Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014

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Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
Unlocking the value of NHS
estates in London
Technical pack

October 2014
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
Guide to this document

This document contains the evidence base to support the Commission's
recommendations relating to NHS estates in London

This analysis has been undertaken through the Call for Evidence period
and engaged on with stakeholders throughout the Commission

The contents of this document include:

 • Overview of narrative

 • Analysis in the following areas:
    – Acute estate
    – Mental health estate
    – Community care estate
    – Primary care estate

                                                               2
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
There is a need to improve the use of NHS estates across London to
enable better health and healthcare across London

London is facing a huge      ▪ The city does not have enough land to meet the current and future needs of the
land challenge                 population.

                             ▪ The quality and efficiency of usage of London’s NHS estate is highly variable and
Large amount of estate         much does not meet evolving needs. There is significant scope to transform the
which is of high value and     way that estate is used across London.
varying quality              ▪ London’s NHS estate is of high value, variable quality with some unsuitable for
                               purpose and overall, NHS assets are under-utilised.

                             ▪ Poor utilisation and unsuitable types of estate has been a result of:
A proportion of estate is      – Perverse incentives, insufficient investment and fragmented decision-making
under-utilised                     on primary and out-of-hospital estate; and
                               – A lack of incentives for trusts to rationalise the use of estate.

There is a need to unlock
                             ▪ The NHS does not have any new money to spend on fixing these problems and
                               therefore must look at how to unlock value from the current estate and capital
value
                               regime to address the issues within the system.

There are opportunities
                             ▪ This represents a huge opportunity for health and care in London; but also for
                               public/social sector use in London where there is a need for 550,000 new homes
across the public sector
                               by 2021 and 118,000 new school places by 2016/17.

                                                                                                     3
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
There is a need to improve the use of NHS estates across London to
enable better health and healthcare across London
               ▪ Support improvements in quality of general practice estate by moving to capitation for
                   estates costs.
Primary &
               ▪   Ensure collaboration between NHS and other public and social sector bodies to facilitate
OOH estate         disposal of surplus NHS estates for alternative social uses such that the NHS gets a
                   good deal and disposal supports London’s broader land issues.
               ▪   Changes in retention of capital receipts for FTs (Monitor) and non-FTs (HMT).
               ▪   Actively encourage DH, NHS England and Monitor to develop a national proposition to
Hospital           increase the cost of capital to a fair market rate and alter the valuation process.
estate         ▪   Create a vehicle under a new management agreement for development or disposal of
                   surplus estate (especially trusts and community estate).
               ▪   Provide measures to trusts to help them out of the “estates trap”.
               ▪   Set and rigorously enforce quality standards for NHS estates (Hospital Trusts and
                   Primary and Community Care).
               ▪   Develop Strategic Planning Capital Boards at local health economy level (with central
                   co-ordination) to:
                   – Provide a single point of review for local health economy capital business cases to
Governance             national regulators; and
&
                   – Use proceeds of exiting surplus estate to invest in various programmes that support
capabilities           the local health economy including new community/primary care hubs.
               ▪   Ensure commissioners have a voice in estates strategy for providers in the local health
                   economy and input into Strategic Planning Capital Board(s).
               ▪   Develop an asset register of estate and property across London to allow a single,
                   transparent view.
                                                                                             4
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
Contents

           ▪   Analysis of London challenges

                ▪   Acute estate
                ▪   Mental health estate
                ▪   Community care estate
                ▪   Primary care estate

                                               5
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
The NHS allocates highest capital spend on buildings and least on medical
  equipment in the Beveridge1 peer group yet underspends its capital budget

                                                  Spend on sophisticated medical
 Spend on health buildings2                                                                                     DH Capital Budget Outturn
                                                  equipment
 %, 2010                                          Equipment per million population, 2011                        CDEL (£bn)            xx% Underspend
                                                  Computerised            Radiation therapy                                               as a % of
                                                  tomography              equipment                                                       plans

  UK                                        4.0   Australia             44.4      Denmark                12.9
                                                                                                                2009/10          2.8      0.6 3.5        18
  Portugal                                  4.0   Italy               32.1
                                                                                  Finland            9.7
  Finland                             3.1
                                                  Denmark            29.3
                                                                                  Australia          9.2        2010/11          2.8      0.6 3.4        18
  Ireland                       2.4
                                                  Finland           21.3
  Denmark             0.9                                                         Ireland            9.2
                                                  Spain            17.3
  Norway              0.8                                                                                       2011/12         2.3     0.8 3.1          25
                                                                                  Italy             7.0
                                                  Ireland          15.7
  Italy             0.7
                                                                                  UK               5.2
                                                  Canada           14.6
  Spain             0.7
                                                                                                                2012/13         2.5       1.3 3.7 34
  Sweden          0.3                             UK              8.9             Spain            4.9

                        Ø 1.9                                  Ø 22.9                           Ø 8.3
1 Countries in which the majority of healthcare is provided through public bodies, and financed through taxation, as in the UK.
2 New construction (public, private and PFI build cost) including medical schools, clinics, welfare centres, adult training centres and nursing homes.
SOURCE: Euroconstruct, 2011 and Eurostat (health buildings data); OECD (healthcare expenditure); EC Harris, 2012 (construction cost data)
                                                                                                                                          6
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
Overview of footprint of NHS estate across London

  Total number of NHS sites and premises                              Total split of gross internal area of NHS estate
  across London                                                       across London, m2 (‘000s)1
                     ▪ 27 Trusts (11 FTs and 16 non-
                         FTs)                                          Acute                               Specialist
                     ▪   65 sites of which                                                           330
   Acute
                         – 24 Teaching Hospital sites
                         – 21 Large Hospital sites
                         – 20 all other                                3,222                                    Mental
                                                                                                            781 Health
                     ▪ 9 Trusts (6 FTs and 3 non-FTs)
   Mental
   health
                     ▪ 85 sites (59 part of FTs and 26
                         non-FTs)

                     ▪ Roughly ~700-800 sites across
                         London (based on extrapolation                                             817
   Commun-
                         of mapping exercises and                                        91            Primary care
   ity
                         NHSPS data) including 193                                         170         (i.e., former PCT)
                         housing general practice
                                                                           Ambulance Trust/ Community Healthcare/
                                                                           NHS Direct       Care Trust/Social
                     ▪ 1,433 practices (of which 193
   General                                                                                  Enterprise
                         are owned by NHSPS)
   Practice
                         – Average list: 6,287
1 Analysis done by London Health Board by HUDU

SOURCE: HUDU, London Health Board, ERIC, CQC, NHS Property Services
                                                                                                              7
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
Overview of value and opportunity in NHS Estate in London

                         Size of Estate and Surplus Estate
                         ▪ Total book value of land and buildings across all trusts                       Surplus
                             equal to ~£7.2bn                                                                         £1-1.2bn
   Acute                 ▪   Estimated opportunity of £1-1.2bn1 across all trusts:
                             – FTs: ~£380-510m                                                                          £5.8-6bn Utilised
                             – Non-FTs: ~£660-730m
                         ▪ Total book value of land and buildings across all trusts                       Surplus
                             equal to ~£1.5bn (or ~£1.2bn excluding WLMHT due to                                      ~£230m
   Mental                    Broadmoor Hospital)
   Health                ▪   Estimated opportunity of ~£230m1 across all estates2:                                       ~£970m Utilised
                             – FTs: ~£65m
                             – Non-FTs: ~£164m

