TPRM program and lifecycle;
— An inventory of third-party services to which the program applies, with clearly
  defined services;
— Consistency of execution across the organisation’s business units to drive quality data
  for analysis and integration with the second and third lines of defense;
— A risk-based approach to assessing third-party services, tied to the program’s
  risk appetite;
— Risk assessment and due diligence prior to contract execution and decision-making;
— TPRM technology architecture that supports efficient workflow, task automation
  and reporting across the entire business;
— A documented and well-understood audit trail;
— A service delivery model that’s aligned to the organisation’s operating style;
— Integration of TPRM activities and technology organisation-wide into processes,
  such as procurement, legal and finance, and into existing risk- oversight functions
  and activities;
— Collection of real-time data around the TPRM program’s ability to manage third-party
  assessment, onboarding and monitoring;
— A comprehensive data model for collection of third-party information, including service
  details, risk scoring, contract information and performance monitoring;
— Internal data feeds that monitor and record specific events and incidents attributable
  to third-parties, and external data feeds that monitor for real-time information on the
  third-parties, such as adverse media, changes in business ownership, corporate actions,
  cyber vulnerability scores, financial viability ratings;
— A process to update third-party risk profiles when there are changes to the risk score
  and real-time tracking of performance against service level agreements (SLAs) and
  real-time tracking of risks against key risk indicators (KRIs); and
— Data-driven decision making, where risk assessments and performance monitoring
  influence contracts and decisions
Fundamental Review of
   Drivers
   — The Basel Committee on
     Banking Supervision has
     made it clear that a “more
                                  the Trading Book (“FRTB”)
     coherent and consistent
     set of rules” is required    Setting the bar higher
     to “reduce variability in
     market risk capital levels
     across banks”                Despite the Basel Committee’s one-          calculating market risk capital for
                                  year reprieve on the deadline for FRTB      their trading books – and assessing
                                  implementation, delaying the initial hard   the use of internal models if the
                                  deadline of December 2022 by one-           business case provides evidence
                                  year, South African’s banks still have      of potential cost savings. Smaller
                                  much to contend with before January         banks are considering the use of the
                                  2023 and the mandatory twelve months        simplified standardised approach, as
                                  back-testing. In addition to complex        it comes with less complexity in its
                                  decisions over modelling approaches,        implementation and can provide an
                                  infrastructure, data management             optimal cost-benefit ratio in some
                                  and reporting, the banks also must          specific cases. It remains however to
Auguste Claude-Nguetsop           integrate FRTB alongside other              be seen if the SARB will allow it given
Partner & Head of Market Risk –   regulatory requirements such as SA-         the risk of regulatory capital arbitrage
IBOR National Lead                CCR and the IBORs transition, which         that is posed by the SA approach
                                  mean a very challenging and narrow          when selected by a D-SIB.
                                  path to a successful implementation.
                                                                              For the leading banks, the obvious
                                  Furthermore, the Covid-19 pandemic
                                                                              fallback if internal modelling does
                                  has added a layer of operational
                                                                              not reliably yield capital benefits that
                                  complexity to a host of other challenges
                                                                              justify the heavy systems costs,
                                  to be considered for the FRTB journey.
                                                                              is to adopt the standardised SBA.
                                  Under the Basel Committee on                Most appear already to discard the
                                  Banking Supervision’s FRTB, banks           basic simplified SA approach, as
                                  have a choice of methods for                they are willing to make significant
                                  calculating market risk capital: a          investment in new systems to collect
                                  sensitivities-based approach (SBA)          risk sensitivities data and upgrade
                                  set by the regulator; a simplified          their risk engines capabilities. The
                                  standardised approach (SA); or – if         simplified SA doesn’t require this
                                  trading desks pass certain tests – an       complex technical infrastructure
                                  internal model approach (IMA).              to run, and will likely be the choice
                                                                              in the African subsidiaries and for
                                  The largest SA banks are treading
                                                                              smaller local banks.
                                  a fine line between seeking a
                                  sensitivities-based approach to
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Transition to a less volatile risk
capital framework
The market turmoil brought about by the Coronavirus
outbreak has exposed a double-counting defect in the                Key actions
current market risk framework (Basel 2.5).