                         ▪ Triangulated estimates (from local mappings and data
                             from NHS PS and CHP/LIFT) show likely book value of                                                   Utilised
   Community                                                                                                   ~£100m
                             community care estate is between £860m and £1,040m                                          ~£940m
   Care                                                                                                  Surplus
                         ▪   Opportunity is at least ~£60-100m but likely greater

                         ▪ Estimated market value in region of ~£1.56bn (1,433       Does not
                             practices across London) of which ~£260m is included in meet       34%
                             NHSPS (193 premises) and £32m in CHP (30 premises)      disabled                                        Compliant
   Primary Care                                                                      access
                         ▪   Investment required to make estate meet disability                                              66%
                             access requirements of at least ~£200m to reach         requirements
                             minimum standards (currently extrapolation from NWL)
1 Calculated based on capital/revenue ratio assuming all trusts can reach median
2 Does not include West London Mental Health Trust due to large asset (Broadmoor Hospital) which skews data heavily
SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13, NHSPS, CQC, Zoopla, Team Analysis       8
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
Overview of ownership models of NHS estate across London

                          Ownership Model                                                                               Funding Sources

                          Book value, FTs (PFI) FTs (non-PFI) Trusts (PFI) Trusts (non-PFI)                             ▪ Trust re-investment
                          £bn                                                                                           ▪ Trust development
    Acute                                                                                                                   authority (TDA) from
                                            0.32           2.85               1.33               2.69                       DH
                                                                                                                        ▪   Private sector (PFIs)

                          Book value, FTs (PFI) FTs (non-PFI)                        Non-FTs (non-PFI)                  ▪ Trust re-investment
    Mental
                          £bn                                                                                           ▪ Trust development
                                           0.06               0.76                             0.66                         authority (TDA) from
    Health
                                                                                                                            DH
                                                                                                                        ▪   Private sector (PFIs)

                          Number of PropCo (GP) PropCo (Other) CHP/LIFT (GP) CHP/LIFT (Other)
    Community
                          premises,                                                   ▪ Capital investment from
                          very rough         193                 142        30 25       NHS England
    Care
                          estimates

                 Number of PropCo CHP/LIFT Privately Held                                          Unknown              ▪ Rent reimbursed (if GP
                 premises,                                                                                                  leases property)
    Primary Care very rough 193 30             931                                                      279             ▪ Interest reimbursed on
                 estimates                                                                                                  loan until re-paid then
                                                                                                                            notional rent (if GP
                                                                                                                            owns property)
Estimates for ownership split for community and primary care should be viewed as directional and not be heavily
relied upon given definitional differences, data gaps and no recent picture of privately held GP practices in London (estimate is UK based in 2006)
Number recorded under both primary care and community care; however accounted for in community care when sizing opportunity
SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13, NHSPS, Web Searches, Team Analysis               9
Unlocking the value of NHS estates in London - Technical pack October 2014
More than 40% of NHS hospitals are more than 30 years old and 28% pre-
 date the founding of the NHS in 1948, which leads to variance in condition

  Age Profile of Acute Estate across London                             Quality of Estate
                                                                        Some of the acute estate is new and high
                                                                        quality (e.g., UCLH)…
               Age Profile –
               1948 to 1974

                               15%

                                                        Age Profile –
                                                    40% 1975 to 2004
                      17%                                               ...other trusts are poor quality and have
                                                                        lacked proper investment (e.g.,
 Age Profile –
                                                                        Northwick Park)
 2005 to
 present

                                    28%

                                          Age Profile - pre 1948

SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Website Review
                                                                                                    10
GP premises are in poor condition, typically in converted residential
buildings – 34% need to be rebuilt and 44% are in need of repair

  Assessment of GP Practice Premises in                        Example of GP Practice needing re-build to
  North West London                                            meet disabled access requirements

     Total of 34%                 Good
         needs                    0%
        rebuild                                   Acceptable
                                               22%
 Unacceptable 25%

   Very Poor8%

     Total of 44%
                                          44%
     needs repair
                                             Poor

SOURCE: NHS North West London Shaping a Healthier Future
                                                                                               11
The approval process for primary care estates investment is overly complex

                                                                                     Decision            NWL-wide step          CCG-wide step           NHSE scheme specific step

                                                                                                                                         Proposed
                                                CCG decides          Develop                                        CCG submits                                     NHSE com-
                          Identify                                                          Sign-off from                                schemes
                                                 whether to          Strategic                                      PID (draft                                      municates
         Clarify          potential                                                          NHS PC and                                  prioritised at
 0                      1                         proceed          2 Service                                      3 SOC) to NHSE       4                          5 outcomes of
         requirements     investment                                                        NHSE London                                  NHSE regional
                                                                     Delivery Plan                                  for preferred                                   decisions to
                          requirement                                                          PC team                                   governance
                                                                     (SSID)                                         site                                            CCGS
                                                                                                                                         forums

     ▪    Schemes captured in     ▪      Schemes that have revenue       ▪    Demonstrates strategic        ▪   Uses evidence base of SSDP              ▪    NHSE prioritise
          NWL OOH estates                impact but do not require            OOH need for CCG              ▪   Sets out options appraisal to propose        schemes across
          investment pipeline            capital funding still require   ▪    Includes locality,                specific scheme for a locality               London against
     ▪    Pipeline communicated          business case                        development type,             ▪   Focus on affordability                       agreed criteria
          to NHSE London          ▪      NHSE London team assess              potential funding route,      ▪   Includes high level capital and
          primary care team              these revenue business               services                          revenue funding for all options
                                         cases and may approve them                                         ▪   NHSE London primary care team
                                         locally                                                                sign-off agreed approach to cover
                                                                                                                increased rental costs

   CCG                                              Handover to NHSE
   manages                   NHSE                   national team to review              CCG                                        Site options,
                           decision to                                                                                                                    Develop site
   delivery of                                      business case through             decision to                                   development
10                         proceed to           9                                                           8 Develop OBC         7                     6 service
   approved                                         appropriate approval               proceed                                      and
                              FBC                                                                                                                         specification
   business                                         authority (subject to                                                           assessment
   case option                                      financial value)

                Financial value NHSE approvals process                                          ▪   Sign-off by      ▪   Articulates strategic, economic,
                < £ 3m          ▪ NHSE chair/CEO/CFO                                                NHS PC and           commercial, financial and
                < £ 3-10m       ▪ NHSE Finance and Investment Committee (FIC)                       NHSE London          management cases
                < £ 10-35m      ▪ NHSE FIC recommends approval                                      PC team          ▪   Financial case including capital
                                ▪ NHSE Board approval                                                                    and revenue funding
                                                                                                                         requirements with latter based on
                < £ 35-50m      ▪ Consultation with HMT via DH
                                                                                                                         district valuer assessment
                                ▪ NHSE FIC recommends approval
                                ▪ NHSE Board approves
                < £ > 50m       ▪ As above, plus
                                ▪ Approval from: NHSE Board, DH then HMT
SOURCE: Based on NWL General Practice Estate, v2.1                                                                                                           12
Contents

           ▪   Analysis of London challenges

                 ▪   Acute estate
                 ▪   Mental health estate
                 ▪   Community care estate
                 ▪   Primary care estate

                                               13
The total book value of land and buildings of acute estate in London is
  £7.2bn, of which over half is non-FTs

Book value of total estate in London, £m                                                                                       Land
                                                                                                                               Buildings

                                                      Acute - Large                           420              1,828
                                    FTs
                                                      Acute - Teaching                             797                 2,365