                                                                    — Banks need to re-look at their data
To calculate minimum market risk capital requirements,                collection, their data transformation
banks add together two versions of VAR. The first is regular          and warehousing, their data quality
VAR, which estimates the losses a bank’s portfolio would              management processes and, in general,
suffer if it was subject to the worst trading day in the past         upgrade their data management
year. The second is an estimate of losses for the same                to ensure they can support FRTB
portfolio if it was subject to the worst trading days in the          demanding requirements on items such
bank’s history, known as stressed VAR.                                as look-through obligations for index and
                                                                      fund constituents
But as current conditions are a crisis scenario, the
requirements are partly duplicated, hence, South African            — Banks need to ensure investments are
banks have experienced multiple instances in 2020 where               secured and maintained to overhaul
                                                                      their existing risk infrastructures
their VAR was higher than their Stressed VaR, a clear
                                                                      which requires specialised expertise
evidence of the double-counting defect under Basel 2.5.
                                                                      to support the enhanced risk
FRTB promise to address the problem by replacing the                  methodologies that FRTB introduces
overlapping requirements (VaR and Stressed-VAR) with a
                                                                    — FRTB requires that options and
single measure of risk. However, the new rules could still lead
                                                                      embedded derivatives which are issued
to higher capital than expected from back-testing exceptions.         and held in the Banking book must be
Overall, as the final implementation date for FRTB has now            transferred and held in the Trading book.
been delayed to 2023 along with the rest of Basel III as a            That is a sizeable task which needs to
consequence of Covid-19, gauging the impact remains a way             be given a high priority as banks need to
off – and, even then, its true final cost will not become clear       identify every asset held on the Banking
until it is thoroughly tested in the next market crisis. It would     book which contains an embedded
have been a perfect test of the reliability and suitability of        derivative. The effort will be comparable
the new rules if they had been implemented prior to the               to identifying LIBOR related assets in a
                                                                      bank’s portfolio
pandemic. The next crisis will be the ultimate real life
back-testing of the model and the FRTB framework.

                                                                                    Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021   13
Drivers
   — The number of customers
     identifying as vulnerable
     is increasing due to tough
     economic times and the
     impact of the COVID 19
                                   Vulnerable Customers
     pandemic
   — There is increased
                                   Ensuring that no man is left behind
     regulator scrutiny
     combined with public
     pressure on financial         The concept of the vulnerable            to a greater degree of harm than the
     services firms to do the      customer is receiving increasing         average customer; and the second
     right thing, even when no     focus in South Africa in recent times,   element being the onus that is
     one is watching
                                   particularly as we struggle through      placed on the financial institution to
   — Looking after vulnerable      difficult economic times and fight the   treat the vulnerable customer fairly
     customers is not just a       COVID 19 pandemic. The Ombudsman         and with due consideration of their
     compliance exercise, it’s a
                                   for Banking Services in South Africa     circumstances.
     business imperative
                                   has stated that “financial service
                                   providers are expected to provide
                                   consumers with appropriate products      Identifying the
                                   and services and a level of care that    vulnerable customer
                                   has due regard to the capabilities
                                   of the consumers in question. The        This brings me to question how we
                                   level of care that would be deemed       identify vulnerable customers and
                                   appropriate for vulnerable consumers     their needs. Defining vulnerable
                                   may be different from that which         customers is a fluid concept,
                                   would suffice for other consumers.       particularly at a time where this
                                   It is crucial that financial firms       category of customer has expanded
Michelle Dubois                    acknowledge this and implement           dramatically as a result of not only the
Senior Manager                     processes and procedures to cater for    COVID pandemic, but also as a result
Regulatory Centre of Excellence    the needs of vulnerable consumers,       of globally constrained economic
                                   as these customers may face a            circumstances. An example which is
                                   significant risk of harm”.               particularly relevant, at this time when
                                   The term vulnerable customer was         many financial institutions are offering
                                   first defined by the UK Financial        pandemic relief is premium holidays.
                                   Conduct Authority (“FCA”) in 2015,       By their very definition, the customers
                                   as “someone who, due to their            making use of these offers are
                                   personal circumstances, is especially    vulnerable. Do these customers fully
                                   susceptible to harm, particularly when   understand the long term financial
                                   a firm is not acting with appropriate    implications of taking a premium
                                   levels of care.” This definition has     holiday and the implication on the
                                   two elements to it that we should        total cost of credit? Is this a short
                                   examine further to ensure a complete     term solution that might come back to
                                   understanding of the concept of the      bite them later on? More importantly
                                   vulnerable customer - the first being    is this a solution which treats the
                                   the customers personal circumstances     vulnerable customer fairly and gives
                                   that may result in them being prone      them a sustainable financial solution?