                                                      Acute - Small                                  98 324
                                    £3.17bn
  £4.02bn                                                                                          32 65
                                                      Acute - Multi-service

                                                      Acute - Specialist                           572
                                                                                                           151
   Non-FTs
                                                      Acute - Medium                       123           411

SOURCE: Eric Database 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
                                                                                                                         14
This estate has a total running cost of ~£1.2bn each year…

                                                        Annual running costs (£m)                              Total running cost (£m)
 Barking, Havering and Redbridge Hospitals                 3 13                18                                             34
 Barnet and Chase Farm Hospitals                           6     11            19                                             36
                                                                                                               1 50 73
 Barts Health                                                                                                                 124
 Chelsea and Westminster Hospital (FT)                     10        10             21                                        41
 Croydon Health Services                                   5 5 11                                                             21
 Ealing Hospital                                          33         15                                                       21
 Epsom and St Helier University Hospitals                  6     9         14                                                 30
 Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children (FT)            6         18                  25                                   49
 Guy’s and St Thomas’ (FT)                                      20                       36               72                  129
 Homerton University Hospital (FT)                        3 5              29                                                 38
 Imperial College Healthcare                                    21                        37         40                       98
 King’s College Hospital (FT)                               8        14            31                                         53
                                                                                3 6 17
 Kingston Hospital                                                                                                            26
                                                                               2 5 14
 Moorfields Eye Hospital (FT)                                                                                                 21
                                                                           0 7 13
 North Middlesex University Hospital                                                                                          20
 North West London Hospitals                               5     9         16                                                 30
 Royal Brompton and Harefield (FT)                         6         17         10                                            33
 Royal Free London (FT)                                     7    14              18                                           39
                                                                 2 3 5
 Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital                                                                                          10
 South London Healthcare                                    9        13                       40                              63
 St George’s Healthcare                                    7         18                        40                             65
 The Hillingdon Hospitals (FT)                             4 7       8                                                        19
 The Lewisham Healthcare                                   4 10            20                                                 34
 The Royal Marsden (FT)                                    5 11           11                                                  27
                                                                                3 8 13
 The Whittington Hospital                                                                                                     24
 University College London Hospitals (FT)                   8             23                        85                        115
 West Middlesex University Hospital                         5 9                                                               16
                                                           2
Public dividend capital (PDC) represents DH’s equity interest in defined public assets across the NHS
                                                                                                                         15
SOURCE: Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
…and these costs are highly variable across trusts as a proportion of book
 value and revenue
                                                       Running costs as a proportion   Running costs as a proportion
                                                       of book value, %                of revenue, %
Barking, Havering and Redbridge University Hospitals        11                            8
Barnet and Chase Farm Hospitals                                 17                          11
Barts Health                                                 14                              12
Chelsea and Westminster Hospital (FT)                        13                               13
Croydon Health Services                                        15                          9
Ealing Hospital                                                              29            10
Epsom and St Helier University Hospitals                               21                  9
Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children (FT)                    18                            16
Guy’s and St Thomas’ (FT)                                         17                           14
Homerton University Hospital (FT)                                                30              16
Imperial College Healthcare                                      15                           13
King’s College Hospital (FT)                                      17                       9
Kingston Hospital                                                           26                14
Moorfields Eye Hospital (FT)                                                     29             16
North Middlesex University Hospital                          15                              12
North West London Hospitals                                 12                             9
Royal Brompton and Harefield (FT)                                  18                        12
Royal Free London (FT)                                      13                            8
Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital                                     23                8
South London Healthcare                                      14                                 16
St George’s Healthcare                                                       27              12
The Hillingdon Hospitals (FT)                                      19                       11
The Lewisham Healthcare                                             19                          16
The Royal Marsden (FT)                                            17                        11
The Whittington Hospital                                             20                    9
University College London Hospitals (FT)                             20                           18
West Middlesex University Hospital                                17                        11
SOURCE: Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
                                                                                                       16
London has some of the best acute hospital buildings in the country…

Example: University College Hospital                    Recent
                                                        modernisation

                                                        ▪ As of late 2005, the
                                                          UK was building
                                                          more new large
                                                          hospitals than all
                                                          other G7 nations
                                                          combined
                                                        ▪ Furthermore, ~18%
                                                          of the stock of
                                                          hospitals in London
                                                          was built after 2005

                                                                 17
…as well as some of the worst: ~40% is older than 30 years – and ~30%
  pre-dates the NHS…

                                            Age Profile - 2005 to present ( %)        Age Profile - 1948 to 1974 ( %)
                                            Age Profile - 1975 to 2004 ( %)           Age Profile - pre 1948 ( %)

                                    Acute - Large               17         43             16         24

                                    Acute - Teaching            20         36           11          33

                                    Acute - Small               16              55              19        9
     Northwick Park Hospital

                                    Acute - Multi-service   6        33                 45               16

                                    Acute - Specialist       14       26         17             42

                                    Acute - Medium           10            58                  12     19

                                    TOTAL                       17         40            15          28
     Hillingdon Hospital
SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Website Review
                                                                                                18
…which goes some way to explain the ~£600m of estates work backlog in
 London’s acute hospitals
                              Cost to eradicate      Cost to eradicate          Cost to eradicate
                              High Risk Backlog      Significant Risk Backlog   Moderate Risk Backlog
                              (£m)                   (£m)                       (£m)

    Acute - Large                       65                       76                        75

    Acute - Teaching           12                           50                                  102

    Acute - Small              10                    14                         10

    Acute - Multi-service     4                      12                              35

    Acute - Specialist             17                 15                              46

    Acute - Medium             5                       23                        23

    Total                                    £114m               £190m                     £290m

SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Team Analysis
                                                                                                      19
Despite the total level of work backlog declining, the proportion of high
 need has grown from 8 to 15% from 2006-2011
                                                                                  Low             Significant
Total work backlog by type and percentage split
                                                                                  Medium          High

            Cost to eradicate work backlog (£m)            Cost to eradicate work backlog (%)

   2011       234        343         248 140 966              24         36         26            15

   2010       274           413         290    128 1,104      25          37            26        12

   2009       247          403         304    115 1,069       23         38             28        11

   2008        286          393         304    104 1,088      26          36            28        10

   2007        306          371         299 108 1,085          28         34            28        10

   2006         336            399       296    84 1,115       30          36            27        8

SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Team Analysis
                                                                                             20
Capital revenue ratios comparing book value of land and buildings to total
  clinical income
                                                                                                                                  Book value of land
 Trust                                                        Capital/Revenue ratio (%)                                           and buildings (£m)        Opportunity1 (£m)
 South London Healthcare NHS Trust                                                                                         1.10           442                 182
 Chelsea And Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust                                                                  1.03              315                 118
 Great Ormond Street Hospital For Children NHS Foundation                                                        0.89                     273                 74
 Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust                                                                          0.88                      662                 174
 University College London NHS Foundation Trust                                                                 0.87                      570                 146
 Barts Health NHS Trust                                                                                         0.87                      905                 229
 Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust                                                                     0.84                       747                 170
 North Middlesex University Hospital NHS Trust                                                             0.82                           140                 30
 The Lewisham Healthcare NHS Trust                                                                         0.81                           176                 34
 Barking, Havering And Redbridge University Hospitals NHS                                               0.75                              306                 41
 North West London Hospitals NHS Trust                                                                  0.74                              238                 30
 Barnet And Chase Farm Hospitals NHS Trust                                                        0.67                                    219                  8
 West Middlesex University Hospital NHS Trust                                                    0.65                                     92                   1
 Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust                                                          0.65                                     312                  0
 The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust                                                          0.65                                     159                  0
 Royal Brompton And Harefield NHS Foundation Trust                                               0.63                                     177                  0
 Croydon Health Services Nhs Trust                                                         0.58                                           134                  0
 The Hillingdon Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust                                             0.57                                           98                   0
 King’s College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust                                             0.54                                            320                  0
 Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust                                             0.54                                            71                   0
 Homerton University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust                                        0.54                                            126                  0
 Kingston Hospital NHS Trust                                                          0.53                                                100                  0
 The Whittington Hospital NHS Trust                                                 0.47                                                  117                  0
 Epsom And St Helier University Hospitals NHS Trust                                0.44                                                   139                  0
 St George’s Healthcare NHS Trust                                              0.42                                                       236                  0
 Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital NHS Trust                               0.37                                                         42                   0
 Ealing Hospital NHS Trust                                                  0.35                                                          73                   0
 TOTAL                                                                                                                                  7,189                1,237
1 Defined as the total book value of capital to be released by each trust to reach the median capital/revenue ratio
                                                                                                                                                       21
 SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
If each acute trust were able to achieve the same capital/revenue ratio as
  the median, ~£1bn – 1.2bn could be realised