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In the same way, we must consider the impact of                  The Bill goes further to say that a financial institution
rising unemployment; short term income reduction in              must ensure that its financial customers are provided
numerous sectors as various stages of lockdown are               with financial products and financial services, as the
implemented; and the impact of illness and economic              case may be, that perform as that institution has led its
uncertainty. It might be a short-term concern or it may          financial customers to expect, through the information,
be ongoing, so our existing parameters as financial              representations and advertising provided by or on behalf
institutions need to take cognisance of this.                    of the institution to those financial customers. Although
                                                                 not expressly mentioning the vulnerable customer it is
                                                                 clear that the regulator would like to see a more defined
The onus on financial services firms
                                                                 move away from a product centric approach to one that
                                                                 puts the customer’s needs first.
Taking the guidance from the FCA one step further, the
FCA explains further in their definition that, “vulnerable       The COVID pandemic has provided an example of just
consumers may be more likely to experience harm. In              how critical it is to ensure that products remain relevant.
many cases, this risk of harm may not develop into actual        Business interruption cover gave many clients a false
harm. But if it does, the impact on vulnerable consumers         sense of security (rightly or wrongly), believing that in
is likely to be greater than for other consumers.”               the event of interruption to their business they would
                                                                 be covered. No one could have reasonably envisioned
That’s a big “if” and raises the question to what lengths
                                                                 the extent of the current pandemic and not all business
should a financial services firm go to, to ensure that
                                                                 interruption policies included circumstances such
vulnerable customers are identified, protected and
                                                                 as these in their contracts, leading to disillusioned
ultimately treated fairly? What increased responsibility
                                                                 customers and a social media frenzy. Ultimately in
or onus lies with the financial institution to consider
                                                                 order to treat customers fairly under the circumstances
or ensure appropriate outcomes for the vulnerable
                                                                 we have to ask the uncomfortable question: are we
customer? The FCA, which is closely followed by other
                                                                 prejudicing vulnerable customers by strictly relying on
jurisdictions, and in particular our own, is increasingly
                                                                 the legal provisions in their contracts?
indicating that they are looking for financial institutions to
show that their products and services remain relevant for        Another critical component of ensuring appropriate
their customers, even in changing circumstances.                 outcomes for customers, is making sure that customers,
                                                                 especially those who are vulnerable, receive ongoing
The second draft of the Conduct of Financial Institutions
                                                                 product communication. I have to wonder how many
Bill (“the Bill”) released in 2020 makes it clear that when
                                                                 customers who were retrenched as a result of the
providing financial products and financial services a
                                                                 pandemic relied on, or knew to rely on, their credit life
financial institution must ensure that the products and
                                                                 insurance to meet their mortgage payments? Were
services are— (a) appropriate for targeted or impacted
                                                                 they aware that this was an option that was available to
financial customers; (b) provided in a manner that is as
                                                                 them? When they signed for their home loan did they
objective as possible; and (c) provided in a manner that
                                                                 understand that this cover was included in the package?
supports the delivery of appropriate financial products
and financial instruments to those financial customers.

                                                                                             Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021   15
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The strategic advantage of
doing the right thing
And therein lies the upside, its not only about the
warm and fuzzy feeling of doing the right thing. I have
no doubt that a customer who is approached by his
bank after being retrenched with an offer of a claim
                                                             Key actions
for credit life cover will be a customer for life. That is
                                                             — Information asymmetry is a
the strategic imperative of treating your customers
                                                               major Conduct risk. This means
fairly and that is where the importance of data comes
                                                               that the financial institution
in – knowing who your vulnerable customers are
                                                               has the advantage of having
and what risks they face. Financial institutions have
                                                               specialist knowledge about the
the numbers they just need to crunch them wisely.
                                                               product they are marketing,
Lapse rates, repudiation stats, claims ratios, they all
                                                               while the customer only has
tell the story and identify your Conduct risks. High
                                                               the knowledge they are given
repudiation stats may indicate that customers are
                                                               by the financial institution.
not informed about circumstances under which they
                                                               To mitigate this risk, make sure
may claim, they may have unrealistic expectations
                                                               that your customers have as
of the product performance due to misselling.
                                                               much information as they need
On the other hand a product with very low claim
                                                               to make informed decisions
rates, that happens to be sold as a bundled product
may indicate that customers are not even aware
                                                             — Proactively manage the data
that they have this benefit.
                                                               you have and use this to
The 2019 Australian Royal Commission investigation             identify Conduct risks where
into financial sector misconduct gave increased                vulnerable customers may
focus to the concept of vulnerable customers. This             have been at risk
report highlights “that asymmetry of knowledge
and power will always be present. Accordingly,               — Embrace a customer centric
there will always be a clear need for disadvantaged            approach to business. Put
consumers to be able to access financial and legal             the customer at the heart of
assistance in order to be able to deal with disputes           everything you do and the
with financial services entities with some chance              product will sell itself
of equality.” The challenge therefore is for financial
institutions to make sure that no man is left behind.
Financial Crime
  Drivers
                                   Chasing shadows of illicit events
  — How does governance at
    the corporate level foster
    organisational behaviour       For many centuries the metal gold             or simply visited with common law or
    and root cause measures
                                   was considered a store of wealth              statutory illegality.
    allowing business to deal
    with organised and financial
                                   and value and, because of its relative
                                                                                 There are many approaches towards
    crime. If the strategy is to   compactness to the value afforded it,
                                                                                 mitigating or eliminating financial
    divorce criminals from their   an excellent way of moving such value
                                                                                 crime within the wider and somewhat
    financial and productive       or wealth. Gold is currently priced at
                                                                                 bespoke definition thereof. Regulation
    means, what culture do we      approximately USD57 000 per kilogram.
                                                                                 and legal reporting obligations have
    foster to have that done?      The price tag of pangolin scales varies
                                                                                 mostly as an objective to make these
  — How do we collaborate
                                   between USD1 200 and USD3 000 per
                                                                                 crimes more transparent, but do not
    across organisations,          kilogram. A girl child goes for between
                                                                                 necessarily eradicate the scourge.
    industries and the             USD2 and USD270 000, depending on
                                                                                 Other approaches centre around
    government and private         the origin, destination and purpose of
                                                                                 education, thinking that awareness
    sector divide? Walking         such person. Rhino horn goes for up to
                                                                                 talks to the natural goodness of
    together does the trick.       USD65 000 per kilogramme. Diamonds,
    How comprehensive and
                                                                                 humans and so forth. Another,
                                   for many years have been similarly
    capable is the safety net                                                    that the more we know of it will
                                   considered such a store of wealth, or
    we pull over the system                                                      somehow deter threat actors. Much
                                   value. All the latter items are trafficked,
                                                                                 money goes into these initiatives. Yet
  — Fundamentally, to make         which is illicit in nature. These
                                                                                 another approach, driven by the basic
    out for ourselves if we see    activities are viewed and addressed
                                                                                 concept of financial crime, which is
    compliance as a matter         based on smuggling, trafficking etc.
    of business strategy, or
                                                                                 the conversion of ill-gotten gain to the
                                   All these value storage materials are
    do we have a culture of                                                      estate of a threat actor, suggests the
                                   however physical in nature, but also
    eradicating financial crime?                                                 best way to eradicate the scourge is
                                   excellent means of transferring wealth
                                                                                 by permanently separating the threat
                                   between persons, irrespective of
                                                                                 actor from the gain and the productive
                                   where they are. They are further either
                                                                                 means needed for the gain. This entails
                                   held in legal ownership or, in the case
                                                                                 legal and law enforcement action,
                                   of human beings, illegal ownership
                                                                                 supported by investigation.
                                   concepts are applied to them.
                                                                                 This investigation effort is technically
                                   One step further down the line is
                                                                                 challenging given the material needed
                                   the concept underlying for instance
                                                                                 to work with and we found it more
                                   hawalas, where wealth and value
                                                                                 than often not strongly supported
                                   transfers on foot of the actions and
                                                                                 financially.
                                   honour of hawaladars, that is, the
                                   immaterial concepts of trust and              Whilst the latter approach is fraught
Déan Friedman                      confidence, to which is now attached          with risk, particularly in respect of the
Partner                            a value. This is no different to the          less regulated dimensions where most
Forensic                           concepts of trust and confidence              financial crime occurs, it is seemingly
                                   persisting in a functioning banking           the least funded and attended to
                                   system, the difference being that, in         environment in the fight against
                                   a transactional banking system, there         financial crime. Perhaps because it
                                   exists regulatory frameworks and rules        is mostly transactional, difficult to
                                   that render events in what we refer           investigate and prosecute, fraught
                                   to as the formal transactional banking        with physical danger to body and limb,
                                   system more visible and transparent. In       and perhaps not desirable regarding
                                   the digital world the blockchain concept      the deployment of discretionary
                                   also gives a value to the concepts of         money within an environment where
                                   trust and confidence, but in a different      recognition towards the funding of
                                   dimension than the formal transactional       such investigation and prosecution
                                   banking and hawala dimension. It is           efforts are scant, if not of a high risk
                                   these levels of invisibility that attracts    nature. The investigation effort however
                                   different purposes for these systems of       requires discipline, dedication and
                                   value transfer, some of which are illicit,    specifically sound trade craft.