    Approach                                                                     Total opportunity1                      Total opportunity1
                                                                                 (based on total trust                   (based on total clinical
    ▪ Determined book                                                            income) £m                              income) £m
        value (land and
        buildings) for acute
        estate across from              ACUTE - LARGE                                        489                                    459
        accounts.
    ▪   Calculated capital to
        revenue ratio for               ACUTE - TEACHING                                        608                                 433
        each trust across
        London2.
                                        ACUTE - SMALL                           31                                       43
    ▪ Determined median
        value for all acute
        trusts.
                                        ACUTE - MULTI-SERVICE                   0                                       0
    ▪   Determined
        movement needed
        by individual trusts            ACUTE - SPECIALIST                       74                                       66
        to reach the median.
    ▪ Calculated level of
        capital needed for              ACUTE - MEDIUM                          34                                       41
        release to reach
        median capital to
        revenue ratio.                 TOTAL                                                £1.24bn                                  £1.04bn

 1 Defined as the total book value of capital to be released by each trust to reach the median capital/revenue ratio.
 2 Ratio only includes capital that sits on the Trust balance sheet and not on balance sheets of other entities (e.g., charities of Trusts).

SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
                                                                                                                                          22
Looking at the split between FT and non-FT and where the highest
opportunities appear to be…
Split of capital/revenue ratio opportunity based on total clinical income, £m
   Approximately 60% of                            …with large opportunities sitting within a range of different acute
   opportunity sits with non-FT acute              trusts across London including some larger ones in non-FT acute
   trusts…                                         trusts.

                                                   Barts Health                                                     229

                                                   South London Healthcare                                    182

                                                   Imperial College Healthcare                                174

                                                   Guy’s And St Thomas’                                       170

                                                   University College London                             146
       ~380
                                                   Chelsea And Westminster Hospital                     118

                                                   Great Ormond Street Hospital                    74
                                                   Barking, Havering And
                                    ~660                                                      41
                                                   Redbridge University Hospitals
                                                   Lewisham Healthcare NHS Trust              34

                                                   North Middlesex University Hospital        30

                                                   North West London Hospitals                30

                                                   Barnet And Chase Farm Hospitals        8                                    Non-FTs

                                                   West Middlesex University Hospital     1                                    FTs

SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
                                                                                                                          23
…as well as how the opportunity would break down across different local
health economies
Opportunity by local health economy, £m and % split                                       Remaining Estate        Opportunity
                                                                                                  Total Current      Percentage of
                                                 Size of Opportunity (£m)                         Estate (£m)        Opportunity (%)

Barking, Havering and Redbridge                                                                          306               13.4
                                                  265 41

North Central London                                             1,487                     258          1,745              14.7

Waltham Forest, East London and the City                 802           229                              1,030              22.2

North West London                                                1,492                      323         1,815              17.8

South West London                                     608       0                                        608                    0

South East London                                              1,298                  387               1,685              23.0

                                                         £5.95bn                £1.24bn                £7.19bn             17.2

SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
                                                                                                                    24
Only a proportion of the opportunity will be possible to realise rapidly in
the form of unused buildings

      Taxonomy of opportunity for releasing capital amongst trusts

      Unused buildings       Can release straight away as land is truly surplus –
      or pieces of land      only small number of trusts are reporting available
                             and ready to sell land on DH database

      Unused parts of        Will require investment to support moving services in
      buildings (e.g.,       other parts of the building to new locations to
      empty wards)           release building and affiliated land

      Under-utilised         Will require service re-design and enhancements to
      space in used          consolidate and move services to release capital
      space (e.g., 50%
      used ward)
      Undervalued            Could be relocated but would need a significant
      buildings or land      business case to be developed to achieve this and
      (e.g., in Chelsea)     strong case for large investment in re-build
SOURCE: Team Analysis
                                                                            25
Trusts report ~£375m book-value of under-utilised floor space – some of
 which will represent the two ‘unused’ parts of the taxonomy
Book value of total estate in London, £m
                                           Book value (land and                Unused floor        Book value (land and
            Type of Trust                  buildings), £m                      space (%)           buildings), £m

   ACUTE - LARGE                                     2,248                             8.2                     185

   ACUTE - TEACHING                                      3,162                         2.7               87

   ACUTE - SMALL                           422                                         5.2         22

   ACUTE - MULTI-SERVICE                  98                                          10.3         10

   ACUTE - SPECIALIST                          723
                                                                                       4.2          30

   ACUTE - MEDIUM                            535                                       7.7          41

            TOTAL                                       £7,188m                        4.8                    ~£375m

SOURCE: ERIC Database 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
                                                                                                                     26
At least 50-70% of the opportunity is likely tied up in buildings that need
re-configuration to release capital, this figure could be even higher

Illustrative split of opportunity, %
                                                 Under-utilised space
                                                 in used space
                                                                        Illustrative analysis
 Unused parts                                                           based on a
 of buildings                                                           previous audit by
                                                                        Grant Thornton
                    ~15-30%
                                                         ~35-40%        which looked at
                                                                        inefficient use of
                                                                        land and of
                                                                        buildings, shows
                                                                        that just over a
                                                                        third of the
                                                                        opportunity is in
                                                                        inefficient use of
                                                                        land whilst the
                                                                        majority is in
                                                                        buildings that need
 Unused buildings               ~35-45%                                 reconfiguration to
 or pieces of land                                                      realise.