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The adage of following the money remains true when investigating
financial crime. It is however much more convenient in a structured
and regulated banking environment where the framework is
compliant. Where the store of wealth or value used for the transfer
thereof is a physical item the framework for the value transfer looks
different. A rhino horn would for instance be layered as trash plastic,
or grain, in a container on a ship. When the store of wealth or value      Key actions
is founded in the concepts of trust and confidence, the event of
transfer is by means of a phone call, or a WhatsApp message. In            — Have a view of the predicate
the digital world it is by way of an inscription in a ledger protected       crimes and issues driving the
by complex logical access control.                                           money laundering aspect of
                                                                             financial crime. Recently in SA it
In some cases, these two universes, the one licit and the other
                                                                             was the state capture concept.
illicit, may converge when wealth or value transfer is desired from
the one to the other. That convergence leaves a hole in either one           International Wildlife Trade is
of the two universes or an unexplained gain in the other. These              currently a major focus point
manifest for instance in the form of a company receiving income              predicate to financial crime. But
from sources not explained by its business. There are many more              do we have a view of drugs,
complicated ways of doing this. The financial crime investigator thus        human trafficking, soft and hard
often needs to search for that of which evidence is not there, or an         commodities? Coming soon is
explanation that does not follow logically, much like an analyst of          climate change related predicates.
an overhead photograph will search for a shadow to determine the             More ideal and logically derived
existence of a physical structure photographed.                              concepts obtain value and
Profiling as an investigation technique is both subject to criticism         becomes tradeable. Pandemics like
and fraught with completeness risk, particularly financial profiling,        COVID create predicates. They all
but it remains a manner of identifying the shadows of events                 converge at the organised crime
destined to be hidden away from the licit eye. When you want to              level, casting its shadows in the
work out if cash handling persists financial profiling helps identifying     licit transactional environment-can
obligations not covered by licit flows, as an example, or a company          we see those shadows?
that cannot be found in a complex transaction string.
                                                                           — Do we have a deep understanding
A computer profile does not evidence transactions the user
                                                                             of the attributes of our organisation
does not want to make visible, but it does reflect the existence
                                                                             making us attractive to financial
of artefacts consistent with for instance layering or the use of a
certain value transfer technique, or inconsistent for instance with          crime threat actors, and what is to
the published use of the computer. Anti-forensic techniques used             be done about it?
in cybercrime removes the evidence of the event, but often leaves          — Where the illicit application of
shadows in the form of forgotten or neglected artefacts.                     trust and confidence finds use
Not only evidence, but also intelligence, helps to build the many            in the licit structures of trust and
views of facts and events we are led to believe exist.                       confidence, like a bank or mobile
We believe that the many views that can be built discloses the               services provider, the licit and
shadows of illicit events, when overlaid with each other, enabling           illicit attributes become difficult to
effective factual scenario building. The tradecraft often requires a         distinguish and identify individually
novel and innovative approach. Equally, the constitution of such             for what it is. Are we able to do
work, the participants thereto and the funding thereof also requires         this consistently?
novel and innovative approaches.
                                                                                       Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021   19
Data Privacy
  Drivers
  — The evolving data privacy
    regulatory landscape
    is transforming the
    way organisations and
    individuals think about
    the use and protection of
                                  Protecting your data as the asset that it is
    personal information
  — The continued                 For some time we found ourselves       privacy maturity assessment,
    sophistication of cyber-      commenting on the comparably           we find that there isn’t a clear
    crime is putting a focus on   embryonic state of our privacy         privacy governance structure and/
    security for privacy within   legislation in comparison to           or that roles and responsibilities
    organisations
                                  jurisdictions like Europe where the    for privacy have not been assigned
  — Increased public              GDPR has been effective for some       to employees. A strong privacy
    awareness and concern         time. After the 7-years hiatus, the    governance structure is essential
    regarding the collection      Protection of Personal Information     to comply with POPIA. After all,
    and use of personal           Act (“POPIA”) finally came into        the first condition of POPIA is
    information is driving        effect on 1 July 2020 and will be      “accountability” (as set out in
    privacy compliance
                                  enforceable from 1 July 2021. This     section 8 of POPIA) and requires that
                                  marks a key milestone in South         organisations ensure that all eight
                                  Africa’s privacy regulatory journey    conditions of POPIA are complied
                                  – one that will change the way         with and that “all measures that
                                  that organisations think about and     give effect to such conditions
                                  process personal information in        are complied with at the time of
                                  its day to day business activities.    the determination of the purpose
                                  Businesses now have less than 6        and means of the processing and
                                  months (from the writing of this       during the processing itself”. This
                                  article) to become fully compliant     is an impossible task without the
                                  with POPIA. However, with a sound      right privacy governance structure
                                  plan and enough determination –        embedded within the organisation.
Beulah Simpson                    it can be done.
Senior Manager
KPMG Privacy Practice                                                    Interpreting and applying POPIA
                                                                         principles in the age of AI and
                                  Privacy Challenges                     machine learning
                                  of 2021                                More and more organisations are
                                                                         exploring how they can deploy AI
                                  The biggest privacy challenge
                                                                         tools to generate greater value from
                                  many organisations are facing is
                                                                         the personal information they have
                                  determining where to start with        gathered over the years. However,
                                  their POPIA compliance journey.        documentaries such as The Social
                                  Having performed numerous POPIA        Dilemma are putting AI and the
                                  readiness assessments we can           organisations that use them in the
                                  say that each organisation’s privacy   spotlight. With increased consumer
                                  compliance challenges and priorities   awareness and regulatory pressure,
                                  differ. However, we have set out       organisations have no choice but to
                                  below what we consider to be the       navigate the use of AI in a privacy-
                                  top 5 of the POPIA challenges that     compliant manner. POPIA, and the
                                  stand out to us:                       regulations and guidelines currently
                                                                         published thereunder, do not
                                                                         expressly address the questions that
                                  Non-existent or poor privacy           many organisations will have about
                                  governance structure                   the privacy-compliant use of AI.
                                  Too often, when we perform a           Instead, organisations will need to
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interpret the principles-based legislation to make          with data sprawl (i.e. when personal information is
sense of this challenge itself, including conditions        widely dispersed across an organisation).
governing “collection of personal information for a
specific purpose” (section 13), “further processing to
                                                            Policies, procedures and controls are not enough
be compatible with purpose of collection” (section 15),
“minimality” (section 10), “notification to provided to     While organisations should design and implement
the data subject when collecting personal information”      policies and procedures to ensure that its processing
(section 18) as well as consent/lawful justification        activities are POPIA-compliant and satisfactorily
(section 11).                                               cater for privacy rights and obligations, policies
                                                            and procedures, alone, will not be sufficient. Many
                                                            organisations have been focusing all their efforts on
Failing to identify the risk when using a third             policy drafting instead of nurturing a privacy culture
party to process personal information                       where employees are aware and understand their
                                                            responsibilities when dealing with personal information
Often, for convenience or efficiency, organisations
                                                            and are empowered to action those responsibilities.
(“Responsible Parties”) outsource services which
                                                            Compliance can never be achieved if employees
incidentally or intentionally involve the processing
                                                            don’t buy into the importance of POPIA within the
of personal information (for example, engaging with
                                                            organisation or don’t understand how to apply privacy
financial services intermediaries or outsourcing
                                                            principles to their day to day business activities.
actuarial functions, documentation archiving, cloud-
storage, performing criminal checks on prospective
employees or delivery services). When organisations
rely on third parties (referred to as “Operators”
in POPIA), there may be an expectation that the
same level of privacy controls will be applied by the
Operator as those applied by the Responsible Party.
                                                                    Too often, when we
However, this is an area that is not always sufficiently            perform a privacy maturity
considered, vetted or audited - until there is a serious
data breach of course. This poses a key risk to                     assessment, we find that
organisations which is often not adequately catered
for within the privacy control framework.
                                                                    there isn’t a clear privacy
                                                                    governance structure
Organisations underestimate data subject                            and/or that roles and
access requests                                                     responsibilities for privacy
Many organisations have completely underestimated
the privacy risks and administrative burden associated
                                                                    have not been assigned
with data subject participation. The numerous rights of             to employees.
data subjects are summarised in section 5 of POPIA
and requires organisations to take decisive action.