SOURCE: NHS London (former SHA); Team Analysis
                                                                                   27
Case studies suggest that reconfiguration could vary significantly and will
 need careful consideration to optimise expenditure
 Example case study examples of site reconfiguration

                                                                           Example One         Example Two         Example Three
                        Entire site   (000m2)                                          4.3             11.5               16.5

     Required new       Required new investment, £m                                    £5                  £5                  £5
     investment
                        Net required new investment, £m                           15                  60                  88

                        Land area sold for redevelopment (acre)                        9.1              7.9                   7.9

     Land sale          Sell price for per acre, £m                                 £27                 £27                   £27
     receipts
                         Land sale receipts, £m                                  245                 215                  215

     Net capital gain, £m                                                        230                 165                  127

     Proportion of sale receipts needed for reconfiguration,
                                                                                   9                  28                  41
     %

           Allowing Trusts to retain 50% of capital receipts should ensure that a sufficient level of money is available to
           the trusts to re-configure services

SOURCE: Team Analysis
                                                                                                                  28
Based on conservative assessments of acute opportunity, it is estimated
  that the following would be available to local health economies

Opportunity by local health economy, £m                                            Funds for local health   Funds for local health
                                                                                   economies based on       economies based on
                                                   Total size of                   50% from non-FTs         50% from non-FTs and
                                                   Opportunity (£m)                and 0% from FTs (£m)     50% from FTs (£m)

 Barking, Havering and Redbridge                   41                             21                        21

 North Central London                                      258                    19                             129

 Waltham Forest, East London and the City                 229                         114                       114

 North West London                                           323                      103                        162

 South West London                                 0                              0                         0

 South East London                                               387                  108                         193

                                                            £1.24bn                         £0.36bn                    £0.62bn

                  If FTs gave up 50% of capital receipts to local health economy capital receipts,
                                then an additional £260m would be the opportunity

SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
                                                                                                                        29
Contents

           ▪   Analysis of London challenges

                 ▪   Acute estate
                 ▪   Mental health estate
                 ▪   Community care estate
                 ▪   Primary care estate

                                               30
There are nine mental health trusts in London spread out across 85 sites...

                                                                                           Occupied floor area (m2)
                                                                                                                         Number of
                                                   Total floor space (%)                   Unoccupied floor space (m2)   sites

   BARNET, ENFIELD AND HARINGEY
                                                             64.900        8.100                                               6
   MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUST

   CENTRAL AND NORTH WEST
                                                               78.700            1.020                                         14
   LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST

   EAST LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST                          65.900       1.360                                                8

   NORTH EAST LONDON
                                                            57.500      11.600                                                 17
   NHS FOUNDATION TRUST

   OXLEAS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST                              62.800       3.710                                                 9

   SOUTH LONDON AND MAUDSLEY
                                                                                 164.000                     880               10
   NHS FOUNDATION TRUST

   SOUTH WEST LONDON AND ST GEORGE’S
                                                              71.200              22.600                                       6
   MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUS

   TAVISTOCK AND PORTMAN                            1.970
                                                                                                                               1
   NHS FOUNDATION TRUST                           6.730

   WEST LONDON MENTAL
                                                                        125.000                   32.900                       14
   HEALTH NHS TRUST1

   TOTAL                                                                                                                       85

 1 West London Mental Health NHS Trust result could be skewed due to Broadmoor Hospital
SOURCE: ERIC, 2013
                                                                                                                          31
…with a total land and buildings book value of ~£1.5bn

Book value of total estate in London, £m                                                                                     Buildings

                                                BARNET, ENFIELD AND HARINGEY
                                                                                            67            104      171
                                                MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUST

                                                CENTRAL AND NORTH WEST
                                                                                            61             122         184
                                                LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST

                                     FTs
                                                EAST LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST          29         111         140

                                                NORTH EAST LONDON NHS
                                                                                           41        77     118
                                                FOUNDATION TRUST

 £660m
                                                OXLEAS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST               25 65           90
                                      £820m
                                                SOUTH LONDON AND MAUDSLEY
                                                                                            71                   204            276
                                                NHS FOUNDATION TRUST

                                                SOUTH WEST LONDON AND ST
                                                                                            70             105     175
                                                GEORGE’S MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUS

    Non-FTs                                     TAVISTOCK AND PORTMAN                      8
                                                                                             14
                                                NHS FOUNDATION TRUST                      6

                                                WEST LONDON MENTAL
                                                                                                98                 213             311
                                                HEALTH NHS TRUST1

1 Includes Broadmoor Hospital
SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13                            32
The trusts are highly fragmented with a long tail of small sites

Gross internal site floor area (m²) – Mental Health and Learning Disability Facilities
   75,000

   60,000

   45,000

   30,000

   15,000

         0
             Individual sites ordered by amount of floor space

SOURCE: ERIC 2013
                                                                                         33
A comparison of the capital/revenue ratios demonstrates an efficiency
  opportunity of ~£230m and over 10% unused floor space
                                                                                                           Unused floor        Indicative
                                                    Capital/Revenue ratios2                                space (%)           Opportunity1

    BARNET, ENFIELD AND HARINGEY                                                                                 11%                 ~£66m
    MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUST                                        0.90

    CENTRAL AND NORTH WEST
                                                           0.49                                                   1%                      -
    LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST

    EAST LONDON NHS FOUNDATION TRUST                        0.54                                                  2%                 ~£3m

    NORTH EAST LONDON
                                                         0.37                                                    17%                      -
    NHS FOUNDATION TRUST

    OXLEAS NHS FOUNDATION TRUST                           0.45                                                    6%                      -

    SOUTH LONDON AND MAUDSLEY
    NHS FOUNDATION TRUST                                         0.74                                             1%                 ~£63m

    SOUTH WEST LONDON AND ST GEORGE’S
    MENTAL HEALTH NHS TRUS                                              1.07                                     24%                 ~£98m

    TAVISTOCK AND PORTMAN
    NHS FOUNDATION TRUST                                 0.38                                                    23%                      -

    TOTAL                                                                                                        11%                 ~£230m

1 Defined as the total book value of capital to be released by each trust to reach the median capital/revenue ratio.
2 Analysis does not include West London Mental Health Trust as unable to separate out the impact of capital of Broadmoor Hospital.

SOURCE: ERIC 2013; Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13
                                                                                                                                     34
Contents

           ▪   Analysis of London challenges

                 ▪   Acute estate
                 ▪   Mental health estate
                 ▪   Community care estate
                 ▪   Primary care estate

                                               35
Roughly half of the community care estate in London is owned by NHS
 Property Services which has a total book value of £478m

  Limitations of data                                                     Total Gross
                                                                          Internal            Total Net Book     Total Running
  ▪ Only data from                                                        Area1, m2           Value, £ ‘000s     costs, £ ‘000s
      NHS Property
      Services and does             Health centre/GP
                                                                             229,204                 289,755   51,444
      not include                   surgery/Clinic
      community
                                    Residential (other
      premises from                                                   2,518                 440                100
                                    than nursing/care home)
      CHP (LIFT
      premises).                    Unknown                           2,378                 471                1,880
  ▪   Data also includes
      general practices
                                    Offices                             59,069              19,064             33,603
      owned by NHS
      Property Services
      and has been                  Other                              4,313                  0                182
      included here and
      not in primary care           Hospital/hospital related            117,876              139,793          37,561
      analysis.
  ▪ Some data is                    Nursing/care home                 13,601                20,709             2,353
      incomplete on
      utilisation and
      therefore reported            Land with buildings                3,799                8,034              264
      under-utilisation
      could be higher.                                                       433,000                 £478m              £127m
                                   TOTAL

 1 Does not include all premises where data was incomplete; roughly includes 90% or more.

SOURCE: NHS Property Services, Team Analysis
                                                                                                                       36
Reported data shows £43m of unutilised space amongst NHS Property
  Services properties; though this figure will likely be higher

              Utilised                         Total Net Book Value split by Utilised and                         Percentage
              Unutilised                       Unutilised space1, £ ‘000s                                         Unutilised space, %

          Health centre/GP
                                                                     256,296                        33,459                     12%
          surgery/Clinic
          Residential (other                   440 0                                                                            0%
          than nursing/care home)
                                               467 4                                                                            1%
          Unknown

                                                    18,802 263                                                                  1%
          Offices

          Other                                00                                                                                 -

          Hospital/hospital related                     134,328         5,465                                                   4%

          Nursing/care home                         20,327 382                                                                  2%

          Land with buildings               4,073                                                                              51%
                                               3,961
       TOTAL                                              £478m                                £43m                             9%

 1 Data does not include premises that showed as 100% unutilised as discrepancy could be due to data inaccuracies; relates to 5-10% of premises.