                                                                    Beulah Simpson
In our experience, many organisations tend to manage
their data subject access requests on an ad hoc basis,
with no centralised or formalised process to ensure
that the organisation is able to respond fully, timeously
or appropriately to a data subject request. This may
prove to be particularly troublesome for organisations
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Key actions
— You don’t know what you don’t know – every big project requires a sound project
  plan. Every organisation should consider starting their POPIA compliance journeys (if they
  have not done so already) with a POPIA Gap Assessment to establish the organisation’s
  existing privacy controls and to identify its POPIA gaps. This will assist the organisation
  in prioritising the actions required to comply with POPIA and to allocate the necessary
  resources to be compliant by 1 July 2021
— Establish an appropriate governance structure - Ultimately, the privacy governance
  structure must be one that is appropriate, having regard to the organisation and must
  be effective for identifying, assessing, monitoring and reporting on privacy related risks
  and breaches through the governance structures. It must include the appointment and
  registration of an Information Officer but may also include appointing deputy information
  officer or establishing privacy committees, forums or teams. It is also important that
  roles and responsibilities filter down the chain of command and that each employee
  understands their privacy obligations
— Recognise when you need professional assistance – Each organisation is encouraged
  to use their internal resources to drive POPIA compliance, however, it is important that
  these internal role-players have a clear understanding of what this means practically.
  When it comes to interpreting and applying POPIA – many organisations may need to
  seek professional advice in order to drive POPIA compliance within their organisation
  (particularly when it comes to more complex processing activities such as those involving
  AI, robotics, machine-learning, automated decision making)
— Don’t overlook the risk posed by third parties – Third parties pose one of the greatest
  privacy risks (depending on who that third party is of course). It is important that
  organisations enhance their procurement processes to include privacy due diligences in
  respect of third party suppliers (Operators), include robust privacy clauses in their third
  party agreements and perform privacy audits, particularly in respect of high-risk Operators
— Consider technology enablement – it is important to keep abreast of privacy technology
  developments and to consider how technology can be deployed to support your
  organisation with POPIA compliance. For example – is there a technology solution that can
  assist you in automating data subject access requests and, if so, does it make commercial
  sense having regard to the number of data subject requests and complexity of each
  request? This is an area that all organisations should keep in mind in 2021 and beyond
— Prioritise cultivating a privacy culture – For privacy to become embedded in an
  organisation, it is important for organisations to cultivate a privacy culture – one of the
  ways this can be achieved is by establishing a privacy training and awareness programme
  which should be revised annually to remain relevant to employees
Drivers
                                   Capital & Liquidity
                                   Balancing inherent tensions to
   — Insurers’ capital has
     weathered the Covid           weather the storm
     storm well
   — Experience has shown
     that legal risk can create
                                   Insurance Capital in 2021                              regulatory capital amount is multiples
     capital strain                                                                       of this initial investment. Although
                                   Capital. The word Capital has multiple
                                                                                          legally prescribed (through complex
   — The actions of insurers       and varied meanings. It can mean:
                                                                                          formulae and ratios), the amount of
     are increasingly judged by    • the principal or most important                      the capital requirement attempts
     the court of public opinion
                                     (the capital city);                                  to represent the amount of excess
     through social media
                                                                                          assets these entities must hold to
                                   • involving the death penalty
                                                                                          remain solvent in stressed scenarios.
                                     (a capital offence);
                                                                                          These stressed scenarios are usually
                                   • very serious or fatal (a capital error);             expressed in terms of an extreme
                                                                                          event (a one in two-hundred-year
                                   • the chief town or city
                                                                                          event), or a confidence level (like a
                                     (South Africa’s capital is…);
                                                                                          99.5% confidence level1). Regulatory
                                   • a capital letter;                                    capital is often expressed as a ratio.
                                                                                          A capital coverage ratio of 2.0 would
                                   • the top of a pillar;
                                                                                          suggest that the entity is holding
                                   • wealth or property that is used                      double the required amount2.
                                     or invested to produce more wealth
Derek Vice                                                                                By prescribing a capital amount,
                                     (investment capital, capital goods,
Partner                                                                                   regulators are trying to address one of
                                     the capital sum); and
Financial Services Audit                                                                  the inherent tensions in the capitalist
                                   • importantly, the root of capitalism.                 model. This is the tension between
                                                                                          an investor’s required returns and
                                   You can capitalise, be a capitalist,
                                                                                          the protection of consumers and
                                   capitulate and even decapitate.
                                                                                          beneficiaries of financial products.
                                   Clearly capital is important.
                                                                                          Without the regulatory capital buffer,
                                   A common thread between these                          directors might be encouraged to
                                   is that they are connected to the                      declare dividends to a point at which
                                   essence, or life, of something. The                    a few unfortunate events could make
                                   capital of a country was historically the              the entity insolvent. In contrast, an
                                   centre of the government and often                     excessive capital requirement stifles
                                   the economic hub. A capital offence                    business and drives away investments
                                   is so serious it can cost one’s life. The              by reducing investors return on
                                   start up capital is the life blood of an               their capital.