SOURCE: NHS Property Services, Team Analysis
                                                                                                                                  37
The other portion of the community estate is owned by CHP whose
 properties are valued at just under £500m
                                      Total Gross Internal                         Void Property Value,
                                      Area, m2               Property Value, £m    £m
  Barking Dagenham Havering
                                          18,753                       68              2
  Community Ventures Ltd
  Bexley, Bromley &
                                       12,779                     39               1
  Greenwich LIFTCo Ltd
  Brent Harrow and
                                      6,260                  18                    1
  Hillingdon LIFT Co Ltd
  Building Better Health - Lambeth,
                                          19,384                    52                 1
  Southwark & Lewisham L
  Building Better Health -
                                         18,060                        65                  4
  West London Limited
  Camden & Islington Community
                                      8,067                   23                       1
  Solutions Limited
  East London LIFT Accommodation
                                                28,822                        91               7
  Services Limited
  North London Estate
                                                29,103                   72                        9
  Partnerships Ltd (NLEP)
  Redbridge Waltham Forest Health
                                      7,249                  15                    0
  and Community Developers
  South West London Health
                                       11,104                  30                  0
  Partnerships Limited

                             TOTAL            160,000                    £474m                 £27m
SOURCE: CHP, Team Analysis
                                                                                               38
Triangulating community estate analysis in South and NWL suggests there
is between £60-100m surplus community estate across London
                        Analysis in South London Analysis in NWL1                                           Triangulation for London

  Number of
                                          141                                      148                                       722
  Sites

  Net Book
                                        211.7                                        -                                     1,041
  Value (£m)

  Premise
                                         29.3                                        -                                       144
  Costs (£m)

  Backlog (£m)                            7.0                                        -                                      34.5

  Identified
                                                                                                                            60-
  disposals                              20.4                                     12.9
  (£m)2
                                                                                                                            100

1 Analysis in North West London only considered NBV of disposals, not entire estate, premise costs or back-log
2 Different approaches used to determine disposals; South London focused on identifying disposals whereas NWL was self-reported

SOURCE: TSA; NHS North West London Shaping a Healthier Future; Team Analysis
                                                                                                                                  39
Contents

           ▪   Analysis of London challenges

                 ▪   Acute estate
                 ▪   Mental health estate
                 ▪   Community care estate
                 ▪   Primary care estate

                                               40
There are 1,433 primary care practices across London, 193 are located in
  community care centres leaving 1,240 general practice premises
                                             Number of practices1               Average list size
                                                                                                              Range of list
   NHS   Barking And Dagenham CCG                    39                                 5,144                 sizes across
   NHS   Barnet CCG                                       62                              5,653
                                                                                                              London
   NHS   Bexley CCG                             25                                              8,390
   NHS   Brent CCG                                       63                             5,229                 Lowest
   NHS   Bromley CCG                                 43                                      7,038
   NHS   Camden CCG                                35                                      6,381                     848
   NHS   Central London (Westminster) CCG         30                                      5,793
   NHS   City And Hackney CCG                   23                                      5,266
   NHS   Croydon CCG                                   54                                   6,448
   NHS   Ealing CCG                                        75                           5,110
   NHS   Enfield CCG                                  50                                 5,603                Lower quartile
   NHS   Greenwich CCG                              38                                    5,906
   NHS   Hammersmith And Fulham CCG             24                                           7,123                   3,335
   NHS   Haringey CCG                                 47                                5,168
   NHS   Harrow CCG                               30                                         7,061
   NHS   Havering CCG                                 50                                5,103
   NHS   Hillingdon CCG                             39                                    5,905
   NHS   Hounslow CCG                              34                                    5,323                Median
   NHS   Islington CCG                             36                                      6,205
                                                                                                                     5,351
   NHS   Kingston CCG                            27                                         6,718
   NHS   Lambeth CCG                                 42                                      7,160
   NHS   Lewisham CCG                              37                                        7,213
   NHS   Merton CCG                             23                                             8,201
   NHS   Newham CCG                                   49                                  5,854
   NHS   Redbridge CCG                              40                                    5,854               Upper quartile
   NHS   Richmond CCG                            26                                         6,509
                                                                                                                     7,945
   NHS   Southwark CCG                             34                                        6,984
   NHS   Sutton CCG                             21                                          6,532
   NHS   Tower Hamlets CCG                      24                                            7,530
   NHS   Waltham Forest CCG                          43                                     6,457
   NHS   Wandsworth CCG                            34                                           8,251
   NHS   West London (K&C & QPP) CCG                 43                               4,086                   Highest
                                                                                                                   27,564
   TOTAL – LONDON                                              1,240                          6,287

  1 Does not include 193 properties that contain GPs (as per HSCIC list) but owned by NHS Property Services

SOURCE: HSCIC, NHSPS, Team Analysis
                                                                                                                41
Of those practices not in community care centres, very indicative assessments
  of the market value suggest it could be worth in the region of ~£1.3bn

                                                    Indicative market value of practices1, £m                           Number of practices
      NHS   West London CCG                                                                                       147                43
      NHS   Central London CCG                                                                              122                   30
      NHS   Camden CCG                                                                       88                                    35
      NHS   Wandsworth CCG                                                        59                                               34
      NHS   Islington CCG                                                               72                                         36
      NHS   Lambeth CCG                                                           59                                                 42
      NHS   Barnet CCG                                                             62                                                          62
      NHS   Hammersmith And Fulham CCG                                  44                                                    24
      NHS   City And Hackney CCG                                25                                                            23
      NHS   Brent CCG                                                        50                                                                63
      NHS   Ealing CCG                                                       51                                                                     75
      NHS   Southwark CCG                                                   46                                                    34
      NHS   Richmond CCG                                               38                                                      26
      NHS   Tower Hamlets CCG                                        30                                                        24
      NHS   Haringey CCG                                             32                                                                 47
      NHS   Hounslow CCG                                        23                                                                  34
      NHS   Bromley CCG                                            34                                                                 43
      NHS   Croydon CCG                                          29                                                                       54
      NHS   Lewisham CCG                                         29                                                                  37
      NHS   Enfield CCG                                         27                                                                       50
      NHS   Merton CCG                                           29                                                           23
      NHS   Greenwich CCG                                     22                                                                     38
      NHS   Hillingdon CCG                                    21                                                                     39
      NHS   Newham CCG                                        21                                                                         49
      NHS   Redbridge CCG                                     22                                                                       40
      NHS   Harrow CCG                                        21                                                                  30
      NHS   Waltham Forest CCG                                 23                                                                      43
      NHS   Kingston CCG                                      23                                                               27
      NHS   Havering CCG                                      20                                                                          50
      NHS   Sutton CCG                                    11                                                                  21
      NHS   Barking And Dagenham CCG                       14                                                                        39
      NHS   Bexley CCG                                    12                                                                   25

1 Does not include 193 properties that contain GPs (as per HSCIC list) but owned by NHS Property Services
                                                                                                                             42
Using indicative numbers, ~13% of primary care estate is in such poor
 condition it requires significant refurbishment or rebuild…

   Proportion of GP premises in poor                              Examples of GP premises in poor condition
   condition

                            Terrible   Excellent
                Very Poor
                Poor                6.4%
                         6.8%
                                2.4%
                     3.7%
      Total =
      ~13%
                                                           Good
      rebuild                                      29.5%

                   51.2%
           Average                           Total =
                                             ~51%
                                            refurbish

      Buildings in poor condition need renovating to meet minimum standards and buildings in very poor or
                                  terrible condition need to be completely rebuilt

SOURCE: NHS North West London Shaping a Healthier Future
                                                                                                 43
…and ~34% does not meet disability access requirements and needs
rebuilding
 Proportion of GP premises that do not                 Examples of GP premises that do not meet
 meet disability access requirements                   disability access requirements

         Total =           Excellent
         ~34%                0%
         rebuild                            Good
                                       21.8%
                   25.5%

    Terrible

               8.5%
  Very Poor
                0%
         Poor

         Total =                   44.2%
         ~44%
        refurbish                      Average

   Buildings in poor condition need renovating to meet minimum standards and buildings in very poor or
                               terrible condition need to be completely rebuilt

                                                                                            44
An investment of at least ~£200m would be needed just to bring practices
up to minimum standards

  NWL’s ‘Shaping a Healthier Future’                                …extrapolating this across London
  programme estimated the number of non-                            suggests that ensuring compliance of
  compliant DDA practices across the area…                          all GP premises in London will cost
                                                                    £200m

                Estimated                     Average cost per      Estimated number    Total estimated
                proportion of                 premise to make       of practices        cost for London
                practices1                    compliant (£ ‘000s)   across London       (£m)
   Compliant                39%                        -                   560                   -
   practices

  Practices                30.5%                      40                   470               £18.8
  needing
  updating

  Practices                30.5%                     380                   470                £179
  needing
  rebuilding

  Total                                                                    940               ~£200

1 Based on estimates from North West London

SOURCE: NHS North West London Shaping a Healthier Future; ONS
                                                                                            45
Assumptions on what rebuild and refurbishment would cost to extrapolate
 for London
                                                                                                               Building related costs     Land costs

                                                               Estimated cost – for premises               Estimated cost – extrapolated
     Key assumptions                                           surveyed and in database1                   to all CCGs2
     Upgraded / Make compliant:
     ▪   Cost to upgrade based on survey and
         estimates of work needed by DJD (for
         surveyed premises).                                                                                                    40
     ▪   Projection scaled based on list size.
     Rebuild / Reprovision:                                                                                                                 74
     ▪   GP premises assumed to occupy reduced                                     17
         footprint due to improved utilisation and                                             32                               29
         opening hours5.
                                                                                   13
     ▪   Cost to build per sq.m is half that of hubs
         (£2.6k).                                                    2                                            5
     ▪   Some premises modelled to co-locate to hubs
                                                                 Upgrade/     Rebuild/    Total               Upgrade/     Rebuild/    Total
         (smaller premises and Dx rated)3,4.                     make         reprovision                     make         reprovision
     ▪   Average cost of land/sqm of built space varies          compliant                                    compliant
         by CCG depending on typical plot sizes for 100          Non-DX       DX                              Non-DX       DX
         sq.m of built space (plot sizes do not
         necessarily scale to building space).

 1 Excludes Brent.
 2 For all 7 CCGs participating in survey, extrapolated based on participating practices; Brent CCG estimated based on Ealing figures.
 3 Some of the smaller practices (i.e., less than 3k patients) will co-locate in the process of re-provision.
 4 Where the hub modelling involves co-location of GP practices, these are assumed to be DX practices where possible and cost is not double-counted
   across the hub and the GP practice estimates.
 5 approx. 30m2 per 1000 patients on the list size.

Source: DJD database of surveyed GP practices; estimates
                                                                                                                                     46
For primary care, property improvements could be incentivised

          ▪   The existing primary care estate is fragmented and in ~60% of
              cases is not fit for purpose

          ▪   However, GPs are currently not incentivised to re-locate from
              existing premises to more appropriate premises:

              – GP practices receive reimbursement of rent at market rates,
                 meaning no incentive to move.
              – Where GPs own their premises, they receive capital gains on
                 estate, creating incentives to maximise value at point of sale
                 rather than value as a healthcare asset.
              – GPs cannot sell goodwill in their practice and so there is a
                 lessened incentive to build better facilities to serve patients
                 better.

                                                                                   47
A simpler framework for making investment decisions in primary care
  is needed with more ownership for Strategic Planning Capital Boards

                                                                    Guiding principles for change

                                                                    ▪ Overall process needs to be
                                                                        simplified to reduce the current
                                                                        barriers for driving change:
                                                                        – Clearer sign-off;
                                                                        – Less steps; and
                                                                        – Better link to commissioning of
                                                                            care.
                                                                    ▪   Decision making needs to shift
                                                                        closer to the ground with local
                                                                        health economies:
                                                                        – Decisions regarding high cost/
                                                                            price by NHSE London region,
                                                                            not DH or NHSE;
                                                                        – Lower cost/ price decisions by
                                                                            Strategic Planning Capital Boards
                                                                            not NHSE London region.
                                                                    ▪   Consistent framework across London
                                                                        but with local ownership for
       Individual Strategic Planning Capital Boards (defined and
                                                                        application of framework and
      described later in document) will need to understand their
     own processes and NHSE London region should co-ordinate            overseeing process via local health
     design of a framework to drive local ownership of decisions.       economy Capital Boards.

SOURCE: Team Analysis                                                                           48
Estates strategic planning should be integrated into commissioning of
  care
                    Current Situation: Estates strategic             Future Situation: providers to submit
                    planning de-coupled from                         estates strategic plan co-ordinated
Issue               commissioning and fragmented                     with commissioning plans
                    ▪ Estates strategies are set on a                ▪ Estates strategies to be co-ordinated via
Fragmented
                        provider-by-provider basis and                 strategic planning groups (local health
strategic
                        approved via separate processes and            economies) and incorporate necessary
planning
                        organisations (e.g., TDA for acute             estates requirements.
                        providers, NHS England for primary
                        care).

                    ▪ Different processes for different              ▪ Strengthen and co-ordinate decision
Complexity
                        providers and lack of clarity for some         making across providers and bring
of decision
                        providers on requirements for approval         greater coherence and clarity to sign-offs
making
                        of capital investment in estates.              and approvals.

                    ▪ Estates strategy de-coupled from               ▪ Incorporate setting estates strategy into
Separation
                        commissioning which is focused purely          strategic planning to ensure that CCGs
from com-
                        on clinical care but not how clinical care     and local health economies submit basic
missioning
                        is enabled via buildings.                      estates strategies demonstrating support
                                                                       to commissioning of care.

SOURCE: Team Analysis                                                                              49
The development of Strategic Planning Capital Boards would support
capital investment including re-investment of released capital

▪ Develop governance to oversee and manage effective use of capital including disbursement of released
  capital.
▪ Include representatives from CCGs, Providers and local authorities.
▪ Purpose of Boards could include investing in:
  – Out of hospital transformation;
  – Primary care improvements;
  – Investment in new care innovations;
  – Workforce; and
  – Information and data.
▪ Framework with clear evaluation criteria and assessment process would need developing to ensure most
  efficient re-deployment of capital.
                         Description                      Advantages             Disadvantages

                         ▪ Capital receipts all           ▪ Enables full     ▪ Neglects any pan-
                             repurposed in local health     empowerment of       London
             Strategic
                             economies.                     clusters where       transformational
             Planning
             Capital
                         ▪   Criteria for re-investing      implementation       investments.
                             capital would be made set      occurs.          ▪   Siloed mentality and
             Boards
                             at local health economy                             approach.
                             level.