                                   entity. And it is fair to say, the capital
                                                                                          It should be noted that failing to meet
                                   markets are the lifeblood of capitalist
                                                                                          the regulatory capital requirement is,
                                   systems around the world.
                                                                                          in certain circumstances, a figurative
                                   However, in financial services,                        “capital offence.” Consistent failure to
                                   notably banking and insurance, the                     meet regulatory capital requirements
                                   word capital has taken on a specific                   can see an entity closed to new
                                   regulatory meaning. It is not simply                   business or even put into liquidation.
                                   the initial investment that launched                   Hence companies tend to be cautious
                                   the enterprise. In many instances, the                 in meeting these requirements.

                                   1
                                       Which itself means that in 99.5% of scenarios we would expect the entity to remain solvent.
                                   2
                                       Put simply, if the regulatory assets are 100 and the regulatory liabilities are 80, then the excess is
                                       20. If the capital requirement was 10, the capital cover would be 2 times. If the capital
                                       requirement was 5, the capital cover would be 4 times.
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2020 provided a real-world test case of the                                  One of the tools to maintaining solvency during Covid has
appropriateness of regulatory capital cover for financial                    been a moratorium on dividends. At least amongst the
institutions in South Africa (and internationally). The Covid                listed entities, we know that dividends were withheld,
pandemic represents the sort of unexpected events                            which would offset the abovementioned increase in the
which the regulators are trying to protect consumers and                     provisions and reduced profits.
beneficiaries against.
                                                                             This raises the question: is the insurance industry
Insurers’ capital cover from December 2019 to                                over-capitalised? With capital significantly more than the
September 2020 showed the following trend 3.                                 regulatory requirement, could there be an argument to
                                                                             release some of this to shareholders? Although in early
                                                                             2021, this would be rash and impulsive; once/if the year
                                                                             settles and the vaccines help bring Covid under control,
                                                                             this could be a debate worth engaging. This might even
                                                                             be a requirement as investors start seeking returns in a
                                                                             post-Covid world.
                                                                             It is important to note that the regulatory capital cover
                                                                             could be at these levels because the insurers are
                                                                             intending to use this excess (i.e. it is not simply held to
                                                                             meet a regulatory requirement). It is seldom the case
                                                                             that this excess is under-utilised. Quite the contrary,
                                                                             many insurers are investing heavily into new ventures,
                                                                             system upgrades, digitisation and managing their asset
                                                                             allocation to maximise returns on this capital. Often
This is supported by the results of the listed life                          these funds are ear-marked as “start-up” capital to launch
companies, which showed solvency cover ratios between                        new ventures. The excess could also be at these levels
1.82 and 1.874 without significant variance from the prior                   because the insurers have their own view of capital,
year. This was in the context of R8.251 billion of Covid                     which is to say they allow for aspects not included in the
specific provisions raised by these companies5. And, on                      standard/prescribed capital models.
the non-life side, apart from business interruption claims,
                                                                             An interesting impact of this regulatory capital position
the generally positive impact from lockdown on claims
                                                                             was that many insurers were able to make morally
experience.
                                                                             significant contributions to Covid relief. From premium
Essentially, life insurers experienced a 5% reduction in                     holidays, to direct contributions to Covid funds, the
cover through the middle of the year, with a rebound                         insurance industry showed its moral fibre and supported
by September. Although several factors contribute to                         its customers in various direct and indirect ways. In
this it clearly shows an overall level of resilience in                      considering the quantum of capital cover, directors might
the insurance industry. Whilst profitability has been                        want to consider whether a portion of this cover remains
negatively impacted, the short-term impact of this on                        committed specifically for such scenarios. Insurers could
solvency has been muted.                                                     maintain a similar level with the knowledge that 0.1 of
                                                                             that cover is specifically designated to provide customer
The relative stability of the capital numbers over the
                                                                             support in a catastrophe scenario (assuming such cover
period is probably intentional. Insurers maintain a
                                                                             is not directly required).
target cover ratio and declare excess as dividends.

3
    Based on the “Selected South African insurance data” prepared by the Prudential Authority on a quarterly basis. These amounts represent the
    median position of the primary life and non-life industries.
4
    Based on their June year end/half year results: Sanlam 1.87; Old Mutual 1.82; MMI 1.85; Discovery 1.83; and Liberty 1.82.
5
    Based on their June year end/half year results: Sanlam had a pre-existing pandemic provision;
    Old Mutual 2.793bn; MMI R983m; Discovery R2.3bn; and Liberty R2.175bn                                      Ten key regulatory challenges of 2021   25
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