                                                                                                 50
Examples of good collaboration between health and social/public sector
 exist in London, and more should be possible
                        Description

 Earl's Court           ▪ Site provides the following services for population:
 Health and               – NHS GP practice and walk-in service;
 Wellbeing                – NHS dental practice;                                          This proposal
 Centre                   – Free sexual health and contraception clinics;                 should put more
                          – A varied set of wellbeing services including wellbeing        emphasis on
                               coaching; and                                              Local Authorities
                            – Community resources including Centre Champions and          and NHS bodies
                               rooms for community use.                                   supporting this
                        ▪   Health and Wellbeing Centre is funded by the NHS and          type of service
                            operated by Turning Point, Greenbrook Healthcare,             reconfiguration
                            Terrence Higgins Trust and NHS Dentist.                       which not only
                                                                                          benefits health
                        ▪ Purchased additional land via BBC site disposal and local       and care
 Imperial West                                                                            services; but
                            deal to reconfigure to meet growing needs.
                                                                                          also the broader
                        ▪   Current plans for site:
                                                                                          health economy
                            – £150 million Research and Translation Hub, with
                                                                                          and public and
                               facilities for 1,000 scientists and engineers and space
                                                                                          social sector
                               for 50+ spin out companies.
                                                                                          goals across
                            – Accommodation for students and early-career
                                                                                          London.
                               researchers.
                            – In addition, include homes, publicly accessible green
                               space, pedestrian subways and leisure and retail
                               facilities, alongside the creation of thousands of jobs.

SOURCE: Team Analysis                                                                        51
The Metropolitan Police have worked with the Mayor’s office to support
    service redesign and efficiency savings
Situation
The Metropolitan Police’s estate has not been efficiently used in the past. The director of the Metropolitan Police Property
Service revealed in 2013 that only 60% of desks were occupied at any one time. Other facilities such as the Metropolitan
Police’s training centre at Hendon has even lower utilisation of around 20%.

Mayoral involvement                       Coordination                      Impact
▪   the Mayor’s office for policing and   ▪   The police service            ▪   Disposing of inefficient buildings:
    crime (MOPAC) was set up in               together with MOPAC               – Dozens of police stations will be closed, mainly in
    January 2012 and is led by the            published the most                   Victorian buildings with high running costs.
    Mayor of London.                          recent estate strategy
                                              for the Metropolitan
                                                                                – the Police Training Centre at Hendon is being
▪   MOPAC is the owner of the
                                              Police in 2013 outlining
                                                                                   disposed through the Mayor’s London
    Metropolitan Police Services’                                                  Development Panel. The panel allows for the fast
                                              how the estate will be
    estate and has extensive financial                                             tracking of the disposal of public land to boost
                                              overhauled and running
    responsibilities including ensuring                                            construction and housing. Estimates suggest that
                                              costs reduced.
    the estate is run efficiently and                                              the redevelopment of the site will halve running
    effectively given the limited         ▪   Under the strategy the               costs at the training centre.
    resources available.                      Metropolitan police is            – The Metropolitan police headquarters is planned
                                              committing to get rid of             to be moved from one of London’s most famous
▪   Estate management is handled
                                              inefficient buildings, and
    by the Metropolitan Police                                                     landmarks to a new smaller site on the
                                              to use the money saved               Embankment.
    Property Service, which is
                                              towards investing in new
    responsible for achieving                                               ▪   Co-locating with other public organisations:
                                              modern facilities.
    efficiency, and has moved to a
    more corporate approach to the
                                                                                – Closed stations will be replaced by “access
                                                                                   points”. These access points could be sites in co-
    planning.
                                                                                   located premises with other public service
                                                                                   providers such as in community centres.

SOURCE: Greater London Authority, MOPAC/MPS Estate Strategy 2013-2016, Property Week                                   52
London fire brigade has disposed of many under-utilised properties and
    is now investing in station improvements
Situation
Major challenges that face the fire brigade are age of properties, and how fit for purpose their buildings are. Today 40% of the
estate is over 60 years old, and many of them were originally designed for horse-drawn engines, and not for modern day fire
fighting. Historically, investments in fire station improvements have been inconsistent.

Mayoral involvement                       Coordination                    Impact
▪   London Fire Brigade is run by the     ▪   The London Fire brigade     ▪   Disposing of inefficient buildings: LFB holds
    London Fire and Emergency                 has pro-actively                very little property or land that is not required for
    Planning Authority (LFEPA),               reviewed their entire           operational purposes, but some buildings are still
    whose members are appointed               estate, and has used this       being disposed of:
    by the Mayor. The organisation            to prioritise their             – Plans are in place to sell the former
    belongs to the Greater London             property improvement.               Headquarters site at Albert Embankment and
    Authority (GLA) that set the                                                  enter into a contract with the re-provision of a
    budget requirement for LFEPA.                                                 fire station on the site.
▪   The Fire Brigade has to make                                              – Under the new savings targets 10 stations are
    savings worth £28.8m up until                                                 being closed.
    2016. As part of this, property
    services will be reviewed, options
                                                                          ▪   Improving the fire station estate
    will be explored for further                                              – The brigade will receive £51.5 million in private
    shared services, and cuts will be                                             finance initiative (PFI) credits from central
    made to the stations.                                                         government to rebuild 9 stations, and build 9
                                                                                  new fire stations as part of the PFI project. The
                                                                                  new fire stations will replace buildings that are in
                                                                                  a poor condition and no longer meet modern
                                                                                  requirements.

SOURCE: London Fire Brigade Asset Management report 1011, LFEPA                                                        53
Given the lack and fragmentation of data across estates in London, an
  asset register is needed to create a shared understanding
                   Book value, FTs (PFI) FTs (non-PFI) Trusts (PFI) Trusts (non-PFI)
                   £bn
                                                                                                                Need for Asset Register given
  Acute                           0.32          2.85              1.33             2.69                         fragmented and incomplete data

                                                                                                                ▪   Purpose of asset register:
                                                                                                                    –   Give London one single view
                   Book value, FTs (PFI) FTs (non-PFI)                                                                  of property across different
                                                                          Non-FTs (non-PFI)
                   £bn                                                                                                  settings of care.
  Mental                                                                                                            –   Create greater transparency of
  Health                          0.06              0.76                         0.66                                   data and information to drive
                                                                                                                        awareness of issues.
                                                                                                                    –   Build data driven platform to
                                                                                                                        make decisions via Strategic
                   Number of                  PropCo                        CHP/LIFT                                    Planning Capital Boards
                   premises,
  Community        very rough                                                                                   ▪   Information to include in asset
                   estimates                       ???                          ???                                 register:
  Care1
                                                                                                                    –   Size of estate;
                                                                                                                    –   Value of estate;
                                                                                                                    –   Condition; and
                   Number of
                   premises,        PropCo CHP/LIFT           Privately Held          Unknown                       –   Usage.
  Primary          very rough                                                                                   ▪   Information to be made publically
  Care             estimates                                                                                        available and audited.
                                     193     ???                    931                     ???

1 Estimates for ownership split for community and primary care should be viewed as directional and not be heavily relied upon given definitional
  differences, data gaps and no recent picture of privately held GP practices in London (estimate is UK based in 2006).
SOURCE: ERIC 2013, Trust accounts from FIMS database 2012/13; FT Trust Accounts 2012/13, NHSPS, Web Searches, Team Analysis
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